GOLD → Gold Market Forecast and AnalysisFor most of the period from 2025 to now, gold prices have risen almost continuously, hitting new all-time highs. Since October 2022, gold prices have almost doubled, rising by more than 25% in 2025 alone, reaching a new all-time high of $3,500 per ounce on April 22. The $4,000 price level, once considered untouchable, is now openly discussed in trading halls around the world.
The easing of global tensions, especially between the United States and China or in Eastern Europe, could significantly reduce safe-haven demand.
While this is not the base case for 2025, it is still an unexpected risk that traders must consider. In fact, gold prices have retreated from recent highs after US President Trump hinted that tariffs on China might be reduced.
The sharp rise in gold prices increases the possibility of a correction. If the upward momentum slows, profit-taking could trigger a rapid and violent sell-off. As with any parabolic rise, volatility is inevitable; prices often experience a short-term downward trend before setting new all-time highs. Traders with short-term strategies should be aware of such price declines and practice risk management: avoid large trades, set stop-losses, and diversify their portfolios.
Quaid wants to say:
Opportunities always come to those who dare to act. Be bold in the gold market, and the next winner will be you, my friend.
Community ideas
Ontology, Simple 250% Bullish Wave MappedOntology is super bullish now recovering above three major support levels after a new All-Time Low. 7-April, the Cryptocurrency correction and market bottom.
The lows in question are 3-February 2025, August and July 2024. All these were major levels with ONTUSDT trading above them all, before crashing below of course. This is the most bullish a chart can become. Literally the most bullish possible.
A new ATL is hit followed by a strong recovery, with a v shaped bottom. Growth confirmed. ONTUSDT has been moving but very slowly, remember? "Slow and steady growth at first and then bullish momentum grows."
That's one, there was another one; "Bottom prices are available now but soon they will be no more, once they are gone they are gone forever. Today, prices can be low yet the next day, a strong rise and the bottom prices are forever gone."
These are the past few weeks of analyzes in summary.
Another, "Buy now and buy everything as if it is the end of the world."
While the bottom is gone, it is still early to enjoy a huge bullish rise/wave/phase and maximum growth.
» The 250% target is an easy target and there will be much more in this bull market. Prices will go off the chart.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
ENIC, 1W Trend Reversal Setup and Breakout AnticipationOn the weekly chart of ENIC, a broad expanding triangle formation transitioning into a base accumulation structure is visible. The price is now approaching a critical resistance zone around $3.90–$4.00, an area that previously triggered major reversals. Currently, the market is consolidating just below this resistance, forming a platform for a potential breakout and retest.
Technical structure:
- EMA 50, EMA 100, and EMA 200 are starting to converge, signaling the potential for a bullish crossover — a key indicator of mid-term trend reversal.
- The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $3.25 has been broken and price is stabilizing above it, reinforcing the bullish setup.
- Higher lows and higher highs have been established — a clear early sign of a new upward trend.
- Volume during the consolidation phase remains stable without signs of heavy distribution or capitulation.
Fundamental analysis of Enel Chile:
- Sector: Energy, Renewable Energy Transition
- Enel Chile is aggressively expanding into green energy, reducing its coal generation portfolio and investing heavily in solar and wind projects.
- Financials: The company maintains stable dividend payouts and holds a manageable debt-to-cash-flow ratio.
- Chile’s national energy policy shift towards renewable energy and international demand for clean energy solutions provide strong long-term tailwinds.
- Global trends favor companies with sustainable energy models, positioning Enel Chile strategically for growth.
Structural targets:
After a successful breakout above $3.90 and a retest confirmation, the next upside targets are:
- $4.61 (0.382 Fibonacci retracement)
- $5.45 (0.236 Fibonacci retracement)
- Extended channel and Fibonacci target: $6.81
Enel Chile (ENIC) is building a mature base structure for a long-term bullish reversal. A confirmed breakout above $3.90, combined with bullish EMA alignment, would unlock a strong upside scenario toward and beyond $6.00. Both technical formation and fundamentals strongly support this outlook. This is a structure you don't want to miss.
Potential GBP/NZD long trade setupOkay, let's delve into each of those aspects for this potential GBP/NZD long trade setup:
Probability of This Setup Playing Out
While bullish divergence within a descending wedge can be a strong indication of a potential reversal, it's crucial to remember that no trading setup has a 100% success rate. Here's a breakdown of factors that could influence the probability:
Strength of the Divergence: The clearer and more pronounced the bullish divergence, the higher the potential probability. In your chart, the divergence looks reasonably clear, with the MACD making higher lows while the price makes lower lows.
Breakout Confirmation: The probability increases significantly upon a confirmed breakout above the upper trendline of the descending wedge. A strong bullish candle closing above this line, ideally with increasing volume, would add confidence.
Market Context: Consider the broader market environment. Are there any significant fundamental events (e.g., central bank announcements, economic data releases) related to either the British Pound or the New Zealand Dollar that could disrupt this technical pattern? Strong unexpected news could invalidate the setup.
Timeframe Congruence: While you're looking at the 4-hour chart, checking higher timeframes (daily, weekly) can provide context on the overall trend. If the longer-term trend aligns with your bullish bias, it can increase the probability of success.
Risk Sentiment: Overall market risk sentiment can also play a role. GBP/NZD can be sensitive to risk appetite.
In summary: The setup has a decent probability due to the bullish divergence and the potential for a wedge breakout, but it's essential to wait for confirmation and be aware of the broader market context.
Potential Entry Points
There are a few potential entry points you could consider, each with its own risk and reward profile:
Aggressive Entry: Entering immediately upon a strong bullish candle breaking and closing above the upper trendline of the descending wedge. This offers the potential for the best entry price but also carries a higher risk of a false breakout.
Conservative Entry: Waiting for a breakout and then a successful retest of the broken upper trendline as support before entering. This can offer a lower-risk entry as it confirms that the previous resistance has now become support. However, the price might not always retest.
Entry on Confirmation Signals: Looking for additional bullish confirmation signals on lower timeframes (e.g., 1-hour chart) after the initial breakout. This could include bullish candlestick patterns or further positive momentum on indicators.
Recommendation: For a balance of potential reward and risk management, waiting for a confirmed breakout followed by potential confirmation on a lower timeframe might be a prudent approach.
Risk Management Strategies
Effective risk management is paramount for any trade. Here are some strategies you could employ:
Stop-Loss Placement: already marked a potential stop-loss level below the recent swing low within the wedge. This is a logical placement as a break below this level could invalidate the bullish setup. Ensure your stop-loss is at a level that, if hit, would indicate the analysis was likely incorrect.
Position Sizing: Only risk a small percentage of your trading capital on this trade (e.g., 1-2%). This will protect you from significant losses even if the trade goes against you. Calculate your position size based on the distance between your entry point and your stop-loss.
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: Aim for a favorable reward-to-risk ratio. Your target levels (TRG 1, TRG 2, TRG 3) allow you to visualize potential profits. Ensure that the potential profit outweighs the potential loss before taking the trade. For example, if your stop-loss represents 20 pips of risk, aim for at least 40-60 pips of potential profit at your initial target (1:2 or 1:3 reward-to-risk).
Trailing Stop-Loss: Once the trade moves into profit, consider using a trailing stop-loss to lock in gains and protect against a sudden reversal.
Confirmation Signals You Might Look For
Beyond the initial breakout, here are some additional signals that could strengthen your bullish conviction:
Increased Volume: Higher trading volume during the breakout suggests strong buying pressure and increases the likelihood of the move being genuine.
Bullish Candlestick Patterns: Formation of bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing, morning star) after the breakout or during a potential retest can signal further buying interest.
Moving Average Crossovers: If you use moving averages, look for bullish crossovers (e.g., the shorter-term moving average crossing above the longer-term moving average) after the breakout.
MACD Crossover Above Zero: The MACD line crossing above the signal line and then moving above the zero line would indicate increasing bullish momentum.
RSI Above 50: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) moving above the 50 level can confirm increasing bullish strength.
How Fundamentals Might Impact This Technical Analysis
While your analysis is primarily technical, it's crucial to be aware of how fundamental factors could influence GBP/NZD:
Central Bank Policies: Monetary policy decisions and statements from the Bank of England (BoE) and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) are major drivers for these currencies. Any unexpected hawkish or dovish signals could significantly impact the exchange rate.
Economic Data: Key economic data releases from the UK (e.g., inflation, employment, GDP) and New Zealand (e.g., inflation, employment, trade balance) can lead to volatility and potentially override technical patterns.
Global Risk Sentiment: As mentioned earlier, GBP/NZD can be influenced by global risk appetite. During times of risk aversion, safe-haven currencies might strengthen, potentially impacting this pair.
Geopolitical Events: Unexpected geopolitical events can also introduce volatility and affect currency valuations.
Recommendation: Before taking the trade, it's wise to check the economic calendar for any high-impact news releases scheduled for the British Pound and the New Zealand Dollar in the coming days. Be prepared for potential volatility around these events.
Let me know if you have any more questions or would like to explore any of these points in more detail!
i would love to hear back from you your thoughts on this pair
S&P 500 Rockets Past Resistance-Is 5,728 Next?The S&P 500 (SPX) formed a double bottom pattern on Monday, April 7, and Wednesday, April 9, on the 4-hour timeframe, signaling a potential reversal from recent lows. Later on April 9, the index broke above resistance, confirming short-term bullish momentum. On April 24, the 20-period moving average crossed above the 50-period moving average, reinforcing the strength of the emerging uptrend. By April 25, a 4-hour candle closed above the 200-period moving average, providing further confirmation of a strong bullish trend. That same day, the SPX broke through the significant resistance level at 5,501, with a candle closing above this level, which supports the view of continued upward movement. Based on my technical setup, the next potential target is projected at 5,728.
$MARA still going to go under $10Even though NASDAQ:MARA has bounced, we're still not completed with the correction.
So far, we've only completed 4/5 waves down and the last leg should take us to the supports below.
I think the most likely target is at $7.64, but other two support levels possible as well.
Let's see where we end up.
Those levels will mark a great buying opportunity for the future.
BTCUSD ANALYSIS🚨 BTCUSD Technical Update! 🚨
Traders, pay close attention! 👀
Here’s what the latest 1H chart is showing us:
🔹 Bitcoin is consolidating around 94,700–94,800
🔹 Potential double top structure forming near the 95,600–95,750 zone — MAJOR resistance ahead!
🔹 If Bitcoin fails to break and sustain above this resistance, we could see a sharp drop towards the first support at 94,383 🔻
🔹 A break below 94,000 could accelerate selling pressure — next downside target near 93,500! 🎯
⚡ Plan your trades smartly!
⚡ Wait for confirmations — either breakout or rejection from the resistance zone!
🔥 Volatility Incoming! Stay Alert and Manage Risk Wisely! 🔥
USDJP WEEKLY UPDATESHello folks, if you're following
this idea since, then the higher chances are, you win the trade on my short idea before.
Now I'm expecting lows again, This idea is on weekly gap to be filled.
Chart are on 4HTF. this idea are on weekly.
It might retrace, but the weekly timeframe still on bearish.+
This is not a financial advice, follow for more.
NEXT WEEK XAUUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THECAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(XAUUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (XAUUSD) ready for(BUY)trade( XAUUSD ) BUY zone
( TRADE SATUP)
ENTRY POINT (3320) to (3318) 📊
FIRST TP (3327)📊
2ND TARGET (3337) 📊
LAST TARGET (3345) 📊
STOP LOOS (3305)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
NZD/USD READY TO FLY! | CHECK THIS BULLISH SIGNAL SETUP NZD/USD Signal analysis Setup Alert 🚨
• Trade Setup: LONG
📍 Entry Zone: 0.5960 – 0.5965
🎯 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.5978
🎯 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.5990
🎯 Take Profit 3 (TP3): 0.6001
❌ Stop Loss (SL): 0.5953
Technical Breakdown:
✅ Ascending trendline support confirmed
✅ Repeated bullish rejections from support zone
✅ Clean bullish structure targeting multiple resistance levels
Stay disciplined. Wait for price to react in the entry zone and look for confirmation before executing! Do proper risk management, and Trade at your own risk.
We are witnessing the attack of the bulls on Alice's neighbor. In the medium term, and given the movement of Bitcoin, if there is no severe crash in the market, Alice can reach the specified range. However, this is what I think about and shared, so there is no reason for you to use it. I hope you do not come out of this market empty-handed.
Gold Reaching Final Wave – Potential Reversal Ahead
Description:
Gold appears to be completing a five-wave Elliott structure with the current move approaching wave (v). The price has now entered a key Fibonacci resistance zone between $3,444 and $3,675, corresponding to the 0.586–0.618 levels.
This area may act as a potential reversal zone, especially with confluence from previous highs and long-term trendlines.
📉 Correction Scenario: If a top forms here, we may see a multi-month correction targeting:
TP1: $2,971 – $2,693
TP2: $2,200 – $2,000 (long-term support zone)
⚠️ Risk Note:
This could be the final leg of the bull run. Risk-reward no longer favors aggressive long positions unless there's a confirmed breakout with high volume.
📌 Monitoring price action around this resistance will be crucial. A sharp rejection here may trigger the beginning of the next corrective phase.
#Gold #XAUUSD #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
Nokia:Inverted Head and Shoulders Structure + Retest of BreakoutOn the weekly chart of Nokia, a classic Inverted Head and Shoulders reversal pattern has formed. The breakout above the neckline occurred with increased volume, confirming the strength of the move. Currently, the price is undergoing a standard technical retest of the neckline from above — a typical phase before a potential continuation higher.
The structure remains active: the projected height (H) points to an initial target at $5.48, based on the distance from the neckline to the head. If momentum continues, Fibonacci extension targets are located at $6.18 (1.272), $6.55 (1.414), and $7.08 (1.618).
Technical view: the retest of the neckline is happening on declining volume, strengthening the probability of a bullish reversal. EMA 50/100/200 are beginning to align in a bullish crossover. The ascending channel structure also supports the upward movement.
Fundamentals: Nokia is progressing with its strategic programs in 5G and upcoming 6G network technologies, reinforcing its long-term growth prospects. Improved financial performance and the recovery in demand for telecommunications infrastructure amid global digitalization trends continue to support investor interest in the stock.
The Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is confirmed by the breakout and current retest. As long as the price holds above the neckline, the bullish scenario toward $5.48 and beyond remains intact. This is a medium-term trend reversal structure — strong setups like this form the foundation for major moves. Don’t miss them.
trading ETH/USD FUTURES, 4H.The price of ETH has consumed the bearish time of the SQZ indicator and has made a range above the two moving averages, which gives us a sign of strength in buyers, for the day a bullish pattern will possibly be in place and possibly the best buying zone will be between $1730 to $1700 dollars.
Long on $TTD ; It should test 75-80 range- Many good news have come for NASDAQ:TTD in the last 2 weeks and one of that is Judge ruling against Google Ad business which might lead to relaxed rules by Google which will help other advertisers expand their TAM
- Netflix ads should allow DSPs like NASDAQ:TTD to get more investment dollars flowing through their platform.
- EPS is growing massively in FY 2027/2028.
- I'm not sure if we could get all time high before 2027 but firmly believe NASDAQ:TTD should test 200 weekly SMA.
$Hype to new lows? GETTEX:HYPE looks like it's forming a double top here below key resistances.
If we end up falling lower here, and get to the bottom of the channel, I think that price is likely to break down from the channel and hit one of the lower supports before we start the next bullish move.
Let's see how it plays out over the coming weeks.