EURUSD hourly trend analysis on April 04, 2025This Forex pair is in a strong bullish trend with a confirmed buy signal with SL at 1.1. There is potential run towards the target of 1.12622. Trade with Stop-Loss.
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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 4, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📊 March Employment Report Release: The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the March employment report, with forecasts predicting an addition of 140,000 nonfarm payrolls and an unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1%. This data will provide insights into the labor market's health and potential implications for Federal Reserve policy.
🇺🇸💬 Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's Address: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak at 11:25 AM ET. Investors will be closely monitoring his remarks for any indications regarding future monetary policy, especially in light of recent market volatility.
🇺🇸📈 Market Reaction to 'Liberation Day' Tariffs: Following President Donald Trump's announcement of new tariffs, dubbed "Liberation Day" tariffs, the markets experienced significant declines. The S&P 500 dropped 4.8%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 6%, marking the worst trading day since 2020. Investors are bracing for continued volatility as the market digests the potential economic impacts of these tariffs.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, April 4:
👷♂️ Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: +140,000
Previous: +151,000
Indicates the number of jobs added or lost in the economy, excluding the farming sector.
📈 Unemployment Rate (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: 4.1%
Previous: 4.1%
Represents the percentage of the total workforce that is unemployed and actively seeking employment.
💵 Average Hourly Earnings (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: +0.3%
Previous: +0.3%
Measures the month-over-month change in wages, providing insight into consumer income trends.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Gold buy Buy gold and give me 30% share for next signal
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Fri 4th Apr 2025 XAG/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a XAG/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Gold retreats but remains supported by macro tailwindsXAUUSD pared recent gains following a retreat below the channel's upper bound and resistance at 3150. The price remains in an uptrend, holding above the Ichimoku Cloud and within the ascending channel. However, should the price experience a retracement, a throwback to the 3050 support may occur. Conversely, regaining its bullish momentum and closing above 3150 could prompt a further rise to the following resistance at 3220.
Gold pulled back sharply from record highs after Trump's tariffs excluded precious metals, easing immediate supply concerns, but the broader backdrop remains favorable. Central bank buying, expectations of rate cuts, and persistent geopolitical risks underpin demand, even as short-term profit-taking kicks in. While volatility may persist, the metal's role as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty keeps its long-term bullish case intact.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
Silver ShortSilver is now net Short on the regression break.
Roll short on Silver is 0.4% per a month.
I am not taking this trade.
New news is neededNew news is needed for the S&P 500 daily chart to have a dramatic move down on Friday like was witnessed on Thursday. Without new news to create that volatility, a dramatic move lower is not expected for Friday.
Is it time for a relief for the Yen?After a severe beating by the USD especially the tumultous rise inflation, Japans currency is gonna look for some relief as Tariifs will clearly lead to an economic slowdown of U.S economy, as more cheap stuff from China and the emerging market will clearly look to rise and that may weigh on consumer sentiment.
🟨 - Head abd Shoulders
🟥🔘 - Price/RSI Deviation
Jpy index weekly scenario 04/04/2025English : According to our analysis, we anticipate a bullishscenario.
Morocan Darija : kanchofo d'apres l'analyse dyalna antsanaw tloo3
ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals.
GOLD Bullish Trend Continues After FVG Test🟢 GOLD is maintaining strong bullish momentum after successfully testing a Fair Value Gap (FVG). A Break of Structure (BOS) confirms the uptrend, with higher lows forming—a clear sign of continuation.
📊 Analysis:
✅ Bullish Trend: The price structure confirms an uptrend with higher highs and higher lows.
✅ Fake Reversal Break of Structure (BOS): A key level has been broken, signaling reversal but based on current momentum that follows it shows Buyers continued strength.
✅ FVG Test Success: Price respected the Fair Value Gap, reinforcing buying pressure.
✅ 🎯 Target: , aligning with .
✅ 📈 Momentum: Strong upward drive suggests further gains ahead.
🔮 Potential Scenario:
The price is likely to continue climbing, forming a new higher high toward the target level.
📢 Confirmation Signals to Watch:
📌 Volume: Increasing volume on bullish moves.
📌 Candlestick Patterns: Bullish signals at key support levels.
📌 Moving Averages: Price holding above critical moving averages.
📌 🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly and conduct your own research.
🔗 Tags:
#GOLD #XAUUSD #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #FVG #BreakOfStructure #TrendAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketAnalysis
OptionsMastery: Looks like a good buy on GOOGLE!🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
OptionsMastery: Looking at a H&S on VST! 🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 3 April 2025
- Bitcoin reversed from resistance level 87785.00
- Likely to fall to support level 78650.00
Bitcoin cryptocurrency recently reversed down from the resistance level 87785.00 (which stopped wave A at the end of March), intersecting with the daily down channel from January and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from the resistance level 87785.00 will form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Evening Star – if the price closes today near the current levels.
Bitcoin cryptocurrency can be expected to fall to the next support level 78650.00 (which has been reversing the price from February).
RCL Eiffel Tower CAUTION!RCL is in a very capital-heavy industry that is very economically sensitive.
Normally I would say from erections some corrections. However this has the Eiffel Tower structure in place for a full-on reversal. That remains to be seen. For now, we look for at least a correction and go from there.
Caution is in order if you are long.
DKNG Update | Second Fractal | Extended TargetsPrice action looks very similar to the '23 Q3 play where we saw a double bottom move taking off from $26 - $49 which is also the ABC move that carried the 3rd impulse wave of the original fractal.
We're still in correction wave 4 and are about to start wave 5 shortly from now to July.
It's possible we could see price action higher than $74 based on the new fractal overlay and with the help of the fib extension.
Long EURUSD retest of breakout levels
Macro outlook for the remainder of the week
Upcoming News
US NFP at 430pm Fri
USD downside
Bad NFP report
USD upside
Good NFP report
News review
Liberation Day - Full-scale tariff were definitely not a good thing for the USD as investor fear of it causing a recession is currently outweighing the potential of keeping interest rates high to prevent inflation from running hot. Price has voted this way, so let's keep with it. The risk to this thesis is if Powell comes out and convinces the market that he will focus on inflation over all else and take a hard stance similar to volcker. Then we switch fundamental views.
Technical view
Breakout of the previous levels at 1.0954
With NFP coming up, I'm looking for a retrace back to near the breakout level before it, then take a high RR bet for the trend to continue to the upside.
Timeframe of bet → Till Friday around NFP
Price level of interest → 1.099 to 1.0954
Execution
Price alert set
Look for price to touch the area, and reverse
SL: 1.093 for now. Will be determined based of reversal candle and what's the low of the retracement move.
TP: Highs of 1.11
Results of ideas thus far:
Number of trades: 1
WR: 0%
Profit: -0.1R
Notes: This is currently for personal practice to write out trade ideas. Feedback is welcome, and please don't mind if none of this makes sense.
Triple TopWe are testing this weekly to the 3rd time now.
For almost 1 month we cannot overcomethis top level. Supposedly Ali Baba has forgotten the passwort to escape the cave and the treasure is overbought.
Bear Flaggin!I see the target as $25 to $26 in the near term for a final leg down before rallying to the 50% retracement level.
Volume, Politics and overall structure looks very week for semi/tech hardware stocks.
If we do rally next week from here, I would continue to short. Ill update next week.
BTC SHORT TP:79,700 02-03-2025Bitcoin is currently displaying a bearish pattern on the 1-hour timeframe, suggesting a continuation of the downward momentum. The projected take profit (TP) for this setup is targeting the 79,500 - 80,000 price zone.
The analysis is based on the lower 1-hour timeframe, which means that if the expected move does not materialize within the next 13 to 19 hours, the trade setup will be considered invalid.
In this case, you could consider opening a short position now and potentially averaging down your entry as the trade progresses. This is a strategy I often employ to maximize profits.
Make sure to follow me closely, as I will keep you updated on the developments and help you generate substantial green profits together.
$SPCE - Virgin Galactic - Value Hail Mary?Fundamental Play:
Current Price of NYSE:SPCE is at $2.77 with 35.53million shares outstanding giving it a current valuation of just around $98,500,000.
SPCE has over $600 million in cash Reserves as of December 2024.
Cash Value vs. Market Cap
Cash and equivalents: ~$657 million
Current market cap: ~$98 million
That’s ~6.7x more cash than the company’s total market value.
This means: If Virgin Galactic liquidated today and no other liabilities existed, shareholders could theoretically walk away with more than 6x the current share price. That’s an extreme case and not practical — but it gives a sense of undervaluation from a liquidation perspective
Remember the company still has negative earnings, is burning cash rapidly ($115 to $125m a quarter), and has uncertain future revenues so there is room for a lot of speculation. They would need some extra funding or start making revenue soon. Very risky stock at the moment with an over 70% chance of bankruptcy.
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on here, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
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