Community ideas
NEXT MOVE FOR GBPJPY"Is GBPJPY gearing up for a potential downtrend? Price action appears increasingly hesitant to push higher, suggesting buyer exhaustion at current levels. If this reluctance persists and key support zones begin to break, we could be looking at the early signs of a shift toward bearish momentum. A confirmed lower high followed by a break of structure could set the tone for a potential downward leg."
CRWV behaves like early ARM..!The most important question anyone should answer before any investment/trade is:
Is the a chance for an Asymmetrical payoff?
If your answer to this question is yes, then look at the other factors!
ARM: after early phase of decline moved +250%!
CRVW: is still a very young publicly traded company but its charts behaves like ARM at its early stages of public trading!
From fundamental point of view, its customers must increased exponentially if there will be an Ai boom!
(Skin in the game)
DOW JONES new Bull Cycle has started.Dow Jones / US30 has now crossed above its 1week MA50 and has restored the long term bullish trend.
That trend was in risk of getting invalidated but last month's rebound at the bottom of the long term Channel Up and holding Support A, kickstarted the new Bull Cycle.
Every Support A rebound inside this Channel Up technically started a new Bull Cycle.
The less aggressive of those was +57.76%.
This is where long term investors buy and target 57700.
Previous chart:
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NVDA Still a Monster, But I’m Not Chasing It Just YetNVIDIA is sitting around $135.57 right now, and yeah—fundamentally, it’s crushing it. Revenue growth is off the charts (over 114% YoY) and the data center segment alone pulled in $35B+ last quarter. AI is the fuel, and NVDA is the engine.
That said… we’re getting into overheated territory.
Technically, price is way above its 50/100/200 EMAs, and the RSI is up in the 70s, so we’re clearly in overbought land. Can it push higher? Sure. But I’m not a fan of chasing candles when the chart is screaming “cooldown incoming.”
If we get any weakness or macro jitters (tariffs, earnings nerves, etc.), I’ll be watching for potential entries in the $125–98zone. If we drop into that range with strong volume reaction, I’ll start scaling in.
On the geopolitical front: yeah, the FWB:15B impact from U.S.–China restrictions isn’t nothing—but NVDA’s already moving to offset that with partnerships (like the Saudi AI deal). This isn’t a company sitting still.
📌 Bottom Line:
Long-term, I’m bullish. Short-term, I’m cautious. I’d rather miss a little upside than buy the top and get trapped in a pullback. Let the trade come to you.
Disclaimer: This isn’t financial advice—just sharing my own playbook. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
XAU/USD – Intraday Analysis and Trade Plan (5-Min TF) Date: May Market Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) has opened the session strong, trading above the key $3,300 psychological level amid continued US Dollar weakness. Investors remain cautious amid growing geopolitical tensions and global market uncertainty, pushing demand for safe-haven assets higher.
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Technical Outlook (5-Minute Timeframe)
Current Price: ~$3,304.80
Trend: Short-term bullish above VWAP
Support Levels:
$3,295
$3,281 (20 EMA)
$3,266 (lower trendline of rising channel)
Resistance Levels:
$3,310 (local breakout level)
$3,324
$3,368
Indicators:
RSI (14): ~53 – Neutral-to-bullish
Moving Averages: Price is above both 50 and 200 EMAs – confirms bullish momentum
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Trade Scenarios
Scenario 1: Long Position (Breakout Play)
Entry: On breakout and hold above $3,310
Stop Loss: $3,295
Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: $3,324
TP2: $3,368
Scenario 2: Short Position (Pullback or Breakdown)
Entry: On breakdown below $3,281
Stop Loss: $3,295
Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: $3,266
TP2: $3,240
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Outlook for Next 4 Hours
Expected volatility: 10–15 USD (normal session), up to 25–30 USD with news catalysts.
Watch for fundamental triggers (economic data or Fed commentary) that could impact market direction.
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Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage your risk accordingly.
Analysis by mohsen mozafari nezhd
BGL LONG TRADEBGL has been in Downtrend since one year.
It crossed below major support level at 8.0 and reversed quickly performing a Spring/ Liquidity Sweep.
It has given strong signs of upward reversal now.
Five things validate its reversal upwards:
1. Crossed above 1H 20 EMA
2. Posted a Higher Low
3. Made a 1H Bullish FVG
4. Made a 1H Bullish Breaker Block
5. Much Heavier Volumes on Up leg so far
BUYING IS RECOMMENDED ONLY AFTER PULLBACK TO GIVEN BUY LEVELS.
🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL – BGL🚨
🎯 BUY ZONE: Rs. 9.10-10.10
📈 TP1 : Rs. 11.20
📈 TP2 : Rs. 13.40
🛑 STOP LOSS: BELOW Rs 8.0 Daily Close)
📊 RISK-REWARD: High Conviction | 1:3.8
Caution: Please close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then follow strict trailing SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions
PLEASE BOOST THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
BANKNIFTY ANALYSISAfter a major all-time high breakout, BANKNIFTY is consolidating in a range from 54,000-56,000. The concept of BULLISH breakout is that if a breakout happens, prices follows the trend and move upside strongly without giving chance to enter.
But after breakout, if prices get stuck in a range, this shows confusion of participants even after a breakout. Range created by market mostly creates a no-trading zone and it is difficult to analyze the next move.
So, before entering random trades, one should wait for the market to decide which direction it want to follow and be on sidelines till that time.
PYTH 4H ANALYSIS – Bullish Setup in PlayAfter completing a 5-wave impulse to the downside, PYTH has shown signs of a trend reversal. The first upward impulse displayed a clear 5-wave Elliott structure, breaking out of the descending channel — a strong bullish signal.
Following this, a classic A-B-C zig-zag correction occurred, which acted as a retest of the broken channel resistance, now turned support. This confluence increases the probability of a bullish continuation.
With market structure aligning and correction likely complete, PYTH is showing potential for a 50%+ move to the upside.
🟢 Entry Zone: 0.1400 – 0.1500
🔴 Stop Loss: 0.1272 (Below wave C & structural support)
🎯 Target Price: 0.2235
💡 Note: Always manage your risk and confirm with your own analysis before entering any trade.
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 22nd May 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Analysis:
-Strong bullish momentum
-Looking for support to be formed on higher low
-Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3300
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
AudUsd Trade IdeaAudUsd is currently BULLISH on all higher time frames. Price came back down into a higher time frame HL with structures flipping back bullish on the 15m time frame supporting the overall bullish trend. I've decided to go long on this pair with price giving a bullish engulfing candle after retesting the structure flip. If all goes well price could tap back into the higher time frames high and potentially create a new high. I'll be looking for a 1:3rr on this set up. We'll see how price moves.
Quick flip idea - long at 181.26Today was a rough day for the market, but rough days are opportunities. Days like this require confidence in what you do, though. For me, confidence comes from data. Could there be more downside ahead? Yep. Taking the time to mine data to understand whether what you are doing has been successful in past circumstances where corrections have been involved helps me trade with confidence in these situations.
Since May of 2022, this particular setup is 20-1 and has an average return of 1.82% in and average of under 9 trading days. That's over 4x the average daily return of the market overall. Of the 21 trades, all but 3 closed in 6 trading days or less, with 10 of them closing in one day. During that same time, PANW had corrections of 10% or more over a dozen times, and several 20%+ drops. Those results give me confidence that the trade will work out, and more likely than not, do so quickly.
I normally don't trade stocks right after earnings, I usually like to wait 3 days for selling pressure to subside, but this setup has proven successful regardless of the proximity to earnings. In fact, some of its best returns are from just after earnings.
Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy:Recently, there have been many developments in the crude oil market that affect the price trend. From the supply side, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) have been committed to production cuts to stabilize oil prices. Some member countries have even taken unexpected production - cutting actions, which has reduced the crude oil supply to a certain extent. Major oil - producing countries such as Saudi Arabia have cut their own crude oil production, sending a strong signal to the market to control the supply.
Meanwhile, the global crude oil demand has not declined significantly. With the gradual recovery of the global economy, industrial production activities in many countries have increased, and the demand for crude oil has also increased. In particular, some emerging economies have a relatively high - speed economic growth and a high degree of dependence on crude oil. Their growing demand strongly supports the crude oil price.
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy:
USOIL BUY@61~60.5
SL:60
TP:62.5~63
Gold Technical Analysis.This chart is for CFDs on Gold (XAUUSD) on a 2-hour timeframe and presents a trading plan by the XAUUSD_EXPERT_Team. Here's a breakdown of the information provided:
Current Price: 3,320.910 USD per ounce
Target Price: Around 3,354.556 USD (highlighted as "Target")
Stop Loss Level: Around 3,294.776 USD
Entry Zone: The highlighted black box appears to be the buy zone, ranging approximately between 3,311.296 and 3,320.910 USD
Risk/Reward Setup: The green box shows the profit target zone, and the red box shows the stop loss zone
Trade Direction: Bullish (expectation of price rising after potential short-term pullback)
The chart suggests a long (buy) position with a favorable risk/reward ratio, anticipating a continuation of the uptrend after a possible retracement to the support zone.
Let me know if you want help calculating the exact risk/reward ratio or converting this to a trading plan.
X /USDT Main trend (meaning of secondary). Pump/Dump. 22 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. As we see 2 aggressive pumps by a huge %. This is because:
1) Low liquidity.
2) Large stupid audience of buyers.
Conventionally "fresh" pump/dump candy wrapper of the "meme direction". Twitter 2.4 million people. These are all potential future buyers.
The price was specially made with many zeros (like all similar pump/dump assets with a large potential distribution audience), so that regardless of the pump price, a stupid market participant, a crypto candy wrapper, always seemed cheap and acceptable for purchase, to "earn XXX". Similarly, the total number of coins supplied.
1) I put a descending channel on the chart (if we do not exit this resistance zone).
2) And Gann fan, to orient dynamic support / resistance to the future, when they will pump. It is necessary to understand that on such assets, movements from the main reversal zones under the market always have an aggressive character, that is, "sticks". When working on such assets, always observe money management.
Scam-like assets are suitable for high-risk investments (pre-allocated and limited amount +30%-50% in orders in case of declines, purchases from probability zones by %), with diversification between similar assets (5-20) for the purpose of sales in the distribution zone, or with a significant pump, even before this zone (waves of interest).