Tesla Bullish Breakout Setup: Entry at $295.54 Targeting $488.87Entry Point (Buy Zone): Around $295.54
Stop Loss: Between $272.94 – $295.54 (lower purple support zone)
Target (TP): $488.87
Current Price: $315.33 (as of the latest candle)
📈 Strategy Summary:
Setup Type: Long (Buy)
Risk-Reward Setup:
Reward: ~$193.33 per share (from $295.54 to $488.87)
Risk: ~$22.60 per share (from $295.54 to $272.94)
Reward:Risk Ratio ≈ 8.6:1 — a high potential payoff if the trade works out.
📊 Technical Context:
Support Zone: Price recently bounced off the support region (marked in purple).
Moving Averages:
Red Line (Short-Term MA): Price just crossed back above.
Blue Line (Long-Term MA): Price reclaimed this level — bullish signal.
Price Action: After a corrective phase, a possible reversal is forming at support, confirming bullish interest.
✅ Bullish Signals:
Bounce from support zone with a strong bullish candle.
Price closing above the 200-day MA (bullish trend resumption).
High reward-to-risk trade setup with clear stop loss.
⚠️ Considerations:
Confirmation with volume or a second bullish candle would add confidence.
Watch for earnings or macro events that could disrupt the trend.
Tight stop is essential to avoid drawdowns if the setup fails.
🔚 Conclusion
This is a well-structured long setup with a high potential reward. If price maintains above the entry zone and breaks recent highs, a push toward the $488.87 target is plausible.
Community ideas
BTC's Situation, A Comprehensive Analysis !!!The situation has become quite strange. Bitcoin is forming deceptive patterns, and altcoins continue their downward trend. Currently, Bitcoin is positioned within two triangles—one symmetrical and the other descending. Now that Bitcoin has reached the top of the triangle and appears ready to break upward, it might actually be hiding yet another trap within the price action.
This market has shown disregard for technical patterns, and every time the price approaches historically significant levels, it reveals its true intentions and disappoints us. This cycle tends to repeat.
In my opinion, we’re likely to see one more drop in Bitcoin’s price. After that, instead of continuing the expected downtrend from the pattern, the price could break the descending formation and experience a strong upward move.
Stay Awesome , CobraVanguard.
GOLD The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change report for today showed a surprising decline of 33,000 jobs, well below the forecast of a 99,000 forecast and down from the previous month’s modest gain of 29,000 jobs.
Key Details:
This negative figure indicates that private businesses in the US shed 33,000 jobs in June, marking a contraction in private-sector employment—the weakest report since March 2023.
The report is produced by the ADP Research Institute, which uses anonymized payroll data from about 26 million workers to estimate private-sector employment changes ahead of the official government Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report.
The decline reflects ongoing uncertainty among employers amid policy and economic challenges, including tariff impacts and consumer caution.
Market Implications:
The unexpected job losses may raise concerns about the health of the US labor market and the broader economy.
This data could increase expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts or a more dovish stance, potentially weighing on the US dollar and boosting safe-haven assets like gold and silver.
However, the ADP report often diverges from the official NFP, so markets will closely watch the upcoming government jobs data for confirmation.
In summary:
June’s ADP report revealed a contraction of 33,000 private-sector jobs, far below expectations, signaling caution in US labor market hiring and adding uncertainty to the economic outlook ahead of the official payrolls release.
#gold #xauusd
GBPUSD: Profit taking or a downward move?GBPUSD: Profit taking or a downward move?
Yesterday, GBPUSD reached a new high of 1.3788, last seen in February 2022.
From the chart it can be clearly seen that GBPUSD only created a false breakout to the upside.
Market participants expected USD to weaken, but it changed direction again and locked in many long positions.
Despite the ADP data today being a real dud from expectations of 95k to -33k, we can see that GBPUSD did not stop the decline.
I think this could be related to the FED and if they think that maybe this is the time to change Interest Rates at the July meeting. It could also be a liquidity release and it could rise again, but we cannot prove this yet with the current pattern.
Technical Analysis:
As long as the price stays below 1.3680 or below this small structure, the price could fall further.
Don't forget that tomorrow we also have NFP data and the US market will be preparing for a long weekend. The 4-hour candle is strong and bearish, so let's see.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURJPY is rising to 173 for a bearish and larger pattern.EURJPY is rising to 173 for a bearish and larger pattern.
Since the beginning of March 2025, EURJPY started an uptrend and is still rising in a clear way with no signs of reversal.
As long as the BOJ has no plans to change its monetary policy statement or make any significant interventions in Forex, then EURJPY can continue to rise higher.
There is a high possibility that Eurjpy will complete a major daily harmonic pattern near 173.00.
Given that EURJPY may be close to the all-time high zone, the reversal could also occur within the zone, but I think EURJPY may start a reversal between 173.00 and the higher level. We can look for sell signals there.
At the moment, EURJPY is rising and may rise to 173.00, although not in a clear way.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AMD Stable Channel Up targets $168.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has been trading within a Channel Up since the April 08 market bottom. With the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as its Support since April 30, the pattern has shown incredible consistency, with the past two pull-backs almost touching the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, given also the fact that the 4H RSI is supported by the Higher Lows trend-line, we view the current bounce as a solid buy opportunity for the short-term. We are targeting $168, which is the -0.5 Fibonacci extension, the level that the previous Higher High reached.
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Trading Recommendations and Analysis for EUR/USDOn the weekly chart, the price is approaching the upper boundary of the price channel, around the 1.1822 mark, from which a reversal of the entire trend may occur.
A divergence with the Marlin oscillator is ready for immediate formation. If the price breaks above the channel line, it will most likely be a false false breakout, invalidating the channel. Only a weekly candle close above the specified level, accompanied by the oscillator rising above the previous peak, would significantly complicate the technical picture for a trend reversal.
On the daily chart, a possible target in the event of a breakout above 1.1822 is the 1.1905 level - the resistance from 1.1822 is the 1.1905 level - the resistance from July - August 2021. On the four - hour chart, the Marlin oscillator does not support the price's bullish momentum.
For now, the trend remains upward, but we are preparing for a possible shift. The Nonfarm Payrolls, Independence Day, and "Liberation Day" (new tariffs) are just around the corner. Donald Trump may have a surprise in store.
USD/JPY) Back support level Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY pair using a combination of price action, resistance/support levels, and indicators. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind the analysis:
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Chart Breakdown (2H - USD/JPY)
1. Key Zones:
Resistance Level (Yellow Box at Top):
Price has previously been rejected from this zone multiple times.
Recent bearish wicks and aggressive sell-offs are marked by red arrows—showing strong seller interest.
Support Level / Target Point (Bottom Yellow Box):
Price has found strong buying interest around 142.142.
This zone is the anticipated downside target if the bearish scenario plays out.
2. Bearish Bias Justification:
Liquidity Grab / Fakeout (labeled “fug”):
The price briefly broke above the smaller resistance block but quickly reversed.
This "fake breakout" often traps buyers, strengthening the bearish case.
EMA 200 (Blue Line):
Price is currently near or slightly under the 200 EMA (144.553), suggesting a potential rejection area aligning with resistance.
RSI Indicator:
RSI shows divergence and has not confirmed a bullish breakout.
The values (56.77 and 42.82) indicate loss of bullish momentum.
3. Projection (Black Lines):
The black zig-zag lines represent a forecasted drop to the support level.
Suggests a short setup near 144.50–145.00 with targets near 142.14.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Near resistance area (144.50–145.00)
Target: 142.142 (support zone)
Invalidation: Strong break above 145.00 and hold
Confirmation: Rejection from resistance with bearish candle pattern
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Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
NZDUSD - The Bulls Are Exhausted! Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈NZDUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue and it is currently retesting the upper bound of it.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong weekly resistance.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and green resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NZDUSD is hovering around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Monero (XMR): Buyers HAVE TO Secure 200EMA | Bullish!Monero is still trading below the 200EMA, which we have been monitoring, as we are waiting for a breakout to happen near this region, which would then give us a good entry for upward movement.
In order to get into trade, we need to see a proper breakout from here so that's what we are waiting for right now!
Swallow Academy
Repurchase position with a less risky strategyNow the price has managed to break the dynamic resistance line
So we can re-enter the buy position with a less risky strategy
Trading Setup:
There is a Trading Signal to Buy in Gold XAUUSD (4h)
Traders can open their Buy Trades NOW
⬆️ Buy now or Buy on 3317.1
⭕️SL @ 3272.8
🔵TP1 @ 3489.0
🔵TP2 @ 3599.0
#Signal #forexsignal
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
LTC is ready to jump one more timeEven though there isn’t a usual pattern like the ones I normally trade, we can see that the price is very close to LTC’s historical trend line.
Every time the price has reached this line before, it has gone up by at least 100% in a short time.
There is a risk that the line could break, but we would only risk about 20% or less. So, with a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1 to 5, it’s worth taking the opportunity and watching for possible long entries in LTC.
Dogecoin (DOGE): Ideal Buying Opportunity | Possible 200% UpDogecoin is in the sweet spot where we are expecting to see a proper upward movement happen very soon.
Seeing similarities to the last bullish movement we had, we are now at the end phase for the next upward movement.
As long as we stay above $0.14, we are sure that we will see a good move from here so be ready!
Swallow Academy
The decline of Bitcoin is not over yet!
Bitcoin formed a big V-shape in the previous trend. Many institutions and individual traders were buying at the bottom of the V-shape. In addition, the economic situation improved and Bitcoin rose accordingly. Before yesterday, many people were still saying that Bitcoin would rise. At that time, I felt that Bitcoin would fall, at least there would be a period of decline in the near future! Because the rise of Bitcoin failed to stabilize at the key position of 109K, it would fall, and then last night, Bitcoin and the stock market were both falling. There is a little rise at present, but I still think Bitcoin will fall.
If Bitcoin cannot stabilize at 109K, then it will be difficult for Bitcoin to hold its current position. The nearest position will probably be in the range of 106K-105K.
Bitcoin Fractal, increase to $116k Hi Everyone☕👋
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Been such a long time since I posted. Today I'm looking at BTCUSDT, and I'm looking at the previous all time high cycle and what we were seeing (the pattern aka fractal).
Here's why we're likely going a little higher.
First correction of -32%
Followed by first peak, ATH
Correction, then the second peak and the REAL ath. Which is where we likely are:
Interesting to note that the previous time, the second ath was NOT THAT MUCH HIGHER. This should be considered to manage expectations in terms of how high we can go. Anything above +6% is a bonus.
Dow Jones -> A breakout rally of +40%!🐂Dow Jones ( TVC:DJI ) will create new highs:
🔎Analysis summary:
Since the April lows, the Dow Jones already rallied about +25%. This was simply the expected rejection away from a strong confluence of support. Now, the Dow Jones is sitting at the previous all time highs and about to break out, leading to a massive rally.
📝Levels to watch:
$45.000, $60.000
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
XAUUSD: Gold Surges on U.S. Fiscal Reform ExpectationsGold remains firmly within a short-term bullish structure after rebounding strongly from the $3,258 support zone and forming a consolidation pattern just below the $3,342 resistance. This area marks the confluence of a descending trendline and a fair value gap (FVG), where buyers may gather momentum to break through.
Fundamental news continues to favor the upside: concerns over the U.S. budget deficit and an upcoming tax reform package have boosted safe-haven demand for gold. Meanwhile, U.S. bond yields and the dollar remain low, further driving capital into precious metals.
Yesterday, gold rose by approximately $33.49, equivalent to 3,349 pips, confirming strong bullish inflows. If price breaks above the $3,342–$3,356 zone, the next target could extend beyond the $3,400 mark.
However, if short-term pullbacks occur, the $3,258 area remains a key support level to watch for potential bullish re-entry signals.
Bitcoin - Rejection From Major Resistance, Eyes on 103.8K SupporBitcoin is once again reacting to a major resistance zone around 108.8K, a level that has consistently rejected price in the past. The market attempted a breakout but failed to sustain momentum, forming multiple wicks and signs of weakness near the highs. This repeated rejection suggests that sellers are still in control up here and that this zone remains a strong ceiling for price.
Immediate Downside Scenario
With bearish pressure building at resistance, price is now pulling back and eyeing the first key support level around 103.8K. This zone previously acted as a significant base, with an imbalance overlap and structural demand from past price action. If price taps into this zone and buyers defend it, we could see a recovery bounce and potentially another retest of the upper resistance.
Breakdown Risk and Bearish Expansion
However, if 103.8K fails to hold, this opens the door for a deeper correction. The next logical downside target would be in the 98K region, where a higher timeframe imbalance sits and where price last found strong demand during the last major push up. This would also align with a full sweep of recent liquidity build-ups below.
Bullish Recovery Path
In the bullish case, holding 103.8K could initiate a rebound back toward the 108.8K resistance. This would likely depend on a solid reaction and displacement from the support zone, potentially forming a new higher low structure. For bulls to regain full control, we would need to see a clean breakout above the resistance zone with continuation.
Key Zones to Watch
The red resistance zone near 108.8K remains the clear invalidation for further upside, while the grey support block around 103.8K is the first major level that could decide the short-term trend. If that breaks, the purple demand zone near 98K is a high-probability area for price to find support again.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is still stuck between a strong resistance ceiling and a critical mid-range support zone. The rejection from the top signals that we may see downside in the near term, but whether this turns into a full reversal or just a retracement depends entirely on how price reacts around 103.8K. Hold it and we bounce, break it and we likely drop toward 98K. Keep watching how price behaves at these levels to gauge momentum and direction.
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