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USD/JPY: Tariff Looms, Pressuring Range FloorOn Wednesday, the USD/JPY continued to weaken and further dropped below the 150 mark, which has turned into a strong resistance level (three consecutive upward attacks have stalled here). The new round of weakness is exerting pressure on the 20-day moving average (149.06, where bears have encountered strong resistance in the past two days). This moving average, together with the 50% retracement level (148.87) of the upward move from 146.53 to 151.20, provides good support. Ahead of tonight's tariff decision, the rising risk - averse sentiment continues to shore up the demand for the Japanese yen as a safe - haven asset. If President Trump opts to fully implement the import tariffs, this currency pair is likely to decline more rapidly, which will exacerbate the trade war and further disrupt the already fragile global economic situation. A sustained break below 149.06/148.87 will confirm the end of the corrective phase (146.32/151.20), with downward targets at 148.32 and 147.64 (Fibonacci 61.8% and 76.4% retracement levels respectively). The strong resistance at 150.00 (psychological barrier/10-day moving average) should cap the upside and maintain a bearish bias. However, a valid upward break would reverse the situation. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Short
by JohnGonzalez7
3
Sorry, we should sell gold! Its price is already high enough!Hello, traders Major Resistance: $3,150+ (where price recently formed a weak high). Support Zones: $3,135.69 (Near-term support). $3,059.69 (Stronger support zone). Current Trend Analysis: Price reached a weak high and is now retracing downwards. Expecting a retest of $3,135 - $3,120 before a possible move further down. The dashed purple line ($3,139.50) seems to be a critical level for intraday traders. Potential Trade Setups: Bearish Scenario: If price breaks below $3,135, expect further downside towards $3,120. A break below $3,120 could push gold towards $3,060. Bullish Scenario: If price holds at $3,135 and reverses with bullish confirmation, it could retest $3,150+ again. Fundamental Analysis (Gold - XAU/USD) Dollar Strength (DXY) & Interest Rates: The US Dollar Index (DXY) influences gold prices. If the USD strengthens, gold prices may decline. Recent Fed statements on rate hikes could put pressure on gold. Inflation & Safe-Haven Demand: If inflation remains high, gold could see buying pressure as an inflation hedge. Recent geopolitical risks and banking concerns could increase gold's safe-haven demand. Upcoming Events to Watch: US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Report – Can impact USD and gold. Federal Reserve Speeches – Hawkish or dovish tones will guide gold’s movement.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ram-Karavadra
**"Gold Market Bullish Setup – Potential Breakout Ahead"** here are the key insights: ### **1. Key Support and Resistance Levels** - **Support Level:** Around **3,054** (lower boundary). - **Resistance Level:** Around **3,136** (upper boundary). ### **2. Trading Plan & Potential Breakout** - The chart shows an **ascending trendline**, indicating a **bullish movement** in the market. - The price is approaching a **resistance zone**, suggesting that if a breakout happens, the market may move higher. ### **3. Trading Setup** - **Buy Entry:** If the price **breaks above 3,136**, a **buy trade** can be considered. - **Stop Loss:** Around **3,083** (below key support). - **Take Profit Target:** Next major resistance, around **3,160 - 3,180**. ### **Conclusion** - The current setup appears **bullish**, but confirmation is needed through a **breakout above resistance**. - If the price fails to break the resistance, a **bearish reversal** may occur, pushing the price downward.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartingMarketInsights
FINAL UPDATE ON EUR/USD TRADEEUR/USD 15M - As you can see price has played out perfectly, taking the market higher. This was expected and I am expecting this structure to continue longer term. We can expect price to pullback first. With price now setting a higher timeframe high a pullback is expected as it follows the laws of bullish structure, setting higher highs and higher lows in the market. This trade took profit for + 97 pips. (+ 5%) 5RR A big well done to those of you who stayed involved in this market and those of you who got involved earlier on today from the voice note and screenshot provided. Its important you manage the trades correctly. If you havent taken profit you should look to take profit on the trade and look to re-enter when we have further confirmation of another position. If you have any questions about the trade or the analysis drop me a message or comment below.
Long
by Lukegforex
1
Gold Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels with Target This chart shows gold trading within an ascending channel, with key levels of support and resistance. - Current Price: 3,092.900 - Resistance Zone: Around 3,155 (Target) - Support Zone: Price is testing this area now, potential for a bounce. - Major Support Zone: Below at around 3,040, acting as a secondary buy opportunity. Key Observations: - Rejection at Resistance: Price failed to break higher and is now pulling back. - Potential Bounce: If support holds, price may push back toward 3,155. - Break Below Support:** A deeper retracement to the **major support zone could happen before a stronger buy setup. - First Target:3,155 (Resistance Zone) - Second Target: If momentum continues, next upside levels could be around **3,180–3,200** If the support zone fails and price moves lower: - First Downside Target: 3,040 (Major Support Zone) - Second Downside Target: 3,000 (Psychological Level) The reaction at the support zone will determine the next move. If it holds, we look for buys targeting 3,155. If it breaks, we shift focus to the major support at 3,040.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
How will gold perform after the super rollercoaster market?Gold's 1-hour moving average still shows signs of turning downwards. Although gold bulls have made a strong counterattack, it is also because of the risk-aversion news that stimulated a retaliatory rebound. However, gold continued to fall after rising, and gold began to return to volatility. In the short term, gold is supported near 3100. If gold falls below the support near 3100 again, then gold shorts will still have an advantage in this war. Overall, the impact of today’s non-agricultural data is expected to be dim. What is more important is the stimulation of the news. However, it may be noted that if gold holds the 3100 mark for a long time, then gold is expected to fluctuate upward above 3100. Trading idea: short gold near 3115, stop loss 3125, target 3100 The above is purely a sharing of personal views and does not constitute trading advice. Investments are risky and you are responsible for your profits and losses.
TVC:GOLD
by Fortune-signal
DXY to 80? ...Tariffs the First Domino in a Multi-Year Collapse?This is a pure technical walkthrough of the U.S. Dollar Index—no fluff, no indicators, no fundamentals. Just market structure, smart money, and liquidity concepts. Back on January 14th , I posted about a potential 20%+ drop in the DXY — you can view it here . This video builds on that thesis and walks you through the full technical story from 1986 to today , including accumulation cycles, yearly trap zones, and my long-term target of 80. Am I crazy? Maybe. Let's see if I can convince you to be crazy too 😜 There is a video breakdown above, and a written breakdown below. Here are timestamps if you want to jump around the video: 00:00 – The Case for $80: Not as Crazy as It Sounds 02:30 – The 0.786 Curse: Why the Dollar Keeps Faking Out 06:15 – How Smart Money Really Moves: The 4-Phase Playbook 12:30 – The Trap Is Set: Yearly Highs as Liquidity Bait 20:00 – Inside the Mind of the Market: 2010–2025 Unpacked 25:00 – The Bear Channel No One’s Talking About 36:00 – The First Domino: Is the Dollar’s Slide Just Beginning? 👇 If you're a visual learner, scroll down—each chart tells part of the story. Chart: Monthly View – Three Highs, .786 Retraces, and Trendline Breaks History doesn’t repeat, but it sure rhymes. Each major DXY rally has formed a sequence of three swing highs right after a break of trendline structure. In both instances, price retraced to the .786 level on the yearly closes—an often overlooked fib level that institutional players respect. We’re now sitting at a high again. You’ll notice price has already reversed from that zone. That doesn’t guarantee a collapse, but when we line it up with other confluences (next charts), the probability of a deeper markdown becomes hard to ignore. I'd also like to note that all of the highlighted moves, are 2-3 year trend runs. Which means if we are bearish, this could be the exact start of a 2-3 bear market. Market Phases Since 1986 This chart illustrates how DXY has moved through repeating cycles of: 🟡 Accumulation: Smart money building positions quietly. 🔵 Markup: Price accelerates with buy orders + media hype. 🟣 Distribution: Smart money sells to latecomers. 🔴 Markdown: Public panic → smart money reloads. If we are indeed entering another markdown phase, this would align perfectly with the pattern seen over the past 40 years. You’ll also notice the "Point of Control" (POC) zones—volume-based magnets that price often returns to. These spots often act as the origin of the move, and as such, they make for strong targets and areas of interest. Liquidity Zones and Stop Loss Traps This is where it gets juicy. The majority of breakout traders placed long entries at the blue lines—above swing highs, thinking resistance was broken. But what’s under those highs? Stop loss clusters. Institutions use these areas as liquidity harvests. Several key levels are marked as “OPEN” in this chart, meaning price has yet to return to sweep those orders. That’s why I’m expecting price to begin seeking out that liquidity over the coming months. There's also an imbalance gap (thin price action) around the 85–86 zone. If price falls into that trap door, there’s nothing to stop it until the 80s. The 2025 Outlook Here’s how I’m approaching this year: ✅ Bearish bias under 105 🎯 Targets at 100, 95, and 90 🚪 Trap door under 86 if volume is thin Price is currently stuck under the recent point of control and showing signs of distribution. If that level continues to hold as resistance, we could see a multi-leg push downward, with the 100 and 95 zones acting as check-in points. If we break under the 90s and enter the imbalance zone, 80 becomes more than just possible—it becomes probable. 🗣️ Let’s Sharpen Together Do you see this unfolding the same way? Do you disagree with the 80 target? Drop a comment with your view or share your own markup—this is why we trade! Stay safe, ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer This post is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal analysis and opinions. It is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research, manage your risk appropriately, and never trade money you can’t afford to lose.
ICEUS:DXY
by elevatedinvestor
BTC ANALYSIS (4H)If we look at Bitcoin on hourly timeframes, we expect a rejection from the red zone. However, this rejection must be strong because if it is weak, Bitcoin may not be inclined to correct further or might at least enter a choppy corrective trend. The substructure is also bearish, a trigger line has been lost, and ultimately, we have a bearish iCH on the chart. Closing a 4-hour candle above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
2
What's next? - EMA 9/21: Clearly broken above and now being tested as support - Bollinger Bands: Price touched the upper band — possible overbought condition - Coinbase Premium: +15.56 — rare! Indicates real spot demand - RSI: 66.12 — approaching overbought territory, suggesting momentum is weakening, but not yet at an extreme level ✅ Positives: - The price rally is supported by volume (SPX) - RSI is climbing, but not at extreme levels yet - EMA 9 > EMA 21 — a strong bullish signal - Coinbase Premium turned positive for the first time in hours — a significant shift ⚠️ Warning signs: - SPX is overheated on RSI — potential short-term profit-taking or pullback ahead - Price is above the upper Bollinger Band — often followed by a correction - ETH hasn't caught up with the momentum — potential divergence risk We’re currently seeing a genuine momentum, not just manipulation — but it’s already entering a potential profit-taking or pause zone. If the next candle prints a long upper wick and volume drops, a pullback is likely.
by RobertAIss
Golden Horizons on the PrecipiceGold on the Brink of a Downturn: A Shift in Market Sentiment Gold, once a shining symbol of financial security and prosperity, now finds itself on the cusp of a significant bearish turn. The precious metal, which has long been a safe haven for investors during times of economic uncertainty, is entering a new phase that could see its value dwindle in the face of shifting global financial conditions. The Russian central bank, historically one of the major players in the gold market, is currently at the forefront of this market retreat. By liquidating a significant portion of its gold reserves, Russia is not just participating in the market shift, but may be sending a signal to other nations and financial institutions. Their decision to sell is not an isolated move; it could well be the beginning of a broader trend. As the Russian central bank offloads its holdings, it's highly probable that other central banks, which have long viewed gold as an essential asset for economic stability, may soon follow suit. These institutions, often holding vast quantities of the precious metal, could begin liquidating their reserves in an effort to take advantage of the currently elevated prices. The global economic landscape is constantly in flux, and with many countries facing mounting fiscal pressures, the temptation to cash in on gold's recent price surge could become too great to resist. Hedge funds and private investors, always looking for opportunities to capitalize on price movements, may also jump on the bandwagon. They have the flexibility and agility to react swiftly to market shifts, and with a growing consensus that gold may have reached its peak, it would not be surprising if they decide to sell off their positions in the metal. With such a large portion of the market potentially pulling away from gold, the selling pressure could intensify, leading to a sharp drop in prices. If this trend gains momentum, we could witness a rapid and dramatic decline in gold’s value. The metal, which has been the go-to asset for many investors during times of economic uncertainty, could soon lose its appeal as a safe haven. The factors driving this potential downturn are multifaceted, ranging from shifting monetary policies and global inflationary pressures to geopolitical tensions and central bank strategies. The impact of this market shift could be far-reaching. Not only would it affect the price of gold, but it could also send shockwaves through the broader commodities and financial markets. If the sell-off gathers pace, it could have a cascading effect, causing investors to rethink their positions in other assets traditionally viewed as safe havens, such as silver or even government bonds. The question on many investors’ minds is whether this bearish trend is a temporary correction or the beginning of a longer-term downturn. Only time will tell, but one thing is certain: the dynamics of the gold market are shifting, and the once steady climb of the metal may now be facing a downward spiral. For those who are closely following the market, it is essential to stay updated on the latest developments. A deeper analysis of the factors driving this potential gold sell-off and the broader market implications can offer valuable insights into the direction of this volatile asset. As we continue to monitor the situation, I encourage you to stay informed and consider how these developments could impact your own investments. While gold may still hold value in the eyes of many, its future trajectory is now uncertain, and the risk of significant price fluctuations looms large. Thank you for your attention, and I wish you the best of luck navigating these turbulent financial waters!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by lonelyPlayer0
Dogecoin - You Should Not Be Afraid!Dogecoin ( CRYPTO:DOGEUSD ) could reverse right now: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Four months ago Dogecoin perfectly retested the previous all time high and is now creating the anticipated bearish rejection. However during every bullish cycle we saw a correction of at least -60%, which was followed by a parabolic rally, so there is no reason to be worried at all. Levels to watch: $0.2, $0.5 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:DOGEUSDLong
by basictradingtv
43