Public trade #19 - #ACH price analysis ( Alchemy Pay )🍿 Just today, we wrote in a post that we think that #Ethereum and projects related to it will “start” the market, as #Solana and memecoins did before, when the #ACH price decided to start growing.
Of course, it's too late/uncomfortable to buy at the current price of OKX:ACHUSDT , but:
1️⃣ place a buy order in the range of $0.027-0.03 - you can.
2️⃣ or waiting for the price to firmly consolidate above $0.05
3️⃣ just “pencil in” a coin and watch - there is always a choice, isn't there?)
⁉️ Well, when to grow, if not in 2025, after 1.5 years of price decline and 2 years of consolidation.
Purely theoretical:
🟢 Up to $0.15 at least x3 can be taken
🟢 And up to $3.65, only +7200% and then the capitalization will be $18 billion or $36 billion if all the coins will be unlocked) Well, memecoins have already done this)
So, will Alchemy Pay, a project from 2018, have a bright future?
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BTCUSD(H1) SELLING DOWN TO $102500BTCUSD(H1) SELLING DOWN TO $102500
According My Personal Analysis Btcusd Move Around These Areas Chart Price Current 1051OO I Can Expect If Price Break Its Resistance $10700 I And In Short If Break The Support Zone $102500 It Can Further Falls To $100700 key areas
KEY AREAS AS PER MY ANALYSIS
ENTRY POINT $105300
TP1 $103500
TP2 $102500
SL $106700
KEEP FOLLOW LIKE ANS SHARE FOR MORE IDEAS AND ANALYSIS
LTCUSD looking for a break-out to $255.Last time we looked at Litecoin (LTCUSD) was 3.5 months ago (October 10 2024, see chart below) when we gave the most timely buy signal, right before it started the strongest rally of its Bull Cycle yet:
Since however the break-out wasn't as aggressive as we initially expected, we have to downgrade our Target. The sequence in terms of 1W RSI is so far similar to the previous Cycles, it's just that the price hasn't responded as aggressively as then.
As you can see, LTC made the expected 1W RSI peak (December 02 2024) and then as the price started to consolidate, it declined, entering a Channel Down. This is no different that the previous RSI Cycle peaks (Dec 28 2020 and May 01 2017).
The difference is that in 2017 the price responded with a huger continuation rally just shy off the 4.0 Fibonacci extension from the consolidation stage, while in 2020 it 'only' managed to reach the 2.5 Fib.
The current pattern appears to have more in common with 2020/21, so we are downgrading our Target to match the current 2.5 Fib at $255.00. It is not impossible to reach $400 by the end of this Cycle (year) but it is best to pursue it only if you can accept elevated risk.
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Can Bitcoin Rally with Current Positioning? Bitcoin is not a market that I trade as part of the CMR strategy since there is not enough history to back test max crowdedness and what the best look back period to index trader positioning (If you want to learn more about this strategy, we have lots of free videos on YouTube).
With that said, during Bitcoin's entire history on the Futures market (started at end of 2017), it has never been able to rally when Large Speculators were net-long as shown in the chart. In contrast, the last two rallies happened after Large Speculators were extended to the short side.
Something to watch for each week as new COT data is released on Fridays and shows updated positioning data.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Uptrend Within Ascending Channelhello guys!
Bitcoin is currently trading within an ascending channel, showing strong bullish momentum. Price recently bounced off the midline support and is now heading towards the upper boundary.
The expected scenario is a continuation of this trend, with Bitcoin pushing toward the resistance zone near 106,400. A break above this level could signal further upside movement.
EURUSD: Waiting ECB Rate Cut and US GDP DataEURUSD: Waiting ECB Rate Cut and US GDP Data
Today, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points.
The rate on the Deposit Facility is projected to decrease from 3% to 2.75%, and the rate on Main Refinancing Operations is anticipated to drop from 3.15% to 2.9%.
This expected rate cut may create a slight bearish momentum across all EURO pairs.
Additionally, the US GDP data will be released today, and the market is anticipating positive results. This combination could trigger a slight bearish sell-off for EURUSD.
However, it remains a risky trade, as it is heavily influenced by these news events.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Will this stock skyrocket 500x to $700?Talk of the moment is tariffs and the impact they’ll have on business and individuals. Generally, nothing good. A zero sum game in WW opinion.
For a future preview, see Brexit for details. American citizens have chosen to impose economic sanctions upon themselves just like Brexit voters. As a result importers will be required increase their paperwork, add fees to raw materials prior to entering the country, impose checks and pass those costs onto the consumer. A consumer that is already weighted down on auto debt.
Ignoring the long term economic impacts one should appreciate the internal demand pressures from manufacturers now needed to replace expensive imports.
In my opinion a number of businesses now exist to reap this demand. The smaller the better.
“American Battery Technology” is one such business that stands to benefit from the surge in EV growth in the US. In particular on the topic of recycling. As tariffs take hold on the imports of raw material the recycling of old becomes an increasingly attractive alternative source.
The TA:
On the above 5 week chart price action has seen a 98% correction since January 2021. A number of reasons now exist for a bullish outlook, they include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Regular bullish divergence, settings used the same as January 2020 impulsive wave.
3) Support on past resistance, look left.
4) No share splits since 2004, excellent.
5) Short interest 9%, after a recent 70% correction?!
6) The bull flag, should it confirm, forecasts a 50,000% move or 500x to $700 area by December 2026. That’s a market capital of $60b for the industry of car battery recycling. Still small potatoes.
Is it possible price action continues to correct? Sure. Sellers, they love it.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: Investment
Risk: You decide
Timeframe for long entry: Now
Stop loss: will say elsewhere
Return: Lambo’s all round
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day TradersAll right today is the day after FOMC and some big earnings and because we had big earnings yesterday we have a pretty wide trading range today so just because we are options are we could have a more volatile day
The expected move on today’s contract is between 596 and 608. We did close underneath 35EMA and we have a red signal line.
If we get about the 35 EMA today which future so far are taking us above, we do have a down gap from yesterday and then a down gap from Monday that we haven’t completely filled yet. We also have an up gap from last Wednesday and they do overlap. It’s a little bit hard to see but right around 603 is the overlap .
To the downside, we have the 50 day moving average so far that has been our support this week. You could see on Monday. We did see that balance and underneath that the 30 minute two and removing average and the one hour 200 moving average those levels have been supporting us With some nice technical bounces
EUR/USD short: The Man has spokenHello traders
Yes, Chair Powell, has spoken. The FOMC is not in any hurry to cut rates.
He also refused to comment on the promised Trump tariffs since there is no data reflecting that.
The next rate cut is now projected by CME Fedwatch (Federal Funds Futures) not to happen until the June 18th FOMC meeting.
Ms. Christine Lagarde is our next speaker after the ECB rate decision and while it will be prudent to wait until she has explained the ECB stance on future rate decisions, I believe the writing is on the wall for further EUR/USD decline.
The charts reflect the important support and resistance levels.
My previous Idea also expands on where we are heading.
Lingrid | GOLD complex PULLBACK in Trending MARKETAs I mentioned yesterday, the price has completed an ABCD pullback towards the daily low. The market made a fake breakout of Thursday's low before bouncing off the support level. Given that the market made a complex pullback, there is a chance it may have entered a consolidation phase in anticipation of the upcoming FED rate cut decision. Looking back at the period from November 1 to 5, we can observe a similar pattern where the price moved sideways between 2730 and 2750 before dropping ahead of the Fed's decision. However, considering the current bullish momentum, I believe the market may push higher and potentially test the 2800 level this week. My goal is resistance zone around 2770
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Price Drop Expected Before Reaching Final Target of $1.36Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Cardano 💡
Prior to any significant price increase, Cardano is expected to undergo a retracement towards a target I have marked on the chart, which aligns with a well-established support level that has held strong over the past several months. This level is key for validating the current trend and ensuring a stable foundation for future upward momentum. Once this support is confirmed, there is a high probability of a price surge of at least 40%. The potential for this rally is further supported by the overall market structure and technical indicators. The final target for this upward move is clearly indicated on the chart, offering a well-defined roadmap for the next stages of price action. With these conditions in place, a measured and calculated approach seems prudent.📚🎇
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
Cardano is likely to drop to a key support level I’ve marked on the chart, which has held for several months. Once this support is confirmed, we could see a 40% price increase, with the final target clearly outlined.
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
A Bullish Pattern is Emerging in GOLD (XAUUSD).Gold is forming an ascending triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart, signaling bullish accumulation.
To confirm the continuation of the uptrend, watch the pattern's neckline closely.
A breakout and close above 2772 would validate bullish dominance, with a potential target of 2788.
$SPY January 30, 2025AMEX:SPY January 30, 2025
15 Minutes.
We had AMEX:SPY between 604 and 599. But no trade as setup was difficult.
We have too many long bars inside the box.
Foe the fall 610.78 to 594.93 AMEX:SPY is between 599 and 605 which represents23.6% and 61.8% retracements.
So, sell is below 598 and buy above 606 only.
For the day for the fall 605.38 to 599.22 604.5 need to cross for a target 606-607 levels.
If the box breaks on either side, we should get a 4 to 5 $ move.
Aave (AAVE): First Target Reached, Possible Fill of FVGsAfter reaching the first target on our previous chart, we are now seeing some kind of recovery happening, which could send price back up towards the EMAs and slightly above to fill a few FVGs that have been left there.
Once we see a smaller recovery here, we will be looking for further pressure from sellers, so let's see and wait if we get any confirmations on weakening; if not, then we will head to the upper resistance zone!
Swallow Team
Learn Supply and Demand Basics in Gold XAAUSD Trading
In this article, we will discuss the basic principles of Smart Money Concepts in Gold trading.
I will explain to you how Gold price relates to supply and demand on the market. What is a fair value and how to identify it.
We will discuss a relation between a fair value and supply and demand and why is it so important to learn to recognize the imbalance.
Gold Price
First, let's briefly discuss how the price of Gold is valued .
Gold price is determined by the basic economic principles of supply and demand.
Supply is defined by the actions of the sellers and selling volumes.
While a demand is defined by the activity of buyers and the volumes they wish to purchase.
When supply exceeds demand, it leads to a decline in prices.
Increased selling pressure leads to lower prices as sellers compete to attract buyers.
Above, you can see how the excess of demand pushes Gold prices up rapidly.
When demand exceeds supply, we see an increase in the price of the financial asset.
In the example above, you can see how the excess of supply leads to a depreciation of a Gold price.
Imbalance & Fair Value
The excess of supply or demand on the market is also called an imbalance in Smart Money Concept trading SMC.
The imbalance causes strong bullish or bearish movement on the market.
However, such moves do not last forever.
At some moment, reaching a particular price level, the market will stop growing or falling, and the market will find the equilibrium in supply and demand.
Such an equilibrium is also called a fair value in SMC trading.
On the chart above, Gold was growing rapidly. After reaching some price level, the growth stopped and the market found a fair value.
Supply finally absorbed the excess of demand.
Sideways Movement & Range
When the market finds a fair value, it usually starts trading in sideways . The sideways movement forms a horizontal range - a horizontal parallel channel.
Such ranges signify that the market participants agree about a current price of an asset.
Above, you can see that after a strong up movement, Gold found a fair value and a consolidation within a horizontal range started.
Fair Value Range
When you spotted the range, you should remember that the market may stay within that for a very long period of time.
The trigger that will make the market reassess the fair value is typically a some important fundamental factor, the surprising geopolitical or economic event that will create a new imbalance on the market.
A strong signal that the market strives to find a new fair value is the breakout of one of the boundaries of the range. It is a signal of a violation of a current fair value.
You can see that Gold found a fair value and was stuck for quite a long period within a wide horizontal range. Then, because of the release of significant US fundamental news, an imbalance occurred. Fair value range was violated, and the price found a new fair value higher.
Trading Tips
When the imbalance on the market occurs and it violates the fair value, the price tends to find a new fair value around significant liquidity zones.
That is why it is so critical to pay attention to them.
Also, the laws of supply and demand, imbalance and fair value work on any time frame and can be applied for any trading style.
Learn to perceive a price chart from a Supply and Demand perspective in order to master Smart Money Concept trading strategy.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Long, in the discount this can go very highLong, in the discount, this can go very high.
I was just reading a bit about it and its amazing what this thing is doing.
It's AI agent, do your own research. Not financial advice
you are welcome to comment with your thoughts and share your charts or questions below, I like any constructive discussion.
What is CLS?
This company is trading for the biggest investment banks and central banks. They trade over 6.5 trillion daily volume. They are smart money of the all markets.
CLS operates in the specific times which will give you huge advantage and precisions to you entries. Focus on that. Its accuracy is amazing.
Good luck and I hope this educational post helps to become better trader
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
Dave FX Hunter ⚔
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of Fed rate meetingFX:XAUUSD is recovering ahead of Fed rates and Powell's speech. The price is consolidating as traders are not ready for premature action. What could happen?
Gold is holding near $2,770 in Asian trading in anticipation of Wednesday's Fed decision. Investors are cautious as the regulator may pause rate cuts and give hints on future policy. Markets expect two 25bp cuts this year, but Powell's rhetoric will determine the way forward.
Factors supporting gold: dollar correction, risk stabilization and holiday season in Asia. However, Trump's trade policy may increase inflation, forcing the Fed to keep high rates longer, which is negative for gold.
But! Further movement depends solely on Powell's rhetoric.
Resistance levels: 2765, 2771
Support levels: 2759, 2745
Technically, after breaking the bullish structure and updating the lows, the price is recovering in search of resistance and liquidity to continue the probable decline. But it depends on economic data. Possible false break of 2771 resistance before further decline.
Regards R. Linda!
ONDOUSDT → Resistance Breakthrough. Ready for the raceBINANCE:ONDOUSDT.P continues to hold an uptrend with cyclical counter-trend corrections. The chart is showing signs of an end to the correction and a readiness to go up
A rather large consolidation has been formed against the background of the main uptrend. Regarding this, the price is trying to go up, breaking the resistance of consolidation (triangle) and overcoming the next obstacle in the form of key resistance at 1.538. The emphasis is on this level. If the bulls manage to keep the defense above 1.538 support, ONDO may show a recovery to 1.7 - 1.9 - 2.15 in the short to medium term.
Support levels: 1.538, 1.44
Resistance levels: 1.7344, 1.90
A small pullback to support and formation of a false breakdown is possible, but price consolidation above the level will be a confirmation of readiness to go up. Targets are marked on the chart!
Regards R. Linda!