Gold on the Rise – Will It Break New Highs?Hey traders! What’s your view on XAUUSD?
Yesterday, gold surged over 400 pips and the rally hasn't slowed down. Price is now hovering around $3,428, right below a key resistance above the all-time high.
Why the spike? US CPI came in lower than expected, boosting hopes for a Fed rate cut. The dollar weakened, tensions in the Middle East grew, and central banks are buying gold aggressively.
Personally, I expect a breakout. What about you – will gold pull back or continue its climb?
Drop your thoughts in the comments!
Community ideas
EURJPY Followed ascending channel selling strong from resistanceOANDA:EURJPY Analysis – 4H Timeframe
EURJPY has been respecting the ascending channel but is now showing strong bearish momentum after reacting from the key supply zone at 164.800.
🔻 Technical Targets:
1st Target: 164.000
2nd Target: 162.000
The setup suggests a potential short opportunity as price breaks structure and momentum shifts. Stay sharp! ⚡
✅ Like | 💬 Comment | 🔔 Follow for more updates
— By Livia 😜
#EURJPY #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #4HChart #TradingSetup
Ethereum (ETH/USDT) Breakout Watch ! Hello traders here is KingPro's analysis on Ethereum
📈ETH is at the critical resistance level strong closing above it could tiger a bullish move.
Current Price: $2,628
EMA 70 Support: Price is holding above the 70-period EMA ($2,577), showing bullish structure.
Support Zone: The area around $2,320–$2,400 is acting as a strong historical support, confirmed multiple times.
Supply Zone: Consolidation occurred near $2,570–$2,620, but price has broken above it — indicating accumulation.
Critical Resistance Area: Around $2,780–$2,800. This is a key level — a breakout above could lead to strong bullish continuation.
Next Target: $2,782.93 – price may retest this resistance as indicated by the projection arrow.
📊 Trade Idea:
If ETH sustains above $2,620 and breaks the short-term channel resistance, a move toward $2,782+ is likely.
🔒 Risk: A breakdown below the EMA or the supply zone (~$2,570) could invalidate the setup.
SOLUSDT | Short-Term Target = $185Today, we got reports that the SEC requested SOL ETF issuers to update their filings which ignited the rally past $165. This boosts investor confidence- we should see good bullish volume in the near term, targeting $185.
US-China talks have also came back positive, awaiting both presidents' approval.
The first hurdle, still, is the 200SMA. Ideally, we want to see a bullish close above $168. This should be easily taken this week, if not today. From there, we aim for the near term high of $185 before zooming out to aim for $250.
Hyperliquid $150 by Q1- Hyperliquid, a decentralized exchange (DEX) specializing in perpetual futures, commands over 70% of the on-chain perps market with $1.6T in cumulative trading volume since its 2023 mainnet launch. Unlike competitors with inflated volumes, Hyperliquid’s transparent activity solidifies its dominance.
- Its unique model redirects 97% of trading fees (annualized at $700M-$1B) to buy back GETTEX:HYPE tokens on the open market, driving scarcity and value accrual. While its spot market trails CEXs, future listings and lower fees are set to capture significant volume, boosting fee growth.
- The 2024 airdrop of 310M GETTEX:HYPE tokens (31% of supply) to 94,000 users, valued at $7.5B+, built a tight-knit community and strong network effect. With 42% of tokens reserved for rewards, Hyperliquid’s substantial incentive pool is poised to fuel US expansion as perpetuals gain traction.
- With US interest in perpetuals surging, evidenced by Coinbase’s recent futures trading launch, and a regulatory shift toward crypto-friendly policies ( accelerated under a Trump administration), Hyperliquid’s non-KYC, low-fee platform is ideally positioned to lead.
- The launch of HyperEVM and builder codes, alongside HIP-3, empowers developers to create DeFi apps and build on top of Hyperliquid’s liquidity and seamless execution, letting projects leverage its infrastructure while retaining their users. This ecosystem growth reinforces Hyperliquid’s moat, with GETTEX:HYPE targeting new highs as adoption scales.
- It's currently trading just under ATH's of $44 while BTC is trading at $106k ready to make ATH's. Targeting any bids sub $40 for long term swing trade into 100-150.
BTC Top (a study of SMA as peak indication)
It is true that 200 weekly SMA crossing the ATH has been a strong indicator of Cycle 1 peak and the Cycle 2 peak, however Cycle 3 peak has occured before this cross. The SMA was 17358 while the prior ATH was 19804. The cycle 3 top happened 2 months prior to 200 Weekly SMA hitting the prior ATH. Waiting for the 200 weekly SMA would have afforded only a 45k exit opportunity.
this indicates that while 200 SMA is a signal that is worth tracking in and of itsself prior to more neuances are introducted it is hard to use it as a precise predictor.
Possible refinements include:
-the time divergence of the ATH-SMA cross its slef may form a predicatable pattern in other words SMA crossing happens 1 week prior at ATH and at the ATH and thn then 2 months later in consquitive cyles possibly indicating that the SMA cross may happen at 6 mo after the new peak at the cyle 4 predicted be at Q3 or Q4 of 2025.
-The prior ATH should not be taken too literally and instead another metric around the prior ATH should be the linchpin level- eg the medium of the weekly candle that contains the ATH
We formulated new hypotheses for future research:
The first one is studied here:
-With the advent of more capital, the memory that the average investor works with is reduced. Or put in a different way the more the deployed capital to the asset the less patient it gets on average and a greater sense of "urgency to reallocate" arises
-If we were to model BTC USD price in the image of a logarithmic decaying population growth of fish in a pond that may experience regualtion of population such as over population leading to population decline can we arrive at new ways to predict?
-If we were to think of the logarithmic channel are there reactions as the population arrives near the carrying capacity of the time
Conculsions:
210+ SMA crossing prior ATH indicates the turning point (peak) for cycle 1 (not calculable on tradingview due to price history limits)
200 SMA crossing prior ATH indicates the turning point (peak) for Cycle 2
159 SMA crossing prior ATH indicates the turning point (peak) for Cycle 3. (This was the highest number of week count for the SMA that crosses the prior ATH is 159.
This indicates that a decline in the week count of the SMA in consecutive cycles.
The reduction of the SMA week count would mean that there is less need to pay attention to "more ancient" history when looking at assessing the peak of the current cycle.
The reduction in the SMA week count could imply something similar to that of "delayed crossing" because more days would need to elapse at the higher prices for the 200 weekly average to achieve the crossing
If we were to consider a decay function of 220 to -200- 159- we could anticipate a more than 40 possibly 60 day reduction to the day count of the SMA indicating a 150-120 week SMA as a possible signal.
This would indicate that there is a greater chance that even the100 SMA could also carry some signal value for marking the peak for the current cycle (cycle 4)
ALERT
100 SMA is at 65k and the ATH with a small top wick is at 68k. This means that even if the price did not materially change in less than 4-10 weeks we could have the 100 SMA pass the prior ATH.
Also see related idea:
Chart Pattern Analysis Of Bitcoin.
K1 and K2 verified a potential strong support,
If the following candles K5 or K6 close upon the downtrend line like K2,
Another bull run will keep climbing up.
It will be a good place to buy it around the downtrend line.
If the following candles consolidate around the resistance to verify the bullish momentum,
It will also a good place to buy it around the resistance.
On the other hand,
If K5 or K6 close below K4 to verify the resistance,
The market will fall to test the support for more times,
I will try to buy it at about 100K area.
Long-101618/Stop-100618/Target-120K
Long-103188/Stop-102188/Target-120K
ID: 2025 - 0136.12.2025
Trade #13 of 2025 executed.
Trade entry at 162 DTE (days to expiration).
Excellent fills this morning, well under mid. Created a GTC working order two days ago and let price come to me. No chasing. There are TONS of external liquidity voids resting below.
Target profit is 5% ROI
Happy Trading!
-kevin
US30 Analysis: Liquidity Dip or Deeper Correction?📉 US30 (Dow Jones) Trade Idea 📉
Currently analysing US30 – the Dow Jones Index 🏛️, and there are some key developments worth noting…
On the 4-hour timeframe, we’re observing a clear shift in market structure, with price breaking through previous lows ⚠️. This raises two possibilities:
🔹 It could be a liquidity grab before a rally 🚀
🔹 Or, it may be the beginning of a deeper end-of-week sell-off targeting levels below 🔻
At this stage, I’m watching for a potential counter-trend short position — but only if the conditions outlined in the video are met with precision 🎯.
🧠 As always, it’s about waiting for confirmation, not jumping in early. Disciplined execution is key. 🧩💼
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The information provided is for educational purposes only. Always do your own analysis and manage risk accordingly.
USDZAR-NEUTRAL BUY strategy 6 Hourly chart GANNThe pair made a sudden rush upwards, whilst we have negative USDX and other currencies and stronger GOLD. This places caution on BU*Y side, however noting we are improving on the pair its USD value stance. The resistance 17.8150-18.8500 and 18.9500 are the areas to watch.
Strategy BUY @ 17.7350-17.7650 and take profit near 17.9350 for now.
USD/JPY(20250613)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending June 7 was 248,000, higher than the expected 240,000, the highest since the week of October 5, 2024. The monthly rate of the core PPI in the United States in May was 0.1%, lower than the expected 0.30%. Traders once again fully priced in the Fed's two interest rate cuts this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
143.73
Support and resistance levels:
145.09
144.58
144.25
143.21
142.88
142.37
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 143.73, consider buying in, the first target price is 144.25
If the price breaks through 143.21, consider selling in, the first target price is 142.88
BEST XAUUSD M30 BUY SETUP FOR TODAYGold (XAU/USD) is showcasing strong bullish momentum after breaking above the key resistance zone near $3,404, now acting as fresh support. 🔄 The price formed a bullish structure with clean higher highs and higher lows on the 30-minute chart, confirming buying strength. 🟣 The marked demand zone around $3,392–$3,404 is critical—if price retests and holds this level, we can expect a continuation toward $3,420 and beyond. 🚀📌 Traders should watch for bullish confirmations on pullbacks to this zone for potential long setups. 🧠⚡