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Silver Embarking on Bullish Reversal?Silver’s bearish wedge breakout may have run its course, with Friday’s rebound from key support at $31.00—where the 50DMA and former resistance converge—suggesting a potential shift in direction. While MACD hasn’t confirmed it yet, RSI (14) has broken its week-long downtrend, hinting at a turn in momentum.
With price action firming and Friday’s hammer candle flashing a bullish signal, the near-term bias has tilted higher. That case would strengthen further if silver adds to gains on Monday, completing a morning star pattern in the process.
A quick glance at the chart shows silver’s tendency to gravitate toward big and half-big figures, putting $31.50, $32, $32.50, and $33 on the radar for those considering longs. Aside from the first, they screen as potential targets depending on risk tolerance. A stop beneath $31 offers protection against a reversal.
Good luck!
DS
March 4 tariff planningMarch 4 tariff planning:
likely minimum pressure down. either today or tomoro
further extend of flush depends on trump's upcoming announcement
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GBPUSD BEARISH FOR 80PIPSTechnical Indicators:
A break below a key support level.
Bearish candlestick patterns such as shooting stars or engulfing candles.
A negative crossover in moving averages (e.g., 50-period crossing below the 200-period).
RSI (Relative Strength Index) showing overbought conditions, signaling a potential reversal.
Fundamental Factors:
Economic data releases that are negative for the UK economy, such as poor GDP growth, disappointing employment reports, or a lower-than-expected inflation reading.
Interest rate decisions or statements from the Bank of England that are dovish.
Stronger-than-expected US data, such as better-than-expected non-farm payrolls, inflation, or GDP figures, which could support the US dollar.
Market Sentiment:
If broader risk sentiment turns negative, investors may flock to the US dollar as a safe-haven asset, putting further downward pressure on GBP/USD.
BTC LONG TP:86,000 04-03-2025I foresee a potential manipulation that could drive Bitcoin down to the 81,000 - 82,000 range before we witness a significant rebound pushing the price up to 86,000. This movement is anticipated within a 1-hour timeframe, meaning we should expect this to unfold in the next 10 to 14 hours. If the expected price action does not materialize within that period, the trade will unfortunately be deemed invalid.
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AUDCHF: Bearish continuation - Will it reach 0.55190?OANDA:AUDCHF is trading within a well-defined descending channel, with price action respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent rejection from the resistance zone suggests sellers are maintaining control, supporting a potential continuation of the downtrend.
As long as the price remains below the resistance level and the channel's upper boundary holds, the bearish structure remains intact.
A potential downside target is 0.55190, aligning with the lower boundary of the channel. A break and close below this level could signal further bearish momentum.
However, a breakout above the resistance zone would invalidate the bearish scenario and may indicate a potential reversal or deeper pullback.
Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
BE CAREFUL CHASING EURUSD breakout! Intraday Update: The EURUSD is breaking higher, HOWEVER, the pair is nearing a triple confluence of the long term 38% retracement, and 127% and 161% extension from the 1.0570-80's. With the intraday RSI's reaching overbought, there is a risk of a reversal at those levels.
Oil Drops Below $68 Amid Trade Wars and Oversupply RisksCrude Oil drops on oversupply risks and weakening demand expectations
Key Events:
- Trade wars between the world’s largest economies heightens inflation and economic contraction risks
- OPEC plans to unwind supply cuts in April despite oversupply concerns.
- Trump - Ukraine dispute may disrupt oil's bearish trend if tensions escalate with the EU and Russia.
Key Levels:
Oil eyes a 4-year support zone ($63.80–$66), and the potential for the consolidation to extend above that zone persists.
- A close below $63.80 may extend declines to $61.50, $60, and $55 (aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the 2020-2022 uptrend.
- A hold above $68.80 could cap gains at $70.50, $73.50, and $75.
Upside potential on Oil is expected to remain short-lived given the bearish implications of trade wars in tandem with oil's 2022 - 2025 dominant downtrend. A clean close above 78-80 zone may reinforce longer term bullish expectations.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
How should we analyze ETHUSDT? I have written about the reasons Ethereum has been the most talked-about asset during this downturn.
↪ Each time it showed a decline, the drop was sharp and rapid, consistently forming new lows. As a result, it has significantly lost trust among retail investors who were primarily focused on buying.
Here is the daily chart of Ethereum.
The overall structure and range are formed using two supply zones as key levels along with a single range.
I am currently using two key levels as my primary reference:
1. The support zone that held during the decline in early February.
2. The resistance zone that formed when the previous low was broken.
✔ Despite the new low being established, I have set the range as shown above because it is still too early to confirm a complete breakdown of the lower range.
✔ As shown in the chart above, we have yet to see a full-body candle close below the lower range. Additionally, the key level at the bottom continues to provide support.
If we do see a decisive full-body close below the lower range and the key level no longer holds as support, we can conclude that the liquidity sweep at the lower range has failed to remove sufficient liquidity.
A Range Sweep typically occurs when there is a well-defined range with clear highs and lows. It refers to a scenario where price temporarily breaks out (or breaks down) beyond this range but closes back inside, leaving a wick.
This movement goes by different names, such as Range Sweep, Stop Hunt, and Fake Out, but they all serve a distinct purpose.
The Role of Smart Money in Liquidity Sweeps
Market-controlling entities, often referred to as Smart Money, tend to move in the opposite direction of retail traders. Their primary objective is to eliminate as many retail positions (liquidity) as possible before triggering a sharp price reversal.
Retail traders generally follow simple trading patterns:
• They tend to chase price moves, entering long positions as the price rises and short positions as it falls.
• They often place stop-loss orders at the most recent swing high (for shorts) or swing low (for longs).
Smart Money exploits this predictable behavior by targeting these stop-loss orders to clear liquidity and then reversing the price direction.
Key Liquidity Concepts
• BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity): Liquidity from short positions’ stop-loss orders resting above key highs. If price touches these levels, a reversal may occur.
• SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity): Liquidity from long positions’ stop-loss orders resting below key lows. If price touches these levels, a reversal may occur.
Liquidity Sweep in Action
Liquidity sweeps follow this mechanism:
1. Price breaches a key level (either a high or a low).
2. Stop-loss orders trigger, increasing liquidity.
3. Smart Money absorbs liquidity and reverses price direction.
Understanding this concept and identifying liquidity sweeps in real-time can significantly enhance your market analysis and trading strategies. Keep an eye on these setups, as they can provide high-probability trade opportunities.
The explanation about liquidity sweeps became a bit lengthy in the middle.
Ultimately, I still see Ethereum’s current price action near the daily low as part of an ongoing liquidity removal process. If it breaks above the trendline resistance and the key level within the internal range supply zone, signaling a trend shift, we could target a move up to the range high of $4,100.
▩ Key Takeaways from This Perspective: The Method and Purpose of Liquidity Sweeps
To successfully trade the movements that follow liquidity sweeps, it’s crucial to understand that positions should not be taken during the liquidity removal process itself.
If liquidity is being swept on a higher time frame (HTF), the top-down analysis approach should be used to identify reversal price action on the middle and lower time frames (MTF, LTF) before entering a trade.
In my next analysis, I will likely discuss how to correctly follow price reversals after liquidity sweeps and how to position accordingly.
Thank you.
US30 Extends Losses Below 43,212 Amid Tariff UncertaintyUS30 Analysis & Market Impact – March 4, 2025
The price has dropped more than 1,000 points ahead of the tariff announcement, continuing its decline toward 43,212.
📉 Bearish Momentum will persist as long as the price trades below the pivot zone at 43,212.
🔍 Technical Outlook
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
As long as the price remains below 43,212, it is expected to drop toward 42,920 and 42,770.
A 4H candle close below 42,770 would confirm further downside, targeting 42,588.
🔹 Bullish Recovery:
For buyers to regain control, US30 must close a 4H candle above 43,350, signaling a potential recovery. A sustained move above 43,350 would shift momentum toward 43,590.
🌍 Market Sentiment & Trade Impact
Investor sentiment remains fragile following Trump’s tariff announcement on Canada, Mexico, and China, increasing downside pressure on US indices.
The market is also reacting to China’s retaliation, imposing additional tariffs of up to 15% on some U.S. goods starting March 10.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
🔸 Resistance: 43,350 | 43,590 | 43,770
🔹 Pivot: 43,212
🔻 Support: 42,920 | 42,770 | 42,588
⚠️ Directional Bias: Bearish as long as US30 remains below 43,212.
However, geopolitical developments and market reactions to tariffs may drive increased volatility.
EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.050.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.045 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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ETCUSDT: Breakdown or Bounce? A Critical Move Is Coming!Yello, Paradisers! Is ETCUSDT about to collapse further, or are the bulls ready to fight back? Let’s break it down!
💎#ETCUSDT remains in a strong downtrend, continuously rejecting the descending resistance and struggling to hold above key levels. Recently, the price tested the imbalance zone at $18.995 but got smacked down, a clear sign that sellers are still in control.
💎Adding further bearish confirmation, the 50 EMA has crossed below the 200 EMA, reinforcing the downside momentum. This classic death cross signals that sellers have the upper hand, increasing the probability of further declines.
💎If ETC retests the $18.995 supply zone and faces rejection again, expect another leg down toward $17.590 and potentially the major support at $16.576. A failure to find strong buying interest at these levels would confirm further downside continuation.
💎However, if ETC manages to break and hold above $18.995, it could signal strength. In this case, price may push toward $21.288, but it must first clear $19.288 with strong volume to invalidate the bearish setup. A confirmed breakout would shift momentum bullish, opening the door for a potential rally toward $22 and beyond.
Stay patient, Paradisers! The market always rewards discipline. If we see confirmation, we take action. If not, we wait. Trade smart, not fast! 🎖
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success 🌴
Short Trade Idea: USDJPY📉 Short Trade Idea: USDJPY
🔻 Short Entry: 148.90 - 149.10
🛑 Stop Loss: 149.65
🎯 Target: 147.00
1:3 Risk Reward Trade
🔎 Trade Rationale:
✅ Bearish Bias on Weekly & Daily TF – Price action aligns with higher timeframe weakness.
✅ Weak Weekly Start (NY Session Monday) – Momentum favors sellers.
✅ Trading Below Last 2 Sessions' Lows – Indicating potential continuation.
✅ Sell Signal Triggered During London Session – Aligns with session-based volatility.
📊 Trade Management: Monitor price action near 147.00 for potential early reaction, adjust SL if needed.
💬 Let me know your thoughts! 📉🚀
Gold surely fly confirm trade read the caption Markets remain risk-averse as a global tariff war seems inevitable, with US President Donald Trump affirming 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico effective on Tuesday while he already signed the order to raise China tariffs to 20%.
In response, China’s Commerce Ministry and the Canadian prime minister’s office confirmed retaliatory tariffs on the US, triggering a tit-for-tat situation, which could translate into a full-fledged trade war
EURUSD, AUDUSD and GBPUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
#GALA/USDT#GALA
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is adhering to it well and is heading to break it strongly upwards and retest it
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at a price of 0.01674
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the Moving Average 100
Entry price 0.01870
First target 0.01870
Second target 0.01993
Third target 0.02129
EUR/USD Trend Today Trading Day🔔🔔🔔EUR/USD news:
👉Trump confirmed that tariffs on Canada and Mexico will take effect starting Tuesday and revealed plans to double the 10% universal tariff on Chinese imports. This move increases the likelihood of a global trade war, boosting demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
👉Meanwhile, traders continue to anticipate that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will implement two quarter-point interest rate cuts by the end of the year due to weakening consumer sentiment. As a result, the US Dollar (USD) struggles to extend its three-day rebound from a more than two-month low.
👉At the same time, the Euro (EUR) strengthens as Europe intensifies its diplomatic efforts to achieve peace in Ukraine. This puts additional pressure on the USD while further supporting gold prices, which are denominated in US Dollars.
Personal opinion:
👉At the time of writing, EUR/USD is priced at 1.0400. It is expected that there will be a slight recovery because the RSI (1H) indicator is in the sell zone and will bounce at 1.0360 to maintain the medium-term uptrend.
Analysis:
👉Based on important resistance - support levels combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy EUR/USD 1.0365 – 1.0355
❌SL: 1.0310 | ✅TP: 1.0410 – 1.0450 – 1.0490
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Dow Jones Index Analysis – Daily TimeframeThe Dow Jones Index is currently in a corrective wave, and until this range phase is over, a strong new move is unlikely. However, once the correction is completed, the index could resume its upward trend.
🔹 The key support level in the long-term timeframe is 41,600.
🔹 In the medium-term, the critical level to watch is 44,000.
🎯 The long-term target is set at 46,600.
📈 Upon completion of the corrective wave, the expected growth is approximately 12%.