GOOGL Slips into Bearish Gamma Territory. 8/1GOOGL Slips into Bearish Gamma Territory — Eyes on $190 Defense or Slide to $187.50
🔍 GEX & Options Flow Insight (1st Image Analysis)
GOOGL has broken down from its recent consolidation and is now testing the $190–$192 gamma support band. The GEX profile shows heavy negative gamma just below current price, increasing the risk of accelerated selling if $190 fails.
* Call Walls & Resistance:
* 📍 $194.91–$196.53 → First resistance zone
* 📍 $197.85 → Highest positive NET GEX / Gamma Wall
* 📍 $202.50+ → Out of immediate range unless a strong reversal occurs
* Put Walls & Support Zones:
* 🛡️ $190.50 → Current gamma pivot
* 🚨 $187.50 → 2nd Put Wall / Hard gamma floor
* 📉 Below $187.50 opens the door to $185–$182
* Volatility Insight:
* IVR 18.9, IVx Avg 32.5 → Slightly elevated IV
* Call flow 11.2% → Bearish leaning
* GEX sentiment: 🔴🔴🔴 = Negative gamma environment → more volatility to downside
✅ Option Trading Suggestion:
Bias: Bearish unless reclaiming $194+
Strategy: Bear put spread
* Entry Idea: Buy 190P / Sell 185P for Aug 2 or Aug 9 expiry
* Invalidation: Close above $194.91
* Target: $187.50 → $185
Why this works: Dealers in negative gamma hedge by selling into weakness, which can accelerate moves lower. Losing $190 likely brings $187.50 quickly into play.
🧠 Technical Analysis (1H Chart) (2nd Image Analysis)
Market Structure & SMC:
* 🟥 CHoCH confirmed after rejection from $197.85 supply
* ❌ Price broke BOS support from $194.91 area
* Trading in a descending structure toward $190 support
Trendline Dynamics:
* Broke short-term uptrend
* Now respecting a lower parallel channel toward $187.50
SMC Zones:
* 🟩 Demand Zone: $190.50–$187.50 → First defense zone
* 🟥 Supply Zone (Purple Box): $194.91–$197.85 → Immediate resistance
🔄 Price Action & Key Levels
* Support:
* ✅ $190.50 → Current hold line
* ✅ $187.50 → Gamma floor
* 🚨 Below $187.50 → $185 → $182
* Resistance:
* 🚩 $194.91 → First reclaim level for relief rally
* 🚩 $196.53–$197.85 → Supply + Gamma Wall
🧭 Scalping / Intraday Trade Setup
🟥 Bearish Setup (Preferred):
* Entry: Failed bounce at $194–$195
* Target 1: $190.50
* Target 2: $187.50
* Stop: Above $196
🟩 Bullish Reversal Setup:
* Entry: Strong reclaim of $196.50 with volume
* Target 1: $197.85
* Target 2: $200+
* Stop: Back under $194
🔁 Summary Thoughts
* GOOGL has shifted from neutral to negative gamma, favoring continued downside pressure.
* $190.50 is the short-term line in the sand — losing it risks a swift trip to $187.50.
* Any bounce into $194–$196 is likely to face selling pressure unless backed by volume and a gamma flip.
🚨 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
Community ideas
Ethereum Quick Outlook – Potential Trap Before Drop?ETH is moving within a rising channel, but momentum is fading. Price failed to break above the midline and is now testing lower support.
A fakeout to the upside toward the $4,015–$4,050 supply zone is possible before a deeper drop. The projected path suggests a short-term bounce, final liquidity sweep, then potential reversal.
🟡 Key Resistance: $4,015
🔻 Breakdown trigger: Below $3,620
🎯 Bearish Targets: $3,250 → $3,100
Structure hints at a possible Ending Diagonal (Neowave), or a Trap-Wave E inside a Complex Correction.
⚠️ Watch for manipulation near highs – confirmation needed for short entry.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of FOMC Update:
Thank you.
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3335 for 3338, 3340, 3345, 3347 and 3357 in extension of the move
Break below 3320 for 3310✅, 3306✅, 3302✅, 3297✅ and 3393✅ in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
USDCAD bounced from Support and can continue higherLooking at the chart and the overall structure, I think we can favor the continuation setup with a emphasis on price action at key zones, particularly when price breaks out then can revisit this structure for a retest.
This bounce off support has been accomplished in my previous analysis:
Here, if price breaks with strength and dips back into the area and holds with bullish confirmation (likely a wick rejection or bullish engulfing on lower timeframes), that would be the cue to get in.
I am projecting the next target to 1.38600 that makes sense as a logical level for trend continuation and that I find achievable.
S&P 500 ETF & Index Hit Resistance – A Technical Warning Shot 📉⚠️ S&P 500 ETF & Index Hit Resistance – A Technical Warning Shot 🔍🧠
Following up on the video I just posted , I had to share this updated chart of the VOO ETF (Vanguard S&P 500) and US500 Index , now that both are testing key resistance levels.
On the left: AMEX:VOO has reached the very top of a multi-year ascending channel—a zone that has historically triggered sharp corrections. The level at 590.85 marks a major resistance zone.
On the right: The US500 Index is showing a similar technical overextension, trading just under 6,450, with 5,928.25 as the nearest support below.
🎯 Technicals at play:
VOO could retrace toward 526.17 and potentially 465.72, both of which are solid technical supports within this channel.
This setup doesn't mean panic—but it does argue for caution, especially after such an extended run.
🧠 And yes, the Buffett Indicator (Stocks-to-GDP) continues to point toward an overheated market . While it's not a timing tool, it adds macro weight to the technical signals.
In the video, I also touched on:
Taking profits on NASDAQ:NVDA after a near-perfect technical rejection at target.
Reviewing Rolls Royce nearing upper channel resistance.
Gold and Silver at inflection points—likely to be impacted if equities begin to unwind.
Rotational potential into Bitcoin and Ethereum, which may benefit from macro shifts.
This is how I trade: respect structure, stay proactive, and prepare before the move—not after. Let me know how you’re positioning or if you’re sitting on hands waiting for a dip.
One Love,
The FX PROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
UNH: Mapping Out a Defined-Risk LEAPS Strategy in the "Buy Zone"UNH is approaching a broad structural support region I’ve been tracking -- a wide zone from $239 down to $186, where (for me) the stock begins to offer compelling risk/reward and long-term value. Momentum, IMO, is still decisively lower, but we’re nearing levels where I start preparing.
The midpoint of the “Buy Zone” near $213 reflects a potential average cost area I’d be very comfortable building from, depending on how price behaves as it enters the zone.
I’ll look to initiate exposure through long-dated call options (LEAPS) -- as I’ve started doing in NYSE:CNC -- once the setup begins to stabilize. From there, I’ll begin layering in short puts at ownership levels that align with the broader structure. If assigned, I’ll own where I intended. If not, I’m collecting premium to help finance the LEAPS.
I’m not in the business of calling exact bottoms… this is about building a position that respects time, structure, and flexibility -- anticipating a slow grind higher over the next 12–18 months. Stay tuned.
Close out the Week STRONGLooks like price has found its bottom and is ready to push from here. We are looking for a strong forceful break out from this zone so we can go for the higher levels. Everything looks right from here and value keeps shifting up. I know we should get a solid entry but waiting for it to line up with time.
AAPL EARNINGS TRADE SIGNAL (JULY 31)
### 🍏 AAPL EARNINGS TRADE SIGNAL (JULY 31) 🚀
📊 **AAPL Call Play** — Earnings Strategy
🧠 Multi-model conviction: **75% Bullish Bias**
---
### 🔍 Fundamental Drivers
✅ TTM Revenue: +5.1%
✅ Gross Margin: 46.6%
✅ 8 straight earnings beats
⚠️ Sector shift: growth → value = caution
📉 TTM EPS Est: \$8.31 (+29.4% growth est.)
🧮 **Score**: 8/10
---
### 💰 Options Flow Breakdown
🔥 IV Rank: 0.70
🔵 Bullish OI @ \$220C = 25,950 contracts
🔻 Skew: Heavy puts @ \$197.5 / \$200
⚠️ Gamma squeeze possible near \$220
📈 **Score**: 8/10
---
### 📉 Technicals
📍 RSI: 39.3 (Oversold)
📉 Trading below 20DMA (\$211.64)
🟥 Low volume pre-earnings = low conviction
📌 Support: \$207.5 | Resistance: \$220
📉 **Score**: 6/10
---
### 🌐 Macro Setup
⚠️ Supply chain pressures
⚠️ Regulatory risk ongoing
🔄 Growth → Value rotation still underway
🌐 **Score**: 5/10
---
### 🧠 Trade Setup (Call Option)
* 🎯 **Strike**: \$220
* 💵 **Entry**: \$0.87
* 📅 **Expiry**: 08/01 (2DTE)
* 📈 **Target**: \$2.61
* 🛑 **Stop**: \$0.43
* ⚖️ **Risk**: 2% of portfolio
* ⏰ **Timing**: Enter before close, report after market
🧮 Expected Move: ±5.0%
🔒 Confidence Level: 75%
---
### ⚙️ Exit Plan
✅ Profit: Exit @ \$2.61
❌ Stop: Exit @ \$0.43
🕒 Time Exit: Force close within 2 hours post-earnings
---
📣 **EARNINGS SCALP PLAY**
— AAPL is oversold w/ strong EPS beat history
— Bullish OI stacking at \$220
— High gamma setup, low IV risk = 💥
\#AAPL #EarningsTrade #CallOption #TradingView #0DTE #OptionsFlow #GammaSqueeze #UnusualOptions #AppleEarnings #SwingTrade #TechStocks
Johnson & Johnson Wave Analysis – 31 July 2025 Johnson & Johnson reversed from the resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 160.00
Johnson & Johnson recently reversed down from the strong resistance zone located between the long-term resistance level 168.15 (upper border of the weekly sideways price range from 2023) and the upper weekly Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the earlier intermediate impulse wave (3).
Given the strength of the resistance level 168.15 and the overbought weekly Stochastic, Johnson & Johnson can be expected to fall to the next support level 160.00.
Platinum Wave Analysis – 31 July 2025- Platinum broke support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 1200.00
Platinum recently broke the support zone located between the key support level 1340.00 (low of the previous minor correction iv) and the support trendline of the daily up channel from May.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the c-wave of the active ABC correction 4.
Given the bearish sentiment across the precious metals markets, Platinum can be expected to fall to the next support level 1200.00 (target for the completion of the active wave c).
Bearish pennant pattern active. Active SELL✏️Gold price is forming a triangle accumulation pattern. That shows the hesitation of investors at the moment, they may be waiting for important economic indicators of the US this week. Just an impact that makes Price break out of the triangle border can create a strong FOMO trend. The price line is quite similar to the bearish pennant pattern and heading towards really strong support areas.
📉 Key Levels
SELL Trigger: Break bottom line 3324
Target 3285, lower is the 3250 area
BUY Trigger: Break and trading above 3333
BUY Trigger: Rejection and confirmation of candle at 3285
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
GBPCHF meets strong support: A reversal here is high probabilityLooking at GBPCHF and how it fits within my approach to structure-based trading, this one is really speaking my language.
Price has come down into a key higher-timeframe support zone: a zone that’s proven itself multiple times in the past. Now, price has shown some initial rejection there, making my long position towards 1.1000 a clear, rational target.
What makes this setup different could be the patience behind it. As we let the market complete its downward leg, waited for price to revisit a reliable zone, and now anticipating a bounce back. It’s a move that I’ve captured across my previous charts again and again.
Let me know in the comments what you think
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC/USD 4h chart🔸 Formation: Triangle descending (descending)
• Upper trend line (orange) - inheritance, connects lower and lower peaks.
• Lower support line (red) - approx. 116,700 USD - key support, tested many times.
🔻 Support
USD 116,700
Tested several times, currently threatened
🔻 Another support
USD 114,669
Target level when struck with a triangle
🔼 Resistance
USD 118,321
The nearest resistance - the former level of support
🔼 Resistance
USD 119,931
Local peak
🔼 Strong resistance
USD 121,107
Upper level of structure
📉 STOCHASTIC RSI (lower indicator)
• Line cutting and a decrease in the purchase area (> 80) towards the center.
• No extreme sales signal, but the trend begins to be negative.
⸻
📌 Applications and possible scenarios:
🔻 Bearish script (more technically likely):
• If BTC breaks below USD 116,700 with a 4H candle closure, possible:
• a decrease around USD 114,669 (lower limit of the triangle)
• Even lower - around 113,500-112,000 USD with an increased volume
🔼 Bullly script (less likely but possible):
• needed quick breaking above USD 118,300 and maintaining above this level
• Then the goal will be USD 119,931, and then possible traffic up to USD 121.107
⸻
📍 Summary:
• We see classic triangle descending-pro-draft formation.
• Support 116,700 USD very close to breaking - if it falls, down movement can be dynamic.
• Stochastic RSI coincides with the deterioration of the moment.
• The inheritance scenario seems dominant, unless there is a strong demand and over 118,300 USD.