FIL 1D – Momentum Building Toward the 100 EMAFIL shows strong momentum.
Three green candles. Volume is rising.
MACD just flipped bullish.
Price is now above the 50 EMA.
Next test is the 100 EMA near $2.95.
Break above it targets $3.20 and $3.45.
Bull Load sits at 75%.
Trend, volume and momentum align.
Buyers are stepping in.
As long as FIL stays above $2.55, bulls are in control.
#FIL #Crypto #TradingView #Altcoins #Breakout #MACD #EMA #Bullish
Community ideas
EURCHF Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURCHF below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.9401
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.9373
Safe Stop Loss - 0.9415
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/JPY Short🎯 Trade Setup Plan
👇 Aggressive Entry (Riskier)
Sell Limit: 164.90
SL: 165.90
TP1: 160.00
TP2: 157.00
TP3 (optional): 155.00
Use this only if you want to catch the wick, but recognize the higher chance of being swept.
✅ Conservative Entry (Recommended)
Wait for a daily candle close under 162.00 after touching 164. That confirms rejection.
Entry: On next day’s minor retest (e.g., 162.50–163.00)
SL: 165.50 (above recent highs)
TP1: 160.00
TP2: 157.00
TP3: 155.00
Risk: 1–2% depending on confirmation strength
📌 Optional Breakout Plan (In case resistance breaks cleanly)
Buy Stop: 165.60
SL: 164.30
TP: 170.00 (weekly resistance)
Use only if a strong daily close above 165 confirms breakout.
ETHUSD broke the Resistance level 2800.00 👀 Possible scenario:
Ethereum overtook Bitcoin in derivatives trading, hitting $110B — a 38% jump — compared to Bitcoin’s $84.7B. ETH price climbed 4% to $2,820, its highest since February. Key growth drivers include strong inflows into US spot ETH ETFs ($890M over 16 days), rising DeFi activity (TVL up 32% to $118.8B), and positive SEC signals. The Pectra update boosted scalability and reduced costs. OpenSea also saw peak user activity since 2023.
With ETF staking approval, ETH could reach $5,500–6,700 by year-end, and $10,000–20,000 by 2030. Crypto analyst suggests ETH may mirror Bitcoin’s 2021 rally. If ETH breaks the $4,200 and reclaims the 1-week MA50, it could stage a massive run — possibly topping $10K by 2026, or even $15K in a parabolic scenario.
✅ Support and Resistance Levels
Support level is now located at 2,390.00.
Now, the resistance level is located at 2,850.00.
Another Breakout or Correction?📆 June 11, 2025 | ⏱ 2H Chart Analysis
Silver (XAGUSD) has been respecting its bullish momentum since early June, with a clean breakout above the previous wedge consolidation pattern (visible late May). But now, the market is at a critical decision point.
🔍 Key Observations:
Price is testing the 36.50–36.60 zone, which aligns with the 15 EMA and horizontal resistance turned support.
We’ve seen exhaustion signs at recent highs (~36.88), followed by lower highs — possibly forming a micro-descending channel.
Price currently hovers between two key levels:
🔺 Upside target: If bulls defend 36.50, next resistance sits around 38.00, matching the long-term upper channel.
🔻 Downside risk: If support breaks and price falls below 35.90/35.70, we may see a sharp move toward 35.00, where the larger structure would be retested.
📈 Momentum Outlook:
EMA(15) > EMA(60) still shows medium-term bullish structure.
⚖️ Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice)
🟢 Bullish Bias if 36.50 holds with confirmation → Target: 38.00
🔴 Bearish Trigger if 35.90 breaks → Target: 35.00
🎯 Risk Management Key: Wait for price action around the decision zone.
💬 What’s your bias? Do you see a continuation or pullback?
📌 Follow for more XAGUSD, Forex & Commodity insights — 2–3 fresh charts weekly.
#XAGUSD #Silver #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #Metals #EMA #BreakoutOrFakeout #PriceAction #tradingview
EURUSD: Bears Will Push
The recent price action on the EURUSD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
USDJPY Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
USD/CHF BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
USD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.821
Target Level: 0.815
Stop Loss: 0.826
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WIF/USDT Weekly Chart Analysis – June 11, 2025
The chart for WIF (Dogwifhat) on the weekly timeframe shows a bullish breakout setup emerging from a long-term descending channel. Price has bounced off the lower boundary and is now pushing higher.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Current Price: $0.996
Structure: Descending channel (breakout in progress)
Momentum: Weekly candle closed +12.04%, indicating strength
🎯 Potential Upside Targets:
$1.70 – Breakout confirmation zone
$3.00 – Mid-channel horizontal resistance
$4.20 – Full breakout target at channel top
📈 Technical Outlook:
A clean breakout above $1.00 and hold above it may validate the bullish reversal.
Watch for a retest of $1.00 as support before continuation.
If momentum continues, WIF could target $3.00 and $4.20 in the coming weeks.
📌 Summary Strategy:
Buy Zone: On confirmation of breakout & retest (~$1.00)
TP1: $1.70
TP2: $3.00
TP3: $4.20
Invalidation: Break below $0.85 (channel base)
Trading the VIXOften dubbed the "fear index," the VIX gauges SPX options' implied volatility, typically rising during equity market declines and vice versa. It quantifies investor anxiety, demand for hedging, and market stress, crucial for traders and risk managers seeking to measure turbulence.
The VIX calculates a constant 30-day implied volatility using SPX options expiring over the next two months. Unlike simple weighted averages of equity indices, its methodology is more complex, involving implied variance calculation for the two nearest monthly expirations across all strikes. For detailed formulas, refer to the introductory chart or visit the CBOE’s official VIX Index page.
While the VIX Index itself isn’t tradable, exposure can be gained through VIX futures or exchange-traded products (ETPs) like VXX, UVXY, and SVXY. However, these instruments come with their own unique risks, pricing behaviors, and structural nuances, which can make directional VIX trading considerably more complex than it might initially appear.
What You Need to Know About Implied Volatilities
• In calm or uptrending markets, the volatility curve typically slopes upward (contango), indicating higher implied volatility with longer maturities.
• In declining or turbulent markets, the curve can invert, sloping downward (backwardation), as shorter-term implied volatilities rise sharply.
• This pattern can be observed, comparing VIX9D, VIX, and VIX3M against the SPX. In stable markets: VIX9D < VIX < VIX3M. In stressed markets, this relationship may reverse. The VIX9D and VIX3M are the 9-day respectively 3-month equivalent to the 30-day VIX.
What You Need to Know About VIX Futures
• When the volatility spot curve is in contango, the VIX futures curve will also slope upward.
• In backwardation, the futures curve slopes downward, reflecting heightened short-term volatility and short-term volatility spikes.
• While in contango, VIX futures "roll down the curve," meaning that—independent of changes in volatility—futures tend to decline in value over time.
• In backwardation, the opposite occurs: futures "roll up the curve," potentially rising in value over time even without volatility changes.
• VIX futures’ responsiveness to VIX Index movements – the beta of VIX futures against the VIX index - declines with longer expirations; front-month futures may react to 70-80% of VIX changes, compared to 40-60% for third or fourth-month futures.
Key Consequences for Traders
• Directional trading of VIX futures can be strongly influenced by the shape of the futures curve.
• Contango in low-VIX environments creates strong headwinds for long VIX futures positions, caused by the “roll-down-effect”.
• Conversely, backwardation in high-VIX environments creates headwinds for short positions.
• These effects are more pronounced in front-month contracts, making timing (entry and exit) for directional trades critical.
• There's a trade-off in directional strategies: front-month futures offer greater exposure to VIX movements but suffer more from negative roll effects.
How to Trade VIX Futures
• Due to these structural challenges, directional VIX futures trading is difficult and requires precision.
• A more effective approach is to trade changes in the shape of the futures curve using calendar spreads (e.g., long VX1, short VX2). This reduces the impact of roll effects on individual contracts.
• In low-VIX, contango conditions, a rising VIX typically leads to VX1 increasing faster than VX2, widening the VX1–VX2 spread—an opportunity for spread trading.
• While VX1 may initially suffer more from roll-down than VX2, this can reverse as the VIX rises and VX1 begins to “roll up,” especially when VIX > VX1 but VX1 < VX2.
• The opposite dynamic applies in high-VIX, backwardation environments.
• More broadly, changes in the shape of the futures curve across the first 6–8 months can be profitably traded using calendar spreads. Roll-effects and the declining beta-curve can also be efficiently traded.
How to capture the Roll-Down-Effect
One of the more popular VIX-trading strategies involves capturing the roll-down effect,, while the curve is in contango. It is a positive carry strategy that is best applied during calm or uptrending market conditions. Here’s a straightforward set of guidelines to implement the Roll-Down-Carry trade:
• Entry Condition: Initiate during calm market conditions, ideally when VIX9D-index is below VIX-index (though not guaranteed).
• Choosing Futures: Use VX1 and VX2 for calendar spreads if VX1 has more than 8-10 trading days left; otherwise, consider VX2 and VX3.
• Spread Analysis: Short VX1 and long VX2 if VX1–VIX spread is larger than VX2–VX1; otherwise, VX2 and VX3 may be suitable.
• Contango Effect: VX1’s roll-down effect typically outweighs VX2’s during contango.
• Relative Beta: VX1 shows higher reactivity to VIX changes compared to VX2, mimicking a slight short position on VIX.
• Exit Strategy: Use spread values, take-profit (TP), and stop-loss (SL); consider exiting if VIX9D crosses over VIX.
________________________________________
Conclusion
Directional trading of the VIX Index—typically through futures—demands precise timing and a good understanding of the volatility curve. This is because curve dynamics such as contango and backwardation can create significant headwinds or tailwinds, often working against a trader’s position regardless of the VIX’s actual movement. As a result, purely directional trades are not only difficult to time but also structurally disadvantaged in many market environments.
A more strategic and sustainable approach is to trade calendar spreads, which involves taking offsetting positions in VIX futures of different maturities. This method helps neutralize the impact of the curve's overall slope and focuses instead on relative changes between expirations. While it doesn’t eliminate all risk, calendar spread trading significantly reduces the drag from roll effects and still offers numerous opportunities to profit from shifts in market sentiment, volatility expectations, and changes in the shape of the futures curve.
What else can be done with VIX instruments
VIX indices across different maturities (VIX9D, VIX, VIX3M), along with VIX futures, offer valuable insights and potential entry signals for trading SPX or SPX options. In Part 2 of the Trading the VIX series, we’ll explore how to use these tools—along with VIX-based ETPs—for structured trading strategies.
KOSM LONG TRADE (SECOND STRIKE) 11-06-2025KOSM LONG TRADE - SECOND STRIKE
We're issuing a second strike call for KOSM (PSX) based on its promising technical setup. Previously, we noted that KOSM had been trading in a downward channel since December last year. After breaking down in the previous month, it experienced a selling climax but quickly reversed, returning to the channel.
Recent signs indicate a potential new uptrend, driven by positive volume distribution and price action. The reversal has formed an inverted head and shoulder pattern, suggesting a bullish outlook.
🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL – KOSM🚨
Buy 1 - Current level: 5.64
Buy 2 - 5.4
Buy 3 - 5.2
- TP1: 5.99
- TP2: 6.5
- TP3: 7
- Long-term TP1: 7.6
- Long-term TP2: 8.2
- Stop Loss: Below 4.6 (Day closing basis)
- Risk Reward Ratio: 1:5
Caution: Please buy in 3 parts in buying range. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions.
PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
GOLD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The market is trading on 3330.6 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3338.3
Recommended Stop Loss - 3326.5
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Chart Pattern Overview - bullish 🧠 1. Chart Pattern Overview:
The chart depicts a massive symmetrical triangle or contracting wedge formation stretching from early 2021 till now (mid-2025). This is a long-term consolidation pattern, suggesting a major breakout is likely imminent.
Elliott Wave Count (ABCDE Structure):
It follows a classic ABCDE triangle correction pattern:
A: Start of the bearish correction
B: Retracement rally
C: Capitulation dip (2022/2023 bottom)
D: Current push toward resistance (~$2,800)
E (potential): Expected minor pullback before a major breakout
💹 2. Key Levels (Support/Resistance):
Level Type Comment
$2,448 MA Support 200-week MA (in green)
$2,696 MA Resistance Price near golden cross zone
$2,814 Current Price Testing top of wedge (wave D)
$4,868 Historical High 2021 ATH zone
$4,981.93 Key Resistance Breakout target zone
$6,618–7,535 Target Zone Final measured move post-breakout
📐 Technical Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Weekly RSI at ~57: Trending upward, nearing breakout momentum.
Massive descending RSI trendline (since 2021) has been broken, suggesting long-term momentum shift to the upside.
RSI bullish divergence visible between waves C and E.
Volume:
Noticeable volume compression, common before explosive moves.
Watching for volume breakout confirmation (preferably on a weekly close above $3,000).
🔁 Scenario Analysis:
✅ Bullish Scenario (High Probability):
ETH breaks above wave D resistance (~$2,800–3,000).
Post-E breakout toward $4,900, followed by continuation toward $6,600–$7,500.
RSI breakout + triangle resolution = massive upside momentum.
Volume breakout will likely confirm the move.
⚠️ Neutral/Bearish Scenario:
ETH fails to break above wave D (~$2,800–3,000), rolls down toward wave E, which may retest $2,200–$2,400 support.
This forms the final leg (E) of the triangle before real breakout.
📏 Measured Move (Triangle Breakout Target):
Height of triangle: ~$3,500 (from ~$4,800 to ~$1,300)
Breakout target from apex: $6,500–$7,500, aligning with red horizontal resistance lines.
🎯 Conclusion & Strategy:
⚠️ Currently in a high-risk, high-reward zone. ETH is testing the triangle resistance and may either:
Break out above $3,000 → Strong long opportunity with target $4,900 → $6,600+
Reject and retrace to $2,200–$2,400 (wave E) → Final buying opportunity before breakout
📊 Actionable Summary:
Signal Status
Triangle Pattern Forming end of Wave D
RSI Bullish momentum
Volume Compression phase
MA Cross Bullish golden cross
Breakout Confirmation Weekly close > $3,000
Entry Zone $2,600–2,800 (partial)
Safer Entry On retest post-breakout
Long-term Target $6,600 – $7,535
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USDCAD Preparing for Major Breakout? | Key Levels + SetupUSDCAD is currently trading just below a key breakout zone at 1.36991, with strong demand holding the 1.36000 - 1.36800 range.
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🔶 Technical Analysis:
✅ Support Zone (Demand):
The 1.3600 - 1.3680 region has acted as a strong base for several weeks now, with repeated tests and rejections confirming institutional interest.
✅ Resistance to Watch:
1.36991 – immediate breakout level
1.39744 – mid-range target
1.42591 – major supply/TP2 area
🟣 Volume Profile & LuxAlgo S&D:
Visible range & LuxAlgo show accumulation in the current zone, signaling a possible bullish reversal. Volume is increasing at key levels.
📉 Recent downtrend may be exhausted, as price forms a base and shows signs of strength from buyers.
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🧠 Trade Idea:
🎯 Breakout Buy Setup:
Entry: Above 1.3700 (confirmation of breakout)
TP1: 1.3974
TP2: 1.4259
SL: Below 1.3640 (below demand zone)
📊 RR Ratio: ~1:2.5
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⚠️ Watch This:
📅 Upcoming USD news (marked below chart) could act as a catalyst
💥 Breakout above 1.3700 with volume = potential strong bullish rally
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📌 Summary:
USDCAD is consolidating in a high-demand area. A break above 1.3700 may trigger a bullish continuation targeting 1.3974 and possibly 1.4259. Patience and confirmation are key.
🚀 Are you watching this setup too? Drop your thoughts below!
#USDCAD #Forex #Breakout #LuxAlgo #SmartMoney #TradingView #PriceAction #4HSetup #ForexSignals
Crude Oil Surges on Summer Demand and Trade OptimismOn the weekly chart, crude oil trades above the mid-range of a descending channel that has been in place since the 2022 highs. The RSI remains just below the neutral zone, suggesting a cautiously bullish-to-neutral outlook while prices hover near the $65 resistance level.
From a daily perspective, oil prices are breaking out above the $65 resistance, and a firm hold could pave the way toward $66 and potentially retest the $71 and $73 levels.
On the downside, the psychological support at $60 remains critical. A break below $60—and more critically, below the $58 moving average—could reintroduce long term bullish positioning from $55 and $49.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
Bitcoin Whales Going On Summer Vacation🚨 Wake Up, Crypto World! 🚨
🔹 Bernstein calls $200K 🔹 CNBC eyes $130K 🔹 BlackRock boasts IBIT is the fastest-growing ETF 🔹 Saylor claims $1M BTC 🔹 Thiel-backed crypto exchange Bullish - has confidentially filed for a US IPO …
Does this sound like "Institutions secretly acquiring Bitcoin"?
NO. This sounds like a desperate call for exit liquidity.
The real accumulation already happened, behind closed doors, away from the headlines. Now they need buyers. Retail FOMO is their exit strategy.
Don't be fooled enjoy the Summer Vacation. 🌴
#Bitcoin #Crypto #ExitLiquidity #MarketCycles #TakeProfits
CRYPTO:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER NASDAQ:COIN NASDAQ:MSTR
Nifty Analysis EOD – June 11, 2025 – Wednesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – June 11, 2025 – Wednesday 🔴
♻️ Déjà vu Day – Bulls Attempt, Bears Resist
For the third consecutive session, Nifty started on a positive note with a 45-point gap-up at 25,134.15, but as has been the pattern lately, early optimism was wiped out instantly, with the index hitting the day’s low of 25,081 within the first 5 minutes.
What followed was a gradual climb as bulls gained some momentum, pushing Nifty to test the 25,200 zone. However, resistance in the 25,200–25,222 band proved too strong. Despite multiple attempts, bulls gave up the level around 13:20, triggering a sharp fall to 25,100.
Post-fall, the market struggled to recover and closed at 25,141.40, up just 37 points from the previous close. It was yet another rangebound, indecisive session, showing that the index is coiling for a potential breakout—but the direction remains uncertain.
🛡 5 Min Chart with Levels
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,134.15
High: 25,222.40
Low: 25,081.30
Close: 25,141.40
Net Change: +37.15 (+0.15%)
📊 Candle Structure Breakdown
Real Body: 7.25 pts → 🟢 Small Green Candle
Upper Wick: 81.00 pts
Lower Wick: 52.85 pts
🔍 Interpretation
Strong intra-day swings in both directions signal high volatility with no control on either side.
Bulls failed at resistance (25,222); bears couldn’t break support (25,081).
The tiny real body with long shadows reflects market indecision.
🔦 Candle Type
⚖️ Spinning Top– Neutral structure with no clear directional conviction.
📌 Key Insight
The market is clearly taking a breather after recent moves.
Watch 25,222 on the upside and 25,080 on the downside — a breakout from either could set the next directional tone.
Bias stays mildly bullish as long as 25,080 holds, but it’s hanging by a thread.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 239.75
IB Range: 72.9 → Small IB
Market Structure: Balanced
Trades:✅ 10:30 AM – Long Triggered → Target Achieved, Trailing SL Hit (RR: 1:1.65)
📌 Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance Levels
25,116 ~ 25,128
25,180 ~ 25,222
25,285
Support Levels
25,062 ~ 25,070
24,972
24,920 ~ 24,894
24,800 ~ 24,768
💭 Final Thoughts
Market is in a tight tug-of-war. No clear winner yet, but momentum can build quickly once a side gives in.Patience will pay—wait for the range breakout.
🧠 "Pressure builds silently before an explosion—so does the market before a breakout."
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.