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BTC Reacts to Iran–Israel Escalation: Risk-Off Sentiment GrowsBitcoin (BTC/USDT) — Caught Between Fear & Fundamentals Technical Outlook — 13 June, 2025 Current Market Condition: Bitcoin has dropped to $103,818 after facing rejection from the $106.8K–$108K resistance zone, coinciding with heightened geopolitical stress following renewed military escalation between Iran and Israel. Traditional markets are showing signs of risk aversion, and while Bitcoin is often seen as a hedge, the current flight to USD liquidity and defensive assets is putting pressure on high-beta instruments like crypto. The psychological $100K support zone, which aligns with the EMA 50 and a key Fib level, is the immediate area to watch. A failure here could expose Bitcoin to deeper retracement toward $96,800 and potentially $92K, especially if global tensions worsen or investors rotate further into cash and gold. Key Technical Highlights: Rejection at supply zone near $106,888–$108,000. Support at $100K holds structural and psychological importance. Stochastic shows bearish momentum crossover, increasing downside probability. EMA 200 at $92K could act as ultimate cushion in a full-blown correction. Volatility likely to remain elevated amid Middle East conflict and global uncertainty. Trade Plan: 🔼 Bullish Relief Bounce (Long Bias): Trigger: Reclaim and hold above $106,888 with rising volume Target: $108K → $112K → $116K Stop Loss: Below $103,500 🔻 Geopolitical Risk Sell-Off (Short Bias): Trigger: Break and close below $100,000 Target: $96,816 → $92,000 → $88,000 Stop Loss: Above $102,500 📉 Dip Buy Strategy: Trigger: Price stabilizes at $96.8K with divergence and calming geopolitical headlines Target: $103K → $106K Stop Loss: Below $95K 🛡️ Risk Management Note: With geopolitical risk driving short-term sentiment, expect volatility spikes, whipsaws, and fake breakouts. Remain nimble and manage exposure carefully — especially during weekend sessions when crypto trades unhedged and news developments can occur without warning. 📢 If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
by MarketsPOV
US30 Breaks Trendline Support – Will Geopolitics Add FuelUS30 (Dow Jones) — Trendline Breach & Rising Geopolitical Risk Technical Outlook — 13 June, 2025 Current Market Condition: US30 is currently trading at 42,339, showing early signs of risk-off sentiment following a clear break of both the ascending trendline and the Previous Day Low, with price rejecting from the 42,863 supply zone. This sharp decline aligns with growing tensions between Iran and Israel, which are weighing heavily on investor confidence. The breakdown suggests a shift in momentum, with further downside likely if key support levels fail to hold. Key Technical Highlights: Major ascending trendline support has broken, indicating a structural shift toward bearish sentiment. Price broke below both the Previous Day Low (42,551) and Fib support, invalidating short-term bullish setups. EMA 50 was lost, and price is heading toward the 200 MA at ~42,100. Stochastic shows strong bearish momentum, currently in a downward cross and nowhere near oversold. Major downside levels: 42,100, 41,900, 41,700, and 41,500. Upside resistance: 42,550, followed by 42,863 and 42,970. 🌍 Geopolitical Factor – Iran-Israel Conflict: The recent escalation between Iran and Israel has intensified risk aversion across global markets. Defensive sectors are gaining while equity indices like the Dow Jones face increased selling pressure. With concerns over possible oil supply disruptions and global uncertainty, traders are pulling capital from equities and seeking safe-haven assets like gold and bonds. The volatility spike from this geopolitical conflict may overshadow technical setups, amplifying moves and reducing the reliability of support/resistance zones unless confirmed with volume. Trade Plan: 🔻 1. Bearish Continuation Setup (Short Bias) – Most Probable Trigger: Retest of 42,550 fails (previous demand turned supply) Target: 42,100 → 41,900 → 41,500 Stop Loss: Above 42,600 ⚠️ 2. Pullback Bounce (Short-term Buy) – Less Probable Trigger: Strong bounce from 42,100 with bullish divergence on Stochastic Target: 42,550 → 42,700 Stop Loss: Below 42,000 Risk Management Note: Due to the unfolding Middle East conflict, markets may behave erratically and spike unpredictably. Use smaller position sizes, widen SL buffers slightly, and stay alert to news headlines. Prioritize confirmation over anticipation. 📢 If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by MarketsPOV
Apple (AAPL) Stock Analysis Apple's stock (AAPL) is currently trading at $201.15, reflecting a modest uptick of 0.47% today. Despite this slight gain, the stock has experienced a 22% decline year-to-date, underperforming its tech peers. Technical Overview The stock is navigating a descending broadening pattern, indicating ongoing bearish momentum. Notably, a "death cross" formation occurred in April, where the 50-day moving average crossed below the 200-day moving average, signalling potential further declines. Support Levels: $193 and $169 Resistance Levels: $215 and $237 A break above the $215 resistance could pave the way for a rally towards $237. Conversely, a drop below the $193 support might lead to a decline towards $169. Macroeconomic Factors Recent political developments have introduced volatility. President Trump's proposal of a 25% tariff on iPhones not manufactured in the U.S. has raised concerns. In response, Apple is reportedly shifting a significant portion of its production to India to mitigate potential tariff impacts. Fundamental Metrics Market Capitalization: Approximately $3.28 trillion. Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: 33.72. Earnings Per Share (EPS): $6.42. While Apple's P/E ratio is above its 10-year average, indicating a premium valuation, the company's robust earnings and strategic initiatives continue to attract investor interest. Conclusion Apple's stock is at a critical juncture, influenced by technical patterns and macroeconomic factors. Investors should monitor the $215 resistance and $193 support levels closely. A break in either direction could signal the stock's next significant move.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by celilADIGUZEL
AUDCAD - Fundamentals vs Momentum – Betting on CAD🕓 Timeframe: 4H | ⚠️ Bias: Bearish From Supply Zone AUDCAD is rejecting the 0.8940–0.8960 supply zone, a key resistance that's been respected multiple times. With RSI turning over near overbought and CAD fundamentals improving, this looks like a clean short opportunity. 📊 Technical Confluence 🔴 Resistance Zone: 0.8940–0.8960 (historical supply zone) 📉 Bearish Structure Intact: Still in a broader HTF downtrend (lower highs) ⚠️ RSI Divergence: Slowing near 62, suggesting momentum exhaustion 🕯️ Price Action: Current candle showing indecision – early signs of rejection 🌍 Fundamental Confluence 🇦🇺 AUD Weakness: RBA paused rates, inflation easing → Dovish AUD overextended after sentiment shift (conditional score ↑ too fast) AUD vulnerable if sentiment shifts risk-off 🇨🇦 CAD Strength: BoC holding firm on rates, hawkish tone Oil production recovering → CAD-positive COT net long position + seasonal strength 🎯 Trade Plan 📍 Entry: 0.8940–0.8955 (on bearish confirmation: engulfing/pin bar) 🛑 Stop Loss: 0.8975 (above resistance zone) 🎯 Take Profit 1: 0.8870 (mid-range) 🎯 Take Profit 2: 0.8830 (into demand zone) ⏱️ Optional: Partial entry now, scale in at 0.8960 if tapped 🧠 “Don’t chase the move. Sell the retest when momentum fades and fundamentals align.”
Short
by wajahatarif
USD/CHF 4H Analysis – Bearish Continuation Setting Up?USD/CHF is currently forming a textbook symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern just below key EMAs (20, 50, and 200), signaling potential exhaustion in bullish momentum. Price is compressing against the upper boundary of the triangle, failing to sustain above the 0.382 Fib retracement level (0.82302), which is aligned with the 50 EMA – a known area of dynamic resistance. This consolidation follows a clear bearish leg from the swing high at 0.83472, which suggests this triangle is likely a continuation pattern. A clean break below the ascending trendline support would confirm bearish continuation, with a measured move target near the 0.81068 level, which aligns with the -0.27 Fib extension. 🔍 Key Technical Levels: Resistance: 0.82302 (0.382 Fib), 0.82525 (0.5 Fib), 0.82753 (0.618 Fib) Support: 0.82026 (0.236 Fib), 0.81579 (Swing Low), 0.81068 (Bearish Extension Target) 📌 Watch for: A decisive break and close below triangle support Volume spike or bearish engulfing candle for confirmation RSI is neutral but leaning slightly bearish; room for downside 🎯 Bearish Bias 📍 Tag: #USDCHF #ForexAnalysis #WrightWayInvestments
Short
by WrightWayInvestments
USD/CAD Breaks Through Multi-year Trend Support USD/CAD broke through a key pivot zone last week at 1.3721/94- a region defined by the 38.2% retracement of the 2021 advance and the 61.8% retracement of the late-2023 advance. The subsequent decline is now extending more than 2.9% off the May highs with initial support within striking distance. Weekly momentum has now dropped to the lowest levels since 2021 and a break of the 2021 uptrend (2022 trendline) threatens further losses ahead. Initial weekly support rests at the 1.618% extension of the February decline / 78.6% retracement of the late-2023 advance near 1.3504/23. Note that basic channel support converges on this threshold over the next few weeks and further highlights the technical significance of this zone (area of interest for possible downside exhaustion / price inflection IF reached). Subsequent support rests with the 2024 low-week clow (LWC) at 1.3360 and the 2023 LWC at 1.3218. Weekly resistance is now eyed back at 1.3721 & 1.3795. Broader bearish invalidation is now lowered to the 52-week moving average / 2022 swing high near ~1.3961/78- a breach / close above the yearly channel would ultimately be needed to suggest a more significant low is in place. Bottom line : USD/CAD has broken below multi-year uptrend support and threatens further losses in the weeks ahead. From a trading standpoint, look to reduce portions of short-exposure / lower protective stops on stretch towards 1.3523 IF reached- rallies should be limited to 1.3795 IF price is heading lower on this break with a close sub-1.35 needed to fuel the next major leg of the decline. -MB
by FOREXcom
WAFI LONG TRADE (12-06-2025)WAFI LONG TRADE - Since its rebranding from Share Pakistan to Wafi, the stock went into a downtrend from 174 to 127 but showed a gradual improvement. - The stock formed a pattern equivalent to a scallop, and yesterday/today, it gave a breakout from this pattern. - As a result of the breakout, the stock formed a bullish IFDZ and a bullish FVG at different levels, making entering a buy trade at this level seem safe. 🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL – WAFI🚨 - Buy 1: 178 (current price) - Buy 2: 169.3 - Buy 3: 165 - TP1: 190 - TP2: 202 - TP3: 214 - TP4: 226 - Stop loss: below 155 DAILY CLOSE - Reward-to-risk ratio: 1: 7.6 Caution: Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions. PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
PSX:WAFILong
by Mushtaque77