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Market Outlook – April 4, 2025Hey everyone, just sharing my thoughts on the current market situation based on recent developments and upcoming events. 1. Tariff Announcement Shockwave Yesterday's announcement from former President Trump regarding significant import tariffs has already triggered strong market reactions. We saw a sharp drop in SPX and related assets , with nearly 30% lost at one point. This kind of aggressive protectionist policy adds heavy pressure to an already fragile market. 2. Upcoming NFP and Unemployment Data We’re now awaiting today’s Non-Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate data (12:30 UTC). - Forecast: NFP at 135k (vs. previous 151k) - Unemployment Rate: 4.1% (same as previous) If these come in weaker than forecast, this may confirm slowing economic conditions, increasing downside pressure. 3. Powell’s Speech Later Today At 15:25 UTC, Fed Chair Powell is set to speak. This could be a major turning point , depending on whether he addresses the tariff situation or hints at monetary policy support. If he avoids the topic or stays hawkish, we could see more selling ahead. 4. What I’m Watching - SPX approaching resistance at 0.508–0.510 with decreasing momentum (look at RSI divergence). - Coinbase Premium remains negative overall, indicating cautious institutional sentiment . - Volumes have picked up, which might suggest distribution rather than healthy accumulation . Conclusion: Personally, I remain cautious . This recent rise could be a bull trap , especially ahead of such high-impact events. Unless the data surprises to the upside and Powell offers dovish signals, I’m expecting increased volatility and possibly more downside. Stay sharp, protect your capital.
by RobertAIss
Will the price of gold continue to rise today?At the 4-hour level, the current market is shrinking and oscillating at a high level. The K-line is running above the middle track, and the oscillating and strong trend is maintained above the middle track. Focus on the 3100 support break. Only when it breaks below 3100 will the downward space be opened. There can be more below 3080-3060, and only above 3135 can further hit a new high. Before the data, continue to see range oscillation, small range 3110-3135, large range 3100-3150, short-term can be in the small range of high and low fast in and out. I will give orders online in real time after the data is released.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by PageEvan
XAUUSD:Wait for Nonfarm Payrolls to boost upward trendOn Thursday, the price of gold plummeted by $110 initially. Subsequently, it rebounded from $3,054 to $3,135, surging by nearly $80. This was a typical market scenario of a double whammy for both bulls and bears in a washout. Whether it was those who chased long positions at high levels or those who chased short positions expecting a pullback, they all suffered losses. The level of $3,054 witnessed a perfect conversion from a top to a bottom. Today, when it comes to the resistance levels of gold, there are two key positions to focus on. One is the morning's high point at $3,120, and the other is the high point of the pullback at $3,135. As for the support levels below, we should pay attention to $3,080 and $3,065. There will be a market movement influenced by the Nonfarm Payrolls data tonight. It is expected that before the release of the data, the price will fluctuate within a range above and below $3,100, which serves as the demarcation line. When the price surges, look for a pullback towards $3,100; when it dips, look for a rebound towards $3,100. It is recommended to mainly take long positions at low levels. Tonight, we need to pay attention to whether the Nonfarm Payrolls data will help gold prices rise again. Here, I would like to caution all traders once again to protect their accounts. Wait until the washout of both bullish and bearish forces is over before resuming trading! Trading Strategy: buy@3080 TP:3110 Sell@3135 TP:3100 Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LeoBlackwood
The bearish trend is just beginning: Short Gold!Good morning, bros! With the gold price falling by LSE:100H yesterday, there is no doubt that the market is currently dominated by bears! As the gold high gradually moves down, it is difficult to hold even 3100, further weakening the bullish momentum and exacerbating panic selling to a certain extent! Obviously, as gold completes the regional conversion, the previous support has been transformed into an important resistance area in the short term, and the short-term resistance effect of the 3115-3125 zone is very obvious; and the current area near 3090 does not play a structural support role, so the area near 3090 is easy to be broken, and the short-term support below is in the 3075-3065 zone. So in terms of short-term trading, before the NFP market, we can still short gold with the resistance of the 3115-3125 zone, with the first target pointing to the 3075-3065 zone, followed by the 3055-3045 zone. The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
XAUUSD 15M Analysis: A Potential Reversal for Gold Prior to NFPGold (XAUUSD) is approaching a key demand zone, which could offer a potential buying opportunity. Here’s a breakdown of my analysis and trade expectations: 1️⃣ Market Structure & Trend Analysis • Price is currently in a short-term downtrend, creating lower highs and lower lows. • However, a Monitor Buy Zone has been identified, where price previously found strong support and liquidity. • A reaction from this level could trigger a bullish reversal. 2️⃣ Expected Price Movements • Bullish Scenario: If price reaches the Monitor Buy Zone (3,067 - 3,047) and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., wicks, engulfing candles), we could see a rebound toward 3,095 - 3,100 as the first target. • Bearish Scenario: If price breaks below the 3,047 support level with strong bearish momentum, it could invalidate the buy setup and push lower toward new demand levels. 3️⃣ Key Levels to Watch • Resistance Levels: • 3,095 - 3,100: Initial target zone for a bounce. • 3,120: Potential extended target if momentum continues. • Support Levels: • 3,067: First reaction level in the Monitor Buy Zone. • 3,047: Last level of defense before a deeper drop. 4️⃣ Trade Plan & Risk Management • Entry: Looking for bullish confirmations at the Monitor Buy Zone before entering a long position. • Stop Loss: Below 3,047, ensuring minimal risk if the trade setup fails. • Take Profit Levels: • First TP at 3,095 - 3,100 (safe target). • Extended TP at 3,120 (if bullish momentum continues). 5️⃣ Confluences for a Long Setup • Liquidity Grab Possibility: Price could sweep below previous lows before reversing. • Historical Support: Price has bounced from this region before, adding strength to the buy zone. • Fibonacci Levels: Possible alignment with key retracement zones for added confirmation. Final Thoughts: I’ll be closely watching price action at the Monitor Buy Zone before entering a trade. If price respects this area and bullish momentum builds, we could see a strong rebound. What’s your bias on XAUUSD? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HorricaneFx
Possible Scenario for AVAX/USDTPossible Scenario for AVAX/USDT: 1. Price Action: The price is within a descending channel marked by the blue lines. This suggests a bearish trend as the price has been making lower highs and lower lows. 2. Potential Scenarios: - The **green arrow** indicates a potential bullish scenario, where the price might break out to the upside, aiming toward a target of around $31.84. - The **red arrow** suggests a bearish scenario, where the price might break down further, potentially testing the lower support level near $11.91. 3. Key Levels: - **Resistance**: Around the $31.84 level (shown in red), which could be a strong resistance zone if the price attempts a recovery. - **Support**: Near the $11.91 level (shown in green), which could act as strong support if the downtrend continues.
by cryptosoracle
S&P 500 to tank to 5,100 pointsPEPPERSTONE:US500 The S&P 500 broke below critical support after Trump announce massive tariffs on everyone, worst than expected. Volume is increasing to the downside, and it looks like the next wave down has already started. Wave C is supposed to be equal or larger than wave A, and reach the next critical support, which will lead us to 5,100 points in the next couple of weeks. I heard that net tariffs on China are 54%, does than means that iPhones are going to rise in price 54%? Maybe it will be reconsidered later, and the market will bounce in the future, but not likely in the short term. Good luck to you
PEPPERSTONE:US500Short
by Raul_Dominguez
Opportunity Beneath the Fear: SPY's Reversal SetupIn the Shadow of Headlines: SPY’s Drop Could Be 2025’s Big Opportunity As markets react sharply to renewed tariff fears and Trump-related headlines, SPY continues its descent. Panic is setting in—but behind the noise, a strategic opportunity may be quietly forming. While many rush to exit, others are beginning to position for the bounce. A well-structured entry strategy could be key to turning uncertainty into gains. Entry Zone (Staggered): 🔹 543: First watch level—look for signs of slowing momentum. 🔹 515: Deeper entry point as the selloff extends. 🔹 <500 (TBD): Stay flexible—if panic accelerates, this could mark a generational setup. Profit Targets: ✅ 570: Initial rebound target. ✅ 590: Mid-range level if recovery builds. ✅ 610+: Full recovery potential—rewarding those with patience and vision. Remember: Headlines fade, but price action and preparation stay. This selloff may continue—but it might also be laying the foundation for 2025’s most powerful move. The key? Enter with discipline, protect your capital, and let the market come to you. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading carries significant risk. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
AMEX:SPY
by Robert_V12
#X #XUSDT #XEMPIRE #LONG #Setup #Eddy#X #XUSDT #XEMPIRE #LONG #Setup #Eddy XUSDT.P Long Setup Important areas of the upper time frame for scalping are identified and named. This setup is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style. Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this setup to enter the trade. Don't forget risk and capital management. The entry point, take profit point, and stop loss point are indicated on the chart along with their amounts. The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for not observing your risk and capital management. Note : The price can go much higher than the second target, and there is a possibility of a 100% pump on this currency. By observing risk and capital management, obtaining the necessary approvals, and saving profits in the targets, you can keep it for the pump. Warning : The stop loss is dramatic and large. Place the stop loss based on your strategy and after getting entry and confirmation on the entry point behind the last shadow that will be created. Be successful and profitable. I hope you enjoyed the previous analysis and signal of this currency. Previous analysis and signal Of X Empire :
Long
by Eddy_Trade_
8
will gold push higher , given the state of US economyyesterday NY session we did see gold bounce of a major 4 hour support area, & buyers coming into the market with the current situation in the US market & with the DXY pushing down, there is a good chance that gold will be pushing higher. opportunities on gold happen london & the crossover with the new york session, be mindful of NFP & the fed announcement also at 4 pm. i will be looking for buys around the 3.08.00 area, which lines up perfectly with the 0.71 fibbonacci level. extra comformations/ i would want to see a bullish engulfing or another candle formation that is showing bullish price action around this area, before i enter the trade. we may get an early entry london open, or around NFP news release at 1.30 pm please feel free to comment & send me your own mark up, ideas.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kingjforex12
The Day Ahead US Jobs & FED Powell speech US March Jobs Report Most important release this week. Strong report boosts the dollar and bond yields Weak report supports stocks and pressures the dollar Canada March Jobs Report Strong numbers lift the Canadian dollar Weak numbers weigh on CAD Germany, France, Italy Data Includes factory orders, industrial production, and retail sales Weak data puts pressure on the euro Strong data supports the euro Japan February Household Spending Low spending signals continued Bank of Japan easing, weakens the yen Higher spending may support the yen UK March Car Sales and Construction PMI Positive surprises could lift the pound Sweden March CPI Hot inflation could delay rate cuts and support the krona Cooler CPI may lead to SEK weakness Central Bank Watch Fed’s Powell and Barr Speaking Hawkish tone strengthens the dollar and lifts yields Dovish comments could boost risk assets and weaken the dollar This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation