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BEST PRICE TO SHORT GU - GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST W21 D21 Y25
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D21 Y25
BEST PRICE TO SHORT GBPUSD
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup📈 Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup – Volume Surge & Momentum Breakout
Gold has triggered a clean bullish breakout above previous volume resistance, signaling strong upside continuation. Price rebounded from the value area and is now holding above the key 3,313 structure with a Risk/Reward of 4.98, targeting the 3,444 zone.
🔹 Entry: 3,313.73
🎯 Target: 3,444.24
🛑 Stop Loss: 3,287.46
📊 R/R Ratio: 4.98
📆 Holding Period: 5 Days
📌 Technical Highlights:
Volume Profile: Price broke above a high-volume resistance shelf with strong commitment.
Momentum (SQZMOM): Flipped green with rising bars – confirming bullish momentum.
Structure: Breakout retest zone now acting as support, forming higher lows.
Target Zone: 3,444 aligns with prior supply and trend extension.
Gold breaks upward, space opens up
📌 Driving events
Internationally, US media reported that US intelligence agencies found that Israel was preparing to attack Iran's nuclear facilities, and gold and crude oil both soared in the short term.
Recently, the Iran nuclear talks and the Russia-Ukraine talks were carried out simultaneously, and the market risk aversion sentiment fluctuated greatly
📊Comment analysis
While the medium and long-term outlook continues to be bullish on gold's performance this year, short-term operations are mainly based on news. Pay attention to light positions and maintain flexibility in short-term operations.
💰Strategy Package
🔥Buy Gold Zone: 3310-3315 SL 3307 Scalping
TP1: $3318
TP2: $3325
TP3: $3330
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3354-3356 SL 3361
TP1: $3345
TP2: $3332
TP3: $3320
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3252 - $3250 SL $3245
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3270
TP3: $3280
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
possibility of correctionThe upward trend is expected to end at the current resistance level. There is also a possibility of a collision with the resistance trend line. Then the beginning of the downtrend scenario will be probable.
If the price consolidates above the resistance level, the above scenario will be invalidated and the continuation of the uptrend will be probable.
Nifty Analysis EOD – May 20, 2025 – Tuesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – May 20, 2025 – Tuesday 🔴
Breakout Denied. Breakdown Delivered.
📈 Nifty SummaryAfter two sessions of tight-range traps, the long-awaited move finally played out today—and it was all about the bears.
Despite a 50-point gap-up start at 24,996 (just shy of the psychological 25,000 level), Nifty quickly reversed. The open was inside the resistance zone (24,980–25,000), and ignoring a minor 15-point wick, it resembled a classic Open = High (OH) trap.
By 35 minutes into the session, the index had already broken PDL and S1, hitting a low of 24,863, only to bounce 100+ points back toward 24,967—again rejected from just below 25K. This rejection triggered a sharp vertical fall, with a steep 35° downward slope, showing no pause, no VWAP reversion—just pure directional intent.
The downside breach hit multiple key levels:✅ 24,920✅ PDL✅ 24,882✅ 24,800–24,768 zone✅ and finally marked a low of 24,669, right at our 24,660 support level from yesterday’s map.
In yesterday’s report, we noted:
“A move below 24,882 could accelerate downside momentum. All eyes on 24,800 next.”✅ Targets 24,800 and 24,732 both achieved today.
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Candle Type: Strong Bearish (near Marubozu)
Intraday Range: 340 points
Upper Wick: ~15 pts (negligible)
Lower Wick: ~44 pts (also insignificant vs range)
Candle Interpretation: Textbook bearish Marubozu-type (near full-body)
📉 Closing Concerns:
🔻 Below 24,732, the 0.618 Fib of May 15th candle
🔻 Below May 15 Open
❌ No retracement or end-of-day bounce
These signals point to a structurally weak close and increase the probability of further downside extension.
📊 Bias Going ForwardAs of today, there are no signs of buyers stepping in. If 24,670 (today's low) breaks, it could open the gates to test:
🧨 24,640–24,625 zone (watch closely during IB)
🧨 Below that → 24,535 / 24,500 / 24,480
On the upside, any pullback will face hurdles at:
🛑 24,768–24,800 (strong resistance zone)
🛑 24,882 / 24,920
Let the first half of tomorrow's session guide the tone. Any sustained hold above 24,800 might stall the fall. Else, the drift may continue.
🛡 25 Min Time Frame Chart
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
🛡 Gladiator Strategy Update
Strategy Parameters
ATR: 331.49
IB Range: 146.95 → 🟡 Medium IB
Market Structure: ⚖️ Balanced
Trade Highlights
🔻 1st Short Trigger: 11:55 – Trapped, Loss Booked
✅ 2nd Short Trigger: 12:45 – Target Achieved (Risk:Reward 1:3.5)
📊 Total Trades: 2
📍 Support & Resistance Levels
🟩 Resistance Zones:
24,768 ~ 24,800
24,882
24,920
24,980 ~ 25,000
25,062 ~ 25,070
🟥 Support Zones:
24,660
24,640 ~ 24,625
24,590
24,530 ~ 24,480
24,460
🔮 What’s Next?The market has broken key fib and candle support zones from the May 15th rally. If there's no defence early tomorrow, the fall may intensify.
Keep an eye on 24,640–24,625 during IB. Holding above could invite some short covering. But failure here can extend toward 24,500 and below.
🧠 Final ThoughtsThe market gave us what it hinted at yesterday—a fast break once 24,882 gave way. But with no bounce, no defence, and a full-body bear candle—the pressure is still on.
“Markets don't always roar before falling. Sometimes, they whisper, then collapse.”
✏️ DisclaimerThis is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Temporary euphoria fades, a sharp correction is likelyThe current index surge appears increasingly disconnected from core fundamentals. Markets have been brushing aside key economic data, rallying instead on short-term sentiment and speculative flows.
⚠️ Once this temporary momentum fades, I expect a pullback to 4800, with a possible extension toward 3900 if macro headwinds intensify. This setup reflects a growing divergence between price action and economic reality—something that rarely lasts.
GOLDGold prices are strongly influenced by the interest rate differential and bond yields, particularly real interest rates, which represent nominal yields adjusted for inflation. The key dynamics are:
Real Interest Rates and Opportunity Cost:
Gold is a non-yielding asset, so its attractiveness depends largely on the opportunity cost of holding it versus interest-bearing assets like government bonds. When real interest rates are high (nominal rates minus inflation), investors prefer interest-bearing assets, putting downward pressure on gold prices. Conversely, low or negative real rates reduce this opportunity cost, making gold more appealing as a store of value and driving prices upward.
Nominal Interest Rates and Inflation:
High nominal rates combined with low inflation create positive real rates, discouraging gold investment. But when inflation outpaces nominal rates, real rates turn negative, supporting gold demand. This interplay explains why gold often rallies during periods of low or falling interest rates, especially if inflation remains elevated.
Central Bank Policies:
The U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy decisions heavily impact gold through their influence on interest rates and the U.S. dollar. Rate hikes typically strengthen the dollar and increase yields, pressuring gold prices downward. Rate cuts or pauses often support gold by lowering yields and weakening the dollar.
Bond Yields:
Rising government bond yields, especially U.S. Treasuries, tend to weigh on gold prices by increasing the return on competing assets. However, if yields rise due to inflation fears or economic uncertainty, gold can still benefit as a hedge. The relationship is nuanced and depends on whether yields rise faster than inflation.
Recent Trends and Forecasts (2025):
Gold has surged over 25% in 2025, reaching near all-time highs around $3,500 per ounce, supported by expectations of interest rate cuts by central banks like the ECB, ongoing inflation concerns, and geopolitical risks. Despite the Fed maintaining rates at 4.25–4.5%, gold remains resilient due to tariff uncertainties and safe-haven demand. Analysts like Goldman Sachs forecast further gains toward $3,700 or higher by year-end 2025, driven by central bank buying and investor shifts away from traditional assets.
Summary Table
Factor Impact on Gold Price
High Real Interest Rates Negative (gold less attractive)
Low or Negative Real Interest Rates Positive (gold more attractive)
Fed Rate Hikes Usually negative (higher yields, stronger USD)
Fed Rate Cuts or Pauses Usually positive (lower yields, weaker USD)
Rising Bond Yields (nominal) Often negative unless inflation fears dominate
Inflation Outpacing Yields Positive (gold as inflation hedge)
Geopolitical/Economic Uncertainty Positive (safe-haven demand)
In essence:
Gold’s price movements are inversely correlated with real interest rates and sensitive to bond yield changes. Central bank policies that lower real yields or increase uncertainty tend to boost gold prices, while rising real yields and a stronger dollar typically weigh on gold. The current environment of moderate real rates, inflation concerns, and geopolitical risks supports gold’s strong performance in 2025.
What is carry trade in forex ??
A carry trade is a popular forex trading strategy where a trader borrows money in a currency with a low interest rate (the funding currency) and uses it to buy a currency with a higher interest rate (the target currency). The goal is to profit from the difference between the two interest rates, known as the interest rate differential.
How It Works:
The trader sells or shorts the low-yielding currency and buys or goes long on the high-yielding currency.
By holding this position overnight, the trader earns the interest rate differential—essentially collecting interest on the higher-yielding currency while paying less interest on the borrowed currency.
For example, borrowing Japanese yen (which historically had very low or negative rates) to buy Australian dollars (which had higher rates) allowed traders to earn the difference in interest rates.
Key Points:
Profit Sources: Traders can profit from both the interest rate differential and potential appreciation of the higher-yielding currency.
Leverage: Carry trades often use high leverage, magnifying gains but also increasing risk.
Risks: Exchange rate fluctuations can offset interest gains, and sudden market shifts can force traders to unwind positions, causing volatility.
Market Conditions: Carry trades perform best in stable, low-volatility environments where interest rate differentials remain wide and exchange rates do not move sharply against the trader.
Example:
If the Australian dollar has a 4% interest rate and the Japanese yen has a 1% interest rate, a trader borrowing yen to buy Australian dollars could earn a net 3% interest differential, assuming exchange rates remain stable.
In summary:
A carry trade is a strategy to earn profits by exploiting differences in interest rates between two currencies, borrowing cheap money to invest in higher-yielding assets, commonly used in forex markets.
#gold #dollar#fx
audusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
ENA 3D LONG SETUPMIL:ENA is holding tight above the 3D demand cluster at $0.3199–$0.3397 (61.8–78.6% Fib). With equal lows just below, we could see a stop-run before a real reversal.
1. Context & Structure
• Key support defended at $0.3199–$0.3397
• Demand zone aligns with Fib levels (0.618–0.786)
• Series of equal lows (~$0.3199) sets up a liquidity sweep area
• Wide-range resistance at $0.4629 and major weekly supply at $1.2003
2. Plan & Levels
– Buy Zone: $0.31–$0.32 (add on pullbacks)
– Stop‐Loss: $0.2390 (below equal lows/liquidity zone)
– Take‐Profits:
1️⃣ $0.4629 (swing high)
2️⃣ $1.2003 (weekly supply cluster)
Conclusion
Long bias remains intact while $0.31 holds. Look to scale in at the green zone, tighten stops on strength, and target the 0.4629–1.2003 area for major resistance. Patience and proper risk management are key. 🚀
HYPE 1D SHORT SETUPGETTEX:HYPE has rallied into the Equal Highs zone at $28.470—a classic stop-run area ahead of a potential reversal. Below, unfilled weekly FVG around $16.311 and a demand cluster at $22.937–21.480 set clear targets.
Checklist & Context
Uptrend in place (HH/HL) into Equal Highs (~$28.47)
Prior moves saw liquidity grabs above highs, then swift returns
Demand sits at $22.937–21.480 (green zone)
Unfilled FVG at $16.311–16.335
Plan
– Primary: Short on a false-break or stop-run above $28.470 with a quick reclaim below
– Alternate: If price stalls < $28.47, watch $25–26 for a reversal setup
Triggers
• SFP / fake break above $28.470 followed by a close back under
• Impulsive drop into $22.937–21.480 → partial profit-taking
• Acceleration into the weekly FVG → exit remaining
Levels
• Sell Zone: > $28.470
• Take-Profits:
1️⃣ $22.937
2️⃣ $21.480
3️⃣ $16.311 (weekly FVG)
• Stop-Loss: > $31.427
Wait for clean reversal signals—no rush into the short until the high-stop reset is confirmed.
USDCHF - we are back in businessTeam, yesterday we went long USDCHF and our target hit.
The market dropped because yesterday is option expired
We are now going LONG with the target as per the instruction range.
Remember to take 50-70% volume at the first target and bring STOP LOSS to BE
We must be disciplined in our trade to be successful winners.
BTCUSD / BITCOIN | 4H | WAIT BREAKOUT Good morning, my friends
Bitcoin support level is $96,900.00, while the resistance level stands at $104,600.00.
Right now, I'm just waiting for an upward breakout. Once that happens, I'll provide a clear target.
Don't forget to hit the like button so you don't miss any updates on this analysis.
My dear friends, your likes are the biggest motivation for me to keep sharing my analyses. I truly appreciate everyone who supports my work with their likes—thank you so much!
With respect and love.
PLTR, It's Been RealAt a high of 125, it's had a great run, but a double top has formed going into earnings and a US government which may be forced into austerity. Insiders have been selling for months with no net buys
- First Price target down to the neckline at 76
- Next price target would be 42 for the last real breakout test
- Final PT would be 24 if the double top played out completely
Neutral - GLD (Short-term) & Short (Long-term)A. Short-term: NEUTRAL
Daily chart pattern: Double top
RSI: Close to 50. Needs to cross 50 to turn bullish momentum
1. Double top confirmation
- Fib 0.382 rejects at $299.85
-> Enter PUT option for PT: ~$280.5
2. Failed double top
- Pass fib 0.382 at $299.85 to gap up
-> Enter CALL option for PT1: ~$303
PT2: ~306.5
B.Long-term: PUT
Overall long-term opinion: LEAP PUT for GLD with expiration date more than 1 year. PT: ~200
EURAUD Daily candle shows buyer strengthenDaily candle closed with strong bullish candle.
It breaks Support Become Resistant zone (refer chart).
Now, that zone will become support again in my opinion.
I'm expecting today, candle will retest that zone and fly to the moon.
wait for the price at the lower time frame to react at the zone is the best before take any buy position in my opinion.
Good luck
do your own risk & reward calculation.
AUDNZD BROKE AND CLOSED BELOW H4 TRENDLINE AND EMA 50AUDNZD has maintained a bearish tone since Monday’s New York session, following a break and retest of the trendline. The pair also closed below the 50 EMA, reinforcing the dominance of sellers in the market. Meanwhile, there are several factors that led to the weakness of the AUD. Earlier on Tuesday, the RBA implemented another interest rate cut, aligning with market expectations. However, the central bank's cautious outlook on economic growth has led to a more dovish tone, potentially limiting the Australian dollar's strength. Which was priced in on the chart.
TECHNICAL VIEW:
From technical perspective, the pair is seen bearish after the break and retest of the 4H trendline and price having closed below EMA 50 confirms that too. Meanwhile price is supported around 1.08316. Technicians ordinarily expects a rebound around 1.08752 before the next throw with potential target around 1.07861 and 1.07410. Whilst retracing, a break above 1.09176 would hint a reversal and hence potentially targeting 1.09332 and 1.09862. Break out of these levels are not ruled out.
UPCOMING CATALYST:
For the remainder of this week, there are no major economic releases scheduled. However, on Friday, May 23, 2025, Statistics New Zealand is set to publish the Q1 2025 Retail Sales data at 10:45 AM NZST (GMT+12).
This release will offer insights into consumer spending patterns and the overall health of New Zealand's economy. Strong retail sales figures could bolster the New Zealand dollar (NZD), while weaker numbers might exert downward pressure.