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EUR/CAD Technical Analysis – Price Rejection at Key ResistanceEUR/CAD has reached its highest level since August 2024, touching a major resistance zone. However, instead of breaking higher, the price has faced strong rejection, indicating that sellers have stepped in with force. The pair tested a critical resistance level but failed to break through, signaling a potential shift in momentum. The rejection suggests that buyers may be losing control, giving sellers an opportunity to push prices lower Downside Targets: The next potential target for sellers is 1.50000, a psychological and technical support level. If selling pressure remains strong, the second downside target is 1.48800
Short
by Pipsview_Analysis
Bearish drop?EUR/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 157.09 1st Support: 155.00 1st Resistance: 158.35 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Bullish bounce?AUD/CAD is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 0.8956 1st Support: 0.8927 1st Resistance: 0.9015 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
USD/JPY probability assessment of the next price movement:From analyzing the USD/JPY charts across different timeframes, here is a structured probability assessment of the next price movement: Market Structure Overview: Bearish Trend on Higher Timeframes (4H & 1D) The market has been trending downward, breaking previous lows. A clear Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (ChOCH) suggest bearish control. Discount Zones are marked, showing potential reaction areas. Liquidity & Order Flow Price is currently near a discount zone on the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H). Premium zones are visible on higher timeframes, meaning a retracement could happen before further downside. Key Levels: Resistance Zones: 151.000 - 152.000 Support Zones: 148.000 - 148.350 Equilibrium Levels: Around 150.000 Probability Scenarios: Bearish Continuation (65% Probability) Price is forming lower highs and lower lows. If price fails to break above 150.000 convincingly, a further decline to 148.350 - 148.000 is likely. BOS confirms continued bearish momentum. Bullish Retracement (35% Probability) If price reacts strongly at the discount area, a push toward 150.500 - 151.000 before continuing lower is possible. Confirmation required: A higher low formation and BOS in lower timeframes (15m, 30m). Trading Plan: Short (Sell) Plan - Higher Probability Entry: Around 149.500 - 150.000 (If price shows rejection) Confirmations Needed: Rejection from supply zone + bearish price action (e.g., bearish engulfing) Stop Loss: Above 150.500 Take Profit: 148.350 (1st target), 148.000 (2nd target) Risk-to-Reward: 1:3 Long (Buy) Plan - Lower Probability Entry: 148.350 - 148.000 (If price shows bullish reaction) Confirmations Needed: Strong bullish candles + BOS on lower timeframes Stop Loss: Below 147.800 Take Profit: 150.000 (1st target), 151.000 (2nd target) Risk-to-Reward: 1:3 Final Summary Table Scenario Probability Key Level to Watch SL TP Bearish Continuation 65% 149.500 - 150.000 150.500 148.350 - 148.000 Bullish Retracement 35% 148.350 - 148.000 147.800 150.000 - 151.000 📌 Conclusion: The market remains bearish unless a strong reversal structure forms. Best trade is to wait for a short entry around 149.500 - 150.000 and target 148.350 first. A bullish move is possible but needs confirmation. 🚀 ​
Short
by wizzywise1
CHF/JPY short.: Safety first. Agent Chaos strikes again.Hello traders. This is my first trade since last week. Trump is ripping through the markets like a tornado. First, the made for TV moment of dressing down Zelensky in the White House. We all know, the meeting just prior to that behind closed doors must have been a screaming match because he did not get his way. I'm surprised he did not yell at Zelensky, "You're Fired"! :)) The UK, France and other European leaders picked up the baton in this frightening battle of egos to prevent World War 3. The Euro responded as expected but retreated from the familiar 1.05 level. Today, new tariffs are announced-again. The stock market responded with all three major indices shedding significant value. Tomorrow night, Trump's address to Congress. What is going to transpire in that speech is well known ahead of time: inflation, immigration, America First, tariffs, that ungrateful Zelensky blah blah blah However, it is the unknown that he may come up with that gave me pause to reassess risk appetite. I am not opposed to the USA demanding fair trade but why bother with the pretense of trade agreements? Folks, it is not looking great. He took crypto on a wild ride with his "reserve" announcement. Bitcoin ripped higher from $78K to 94 and back to 82 in no time. Gold is turning up. The VIX was up to 24 today from a sedate average of 14 since the FOMC December 2024 rate announcement when it spiked up to 29. I was still considering trading my favorite instrument EUR/USD(be careful) until I searched for an answer as to how legal the tariffs are under the USMCA (Old NAFTA) trade agreement and found this article. cepr.org I encourage you to read the whole article. The take away for me is that the use of the 1977 USA International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) as a pretext(think fentanyl) to raise tariffs on Mexico and Canada, is not only diabolically devious(good job Peter Navarro), there is not much point for any organization or individual in the US to challenge it in court. China has already filed a complaint with the World Trade Organization during February although the foregone conclusion is that even if they prevail, the US will appeal and a whole lot of nothing will happen. There is the ongoing opinion that Trump is using all these tariffs as bargaining tools but when one considers his outburst with Zelensky, supporting Putin in public, risking WWIII and then apply that reckless mindset to trade, I am truly terrified of the global economic pain that may follow. I have shorted the CHF/JPY since these are the safest global currencies. The fundamentals are simple. The SNB cut rates by 50 bps in December 2024, will meet on March 19th but will probably stay put. The BOJ is on a different path. They are raising rates. So while both currencies are at 0.50%, the JPY seems to be the clear winner, also because of the size of it's economy and no clear threats of more tariffs-yet. The pair is below the 100 W MA and has a long way to trend down. This could be a great set and forget trade. This is risk off environment and I wish everyone the best.
Short
by jvrfxalerts
XAU/USD: Consolidation Before Breakout – Bullish Move Ahead?Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of breaking out from the downtrend channel, but further confirmation is needed to sustain its bullish momentum. Currently, two main scenarios could unfold: 1.Sideway Consolidation Before Rally: If gold maintains above the 2,881 - 2,894 zone, price may consolidate within this range before a breakout forms. A decisive move above 2,894 could pave the way toward 2,921. 2. Pullback to Support Before Rebounding: If XAU/USD fails to hold above 2,881, it may retest the strong support zone 2,860 - 2,870 to attract fresh buying interest. A strong reaction here could trigger a reversal and continue the recovery trend. Trading Strategy: Buy above 2,881, targeting 2,894 - 2,921, with a stop-loss below 2,870. Buy on a pullback to 2,860 - 2,870, if support holds, with a stop-loss below 2,850. Wait for a breakout above 2,894 to confirm stronger bullish momentum. Beyond technical factors, President Donald Trump's speech at the U.S. Congress could significantly impact market sentiment. If the speech signals economic instability, gold may strengthen as a safe-haven asset. Conversely, a pro-USD stance could limit gold’s upside potential.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gogii_i
NIFTY : Is still Panic Ahead? In Continuation of my last analysis on 27-Jan-2025 Updated on Daily Charts Bullish Wave Completion (Wave 1): The initial upward move saw prices reach a bullish wave completion zone between 21,179 and 22,481. This zone represents the culmination of a strong impulsive wave, with consolidation occurring around the lower band (21,179) after peaking. The support held firm, indicating potential for further upside initially. Extended Wave C or Wave 3 Profit Booking (Wave 2): Following the bullish peak, an extended Wave C or Wave 3 profit-booking zone was identified between 22,086 and 22,636. This zone triggered a sharp decline as prices hit the upper band, suggesting overextension and exhaustion of bullish momentum. The drop broke below the support of this zone, setting the stage for a corrective phase. Correction Wave (Wave 3): A corrective wave formed, confirmed by a 50% Fibonacci retracement of the prior upward move. This retracement level acted as a natural pullback point, with prices stabilizing briefly before resuming their downward trajectory. This wave indicates a healthy correction within the larger trend. Support and Further Correction (Wave 4): Prices found temporary support within the correction wave zone of 22,758 - 23,054. However, this support failed, leading to a further decline after the formation of Wave 4 on a minor wave. The chart marks this as part of an extended correction wave completion zone (21,613 - 21,894), where current price action is converging. Current Market Position and Outlook: As of the chart's context (March 2023, with the current date being March 4, 2025), prices are trading toward the extended correction zone (21,613 - 21,894). This zone represents a critical level where buyers might step in, but a break below could signal deeper losses. Short-term resistance is noted around 23,054, while a sustained move below 21,894 could target the Primary Wave 4 bottom at 19,683. This level aligns with a significant long-term support zone, making it a key area to watch for reversal or continuation. Trading Implications: Bullish Case: If prices hold above 21,894 and show signs of reversal (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns or increased volume), traders might anticipate a bounce toward 23,054. Bearish Case: A break below 21,894 with strong momentum could open the door to 19,683, especially if broader market sentiment turns negative. Risk management is crucial, with stop-losses recommended below key support levels and targets set near resistance zones.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
GBPUSD ANALYSIS *GBP/USD Analysis* The GBP/USD pair has regained the 1.2600 level, driven by the US Dollar's weakness. This weakness is due to: - Risk appetite: Investors are becoming more confident and taking on more risk. - Ukraine conflict: A potential truce in the Ukraine conflict is also contributing to the US Dollar's weakness. However, the pair's upside is limited by: - Looming US tariffs: The US is planning to impose tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports, as well as Chinese goods. - Geopolitical updates: Ongoing tensions between the US and other countries are also limiting the pair's upside. *Resistance and Support Levels* The pair is facing resistance at: - 1.2600: A key psychological level. - 1.2650: The 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). - 1.2700-1.2710: A key resistance zone. The pair has support at: - 1.2560: The 100-period SMA and a Fibonacci retracement level. - 1.2500: A key psychological level. - 1.2475: The 200-period SMA and a Fibonacci retracement level.
Short
by Expert_Travis
EURAUD – Bullish Continuation Toward 1.68270OANDA:EURAUD is currently trading within an ascending channel, maintaining a strong bullish structure. The price has broken above a key resistance zone and may now be pulling back for a retest. This area previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. If buyers confirm support at this level, the price is likely to move upward toward 1.68270, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. Conversely, a failure to hold support could signal a potential bearish shift. Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have! 🚀📈
Long
by DanieIM
1
Bullish bounce?USD/ZAR has bounced off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 18.5736 1st Support: 18.4387 1st Resistance: 18.8136 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
BankNifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 04.03.2025Monday’s session saw BankNifty opening with a gap-up, hitting a high of 48,574.70, but it couldn’t hold and dropped to a low of 47,841.30. However, it recovered slightly and closed at 48,114.30, losing 230 points from the previous close. Both the Weekly Trend (50 SMA) and Daily Trend (50 SMA) remain negative. Demand/Support Zones Near Support: Around 47,850 (Triple Bottom on Daily Chart) Far Support: 46,077.85 (Low of 4th June 2024) Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 44,633.85 - 45,750.40 Supply/Resistance Zones Near Supply/Resistance Zone (125m): 48,743.80 - 48,911.90 Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 48,981.20 - 49,455.80 Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 49,665.95 - 49,829.40 Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 50,485.05 - 51,979.75 (Tested) Outlook BankNifty has dropped 6,626 points (12%) in the last 5 months from its All-Time High of 54,467.35. Today’s low of 47,841.30 is very close to the previous lows on 13th Jan 2025 (47,898.35) and 27th Jan 2025 (47,844.15), forming a potential Triple Bottom around 47,850. The index closed above 48,000, which could indicate a short-term bounce if the support holds. However, multiple supply zones above suggest strong selling pressure at higher levels. Any upside move may face resistance, making a Sell-on-Rise strategy more favorable until a breakout is confirmed.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by PriteshPalan
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 04.03.2025Monday’s session started on a positive note with a gap-up, as Nifty touched a high of 22,261.55 but failed to sustain and dropped to 22,004.70. It later recovered slightly, closing at 22,119.30, losing just 5 points from the previous close. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains negative, while the Daily Trend (50 SMA) is now in oversold territory. Demand/Support Zones Near Support: 21,281.45 (Low of 4th June 2024) Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 20,769.50 - 20,950 Supply/Resistance Zones Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 22,508.40 - 22,625.30 Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 22,720.30 - 23,049.95 Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 23,222 - 23,807.30 Outlook Nifty has declined 4,272 points (16%) in the last 5 months from its All-Time High of 26,277. The Daily 50 SMA is now oversold, which could lead to some buying near the 22,000 psychological level. However, multiple gaps and fresh supply zones on the Daily and Weekly charts indicate that any upside move is likely to face selling pressure at higher levels. A Sell-on-Rise strategy remains favorable until a strong reversal is confirmed.
NSE:NIFTY
by PriteshPalan
Gold trend today European and American trading session🔔🔔🔔 Gold news: 👉Gold prices saw a slight increase on Monday, driven by a weaker US Dollar. Expectations of another Federal Reserve rate cut put pressure on the USD, which in turn boosted XAU/USD. Additionally, concerns over Trump’s proposed tariffs and the potential for a global trade conflict added to gold’s appeal. 👉The US Dollar also faced downward pressure due to a strong rebound in the crypto market, led by Bitcoin (BTC), after Trump instructed the Presidential Working Group on Sunday to advance plans for a Crypto Strategic Reserve, which will include Bitcoin, Ethereum (ETH), XRP, Solana (SOL), and Cardano (ADA). 👉A broad decline in the US Dollar allowed gold prices to recover after suffering significant losses in the previous two trading sessions. Meanwhile, the Euro (EUR) strengthened as Europe intensified its diplomatic efforts to resolve the Ukraine conflict, further weighing on the USD and supporting the USD-denominated gold price. Personal opinion: 👉Gold price will recover to the 2890 area, then there will be a technical decline to the 2934 area before continuing the uptrend. Because there is currently no strong news for gold to break through this area. 👉Note: any move on President Trump's tariff policy will be considered first, so pay attention to this related news for better trading Analysis: 👉Based on trend lines and EMA combined with important resistance - support levels to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell Gold 2887 – 2890 ❌SL: 2895 | ✅TP: 2883– 2877 – 2870 👉Buy Gold 2833 – 2835 ❌SL: 2827 | ✅TP: 2839– 2844 – 2850 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metals Market Robbery Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🚀 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metals Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (2830.00) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or Swing high or low level should be in retest. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (2830.00) swing Trade Basis Using the 2H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: Primary Target - 2780.00 (or) Escape Before the Target Secondary Target - 2710.00 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Global Market Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Quantitative Analysis, Positioning: XAU/USD "The Gold vs U.S Dollar" Metals Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend., driven by several key factors. ⭐☀🌟Fundamental Analysis Gold prices are influenced by various fundamental factors, including: - Inflation: Rising inflation can lead to increased demand for gold as a hedge against inflation. - Interest Rates: Lower interest rates can make gold more attractive to investors, while higher interest rates can reduce demand. - Central Bank Policies: Central banks' decisions on gold reserves and monetary policies can impact gold prices. - Global Economic Conditions: Economic downturns or crises can increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. ⭐☀🌟Macro Economics Macroeconomic factors that can impact gold prices include: - GDP Growth: Slowing GDP growth can lead to increased demand for gold. - Unemployment Rates: Rising unemployment can increase demand for gold. - Inflation Rates: Rising inflation can lead to increased demand for gold. ⭐☀🌟Global Market Analysis Global market trends can also impact gold prices: - Stock Market Performance: Weakness in the stock market can lead to increased demand for gold. - Currency Fluctuations: A weaker US dollar can make gold more attractive to investors. ⭐☀🌟COT Data Commitment of Traders (COT) data can provide insights into market sentiment: - Non-Commercial Traders: An increase in long positions by non-commercial traders can indicate bullish sentiment. - Commercial Traders: An increase in short positions by commercial traders can indicate bearish sentiment. ⭐☀🌟Intermarket Analysis Intermarket analysis involves analyzing the relationships between different markets: - Correlation with Other Assets: Gold's correlation with other assets, such as stocks and bonds, can impact its price. - Commodity Prices: Changes in commodity prices, such as oil and copper, can impact gold prices. ⭐☀🌟Quantitative Analysis Quantitative analysis involves using mathematical models to analyze gold prices: - Technical Indicators: Technical indicators, such as moving averages and relative strength index (RSI), can provide insights into gold's trend. - Statistical Models: Statistical models, such as regression analysis, can help identify relationships between gold prices and other variables. ⭐☀🌟Market Sentimental Analysis Market sentimental analysis involves analyzing investor attitudes and sentiment: - Bullish Sentiment: Increased bullish sentiment can lead to higher gold prices. - Bearish Sentiment: Increased bearish sentiment can lead to lower gold prices. ⭐☀🌟Positioning Positioning involves analyzing the current market position: - Long Positions: An increase in long positions can indicate bullish sentiment. - Short Positions: An increase in short positions can indicate bearish sentiment. ⭐☀🌟Next Trend Move Based on the analysis, the next trend move for XAU/USD is uncertain. However, if inflation concerns rise, or if there's a significant increase in bullish sentiment, gold prices could move higher. Short-Term: Bullish: $2,900-$3,000, Bearish: $2,700-$2,600 Medium-Term: Bullish: $3,200-$3,500, Bearish: $2,400-$2,200 Long-Term: Bullish: $3,800-$4,000, Bearish: $2,000-$1,800 ⭐☀🌟Overall Summary Outlook The overall summary outlook for XAU/USD is neutral. Gold prices are influenced by a complex array of factors, and the current market position is uncertain. Investors should monitor inflation concerns, interest rates, and global economic conditions to make informed decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
SAXO:XAUUSD
by Thief_Trader