XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Community ideas
SELL CONTINUATION Price has broken structure twice to the downside creating a protected high at the lower high( below 1.36600). Also price has created a nice looking order block, inducement that closed above a high! Further confirmation tells us that price is also now at the premium level of the swing leg, suggesting a good short set up. Now we wait for price to tap into the order block, a good change of character on the lower time frame will give a nice sell action to the external low!
TRADE CAREFULLY AND RISK WISELY
A bearish 12 Month candle could be in the cardsBitcoin made an yearly high of 20% after 6 months in on the yearly candle
This does not make me feel great about the rest of the year
a clear sell signal would be an higher timeframe close under 100k after an upthrust to new ath around 110k - 120k
around 50k-54k for me is an good buy level to build an longterm position:
0.382 fib retracement for an primary 1-2 wave
0.500 fib retracement from the 25k low
0.886 fib retracement from 49k low
50% pullback from current high to projected low
where will bitcoin go ? i don't know, but i do know where i want to buy and when i want to sell
DXY DOLLAR INDEX The DXY has declined from its current high 114.54 to 96.59 reflecting a weaker dollar against a basket of major currencies including the euro, yen, pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc.
Despite this decline, the dollar remains supported by strong US economic growth and higher US 10-year bond yields, which have widened the yield gap with other developed economies .
The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy has been relatively hawkish, with fewer rate cuts priced in compared to other central banks, helping to underpin the dollar.
Trade tensions and tariff uncertainties continue to create volatility, but the dollar benefits from safe-haven demand amid global uncertainties
Composition of the DXY Basket:
Euro (EUR): 57.6%
Japanese Yen (JPY): 13.6%
British Pound (GBP): 11.9%
Canadian Dollar (CAD): 9.1%
Swedish Krona (SEK): 4.2%
Swiss Franc (CHF): 3.6%
context
Drivers: US economic strength, Fed policy, bond yield differentials, trade tensions, and safe-haven flows keeping dollar on support hold.
Ongoing US tariff announcements and trade policy changes have contributed to volatility and risk aversion, pressuring the dollar lower.
US Economic Policy the Market is concerned about fiscal policy, Federal Reserve independence, and rising US debt which have led to reduced demand for US assets, further weighing on the dollar.
Interest Rate Differential:
The US Fed funds rate remains at 4.50%-4.25%, but with global central banks adjusting policy, the relative appeal of the dollar has diminished.
Conversely, a sustained move above 98.00 could signal a reversal and renewed dollar strength.
hope we can get back to 100 aagin.
#dollar
Nikkei 225 H1 | Swing-high resistance at a Fibo confluence zoneThe Nikkei 225 (JPN225) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 40,196.22 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 78.6% projection and the 127.2% extension.
Stop loss is at 40,480.00 which is a level that sits above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 39,712.53 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
BITCOIN Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 108,796.02.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 110,156.53 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDUSD Will Move Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.653.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.649 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BTCUSDT – Calm Before the BreakoutBitcoin is holding firmly above the ascending trendline, consolidating within the accumulation range of $98,000 to $117,000. The current structure suggests that buyers remain in control, especially after a strong rebound from the $98,450 support zone.
In terms of news, BTC has been slightly affected by market concerns over new U.S. tariffs. However, on-chain data still shows strong accumulation around the $108,000 level. If this base holds, BTCUSDT could break out toward the $117,424 target in the near term. Conversely, if the trendline fails, the $98,000 level will be the final stronghold for the bulls.
BullsSince hitting 3360+ Gold has formed a channel(flag) on which it has been declining on. Main goal is the 71 -79 retracement region before we get back to buys towards new all time highs.
Currently we at the lower end of the channel giving a buy opportunity towards the 1hr FVG @3325-3330 where we will also look for more sells and target 3280 -3274 (the 71 -79 retracement region).
NB don't force the market and watchout for major news
Gold price collapses! Analysis of gold price trend!Market news:
In the early Asian session on Wednesday (July 9), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,302 per ounce. Investors are optimistic about the trade agreement between the United States and its trading partners, while the strengthening of the US dollar and the rise in US bond yields have further increased the downward pressure on international gold. The global trade uncertainty and geopolitical factors caused by Trump's tariff policy continue to strengthen the safe-haven appeal of gold. The central bank's gold purchases and the "transfer" of investment funds have pushed up the London gold price by 26% so far this year, and it once hit a record high of $3,500 per ounce in April. Although gold outperformed most major asset classes in the first half of this year, it is not easy to continue to set new highs in the second half of the year.The short-term trend of international gold prices depends more on US macroeconomic data and trade policy trends. The substantial expansion of the scale of participating funds may also amplify market fluctuations. In addition, emerging market central banks still have room for continued buying. The expectation of global monetary system reconstruction and geopolitical risks still constitute long-term benefits, but periodic profit-taking and the strengthening of the US dollar may put selling pressure on gold prices. Traders should pay close attention to the Fed's June meeting minutes, official speeches, and the latest developments in trade negotiations to determine the future trend of gold prices.
Technical Review:
Spot gold fell after fluctuating upward on Tuesday. After the US market, it continued to fall and hit a recent low. In the hourly trend, the short-term moving average began to gradually diverge downward, and the K-line began to slowly bear the pressure. The short-term moving average maintained a weaker operation, tending to have some adjustments in the short-term trend. The key point is the gains and losses above 3300! From the 4-hour gold chart, the gold price fell from a high level and then stabilized around 3287. Although the support effect of this position is good, the price has been in a volatile trend in recent times. Therefore, we can continue to pay attention to the rise and fall of the 3285-3350 range. The breakthrough direction of the oscillation range is a reference signal for the short-term direction of the market. Gold has two rounds of downward breakthroughs through the 3300 mark this week. The New York closing price has to break 3300 before bottoming out and rebounding. The daily structure maintained a high and wide fluctuation, and then lost the MA10 daily moving average again. The RSI indicator was running below the central axis. The Bollinger Bands of the four-hour chart and the hourly chart opened downward, the moving average dead cross opened downward, and the RSI indicator ran below the central axis. Gold tended to run in a selling structure. The main idea of today's trading is to sell at a high price on the rebound, and to buy at a low price as an auxiliary.
Today's analysis:
Last night, gold fell sharply. The current market has fallen below the low point of the day before, and has gone out of the pattern of continued decline. Yesterday, we have already let everyone sell. There is no problem with our thinking. Then today is the same. Gold is still in a weak situation. After the price fell yesterday, it started a continuous rebound in the second half of the night, but the amplitude and strength of the rebound were not large. It is obvious that the pressure from above is still strong. We will continue to sell after waiting for the rebound during the day! Gold has been falling for 1 hour, constantly refreshing the new lows of the past two days, and the 1-hour moving average of gold continues to sell downward and diverge. The selling force of gold is strong, and there is still downward momentum. The resistance of the gold moving average has now moved down to around 3317, and gold fell to 3320 yesterday and then rebounded slightly and directly fell below 3320. Then 3320 has become the key position of gold in the short term. Gold continues to sell at highs under pressure at 3320 during the day.
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 3283-3286 buy, stop loss 3274, target 3310-3330;
Short-term gold 3320-3323, sell, stop loss 3332, target 3290-3270;
Key points:
First support level: 3288, second support level: 3274, third support level: 3250
First resistance level: 3310, second resistance level: 3318, third resistance level: 3330
USDJPY H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 147.36, a pullback support that aligns closely with the 161.8% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 145.99, a pullback support.
The stop loss is placed at 148.70, above the 161.8% Fib extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Engineers India LtdThe stock is showing strong bullish signs across multiple timeframes:
☕ On the daily chart, it's forming a classic Cup and Handle pattern – a reliable bullish continuation signal.
🔵 On the weekly timeframe, a rounding bottom is clearly visible, adding strength to the longer-term structure.
📍 Neckline: ₹246
🎯 Potential Targets: ₹250 → ₹260 → ₹270
🛡️ Stop Loss: Below recent swing low for risk control
A breakout above ₹246 could trigger a strong move, supported by both pattern formations and structure across timeframes.
Not financial advice – just sharing my analysis.
DXY (LONG)
Elephant in room: To all the fake Business Development Managers in SA; claiming to have database/business they dont have, then jumping broker to broker every 3months to just get money knowing very well you cannot meet the requirement to claim you can
have caused the following
1) International brokers to not hire South Africans anymore
2) Some good brokers to leave the country therefore jobs opportunities to be lost.
We complain about lack of employment and opportunities while we are greatly the cause
Be Better have integrity, professionalism and be hournest, your selfish acts have a greater negative impact than you can imagine.
TSLA at Critical Compression – Will 300 Break or Reject Again?🔍 Options Sentiment (GEX) Insight:
TSLA is currently sitting just below the $300 call wall — a key resistance level with 71.83% call gamma. This makes $300 a battleground where dealers are likely to defend against upward movement unless there's a significant catalyst or volume thrust. The highest positive call gamma is stacked at $320, making that the next magnet level if $300 is breached with strength.
Below, the $290 level is critical, hosting a major PUT wall and high-volume liquidity (HVL). A break below could trigger acceleration toward $285–$280, where the strongest negative NET GEX exists — signaling potential dealer hedging flows in favor of downside momentum.
Options Trade Ideas:
* Bullish Scenario (Breakout):
* Buy CALL if TSLA breaks and holds above $300, targeting the $310–$317.5 range.
* Ideal setup: Use 310c or 315c, 1–2 weeks out, looking for gamma squeeze.
* Bearish Scenario (Breakdown):
* Buy PUT if TSLA breaks and holds below $290, targeting $285 → $280.
* Ideal contracts: 280p or 285p, especially if IV remains low (IVR is at 21.3).
* Be cautious of chop inside the $290–$300 zone — it's gamma neutral.
📈 1-Hour Technical Structure:
TSLA is trading inside a descending wedge with a bullish CHoCH (Change of Character) confirming near the lower boundary of the wedge. There is a visible bullish OB (order block) between $288–$290, which acted as support in the last two sessions.
* Trendline Resistance from recent highs still caps upward movement unless $300 is reclaimed decisively.
* A strong bullish breakout above $300 could flip the structure fully bullish and initiate trend continuation toward $320.
* Failure to hold $290 could invalidate the CHoCH and confirm a BOS (Break of Structure) back to the downside.
Intraday Trade Scenarios:
* Scalp Long:
* Entry: $297.50 (if holds and reclaims above $300)
* Target: $307 / $310
* Stop: $293.94 (below last swing)
* Scalp Short:
* Entry: Break below $288.77
* Target: $285 → $280
* Stop: $293.94
Final Thoughts:
TSLA is consolidating near a major decision zone. $300 remains the trigger level for a directional move, and option flows suggest an explosive resolution if either side breaks. Stay nimble, wait for confirmation, and trade with clear invalidation in mind.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 9, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 9, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📦 Tariff Pause Extended to August 1
President Trump delayed the July 9 tariff deadline, pushing negotiations into early August. Markets reacted with muted volatility, suggesting growing comfort that deals will be struck—yet widespread uncertainty remains
💵 Junk Bonds Rally Amid Tariff Tangling
Despite ongoing tariff risks, investors are doubling down on U.S. high-yield (junk) bonds. They anticipate the Fed may refrain from tightening further—favoring spread-tightening to around 7–8% yields—reflecting confidence in credit quality
🏦 Fed Faces Tough Call on Rate Path
New business surveys show conflicting signals: mixed revenue outlooks, cautious spending, and ongoing tariff pressures. The Fed must weigh slower growth against inflationary risks—keeping the door open to rate cuts in the autumn but unlikely before September
📊 Equities Firm Amid Tariff Uncertainty
Stocks showed resilience—S&P 500 and futures held position—after Monday’s tariff-triggered dip. Dip-buying and expectations of extended trade talks kept markets steady despite policy noise
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Wednesday, July 9:
All Day – Ongoing U.S.–tariff negotiations; markets focused on any progress toward formal deal-making or extension terms.
Midday – Watch for headlines on tariff letters to 14 countries and any movement in trade discussions.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #tariffs #Fed #fixedincome #credit #technicalanalysis
Gold Price Analysis - 4-Hour Chart4-hour candlestick chart for the Gold Spot price in U.S. Dollars (XAUUSD), sourced from OANDA. The chart displays the price movement over time, with green candles indicating an increase in price and red candles indicating a decrease. The chart also features various technical indicators and annotations, including a trend line and a support level.