Gold Trapping both Buyers and Seller
Gold Trapping Both buyer and sellers . As i mentioned yesterday this is the sign of early consolidation on daily Time frame. Not perfectly rejecting & respecting both Bullish and Bearish Arrays. Stay out of gold till either side of clear price action. Above bearish Rejection or Below Bullish Rejection is the perfect area to ride on trade.
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US$ Index and the Elliott Wave PrinciplesWe are on the last 'leg' of an impulse move that should contain 5 Waves and is marked in Red. After Wave 1(Red) completed, we witnessed a Zigzag correction for Wave 2(Red). This means we should expect a Flat correction for Wave 4(Red). Wave 3(Red) is extended to the 361.8% Fib. level and this is very normal for both impulse and corrective waves. When Wave 3 (Red) is complete, a shallow correction appears and this is the first wave of the Flat correction. This is marked in Green. Wave B(Green) reaches the 423.6% Fib. level(which is normal) and in doing so extends beyond the end of wave 3(Red), which is also according to the rules of a Flat correction. At the 423.6% Fib. level, this level is also 100% of the inner zigzag from points A to B(Green). At this area we see a retest and confirmation take place, which marks the end of Wave B(Green) and the start of Wave C(Green) which is also Wave 4(Red).
Time for a short? As you can see, after the price dropped, it made a retracement close to the 0.78 Fibonacci level, and then the market reacted with another downward move.
At the same time, a triangle pattern—or whatever you’d call it—has also formed, which is often considered a continuation pattern, especially in a downtrend. So, there’s a chance the price could drop further.
Personally, I entered a short position at 0.121$, with my take-profit set at 0.8$.
BTCUSD Breakout Confirmed – Targeting Next Reversal ZoneBitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently trading around $108,700, showing strong bullish momentum after breaking out of a consolidation structure. Price action has shifted significantly, with clear structural developments pointing toward continued upside — but not without caution around the next reversal zone.
🔍 Key Technical Insights:
🔹 1. Volume Contraction Triangle (Bullish Breakout)
The chart initially shows a volume contraction pattern forming a symmetrical triangle.
This pattern is often associated with market compression — a setup where smart money accumulates before a breakout.
BTC broke out of the triangle with strong bullish candles, confirming buyers have stepped in with conviction.
🔄 2. Structure Shift & Break of Structure (BOS)
A major BOS (Break of Structure) occurred as price broke previous swing highs, confirming a bullish market structure.
This BOS zone now acts as a potential support area if BTC pulls back.
A short-term SR interchange zone (Support becomes Resistance) was also respected and flipped again to support during the breakout — a clear sign of structural strength.
🧭 3. Next Reversal Zone – Supply in Sight
Price is approaching a major supply/reversal zone between $109,750 and $110,250.
This zone has previously shown strong selling interest.
Traders should watch for rejection or continuation patterns within this zone — such as bearish divergence, exhaustion candles, or confirmation of resistance.
🛡 4. Major Support Level
Below current price, a major support zone around $107,500–$107,800 remains intact.
This zone has provided a solid base during past consolidations and would be the first area of interest for buyers if a retracement occurs.
📌 Strategy Plan:
🔼 For Bullish Traders:
Those already in the breakout can hold with targets toward $110,000–$110,250.
If not in yet, wait for a retest of BOS/SR zone (~$109,000) for a safer re-entry.
Consider partial take-profits within the green reversal zone.
🔽 For Bearish Traders:
Watch for price exhaustion or a fake breakout in the reversal zone.
Potential short setups could form only if price fails to hold above the BOS zone and prints a lower high.
🔧 Technical Summary:
✅ Structure: Bullish Break of Structure confirmed
🔺 Momentum: Strong upside following volume contraction
📍 Next Key Resistance: $110,000–$110,250
📉 Major Support: $107,500–$107,800
⚠️ Caution Zone: Reversal area ahead – watch price action closely
Conclusion :
Bitcoin looks set to challenge the $110K psychological level as buyers remain in control. However, the reversal zone above is critical. A clean break and hold above it could open doors to further highs, while rejection here may trigger short-term pullbacks or range-bound conditions.
BSE - BUY THE FEAR, SELL THE GREED !"Buy the fear, sell on greed" is an investment strategy that means you should buy assets when most investors are scared and selling (during periods of fear), and sell those assets when most investors are excited and buying (during periods of greed).
Why does this work?
⦁ When fear dominates the market, prices often drop below their true value because people panic and sell at low prices. This creates opportunities for disciplined investors to buy quality assets at a discount.
⦁ When greed takes over, prices often rise above their real worth because people are eager to buy, hoping for quick gains. This is usually a good time to sell, as the risk of a downturn increases.
How do emotions affect markets?
⦁ Fear leads to panic selling, causing prices to fall further and often locking in losses for those who sell at the bottom.
⦁ Greed leads to speculative buying, driving prices higher and sometimes creating bubbles that eventually burst.
Why is it hard to follow?
⦁ While the idea is simple, it is emotionally difficult to buy when everyone else is pessimistic and selling, or to sell when everyone else is optimistic and buying. Most people act on emotion rather than logic, which is why few consistently succeed with this approach.
Practical example:
During a market crash, negative news and panic cause many to sell at low prices. A disciplined investor who buys during this fear can benefit when the market recovers. Conversely, when markets are booming and everyone is rushing to buy, selling at this point can help lock in gains before a potential correction.
Key takeaway:
This strategy is about removing emotion from investing decisions and taking a contrarian approach—buying when others are fearful and selling when others are greedy—rather than following the crowd. This approach has been used by successful investors like Warren Buffett to achieve long-term success by focusing on value and maintaining emotional discipline.
Brace Yourselves: EURAUD’s Harmonic Storm Is Coming!Good morning, Traders ☀️
I've identified a bullish harmonic Bat pattern on the EURAUD pair.
At this stage, I'm only anticipating a reactional buy from the marked zone.
I'll determine my target level after observing the market's response from that area.
📌 I’ll be sharing the target details under this post once the reaction unfolds.
Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently.
Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏
QuantumScape ($QS) – VolanX SMC Activation Zone🔍 Technical Context
QuantumScape is setting up for a potential bullish breakout after consolidating within a descending wedge and maintaining structure above the golden Fibonacci pocket (0.5–0.618 zone). Smart Money Concepts (CHoCH + BOS) have been triggered, indicating the start of institutional positioning. Volume has compressed, often a prelude to explosive movement.
📊 VolanX Probability Matrix
🎯 Probability of Bullish Continuation (Target $8.47): 70–75%
📉 Probability of Failure (Drop to $6.43 or lower): 25–30%
🧠 Key Levels & Confluences:
Entry Zone: Break & close above red trendline ($6.85+)
Premium Target: $7.65–7.70 (Liquidity Zone)
Final Target: $8.47 (Fib 2.0 Extension)
Stop-Loss Invalidation: Below $6.43 (structural break)
SMC Zones: Liquidity void + breaker retest + CHoCH confirmation
📈 Risk-Reward Setup:
RRR ≈ 3.8x, with structural confluence across Fib, volume, and SMC
💡 “We don’t just trade the chart — we activate the timeline.” – VolanX Protocol
🔐 This post is part of WaverVanir International LLC’s multi-asset DSS framework.
#SMC #QuantumScape #VolanX #WaverVanir #Fibonacci #SmartMoneyConcepts #OptionsFlow #LiquidityZones #Breakout #TradingStrategy #RiskReward #TechnicalAnalysis
Crude oil shock trend direction
💡Message Strategy
During the European trading session on Monday, the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange recovered the previous losses and rebounded to around $67.50 per barrel. Although OPEC+ confirmed that the increase in oil production in August will be higher than expected, oil prices still rebounded.
From the daily chart level, the medium-term trend of crude oil fluctuated upward and tested around 78. The K-line closed with a large real negative line, which has not yet destroyed the moving average system and is still supported. The medium-term objective upward trend remains unchanged. However, from the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator crosses downward above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is weakening. It is expected that the medium-term trend of crude oil will fall into a high-level oscillating upward pattern.
📊Technical aspects
The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil failed to continue to hit a new low and showed a rebound rhythm. The oil price crossed the moving average system, and the short-term objective trend entered a transition period. From the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator crossed the zero axis, and the red column indicated that the bullish momentum was sufficient. At present, the price is running in a wide range, with a range of 65.50-67.80. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will repeatedly test the upper edge of the range within the range.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:67.00-67.50,SL:65.50,Target:70.00
DXY LOCAL SHORT|
✅DXY is about to retest a key structure level of 98.000
Which implies a high likelihood of a move down
As some market participants will be taking profit from long positions
While others will find this price level to be good for selling
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bullish rise?USD/CAD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3660
Why we like it:
There is a a pullback support.
Stop loss: 1.3618
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Take profit: 1.3780
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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ETH Long Swing Setup – Sideways Hold with Dip-Buy OpportunityETH continues to hold above the key $2,300 support, showing resilience and consolidating within range. We’re watching for one more dip into the $2,300–$2,375 zone to trigger a long entry, with momentum building for a potential breakout.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $2,300 – $2,375
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $2,900 – $3,000
o 🥈 $3,300 – $3,400
o 🥉 $4,000 – $4,200
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $2,000
Gold is bullish and needs more momentum at 3320The buying pressure in the US session pushed the price up and formed a bullish hammer candle on D1. Today's bearish recovery is seen as a buying opportunity to head towards the uptrend again.
3344 is the immediate resistance zone in the European session that Gold faces. Breaking this resistance zone will head towards 3365. According to the wave structure, it would be great to have a retest of 3320 to find some buying momentum and then break 3344.
SUPPORT: 3320-3297
RESISTANCE: 3345-3352-3365
SELL Trigger: Break 3320 ( Trendline & break zone)
Do you have any comments on the trading plan? I would love to hear your views.
$HIMS | Cup & Handle Setup FormingA classic cup & handle setup is building on the 4H chart.
Price just broke out of a falling channel (handle), and is now testing a key breakout zone between $48–$53. A daily close above $54–$55 with volume would confirm continuation.
I’ve mapped out three potential price targets ($73.88, $99.17, $145.34) based on the depth of the cup and Fibonacci extensions.
Watching:
RSI trending higher
Bullish trend intact via 8/21 EMA
Sub-$40 = pattern invalidation
Breakout + volume = go time. Watching closely this week.