GOLD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 3354.1 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3361.01
Safe Stop Loss - 3350.5
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Community ideas
Bitcoin will rebound up from support area to resistance lineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. After a strong upward trend that originated from the buyer zone and evolved through an upward wedge, bitcoin executed a decisive breakout, shifting the market into a new, higher-value market phase. This powerful move has since led to an extended period of wide consolidation within a well-defined horizontal channel, a classic sign of the market pausing to absorb the prior impulse and build cause for its next major leg. Currently, the asset's price action is rotating within this structure, defined by a key support area around 116500 and an upper resistance line. Having been rejected from the top, the price is now completing another downward correction and is approaching the channel's foundational support for a crucial test. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, predicated on the proven resilience of this support level. A confirmed upward rebound from this 116500 zone would signal that the accumulation within the channel is continuing and likely to resolve upwards. Therefore, the tp is logically and strategically placed at 122300, as this level not only coincides perfectly with the channel's upper resistance line but also represents the completion of the internal rotation, setting the stage for a potential continuation of the larger uptrend. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Bearish potential detected for SDFEntry conditions:
(i) lower share price for ASX:SDF along with swing of DMI indicator towards bearishness and RSI downwards, and
(ii) observing market reaction around the share price of $5.89 (open of 20th June).
Stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) above the potential prior resistance of $6.08 from the open of 4th December 2024, or
(i) above the potential prior resistance of $6.19 from the open of 3rd July 2024, depending on risk tolerance.
Euro vs Kiwi Bull Raid: High Reward Target Strategy🏴☠️EUR/NZD Heist Plan: "Robbing the Kiwi Vault with Thief Trading Style" 💰🔥
🌍 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌍
Dear Money Makers, Chart Bandits & Market Strategists! 🤑💸✈️
Here’s the EUR/NZD (Euro vs Kiwi) blueprint crafted using the signature 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 — a blend of bold technicals, insightful fundamentals, and pure tactical precision. We’re setting our sights on a potential bullish breakout — targeting the high-security resistance zone where big money hides.
💡The Robbery Plan (Thief Entry Setup):
🟢 Entry Point:
"The vault is wide open — time to extract the bullish loot!"
⚔️ Entry can be taken at market price, but the smarter thieves use a layered Buy Limit strategy at pullback zones (near swing lows/highs on the 15-30 min TF) to snipe the best entries with reduced exposure.
🔁 Scaling in = DCA-style Thief Method: split entries for efficiency, just like robbing in waves.
🔻 Stop Loss Plan (Escape Route):
🔒 Place SL below the recent swing low using 3H timeframe (1.94500 for scalpers/day traders).
🛡️ Adjust based on risk appetite, lot size, and number of entries in play.
🎯 Take Profit Target:
🏁 Exit the heist near 1.98500, where strong resistance awaits. That’s the Danger Zone — the edge of our mission.
🔍EUR/NZD Outlook Snapshot:
This pair is flashing bullish vibes due to:
🏛️ Macro & Fundamental tailwinds
📊 COT positioning & Sentiment readings
🔗 Intermarket influences
📈 Price structure & liquidity zones
For more depth: dive into external analysis tools, COT reports, and sentiment dashboards to fine-tune your view. The direction is clear — the bulls are assembling.
⚠️ Trading Alerts & Risk Management Reminders:
🚨 News releases = volatility mines.
Before entering, make sure to:
Avoid new positions near red-flag economic events
Protect your open trades with trailing SLs or partial exits
Stay alert — the market shifts fast, adapt faster
💬 Final Word from the Vault Boss:
📢 Smashing likes = boosting the crew. 💥
Support the Thief Trading Style by hitting the BOOST button and keep the robbery crew rolling strong 💪💸
We're here to outsmart the market — one clean chart raid at a time.
Stay tuned for the next master plan. Until then, rob smart, rob safe. 🧠🔐💥
SPX500 NEARING AN IMPORTANT FIB. EXTENSION RESISTANCEIn this weekend's analysis I find the SPX500 to remain BULLISH for next few days as we have strong closings outside the upper KC band and also touching the upper Bollinger band on the higher time frames from Daily to Monthly charts. It's also important to note that declining volume bars is NOT supporting the monthly rally, while MACD, RSI divergences are also sounding warning sirens that it's near a major correction territory which I have measure as the fib extension 0.618 from the October, 2022 base or support on the monthly chart. As signaled last week that we could be getting a capitulation candle soon to the fib target. Once we get a reversal candle on the 4 Hours it will confirm that the intermediate tops is achieved on the SPX500 and a correction is highly probable. So our trade thesis is Bullish until we get a confirmed bearish signal on either the 4H or 1D timeframe with Stop loss at 6377 level. Thanks for visiting my publication and trade idea on the SPX500. Cheers and happy trading to everyone.
"NASDAQ 100 Heist – Scalp, Swing, or Hold? (Full Plan)🔥 NASDAQ 100 HEIST PLAN – BULLISH LOOT AWAITS! 🔥
🚨 Attention Market Robbers & Money Makers! 🚨
(Swing/Day Trade Strategy – High-Risk, High-Reward Play)
🎯 Mission Objective: Loot the NDX100/US100 (NASDAQ 100) Like a Pro!
Based on Thief Trading’s ruthless technical & fundamental analysis, we’re executing a bullish heist—targeting the Red Zone (high-risk, high-reward area).
⚠️ WARNING: Overbought market, consolidation zone, potential bear traps—weak bears may get slaughtered! Strong hands only!
🔐 ENTRY: The Vault is OPEN!
"SWIPE THE BULLISH LOOT!" – Any price is a steal, but smart thieves use:
Buy Limit Orders (15m-30m TF) near recent swing lows/highs.
DCA/Layering Strategy – Multiple limit orders for max loot.
Breakout Confirmation – Don’t jump in early; wait for the real move!
🛑 STOP LOSS: Protect Your Stash!
Thief’s SL Rule: Nearest 4H swing low (22,600) – WICK LEVEL ONLY!
DO NOT place SL before breakout! (Patience = Profit.)
Adjust SL based on risk, lot size, and number of orders.
🎯 TARGETS: Escape Before the Cops Arrive!
Main Take-Profit: 24,400 (or exit early if momentum fades).
Scalpers: Longs ONLY! Use trailing SL to lock in profits.
Swing Traders: Ride the wave like a true market pirate!
📰 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP: Why This Heist Will Work
Bullish momentum in NDX100 driven by:
Macro trends (Fed, inflation, tech earnings).
COT Report & Institutional positioning.
Geopolitical & Sentiment Shifts.
Intermarket correlations (USD, Bonds, Tech Sector).
(Stay updated—markets change FAST!)
⚠️ TRADING ALERT: News = Danger Zone!
Avoid new trades during high-impact news.
Trailing SL = Your best friend.
Lock profits early if volatility spikes!
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! 💥
👉 Hit LIKE & FOLLOW to strengthen our robbery crew!
🚀 More heists coming soon—stay tuned, thieves! 🚀
Golden Opportunity Ahead: Wave 5 Bullish Breakout Incoming!After perfectly completing the **bearish Gartley pattern**, gold dropped precisely to the **target zone at 3,323**, just as predicted. This move confirmed the formation of **Wave 5**, signaling the end of the corrective phase.
Now, all signs point to a **strong bullish reversal**—and the next step is a powerful rally toward the predefined targets. This is a **prime buying opportunity** for traders looking to ride the wave!
### 🎯 **Buy Zone:**
- **Entry:** Around **3,323 USD**
### 📈 **Profit Targets:**
| Target | Fibonacci Level | Price (USD) |
|--------|------------------|-------------|
| TP1 | 1.0 | 13,447.875 |
| TP2 | 1.27 | 13,536.025 |
| TP3 | 1.618 | 13,649.640 |
Bitcoin Daily shows us that a HUGE Hurdle has been crossed
The question I will answer in this post is "What is the significance of that Blue line that BTC PA is now sitting on"
On the Daily chart, we can see it has been tested as support and Held.
Previously, it was resistance..
So what ? This has happened many times before.
Lets zoom out and look at the weekly.
So, we see that the Blue line was also the rejection zone in 2021.
Infact, if you look, it has rejected BTC PA 5 times since March 2021 and we have finaly managed to get over it and seem to be comfortable using ot as support now.
This leaves the door open to move higher once PA is ready
But there is WAY MORE to this
Lets look at the monthly chart
So now we see that that same Blue Arc has also been rejecting BTC PA since 2011.
That is nearly the entire life span of Bitcoin and it is certainly the entire life span of its current Bullish momentum since we entered the current channel we are in..
So, in many way, this could be seen as a new beginning, a New cycle.
We do need to remain cautious for now though. As we can see, we did get over this line in 2013 but fell back below......and of course, the possibility for this to happen again exists BUT we now have massive Corporate investment. This could stop that fall.
PA needed to get over this line or fall.
Should this fail to hold for now, we will return to lower lines of support, around 70K- 80K but I would anticipate a massive buying spree should that happen.
The next few months in Bitcoin are absolutely CRUCIAL.
We need to remain above this Arc.
And as I have shown months ago, this Arc is not just a line drawn freehand.
It is actually calculated and is part of a Fibonacci Arc.
The Monthly chart also shows us we are near the ATH Zone on a time span shown under PA on this chart.
We may not see the steep rise we have previously...but the Major Victory is remaining ABOVE this Blue Arc
Fingers Crossed
US 10Y TREASURY: FOMC week During the previous week investors were digesting the latest macro data aiming to set expectations for the forthcoming FOMC meeting, which is scheduled for Wednesday, July 30th. The 10Y Treasury yields were moving between 4,32% and 4,44%, closing the week at 4,38%. The drop in yields during the second half of the week was impacted with a trade deal between the US and Japan. Negotiations with the EU are taking place during the weekend in Scotland, whose outcome will be known at the start of the week ahead.
Regardless of trade negotiations, the week ahead will bring a lot of currently important US macro data, as well as the FOMC meeting. Current expectations with 95% odds is that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in July. Also, it is expected that Fed Chair Powell will inform the public about the latest Feds members view on the US economic developments. In case of any information that the market still has not priced, the higher volatility will take place. For the week ahead, there is both probability for a further modest relaxation in yields, at least till the level of 4,35%, and also potential for testing of 4,4% for one more time.
NIFTY50.....Miss a final sell-off!Hello Traders,
the NIFTY50 is moving within a sideways-range. It ranges from a possible wave ((iii)), with a green high @ 25116 and a low of 24508, the end of a wave z (pink) of a wave (w)/(a) of ((iv)) green!
What can we expect for the coming days?
I think, the final low is not in the cards yet! I miss a final "sell-off" that will take N50 down into the range of the rectangle, sky-blue, for the coming days. That means, a possible finale low would be around the 24473 to 23935 points.
If so to come, a break of the 25250 area probably would open the door to 25580 area in the next 2 weeks. If this high were to occur, it would end wave ((iii), in pink, with a wave (iv), pink, to follow. Seasonally, that would fit well into the structure 'til end of September/ mid-October!
Anyway! As can be seen at the 3h chart, there is a divergence at RSI (standard deviation 14). This, more often than not, indicates a change of trend, in this case to the upside! However, the daily RSI has room to decline for the reminder of the week.
So, again. The structure seems to be not done to the downside, and I expect a new low, below the Friday's low, to come.
Have a great week.....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
USDCAD Analysis week 31🌐Fundamental Analysis
The Canadian dollar continued to decline against the US dollar on Friday. Trump returned to threatening tariffs on Canada as trade deals remain limited. The August 1 deadline for tariffs is approaching and Canada has not made much of a move so far.
🕯Technical Analysis
USDCAD continues to rally towards the 1.4000 resistance zone. A recovery of the pair to 1.365 is a good momentum for USDCAD to break the trendline and break 1.37700. The trading strategy for next week is mainly to look for BUY points when there is a recovery of the wave structure. If the important support of the week 1.357 is broken, the uptrend will reverse.
📈📉Trading Signals
BUY USDCAD 1.365-1.363 Stoploss 1.360
BUY Break out 1.37700
Bullish potential detected for WDSEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for ASX:WDS along with swing up of the DMI indicators and swing up of the RSI indicator, and
(ii) observation of market reaction at the support/resistance level at $24.87 (from the open of 14th February).
Stop loss for the trade would be, dependent of risk tolerance (once the trade is activated):
(i) below the support level from the open of 15th July (i.e.: below $23.95), or
(ii) below the recent swing low of 30th June (i.e.: below $23.24).
NOTE: Positive momentum move on 23rd July already in play (suggested not to chase this initial move and await a retracement back towards the support/resistance level of $24.87 and observe the market reaction - potentially overbought with resistance above current price area of $26.20 as at 25th July). If the move keeps going, let it go.
Gold: dropped on trade deals The safe-haven asset had its ups and downs during the previous week. The week started with an uptrend, where the price of gold reached its highest weekly level at $3.430, on trade tariff tensions. However, the deal made between the US and Japan, pushed the price toward lower grounds, ending the week at $3.340. In addition, Friday's drop was supported by announced tariffs negotiations between the US and EU in Scotland during the weekend.
The RSI dropped below the level of 50 on Friday, ending the week at the level of 48. The MA50 slowed down its divergence from MA200, however, the potential cross is still far away. Still, weekly lows of the price of gold found support at MA50 levels.
The week ahead brings several currently very important US macro data, including JOLTs, PCE, NFP and Unemployment data. In addition, the FOMC meeting will be held where the market will receive the latest Fed's view on economic developments in the country and future expectations. Also, further news on trade tariff agreements, especially regarding ongoing negotiations between the EU and the US in Scotland, might make an impact on investors sentiment for safe-haven assets. As per current charts, the price of gold might revert a bit to the upside, after a drop during the last three days of the previous week. In this sense, the resistance level at $3,4K might be tested. On the opposite side, the situation on charts is a little bit tricky. Namely, there is a line which perfectly connects all lows from February this year. Friday's closing was exactly at this line, which again adds to the probability of a short reversal. However, if, in any case, the price of gold breaks this longer term trend, then it will indicate that the longer path to the downside is in store for gold.
SPX: Tariffs deal (un)certainty Investors' optimism continued to hold at the U.S. equity markets another week in a row. The S&P 500 posted another weekly winning streak, supported by solid earnings of companies included in the index. The index also reached another all time highest level, with Friday's level of 6.388, gaining around 1,5% for the week.
Tech companies were once again main contributors to the surge of the index. Alphabet posted better than expected quarterly results, supporting the surge in share price of 4%. Tesla shares gained 3,5% for the week. The company reported strong vehicle delivery numbers and progress in AI-driven autonomous driving technology. Analysts are noting that 82% of all companies included in the S&P 500 index, that have already reported quarterly results, have beaten the market expectations.
Alongside strong earnings reports, recent advancements in U.S. trade negotiations have contributed to market gains. Earlier this week, President Donald Trump announced a significant trade agreement with Japan, which includes a 15% reciprocal tariff arrangement—an important step toward redefining trade terms between the two nations. Additionally, the U.S. and Indonesia have reportedly reached a framework agreement for a trade deal, reflecting a broader U.S. effort to strengthen and stabilize trade partnerships in Asia. On Friday, President Trump expressed confidence that more trade agreements will be finalized ahead of the August 1 deadline for new tariffs. One of these possible deals involves the European Union. Investors have welcomed these developments, as they help reduce tariff-related uncertainties and ease concerns about escalating trade disputes that could disrupt global supply chains and impact corporate earnings.
The week ahead brings a bunch of important macro data for the U.S. as well as the FOMC meeting, where Fed members will discuss a potential change in interest rates. Markets are currently not expecting that the Fed will make a move at this meeting. Certainly, with JOLTs, NFP, PCE data in combination with the FOMC meeting, the week ahead might bring back some higher volatility in the US equity markets, in case of any unexpected news.
EURUSD: FOMC, PCE, NFP, JOLTs - busy week guaranteedThe ECB meeting was one of the major events during the previous week, when it comes to macro data. As it was widely expected, the ECB left rates unchanged, amid uncertainties related to trade tariffs with the U.S.. The ECB maintains its previous macro outlook, viewing the Euro Zone economy as resilient but facing downside risks. President Lagarde highlighted global trade tensions, geopolitical instability and negative shifts in market sentiment as key risks to further growth. At the same time, Lagarde dismissed concerns about the stronger euro, reiterating that the ECB does not target the exchange rate directly. With the inflation level of 2% and deposit rate of 2%, the ECB is in the position to take a wait-and-see stance on further rate cuts, although some analysts are mentioning the possibility of another 25bps cut in September.
Other macro data for the Euro Zone and Germany include the HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash for July, which stood at 49,8 for the Euro Zone and 49,2 for Germany. Both indicators were standing in line with market expectations. The Ifo business Climate in Germany in July reached 88,6, in line with market forecast.
The previous week was relatively weak when it comes to currently important macro data for the U.S. economy. Posted data include Existing Home Sales in June, which reached 3,93M and were a bit lower from forecasted 4,0M. The indicator dropped by 2,7% compared to the previous month. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI flash for July reached 49,5 a bit lower from market forecast of 52,6. At the same time the S&P Global Services PMI flash for July beat market expectation with the level of 55,2. The durable Goods Orders in June dropped by -9,3% compared to the previous month, which was a bit lower from -10,8% expected by the market.
The ECB meeting left its mark on the parity of eurusd currency pair during the previous week. The euro strengthened till the level of 1,1786, but eased as of the end of the week, closing it at 1,1742. The currency pair was testing the 1,17 support line on Friday's trading session. The RSI continues to move at levels above the 50 line, ending the week modestly below the level of 60. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without an indication of a potential cross in the near term period.
The week ahead is an important one from the perspective of macro data. A bunch of currently closely watched data for the U.S. will be posted, including PCE, NFP, JOLTs, Unemployment rate in July. In addition to data, the FOMC meeting will be held on Wednesday, July 30th, where the Fed will decide on interest rates. Current market expectation is that the Fed will leave rates unchanged at this meeting. However, the final decision is with the Fed, in which case, any surprises might significantly move the currency pair toward one side. Also, in case of surprises with any of the above mentioned macro data the market reaction could bring higher volatility. Precaution in trading with eurusd in the week ahead is highly advisable. As per current charts, there is a high probability that the currency pair will move to the downside to test the 1,17 support level for one more time. Levels around the 1,1650 might also be shortly tested. In case that the market decides for a higher ground, there is some probability for the level of 1,18, as the next resistance level to be tested shortly.
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
EUR: GDP Growth Rate for Q2 for both Germany and the Euro Zone, Unemployment rate in Germany in July, Inflation rate in Germany and the Euro Zone preliminary for July,
USD: JOLTs Job Openings in June, GDP Growth Rate for Q2, Pending Home Sales in June, the FOMC meeting and Fed interest rate decision will be held on Wednesday, July 30th, PCE Price Index for June will be posted on Thursday, July 31st, Non-farm Payrolls for July, Unemployment rate in July, ISM Manufacturing PMI in July, University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for July.