Silver (XAG/USD) – Long Setup IdeaSilver (XAG/USD) – Long Setup Idea
Silver is currently trading around $31.30, while gold has surpassed the $3,000 mark, pushing the Gold/Silver Ratio (GSR) above 99 – a level that historically signals strong upside potential for silver. Industrial demand is surging, especially from solar energy, EVs, and electronics, with silver consumption expected to exceed 700 million ounces in 2025. Analysts from Capital Economics, UBS, and Citi forecast a price target of $36–38 in the next few months, supported by a persistent supply deficit and investor rotation from gold into undervalued silver.
🎯 Take Profit: $36.00
⏱️ Timeframe: 1–3 months
📊 Bias: Bullish
📉 Risk: Correction below $29 in case of weak macro or strong USD
Community ideas
#006 Moving Average USDJPY SELL 1644SGT 04042025Add : Shorted on the 5 Minutes Time Frame, but time frame too small to publish on tradingview, so, I posted on the 15 Minutes Time Frame instead.
1648SGT
04042025
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Trump Tariff caused USD to get dumped yesterday.
US stocks also got dumped for 6 to 7 weeks consecutively.
If you look at the Daily time frame you would see the big red candle on USDJPY's dump.
I was looking at opportunities on all JPY pairs, and I took a liking to USDJPY because I am expecting USD to continue to get dumped.
Shorting the resistance level.
If you look at price on the 1H or 4H time frame, you would realise price is in a consolidation towards the down side, and I like that.
NFP and unemployment rate news coming out later in the day. in about 4 hours time. Current time is 1647SGT.
Might exit before the news got released.
1647SGT 04042025
Euro Strengthens as Dollar Weakens !The Euro rose significantly against the US dollar during yesterday's session, Thursday, April 3, 2025, successfully breaching the resistance level at 1.09547 and establishing a new high above it. This upward movement followed the decision by the US president to impose tariffs on approximately 180 countries, significantly impacting the performance of the US dollar negatively.
Currently, EUR/USD is experiencing a corrective downward movement that could extend towards the support level at 1.08211, considered an ideal point for resuming the bullish trend targeting the next level at 1.10490. The positive outlook remains valid unless the pair breaks below the critical support at 1.07331 with a daily candle closure beneath it. Such a scenario would invalidate the bullish scenario and strengthen bearish possibilities.
Today, markets await the release of the US employment data, where the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) are expected to decline from 151K to 137K. A reading higher than expected could positively impact the dollar and negatively affect the EUR/USD pair. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate is anticipated to remain steady at 4.1%, and any decrease below this level would support the dollar, adding further downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair.
USA HAD 51% EST DAY ONEBitcoin: USA’s 51% Control Since Day 1
The USA has controlled 51% of Bitcoin’s mining power since inception, enabling them to rewrite the blockchain—reversing transactions, double-spending, and controlling Bitcoin's narrative.
ETF Manipulation (Gold 2.0): Bitcoin ETFs create paper BTC that doesn't exist, allowing institutions to accumulate real Bitcoin. Until you withdraw, it’s just banking 2.0, with your BTC being numbers on a screen, not actual assets.
Bitcoin is not decentralized if a few control both the hash rate and market supply.
Who benefits most from BTC?
USA does.
They have FED to print USD to buy BTC.
World reserve currency 2.0
¿ Thats why BRICKS ?
INJUSDT Short Opportunity – Bearish Rejection at Key ResistanceI’m currently short on INJUSDT after a clear rejection from the major resistance zone around this price area. The price failed to break above this level and showed signs of weak momentum on lower timeframes (15min).
This setup offers a clean risk-to-reward ratio, and I’ll be managing the trade actively based on price action.
EUR/GBP (1H) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Short Trade Setup1. Overview of Market Structure
The EUR/GBP pair is forming a Rising Wedge Pattern, a well-known bearish reversal formation, which suggests that the current uptrend may soon reverse into a downtrend. The price has been moving within a tightening range, making higher highs and higher lows, but the upward momentum appears to be weakening.
A breakdown from this wedge is a strong bearish signal, indicating that sellers are gaining control, and a significant price drop is expected.
2. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge – Bearish Reversal
A Rising Wedge is a pattern that occurs when price moves upward within a contracting range. This pattern typically forms after an uptrend and suggests that bullish momentum is slowing down.
Characteristics of the Rising Wedge in This Chart:
The price has tested the upper resistance zone multiple times, but each attempt has resulted in a rejection.
The lower support trendline has been tested frequently, showing that buyers are losing strength.
The breakdown of the wedge signals a strong bearish move, with price expected to drop toward key support levels.
This pattern becomes valid once the price breaks below the lower trendline, confirming the bearish outlook.
3. Key Technical Levels & Zones
A. Resistance Zone (0.84853) – Strong Supply Area
Marked as a Resistance Zone, where price has struggled to break through.
Sellers have stepped in around this level multiple times, preventing any further bullish movement.
Acts as a major stop-loss level for bearish trades, as a breakout above this zone could invalidate the setup.
B. Support Zones (Potential Take-Profit Targets)
1st Support Level (TP1) – 0.82539
This level has previously acted as strong support, where buyers have entered the market before.
A short-term pullback or consolidation may occur here.
2nd Support Level (TP2) – 0.81332
This is the final bearish target, marking a key demand zone from where price has bounced in the past.
If bearish momentum continues, price could reach this level, making it an ideal take-profit zone for swing traders.
4. Trading Strategy & Execution
A. Entry Strategy
A short trade is ideal after the price breaks below the rising wedge pattern. There are two possible entries:
Aggressive Entry:
Enter immediately after the breakout of the lower trendline, anticipating strong downside momentum.
Higher risk as price might retest the trendline before moving down.
Conservative Entry:
Wait for a retest of the broken trendline before entering short.
This confirms the breakdown, reducing false breakout risks.
B. Stop-Loss Placement
Stop-loss should be placed just above the resistance zone (0.84853).
This prevents being stopped out by minor pullbacks before the actual move happens.
C. Take-Profit Targets
TP1: 0.82539 (First major support level – potential profit booking area)
TP2: 0.81332 (Final bearish target – strong demand zone)
5. Risk Management & Trade Management
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
This trade offers a high RRR, making it an attractive setup.
The stop-loss is small compared to the potential downside move.
Trailing Stop Strategy
A trailing stop can be used to lock in profits as price moves lower.
If price reaches TP1, move stop-loss to breakeven to secure capital.
If price reaches TP2, close the trade for maximum profit.
Exit Strategy
Exit early if price fails to break key support zones.
Monitor price action around TP1 & TP2 for signs of reversal.
6. Sentiment Analysis & Market Context
Bearish Confirmation:
Breakdown from the wedge signals bearish sentiment in the market.
If price fails to sustain above support zones, further downside is likely.
News & Fundamentals:
Major economic events or interest rate decisions could impact EUR/GBP volatility.
Traders should check for UK & Eurozone news before entering the trade.
7. Conclusion – Bearish Outlook
The Rising Wedge breakdown is a strong short-selling opportunity.
Confirmation is key: Enter short after the breakdown, use proper risk management, and aim for TP1 & TP2.
If price invalidates the pattern by breaking above 0.84853, the trade setup should be reconsidered.
This setup provides a high-probability bearish trade with a well-defined stop-loss and risk-to-reward ratio.
GOLD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3091.4
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3108.1
My Stop Loss - 3083.4
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
KEEP TRADING SIMPLE - NDX/NQ1Good Morning,
We did it - We sat patiently waiting for this beauty to drop. I am still holding my SSSQ but will exit shortly. Currently I am waiting for confirmation off the support to start accumulating more stocks from across various sectors.
This in theory is motive wave two. We will have to revisit at the next resistance area.
Thank you !
Not a bright future for tech stocksAfter almost touching level 1.618 on FiB, confirming positive news regarding the latest financial results and positive market conditions, #FTNT took a hard hit on the current tariffs being in talks, as part of their portfolio consists in physical hardware.
Even though, considering their regional market exposure, quite well divided between US and EU, FTNT took a hard hit and it continues to go lower.
Next region to be visited will be 80$, which is 30% down from ATH. I foresee it in the near future, as we may see escalations on broader market.
IS THE GLOBAL “BIG SHORT” ON ITS WAY?TRADE WAR WARNING – IS THE GLOBAL “BIG SHORT” ON ITS WAY?
In the last 24 hours, global financial markets were rattled after Donald Trump unveiled a sweeping set of new global tariffs. This wasn’t just a political move — it may well mark the beginning of a new wave of global economic instability.
Markets across the board took a hit:
📉 US, European, and Asian equities
📉 Gold (XAU/USD), the US Dollar Index (DXY), and even crypto — all plunged into the red.
🔍 So, What Actually Happened?
Gold dropped by over 100 points in a single session — and strangely, the US dollar also fell.
Normally, a weaker USD would support gold. So why did gold sell off this time?
➡️ One likely explanation is that institutional investors sold gold positions to cover losses in equity markets, or to free up margin amidst the chaos.
📉 This wasn’t just a correction — it might be the early signal of a global BIG SHORT forming across multiple asset classes.
🧨 The Start of Something Bigger?
Markets aren’t just reacting to tariffs. They’re pricing in the risk of a full-scale trade war, which could disrupt global supply chains and hammer corporate earnings.
Industries like construction, healthcare, logistics, and manufacturing are already showing signs of strain.
If this escalates, we could be looking at something far more serious than a short-term sell-off.
📉 The Data Doesn’t Look Great Either
While inflation in the US continues to cool, other key data points are deteriorating:
ISM Services PMI (March): 50.8 (vs 53.0 expected)
Employment sub-index: 46.2 (down sharply from 53.9)
New orders, export orders and backlogs also fell
👉 These are real signs of economic slowdown, especially considering that services make up over 70% of the US economy.
🧠 Market Sentiment: FOMO, Fear, and Panic
At the moment, it’s hard to ignore how unsettled sentiment has become.
Retail and institutional traders alike are acting on fear. And that’s dangerous.
🔔 Tonight’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report could either calm things down — or add more fuel to the fire.
🏦 Will the Fed Cut Rates Sooner?
Markets are rapidly shifting their expectations:
A rate cut could come as early as May or June 2025
Traders are now pricing in 2 to 4 cuts this year (previously just 2)
There’s now a strong chance the Fed pivots earlier than expected
If jobs data continues to soften, the Fed may have no choice but to act faster — despite core inflation not yet fully under control.
⚠️ Trading Strategy: Observation Over Action
Right now, your best position might be… no position.
"Sometimes, the most profitable trade is the one you don’t take."
This isn’t the time to chase wild price action.
It’s the time to prepare and plan with logic — not emotion.
📊 Key Technical Levels on XAU/USD
🔺 Resistance:
3110 – 3119 – 3136 – 3148 – 3167
🔻 Support:
3086 – 3075 – 3055 – 3040 – 3024
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3056 – 3054
SL: 3050
TP: 3060 – 3064 – 3068 – 3072 – 3076 – 3080
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3148 – 3150
SL: 3154
TP: 3144 – 3140 – 3136 – 3132 – 3128 – 3124 – 3120
💬 Final Thoughts
The combination of tariffs, recession fears, and rate cut speculation is building into what could become a perfect storm.
Gold is in the eye of that storm.
Now is not the time to panic — but to trade with clarity and control.
📌 Don’t let emotion drive your trades.
Stick to the chart. Stick to your plan. Protect your capital.
🧠 Patience is what separates the lucky from the consistently profitable.
Divergences Everywhere — Bears Want You Out! Hello Traders 🐺
This is a short and quick emergency update for ETH, because I personally think that we are about to see a massive reversal in the market, especially in the Altcoin section:
1_ Falling wedge: ETH is inside a falling wedge pattern just like BTC. They have the same pattern and also we have clear signs of bottoming out for both of them.
2_ Bullish divergence on the Daily chart: If you pay close attention to the RSI, you can see that we have a massive bullish divergence and this means breakout is so imminent for ETH, and this is going to be to the upside rather than downside, because honestly we are about 60% down from the ATH price — which in my opinion is enough correction for bulls to come back and take control.
3_ BTC.D is about to top out: If you saw my last idea about it, you know that we have a very huge bullish divergence — not on the daily, not even on the weekly! We have it on the monthly chart!!! That's f..king enough to be extremely bearish on BTC.D and be over bullish on ETH and Alts as well.
4_ ETH/BTC is very close to the monthly support and demand area: I will publish a complete idea about it because this is beyond the current idea and I have to explain it in detail.
Oh right guys, I hope you make the right decision — and also always remember:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, But almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
CADJPY Will Move Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for CADJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 103.448.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 102.631 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FLOKIUSDTmy entry on this trade idea is taken from a point of interest below an inducement (X).. I extended my stoploss area to cover for the whole swing as price can target the liquidity there before going as I anticipate.. just a trade idea, not financial advise
Entry; $0.00005519
Take Profit; $0.00007146
Stop Loss; $0.00005221
Gold daily time , AScending cHannelGold (XAU/USD) Daily Chart Analysis – April 4, 2025
1. Trend & Structure
Overall Trend: Gold has been in a strong uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows within an ascending channel.
Current Position: Price is currently near the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting potential resistance and a possible pullback.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance: ~$3,120 (upper trendline of the ascending channel)
Support: ~$3,000 (mid-channel support) and ~$2,900 (lower boundary of the channel)
3. RSI Analysis
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is currently at 70.79, which is near the overbought level. This indicates that gold might be overextended and could see a short-term pullback before continuing higher.
4. Volume Analysis
There was a high volume spike recently, suggesting strong buying activity. However, if volume decreases on the next push higher, it could indicate buyer exhaustion.
5. Possible Trading Scenarios
📉 Bearish Scenario (Pullback)
If gold fails to hold above $3,100, a correction towards $3,000 or even $2,900 could be expected.
A confirmed break below the mid-channel could indicate a deeper correction.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Breakout)
If price consolidates and breaks above $3,120-$3,150, it could continue rallying toward $3,200-$3,250.
6. Trading Plan
Short-Term Trade: Look for potential shorting opportunities around $3,120 with a stop above $3,150 and targets around $3,000.
Long-Term Trade: Wait for a retracement toward $3,000-$2,900 for buying opportunities with a stop below $2,880.
XAU/USD 04 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed as per yesterday's alternative scenario whereby price has printed a bearish iBOS due to H4 TF being in, although not as yet confirmed, in bearish pullback phase.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has already traded up to premium of internal 50% EQ, therefore, price to target weak internal low priced at
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
BTCUSDTmy entry on this trade idea is taken from a point of interest below an inducement (X).. I extended my stoploss area to cover for the whole swing as price can target the liquidity there before going as I anticipate.. just a trade idea, not financial advise
Entry; $82173.4
Take Profit; $86027.4
Stop Loss; $80926.7
Ethereum (ETH): Most Important Zone For EthereumWe are in one of the most important zones for Ethereum, where we are looking for 2 possible scenarios currently.
1) Ideally we should see a buying volume to build from here, which would give us a good buying opportunity once we see an MSB to form on smaller timeframes.
2) If sellers keep this kind of dominance, we will fall to a lower size of our zone, which is $1,500.
Currently, Monday has been pretty weak so we might have to wait more for a proper support zone to form but keep your eyes on EMAs; they are way too far from the market price, which usually means a possible quick movement can happen!
Swallow Team
USOIL:Continue to move downwardAfter U.S. President Donald Trump announced tariffs and the OPEC+ decided to increase oil production, concerns about the demand outlook intensified, leading to a significant decline in crude oil prices on Thursday.
The short-term trend of crude oil has dropped sharply, with all the gains since mid-March being given back. The oil price has touched a low near 66. The moving average system diverges downward, and objectively, the short-term trend direction is downward. The bearish momentum is abundant. It is expected that after a minor adjustment at a low level in the intraday trading, the short-term trend of crude oil will mainly continue to move downward.
Trading Strategy:
buy@67.5-68
TP:66-65.5
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