BSW Bull Trap:Binance Delisting + Weak Fundamentals = -50% AheadToday, I want to analyze the Biswap project ( BINANCE:BSWUSDT ) with the BSW token for you and examine the opportunity for a short position on the BSW token from a Fundamental and Technical perspective.
First, let's examine the conditions of the Biswap project from a Fundamental perspective.
Biswap is a decentralized exchange (DEX) built on the BNB Chain, offering features like token swaps, farming, staking, and an NFT marketplace. It became popular due to its very low trading fees (0.1%) and an aggressive referral & reward system.
However, the project is facing key fundamental issues:
Decline in trading volume and user activity
Drop in TVL rankings among DEX platforms
Inflationary tokenomics with constant reward emissions, increasing sell pressure
Most critically, Binance announced the delisting of BSW (effective July 4, 2025), shaking investor confidence severely .
In summary, while Biswap started strong, its fundamentals have weakened significantly, especially after the Binance delisting, which casts doubt over its future viability.
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In terms of Technical Analysis , the BSW token managed to reach the Heavy Resistance zone($0.060-$0.0315) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) with the previous hours' pump( more than +100% ), but then started to decline again.
In terms of Elliott wave theory , I consider the recent hours pump as a wave C of the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect that given the delisting(soon) of the BSW token and the technical analysis of the BSW token, it will fall by at least -50% . In fact, this pump could act as a Bull Trap .
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $0.0422 = We can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Biswap Analyze (BSWUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Community ideas
HolderStat┆BNBUSD came out of the wedgeBINANCE:BNBUSDT just cleared a multi-week wedge resistance, signaling a bullish breakout above $635. The price is now poised to retest the upper channel boundary near $700–730. If bulls maintain momentum, this breakout could mirror prior impulsive legs higher, especially following similar consolidation patterns earlier this year.
Cup w/ HandleAERO completing a cup w/ handle. Been showing relative strength the past couple weeks with hidden bullish RSI divergence in the handle.
Coinbase recently announced that they're integrating BASE Dex's soon into their main app, so their millions of users can easily begin trading onchain. AERO is the primary Dex on Base (>50% of revenues)
Usd/Cad Intra-Day Analysis 02-Jul-25Breaking down Usd/Cad key levels and areas of interest, in addition to the possible scenarios that could take place.
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GBP/CHF – Breakout Buy Setup Based on Bullish Divergence (1H TF)The GBP/CHF pair has been moving in a bearish trend, but momentum appears to be shifting. A strong bullish divergence has developed on the 1-hour chart, suggesting potential for a reversal.
Despite no clear reversal pattern at this stage, we’re eyeing a breakout above the last lower high (LH) as confirmation of a shift toward bullish structure. If the breakout occurs, we expect a new higher high (HH) to form, aligning with the divergence.
Retail sentiment is currently 90% long, which adds further interest to this setup. Our buy stop order is positioned to catch the move early, with a 1:1 risk-reward profile.
🔹 Pair: GBP/CHF
🔹 Timeframe: 1H
🔹 Trend: Bearish
🔹 Divergence: Bullish
🔹 Pattern: None
🔹 Sentiment: 90% Long (Myfxbook)
🔹 Bias: Neutral (awaiting structure shift)
🔹 Entry (Buy Stop): 1.08982
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.08207
🔹 Take Profit: 1.09757
🔹 Lot Size: 0.20
🔹 Risk/Reward: 1:1
🔹 Risk: $200
🔹 Potential Reward: $200
🎯 Strategy: Entry will only be triggered if price breaks above the previous LH. That would signal a shift in structure and validate the divergence setup.
📌 #GBPCHF #ForexSignals #BullishBreakout #PriceActionSetup #TrendReversal #SmartMoneyMoves #RetailSentiment #BullishDivergence #1HChart #ForexAnalysis #BuySetup #RiskReward
Gold is Ready For The Next Bullish Run- Taking a Long Trade HereAfter a series of bearish structures on 4Hour time frame, which is actually a bullish retracement on higher time frame, Gold has now broke the bearish structure with series of bullish candles which turned the trend from bearish to bullish trend.
After the bullish break of structure, Gold retrace into a fair value price level, formed a swing low plus a bullish price action which further confirmed the bullishness of Gold, which is were I took an entry for a buy long trade.
My target for this trade is for Gold to reach the price level of $3,436 which is a 5.36RR return.
I will be monitoring price and manage my trade accordingly as price move in my direction.
The Power of Setting SL and TP: Secret to Mastering Your TradeThe Power of Setting SL and TP: The Secret to Mastering Your Trade
Hey there, traders! 👋 Let’s talk about something that can make a world of difference in your trading journey – Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP). These simple tools may look basic, but they are essential for every trader to stay consistent and profitable in the long run.
In today’s post, we’ll dive into the importance of setting SL and TP for each trade and how these two tools can change your trading game. Whether you’re new to trading or have been in the game for a while, understanding and applying SL and TP correctly is key to building a solid and profitable trading strategy. Let’s get started!
1. What Exactly Are SL and TP?
Stop Loss (SL):
A Stop Loss is the level where you decide to cut your losses if the market moves against your trade. It's your safety net, ensuring that your losses stay manageable. For example, if you’re trading XAU/USD at $1800 and don’t want to lose more than $50, you’d set your SL at $1750.
Take Profit (TP):
Take Profit is the level at which you’ll close your trade once the price reaches your desired profit. This helps you lock in profits automatically, without the temptation to stay in the market too long. For example, if you think gold will rise to $1850, you’d set your TP at that level to secure the profit.
2. Why Are SL and TP Crucial?
A. Eliminating Emotion from Your Trades
One of the hardest challenges in trading is keeping emotions out of the equation. Fear and greed can cause you to hold onto losing positions for too long or exit too soon. SL and TP automate your exits, allowing you to trade with a clear plan and reduce emotional decision-making.
B. Managing Risk Like a Pro
Risk management is the backbone of any successful trading strategy. SL limits your losses by setting a predefined level where your trade will automatically close. Without SLs, you could risk losing more than you intended, which can damage your trading account.
C. Securing Consistent Profits
TP helps you to capture profits at the right time. Without it, you might let your profits slip away as the market moves against you. A TP ensures you don’t miss out on locking in gains when the market reaches your target.
D. Building Consistency
By setting SL and TP, you create a consistent and structured approach to your trading. If you trade with a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio, where you risk $1 to make $2, you can build long-term profitability, even if you lose some trades along the way. Consistency is the key to success in trading.
3. How to Set SL and TP Like a Pro
A. Start with Proper Analysis
Before entering any trade, always analyze the market context. Use technical analysis (like support and resistance levels, Fibonacci, and trendlines) to place your SL and TP at logical levels. For example, set your SL slightly below support for a buy trade, or slightly above resistance for a sell trade.
B. Risk-to-Reward Ratio
A good rule of thumb is to have a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio. This means if you risk $50 on a trade, you aim to make at least $100. This allows you to lose half of your trades but still come out ahead in the long run. Always set your TP in relation to your risk tolerance.
C. Use Indicators to Help
Use indicators like EMA, RSI, Fibonacci retracements, and pivot points to determine the best levels for your SL and TP. For example, if you see a strong bullish trend and are entering a buy position, placing your TP near the next Fibonacci extension level is a great strategy.
D. Keep Volatility in Mind
Market volatility plays a big role in where you place your SL and TP. In highly volatile markets, tight SL might get hit too early. Adjust your SL to reflect the market’s movement. Similarly, your TP should be flexible enough to account for volatility.
4. Benefits of Setting SL and TP
A. Reducing Emotional Trading
Emotional trading is the quickest way to lose money. SL and TP take emotion out of the equation, making trading more objective and disciplined. You know exactly when you’re getting in, and when to get out – no guessing!
B. Avoiding Overtrading
Without clear SL and TP levels, you might overtrade, holding positions for too long or exiting too early. This lack of structure leads to emotional decisions and bad habits. Having SL and TP in place ensures that you trade only when it makes sense.
C. Gaining Confidence
By setting clear SL and TP levels, you gain confidence in your trading strategy. You know that your risk is limited and your profits are protected. This allows you to trade with a calm mindset, focusing on quality trades instead of rushing into everything.
5. Conclusion
Setting SL and TP is one of the most important skills for any trader, whether you're new to the market or experienced. They help you manage risk, capture profits, and build a disciplined approach to trading. By incorporating SL and TP into your trading plan, you can protect your capital, lock in profits, and ensure consistent growth in your trading journey.
So remember, Plan your trade and trade your plan – and always set your SL and TP before entering any trade.
Happy Trading! Stay disciplined, stay profitable! 💰🚀
MY TCB STRATEGY🔍 Detailed Breakdown
✅ Trend Structure
1H and 4H trends are strongly bullish.
Clean higher highs and higher lows.
Momentum shows clear breakout from range on June 21–24.
🟦 EP1 Zone (1.1600–1.1615) – Minor Pullback
Risk: Price still within supply; not yet a confirmed retracement.
If entry is taken here, price must:
Form a bullish engulfing or low-timeframe FVG at the zone.
Hold above 1.1595 to remain valid.
✅ Good for momentum re-entry.
❗ Risk of getting trapped if deeper retracement (EP2) is needed.
🔲 EP2 Zone (1.1580–1.1600) – Optimal Confluence
Aligns with:
H4 trendline
Breaker block
Prior demand + FVG
If price pulls back here, it offers:
Best RR and lowest risk entry
Ideal setup for Set & Forget
✅ This is the premium zone for longs if price dips.
🎯 Targets
TP1: 1.17250 – Previous high and clean liquidity magnet
TP2: 1.17530 – Next external liquidity (major high)
Both targets are realistic in bullish continuation scenario.
⚖️ Entry Comparison Table
Zone Entry Level Pros Cons R:R Est.
EP1 1.1610 Close to momentum, smaller pullback High risk of rejection/fakeout ~1:2
EP2 1.1585 Trendline + breaker + clean RR May not reach (missed entry risk) ~1:2.8+
🔔 Alerts Recommendation
1.1590: Buy alert for EP2 zone entry
1.1625: Bullish break confirmation
1.1545: Invalidation level (structure break)
🧠 TCBFlow Final Thought:
“EP1 is for aggressive traders. EP2 is for patient execution. The market owes you nothing – it only rewards precision.”
📊 Final Score
Setup Score %
EP1 7/10 70% ⚠️ Medium Confidence (Requires confirmation)
EP2 9/10 90% ✅ High Confidence (Best TCB zone)
🧠 Summary:
EP1 is early, momentum-based — only enter if you see strong bullish PA.
SET and FORGET
EP2 is clean, structured, and high-confluence — best suited for Set & Forget with minimum emotional interference.
Gold short-term trading strategy updateGold short-term trading strategy update
I. Analysis of key price ranges
Bull market attack path (need to break through to confirm)
First resistance level: 3355~3360 (yesterday's high, pressure zone in Asian session)
Breakthrough signal: three consecutive K lines on the hourly chart stand above 3360, and trading volume increases
Second resistance level: 3375~3380 (golden ratio 0.618 + weekly Bollinger band middle track)
Final goal: 3400 integer mark (breakthrough will trigger algorithmic trading buy, accelerate to 3425/3450)
Bear market counterattack defense line (break through and reverse the trend)
First support level: 3315 (5-day moving average + 4-hour chart EMA55)
Key observation point: Can this position be maintained before the European session?
Life and death line: 3300~3295 (psychological barrier + opening price of this week)
Breakthrough target: 3275 (low point on June 28) → 3255~3245 (200-day moving average + weekly level support)
II. Intraday long and short tactical deployment
▶ Long strategy (defensive counterattack type)
Entry conditions:
Appearance near 3315: ① 15-minute chart Pinbar reversal pattern ② RSI bottom divergence (30-minute cycle)
Stop loss setting: 3308 (invalid before breaking through the previous low)
Target ladder:
3340 (Asian session high)
3355 (reduce position 50%)
3375 (stop loss to cost price)
▶ Short strategy (trend-following strategy)
Entry time:
Appearance in the 3355~3360 area: ① Shooting star/evening star ② 4-hour TD sequence selling structure
Or 3302 effective breakthrough and callback confirmation (5-minute chart closed below 3300)
Stop loss rules:
High stop loss 3378 (break through yesterday's high 1.5 times ATR)
Break through short-term stop loss 3318 (pullback after support turns into resistance)
Target space:
3275 (profit and loss ratio 1:3)
3255 (medium-term holding requires cooperation with non-agricultural data)
III. Institutional order flow monitoring
CME futures data:
There is a large option barrier above 3350 (25,000 call options expire)
There is an accumulation of algorithmic trading buying in the 3300~3315 range (high-frequency trading support level)
London fixing price reminder:
This morning's fixing price is 3326. If the afternoon fixing price is lower than 3310, bearish sentiment will increase
IV. Emergency Warning
Today's US ADP employment data
Expected: +185,000 |
Data>200,000: bearish for gold (quick test of 3300)
Data<150,000: positive for breaking through 3355
Geo-risk time window
Iran nuclear negotiation deadline
★ Final conclusion:
Asia-Europe session: 3315~3355 range operation (sell high and buy low)
US session: wait for ADP data to trigger a breakthrough, strictly stop loss of $3 (leverage accounts need to reduce positions to one-third)
Breakthrough formula:
"Break through 3355 and chase more, don't guess the top before 3400;
3300 is lost and then pulled back, consider catching the flying knife at 3255"
POL PROBABLY IN WAVE '' C '' OR " 3 " - LONGThis is in continuation of our ongoing tracking of POL wave structure.
POL is currently in C or 3 which will target the 620-623 or 680 level. Our preferred wave count is C and we will target the 620 level. If our wave count is correct then prices will decline to our buy zone of 588-567 range as wave 4.
Alternately prices will never go to our buy zone and will reach the 620 - 623 level directly making this trade setup as void.
We will buy in portions at 588 > 580 > 576 level
Trade setup:
Entry price: 588 - 567
Stop loss: 547
Targets: 620 - 623
Let see how this plays, Good Luck!
Disclaimer: The information presented in this wave analysis is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial or trading advice, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell any securities.
inj swing trade setupInj has broken downside, expecting more downfall before any leg up, wait for the entries to be filled, these are swing trades based on 1 day TF, so here wick doesn't matter wait for the closing, you can hold them without SL if entry achieved, take 1st entry on mentioned points 2nd entry below SL, and then wait for the closing, IF any entry achieved and candle closed above the short then wait for the pullback and close on entry points if long entry achieved then hold the trade 2nd entry take from previous wick low and wait for the tp this leg down will be the final shakeout before any major move. That's why giving you some short entries. BTC will take a final leg down sooner or later, then Boom your alt season starts.
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bearish reversalWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 67.15 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 70.90 which is a level that sits above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 62.51 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
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USDJPY: Bearish Trend Remains in ControlUSDJPY continues to follow a clear downtrend on the H4 chart, respecting a descending trendline and forming consistent lower highs. The strong rejection at 144.800 and the presence of multiple FVGs further reinforce the bearish structure.
Price is currently retracing to test the FVG zone. If rejection occurs here, the downtrend could resume towards the 141.900 support level.
Trade Setup:
Sell near 144.700
TP: 141.900
SL: above 145.300
Supporting News:
"Risk-on" sentiment is back after strong manufacturing data from China and rising expectations that U.S. interest rates may soon peak, weakening the USD against the JPY.
Are you watching for a short setup like I am?
NETSOL | Swing Trade SetupTrading Note: NETSOL Technologies Ltd. (NETSOL) - Long Position Recommendation
Date: June 13, 2025
Subject: Potential Long Opportunity from Major Support Level
Overview:
This note recommends considering a long position on NETSOL from its significant major support level around 125. Recent price action suggests a compelling opportunity for a bounce from this historically pivotal zone.
Analysis of the 125 Support Level:
The price level of 125 stands out as a critical major support for NETSOL. This level has consistently acted as a strong demand zone, where buying interest has historically emerged to halt downward momentum and initiate price reversals. Looking at past performance, the price has made several notable pullbacks from this area. Each time NETSOL has approached 125, leading to a rebound in price. This repeated rejection of lower prices at 125 underscores its importance as a robust psychological and technical barrier, indicating strong underlying demand. The recent sharp drop and subsequent bounce reinforce the continued relevance of this level.
Recommendation:
Based on the strong historical significance and recent price action, a long position is recommended from the major support level around 125. Traders should consider entry points near this level, potentially with a stop-loss placed just below the immediate lower support marked by the red zone on the chart (around 120) to manage risk.
Target:
Initial targets could be set towards the previously established resistance around the 142 range, aligning with the potential for a rebound towards the upper boundary of the indicated channel.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
GU: Asian highs > Previous Day Low?Hi everyone,
Here is my forecast this morning for GBPUSD. Overall I'm thinking bearish, but I reckon that price could take out the Asian range highs first and then give us a bearish leg towards the previous day low.
Regards,
Aman | SMC Wolf FX
1-1 student onboarding is currently open (website in my signature & profile)
NAS100 Potential ReversalHi there,
The NAS100 is slightly bullish and fairly stagnant. It is consolidating between two key levels (orange lines). A break below the price might fall into deeper demand zones.
Short Notes
- **Elliott Wave**: 5-wave structure appears complete at resistance (22,137.8), signalling a possible reversal.
- **Liquidity Zones**: Price is at/near a major liquidity zone, increasing reversal risk.
- **Break High**: There's a potential for a false breakout above wave 5 before dropping.
- **Support Levels**: The 21,800.6 (previous day high) and 21,146.2 (previous day low) for first support.
- **Demand Zones**: Strong demand below 21,146.2, with deeper support near 20,000 and 18,800.
- **Overview: A possible bearish move ahead from current highs, targeting lower demand zones.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice
Time to buy more chocolates - HSYFor nearly 2 years, the price of HSY has been falling , from a high of 280 to a 50% fall of 141 before it climb back up recently to 175. It is still in the downtrend as shown on the weekly chart.
Yesterday, it rally near 6% , a welcoming surprise to its shareholders. With continuing drop in cocoa price, I believe we could see a breakout from the bearish trend for HSY.
208 will be a strong resistance/profit target for some traders/investors.
Other risks that HSY may face is the anti obesity drive by various governments worldwide. So, indulgent foods like chocolate may take a backseat or consumers may choose to replace it with healthier options or reduce their chocolate purchase. The year end is coming, Christmas and New Year where giving chocolates as gifts are common. This will be an important time for HSY and other confectioneries.
LONG HSY, SHORT COCOA
Please DYODD
Is Japan's Economic Future at a Tariff Crossroads?The Nikkei 225, Japan's benchmark stock index, stands at a critical juncture, facing significant pressure from potential US tariffs of up to 35% on Japanese imports. This assertive stance by US President Donald Trump has already triggered a notable decline in Japanese equities, with the Nikkei 225 experiencing a 1.1% drop and the broader Topix Index falling 0.6% on Wednesday, marking consecutive days of losses. This immediate market reaction, characterized by a broad-based selloff across all sectors, underscores profound investor concern and a pre-emptive pricing-in of negative outcomes, particularly for the highly vulnerable automotive and agricultural sectors.
The looming July 9 deadline for a trade agreement is pivotal, with President Trump explicitly stating his intention not to extend the current tariff pause. These proposed tariffs would far exceed previous rates, adding substantial financial burdens to industries already facing existing levies. Japan's economy, already struggling with a recent contraction in GDP and persistent declines in real wages, is particularly susceptible to such external shocks. This pre-existing economic fragility implies that the tariffs could amplify existing weaknesses, pushing the nation closer to recession and intensifying domestic discontent.
Beyond immediate trade concerns, Washington appears to be leveraging the tariff threat to compel allies like Japan to increase military spending, aiming for 5% of GDP amidst rising geopolitical tensions. This demand strains the "ironclad" US-Japan military alliance, as evidenced by diplomatic setbacks and Japan's internal political challenges in meeting such ambitious defense targets. The unpredictable nature of US trade policy, coupled with these geopolitical undercurrents, creates a complex environment where Japan's economic stability and strategic autonomy are simultaneously challenged, necessitating significant strategic adjustments in its international relationships.