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This move downward appears to be just starting.
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Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Are Losing Over and Over AgainBuyers are failing to maintain each push that we have seen for the last couple of weeks.
Despite markets being pretty calm on bigger timeframes, we still see signs of weakness and as many might call it, "a calm before the storm."
Our next buy zone for BTC is at $70-75K.
Swallow Team
Market Open: VXX Pops...This morning, the VIX popped to $19.26, not seeing levels like this since the Jan. 27th, 2025 jump to $19.93, where the SPY saw an almost 3% drop, NASDAQ dropped 5%.
We saw concerns of heightened market uncertainty, with investors weighing robust consumer spending against mixed economic signals. There were murmurs that the subdued durable goods orders and emerging signs of slowing GDP growth might signal that the current momentum is hard to sustain. Additionally, dovish cues from the Fed—which hint at a more cautious approach to rate hikes—raised questions about whether these measures could ultimately mask underlying inflationary pressures and economic challenges.
On the corporate front, the market was further rattled by underwhelming earnings reports from several key technology players, a sector that had previously driven much of the market’s optimism. This divergence in performance—where defensive sectors such as consumer staples and financials held their ground while growth stocks stumbled—added to the overall anxiety.
Finally, the backdrop of ongoing geopolitical tensions and sporadic trade disputes continued to contribute to a risk-off sentiment, ensuring that market volatility remains elevated.
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GBPCHF: Strong Bearish Pattern🇬🇧🇨🇭
There is a high probability that GBPCHF will drop soon.
A formation of a head & shoulders pattern after a test of a key resistance
and a consequent breakout of its neckline provide a strong bearish signal.
Goal - 1.131
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to 100% Fibo lvl 6214.4.Colleagues, I believe that the upward movement is not over yet and the lower and middle order wave “3” is not yet complete. This is a good chance to go long, but it should be remembered that even though a correction to the uptrend line is possible, I do not recommend selling.
The target area is the 6214.4 level area - this is slightly higher than the 100% Fibonacci extension level.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Pain or gainMorning folks,
So, everything goes accurately with the plan - our 1H H&S is ready to start. Even small "222" Buy already has been formed on the bottom.
So, if you would like to buy - this is the point where you have to decide. Upside target is 100.5-101.2K.
At the same time - don't forget that the H&S has to be considered in context of our big bearish weekly DRPO Sell pattern.
If H&S will be completed at 101K - we consider it as a chance to get the short position at better price. Conversely, if BTC starts dropping and H&S start failing. It could mean that downside action starts immediately.
Other words speaking, if BTC will show upside action at all - it has to start it right now. Otherwise, be prepared for collapse.
I mark this setup as a bullish, because of H&S. But in general we have mid term bearish view.
H&S is just a retracement step before downside action.
$SPY short term top downside from $521 to $481AMEX:SPY is looking like it put in a short term top here. I originally only thought that we had the potential to fall to $545 or so, but now looking at the chart, I think we have the possibility of falling farther.
The two targets that I'm looking for on the downside are $524.35 and 481.18.
Let's see if they get hit over the coming weeks.
If they hit, it'll be the ultimate buying opp as I think from there, we're likely to see SPY over $700 in the coming year or two.
GOLD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2949.5 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 2954.4
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 2940.5
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Oil Trend soon Big downOil* trading in an upward channel with recent price action moving down towards the buy zone around 70.00. There are resistance levels near 71.80 and 71.00, where price had previously faced rejection. The target for this setup is around 69.89, expecting a potential drop from the current price. Watch for a bounce from the buy zone and a possible move toward the target.
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (148.600) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 152.300 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔰 Fundamental Analysis
- The Bank of Japan's (BOJ) monetary policy decisions significantly impact the yen's value. The BOJ's negative interest rate policy and quantitative easing program have contributed to the yen's depreciation.
- The US Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions also influence the USD/JPY exchange rate. Higher interest rates in the US can attract investors, causing the dollar to appreciate.
- Japan's trade balance and current account deficit can impact the yen's value. A large trade deficit can lead to a depreciation of the yen.
🔰 Macroeconomic Factors
- Inflation: Japan's inflation rate has been relatively low, which can impact the BOJ's monetary policy decisions.
- GDP Growth: Japan's GDP growth rate has been slow, which can impact the yen's value.
- Unemployment Rate: Japan's unemployment rate has been relatively low, which can impact the labor market and inflation.
🔰 COT Data
- Non-Commercial Traders: These traders, including hedge funds and individual investors, hold a significant portion of the USD/JPY futures market.
- Commercial Traders: These traders, including banks and other financial institutions, hold a smaller portion of the USD/JPY futures market.
🔰 Market Sentiment Analysis
- Bullish Sentiment: Some investors are bullish on the USD/JPY due to the interest rate differential between the US and Japan.
- Bearish Sentiment: Others are bearish due to concerns about Japan's economy and the potential for the BOJ to intervene in the currency market.
🔰 Positioning
- Long Positions: Some investors have taken long positions in the USD/JPY, betting on a continuation of the uptrend.
- Short Positions: Others have taken short positions, betting on a reversal of the uptrend.
🔰 Next Trend Move
- The USD/JPY may continue its uptrend if the interest rate differential between the US and Japan remains significant.
- However, if the BOJ intervenes in the currency market or if Japan's economy shows signs of improvement, the uptrend may reverse.
🔰 Overall Summary Outlook
The USD/JPY currency pair is influenced by a combination of fundamental, macroeconomic, and market sentiment factors. While some investors are bullish on the pair due to the interest rate differential, others are bearish due to concerns about Japan's economy. The next trend move will depend on various factors, including the BOJ's monetary policy decisions and Japan's economic performance.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Will USDCHF Rise from the Support Zone?When the USDCHF daily chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue above the support zone. As long as the USDCHF 0.8821 support level is not broken down, it is evaluated that the price movements above the 0.8919 level may exceed the 0.9436 level and target the 1.0030 level.
SILVERV - at master of all areas? holds or not??#SILVER.. market just reached at his most important and area of the week that is 32.40 around
keep close that level and stay sharp here.
that is most importnat and our pattern area.
only holding of that area means again bounce expected. otherwise below that not..
so keep in mind that we will go for CUT N REVERSE below that on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
The Crypto Market’s True PowerLet’s shift focus from price volatility to the foundational driver of crypto’s value: network effects. While traditional markets rely on centralized moats (e.g., Facebook’s user base, Visa’s payment rails), crypto’s network effects are decentralized, programmable, and inherently disruptive. This isn’t just theory, it’s a blueprint for identifying asymmetric opportunities.
The Strategic Depth of Network Effects:
- Bitcoin’s Security Flywheel: Metcalfe’s Law quantifies network value as the square of its users, but Bitcoin adds a critical layer: security. Each incremental miner strengthens its Proof-of-Work consensus, exponentially raising the cost of a 51% attack. This isn’t adoption, it’s antifragility.
- Ethereum’s Developer Ecosystem: Ethereum’s dominance isn’t rooted in first-mover advantage alone. Its network effect hinges on developer density. Every new dApp (Uniswap, Aave) attracts liquidity, users, and complementary protocols, creating a self-reinforcing ecosystem. Traditional platforms can’t replicate this composability.
The Uncharted Risk-Reward Dynamic:
- Forks as Network Experiments: Unlike closed systems, crypto’s open-source code allows forks (e.g., Ethereum Classic, Bitcoin Cash) to test value divergence. This isn’t fragmentation, it’s Darwinian market validation.
- Protocol Upgrades as Catalysts: Events like Ethereum’s Merge recalibrate incentives overnight. Leaders must monitor developer momentum and governance alignment; missteps here aren’t setbacks, they’re existential threats.
Why This Matters: Network effects in crypto aren’t linear, they’re recursive. Prioritize ecosystems where liquidity, developer activity, and user growth compound. These are the battlegrounds where 10x returns emerge.
🛠️ Interoperability: The Strategic Race to Unify Crypto’s Fragmented Landscape
The future of blockchain isn’t monocultural, it’s a multi-chain ecosystem. However, interoperability remains crypto’s Gordian Knot. Solving it isn’t technical minutiae; it’s a trillion-dollar opportunity.
The Strategic Challenge:
- Siloed Blockchains = Friction: Bridging assets between chains remains fraught with risk (e.g., Wormhole’s $320M exploit). This isn’t a UX problem, it’s a structural barrier to institutional adoption.
- The Stakes: Interoperability is TCP/IP for Web3. The protocol that standardizes cross-chain communication will capture the foundational layer of crypto’s value stack.
The Contenders:
- Polkadot’s Parachain Model: Auctioning blockchain “slots” to prioritize scalability and security.
- Cosmos’ IBC Protocol: Enabling sovereign chains to interoperate without sacrificing autonomy.
- Layer 2s as Mini-Ecosystems: Ethereum’s rollups (Arbitrum, Optimism) are scaling vertically, but horizontal integration remains unsolved.
The Emerging Frontier:
- Cross-Chain DAOs: Governance systems managing assets across Ethereum, Solana, and Avalanche could redefine organizational infrastructure. This isn’t incremental, it’s revolutionary.
Strategic Insight: Interoperability isn’t a technical checkbox, it’s a power struggle for crypto’s architectural control. Bet on protocols with modular design, robust security audits, and developer traction.
⚖️ Regulatory Arbitrage: Navigating Crypto’s Geopolitical Chessboard
Regulation isn’t a compliance hurdle, it’s a strategic lever reshaping crypto’s geographic and economic frontiers.
The Global Divergence:
- U.S. Uncertainty: The SEC’s “regulation by enforcement” creates a chilling effect. Ripple’s case is precedent-setting: Is crypto a security, currency, or a new asset class? Clarity will unlock, or cripple, innovation.
- EU’s MiCA Framework: While providing regulatory certainty, its stringent stablecoin rules risk stifling DeFi’s permissionless ethos.
- Asia’s Pragmatism: Post-China ban, hubs like Singapore and Dubai are courting crypto enterprises, balancing innovation with oversight.
The Existential Threat: CBDCs
- Central Bank Digital Currencies (e.g., China’s digital yuan) aren’t just digitized fiat, they’re tools for surveillance and monetary control. Crypto’s response? Decentralized governance. Wyoming’s DAO LLC law and decentralized identity solutions (e.g., ENS) are early plays to codify self-sovereignty.
Why This Demands Attention: Regulatory outcomes will determine whether crypto remains a tool for individual empowerment or becomes an instrument of the legacy financial system.
💥 DeFi’s Silent Crisis: The Smart Contract Risk Mispricing
DeFi’s $50B+ ecosystem hinges on one assumption: smart contracts are secure. The data suggests otherwise.
The Reality:
- $1.5B Lost in 2023: Exploits like Euler Finance and Curve’s reentrancy hack highlight systemic fragility. Unlike TradFi, there’s no FDIC insurance, losses are final.
- The Institutional Barrier: Until smart contract risk is mitigated, pension funds and corporates will remain sidelined.
The Mitigation Race:
- Audits ≠ Safety: Firms like CertiK and OpenZeppelin provide baseline checks, but bugs persist.
- Insurance’s Scaling Problem: Nexus Mutual and Cover Protocol lack capacity to underwrite large-scale DeFi.
- Formal Verification: Projects like Chainlink’s Proof of Reserve and algorithmic audits (e.g., Certora) are emerging as non-negotiables for enterprise adoption.
Strategic Takeaway: DeFi’s next phase requires institutional-grade security infrastructure. Allocate capital to protocols prioritizing formal verification and real-time monitoring.
🔮 Quantum Computing: Crypto’s Unspoken Existential Risk
While markets obsess over Fed rates, a stealthier threat looms: quantum decryption.
The Threat Matrix:
- Breaking ECC: Quantum computers could crack Bitcoin’s elliptic-curve cryptography within a decade, exposing private keys.
- Response Timeline: Post-quantum algorithms (e.g., NIST’s Kyber) are in development, but blockchain migration will be chaotic.
The Strategic Play:
Ethereum’s quantum-resistant R&D and privacy chains (e.g., Monero, Zcash) are hedging this risk early. Projects ignoring quantum preparedness risk obsolescence.
Why This Can’t Be Ignored: Quantum risk isn’t hypothetical, it’s actuarial. Leaders must pressure-test portfolios against this scenario.
📊 Tokenomics: Engineering Incentives for Sustainable Growth
Tokenomics isn’t speculative jargon, it’s the economic backbone of crypto projects.
The Levers of Value:
- Supply Dynamics: Bitcoin’s halving cycle vs. Ethereum’s EIP-1559 burn, scarcity narratives matter.
- Governance Centralization: UNI and COMP holders wield power, but low voter turnout risks plutocracy.
- MEV’s Hidden Tax: Front-running bots extract SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B + annually from DeFi users. Solutions like Flashbots MEV-Share aim to democratize this value.
The Winning Formula:
Projects like Curve (veToken model) demonstrate how aligned incentives bootstrap liquidity. Conversely, misaligned tokenomics (e.g., Terra’s UST) trigger death spirals.
Strategic Imperative: Scrutinize token distribution, utility, and governance. Sustainable models prioritize long-term holders over mercenary capital.
🌍 Crypto’s Macro Thesis: Hedge Against Fiat Instability
Crypto’s correlation with equities is a red herring. Its true value emerges during systemic crises.
The Data-Driven Case:
- Geopolitical Hedging: Russia and Venezuela’s hyperinflation drove P2P Bitcoin adoption.
- Inflation Response: While BTC’s 2022 performance disappointed “digital gold” proponents, its 2023 rebound amid banking collapses (SVB, Credit Suisse) reaffirmed its safe-haven narrative.
The Long Game:
As central banks test CBDCs and fiscal instability grows, crypto’s role as a hedge against systemic trust erosion will intensify.
✍️ Crypto’s Core Thesis: A New Economic Primitive
Crypto isn’t an asset class, it’s a foundational shift in how value is created, governed, and exchanged.
The Vision:
- Programmable Money: Smart contracts automate value transfer (e.g., streaming salaries via Sablier).
- Decentralized Governance: DAOs like MakerDAO and Aragon are rewriting corporate playbooks.
The Reality Check:
Crypto is a mirror of human coordination, fraught with scams, inefficiencies, and brilliance. The winners will be those who harness its primitives to solve real-world problems, not speculate on narratives.
Final Note: Leaders who dismiss crypto as a speculative toy will miss the forest for the trees. This is the rebuild of the internet’s infrastructure, participation isn’t optional; it’s strategic.
ETHUSD|BEARISH MOMENTUM PERSISTS AS PRICE TESTS KEY SUPPORT LEVEThe price has stabilized below the consolidation zone, confirming a bearish continuation. After falling from the consolidation zone, the price reached the support level at 2363, which acted as a temporary barrier and initiated a corrective move. This correction may extend toward 2576 before the next major move unfolds. If the price fails to break above 2576, the bearish momentum is likely to resume, leading to another attempt at breaking 2363. A confirmed break below this level would open the path toward the strong support at 2120.
However, if the price manages to break above 2576, it could indicate a return to consolidation rather than a continuation of the downtrend.
Traders, I appreciate your support! If this analysis resonates with you, drop a comment below!
SP500USD| BEARISH CONFIRMATION AND KEY SUPPORT LEVELSHello traders,
The price has stabilised below the support zone, reinforcing the bearish trend as long as it continues to trade beneath this level. Remaining below this zone is likely to drive the price down to 5,947. If this level is breached, the price will encounter the channel, which must be broken with a 4-hour candle close to confirm the bearish trend. Beyond this, a strong support zone lies ahead, which may cause multiple upward rebounds before the price eventually breaks through.
The bullish trend is activated by passing the three main levels of 6002, 6074, and 6102.