EUR/JPY Technical Outlook: Demand Zone Bounce Sets Up RallyGood Morning Traders,
Trust you are good.
Below is my analysis of the EURJPY pair.
Overview
Price is currently at 161.243, showing signs of a bullish rebound following a sharp drop. A clear bullish structure is forming, characterized by higher lows and a breakout from a recent consolidation zone. The demand zone between 160.900 and 161.100 has held strong, acting as a reliable support level.
Idea
A recent bullish impulse broke above minor resistance, followed by a healthy retracement into the demand zone—shaping a potential bullish flag or continuation pattern. This retracement aligns with the 50% Fibonacci level, providing added confluence for a continuation to the upside.
The projected target is 164.174, a level likely to contain buy-side liquidity and act as a magnet for price in the short term.
Conclusion
Despite macro uncertainty due to ongoing trade tensions, recent news of a 90-day tariff pause from Trump has eased some pressure, allowing the EUR to show resilience. As a result, EUR/JPY may continue its bullish push toward the 164.174 target. However, a break below 160.245 would invalidate this outlook.
Cheers and happy trading!
Community ideas
NZDCAD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDCAD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.827.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.824 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
ETHFI Bulls Return — Double Bottom Reversal in Play🟢 ETHFI/USDT – 4H Double Bottom Breakout
BINANCE:ETHFIUSDT.P
📍 Timeframe: 4H
📊 Setup Type: Double Bottom (Reversal)
⚠️ Risk Level: Low-Moderate
🧠 Technical Breakdown:
Price has formed a Double Bottom pattern, a strong reversal structure signaling seller exhaustion and potential trend reversal:
Both bottoms are well-defined and near-equal in depth, signaling accumulation.
The breakout above the neckline (White Lines) following a successful retest of the horizontal support (previously as a resistance zone) confirms the bullish intent.
Price is now attempting to break the horizontal resistance zone.
This is a bullish continuation setup following confirmation of the structure breakout.
🎯 Trade Setup Parameters:
Entry Zone:
$0.5251– $0.5193 (White lines)
Stop Loss: $0.4681 (4H CC below it)
Target Projections: Blue Lines
⚙️ Strategy Notes:
Wait patiently for a breakout and a successful retest.
Setup Invalidation below $0.4852 would negate the pattern.
Watch volume for breakout continuation as an additional confirmation.
Risk exposure: 1-2% max of your capital.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a probability-based idea, not financial advice. Stick to your plan, always use a stop-loss.
#NFA #DYOR
Concerns about demand limit the upside potentialCrude oil lacks upward momentum, with the target pointing to $60.
USOIL
sell@62.8-63.3
tp:61.5-61
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
Opening (IRA): SPY June 20th 375 Short Put... for a 3.74 credit
Comments: High IVR/>21 IV. Starting to ladder out here, targeting the strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit.
Will generally look to roll up at 50% max to the strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit if >45 DTE remain in the expiry and IVR/IV remains sufficient to collect 1% of the strike price in credit at 16 delta or less.
Opening (IRA): SPY May 16th 385 Short Put... for a 4.04 credit.
Comments: High IVR, >21 IV. Sticking a little pickle in here, targeting the strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit which is quite a bit out of the money at the 8 delta.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 380.96
Max Profit: 4.04
ROC at Max: 1.06%
50% Max: 2.02
ROC at 50% Max: .54%
$TROLL Set to Breakout Amidst Symmetrical Triangle Pattern$TROLL, a memecoin built on the Solana Ecosystem through Pump.fun passed bonding curve and got listed on Raydium and CEX like MEXC, Lbank, and Meteora is set for a breakout amidst a symmetrical triangle pattern.
The memecoin is showing signs of a bullish rally and also a bearish rally. The symmetrical triangle has been carved out already, the only confirmation needed is a breakout above the ceiling of the symmetrical triangle- that will be the only catalyst $TROLL needs for a breakout coupled with the RSI at 47, $TROLL is poised to capitalize on this metrics to deliver a stunning bullish campaign.
However, on a bearish tone, failure to break above the symmetrical triangle will be difficult for $TROLL to hold the bears in that region, hence, it will resort to a correction to the $0.008 support point.
About TROLL (SOL)
The TROLL token on the Solana network is a meme coin inspired by internet trolling culture, designed for entertainment and community engagement with no intrinsic value. Built on Solana’s blockchain, it leverages the network’s fast transactions and low fees to appeal to meme enthusiasts.
TROLL (SOL) Price Data
The TROLL (SOL) price today is $0.020531 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $30,882,484 USD. TROLL (SOL) is up 11.71% in the last 24 hours. The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #801, with a market cap of $20,510,507 USD. It has a circulating supply of 999,005,592 TROLL coins and a max. supply of 1,000,000,000 TROLL coins.
Gold Trade Plan 25/04/2025Dear Traders,
There is no strong bullish momentum observed in gold, and it seems to be moving within a descending channel. Meanwhile, the dollar index has entered a reversal phase. I expect the price to drop into the 3220–3230 zone to gather momentum, A new update will be shared soon.
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
Short-Term Trade Setup: NZDCAD Eyes 0.82898–0.83110 TargetsGood day Traders,
Trust you are well.
Below is my analysis of NZDCAD.
Overview:
NZDCAD is retracing from the recent high at 0.83050, currently trading around 0.82628. Price action is approaching a key support zone between 0.82470 – 0.82285, an area that previously triggered bullish reactions. Momentum indicators are showing bearish pressure, with red histogram bars visible on the chart.
Idea:
Although bearish momentum is present, the histogram shows a slight decrease in selling pressure, hinting at a potential slowdown in the current downtrend. If the pair holds above the 0.82287 level, it could signal a potential reversal or bounce. This would open room for bullish targets at: 0.82898, 0.83039 and 0.83110.
However, a confirmed break below 0.82287 could expose the next support around 0.82100.
Conclusion:
The pair is at a critical support zone, with decreasing momentum suggesting that sellers may be losing strength. A bounce from current levels could provide a short-term buying opportunity, while a break below 0.82287 would invalidate the bullish outlook.
Cheers and happy trading!
Gold may hit a second bottom today!From the perspective of the daily line, yesterday's rebound relied on the short-term moving average to close positive, but the rebound was not very strong and the continuity was poor. If it can continue to close positive today, it will lay the foundation for an upward trend, and then it can be seen to gradually strengthen. If it closes negative today, or even falls below the short-term moving average, then gold may fall again.
From the previous round of bottom support 2790, there is a triple bottom, and there is a bottoming process. Therefore, gold cannot be too optimistic about returning to a strong bull market at present, and still has this psychological expectation.
EURUSD 4H Time-frame analysis Let's dive into my EURUSD analysis on the 4-hour timeframe. From what I can see on your chart, here's a more detailed breakdown of potential interpretations:
It looks like I've identified some key horizontal levels. These are often significant areas of interest for traders because they can act as:
Support: Price might find it difficult to fall below these levels, and buying pressure could emerge. The lower horizontal line you've drawn around 1.12059 appears to be a potential support level. Notice how price bounced off this area previously in late March.
Resistance: Conversely, price might struggle to rise above these levels, and selling pressure could take over. The upper yellow highlighted area, with the recent high reaching just above 1.13345, looks like a significant resistance zone. The price has recently tested this level and is currently pulling back.
Recent Price Action:
The sharp upward move in April, culminating at that high, suggests strong buying pressure. However, the immediate pullback indicates that the resistance zone is holding, at least for now.
Potential Scenarios:
Based on what I'm seeing, here are a couple of potential scenarios to consider:
Rejection at Resistance: The current pullback could signify a rejection of the resistance zone. If selling pressure continues, we might see the price move back down towards your identified support level around 1.12059. A break below this support could then open the door for further downside.
Consolidation and Breakout: Alternatively, the price might consolidate within the range defined by your resistance and support levels for a while. A subsequent break above the resistance (the yellow zone) would suggest renewed buying momentum and could lead to further upside. Conversely, a break below the support would reinforce the bearish scenario.
Things to Consider for Further Analysis:
To get a more complete picture, you might want to consider:
Candlestick Patterns: Are there any specific candlestick patterns forming at the resistance level (like a bearish engulfing or a shooting star) that could confirm rejection? Similarly, look for bullish patterns near the support if price revisits that area.
Volume: Analyzing the volume during the recent push to the high and the subsequent pullback could provide clues about the strength of the moves. High volume on the push-up might suggest strong buying interest, while high volume on the pullback could indicate strong selling pressure.
Technical Indicators: Incorporating indicators like Moving Averages, RSI, or MACD could offer additional context and potential confirmation signals. For instance, is the RSI in overbought territory near the resistance? Is the MACD showing signs of bearish divergence?
Fundamental Analysis: Keep an eye on any upcoming economic news or events related to the Euro or the US Dollar that could influence the price action.
Remember, this is just an interpretation based on the snapshot you've provided. Trading involves probabilities, and no analysis is foolproof. It's crucial to manage your risk appropriately.
What are your thoughts on these observations? What was your initial reasoning behind marking these specific levels? I'd be interested to hear more about your perspective!
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST 5' ORDER BLOCK Q2 W17 D25 Y25 AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D25 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅5' order block point of interest
✅Previous daily candle bearish close
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
April 25, 2025 – GBPJPY Short📉 Bias: Bearish | Risk: 0.5% | 🎯 Target: 1:3
🧠 Reasoning:
Reaction from Daily Imbalance + Daily EMA 📊. Buyers showing weakness, sellers taking control ⚔️.
After completing the extended wick, price left a clean imbalance – that’s where Im planning to enter 🎯.
⚠️ Note:
We could spike higher into the Weekly EMA, but setup still looks solid. SL: 20 pips 🛡️
GBPUSD... 4H CHART PATTERNI am suggesting a **GBP/USD short (sell) position** from **1.3299**, targeting **1.3160**. Here's a quick breakdown of that idea from a technical and risk management perspective:
---
### 📊 **Trade Summary**
- **Pair**: GBP/USD
- **Position**: Sell
- **Entry**: 1.3299
- **Target**: 1.3160
- **Potential Profit**: 139 pips
---
### ⚠️ Key Considerations:
1. **Technical Analysis**:
- Are you basing this on a break of support, resistance rejection, or a larger trend (e.g., D1 or H4)?
- Any key indicators (RSI, MACD, moving averages) giving confirmation?
2. **Fundamentals**:
- Any upcoming UK or US economic data? (GDP, interest rate announcements, Fed or BoE speeches?)
- Market sentiment toward USD (safe haven) or GBP (risk currency)?
3. **Stop Loss**:
- Are you using one? Placing it above recent highs could protect you—e.g., SL at 1.3350 (risk of ~50 pips).
- Risk-to-reward ratio: approx. 1:2.8 (Good).
---
### 🛠 Example Trade Setup (MetaTrader Style)
| Type | Sell (Short) |
|------------|-------------------|
| Entry | 1.3299 |
| TP (Target)| 1.3160 |
| SL (Stop) | 1.3350 (example) |
| R:R | ~1:2.8 |
---
If you’re live trading this, be cautious of:
- **Volatility spikes** from news.
- **Support levels** near 1.3200 that could slow down the move.
- **Dollar strength/weakness** (watch the DXY).
[ TimeLine ] Gold 21-22 April 2025Hello everyone,
📅 Today is Monday, April 21, 2025
I will be using the High-Low price levels formed on the following dates as reference points for potential trade entries:
📌 April 21, 2025 (Monday)
📌 April 22, 2025 (Tuesday)
🧠 Trading Plan & Notes:
✅ Gold has broken its ATH multiple times over the past two weeks —volatility remains high
✅ The range formed on April 21 is approximately 3331 to 3430 — a massive 1000-pip zone
⚠️ Due to the large range, reversal entries or trades based on Fibonacci levels may be more appropriate
✅ I will personally trade both signals as part of my ongoing research and strategy
⚠️ If you're unsure or risk-averse , consider skipping April 21's signal
📋 Execution Plan:
🔹 Wait for the price range from the candles above to fully form ( marked with green lines )
🔹 Entry will be triggered upon breakout, with a 60-pip buffer
🔹 If the trade hits Stop Loss (SL), switch direction and double the position size on the next valid entry for potential recovery
📉📈 Chart Reference:
x/lgXVOC2u/