Community ideas
NZD-USD Growth Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD is falling down
But the pair is locally
Oversold and as we are
About to see a horizontal
Support retest soon
Around 0.5500 level we
Will be expecting a
Swing bullish correction
Buy!
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GBPCHF SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs 30
Entry at Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Weekly
Weekly EMA retest
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Round Psych Level 1.13000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 8.81
Entry 120%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
SILVER BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on SILVER right now from the resistance line above with the target of 29.057 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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EURUSD LONGTERM VIEWHello fellow traders, lets see this fish catch the highest view on FX:EURUSD this idea base on fibs 2.31. the rally point reached but this low might test for only few Pips for to clear.
This is only my view. For longterm traders or swings. this might help you. lets see how this year end and the starting of 2025. Im expecting 6 months of this idea to works.
Follow for more. if this breaks the rally point then this idea invalid.
I will update once the lows being broken or the price can reach 1.02250 or break this price point.
This is not a financial advice.
Follow for more Longterm view or swing trades.
Trade against the market or trade against the most retail know.
See you next year.
This will be my Last post for this year.
Other pairs will be updated next year 2025.
Have a happy Christmas and New Year ahead.
ciaoooooo..
Bears showing up !? 🚨 Bitcoin Bears Tighten Their Grip: What’s Next for the King of Crypto? 🚨
CRYPTOCAP:BTC
The bears are back in full force, and Bitcoin is under pressure. Recent price drops have rattled the market, leaving traders wondering: what lies ahead for the world’s leading cryptocurrency?
🔍 Key Observations:
Bearish Momentum: Bitcoin's recent performance signals a growing bearish sentiment among traders.
Market Dynamics: Global economic uncertainty, interest rate speculation, and ongoing regulatory debates are adding weight to BTC's shoulders.
Support Levels: Bitcoin is teetering on key support zones—will it hold firm, or are deeper corrections imminent?
💡 How to Navigate This Market:
1️⃣ Stay Informed: Keep a close eye on critical price levels and market updates.
2️⃣ Risk Management: Diversify your portfolio and set stop-loss orders to safeguard your investments.
3️⃣ Long-Term Perspective: Remember, Bitcoin has endured—and bounced back from—similar downturns in the past.
The crypto market thrives on resilience. Is this dip a golden buying opportunity, or will the bears take full control?
💬 Drop your predictions and strategies in the comments below!
Reversal Entry from Key FVG and Fibonacci ConfluenceThis looks like a good zone to enter from for the larger timeframe trend.
The price is currently in a strong zone for multiple reasons, with the FVG aligning well with key Fibonacci levels.
Additionally, the $30 price level appears to be a strong support zone to build from.
AUDUSD: Price at Extreme Zone – Awaiting ReactionWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** AUDUSD Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Market Analysis: Crude Oil Price Faces HurdlesMarket Analysis: Crude Oil Price Faces Hurdles
Crude oil prices are now struggling to clear the $70.00 and $70.50 resistance levels.
Important Takeaways for Oil Prices Analysis Today
- Crude oil prices extended downsides below the $70.00 support zone.
- A major bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $70.00 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price struggled to continue higher above $70.50 against the US Dollar. The price formed a short-term top and started a fresh decline below $70.00.
There was a steady decline below the $69.40 pivot level. The bears even pushed the price below $69.00 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the price tested the $68.35 zone. The recent swing low was formed near $68.36, and the price is now correcting losses.
There was a minor move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $70.50 swing high to the $68.36 low. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $70.00 level.
There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $70.00. The trend line is close to the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $70.50 swing high to the $68.36 low.
The next resistance is near the $70.50 level. The main resistance is near a trend line at $70.90. A clear move above the $70.90 zone could send the price toward $72.00. The next key resistance is near $72.50. If the price climbs further higher, it could face resistance near $74.20. Any more gains might send the price toward the $75.00 level.
Immediate support is near the $69.40 level. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near $68.85. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $68.35. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $66.00 support zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
IO Weekly Technicals Review [2024/51]: Bearish Trend StrengthensSGX TSI Iron Ore CFR China (62% Fe Fines) Index Futures (“SGX IO Futures”) fell last week, closing USD 3.82/ton lower by 20/Dec (Fri).
SGX IO Futures opened at USD 104.45/ton on 16/Dec (Mon) and closed at USD 100.63/ton on 20/Dec (Fri).
Prices briefly touched a weekly high of USD 105.80/ton on 17/Dec (Tue) and a low of USD 99.80/ton on 20/Dec (Fri). It traded in a range of USD 6/ton during the week, which was wider than the prior week.
Prices tested the pivot point of USD 104.60/ton at the start of the week and closed below the S1 point of USD 101.85/ton.
Volume peaked on 19/Dec (Thu), as iron ore prices declined by 0.9%, as the PBoC kept its loan prime rates unchanged.
Iron Ore Fundamentals in Summary
Iron ore prices declined for the week ending 20/Dec, following the PBoC's decision to keep loan prime rates unchanged on 19/Dec.
Earlier optimism over China’s 2025 monetary policy easing plans faded after the rate pause dampened market sentiment.
Australia’s Department of Industry, Science and Resources said in a quarterly outlook that iron ore prices will average USD 80/ton in 2025 and then drop to USD 76/ton in 2026.
With the US dollar touching a two-year high, Iron Ore prices are turning bearish with markets awaiting China’s next move to support its economy.
China's port iron ore stockpiles inched up 0.01% to 145.85 million tons in the week ending 20/Dec, according to MMI data .
Based on seasonality, SGX IO Futures Jan contract traded 18.8% below its last 5-year average (USD 123.99/ton).
Short-Term Moving Averages Indicate Reversal in Bullish Trend
The 9-day moving average crossed the 21-day moving average from above, culminating in a death cross on 20/Dec (Fri). This signals the potential onset of a bearish trend.
Long-Term Averages Signal Potential Beginning of a Bearish Trend
IO prices tested the 200-d SMA at the start of the week but sharply fell, closing below the 100-d SMA by the end of the week. This indicates the beginning of a bearish trend as prices fell below both the long-term moving averages.
MACD Points to Growing Bearishness, RSI Inches Towards Oversold Territory
The MACD indicates a growing bearish sentiment starting from 18/Dec. Meanwhile, the RSI is at 40.60 and is inching towards oversold territory treading below the midpoint, while the RSI-based moving average is at 51.90.
Volatility Inched Down, Price Closed Below 23.6% Fibonacci Level
Volatility declined moderately last week. Prices tested the 50% Fibonacci level at USD 105.4/ton at the start of the week but quickly declined in the week to close below the 23.6% Fibonacci level at USD 100.35/ton. Going forward, the 23.6% Fibonacci level will act as resistance while the 38.2% level at USD 103.15/ton will act as the support.
Selling Pressure Intensified, Price Trading at Low Volume Nodes
Selling pressure continues to dominate and has grown stronger since the start of December, according to the Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) indicator. The price is trading at a relatively low-volume node. Price also closed the week below the lower Bollinger Band.
Iron Ore Prices Likely to Fall in December Despite Seasonality
Iron ore prices generally increase in December due to seasonal patterns that prompt restocking in anticipation of China's Lunar New Year, driven by higher demand for steel production. However, it looks like in December 2024, prices will likely decline.
IO Futures Only Aggregate Exposure
Financial Institutions (FIs) and Managed money are net long with 124.7k and 26.6k lots across all futures expiries. Physical market participants and Others are net short with 110.1k and 41.2k lots across all futures expiries. Overall futures open interest as of 13th Dec 2024 stood at 1,259,936 lots.
Source: SGX
IO Futures & Options Aggregate Exposure
Financial Institutions (FIs) and Managed money are net long with 121.5k and 37.1k lots across all futures & options expiries. Physical market participants and Others are net short with 117.6k and 41k lots across all futures & options expiries. Overall futures & options open interest as of 13th Dec 2024 stood at 1,565,080 lots.
Source: SGX
Historical Futures Aggregate Exposure by Market Participants
Physical participants have switched from net long to net short over the last quarter. Managed Money has shifted from net short to net long. Financial Institutions continue to hold net long positions since the second quarter of this year.
Source: SGX
Hypothetical Trade Setup
Despite expectations of seasonally strong demand ahead of the Lunar New Year, market sentiment for SGX Iron Ore remains bearish. China's sluggish economic recovery suggests a rebound may hinge on monetary policy easing in 2025. Additionally, technical indicators reinforce the bearish outlook, with prices falling below both short- and long-term moving averages. A short position on SGX Iron Ore could be a strategic way to express this view.
We propose a hypothetical trade setup involving selling the SGX Iron Ore January Futures Contract at USD 102/ton, with a stop loss at USD 105/ton and a target price of USD 97/ton, yielding a reward-to-risk ratio of 1.67x. Each contract provides exposure to 100 tons of iron ore, resulting in a potential gain of USD 500/lot ((102 - 97) x 100) against a risk of USD 300/lot. This calculation excludes transaction costs, such as clearing broker and exchange fees. The SGX requires a minimum initial margin of USD 1,188/lot and a maintenance margin of USD 1,080/lot.
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This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
AUDCAD FORECASTTraders we are approaching Christmas day! On these days we normally find that the market is having unusual volatility, most of the times is low volatility and volume in the market. We need to make sure that we are aware of this so that we become carefully when it comes to making decision in the market!
NCPL Storm is brewingNASDAQ:NCPL
Micro float stock with AI and Drone news yet to PR. Cup and handle into demand on the daily chart. Candle closed above ADR. Hourly has bullish divergence and an TSI crossover just like it did before the last time it moved nearly a dollar. Insane targets are 3.71, 7.35, and 13.30.
www.tradingview.com
Prep for next week!You will mess up next week if you don't prep this week!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC 's 1W close determines crypto's short-term trend.
If CRYPTOCAP:BTC closes:
Below S alts will bleed more before the next leg up.
Above S alts will wick down then up heading into 2025.
Avoid trading this, instead set your expectations with it.
Is FUBO setting up for a MASSIVE MOVE UP? 65% UpsideCharturday #1: NYSE:FUBO 📺
Weekly Chart:
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-Wr% trending up from bottoms
-Sitting on Volume Shelf
-Triangle Pattern x2 - Need to breakout...again
Daily Chart:
-Triple Bottom with a liquidity grab below 3rd bottom
-At volume shelf
-At bottom of Wr% and swinging higher
-Need to swing back up to $1.90 breakout area
Targets if we breakout of any of the patterns:
🎯$2.17🎯$2.36🎯$2.52🎯$2.82
I'm in this trade and holding on due to the H5 indicator staying GREEN on the weekly. If you aren't in this trade it's not one worth entering until we have a breakout.
Not financial advice.