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ARB/USDT – Falling Wedge Pattern Suggests Explosive Breakout PotThe chart illustrates a macro falling wedge pattern on the 3-day timeframe — a bullish reversal structure commonly found at the end of a downtrend. A similar pattern previously played out in mid-2023, resulting in a sharp bullish breakout and a 2x price rally.
🟢 First Falling Wedge (2023)
Pattern: A falling wedge formed mid-2023.
Breakout: Price broke above the wedge resistance with strong volume confirmation.
Price Action: After the breakout, price doubled (2x move) from the wedge's height, reaching its ATH (All-Time High).
Time to ATH: Approximately 80 days after breakout to reach peak levels.
🟢 Second Falling Wedge (Current)
Structure: A much larger and longer falling wedge that has been forming for nearly a full year.
Breakout Imminent or Just Happened: Price seems to be on the verge of breaking out of the wedge.
Measured Move: Just like the first wedge, a 2x projection from the wedge’s height is plotted, targeting the $4+ range.
Projection Logic:
Since this wedge is 3 times longer than the first one in duration…
It could take ~240 days (80 days × 3) post-breakout to reach the new ATH
Conclusion
The current falling wedge breakout setup mirrors the first historical pattern — but at a larger scale.
Given that the pattern has taken 3x longer to form, it is reasonable (based on fractal theory and price/time symmetry) to expect a similar but extended rally, both in magnitude (2x) and duration (~240 days).
This analysis suggests a long-term bullish outlook for ARB, with patience being key for traders looking to ride this macro move.
NVDA Still a Monster, But I’m Not Chasing It Just YetNVIDIA is sitting around $135.57 right now, and yeah—fundamentally, it’s crushing it. Revenue growth is off the charts (over 114% YoY) and the data center segment alone pulled in $35B+ last quarter. AI is the fuel, and NVDA is the engine.
That said… we’re getting into overheated territory.
Technically, price is way above its 50/100/200 EMAs, and the RSI is up in the 70s, so we’re clearly in overbought land. Can it push higher? Sure. But I’m not a fan of chasing candles when the chart is screaming “cooldown incoming.”
If we get any weakness or macro jitters (tariffs, earnings nerves, etc.), I’ll be watching for potential entries in the $125–98zone. If we drop into that range with strong volume reaction, I’ll start scaling in.
On the geopolitical front: yeah, the FWB:15B impact from U.S.–China restrictions isn’t nothing—but NVDA’s already moving to offset that with partnerships (like the Saudi AI deal). This isn’t a company sitting still.
📌 Bottom Line:
Long-term, I’m bullish. Short-term, I’m cautious. I’d rather miss a little upside than buy the top and get trapped in a pullback. Let the trade come to you.
Disclaimer: This isn’t financial advice—just sharing my own playbook. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
CAKE retesting done. Ready to fly?As we discussed earlier, NASDAQ:CAKE retested the resistance line successfully. Now it is ready to fly. If Bitcoin remains above 100k in the following weeks, we look forward to powerful fundamental news from Pancakeswap team (e.g. launching Pancakeswap V4) to send NASDAQ:CAKE price to the moon. Fill your bags and get ready ...
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Tesla Faces Resistance, Conclusion: 1,206 New All-Time High?The Tesla stock, TSLA, is facing resistance right now; what to expect?
Expect additional growth but...
Good afternoon my fellow trader, Tesla will continue growing, mark my words.
Volume has been rising now since January 2024, that's a long time. Almost a year and a half with more and more action joining this stock and this is one of the most traded stocks in the whole world. Increasing volume is a very strong bullish signal.
The highest volume session came on the 7-April week and this week closed green. It produced the highest volume since February 2023.
Back in 2023, trading volume started to rise in January and this signaled the start of a long-term bullish trend, higher highs and higher lows. This trend is still valid today.
The bullish bias is confirmed. Let me show you.
» EMAs:
TSLA trades above all moving averages, short-term and long-term. Incl. SMA200 and EMA89/55.
» MACD bullish cross:
This is a very strong signal. Last week the MACD produced a bullish cross and is now coming out of the bearish zone. This is bullish for two reasons, the histogram turns green and there is plenty of room available for additional growth. In a way, this signal shows that the bullish wave is only starting now and that it will continue long-term. This MACD signal doesn't show up unless a bullish wave is coming. You can look back at the weekly MACD and confirms this for yourself. Each time the b-cross is in, this stock grows for months.
» RSI bullish zone (57.63):
To be honest, I don't like how the RSI is looking but we have the classic higher highs and higher lows pattern. The reading is bullish and shows plenty of room available for growth. It could be better though but still, leaning up and supporting more up.
» RENKO (weekly):
Clearly bullish. This confirms TSLA is in an uptrend now and will keep going higher.
» RENKO (daily):
In the daily RENKO chart the bullish bias/signal is even more pronounced, meaning, no room for doubts.
» To end this 'it is obvious Tesla will continue rising technical analysis', let's consider the monthly timeframe:
— We have a perfect rising channel.
— There is a rounded bottom (orange) which is a reversal signal.
— There is a hammer candlestick last month which is also a reversal signal.
— This month is full green which confirms both the hammer and rounded bottom as reversal signals.
All these signals are saying that the bullish trend will continue now.
Last month produced the highest volume since June 2023.
» Tesla (TSLA) is going up.
Namaste.
#ONE/USDT#ONE
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, this support at 0.01298.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.01380
First target: 0.01474
Second target: 0.01582
Third target: 0.01695
CRWV behaves like early ARM..!The most important question anyone should answer before any investment/trade is:
Is the a chance for an Asymmetrical payoff?
If your answer to this question is yes, then look at the other factors!
ARM: after early phase of decline moved +250%!
CRVW: is still a very young publicly traded company but its charts behaves like ARM at its early stages of public trading!
From fundamental point of view, its customers must increased exponentially if there will be an Ai boom!
(Skin in the game)
GBP/CAD Short Setup 🧠 GBP/CAD Short Setup | 4H Analysis
I'm eyeing a short opportunity on GBP/CAD based on a confluence of key technical signals:
🔹 Entry: 1.86361
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.88000
🔹 Take Profit: 1.81452
🔹 RRR (Risk-Reward): 1:3+
🔍 Analysis:
Price tapped into a higher time frame supply zone (S&D) and showed a clear rejection.
We've seen a Break of Structure (BOS) followed by a bearish reaction.
Price is respecting the ascending channel, showing signs of exhaustion near resistance.
Potential for continuation to the downside targeting previous structure lows.
📌 If price respects the current S&D zone and fails to break above 1.88000, continuation lower remains valid.
📉 Trading Plan:
Monitor lower timeframes for additional bearish confirmations and entry triggers before full commitment.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This post is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please trade at your own risk and always follow your risk management rules.
DOW JONES new Bull Cycle has started.Dow Jones / US30 has now crossed above its 1week MA50 and has restored the long term bullish trend.
That trend was in risk of getting invalidated but last month's rebound at the bottom of the long term Channel Up and holding Support A, kickstarted the new Bull Cycle.
Every Support A rebound inside this Channel Up technically started a new Bull Cycle.
The less aggressive of those was +57.76%.
This is where long term investors buy and target 57700.
Previous chart:
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Review and plan for 21st May 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Quarterly results.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Bomeusdt Buy opporutnityBOMEUSDT continues to trade within a clear descending structure, recently bouncing from a major low and now approaching a critical decision zone.
The price reclaimed the $0.001874 buy zone after a sharp recovery and is currently forming a minor bullish channel. If this structure holds, the next bullish objective lies around the $0.005838 supply zone a key resistance where strong rejection is likely, given previous sell-offs.
Any pullback into the $0.001874 zone could offer a strong re-entry opportunity before the next leg up. Stay alert for price reaction around this confluence area.
XAUUSD 05-22-2025Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis
Date: May 21, 2025
Framework: Smart Money Concepts (SMC) / Inner Circle Trader (ICT)
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Market Overview
Gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe continues to maintain a bullish market structure, currently trading at $3,322.55 USD, following a strong upward move after breaking previous resistance.
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Key Technical Factors
1. Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
Daily FVG below: $3,300 – $3,310
Daily FVG above: $3,350 – $3,360
2. Market Structure:
Continues forming Higher Highs and Higher Lows
No signs of Market Structure Break (MSB) or reversal
3. Liquidity Zones:
Liquidity likely resides below $3,310
This area aligns with an unfilled FVG and possible bullish Order Block (OB)
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Intraday Outlook
Price is expected to retrace slightly toward the $3,300–$3,310 FVG to fill imbalance and grab liquidity.
Once that zone is tapped and demand is confirmed, price is likely to bounce upward toward the upper FVG at $3,350–$3,360.
Strategy favors a buy setup, waiting for bullish confirmation inside the lower FVG.
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Suggested Trading Plan
Component Price Range (Approx.)
Buy Zone $3,300 – $3,310
Stop Loss (SL) Below $3,295
Take Profit (TP) $3,350 – $3,360
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Risk Disclaimer
> This analysis is provided for educational and technical insight purposes only, based on the SMC/ICT methodology. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to trade.
Trading in financial markets carries a high level of risk. You should do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Going short on the Nasdaq 100CAPITALCOM:US100
The Nasdaq 100 has moved up impulsively on a 5-wave move over the past 6 weeks, which is very bullish long term. However, in the short term, it is overextended, with the RSI indicator over the 70 level.
I expect it to decline over the next couple of weeks to the area marked in the green rectangle, between the 50% and the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement level.
I hope you find this interesting.
Good luck to you
Gold - This is still clearly not over!Gold - TVC:GOLD - just needs a moment to breathe:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It is just incredible how Gold has been rallying lately. Just over the past 1.5 years, Gold is up another +80% and is creating new all time highs every month. Since these strong rallies continue a lot longer than most people think, Gold still has significant upside potential.
Levels to watch: $3.500, $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
India 50 Major Market Caution Signs Emerging!Any time you see multiple head-and-shoulders patterns forming on the chart often signals serious trouble ahead.
Stay vigilant for a break in the right shoulder of this massive head-and-shoulders pattern currently developing.
As a macro trader, I focus on the big picture—economics and long-term trends. While markets like India and long-term trading don’t get much TV coverage, my aim is to shift your perspective and enhance your trading strategy.
Follow this post to track how multiple head and shoulders patterns and a rising bearish wedge evolve over time.
Let’s ignite your curiosity and elevate your overall trading and investing.
Like, follow, and subscribe to join me in tackling these wild markets. Let's get to 5,000 followers!
KAS (Kaspa) – Long Swing Setup from Key SupportKAS is retracing into a key support zone around $0.108, which has previously acted as a springboard for bullish reversals. This level aligns with a potential higher low structure on the daily chart, and offers a favorable risk/reward setup for a swing long.
🔹 Entry Zone:
$0.108
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $0.13 – $0.154
🥈 $0.175 – $0.19
🛑 Stop Loss:
Just below $0.097 (breakdown below support invalidates setup)
Pound steady as UK inflation surgesThe British pound posted gains earlier but has failed to consolidate. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3395, up 0.03% on the day. The pound has gained 1.1% this week and earlier today rose as high as 1.3468, its highest level since Feb. 2022.
UK inflation jumped to 3.5% y/y in April, up sharply from 2.6% in March and above the market estimate of 3.3%. This was the highest annual inflation rate since Jan. 2024 and was driven by higher prices for transport, housing and energy. Monthly, inflation soared to 1.2%, up from 0.3% and above the market estimate of 1.1%.
The news wasn't much better from core CPI, which rose to 3.8% from 3.4% and was higher than the market estimate of 3.6%. This was the highest reading since April 2024. Monthly, the core rate jumped to 1.4%, up from 0.5% and above the market estimate of 1.2%.
The rise in inflation can be partially attributed to the increase in the energy price cap and the Easter holidays, but is a disappointment for the government and for the Bank of England, as inflation had been trending lower.
The BoE will be concerned by the rise in core inflation, which will complicate plans to further reduce rates. The BoE trimmed the cash rate by a quarter-point earlier this month by 0.25%, but rates are still higher than other major central banks, with the exception of the Federal Reserve.
The Federal Reserve is taking a wait-and-see attitude before it lowers rates again, especially with the uncertainty swirling around US tariff policy. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said this week that even reduced tariffs would be "definitely economically significant" and said he favored one rate cut this year.