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USDJPY Buying SetupUSDJPY is currently sitting in a key support zone, signaling a potential bullish momentum build-up. This bias is supported by the formation of a strong bullish candle at the level, suggesting buyers are stepping in.
Importantly, price has respected structure—no lower low (LL) was formed. Instead, we’ve got a clean higher low (HL), which aligns perfectly with a bullish continuation scenario.
Take-profits (TPs) and stop-loss (SL) levels are chosen with precision, keeping recent market structure and volatility in mind. As always, proper risk management is crucial for capital protection.
Regards
Sherry
GOLD corrects after hot rally, conditions remain optimisticOANDA:XAUUSD has retreated from an all-time high of $3,167.67/oz as investors began to take profits after a “parabolic” rally. While the rally was initially fueled by safe-haven demand stemming from US President Donald Trump’s plans for higher tariffs, questions are starting to arise about the sustainability of the rally as buying pressure wanes and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) moves into overbought territory.
Gold has rallied 19% so far in 2025 and this correction could be temporary
Gold prices have rallied 19% this year, supported by multiple macro uncertainties, historic central bank buying and continued inflows into ETFs. Despite the current pullback, from a fundamental perspective, this does not impact the overall bullish fundamental trend and the likelihood of near-term technical consolidation has begun to increase.
Trump’s tariffs a “catalyst” supporting the physical gold market?
Trump's proposal to impose 10% tariffs on most imports has stoked market concerns about slowing economic growth and rising business costs, while risk aversion has pushed gold prices higher.
However, the White House later clarified that "critical raw materials" including gold, copper and energy would be exempt, alleviating some concerns about supply chain disruptions and providing some support to the physical gold market.
Market sentiment remains bullish, with strong buying momentum on dips
Although the technical side is currently under some pressure, the market's optimism remains unshaken. It is difficult to try to assess the peak near the historical high, but it is clear that every pullback is quickly absorbed by buyers, which shows that the underlying bullish sentiment in the market is still strong.
Described by the sharp drop on Thursday, gold recovered very quickly after the drop.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold may enter a correction phase after a long period of hot growth, depicted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) falling below the overbought level, breaking the blue bullish channel. In the short term, if gold breaks below the short-term channel, converging with the 0.50% Fibonacci extension level, it will be in a position to correct further with the next target level around $3,066 in the short term, more than $3,040.
However, overall, gold still has a bullish technical outlook with the price channel as the long-term trend and the main support from the EMA21. As long as gold remains within the price channel and above the EMA21, the declines should be considered as corrections and not a trend. On the other hand, once gold recovers from the 0.50% Fibonacci extension and holds above the raw price point of $3,100, it will signal the end of the correction cycle, then the upside target will be the 0.786% Fibonacci extension in the short-term.
During the day, the long-term uptrend with the possibility of a short-term correction will be noticed again by the following positions.
Support: 3,086 – 3,066 – 3,040USD
Resistance: 3,100 – 3,106 – 3,135USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3147 - 3145⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3151
→Take Profit 1 3139
↨
→Take Profit 2 3133
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3061 - 3063⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3057
→Take Profit 1 3069
↨
→Take Profit 2 3075
BTC/USD ...4h pair ...Based on my technical analysis provided, here's a structured breakdown of the BTCUSD scenario and potential trading strategy:
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### *Key Observations*
1. *Support Level*:
- Price is holding *82,000*, a critical support zone. A break below this could invalidate the bullish outlook.
2. *Bullish Divergence*:
- *RSI divergence* on H4 and H1 timeframes signals weakening bearish momentum and potential reversal.
3. *Resistance Level*:
- Immediate resistance at *82,550*. A confirmed breakout above this level could trigger upward momentum.
---
### *Scenario Analysis*
- *Bullish Case*:
- *Entry: Break and close above **82,550* (preferably with rising volume for confirmation).
- *Targets*:
- *TP1: 85,260* (3.3% gain from breakout).
- *TP2: 88,005* (6.6% gain from breakout).
- *Stop-Loss: Below **82,000* (e.g., *81,500* to account for volatility).
- *Bearish Risk*:
- Failure to hold *82,000* could lead to further downside. Monitor price action for breakdown signals.
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### *Strategy Execution*
1. *Confirmation: Wait for a **strong close above 82,550* (H4 candle) to avoid false breakouts.
2. *Risk Management*:
- Position size adjusted to risk tolerance (e.g., 1-2% of capital).
- Stop-loss placed below support.
3. *Profit-Taking*:
- Partial profits at *TP1, trail stop for remaining position toward **TP2*.
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### *Additional Considerations*
- *Volume*: High volume on breakout strengthens validity.
- *Market Context*: Monitor broader market trends (e.g., ETF flows, macro news) that may impact Bitcoin.
- *Technical Levels*: Watch for intermediate resistances between 82,550 and 85,260 (e.g., 84,000 psychological level).
---
*Conclusion*: The setup presents a favorable risk-reward ratio if the resistance breaks. Always validate with price action and adjust stops as the trade progresses.
Stable Awaiting US NF After Yesterday’s Crazy 2000 Pips Move🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ The spot gold price struggled to maintain the $3,100 level during US trading, dropping from a new record high of $3,167.68. The XAU/USD pair surged during Asian trading hours yesterday as market participants panicked following the "Liberation Day" announcement by US President Donald Trump.
➡️ Financial markets were in turmoil amid speculation that inflation would soar while economic progress could stall. Concerns over a potential economic recession in the US grew, along with speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might need to adjust its monetary policy accordingly. The US dollar dropped sharply, and stock markets around the world also declined.
Personal opinion:
➡️The drop in gold prices was mostly due to profit-taking by bulls after seeing the RSI of gold enter overbought territory and halting trading to monitor developments.
➡️Yesterday was a very rare crazy day when the gold price fluctuated up and down by 2000 pips.
➡️ Today the market will be slower and less volatile to wait for the NF news from the US to consider the new momentum to push the gold price. So watch the strong technical resistance - support zones to be able to make profits from them.
Resistance zone: 3113– 3137
Support zone: 3085 - 3070 - 3060
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3084- 3086 (Scalping)
❌SL: 3079 | ✅TP: 3090 – 3093 – 3100
👉Buy Gold 3058- 3060
❌SL: 3053| ✅TP: 3065 – 3070 – 3080
👉Sell Gold 3128- 3130 (Scalping)
❌SL: 3135 | ✅TP: 3124 – 3120 – 3116
👉Sell Gold 3065- 3067
❌SL: 3172| ✅TP: 3160 – 3155 – 3150
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
CADJPY Heading to March's Monthly Low Looking at the CadJpy Chart i can see Price rejecting the Mayor Level 105.000 since Mid March, Now with time price has created some beautiful Market Structure, if we take a look at the Daily Or 4H chart there's a clean clear H&S Pattern printed at the Mayor Level 105. My Analysis for the next move on CadJpy is Price retesting the Monthly low of march ( 101.500 level ) because before price printed the H&S Pattern, price Broke Structure to the downside at the Mayor Level, Made a Higher Low For the Confirmation, and now price is retesting Previous Supply and Demand Zone ( 104. Level ) we do have some Strong news for CAD Friday April 4, I believe if the data does not come out good the the CAD price is gonna drop with some much momentum that the Daily FIB is gonna be fulfilled meaning i can see price drop all the way to 100. Level.
Ford (NYSE:F) Drop 5%+ as Tariffs Threaten Auto Industry marginsFord Motor Company (NYSE: F) is facing a challenging market environment as its stock price fell 5.27% to $9.61 as of 3:24 PM EDT. This drop comes amid declining sales and the looming threat of new tariffs from the Trump administration. In the last 52 weeks, Ford's stock has traded within a range of $9.06 to $14.85.
On Tuesday 1st April, Ford reported a 1.3% decline in total vehicle sales year-over-year, delivering 501,291 vehicles in Q1 2025. Despite this decline, retail sales rose by 5%, with a strong 19% surge in March, signaling that buyers may be accelerating purchases ahead of the impending tariffs.
General Motors (GM) posted strong results with a 17% increase in sales, delivering 693,353 vehicles in Q1 2025. The company achieved double-digit growth across all its brands, marking its best first-quarter performance since 2018. While GM shares remained stable, Ford shares saw further declines.
Tariffs Add Uncertainty for Automakers
The auto industry is preparing for the impact of a 25% tariff on foreign cars and parts. The Trump administration confirmed on Wednesday that his 25% global car and truck tariffs would take effect as scheduled on Thursday and that duties on automotive parts imports will be launched on May 3rd.
Although Ford manufactures most of its vehicles in the U.S, many essential parts are imported. Higher production costs could push car prices higher, affecting demand.
Ford executives have stated they are assessing the impact of these tariffs on their business operations. Chairman William Clay Ford Jr. assured shareholders that the company is prepared to handle geopolitical uncertainties. Despite this, investor sentiment remains cautious, contributing to the recent stock price decline.
Technical Analysis
Ford’s stock has been trading within a narrow range of $9 to $10 in the last three months. A strong resistance level at $11, tested several times from August to November 2024, remains unbroken. Since failing to break the resistance level, the stock has since then declined.
Currently, the price is testing a double support level at $9 comprising of a horizontal key support and a descending trendline. If this support holds, Ford’s stock may attempt another bull phase toward the $11 resistance level. On the other hand, a break below $9 could push the price lower, with the next potential support level at $8.45.
The 50-day, 100-day and 200-day moving averages are positioned above the current Market price, at $9.74, $10.08 and $10.70 respectively. This indicates strong bearish pressure, limiting bullish momentum in the near term.
Thoughts Moving Forward
With tariffs and the auto industry facing supply chain disruptions, Ford’s stock is likely to remain under pressure. The bearish sentiment could persist in the short term, especially if the price breaks below the key $9 support level.
If support holds, Ford could see a short-term bounce toward $11. However, sustained bullish momentum would require strong demand and improved market sentiment. This would be witnessed if its earnings report, set to be released between April 22nd and April 28th, 2025, is favorable. Until then, geopolitical and economic uncertainties weigh on the stock.
Tesla to bounce from hereNASDAQ:TSLA
Tesla has reach and bonce from a key support level, as seen on the chart, in the Golden Pocket, between the 61.8% and the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement, and it is shown two weekly hammer candlestick bar near each other, which is bullish. Odds that it has already found a mid-term bottom is high.
Now I expect a multi-week bounce from here, probably to the next Golden Pocket at the top, which is between $385 to $430 USD.
And yes, Elon Musk upset his customer base, and the stock is very expensive compared to other car manufacturers, and will probably see little to no growth in sales this year, or even a decline, insiders has sold big amounts of shares and it is all looking bad. And yes, we have probably already seen the top in Tesla in December last year for a long time.
However, stocks don’t generally go down in a straight line, the stock, as well as the stock market in general is oversold and do for a bounce, maybe a big bounce.
After the bounce, I will be looking for shorts, but now, I’m looking for longs.
Good luck to you
XAUUSD Today's analysis 3100On Thursday (April 3rd), Asian markets opened to Trump’s surprise tariff announcement. Surging risk - aversion pushed spot gold to a record $3,167.60 per ounce. But profit - taking by jittery investors soon reversed the rally, sending prices down to $3,054.19. Later, as economic uncertainty grew, bargain - hunters drove the price back up to $3,125.
Macroeconomic and geopolitical factors will keep swaying the gold market. Upcoming US labor data may influence Fed policy, in turn affecting gold. Global trade tensions remain high, and more capital may flow into gold as a safe - haven.
Technically, $3,100 per ounce is a key support and resistance level. A sustained price above it could draw more bulls, while a break below may unleash bears. Gold mining stocks, tied to company operations and geopolitics, also merit attention as they mirror gold’s short - term swings.
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
DOTUSD: There is no better buy entry than this.Polkadot has been inside a huge Rectangle pattern since the October 19th 2023 Low that created the S1 Zone, a wide consolidation pattern whose top is the R1 Zone. The 1D RSI is already on a HL bullish divergence, identical to both prior bottom formations on the S1 Zone. Since the 1D MA50 has already been breached, we estimate that the price will start the new bullish wave soon. There is no better buy entry than the current level. Aim for the bottom of the R1 Zone (TP = 11.500).
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KEEP TRADING SIMPLE - GOLDGood Morning,
Gold is not looking so hot right now - We are seeing some rejection in the market and it looks like lower lows are on the horizon. I do not personally expect the current support to hold. If it does not we are looking at a short term correction and trend change.
If it bounces off the current resistance that will be the sign of confirmation.
Thanks
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed sharply lower due to the aftermath of tariff impositions. Following a significant gap-down, the index broke below the lower Bollinger Band, intensifying selling pressure. Yesterday’s bearish candlestick confirmed a sell signal, leading to an expanded third wave of selling. The index has now reached the previous support zone near 18,500, with additional volatility expected due to today’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report and Fed Chair Powell’s speech.
On the monthly chart, the Nasdaq is forming a lower shadow around the 20-month moving average. Given the sharp decline, if further selling occurs, oversold conditions may trigger a strong rebound, making it risky to chase shorts at this stage. The 240-minute chart also shows a sell signal, with heavy selling pressure continuing. However, this is a risky zone to enter new short positions, so it's advisable to monitor short-term price movements before making a move.
Regardless of whether you take long or short positions, due to high volatility, make sure to set stop-loss levels and adjust leverage to a manageable risk level.
Additionally, the VIX surged, forming a large bullish candle and reaching its March 11 high. With the VIX in an uptrend and a buy signal appearing, further volatility expansion is likely. However, since it has reached a key resistance zone, a short-term pullback in the VIX could allow for a Nasdaq rebound. For the VIX to break above its previous high, a period of consolidation may be necessary. Given the strong buying momentum on both the weekly and monthly charts, this should be taken into consideration when forming a trading strategy.
Crude Oil
Crude oil plunged following the OPEC meeting, where supply increases became a key issue. While oversupply concerns are a factor, the economic slowdown fears from tariffs have also played a major role in the decline. Previously, $68 was considered a strong support level, but oil collapsed from $72 in a steep decline. The final key support lies around $66.
On the daily chart, the MACD and signal line are converging near the zero line, suggesting that once a new wave begins, it could lead to a strong trend movement. Depending on today's session and Monday’s market, oil could see an aggressive breakout in either direction. Current candlestick patterns indicate that the weekly chart remains bearish, meaning holding long positions over the weekend carries significant risk.
The 240-minute chart also confirms a strong sell signal, with MACD plummeting. Oil may form a temporary sideways range near the $66 support, but if this level breaks, selling pressure could intensify. Ensure you manage stop-loss risks carefully in case of further downside.
Gold
Gold declined, reacting to fluctuations in the U.S. dollar's value. The price failed to hold above $3,200 and dropped below the 5-day moving average. Gold has been in a one-way trend, so a bullish approach remains valid unless it breaks below the 10-day MA. However, it has now entered a range-bound phase, and MACD on the daily chart is nearing the signal line, suggesting potential downside risks. The MACD failed to break its February highs, increasing the likelihood of divergence, which could trigger a strong correction if selling intensifies. With rising market volatility and today's NFP release, further wild swings in gold prices are expected.
The 240-minute chart has shown a sell signal, leading to a sharp decline. However, the price has found support near a key resistance-turned-support zone. Since the MACD and signal line remain above the zero line, gold may continue trading within a range in the short term. On shorter timeframes, candlestick volatility is high, so reducing leverage and widening stop ranges would be a prudent strategy.
During periods of extreme market volatility, technical analysis may become less effective, as market sentiment often overrides chart patterns. As always, trade only within your manageable volatility range. The market is always open, so even if you incur losses, there will always be opportunities to recover. Manage risk wisely, and best of luck with your trades today!
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ARBUSDT: What Happens Next Could Shock ManyYello, Paradisers! Are you watching this key level hold by a thread? The market is giving us signals, but most traders are too distracted to see them. If you're not careful here, you’ll be on the wrong side of the next big move.
💎ARBUSDT is currently trading below both the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA, confirming a strong bearish bias in the market. The trend remains in a clear markdown phase, with price action continuing to respect the descending channel, and no clear signs of bullish reversal just yet.
💎We’re approaching a moderate resistance level around $0.32 has already shown signs of weakness if price fails again at this area, it will likely confirm that sellers are still dominating, increasing the probability of a renewed leg down.
💎If the market rejects at current levels, the first key support to watch is around $0.2847, which could be hit quickly. However, the real danger lies below. A breakdown beneath the $0.2847 zone would expose the market to significant downside pressure, opening the path for a much deeper correction.
💎With ARB trading below the 200 EMA, we must remain cautious. The trend remains bearish, and any short term rally into resistance is more likely to present a shorting opportunity than a bullish breakout.
💎Still, if the market manages to close decisively above the $0.35 mark, it could shift the structure and momentum, targeting $0.37 and higher in the short term. Until then, the bias remains with the bears.
Stay focused, Paradisers. Be the hunter, not the hunted.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
AUDUSD SELLVoici la version fusionnée et traduite en anglais :
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**📉 AUDUSD: Ongoing Correction – Where to Enter? 🤔**
On **AUDUSD**, in the **weekly timeframe**, we’ve seen a **break of the key support at 0.635**. Since then, the market has been in a **bullish correction**, following an **ascending trendline**, with several levels already broken to the downside. 📊
📍 **Key Points to Watch:**
🔹 A **potential continuation of the downtrend**, especially if the **USD regains strength** (see **DXY**).
🔹 **Where to enter and where to place the stop?** That’s the big question!
💬 **What’s your take on AUDUSD? Are you ready to follow this move?** Good luck and happy trading! 🚀
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**📉 AUDUSD: Strong Volatility After Trump’s Speech – Stay Alert!**
Trump’s speech brought a **wave of volatility** to AUDUSD. **We’re closely monitoring how the market reacts** and what key levels come into play next.
🔹 **The big question now:** Will we see a **continuation of the downtrend**, or is this just a technical rebound?
🔹 **What to watch:** The next **H4/Daily closes** to confirm direction.
👀 **Are you already in position on AUDUSD, or are you waiting for more confirmation?** 💬