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SPY at Critical Support! Reversal Incoming or More Downside? 📊 Technical Analysis (TA):
Trend & Structure:
SPY is in a clear downtrend, with multiple Break of Structure (BOS) signals confirming bearish dominance.
A recent Change of Character (ChoCH) attempt suggests a potential reversal, but confirmation is needed.
Key Resistance: ~598-610 (supply zone)
Support Zone: ~575-580 (current demand area)
Indicators Suggesting a Possible Reversal:
MACD: Showing signs of flattening, indicating potential momentum shift.
Stochastic RSI: Deeply oversold, increasing the likelihood of a short-term relief rally.
Volume Spike: Large volume at support, suggesting potential accumulation.
🔹 GEX & Options Flow:
Call Walls (Resistance) 🚧
610-615: Strong resistance area where gamma positioning is high.
620: Major call wall, indicating an upper limit if a strong rally occurs.
Put Walls (Support) 🛑
575: Highest negative NETGEX, meaning a break below this level could accelerate selling pressure.
570-560: Next major support levels if 575 fails.
IV Rank & Skew:
IVR 44.4, indicating mid-range implied volatility.
Puts are heavily favored at 112.2%, showing strong downside hedging.
Implied move ±0.33%, suggesting possible large swings.
📌 Trading Plan & Suggestions:
Bullish Reversal Scenario:
If SPY holds 580-585, we could see a bounce toward 598-610.
Ideal trade: April 590C or 600C, targeting a relief rally.
Bearish Breakdown Scenario:
If SPY loses 575, downside targets extend to 570-560.
Ideal Put Play: Buy March-April 580P or 570P, targeting 560.
⚠️ Key Warning: If SPY does not reclaim 590 quickly, expect continued selling pressure.
🔥 Conclusion: SPY at a Make-or-Break Level – Watch 575!
SPY is testing a key support zone with early reversal signals forming, but strong put positioning still favors downside risk. The next sessions will determine if bulls defend this zone or if we see another leg lower. Watch 575-580 closely before making a move! 🚀📉
🚨 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?GBP/CHF has reacted off the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.1402
1st Support: 1.1320
1st Resistance: 1.1459
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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Palantir (PLTR) Approaching Critical Levels!📊 Technical Analysis (TA):
1. Trend & Structure:
* PLTR is in a strong downtrend, confirmed by multiple Break of Structure (BOS) signals.
* Change of Character (ChoCH) attempts have failed, reinforcing bearish control.
* Key Resistance: ~90-95 (supply zone)
* Support Zone: ~78-80 (high liquidity demand zone)
2. Indicators:
* MACD & Stochastics indicate weakness, signaling further downside potential.
* Volume remains high on selling pressure, further validating the downtrend.
🔹 GEX & Options Flow:
1. Call Walls (Resistance) 🚧
* 100-105: Heavy resistance, unlikely to be breached in the near term.
* 120: Major CALL wall, a strong gamma resistance.
2. Put Walls (Support) 🛑
* 75: Significant put positioning, acting as short-term support.
* 70: Highest negative NETGEX, meaning a strong breakdown could accelerate to this level.
3. IV Rank & Skew:
* IVR 82.7, signaling high implied volatility.
* IV skew heavily favors puts, suggesting continued bearish sentiment.
* Calls only 21.5%, confirming put dominance.
📌 Trading Plan & Suggestions:
* Bullish Scenario:
* A reclaim above 85-90 could push PLTR toward 95-100.
* Calls or spreads with April expiry could benefit from a bounce.
* Bearish Scenario:
* A breakdown below 78-80 could send PLTR toward 70-75, leading to strong put activity.
* Ideal Put Play: Buy March-April 80P or 75P targeting 70-75.
⚠️ Key Warning: If PLTR holds 80, we might see a sharp bounce due to short covering.
🔥 Conclusion: PLTR at a Crossroad – Major Move Incoming!
PLTR is hovering near key liquidity zones, with options flow favoring downside. The next few sessions will be crucial in determining direction. If it fails to hold 78-80, expect further selling pressure. Watch for reaction levels before entering trades. 🚀📉
🚨 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
BTC/USD 1H – Smart Money Insights📊 BTC/USD 1H – Smart Money Insights
🔹 Market Structure:
✅ Break of Structure (BOS) confirms bearish intent
✅ Fair Value Gap (FVG) aligned with possible retracement zones
✅ Key Demand Zone: 73,997.54
✅ Fibonacci Levels: 0.618 at 87,733.18
📌 Potential Trade Setup:
🔹 Bullish Scenario: Buying near the demand zone (73,997.54) for a push higher
🔹 Target Levels: 90,924 - 91,580 & beyond
🔹 Bearish Scenario: A break below current support could drive price lower
#BTCUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #CryptoAnalysis #LiquiditySweep #FVG #BreakOfStructure #CryptoTrading #PriceAction 🚀
Updated XAU/USD (Gold) Multi-Timeframe Analysis – March 4, 2025Analyzing M15, M30, H1, H4, and D1 charts for a precise trade execution strategy.
1. Market Structure Overview (Multi-Timeframe)
M15 (15-Minute Chart)
CHoCH (Change of Character) indicates bullish momentum.
Currently testing equilibrium (~$2,888 - $2,890).
Weak high at PDH (Previous Day’s High) around $2,893, which may act as resistance.
M30 (30-Minute Chart)
Break of structure (BOS) confirms bullish short-term trend.
Price is hovering near PDH ($2,893).
If it fails to break above $2,895, a short-term rejection is possible.
H1 (1-Hour Chart)
Bullish CHoCH confirms the short-term uptrend.
PDH ($2,893) remains a crucial level.
If broken, a rally toward $2,910 - $2,920 is likely.
H4 (4-Hour Chart)
Testing supply zone at PDH ($2,893).
Potential retracement to $2,865 - $2,870 before continuation higher**.
D1 (Daily Chart)
Price bounced from a key demand zone around $2,850.
Still bearish on the higher timeframe unless price reclaims $2,920 - $2,950.
If $2,900 - $2,920 rejects, more downside is expected.
2. Expected Scenarios & Probability
Scenario 1: Short-Term Bearish Rejection (60% Probability)
If price fails to break $2,895 - $2,900, expect a rejection down to $2,870 - $2,865.
Confirmation: Bearish rejection candle at PDH ($2,893).
Scenario 2: Bullish Breakout (40% Probability)
If price closes above $2,895, expect a move toward $2,910 - $2,920.
Confirmation: Strong breakout and candle close above $2,895.
3. Trading Plan
Sell Setup: (Primary Trade - 60% Probability)
Entry: $2,893 - $2,895.
SL: $2,905 (Above resistance).
TP1: $2,880 (First liquidity level).
TP2: $2,870 (Discount zone).
TP3: $2,865 (Major demand zone).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3.
Buy Setup: (Countertrend - 40% Probability)
Entry: $2,895 - $2,900.
SL: $2,885 (Below weak low).
TP1: $2,910 (Short-term liquidity).
TP2: $2,920 (Key supply zone).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3.
4. Final Trade Execution Summary:
Trade Type Entry Stop-Loss Take-Profit 1 Take-Profit 2 Take-Profit 3 R:R
Sell Setup $2,893 - $2,895 $2,905 $2,880 $2,870 $2,865 1:3
Buy Setup $2,895 - $2,900 $2,885 $2,910 $2,920 - 1:3
📌 Additional Execution Tips:
Watch for a rejection at $2,893 - $2,895 before shorting.
If price closes above $2,895, shift to buy mode.
Use M5/M15 for precise entries and candle confirmations.
Avoid entering during high-impact news releases.
Risk per trade: 1-2% of capital for optimal risk management.
AAPLAAPL price is in the correction period. If the price cannot break through the 258.56 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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XAUUSD:sell@2890-2900Yesterday, gold was favorably influenced by both news and data, and it kept rising and breaking through resistance levels. For the sake of safety, I chose to temporarily close the short-selling orders. Before the market closed, gold didn't break through the level of 2,900, and the upward range was limited. Today, I will continue to short sell gold. .
xauusd sell@2890-2900
TP:2870-2860
Currently, the account with an initial amount of 40K has reached 300K. In March, I will make a profit of one million, and I will share my daily trading orders. You can copy my orders for trading. Click on the link below the article to obtain the relevant information.
$MKR Market Update📊 CRYPTOCAP:MKR Market Update
Welcome to today's analysis! Let’s take a look at CRYPTOCAP:MKR and its key price action.
🌐 Overview: CRYPTOCAP:MKR Testing Key Resistance
📈 CRYPTOCAP:MKR is currently testing the red resistance zone. A breakout above this level could push the price toward the green line target.
🔄 Current Scenario:
CRYPTOCAP:MKR is facing strong resistance, and price action is testing this key level.
A successful breakout could lead to further upside, while rejection may result in a pullback.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🔴 Resistance Zone: Red Zone (Needs breakout for continuation)
🟢 First Target: Green Line (If breakout succeeds)
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📌 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above Resistance)
If CRYPTOCAP:MKR breaks and holds above the red resistance zone, it could move toward the green line target.
📌 Bearish Scenario (Rejection at Resistance)
If CRYPTOCAP:MKR fails to break out, we could see a pullback or consolidation before another attempt.
📌 Conclusion
CRYPTOCAP:MKR is at a crucial resistance zone—a breakout could lead to a strong rally, while failure to break may result in a retracement before another attempt.
EUR-AUD Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-AUD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A bullish breakout of the
Key horizontal level of 1.6777
And the breakout is confirmed
So we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
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Investors betting on de-escalation in trade tension| FX ResearchInvestors come into the new week with some hope that we will see a de-escalation in trade tension. US tariffs on Mexico and Canada are scheduled to go into effect tomorrow, though there have been indications that there is good reason to believe it won't be the 25% tariffs that President Trump had said initially.
Risk assets have responded accordingly, with the US dollar off across the board except against the yen, and US equity futures pointing up. The euro has gotten an added boost after inflation data came out hotter than expected. The ECB is expected to cut rates later this week, but the inflation data could influence a less dovish policy stance from the ECB.
Looking ahead, we get Canada manufacturing PMIs, US ISM manufacturing, construction spending, and some Fed speak.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
BITCOIN 4 HOURS ANLYSIS Bitcoin rallied close to $95,000 on Monday, before correcting under the $90,000 support.
Institutional arbitrage-driven flows add complexity to the narrative of who is truly long on Bitcoin.
BlackRock’s announcement to integrate Bitcoin ETF into its portfolio allocations and the US strategic crypto reserve catalyzed BTC gains earlier on Monday
(BTC) climbed to a high of $94,416 early on Monday before erasing newfound gains and dropping under $90,000 support. Market movers and recent bullish developments, such as the United States (US) strategic reserve announcement, the upcoming crypto summit at the White House and BlackRock’s announcement regarding portfolio allocations, failed to catalyze a sustainable rally in Bitcoin.