Community ideas
Is minor B done?In my last post…” We Have a Full Pattern into The Target Box” … I stated, “I am now looking for a 5-wave pattern to develop to the downside, followed by a 3-wave retrace, that in the coming weeks can take us back out of the target box to the downside.”
That pattern may have begun today in the very micro sense. This is very preliminary, so we need follow through to the downside so that in the days and weeks to come, we can confirm a top in minor B.
BNB Weekly Breakout: Road to $1,000?CRYPTOCAP:BNB is showing strong bullish momentum on the weekly chart. The 50 EMA is acting as a dynamic support, holding firm during multiple retests and providing a solid foundation for upward movement.
Recently, price action has broken above a key descending resistance line and successfully reclaimed a major support-resistance zone, turning it into a strong base. This area, which previously acted as a battleground for bulls and bears, is now supporting the current rally.
As long as BNB continues to hold above this zone and the 50 EMA, the structure remains bullish. With sustained momentum, a retest of the all-time high zone around $793 is likely, and a breakout above it could open the door for a move toward $1,000 and beyond.
DYOR, NFA
Cocoa Explosion Loading? Specs & Hedgers Agree🔍 Fundamental Analysis – Commitment of Traders (COT)
The latest COT report, dated May 13, 2025, reveals a strong bullish accumulation signal, with a significant increase in long positions across all major trader categories.
Specifically, Non-Commercials (speculative traders such as hedge funds and money managers) increased their long positions by +3,490 contracts while simultaneously reducing shorts by -467 contracts. This dynamic reflects renewed speculative confidence in the cocoa bullish trend.
Simultaneously, Commercials (typically producers and processors) added +5,187 long contracts and closed -661 short contracts. This is especially noteworthy, as commercials usually take the opposite side of speculators. Here, however, their alignment with speculators may indicate expectations of upcoming supply constraints or market stress.
Total open interest rose by more than +6,000 contracts, suggesting real capital inflow into the market rather than just rebalancing.
This alignment between speculators and institutional hedgers is rare and often precedes further price appreciation.
📈 Net Positions & Price Action
Looking at the “Net Positions & Prices” chart over the past year, it’s clear that Non-Commercial net positions are recovering after a notable drop in March and April. This reversal aligns with the technical bottom and the start of the current price rally.
Commercials, although still net short (in line with their historical bias), are reducing their bearish exposure, hinting at lower physical supply pressure or a need for hedging against further price increases.
Price action has reflected this narrative, surging higher following the April lows.
🕰️ Seasonal Analysis
Seasonality adds another layer to the analysis.
Historically, May tends to be flat or slightly bearish (10Y and 15Y averages), but the 2-Year seasonal line—which better reflects current market behavior—shows a strong bullish tendency starting mid-month. This supports the ongoing rebound and increases the likelihood of further upside in the short term.
Historical data also shows that June, while volatile, is often positive or neutral in shorter cycles.
📊 Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, cocoa recently completed a strong bullish leg, rebounding from the 8,800–9,000 USD demand zone, identified as a clear area of institutional buying (evident through volume and impulsive candles).
The price then decisively broke through mid-range resistance levels and tested a key weekly supply zone between 11,200 and 11,500 USD, where it was initially rejected.
Currently, we are in a technical pullback, likely targeting the mitigation zone at 9,700–10,000 USD. This area represents a solid long entry opportunity if the market confirms a bullish structure on intraday charts (H1 or H4).
The RSI is near overbought, yet without divergence—suggesting the trend remains structurally bullish despite a natural correction.
🧭 Strategic Conclusion
Cocoa currently shows a rare convergence of bullish signals: supportive COT positioning, increasing net long interest, strong 2Y seasonality, and clear technical structure controlled by buyers.
However, after the recent sharp upside move, a correction to key support zones is likely before another bullish leg unfolds.
Can BTC break above $109,000 in this ascending channel?Bitcoin has been trading within a clearly defined upward channel since the beginning of April. This rising channel is characterized by three touchpoints on both the upper and lower trendlines, indicating a consistent pattern of price movement within these boundaries.
Approaching key resistance
Currently, BTC is approaching a critical resistance level near the $109,000 mark, which coincides with its previous all-time high. This level represents a significant psychological and technical barrier, as it was the peak of the last major bull cycle. The price is now testing this resistance while still remaining within the rising channel. The confluence of the upper channel resistance and the historical all-time high makes this a decisive moment for Bitcoin's price action.
Bullish breakout
A rejection from this resistance zone could lead to a temporary pullback, potentially towards the lower boundary of the rising channel. This would not necessarily signal the end of the bullish trend, but rather a healthy consolidation within the established structure. However, a confirmed breakout above the $109,000 level, especially if supported by strong volume and bullish momentum, would likely signal a significant shift in market dynamics. Such a breakout would validate the strength of the current uptrend and could open the door for new all-time highs. In that scenario, the $109,000 level would likely flip from resistance to support, becoming a crucial area for bulls to defend on any future retests.
Bearish breakout
On the downside, traders should also be aware of the implications of a breakdown below the rising channel. The lower boundary of the channel, currently located around $104,000, is an important technical level to watch. A decisive break below this level could indicate a loss of short-term bullish momentum and may trigger a deeper retracement. In such a case, BTC would likely target the imbalance zone between $97,500 and $100,500, a region where price moved rapidly in the past without establishing strong support or resistance. This zone could serve as a critical area for buyers to step in and attempt to reestablish bullish control, potentially setting the stage for another rally toward the $109,000 resistance and a renewed attempt at a breakout.
AUDJPY at Key Resistance Level: Will it Drop To 92.850?OANDA:AUDJPY is approaching a key resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering bearish momentum in the past. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 92.850 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
Technical Levels Respected – BTC Reaches $108K Target what next?📍 BTC Target Hit with Precision!
✅ As predicted in the previous analysis, Bitcoin has successfully tapped the $108K resistance zone — clean and technical execution!
📊 My chart spoke in advance... and the market listened.
🎯 Why miss out on these accurate forecasts?
📉 My strategies are not just random lines — they’re built on solid market structure, EMAs, and key price action zones.
📢 Let’s stay connected!
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💡 Whether you're a beginner or seasoned trader, there’s always something new to learn with me.
📚 Join the journey — learn, trade, and win!
📩 DM or follow to get consistent updates and chart breakdowns.
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#BTC and ALTCOINS Urgent Update! Don't panic!!MARKET UPDATE
CRYPTOCAP:BTC – Despite some negative news from the US around treasury yields, the chart still looks strong.
As long as we hold $103,817, there's no reason to panic.
A 4H close below that level would be concerning, but for now, it still points toward another ATH.
Not trading aggressively right now, just watching.
Even if BTC pumps, CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is likely to rise, which could hit alts first and offer better entry zones. And in case it dumps, you know what happen,s alts will dump more.
Tried a few entries earlier today, but got stopped out. Staying patient for now.
Picked up some LSE:TAO on this dip (spot).
DYOR. NFA.
Do show your support with your likes if this idea helped you in any way. It helps to keep the posts regular and on time.
Thank you
#PEACE
recovery, gold price traded above 3300 mark⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Beth Hammack of the Cleveland Federal Reserve emphasized that current U.S. government policies have made it increasingly challenging for the Fed to steer the economy effectively and fulfill its dual mandate of price stability and full employment. She also warned that the risk of a stagflationary environment—marked by stagnant growth and persistent inflation—is on the rise. In contrast, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem recently argued that the current monetary policy stance remains appropriately calibrated.
Despite elevated U.S. Treasury yields, gold has struggled to gain traction, suggesting that higher yields alone are not enough to drive safe-haven demand under current conditions.
However, global monetary easing could provide a tailwind for the precious metal. In the latest moves during the Asian session, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) cut its benchmark rate, followed by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which unexpectedly reduced its Cash Rate from 4.10% to 3.85%—actions that typically support non-yielding assets like gold.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices recover due to military instability in the Middle East, growth momentum above 3300
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3354- 3356 SL 3361
TP1: $3345
TP2: $3332
TP3: $3320
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3252 - $3250 SL $3245
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3270
TP3: $3280
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
USDJPY:Is it a beginning of major bullish trend? Read CaptionThe price of USDJPY has shown a mixed volume, making it difficult to determine the trend. However, if we analyse the data, we can see that USD is gaining strength in the coming time. This could be due to the strong news coming in this week, which may divert the USDJPY towards the 150 price region. There are four potential targets that price could hit and surpass. Please use this analysis solely for educational purposes, as it does not provide any guarantees.
Good luck and trade safely.
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GU-Wed-21/05/25 TDA-GBP CPI higher than expected, Bullish!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Risk management. You can take bad trades but
you can recover with good risk management.
The profitable strategy alone isn't enough to
succeed in this game.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
Key Rejection Zone Approaching – Bearish Setup in PlayChart Summary:
Asset: Unspecified (USD-based)
Timeframe: Short-term (likely 1H or 4H)
Indicators:
EMA 50 (red): 3,245.772
EMA 200 (blue): 3,223.635
Key Zones:
Resistance Zone (Red box): ~3,310–3,360
Target/Support Zone (Red box): ~3,110–3,160
Mid Support Zone (Blue box): ~3,200–3,230
Trendline: Downward sloping resistance connecting major highs
---
Technical Breakdown:
Trend Analysis:
Primary Trend: Bearish ⬇️
Confirmed by the downtrend line (black) which has been respected multiple times (3 clear touches).
Current Price: 3,290.090
Price is approaching a key confluence zone: resistance area + trendline.
This area has previously acted as strong supply.
Moving Averages:
EMA 50 > EMA 200: Minor bullish signal (Golden Cross), but price action is still below major resistance.
However, this cross may be a false signal if price gets rejected here.
---
Price Action:
Current Move: Strong bullish push toward resistance after rebounding from the target zone ✅
The resistance zone and trendline are likely to act as a rejection point unless broken decisively.
---
Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
If price fails to break above the resistance zone:
Expect a rejection and move back toward:
Blue mid-support: ~3,220
Target zone: ~3,130 (major demand area)
Confirmation: Bearish candlestick pattern or strong wick rejections near resistance.
🔵 Entry Idea: Short near 3,310–3,350
🎯 Target: 3,130 zone
✋ Stop-Loss: Above 3,360 (above trendline + resistance)
---
Bullish Scenario (Less Likely):
If price breaks above the resistance zone with strong volume:
Could signal trend reversal
Next target levels: ~3,400+
---
Conclusion:
Bias: Bearish near resistance zone
Key Level to Watch: 3,310–3,360 (critical for direction)
Trading Approach: Wait for confirmation, don't preemptively short without rejection signals.
EURUSD – CME Gap and 0.786 Fib Align at Key Demand ZoneEURUSD has been trading with a strong bullish tone recently, breaking through previous resistance levels with conviction. However, after the latest impulse move to the upside, the market is now showing signs of exhaustion. Price has begun to pull back in a controlled manner, creating a potential opportunity for a deeper retracement into a more favorable area of interest. This kind of pullback is typical after an aggressive rally, and right now, there’s clear evidence that price may need to revisit lower levels before any further continuation higher.
Technical Confluence at Its Best:
Below the current range, there is a high-probability demand zone that combines three powerful elements: a well-respected historical support area, a CME gap that was left unfilled during the previous rally, and a 0.786 Fibonacci retracement from the latest bullish leg. These levels don’t just sit close to each other, they stack right on top of one another, forming a dense pocket of liquidity and technical confluence. The market often gravitates toward these types of zones to rebalance price and fuel the next directional move.
Short-Term Bearish Setup – Let Price Come to You:
The expectation is for price to dip lower in the short term. This would allow the market to tap into the unfilled CME gap and sweep the liquidity resting below the current structure. Traders who went long late in the move are likely to have their stops sitting just beneath recent lows, and this sets the stage for a classic inducement and stop hunt scenario. Price doesn't need to collapse, just a healthy retracement into this confluence zone to rebalance and refill the inefficiency before the real move begins.
Bullish Reversal Expectations:
Once price fills the CME gap and reaches into the 0.786 Fib retracement level, the focus shifts back to bullish. If the market holds this support cleanly and shows early signs of strength, like a displacement back above short-term structure or a strong engulfing candle, this could signal the beginning of a new upward leg. Given the context and momentum from the previous rally, it’s reasonable to anticipate a strong reaction that could drive price back toward the recent highs or potentially even higher.
The Psychology Behind the Setup:
This type of setup is a textbook example of how smart money operates. Price leaves a gap, traders pile in on the breakout, and then the market retraces to fill the imbalance and shake out weak hands before resuming the trend. Understanding the logic behind the CME gap, the liquidity below price, and how the Fib level ties everything together gives this setup depth. It’s not just about lines and zones, it’s about how liquidity flows through the market and how structure sets up to trap and reward.
Conclusion:
Patience is key. Rather than chasing the bullish momentum at current levels, the plan is to wait for price to revisit the zone where the CME gap, historical support, and the 0.786 Fib level align. That’s where the real value lies. If the reaction from this zone is clean and confirms strength, it offers a high-probability entry for the next leg up. No need to force anything, let the market come to you, then execute with precision.
___________________________________
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Short term next target for ETH - 1100$; Market crash in JuneEthereum will be reaching 2808$ in coming days before month May is closed.
ETH almost reached main liquidity zone for this rally and also 200MA. As soon this level is done - expect another market crash in June.
Next crash will be super fast and most of altcoins will drop even lower.
Target for ETH in month of June is between 1100$ and 1300$.
After this crash we will see altcoin season and ETH will lead it.
We are entering last phase of a bull run. There are about 3 months left before we enter a bear market officially.
Here is previous idea from 1300$ to 2808$
Usd/Jpy intra-day Analysis 20-May-2025Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
HelenP. I Gold will reach trend line and then start to declineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Observing this chart, we can see how the price traded inside the support zone, which coincided with the support level, and then dropped below. After this price turned around and made impulse up, reached the 3135 level, broke it, and made a retest. Next, price continued to move up and later it reached the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and even broke this level and rose to the trend line. But then Gold at once rebounded and fell below the 3385 level, breaking it again, and continued to decline next. When the price fell to 3215 points, it turned around and in a short time rose to the trend line, breaking the resistance level again, after which it turned around and started to fall. Gold broke the 3385 level one more time and later made a gap and then fell to the support level. But not a long time ago, it turned around and started to grow. At the moment, price has almost reached the trend line, so I expect that XAUUSD will reach the trend line finally and then rebound and start to decline. For this case, I set my goal at 3185 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GBPUSD Possibilities To Make Big ShotHi traders,
Here The analysis for FX:GBPUSD im looking for. GBP CPI data already release 2 hours ago. It shows the strong data. The annual inflation rate in the UK jumped to 3.5% in April 2025, the highest since January 2024, from 2.6% in March and above forecasts of 3.3%.
Thus, im prepare for the oppurtuniti come after the data release. At the blue zone 1.33921 - 1.33794 is the best zone to execute. I will waiting in the zone and follow the SOP on lowest timeframe to ensure the best time to execute with quality of trade.
ZONE : 1.33921 - 1.33794
TP1 : 1.34980
TP2 : 1.35450
TP SWING : 1.36000
STOPLOSS : 1.33700
Fake Candle: Stop Getting Liquidated TodayA giant green candle pops up on your chart… You get excited, jump in — and boom, price dumps !
Fake candles are one of the market’s most psychological traps .
This breakdown shows how to avoid getting tricked — and even profit from them!
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Dogecoin:
Dogecoin has posted an impressive 60% rally in recent weeks and is now testing the key psychological resistance at $0.25. A confirmed breakout from this level could unlock at least 22% further upside , aligning with a breakout above the descending channel toward the $0.28 target. Key daily support, Fibonacci confluence, and a rising trendline are also in play. 📉🚀
Now , let's dive into the educational section,
🧠 The Psychology Behind Candle Traps
It all starts when the market shows a sudden sharp move. A strong bullish candle — full of hope — shows up out of nowhere. But guess what? Most of the time, it’s just bait.
Smart money loves this moment — when retail traders think a moonshot is coming.
So never trust the candle’s look alone. Look deeper for confirmation.
🛠 TradingView Tools to Catch Fake Candles📊
practical tools inside TradingView that help detect false signals.
Set these up and test them live in your charting flow:
Volume Profile
Shows you where volume is really happening. No volume = no trust.
Session Volume HD
Reveals hidden session volume. If a big candle has weak session volume, that’s a red flag.
Relative Volume (RVOL)
Tells you if current volume is above/below normal.
Fake candles often come with volume mismatch.
Candle Close Timer
Shows how long until a candle closes.
Wait for that close — fake candles often flip last minute.
Multiple Timeframe Analysis
Check higher TFs before trusting the move.
Many fake candles trick you in low TFs.
Apply these directly inside your TradingView layout — it’s a game changer.
🔍 Real Candle vs Fake Candle
A real candle usually forms at a key support/resistance level with solid volume.
A fake one? Often pops up in a random zone, low volume, and before higher timeframes confirm.
Pro tip: Wait for the candle to fully close — then check if volume + structure supports the move.
📉 Rookie Mistake Alert
New traders often jump in on the first big candle they see.
Why? Because they want to be “early” and catch the move.
But in markets, patience wins — not speed.
Follow footprints, not fireworks.
🎯 Three-Step Filter For Fake Candles
Here’s your anti-fake-candle checklist:
No volume? No entry!
Confirmation over assumption. Use indicators like RSI, divergence, or MAs.
Always check the higher timeframe. Low TF = high deception.
🔄 Market Makers Love These Games
Fake candles are a classic weapon for market makers.
They know exactly when emotional traders will FOMO in.
These aren’t just candles — they’re emotional traps.
Study the trap, not just the move.
🧩 Final Takeaway & Suggestion
Fake candles aren’t just technical — they’re psychological .
Use the right tools, wait for confirmation, and don’t let your emotions lead .
Start your next analysis with a mental filter , not just a visual one.
always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅.
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
TradeCityPro | BCHUSDT Bitcoin Fork Ready to Hit New Highs?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s dive in and analyze the Bitcoin fork, BCH, to understand why this altcoin is performing much better than the broader market and is being supported at higher levels.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Time Frame
In the weekly time frame, we see that BCH is in a much better position compared to other altcoins and continues to form higher highs and higher lows!
After hitting the 707 resistance and getting rejected, we’ve been ranging in a large box. However, it’s fair to say that buyers have the upper hand in this box because, after touching the critical 268 support, we engulfed the previous three weekly candles and experienced a sharp move up to 424.
Currently, we’re at a critical point: we could either form a lower high relative to the previous resistance or undergo a mid-term correction and re-enter after breaking 424!
📉 Daily Time Frame
In the daily time frame, the situation is similarly favorable, and BCH is continuing its trend with good momentum. The formation of higher highs and higher lows provides a sense of calm to the uptrend.
After the heavy decline in February, it was natural for us to enter a ranging period before forming a new structure. This happened, and after retesting the 268 support, we started forming higher highs and lows, with our first entry at the 345 level.
Currently, after a rejection from 435, we’ve corrected to 386, which was a low-volume move, technically considered a pullback. If we see a supportive candle at this level, it’s a trigger for a buy, and breaking 435 will be the next trigger!
✍️ Final Thoughts
Stay level headed, trade with precision, and let’s capitalize on the market’s top opportunities!
This is our analysis, not financial advice always do your own research.
What do you think? Share your ideas below and pass this along to friends! ❤️