THE KOG REPORT - FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – FOMC
This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
Ok team, a simple one for this FOMC as we're expecting a bit of a curveball which is going to make it difficult to hold trades. For that reason, we have plotted the extreme key levels on the charts, anything intra-day and immediate support and resistance has been removed as it’s simply irrelevant if we see aggressive volume.
We have the level below which is also the order region 2730-40, a spike there with rejection can give this the momentum it needs to break upside and attack that 2800 level which is ideally what we want to see if they’re going to attempt it. We’ll be waiting higher however for them to complete the move and confirm a reversal, only then will we want to attempt the short trade back down using the red boxes.
Below the order region is the key level 2710-03, a push down there with a confirmed rejection and reversal, we’ll decide on whether to long or not back up using the red boxes level to level. We’ve done well on the KOG Report, we’ve shorted, we’ve longed and we’ve closed nicely on the bias level targets this week. We’re suggesting our traders take it easy, instil some patience and discipline, wait for them to take the price to where they want, then hunt the trade.
RED BOXES:
Break above 2762 for 2775, 2782, 2790 and 2810 in extension of the move
Break below 2740 for 2730, 2720, 2710 and 2698 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Community ideas
Bitcoin - Crash to 50k in 2026! (Best cycles analysis)In this very detailed and unique analysis, we will look at the most important Bitcoin fundamental analysis of halving cycles. I predict Bitcoin will crash to 50k in 2026, so if you are buying now for the long term as an investment (buy and hold), you can probably wait for a better price!
Statistically, Bitcoin crashes every 4 years by 86% to 77%. The market cap is getting bigger as institutions stepping in, so this time I expect a weaker crash (around 65%). Still, it's a huge crash, and many investors will sell at a loss as usual. Knowledge of the Bitcoin cycles will save you a lot of money.
We are in the final stage of the bullish cycle, and this cycle should end between February and November 2025. When you draw a trendline on the linear monthly chart, you will get a target of around 125,000 USD. This is a good level to sell Bitcoin. I would never listen to moon boys that are screaming that Bitcoin will never go down and Bitcoin will reach 500k or 1M in the next months. That's due to an already big market cap, pretty much impossible. After we finish this bull cycle, we can expect a massive crash to 50k in 2026. For people who are prepared, this may be an incredible investment opportunity. Also, you can short Bitcoin at the top and ride the investment in the opposite direction, plus you will make money on funding fees every 8 hours.
Bitcoin halving is coded to occur once every 210,000 blocks, or roughly every four years, and will continue in this fashion until the final supply of 21 million BTC is reached. It is assumed that the last BTC will be mined in 2140. After that, transaction fees are supposed to be the only source of block rewards for miners.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Lingrid | EURUSD resistance ZONE Rejection. Potential SHORTFX:EURUSD market pulled back towards the support level, only to surge above the previous week's high before reversing course. This sudden move effectively rejected the psychological level of 1.0500. Furthermore, the market broke and closed below the upward trendline, a that support the price for 2 weeks. Given the high-impact news scheduled for today, we can anticipate some increased volatility and potential spikes. In light of this, I believe the market will retest the resistance zone, paving the way for a bearish move. My goal is support zone around 1.03425
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
BTC Dominance Breakdown = Altseason Incoming?BTC dominance (BTC.D) has broken down from key support, signaling a potential altseason ahead.
The breakdown below the 54.11% – 54.85% support zone suggests capital rotation from Bitcoin into altcoins, which could trigger major moves across the altcoin market.
If you find our work helpful, please like, comment, and follow us for more market insights—all in one place! Stay updated on Forex, Commodities, Crypto, and Global Indices with expert analysis.
GOLD - 15 min ( Best Buy And Sell Scalping After Break ) In the context of trading gold with FXCM, the analysis of key levels on the 15-minute time frame is crucial for informed decision-making. A bullish sentiment is indicated following the breach of a significant level at the 2771 area, coupled with high trading volume. Conversely, bearish signals emerge after a break below the key levels at 2748.5 and 2734 areas, also supported by elevated volume. Traders should closely monitor these levels to ascertain potential market movements.
⚡️Gold / FXCM
Best Break Our / Key level's 15m Tf
🚨Bullish After Break key level + High Volume / 2771 Area
🚨Bearihs After Break key level + High Volume / 2748.5 Area
🚨Bearihs After Break key level + High Volume / 2734 Area
ETHEREUM Falling Wedge about to break upwards to 3800.Ethereum / ETHUSD is trading inside a Falling Wedge pattern, ranged between its 1day MA50 and MA200.
The very same pattern emerged in March 2024 and after a Triple Bottom it broke to the upside and hit the 0.786 Fibonacci extension.
This is a strong bullish signal. Target 3800.
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Nas100 - 15 min ( Best Buy And Sell Scalping After Break out ) The Nasdaq 100 (Nas100) trading analysis provided by FXCM identifies critical breakout levels on the 15-minute time frame. A bullish sentiment is anticipated following a breakout above the key level at 21,600, particularly if accompanied by high trading volume. Conversely, a bearish outlook would emerge upon a decisive break below the 21,520 level, also supported by significant volume. It is noteworthy that our focus is on delivering the most accurate opportunities and analyses, underscoring a qualitative approach rather than a quantitative one.
⚡️Nas100 / FXCM
Best Break Our / Key level's 15m Tf
🚨Bullish After Break key level + High Volume / 21600 Area
🚨Bearish After Break key level + High Volume / 21520 Area
⚡️ We Only Sent Most Accurate Opportunity and Analysis 💲 Not by Number ..+
Nasdaq 100 Hovering Near Weekly Highs in a Volatile WeekNasdaq 100 Hovering Near Weekly Highs in a Volatile Week
As shown on the 4-hour chart of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), the index stood around the 21,600 level this morning, near the weekly high that formed at Monday’s open.
This suggests that the tech-stock index has almost fully recovered from the decline triggered by the launch of AI from the Chinese startup DeepSeek. According to media reports:
→ Experts have pointed to signs that the Chinese startup used a technique known as “distillation” – in simple terms, this means that DeepSeek’s model extracted knowledge from more advanced models such as ChatGPT. In other words, this is not about innovation but rather an unfair practice.
→ Nassim Taleb believes that the sharp drop in NVDA shares is only the beginning of a potential market downturn inflated by AI-driven expectations. Further declines could be more significant than what we witnessed on Monday.
Apart from news surrounding DeepSeek, traders were also focused on earnings reports from major corporations (which we will cover in detail in separate articles):
→ Tesla (TSLA) is holding above $400 in pre-market trading today, despite earnings per share falling short of expectations. Meanwhile, company executives believe that Trump’s policies could negatively impact Tesla’s operations.
→ Microsoft (MSFT) shares fell by more than 4%, Meta Platforms (META) surpassed $700 per share in post-market trading for the first time, and IBM surged by approximately 9%.
Additionally, the fundamental backdrop became even more eventful following yesterday’s Fed updates, which, however, contained no surprises:
→ As expected, interest rates remained unchanged.
→ According to The Wall Street Journal, the Fed has entered a “Wait-and-See” phase, showing less confidence that inflation will continue to decline.
The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart reveals that the price:
→ Tested a key support line (marked in blue) at the weekly low.
→ Remains within the red descending channel.
From a bullish perspective, the red channel can be seen as a large-scale correction within the broader uptrend on higher timeframes.
From a bearish perspective, the bearish gap that formed at Monday’s open may act as resistance. Whether bulls will be able to overcome this barrier in the near term will depend, among other factors, on the next batch of earnings reports from major tech companies.
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Notcoin Further Decline Likely, Targeting Price of 0.0024Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
In several of my previous analyses, I have accurately identified and hit all of the gain targets. In this analysis, I aim to provide you with a comprehensive overview of the future price potential for Notcoin , 📚💡
The price is presently trading within a clearly defined descending channel and has broken through nearly all key support levels that were previously in place. This suggests a weakening of the bullish momentum and an increasing likelihood of further downward pressure. Based on the current candlestick patterns and the overall market structure, a continued decline of at least 45% is a realistic possibility. The technical indicators, coupled with the prevailing market sentiment, point toward additional bearish movement. Should these conditions persist, further downside risk remains a significant factor to consider. Given these factors, caution is warranted for any near-term price movements.📚🎇
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
The price is in a downward channel and has broken through key support levels, indicating further bearish momentum. With current candlestick patterns and market conditions, a decline of at least 45% seems likely.
Give me some energy !!
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Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
XRPUSD-The Upside is not DoneGiven that at the current moment of writing this short thesis XLM is roughly 10,94% up. This is important because XRP is highly correlated to XLM price movements. Given that XRP has not yet moved ,is it presumptuous to think it will follow suit with a similar upside move. The outcome of the ongoing court is still holding the imminent parabolic move. The recent Fed commentary by Jerome Powell that banks are ready to serve their clients with crypto offerings was indeed a positive stance, so this means institutional investors are coming on board therefore expect a high influx in the billions of dollars.
Summary : Buy/Long
Entry = Current Price (3.12440)
Entry 2 = 3.21514
Target = 3.61227
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Foreign Capital
'If you Know, you Know."
Tesla Short term Price Drop
As we navigate the dynamic landscape of the stock market in early 2025, **Tesla Inc. (TSLA)** continues to be a focal point for investors and analysts alike.
Optimistic Future Driven by Robotics Innovation
Tesla's foray into robotics, particularly with the development of **Tesla Optimus**, positions the company at the forefront of the next technological revolution. This diversification not only complements Tesla's existing automotive and energy solutions but also opens up new revenue streams that can drive long-term growth. The integration of advanced robotics is expected to enhance production efficiency, reduce costs, and introduce innovative products that could reshape multiple industries.
Short-Term Technical Outlook: Anticipating a Price Dip to the indicated support area.
TradeCityPro | LINKUSDT The Time to Buy Has Arrived👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze another cryptocurrency from the market, which is also one of my favorites due to its infrastructure role and its ability to simplify crypto. It seems that a buying opportunity has arrived.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, as always, let’s take a look at Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe, where the futures entry trigger at 104,227 was activated. Currently, it is below the important resistance level of 105,939, which will be the last trigger I provide for futures entry.
If this resistance at 105,939 is broken and Bitcoin dominance is declining at the time of the breakout, switch to altcoins and look for long positions on those that have already made a bullish leg and are trading at relatively higher levels. As long as we are above 104,227, I will continue looking for long triggers.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly timeframe, LINK has been one of the cryptocurrencies that remained in a range for 500 days. After breaking out, we have seen the beginning of an uptrend.
This is exactly what I mean by avoiding capital lock-up. We waited weeks for the 8.06 trigger to break, allowing us to buy with momentum confirmation rather than buying inside the range and waiting in a high-risk market.
You might say, "Why not buy inside the range to avoid missing the 8.06 breakout?" My answer is that hundreds of coins are still stuck in similar ranges without showing any bullish moves, and even now, they could trap your capital for a long time, causing frustration!
If you entered at 8.06, continue holding. If you are looking for a re-entry, you can buy after the 29.02 breakout. As for selling, I am not selling yet and will actually try to accumulate more!
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, LINK is one of the few cryptocurrencies that, after recent corrections, did not return to lower levels. Instead, it bounced off the 0.382 Fibonacci level, increasing the bullish bias.
After breaking 12.96, LINK had a strong rally up to 29.07, where resistance was observed.
Instead of considering 29.07 as resistance, I prefer to buy after a breakout of 26, as this level was previously a pullback zone and had multiple rejections.
Since we have bounced off the 0.382 Fibonacci level, a breakout of the recent high could trigger a new upward move towards the Fibonacci extension targets, which are : 31.24 – 35.10 – 41.44 – 51.19
For buying, I plan to enter a spot position after a 26 breakout with a stop-loss at 15.22, and I will continue holding. I will also look for a futures long position before 26, but for that, I will need momentum confirmation and volume increase!
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe, a risky long trigger at 24.34 was activated, but there hasn't been much movement yet. A pullback to 24.34 is possible.
📈 Long Position Trigger
the 26.30 trigger is excellent, and I will try to find lower timeframe entries before that. As long as we are above 22.37, my bullish strategy remains intact.
📉 Short Position Trigger
I am not considering any setups unless a clear structure forms. If we see a sharp drop to 22.37 and then break below it, I might consider shorting, but I prefer to focus on more bearish coins instead of LINK.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
NIFTY50.....End of wave 3 of c?Hello Traders,
Something really interesting happened this morning!
A "Morning Star" occurred, and it was "created" by the candles from Friday the 24th to Tuesday the 28th!
A morning star is made up of three candles. The first day could be bearish, the second day is lower than the previous day and ideally it is a bearish day as well. The next day needs a gap to the upside, followed by a bullish day!
This is exactly what happened during this period.
So a buy signal is given when the closing price is above the previous day's level, here at 23138. The stop loss is placed at the bottom of the star; in this case @22786.90!
But I think one or two lower lows are needed to complete the wave structure. We shall see.
Once again! There is no need to rush because there is no bullish sign or divergence.
Another argument is that the price hasn't left the Bollinger Bands on the downside, which is always a good indication of an "oversold" situation!
OK, if a "wash out" occurs in the next day or two, I will be ready for a trade. But! Not yet!
Have a great week.....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our levels were respected allowing us to buy dips inline with our plans.
After completing a nice bull run yesterday we got a break above 2757 opening the range above, which gave over 90 pips and just fell short of the gap that remains on our radar.
We saw a rejection onto our weighted level below 2746, which gave a clean bounce like we always state on our charts ideas.
We are now seeing price play into the retracement range, where we expect a reaction for support. A break below the retracement range will open the swing range. Failure to break will see price retest the Goldturns above once again.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2778
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2778 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2787
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2787 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2797
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2797 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2808
BEARISH TARGETS
2768 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2768 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2757 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2757 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2746 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2746 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2732 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2732 WILL OPEN THE SWIG RAGE
SWING RANGE
2707 - 2697
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
DeGRAM | GOLD is holding in a rising trendGOLD is in an ascending channel.
The price has held the lower boundary of the channel and is now approaching its historical peak.
The chart is moving from the support level where a bullish takeover was formed.
We expect XAUUSD to conquer a new top.
-------------------
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BUY NZDUSD - Deja Vu, prefer the daily candle now!!Trader Tom, a technical analyst with over 16 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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Microsoft - This Will Lead To Trouble!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) shows some clear weakness:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Back in mid 2024 Microsoft created another new all time high and in doing so also retested the major upper resistance trendline of the longer term rising channel formation. Following this bearish retest, a correction is very expected before we then see the bullish trend continuation.
Levels to watch: $350
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)