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GBPJPY TREND BULLISHThe green demand zone indicates a strong area where buyers are expected to step in. If the price retraces to this zone, it could provide a high-probability buy opportunity. The projection assumes a continuation of the bullish trend, suggesting that if the demand zone holds, the price may rally back toward the supply zone. However, if the price breaks below the demand zone, it could invalidate the bullish bias, making proper stop-loss placement essential to manage risk effectively.
Long
by debo4samuel
1
Traders BEWARE! Extreme Volatility In 2025-26. LOOK OUT!I just completed a deep dive into my Adaptive Dynamic Learning modeling system, and I'm here to tell you that 2025 and most of 2026 will be highly volatile. If you do not attempt to stay ahead of these market trends, you could suffer a loss of 35% to 45% (or more) over the next 18 months or more. If you want to learn how to navigate these trends, I suggest you find someone you trust to help you identify the best opportunities for your investments and trading. This is no joke. This is the type of event that destroys trader's accounts and disrupts global economies. If you are not prepared for this, get busy trying to find someone to help you. Merry Christmas. Buckle up. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
3
How far is Bitcoin from landing on the moon? After reaching a new ATH at 108k, Bitcoin experienced a significant drop following Jerome Powell's speech that the Fed cannot hold Bitcoin and is not seeking to change that, which seems to have caused some uncertainty in the market. As a result, BTC price saw a steep decline, but it recently rebounded, almost touching the 100k level again. The current focus for Bitcoin is a critical support area at around 91k. This area has held up well in recent price action, and we saw a recovery bounce from this region again. There is a strong chance that BTC could revisit this support area in the coming days, and it could provide another opportunity for a potential rebound. This support area is essential because it represents a significant price range where buyers have stepped in to defend the uptrend. If Bitcoin does test this zone again and holds above 91k, the probability of a further upward move remains high. In addition to the immediate price action, there’s a key factor to consider: the monthly candle close. Bitcoin needs to close the current monthly candle above 96k for the market to maintain its bullish sentiment. A green monthly close at this level would provide strong confirmation that the overall trend remains intact and that BTC is on track for further price appreciation. The next few days are critical for determining whether BTC can sustain momentum to close the month in the green. If Bitcoin can hold above 96k by the end of the month, it would signal that the upward trend is still in play and that a continuation toward higher levels could be on the horizon. Looking ahead to next week, there are two possible scenarios: 1. Continued Support Test: Bitcoin may dip back towards the 91k support area. If this area holds strong, it could set up another bullish reversal, targeting a move back toward the 100k area or even beyond. 2. Break Below Support: If Bitcoin fails to maintain support in the 91k area, we could see further downside, potentially testing lower levels. In this case, caution is warranted, as the next major support zone would be considerably lower. Conclusion The next week could be crucial for Bitcoin’s price action. A monthly candle close above 96k would reinforce the bullish outlook, but if Bitcoin fails to hold support or closes the month in red, we may see more volatility in the near
by Sarim-Trader
Trading Journal - Best trading book written by youIn the world of trading, success isn't just about skill or knowledge. It also depends on discipline, consistency, and always getting better. Journaling is a powerful tool for achieving these goals. Many traders find that keeping a detailed record of their trades and thoughts can greatly improve their performance and personal growth. Understanding Journaling in Trading Journaling in trading means recording your trading activities in a detailed way. This includes logging trades, strategies, emotions, market conditions, outcomes, but also annotating the charts and taking notes about the trades we didn't catch but we wanted to. Because journaling such trades is a next stet to catching them next time. It's not just about writing down numbers; it's about documenting the thought process and decision-making behind each trade. Your journal should not be a general , but adjusted to your strategy. A good trading journal typically includes data: Trade Details: Instrument, Timeframes, Key levels, Screenshot with entry and exits, Entry model Reasoning: Why did you enter the trade, including technical Emotional State: Your feelings during the trade—nervousness, confidence, greed, or fear. Outcome: Profit or loss, and how it compares to your expectations. Reflection: Lessons learned and adjustments needed for future trades. Why Journaling Is Crucial in Trading 1. Accountability Journaling makes traders accountable for their actions. It forces you to document and analyze every decision. This transparency ensures you can't ignore losses or poor choices as bad luck. Instead, you must confront and learn from them. When Journaling I always start with adding the analysis into my journal, whether it will turn into a trade or not. I always analyze if it would work and for what reasons it worked or not. This keeps me imporving my self. Trust me once you start to do this consistently. Your trading will change in a good way. Analysis in the Journal 2. Identifying Patterns and Habits Trading often involves repetitive patterns, both in the markets and in traders’ behaviour. By keeping a journal, you can spot recurring mistakes or habits. Recognizing these patterns is the first step toward breaking negative cycles and reinforcing positive behaviours. You will find these patterns by taking notes. And writing down your explorations. Trading Notes 3. Improving your Trading Plan When you start documenting your analysis and reasoning for entries based on your trading model, you will start to see what works best, it will help you to focus on this and avoid what wos not working for you. This can be revisited to refine decision-making processes. For example, a journal can show that certain strategies consistently yield positive results, encouraging you to focus on what works and based on that you can be improving your trading plan. Trading Plan 4. Emotional Regulation Emotions like fear, greed, and frustration can cloud judgment and lead to impulsive decisions. Journaling helps traders track their emotional states and understand how these emotions impact their performance. Over time, this awareness fosters emotional discipline, which is key to maintaining consistency. 5. Measuring Progress A trading journal serves as a tangible record of growth. By reviewing past entries, traders can see how far they’ve come, what they’ve learned, and how their strategies have evolved. This sense of progress boosts confidence and motivation. Conclusion Journaling in trading is more than a tool; it's a habit that can change how you trade. It helps you be accountable, disciplined, and self-aware. A trading journal is like a mirror and a map, showing you where you are and guiding you to get better. In trading, where consistency and growth matter, keeping a journal can be what sets you apart. Whether you're new or experienced, starting a journal can help you grow. You'll learn a lot and improve your trading skills. Start today, and let your journal help you succeed. Remember if you are not journaling, you are not improving and you will repeat the same mistakes over and over. Hope this inspires you to start journaling. Dave FX Hunter
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by Dave-Hunter
1
"The King's Gambit" To all of you navigating this battlefield with me, let me make one thing clear: the double bottom isn’t just a signal—it’s a declaration of intent. I’ve secured my long position at 1.5, with a strategy that commands respect. This isn’t guesswork; it’s precision. The pattern shows a textbook lower low (LL), higher low (HL), and lower high (LH), all working in tandem with the Bollinger Bands—a dual lower band setup that signals a trend reversal with laser accuracy. The target? S108,502—a zone destined to be conquered, and we’re on the frontlines. But listen closely, because this is where the battle heats up. If USDT.D starts creeping back in, attempting to reclaim control and push Bitcoin’s price downward, I’ll act without hesitation. I’ll close the position, no questions asked. Yes, the potential for S108k is clear, but this isn’t just about potential—it’s about power, precision, and adaptability. This market is a game of strategy, not emotion. We don’t follow the herd; we follow the truth of the charts. The whales may be laying low now, but they’re setting the stage for a move that will catch the unprepared off guard. Retail traders are walking into traps they may not see, but not us. Not here. We play this game differently. We act boldly, with purpose, and we don’t let the noise distract us from the mission. This isn’t just a trade—it’s a statement. We don’t wait for opportunities; we create them. The S108k zone is ours to take, but only if we remain sharp, decisive, and ahead of the game. This is our moment, and I’ll see you at the top. Let’s move like kings and queens—because that’s exactly what we are.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
2
Analyzing Bitcoin Dominance: Pinpointing the Pivot to Alt SeasonTo identify a key pivot point for an altcoin season, let’s analyze Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) using the Monthly Chart, which provides a clearer overview of pivot levels and trends. Current Outlook on BTC Dominance Stochastic RSI Signals Bearish Momentum The Monthly Stochastic RSI turned bearish in November with a confirmed bearish crossover. This suggests a continued decline in BTC dominance and aligns with the larger market narrative of Bitcoin being in its final Wave 4 & 5 of the current cycle. Rejection at the 0.618 Fibonacci Level In November, BTC dominance rejected the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, a significant resistance point. A similar rejection occurred during the 2021 bull run, marking the peak in BTC.D and the shift of money pouring into Alt Coins. What Happened After the 2021 Rejection? After BTC.D rejected the 0.618 level in 2021: Bitcoin Continued Rising: Bitcoin’s price rallied as dominance declined. Altcoin Market Share Increased: This shift in dominance marked the beginning of Alt Season, with altcoins gaining significant market share. As BTC.D retraced to the 0.382 Fibonacci level, Bitcoin and dominance both consolidated and moved sideways. During this period, altcoins experienced exponential growth, with many hitting new highs. Where Are We Now? The current setup appears to mirror the 2021 scenario: BTC dominance rejected the 0.618 Fibonacci level in November. A decline in dominance is expected, leading to - 1) Bitcoin’s price increasing. 2) Bitcoin dominance decreasing, signaling the expansion of the altcoin market. What to Watch Next Key Consolidation Levels: BTC dominance could retrace to around 53.9% or lower, where consolidation is likely to occur. During this phase, the altcoin market is expected to expand further, with surging prices and new all-time highs. Altcoin Season Peak: A critical level to monitor is 47% dominance (0.618 Fibonacci level). Once BTC.D falls below this threshold, the market may approach the peak of altcoin season. At this stage, consider developing an exit strategy, as altcoins could be nearing their cycle highs. Conclusion The rejection at the 0.618 level and the bearish monthly Stochastic RSI suggest that Bitcoin dominance is poised to decline further. If history repeats, we could see a significant rally in altcoins while Bitcoin continues to rise. Monitoring BTC.D’s retracement to 53.9% or below and its potential fall through 47% will be crucial for identifying the peak of altcoin season and planning a timely exit.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by heywippa
2
GBPJPY set for bullish move in the 2nd half of the week.Based on the Ichimoku analysis, here’s a trade setup using the 4-hour and daily charts, incorporating Ichimoku Wave and Time Theory: 1. Observations on the Daily Chart: Trend: The price is within the Ichimoku cloud, indicating consolidation or indecision. However, the bullish attempt to break above the cloud suggests upward momentum might develop. Key Levels: Resistance: 197.50 (upper cloud boundary and recent highs). Support: 194.50 (Kijun-Sen and lower cloud boundary). Chikou Span (Lagging Line): Inside the price action, signaling no clear trend confirmation yet. Wave Theory: After a sharp rally in mid-December, the market shows signs of completing a corrective wave within the cloud. Time Theory: If the next bullish move aligns with the current time cycles (Kihon-Suchi intervals: 9, 17, 26), a breakout may occur around the next 2–3 trading days. 2. Observations on the 4-Hour Chart: Trend: The price is trading above the cloud, suggesting a short-term bullish bias. Key Levels: Resistance: 197.00 (recent highs). Support: 195.50 (Kijun-Sen on the 4-hour chart and near the cloud top). Chikou Span: Positioned above the price action, supporting bullish momentum. Wave Theory: The impulsive move to 198.00 was followed by a correction back into the cloud. Current price action suggests a potential new bullish wave starting. Time Theory: Time intervals suggest a minor pullback may complete soon, and the next bullish wave could initiate in the next 4–8 candles. 3. Trade Setup: Bullish Scenario (Preferred): Entry: Wait for a close above 197.00 on the 4-hour chart to confirm bullish momentum. Target 1: 198.50 (previous high on the 4-hour chart). Target 2: 200.00 (psychological level and wave projection). Stop Loss: Below 195.50, where the Kijun-Sen and cloud support converge. Bearish Scenario (If Daily Cloud Resistance Holds): Entry: If price rejects 197.00 and closes below 195.50 on the 4-hour chart. Target 1: 194.00 (daily cloud support). Target 2: 192.50 (next significant support on the daily chart). Stop Loss: Above 197.50. 4. Ichimoku Wave and Time Theory Insights: Wave Analysis: The market may form a new bullish N-wave if it breaks above 197.00. Targets for this wave could align with the 198.50–200.00 zone. Time Analysis: Watch for reversals or breakout confirmations within 2–3 trading days (daily chart) or 4–8 candles (4-hour chart), aligned with the Kihon-Suchi cycles.
Long
by Welburg_Trading
1
Daily Nasdaq Insights – December 22, 2024Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Before the Nasdaq's movements beginning on December 23rd, let’s dive into a weekend analysis to prepare for the upcoming market conditions. Weekly Chart Analysis The weekly Nasdaq chart presents a rare occurrence—a bearish candlestick after a significant upward trend. Interestingly, the length of both the upper and lower wicks is quite balanced, resulting in a large Doji-like candlestick. However, a Doji candlestick doesn’t necessarily signal a trend reversal to the downside. Why? The Ichimoku Cloud's Lagging Span remains above the candlesticks. Unless we see significant bearish momentum, the Lagging Span is likely to find support from the candlesticks below. The price is still holding above the 20-week moving average, which currently sits at 20,503. A bearish move into the Ichimoku Cloud would require the price to drop further to 19,383 to fully enter the cloud zone. In conclusion, the weekly chart suggests that the uptrend is still intact. Despite closing the week with a bearish candle, it followed a recent all-time high. This could indicate a temporary pause rather than a definitive reversal, keeping the potential for further upward movement on the table. Daily Chart Analysis Examining the daily chart, the Lagging Span still remains above the candlesticks, reinforcing that a trend reversal is not yet confirmed. Additionally, the long-term upward trendline remains intact. For a decisive breakdown to occur: The price would need to break below the thick Ichimoku Cloud (zone between 20,775 and 19,880). A definitive trendline breach would likely occur if the price falls below 19,560, which would signal a clear shift in momentum. At this stage, the daily chart reflects resilience within the broader uptrend despite recent pullbacks. 1-Hour Chart Analysis The 1-hour chart reveals why Nasdaq's current direction is ambiguous. Resistance Zone (Orange Box): This is the final key resistance trendline. A breakout above this level would provide a clear buy signal, as the price would enter the red box supply zone. If this resistance is overcome, Nasdaq has a high probability of testing the red box’s upper boundary near 22,432, potentially forming a double top or even reaching a new all-time high. Friday's session did see a rebound, but: While the yellow box resistance was broken, the price failed to hold support near the session close, which casts doubt on the strength of the rebound. To confirm further upside momentum, the price needs to break above the blue box resistance near 21,935. Without reclaiming this level, the strong bearish candlestick from Friday’s session raises skepticism about whether this was a genuine reversal or merely a temporary relief rally. Final Thoughts Historically, markets have often rallied during the holiday season, but this year appears to present more complex conditions. Instead of trying to predict the market, focus on reacting to key levels and signals. I will continue to provide detailed and actionable analysis to assist you in navigating these challenging markets. Stay prepared and trade wisely!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Greedy_allday
2
HBAR/USDT Potential Retracement and Rally: Fibonacci Levels in FDescription: This idea analyzes the HBAR/USDT price action using Fibonacci retracement and extension levels to identify key areas for a potential correction and subsequent bullish rally. Key Observations: 1. Fibonacci Retracement Levels: • The retracement is drawn from the recent low at 0.0476 to the high at 0.3841, revealing key levels: • 0.236 (0.1233): Potential first support. • 0.382 (0.1731): Major support zone. • 0.618 (0.2537): Current key resistance level. • 0.786 (0.3111): Next potential resistance. 2. Fibonacci Extension Levels (Bullish Targets): • If HBAR rebounds strongly, the Fibonacci extension levels offer potential price targets: • 1.618 (0.595): First key target. • 2.618 (0.936): Higher resistance zone. • 3.618 (1.277): Optimistic rally target. • 4.236 (1.488): Maximum bullish potential in this projection. 3. Price Action Projection: • I anticipate a short-term correction to the 0.382 retracement level (0.1731) before a bullish rally toward higher Fibonacci extensions. • The 0.618 level (0.2537) is currently a critical resistance zone that needs to be broken for further upside. 4. Market Sentiment: • This projection assumes bullish continuation after the retracement. A break below 0.1731 could invalidate this setup. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and trade responsibly. Would love to hear your feedback and thoughts on this setup! Let’s discuss in the comments! 🚀
Long
by jobotinvest9999
2
Fill Your Bag with DOT !! has just flashed a historical MACD buy signal! Recently, we saw a healthy correction in the market, so there's no need to worry. If you're considering adding Polkadot to your portfolio, now could be the right time to do so. Take a look at my previous analysis—it was perfectly timed! Based on the current trends, I believe we could see a minimum price of 40 USD within the next 2-3 months. As I always say, while you can’t predict the exact timing of the market, this opportunity is worth considering. (Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.)
Long
by Bitsleader
1
BTC is doing this todayHey guys BTC will goes up around 99500$ and immidiately coms back to around 9200$. start taing shot after 99000$. I dno't know if you belive, but this is 2 year that I haven't ser SL, you know why ? because i go in possintion i 3 steps and each step is less tha 1% of my margin . I will tell you how i I calculate plase note this table : no matter how leverage are you set , have not open possition more than of this formoula : balance : size of position: 1000$ 0.01 BTC 10000$ 0.04 BTC 100000$ 0.1 BTC be happy
Short
by Miladh88
11
USDT Dominance Update (4H)Before anything else, read the instructions carefully: We have a strong supply zone on the chart, and if the price hits this supply, a significant rejection is likely to follow. Considering the manipulative behavior of market makers, it's not out of the question that we see a higher high in this upward wave, with the price reaching the supply zone outlined in this analysis. According to the multi-chart analysis, Ethereum has not yet reached the flip zone. (You can find the link to this Ethereum analysis in the "Related Publications" section at the bottom of this page.) Adjust the final steps of your buying strategy within this range. Let’s see if the Tether dominance reaches this red zone or not. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by behdark
Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to the minimum of the “W” wave (2540)Dear colleagues, due to the recent sharp price movement I have redrawn the waves and at this point I can assume that we are dealing with a complex correction (W, X, Y). This means that I predict a price decline at least to the support area of 2540 - this is the area of the minimum of the “W” wave. It will most likely be followed by its renewal, but we will talk about it when the target is reached. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hellena_Trade
7