BTC: Demand Zone + QML + Trendline Flip = Perfect SETUPHello guys!
BTC is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal, forming a Quasimodo Level (QML) setup inside a valid S&D zone that remains unbroken despite multiple tests.
The downward trendline has been broken and is now acting as support, aligning perfectly with the QML and demand zone. giving us a solid confluence area.
Important to watch:
Rejection wicks and volume building at $106.6K–$107.4K zone show strong buyer interest.
If price can reclaim $109K and consolidate above, we could see a move toward $112K and higher.
Invalidation below $106.4K suggests the demand has failed, and bears may regain control.
Community ideas
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish Break : 145.100
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
GOLD remains stuck near 3365dGOLD remains stuck near 3365
Price faced a strong resistance zone in the bullish move near 3365
If we look at the left side of the chart, it shows that it could fall further. The structure zone near 3365 seems to be ver.y strong.
As long as the price has not risen above 3392 when Iran attacked the US, then it should not break this area under normal conditions.
There is a high chance that a larger bearish wave will resume, but again it is very risky.
Today the economic calendar is almost empty, so we could see gold take a break, as shown on the chart before falling to 3285 and 3250 first.
It will also be affected by the tariff topic this week, because the deadline is July 9th. Trump is expected to create another mess.
In my opinion, with the current data, ARI is rising, the chances of falling further.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Lingrid | GOLD Major Support Level ViolatedOANDA:XAUUSD has formed a lower high beneath the key resistance at 3,310, showing fading bullish momentum after a breakout failure. Price is trading below the upward trendline and moving toward the 3,260 support zone with a corrective structure. The rejection from the resistance block and breakdown of a key level suggests continued bearish pressure.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: rejection from 3,300–3,330 resistance block
Target: 3,260 key support, followed by 3,240 lower zone
Invalid level: breakout and close above 3,320 regains bullish bias
Resistance zone: 3,310–3,330 acting as a ceiling for upside attempts
⚠️ Risks
Reclaiming 3,310 would shift the bias back to neutral/bullish
Sideways range between 3,260–3,320 could cause fakeouts
Volatility spikes from macroeconomic events may trigger stop hunts
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
No Bullish Confirmation – Targeting 3250 on XAU/USDIn yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that due to Monday’s daily Pin Bar, I closed my short trade on Gold around break-even and decided to wait for more confirmation.
Unfortunately, that wasn't the best decision. The price failed to break above resistance for a bullish continuation and instead dropped sharply, closing the day exactly at the 3300 figure. At the time of writing, Gold is trading even lower at 3293, after briefly rebounding from the 3285 support zone—a level I’ve highlighted in the past.
Moving forward, after the failed bullish continuation and yesterday’s bearish move, it’s clear that bears are back in control. A drop toward the 3250 zone is now on the table.
Conclusion: I’m looking to sell rallies, with my invalidation zone set above 3340, aiming for a good risk-to-reward setup.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GBPUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend.
🎯 Non Commercials has been taking profits on during last 3 weeks. There for I think we need deeper pullback to reload the longs.
📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
💊 Tip
if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Quantum Computing - Why BTC isn't the biggest worryYou’ve probably heard that quantum computing could break Bitcoin’s encryption—and that’s true. But here’s the thing: Bitcoin might not even be the biggest target.
The real risks? Financial systems, national security, healthcare, and even the internet itself. These areas rely on the same encryption methods that quantum computers could crack, and the fallout could be far worse than a Bitcoin hack.
Let’s break it down.
1️⃣ Financial Systems: A Global Crisis Waiting to Happen
Imagine if hackers could:
Drain bank accounts at will.
Manipulate stock markets.
Fake trillion-dollar transactions.
This isn’t just about stolen crypto—it’s about economic chaos. Banks, stock exchanges, and payment systems all depend on encryption. If quantum computers break it, we’re looking at a meltdown way bigger than Bitcoin’s $3 trillion market.
2️⃣ National Security & Internet Privacy: A Hacker’s Dream
Governments and militaries use encryption to:
Protect classified intelligence.
Secure communications between leaders.
Guard critical infrastructure (power grids, water supplies).
If quantum computers crack these codes, entire nations could be exposed to cyberwarfare. Your private data? At risk too—email, messaging, even your online banking could be decrypted years later.
3️⃣ Healthcare, Supply Chains & IoT: The Hidden Vulnerabilities
Medical records could be leaked, exposing sensitive health data.
Smart devices (like home security systems) could be hacked.
Supply chains might collapse if logistics networks are breached.
These systems weren’t built with quantum threats in mind—and upgrading them won’t be easy.
🔴 The Bigger Picture: A "Civilizational Upgrade"
Switching to quantum-resistant encryption is like rebuilding the internet’s foundation. It’s necessary, but messy. Some experts compare it to the Y2K bug—but way harder.
🔷 So, Is Bitcoin Safe?
Not entirely—about 25% of all Bitcoin could be stolen if quantum computers advance fast enough. But compared to the risks facing banks, governments, and hospitals? Bitcoin might be the least of our worries.
🔷 What’s Next?
Governments & companies are already working on fixes (like NIST’s post-quantum cryptography standards).
The transition will take years—and hackers might exploit weak spots along the way.
Staying informed is key. If you’re in tech, finance, or security, this affects you.
ℹ️ Want to Dive Deeper?
Deloitte’s take on quantum computing & Bitcoin
Forbes on quantum risks beyond crypto
🤷♂️ Bottom line?
Quantum computing is coming—and while Bitcoin has risks, the real danger lies in the systems we all depend on every day.
❔What do you think? Will we be ready in time? Let me know in the comments! 🚀
NZDJPY - bulls are exhausted! Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈NZDJPY has been overall bullish trading within the rising flat channel marked in blue and it is currently retesting the upper bound of it.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and green structure.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NZDJPY is hovering around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD 4-Hour Chart Analysis4-hour candlestick chart for the Euro/U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) currency pair on the OANDA platform. The chart shows a recent upward trend followed by a consolidation phase, with key technical levels and trading signals indicated. The presence of "SELL" and "BUY" signals suggests active trading opportunities. The downward arrow within the shaded area hints at a potential bearish move. This chart is likely used by traders to analyze short-term price movements and make informed decisions.
Evolving Price & Candle Patterns: BitcoinLook what is happening here with the candle patterns and price action. In the most recent challenge of resistance something changed. Change is good. It can mean the end of this sideways period.
At (1) Bitcoin finds resistance and immediately starts a decent. The same happens at (2). When we reach (3) everything changes. (1) & (2) produced a low and lower low. The down-move was extended. (3) produced only two red candles, a strong higher low and the third day was a full green candle moving above the descending trendline resistance. The price pattern is now erratic, completely different to previous moves.
Now, consider (4). If the strong green candle was intended as a bull-trap, then we would expect a down-move to follow right after the peak, just as it happened with (1) and (2). But nothing, after (4), Bitcoin has been sideways within the bullish zone.
This change is good, bullish.
A drop can develop anytime but the market already had two changes to produce a down-wave, (3) and (4). The fact that a down-move didn't materialize means that the market has something different in store for us, change. This change is good because when resistance is challenged, prices tend to drop when the market is moving within a range. No drop can signal the end of the range trading which in turn can translate into the start of the next bullish wave.
If this idea turns out to be true, Bitcoin will start growing within days. Growth should be strong because consolidation has been happening for months.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Dominance, RSI Bearish Divergence & Decreasing VolumeThis is a classic signal and we are going to be looking at it on two different timeframes, daily and weekly.
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is producing a strong bearish divergence with the RSI. The weekly timeframe is very pronounced and I will show you the details below. This type of signal tends to support a change of trend. It appears before the reversal happens but sometimes it can take years before it goes into effect.
» BTC.D Weekly RSI
Here you can see the RSI peaked October 2023. Then a lower high October 2024, then again in April 2025 and finally last month.
As the RSI produces lower highs BTC.D is producing higher highs.
This signal is supported by decreasing volume. Bitcoin Dominance continues to climb higher while trading volume continues to drop. Both signal support a change of trend soon and together they become stronger.
» BTC.D Daily RSI
The daily RSI peaked June 2023 but we will focus on the short-term as we already have a strong signal coming from the weekly.
Here we have a peak in May 2025 and a strong lower high in June. Needless to say, BTC.D peaked 27-June thus the divergence but the action is clearly weak.
» Bitcoin daily
There is a long-term rising wedge on the weekly timeframe and this pattern can also support a reversal.
All these signals are bearish but not very strong, still, there is some weakness on the bearish side for this index. This means that the action can turn bearish tomorrow or it can continue rising for weeks or months before turning red.
These signals are pointing to a reversal but they do not give us a specific date. Can happen next week, next month or in seven months. If we focus on the altcoins, the way they are looking and how long will it take for them to grow, then this index can turn bearish within 2-4 weeks. Bitcoin will also grow as the altcoins market grow. Everything Crypto will grow in late 2025.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
PEPEUSDT Critical Decision Zone – Massive Move Incoming?🧠 Macro Technical Analysis
PEPEUSDT is currently hovering within a critical demand zone (0.00000095 – 0.00000110), an area that has historically acted as a strong accumulation base and a launchpad for previous rallies. The chart structure shows multiple interactions with this zone, highlighting its significance as a key inflection level.
This zone is not just a support — it’s a make-or-break battlefield between bulls and bears. Price is consolidating within this zone, setting the stage for a potential explosive breakout or a dangerous breakdown.
🔍 Pattern Breakdown & Key Technical Levels
Accumulation Zone (Yellow Box):
Seen from April 2024 to now, price has bounced several times from this region. The multiple touches and long wicks confirm strong buying interest here.
Sideways Channel / Range-Bound Structure:
Price action between 0.00000110 and 0.00000283 has formed a clear horizontal range, and the current price is once again testing the lower boundary of this range.
Implied Move Projection (Yellow Arrow):
A potential breakout from this range could trigger a measured move to the upside, aiming for the previous high at 0.00000283 — representing a +150% upside potential from current levels.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
1. Price holds above 0.00000100, maintaining structure above demand.
2. Break and daily close above:
0.00000127 (minor resistance)
Then 0.00000140, which could trigger acceleration.
3. Target levels to watch:
🟡 0.00000162 – Intermediate resistance
🟡 0.00000180 – Confluence zone
🟡 0.00000211 – Mid-range mark
🟡 0.00000240 – Major breakout checkpoint
🟡 0.00000283 – Range high and final bullish target
Break above 0.00000283 could open a parabolic rally.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
1. Breakdown below 0.00000095, followed by rejection from the bottom of the demand zone.
2. This could signal:
Weak market structure
Failed accumulation
Invalidation of the bullish setup
Key downside levels:
🔻 0.00000080 – Local support
🔻 0.00000065 – Historical low defense
🔻 0.00000038 – Macro capitulation zone
⚠️ Breakdown from current levels will turn this accumulation into distribution.
🧭 Strategic Takeaway:
PEPE is trading at a decisive zone. A bounce from this level could signal the start of a new bullish phase, while a breakdown could usher in a deeper bearish trend. Traders should closely monitor volume spikes, breakout candles, and confirmations above 0.00000127 to validate bullish momentum.
This is a low-risk, high-reward setup for disciplined traders with proper risk management.
#PEPEUSDT #PEPE #CryptoTechnicalAnalysis #AltcoinBreakout #MemeCoinSeason #CryptoTrading #AccumulationZone #BreakoutAlert #BullishCrypto #BearishScenario
AVAX - CLEAN W - Pattern BULLISHAVAX has formed a clean double-bottom pattern on the weekly chart, signalling potential reversal after an extended downtrend. Price is now holding above support and showing signs of early bullish structure, with a higher low forming and compression tightening.
Setup Thesis:
A breakout from this base structure could trigger a mid-term rally toward the $29–30 zone, which aligns with prior structure resistance. This setup targets continuation if buyers defend the current level and break the neckline convincingly.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Around $18.00–18.20
Stop Loss: Below $14.90 (beneath the recent low)
Target: $29.00–30.00
Structure: Double-bottom with early signs of trend reversal
Timeframe: Mid- to long-term swing (weekly confirmation needed)
Key Notes:
This is a higher-timeframe setup. Patience is key — let the candle close strong and look for follow-through. A break and hold above $21 would further validate the bullish shift.
Clean structure, defined invalidation, asymmetric reward.
XAU/USD) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 3-hour timeframe, projecting further downside after rejection from a resistance zone aligned with a descending trendline.
---
Analysis Summary
Trend Bias: Bearish
Current Price: ~$3,301.96
Structure: Price is respecting a descending channel, with multiple rejections from the upper boundary and key resistance zone.
---
Key Technical Insights
1. Resistance Zone & Downtrend Line:
Price was rejected from a resistance block near the EMA 200 (~$3,331) and descending trendline.
This level has repeatedly triggered strong downside moves (highlighted with red arrows).
2. EMA 200 Reaction:
The EMA 200 at $3,331.10 is acting as dynamic resistance.
Each time price reaches or crosses above this line, selling pressure increases.
3. Bearish Price Projection:
After recent rejection, the chart anticipates a pullback to the support zone between $3,248.26 and $3,245.71.
A deeper drop toward $3,159.13 is projected as a next major target, consistent with previous price moves.
4. RSI Indicator:
RSI at 40.24 suggests bearish momentum is still in play but not yet oversold—indicating room for more downside.
---
Bearish Trade Idea
Element Level / Description
Entry Zone Below resistance: $3,310–$3,320
Target 1 $3,248.26–$3,245.71 (support zone)
Target 2 $3,159.13 (channel base / next support)
Stop-Loss Above $3,335 (above resistance zone)
---
Risk Considerations
Fundamental catalysts: Gold is sensitive to USD strength, interest rate decisions, and macroeconomic data.
Invalidation: A strong breakout and close above the descending trendline and EMA 200 would negate the bearish outlook.
---
Summary
This analysis outlines a bearish setup for XAU/USD, supported by trendline resistance, EMA rejection, and RSI momentum. If current structure holds, a move toward the $3,245 and $3,159 levels is likely.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
CAD/CHF: Break, Retest and Go?The market is in a strong downtrend, moving inside a visible steep channel. Price recently pulled back into a previous support-turned-resistance zone. This move appears corrective in nature, with sellers likely waiting for signs of exhaustion before re-entering in the direction of the existing trend.
Now price is reacting to the resistance zone and rejecting further upside, suggesting potential continuation lower. Ideally if price retests without closing significantly above it and forms bearish price action confirmation, it would provide a high-probability short setup: pin bars or bearish engulfing candlesticks right at retest level would help confirm the signal.
From there, continuation toward the middle of the channel becomes likely. The target projection sits near the 0.57300 level. If price fails to break lower and instead closes above the resistance zone, the setup becomes invalid and would indicate potential reversal.
In short, sellers are watching for a break and retest, aiming to ride the move down to target of near 0.57300. The downtrend would be maintained as long as price respects the current resistance and shows more signs of bearish strength.
Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAG/USD (Silver) - Triangle Breakout (09.07.2025)The XAG/USD (Silver) pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 3749
2nd Resistance – 3781
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis
Gold At 3305? That’s Where I Make My Move
The trend is still bullish, but this selloff’s showing signs of exhaustion on the daily.
❌ Not jumping in here — R/R is weak.
✅ I’d rather buy the dip into support at 3300–3305.
🎯 Targeting a clean bounce back to 3340 if we get the setup.
Let’s be patient — the real move is coming
Lingrid | GOLD Shorting Opportunity at Confluence ResistanceOANDA:XAUUSD is approaching the key resistance near 3360 after rebounding from the 3245 support level and breaking out of the downward channel. Price is now testing the upward trendline from below, intersecting with the red descending trendline and horizontal resistance. If this confluence zone rejects the rally, a return toward 3305 or lower is likely, forming a potential bearish retest.
📉 Key Levels
Sell zone: 3350–3360
Buy trigger: breakout above 3360 with close above 3375
Target: 3305
Sell trigger: rejection from 3360 and break of 3340
⚠️ Risks
Break and retest of 3360 may invalidate short setup
Volatility around red trendline could trigger fakeouts
Demand near 3305 may cause sharp bounces if sellers stall
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
The importance of trendlines in FOREXIn the world of currencies or FOREX, there are certain entry points that only happen a few times a year , but they’re incredibly powerful . These opportunities come after a trend breaks, a trend that has been touched and confirmed as a support or resistance zone over several years.
Right now, with OANDA:USDCAD , we’re seeing a break and pullback to one of these long-term trends. That makes this a great moment to go short on this pair.
Let me share a couple of examples with USDBRL and USDMXN. In both cases, after similar long-term trends were broken, the price moved strongly in one direction, these are the kinds of moves that can really grow your account.
There are other pairs showing similar breakouts.
Have you spotted them? If not, leave a comment and I’ll share the other pairs with you!
EUR/USD Reversal Ahead? COT + DXY Strength Signal Price has broken below the ascending channel that started in mid-May.
The current candle is rejecting the weekly supply zone (1.17566–1.18319), leaving a significant upper wick.
Daily RSI is losing strength but has not yet reached extreme levels.
A key daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) lies between 1.1600 and 1.1480, with the first potential downside target at 1.14802, which aligns with support and the FVG zone.
A deeper bearish continuation could push price towards 1.1350, but only if the FVG lows are clearly broken.
📊 COT Data (CME - Euro FX & USD Index)
Euro FX
Net long: +15,334
Commercials increased both longs (+13,550) and shorts (+9,913) → mild divergence.
Non-Commercials (speculators) increased shorts (+4,786) more than longs (+1,188) → speculative bias tilting bearish.
USD Index
Strong net long accumulation across all trader types: +4,597 net.
Non-Commercials added +3,590 longs, with only a minor increase in shorts.
→ USD strength continues, reinforcing potential weakness in EUR/USD.
🧠 Retail Sentiment
67% of retail traders are short EUR/USD → typically a contrarian bullish signal.
However, the price is already showing distribution, not accumulation, so we may see price push lower first to trap remaining retail longs, invalidating the contrarian signal in the short term.
📅 Seasonality
July is historically bullish, especially on the 2Y (+0.0142) and 10Y (+0.0106) averages.
However, the 15Y and 20Y averages show a much more moderate performance (+0.007 / +0.0025).
Based on current price action, the seasonal rally may have already played out with the run-up to 1.1830. A correction now seems likely, even if the broader macro remains supportive mid-term.
🧩 Conclusion
Despite historically bullish seasonality for July, both price action and COT data indicate distribution with early signs of reversal.
Retail sentiment is too skewed short for a major breakdown just yet, but the technicals support a short-term pullback toward more balanced levels.
USD strength from COT and DXY structure reinforces a corrective short bias for now.
EURUSD is Approaching an Important Support!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.16400 zone, EURUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.16400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.