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USDJPY CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS TARGET COMPLETE This chart represents a technical analysis of the USD/JPY currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's what it indicates: 1. Selling Zone (Yellow Area - Around 151.331) This is a resistance area where sellers are expected to take control, leading to price rejection and a possible downward move. 2. Buyer's Zone (Pink Area - Around 148.800 - 149.000) This is a support area where buyers are likely to step in, causing price to bounce back up. 3. Market Movement & Prediction The price moved up towards the Selling Zone, where it faced resistance and reversed downward (black arrow). It then dropped to the Buyer's Zone, where the trade hit its Target Win (blue arrow with "💪"). The chart suggests a successful short trade from the Selling Zone to the Buyer's Zone. Summary: This analysis shows a successful sell trade from the resistance (151.3) down to support (148.9), hitting the target profit level. It highlights price action behavior around key zones and a well-executed strategy.
Short
by afzalforex110
EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Bank Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 4H timeframe (1.04000) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: Primary Target - 1.06700 (or) Escape Before the Target Secondary Target - 1.08000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook: EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. ⭐🌟⭐Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysis evaluates the economic indicators of the Eurozone and the United States, which directly influence the EUR/USD pair. 🌟Eurozone Economic Indicators: GDP growth is reported at 0.5% for Q4 2024, with recent data suggesting an expected increase to 0.8% for Q1 2025, indicating a potential recovery Euro Area Indicators. Inflation rate is at 3.0% for February 2025, expected to decrease to 2.2% by year-end, reflecting easing price pressures Euro Area Inflation Rate. Interest rates are at 2.5%, with the European Central Bank (ECB) likely to hold steady, given mixed inflation signals Euro Area Interest Rate. Trade balance shows a surplus of €10 billion in January 2025, driven by exports, though not sufficient to offset economic challenges Euro Area Balance of Trade. 🌟United States Economic Indicators: GDP growth is strong at 2.5% for Q4 2024, though recent projections suggest a slowdown to 2.0% for Q1 2025 United States Indicators. Inflation is stable at 2.0% for February 2025, within target ranges, but recent data shows slight upward pressure United States Inflation Rate. Interest rates are at 4.5%, with expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in September 2025, reflecting a dovish shift United States Interest Rate. Trade balance shows a deficit of $50 billion in January 2025, a persistent challenge but manageable with strong economic growth United States Balance of Trade. The narrowing interest rate differential, with potential Fed rate cuts and stable ECB policy, could support EUR strength, though US economic resilience remains a counterforce. ⭐🌟⭐Macroeconomics Macroeconomics encompasses broader economic factors influencing the pair: Global GDP growth is projected at 3.0% for 2025, according to recent forecasts, with mixed regional performances World Economic Outlook. Commodity prices are stable, with oil at $80 per barrel, impacting EUR due to the Eurozone's energy import reliance Commodity Markets Outlook. Stock markets show positive performance, with the S&P 500 up 5% YTD and Euro Stoxx 50 up 3% YTD, supporting risk-sensitive currencies like the EUR Global Stock Market Performance. Bond yields are declining, with the US 10-year yield at 3.5%, down from 4.0% earlier, suggesting lower USD appeal Global Economic Outlook. ⭐🌟⭐Global Market Analysis Global economic conditions play a significant role in currency movements: Geopolitical events, such as potential tensions, could boost USD as a safe-haven currency, though no major events are currently noted. Central bank policies are diverging, with the Fed expected to cut rates and the ECB holding steady, narrowing the interest rate differential Central Bank Policies. Commodity trends, with stable oil prices, have a muted direct impact, though energy costs affect Eurozone inflation. Stock market performance, with global indices up, suggests risk-on sentiment, potentially supporting EUR over USD Market Performance Analysis. ⭐🌟⭐COT Data and Positioning COT data provides insights into large trader positions, with recent reports showing: For euro futures, large speculators are net short, but recent data indicates a reduction in short positions, suggesting emerging bullish sentiment CFTC COT Report. Positioning shows that institutional traders are cautiously optimistic, with some covering shorts as the price approaches support levels. Key Insight: Reducing short positions in euro futures align with potential bullish momentum, supporting an upward move. ⭐🌟⭐Intermarket Analysis Intermarket relationships influence currency valuation: EUR/USD is positively correlated with stock markets; with global indices performing well, the EUR could benefit from risk-on sentiment Intermarket Correlations. Gold, trading at $1900 per ounce, slightly up, suggests a weaker USD, supporting EUR strength Gold Price Trends. Bond yields, with declining US yields, indicate lower USD appeal, potentially boosting EUR/USD Bond Market Insights. Key Insight: Positive correlations with stocks and gold suggest EUR could strengthen, while declining US yields support this trend. ⭐🌟⭐Quantitative Analysis Technical analysis provides insights into price trends: At 1.05000, EUR/USD is approaching key support at 1.0450, with resistance at 1.0600, based on recent charts EUR/USD Technical Analysis. Moving averages show the 50-day MA at 1.0550 and the 200-day MA at 1.0700, with the price below both, indicating a downtrend TradingView Analysis. RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at 45, neutral, suggesting potential for a bounce if support holds Technical Indicators Guide. Key Insight: The pair is at a crucial support level, with technicals suggesting a possible upward reversal. ⭐🌟⭐Market Sentimental Analysis Market sentiment reflects trader positioning and expectations: Recent data shows mixed sentiment, with some traders expecting USD strength to continue, while others see potential for EUR recovery due to improving fundamentals Forex Sentiment EURUSD. Bank forecasts predict EUR/USD rising to 1.08 by year-end, citing Eurozone recovery and expected Fed rate cuts Currency Forecasts. Key Insight: Emerging optimism about the euro supports a bullish outlook, though caution remains due to recent USD strength. ⭐🌟⭐Next Trend Move Combining all factors, the next trend move for EUR/USD is likely upward: The pair is at a key support level (1.0450), and if it holds, could bounce back to test resistance at 1.0800. Potential catalysts include better-than-expected Eurozone data and Fed rate cut expectations, supporting EUR strength. Key Insight: The next move favors an upward continuation, with risks of further downside if support breaks. ⭐🌟⭐Overall Summary Outlook The EUR/USD pair, at 1.05000 on March 4, 2025, exhibits a cautiously bullish outlook. Key drivers include improving Eurozone fundamentals, with GDP growth expected to rise to 0.8% in Q1 2025 and declining inflation, narrowing the interest rate differential as the Fed is expected to cut rates by 0.25% in September 2025. Technical indicators suggest the pair is at a crucial support level, with potential for a bounce, supported by reducing short positions in euro futures and positive intermarket correlations with stocks and gold. Risks include persistent USD strength if US data remains robust or global risk-off sentiment boosts the USD. However, the prevailing trend points to a potential EUR appreciation in the near term. ⭐🌟⭐Future Prediction Trend: Bullish Details: The pair is likely to see an upward move, testing resistance at 1.0800 in the near term, driven by Eurozone recovery and expected Fed rate cuts. Risks include stronger-than-expected US data maintaining USD dominance, but current indicators suggest a reversal is imminent. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
CHFJPY Under Pressure! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for CHFJPY below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 167.74 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 166.88 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
US30 Trading Strategy That’s Been Proven to WorkThis strategy is backtested over trades and works best during the New York session (9:30 AM - 12 PM EST). Here’s how it works: Step 1: Identify Key Levels These are the support & resistance areas where institutions place big orders. Look for previous highs, lows, Step 2: Wait for a Liquidity Grab Banks love to trick retail traders by creating fake breakouts. We wait for price to break a key level, trap traders, then reverse. Step 3: Enter on Confirmation Once we see a liquidity grab, we wait for a strong rejection candle (pin bar, engulfing, etc.). Entry is placed at the close of the confirmation candle. Step 4: Set Stop Loss & Take Profit Stop loss: Just beyond the liquidity grab. Take profit: At least 2x the stop loss distance for a 1:2 risk-reward ratio.
OANDA:US30USDEducation
by FrankFx14
GBPUSD Week 10 Swing Zone/LevelsWeek by week pinched pips keeps increasing. As highlighted last week, Weekly zone and levels are mapped based on previous week daily high-low relationship (ie Monday HL in relation to Tuesday in relation to Wednesday HL, etc). Using the 5min candle for entry keeps the SL small btw 10-15 pips and TP ideally to the next level. Some swing levels are only marked after price interacts pre-calculated levels. Two possible road maps for the week, a or b? As always price action determines trades.
Short
by PinchPips
XAU/USD 04 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025. Price is currently trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023. As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price. On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent . Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold 1 h setup continuation of ascending channelXAU/USD (Gold) – 1H Chart Analysis (March 4, 2025) 1. Market Structure & Trend Analysis Rising Wedge Breakdown: Gold was previously in an ascending wedge pattern, which has broken to the downside. Key Support at $2,836: This level is a significant horizontal support, and price is likely to test it again. Lower Highs Formation: The price is making lower highs, indicating a continuation of the bearish trend. 2. RSI & Momentum Analysis Bearish Divergence: The RSI was making lower highs while the price made higher highs, signaling weakness before the drop. Current RSI at 62.75: The RSI has rebounded but remains below overbought levels, suggesting that there is still room for a move down. 3. Key Levels to Watch Resistance: $2,900 - $2,920 (Wedge breakdown retest; strong resistance zone) $2,940 (Major resistance if price pushes higher) Support: $2,836 (Key level where buyers may step in) $2,800 - $2,820 (Next major support zone) 4. Potential Trade Scenarios 📉 Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability) If price fails to reclaim $2,900 and shows weakness, expect a move toward $2,836. Short Setup: Entry: $2,895 - $2,900 (retest of breakdown zone) Stop-loss: Above $2,915 Target: $2,836, then $2,820 📈 Bullish Scenario (Lower Probability) If price reclaims $2,900 and holds above, we could see a retest of the $2,920 - $2,940 zone. Long Setup: Entry: Above $2,900 with confirmation Stop-loss: Below $2,885 Target: $2,920 - $2,940 5. Conclusion & Strategy Short-term bias: Bearish towards $2,836, with further downside possible. Trade idea: Look for rejection at $2,900 to confirm shorts. Risk management: Watch for false breakouts before entering trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forexbeats
EUR/USD: Sideways Accumulation – Awaiting a Breakout?EUR/USD is testing the key resistance zone around 1.04788, where it converges with a long-term descending trendline. If the price gets rejected here, it may pull back to the 1.03961 support area for accumulation before attempting another rebound. The market structure remains uncertain for a breakout, but if the price holds above support, EUR/USD could form a recovery pattern, aiming for higher levels. Trading Strategy: Sell if price gets rejected at 1.04788, target 1.03961, stop-loss above 1.05000. Buy around 1.03961 if strong bullish reaction occurs, target 1.04788, stop-loss below 1.03750. Wait for confirmation of a breakout above 1.04788 to enter a long position. Beyond technical factors, the EU summit on military and financial aid for Ukraine could significantly impact EUR. If strong financial support is confirmed, EUR may strengthen, supporting EUR/USD recovery. Conversely, political uncertainty could weaken the euro further.
by Gogii_i
How to develop a simple Buy&Sell strategy using Pine ScriptIn this article, will explain how to develop a simple backtesting for a Buy&Sell trading strategy using Pine Script language and simple moving average (SMA). Strategy description The strategy illustrated works on price movements around the 200-period simple moving average (SMA). Open long positions when the price crossing-down and moves below the average. Close position when the price crossing-up and moves above the average. A single trade is opened at a time, using 5% of the total capital. Behind the code Now let's try to break down the logic behind the strategy to provide a method for properly organizing the source code. In this specific example, we can identify three main actions: 1) Data extrapolation 2) Researching condition and data filtering 3) Trading execution 1. GENERAL PARAMETERS OF THE STRATEGY First define the general parameters of the script. Let's define the name. "Buy&Sell Strategy Template " Select whether to show the output on the chart or within a dashboard. In this example will show the output on the chart. overlay = true Specify that a percentage of the equity will be used for each trade. default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity Specify percentage quantity to be used for each trade. Will be 5%. default_qty_value = 5 Choose the backtesting currency. currency = currency.EUR Choose the capital portfolio amount. initial_capital = 10000 Let's define percentage commissions. commission_type = strategy.commission.percent Let's set the commission at 0.07%. commission_value = 0.07 Let's define a slippage of 3. slippage = 3 Calculate data only when the price is closed, for more accurate output. process_orders_on_close = true 2. DATA EXTRAPOLATION In this second step we extrapolate data from the historical series. Call the calculation of the simple moving average using close price and 200 period bars. sma = ta.sma(close, 200) 3. DEFINITION OF TRADING CONDITIONS Now define the trading conditions. entry_condition = ta.crossunder(close, sma) The close condition involves a bullish crossing of the closing price with the average. exit_condition = ta.crossover(close, sma) 4. TRADING EXECUTION At this step, our script will execute trades using the conditions described above. if (entry_condition==true and strategy.opentrades==0) strategy.entry(id = "Buy", direction = strategy.long, limit = close) if (exit_condition==true) strategy.exit(id = "Sell", from_entry = "Buy", limit = close) 5. DESIGN In this last step will draw the SMA indicator, representing it with a red line. plot(sma, title = "SMA", color = color.red) Complete code below. //@version=6 strategy( "Buy&Sell Strategy Template ", overlay = true, default_qty_type = strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value = 5, currency = currency.EUR, initial_capital = 10000, commission_type = strategy.commission.percent, commission_value = 0.07, slippage = 3, process_orders_on_close = true ) sma = ta.sma(close, 200) entry_condition = ta.crossunder(close, sma) exit_condition = ta.crossover(close, sma) if (entry_condition==true and strategy.opentrades==0) strategy.entry(id = "Buy", direction = strategy.long, limit = close) if (exit_condition==true) strategy.exit(id = "Sell", from_entry = "Buy", limit = close) plot(sma, title = "SMA", color = color.red) The completed script will display the moving average with open and close trading signals. IMPORTANT! Remember, this strategy was created for educational purposes only. Not use it in real trading.
Education
by thequantscience