Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Breakout: Next Target $3,181?"Key Observations:
Current Price: Gold is trading at $3,127.450 at the time of the chart.
Trend: The chart exhibits a strong uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows.
Support Levels: Several support levels are marked in the $3,010 - $2,999 range, extending down to around $2,906.
Resistance and Target:
The immediate price range is highlighted, suggesting possible consolidation.
A breakout above this range could lead to a target around $3,181.
Chart Annotations:
A retracement (red structure) indicates a short-term correction before continuation.
A breakout structure (black lines) suggests a previous significant upward movement.
The range and possible continuation are marked, indicating that the price may consolidate before attempting to reach the target.
Trading Perspective:
If price holds above the range, we may see bullish continuation towards $3,181.
A break below support levels could signal a deeper pullback towards $3,010 or lower.
This chart suggests a bullish outlook, with potential for more upside if momentum continues. Traders might look for confirmations before entering long positions.
Community ideas
Eurusd 2 April 2025Important day as market await Trump announcements.
Price spike higher while waiting for it. Too early to tell, price could spike up even higher so price staying below resistant region and upper channel is important.
If not for Trump, will short it normally, now just a fraction of it.
Good luck.
EURNZD SELL IDEA i love how the zones on eurnzd have been super clear and with the recent bos a pullback has occurred and on the lower time frame we can see that price is starting to close back under support and for me once price did that the probability of at least going back into half of that zone makes this trade idea worth one me taking.
FCPO Week 14 2025: Retracement before going BEARISH.Price went higher today and this might be only a retracement before going lower again. For the remaining of the week, price might consolidate a bit before having any momentum to continue lower. If it indeed going lower, price will up the gaps before targeting TP1. Depending on price action TP2 is a possibility.
For price to fully go bullish, a close above 6600 is required.
INTO INDIA SERIES EP1: ADANI'S CURRYLIKE COMMENT FOLLOW
"for more nifty comment india"
Mumbai is the new New York
with increased activity says some US news source i read last year
So lets see whats going on outside of trumpville
Technical
price is downtrending
currently at a point in the downtrend where
so many different resistances and zones are intersecting
like the past lower highs
if you think my target is ludacris look at 09/01/23
youd call anyone that forecasted that crazy too but that was
breaking news... even though there was a BoS and continuation
the stock price hadnt been the same since looking so unatural
range spike in a week range spike in a week no steady progress
i wont speculate beyond the charts but like jan 3 2023 .....
Investor sentiment is often heavily influenced by news and reports, especially negative ones. The market has reacted strongly to the Hindenburg allegations, the volatility of the stock market, and overall uncertainty in global markets among recession fears.
this was interesting who knew there was life outside new york
this is like a drama cooking books of accounts "allegedly" like its curry bro was brewing something in hes pot
TATA CHEM ANALYSIS
A.I take for the drama lovers
The stock performance of Adani Enterprises has been influenced by a combination of factors, both internal and external. Here's a breakdown of the key factors at play:
### 1. **Corporate Governance and Financial Practices**
- **Scrutiny Over Financial Practices**: One of the major issues surrounding Adani Enterprises is its corporate governance. Critics have raised concerns over the group's financial transparency and related-party transactions. These issues have led to concerns about the sustainability of the group's business model.
- **Debt Levels**: The Adani Group, including Adani Enterprises, has been under scrutiny for its high levels of debt. Investors are wary of the risks associated with the group’s ability to service
its debt amid market uncertainty.
- **Hindenburg Report**: In January 2023, the Hindenburg Research report accused the Adani Group of stock manipulation and accounting fraud. This report caused a sharp drop in the stock price of Adani Enterprises, triggering investor fears. The group has denied these allegations, but the controversy lingers.
### 2. **Market Conditions**
- **Broader Market Volatility**: As with many companies, Adani Enterprises' stock price is affected by the broader market environment. Economic uncertainty, rising interest rates, inflation, and shifts in global market sentiment can all affect stock prices.
- **Global Economic Conditions**: Being a large conglomerate with interests in infrastructure, energy, and ports, Adani Enterprises is also sensitive to global supply chain issues, commodity price fluctuations, and changes in government policy.
### 3. **Political Factors**
- **Government Relations**: The Adani Group is often seen as having strong political ties in India, especially with the ruling party. This has been both a strength and a point of contention. On one hand, it has helped the company secure major contracts and government projects; on the other hand, it has drawn criticism regarding favoritism and crony capitalism.
- **Regulatory Scrutiny**: Increased regulatory scrutiny, especially after the allegations mentioned in the Hindenburg report, has led to greater risk for the company. The government’s stance on such matters, including potential investigations into corporate practices, could also have an impact on stock performance.
### 4. **Operational Challenges and Market Sentiment**
- **Diversification Efforts**: Adani Enterprises is a diversified conglomerate with businesses spanning ports, energy, agriculture, real estate, and more. While diversification can be a strength, it can also expose the company to risks in various sectors, each with its own challenges.
- **Market Sentiment**: Investor sentiment is often heavily influenced by news and reports, especially negative ones. The market has reacted strongly to the Hindenburg allegations, the volatility of the stock market, and overall uncertainty in global markets.
### 5. **Impact of Corporate Practices on Stock**
- **Corporate Practices Impact**: The corporate practices of Adani Enterprises have indeed had a significant impact on the stock. The allegations of fraudulent activities and questionable financial dealings have led to a loss of investor confidence. Trust in a company's management is crucial for stock performance, and doubts regarding the company's transparency and ethics can lead to stock sell-offs.
- **Investor Confidence**: If investors feel uncertain about a company’s leadership and practices, they may choose to sell their holdings or avoid buying, which can lead to a decrease in stock price. Adani Enterprises has faced significant outflows from institutional investors as a result of these concerns.
### In Conclusion:
Yes, corporate practices, especially concerns over governance and transparency, are having a significant impact on Adani Enterprises' stock. While market conditions and global factors also play a role, the company's internal issues—particularly related to its financial management and corporate governance—have created volatility and uncertainty. This has contributed to the stock price fluctuations and led to decreased investor confidence in the short term. However, the long-term impact will depend on how the company addresses these issues and whether it can restore confidence among investors.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) - Technical Analysis🧠 Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) - Technical Analysis
📅 Chart Date: April 2, 2025
🔍 Pattern Observations
Previous Uptrend (Left Section of Chart):
The chart shows a classic Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern that formed after a strong uptrend.
Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder were clearly formed and confirmed.
The price reversed strongly after completing this H&S, indicating a bearish reversal.
Current Pattern Forming (Right Section of Chart):
A new H&S pattern is now forming, suggesting another potential bearish setup.
The Left Shoulder and Head are already in place.
The price is currently moving upward toward what may become the Right Shoulder.
Expected completion of Right Shoulder around the 40,000 level.
A trendline support from the prior lows aligns with this area, strengthening this level as a possible resistance zone.
📉 Bearish Breakdown Scenario (Pattern Confirmation)
If price reaches ~40,000, forms the Right Shoulder, and then starts to decline, the pattern will be complete.
A decisive breakdown below the neckline (drawn from the lows of Left Shoulder and Right Shoulder base) would confirm the bearish H&S pattern.
In that case, projected target zone would be calculated as:
Target=Neckline−(Head−Neckline)
Target=Neckline−(Head−Neckline)
Depending on exact neckline placement, target could be around 38,000 or lower.
🚫 Invalidation Scenario (Pattern Failure)
If price breaks above the Head region (~42,500 - 42,800), then the current H&S pattern gets nullified.
In this case, the structure becomes bullish again, potentially leading to new highs beyond 43,000+.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Level Significance
42,500-42,800 Head Resistance / Pattern Invalidation
40,000 Expected Right Shoulder Peak
38,000 H&S Breakdown Target
41,000 Interim Support
39,500 Neckline (approx.)
⚠️ Risk Factors
H&S is a reliable reversal pattern, but like all technical patterns, confirmation is key.
Right Shoulder is still under formation; premature trading before confirmation could lead to false signals.
Market sentiment, macroeconomic news (like inflation data, Fed announcements), or geopolitical events could override technical patterns.
✅ Conclusion
DJI has already completed one H&S pattern post-uptrend and saw a bearish reversal.
Now, it's potentially forming another H&S, and 40,000 is a key level for the Right Shoulder.
If the price rejects at 40,000 and breaks below neckline, bearish trend may resume, targeting 38,000 or lower.
If the price breaks above the Head (~42,800), the bearish structure is invalid, and we may see a bullish continuation.
📢 Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The chart patterns discussed are based on historical price action and do not guarantee future performance.
S&P500: Persistent SupportThe S&P 500 continued its recovery following its reaction to the support at 5509 points. However, in our primary scenario, we expect the index to fall below this mark to ultimately complete wave in green within our color-matched Target Zone (coordinates: 4988 points – 4763 points). Within this range, there are entry opportunities for long positions, which could be hedged with a stop 1% below the Zone’s lower boundary. Once the corrective movement has reached its low, the final upward movement of the green wave structure should commence. In the process, the index should gain significantly and reach the high of wave above the resistance at 6166 points. If this mark is surpassed prematurely, our alternative scenario with a 30% probability will come into play.
POTENTIAL LONG POSITIONS ON GBP/USDGBP/USD 1H - This is another pair I have been looking at that is holding some good potential. This market has been bullish for some time on the higher timeframes.
We saw that price was breaking lows and respecting areas of Supply within this ranging market, however we have now seen that these characteristics have reversed and price is actually starting to breaking highs, protect lows and trade higher.
You can see that the last high that set the lowest low within what looks to be a potential corrective wave was broken, giving us our first break to the upside. We have then seen another one take place after price has traded into another area of interest.
This second break is giving us further confluence to suggest potential bullishness. Aligning with our GBP/JPY analysis. I want to see price now trade down and into the Demand Zone I have marked out, deliver us with another break to the upside. This would give me confirmation to look to go long.
Gold bulls encounter resistance, high-level adjustmentsYesterday, the gold market showed an abnormal trend. The Asian and European sessions broke the routine and showed a clear weak pattern, showing the characteristics of a bear market of "fast decline without rebound". It is particularly noteworthy that despite the positive US manufacturing data released in the evening, gold has abnormally fallen into the dilemma of "good news but no rise", which is often an important signal of trend reversal. Today, the market focus is on the change in tariff expectations. If the expectations are significantly reduced, it will be the last straw that breaks the camel's back for bulls - the previous rise was largely based on tariff expectations.
Key technical nodes
Bull-bear watershed:
Key resistance above: 3124-3128 area (rebound high after testing 3100 yesterday)
Secondary resistance: 3135-3140 area (strong pressure zone)
Ultimate resistance: 3160-3165 (trend line extension)
Downward target:
First look at the breakthrough of 3100
Main target area: 3077-3057 (previous intensive trading area)
Deep correction may touch 3030-3000
Trading strategy recommendations
Main strategy: short on rebound
Ideal shorting area:
Preferred 3124-3128 range
Focus on 3135-3140 area for strong rebound
Consider 3160-3165 range in extreme cases
Stop loss setting :
10-8 dollars above each resistance zone
Strict stop loss after breaking through the previous high
Target position:
Phase 1: 3100 mark
Phase 2: 3077-3057
Phase 3: 3030-3000
Key points for auxiliary observation
The strength of the rebound in the Asian session will determine the timing of shorting in the European session
If the rebound is too large (exceeding 3140), it may turn into high-level fluctuations
Tariff-related news needs to be paid attention to in real time, which may cause violent fluctuations
Risk warning
If Trump suddenly announces the expansion of the tariff scope, short positions need to be closed immediately
If the US economic data continues to weaken, it may slow down the pace of decline
Geopolitical emergencies may temporarily boost risk aversion demand
The current market has shown signs of fatigue, and investors are advised to remain vigilant and seize possible opportunities for trend reversals. Strict risk control and flexible position adjustments will be the key to dealing with potential violent fluctuations. Remember: when the market begins to become numb to positive news, it often indicates that the trend is about to change.
USTEC Buy Setup – Reversal Signal & Smart Money AccumulationTechnical: After a sharp decline, TRADENATION:USTEC has found support at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. A reversal candle on March 31, followed by a bullish confirmation on April 1, suggests a potential bottom. Today’s small pullback ahead of Liberation Day may offer a buying opportunity.
Fundamental: While concerns over tariff implementation persist, the market may have already priced in the worst-case scenario. Any outcome perceived as "less bad than expected" could trigger a short-term rebound. Additionally, increased commercial interest in TRADENATION:USTEC signals that smart money is positioning for a move higher.
Risk & Reward: This is a speculative setup due to ongoing tariff uncertainties, but it presents an attractive risk-reward opportunity.
📈 Trade Idea:
Entry: 19308
Stop Loss: 18766
Target: 20726
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
The Day AheadWednesday, April 2
Data Releases: US March ADP report, February factory orders, Japan March monetary base, France February budget balance.
Central Banks: Speeches from Fed’s Kugler, ECB's Schnabel, and Escriva.
Trump Tariff Announcement: Trump’s team is finalizing options for a 4 p.m. announcement, considering a tiered system with flat rates or a customized approach.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.