Nifty Analysis EOD – May 20, 2025 – Tuesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – May 20, 2025 – Tuesday 🔴
Breakout Denied. Breakdown Delivered.
📈 Nifty SummaryAfter two sessions of tight-range traps, the long-awaited move finally played out today—and it was all about the bears.
Despite a 50-point gap-up start at 24,996 (just shy of the psychological 25,000 level), Nifty quickly reversed. The open was inside the resistance zone (24,980–25,000), and ignoring a minor 15-point wick, it resembled a classic Open = High (OH) trap.
By 35 minutes into the session, the index had already broken PDL and S1, hitting a low of 24,863, only to bounce 100+ points back toward 24,967—again rejected from just below 25K. This rejection triggered a sharp vertical fall, with a steep 35° downward slope, showing no pause, no VWAP reversion—just pure directional intent.
The downside breach hit multiple key levels:✅ 24,920✅ PDL✅ 24,882✅ 24,800–24,768 zone✅ and finally marked a low of 24,669, right at our 24,660 support level from yesterday’s map.
In yesterday’s report, we noted:
“A move below 24,882 could accelerate downside momentum. All eyes on 24,800 next.”✅ Targets 24,800 and 24,732 both achieved today.
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Candle Type: Strong Bearish (near Marubozu)
Intraday Range: 340 points
Upper Wick: ~15 pts (negligible)
Lower Wick: ~44 pts (also insignificant vs range)
Candle Interpretation: Textbook bearish Marubozu-type (near full-body)
📉 Closing Concerns:
🔻 Below 24,732, the 0.618 Fib of May 15th candle
🔻 Below May 15 Open
❌ No retracement or end-of-day bounce
These signals point to a structurally weak close and increase the probability of further downside extension.
📊 Bias Going ForwardAs of today, there are no signs of buyers stepping in. If 24,670 (today's low) breaks, it could open the gates to test:
🧨 24,640–24,625 zone (watch closely during IB)
🧨 Below that → 24,535 / 24,500 / 24,480
On the upside, any pullback will face hurdles at:
🛑 24,768–24,800 (strong resistance zone)
🛑 24,882 / 24,920
Let the first half of tomorrow's session guide the tone. Any sustained hold above 24,800 might stall the fall. Else, the drift may continue.
🛡 25 Min Time Frame Chart
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
🛡 Gladiator Strategy Update
Strategy Parameters
ATR: 331.49
IB Range: 146.95 → 🟡 Medium IB
Market Structure: ⚖️ Balanced
Trade Highlights
🔻 1st Short Trigger: 11:55 – Trapped, Loss Booked
✅ 2nd Short Trigger: 12:45 – Target Achieved (Risk:Reward 1:3.5)
📊 Total Trades: 2
📍 Support & Resistance Levels
🟩 Resistance Zones:
24,768 ~ 24,800
24,882
24,920
24,980 ~ 25,000
25,062 ~ 25,070
🟥 Support Zones:
24,660
24,640 ~ 24,625
24,590
24,530 ~ 24,480
24,460
🔮 What’s Next?The market has broken key fib and candle support zones from the May 15th rally. If there's no defence early tomorrow, the fall may intensify.
Keep an eye on 24,640–24,625 during IB. Holding above could invite some short covering. But failure here can extend toward 24,500 and below.
🧠 Final ThoughtsThe market gave us what it hinted at yesterday—a fast break once 24,882 gave way. But with no bounce, no defence, and a full-body bear candle—the pressure is still on.
“Markets don't always roar before falling. Sometimes, they whisper, then collapse.”
✏️ DisclaimerThis is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Community ideas
Bullish continuation?Dow Jones (DJ30) is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 42,431.21
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 41,768.34
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 43,934.49
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
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audusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
HYPE 1D SHORT SETUPGETTEX:HYPE has rallied into the Equal Highs zone at $28.470—a classic stop-run area ahead of a potential reversal. Below, unfilled weekly FVG around $16.311 and a demand cluster at $22.937–21.480 set clear targets.
Checklist & Context
Uptrend in place (HH/HL) into Equal Highs (~$28.47)
Prior moves saw liquidity grabs above highs, then swift returns
Demand sits at $22.937–21.480 (green zone)
Unfilled FVG at $16.311–16.335
Plan
– Primary: Short on a false-break or stop-run above $28.470 with a quick reclaim below
– Alternate: If price stalls < $28.47, watch $25–26 for a reversal setup
Triggers
• SFP / fake break above $28.470 followed by a close back under
• Impulsive drop into $22.937–21.480 → partial profit-taking
• Acceleration into the weekly FVG → exit remaining
Levels
• Sell Zone: > $28.470
• Take-Profits:
1️⃣ $22.937
2️⃣ $21.480
3️⃣ $16.311 (weekly FVG)
• Stop-Loss: > $31.427
Wait for clean reversal signals—no rush into the short until the high-stop reset is confirmed.
Official TRUMP Dinner PUMP?Many Altcoins, specially memecoins, in the past few weeks were growing strongly, is OFFICIAL TRUMP being suppressed?
Let's speculate a little bit.
If you were Trump. No, if I were Trump, Master Trump or Alan Trump, and I have this upcoming event on 22-May. Would I want declining prices or a super-pump right at the same time the event is happening?
If I am a very powerful man and know the power of the media, would I want the memecoin that goes by my name to be super-pumping the same night, at the exact same time as the event goes on? Wouldn't this bring that much more attention if prices were to blow up?
What's your take? What do you think will happen?
The chart looks good for TRUMPUSDT, there is no reason why prices shouldn't be going up. Other pairs are similar, many very similar, but many others continued to grow.
Last week and the week before, it was all memecoins in the top performers. This week, somehow, this market behavior was shutdown and we now only have real projects at the top of the list, which is pretty good actually and refreshing.
Overall, these memecoins can cause real harm to the market. The exchanges can fix this by not listing and delisting but that's not the topic today.
TRUMPUSDT looks good, chart-wise, based on TA. It can grow easily and the action is happening within the "bullish zone."
Another one, the biggest candle since March is a bullish candle. And this is also the biggest candle after the All-Time Low. So the bulls have the upper-hand period. So TRUMPUSDT can grow.
But what about the dinner pump?
You think they are waiting and will buy heavily on the day of the event? Maybe a 100% jump?
I am curious as to what your opinion is, and I'll tell you mine... IT IS GOING UP!
Dinner or no dinner...
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
APT 1W LONGAMEX:APT is carving out a two-year range, currently hugging the lower boundary at $4.00–$5.00—a level that’s held firm through multiple tests and speaks to solid accumulation. Up top lies untapped liquidity around the highs, setting the stage for a potential breakout impulse.
Key Observations
• Support tested and defended at $4.00–$5.00 (green zone)
• Accumulation in play with early reversal patterns forming
• Untested highs above range (~$13.00 and beyond ATH) mark natural targets
• Historic liquidations at both extremes reinforce range integrity
Trading Plan & Levels
– Primary: Hold long from $4.00–$5.00, scale in more on a clean 1W close above $6.00
– Alternative: If price drops below $4.00, pause and reassess for a capitulation low setup
– Buy Zone: $4.00–$5.00
– Add Zone: Weekly close > $6.00
– Take-Profits: First at $13.00 (upper range), then $20.00+ (untapped highs/ATH)
– Stop-Loss: Weekly close < $4.00
Triggers
Weekly close above $6.00 → add/reinforce longs
High-volume rejection off $4.00–$5.00 → initial entry signal
Swift breakout above range → consider aggressive partial profit-taking
As long as $4.00 holds, the range-bound long remains valid—watch for a decisive move through $6.00 to unlock a run toward the upper band and beyond. 🚀
BTC eyes on 111.7k then 117.9k: next two Genesis Fibs of concernShown here is a single fib series in 3 different timeframes.
The Genesis Sequence has caught all major turns since 2015.
If there is a "top" around here, it will be one of these fibs.
$ 111,661.75 (Coinbase) is a minor ratio level
$ 117,868.00 is the Semi-Major fib ratio ABOVE.
$ 105,451.85 is the Semi-Major fib ratio BELOW.
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Previous Plots below
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$104k Top of 2024:
$90k Dip call (scalp):
$75k Bottom call:
$69k Top of 2021:
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Short-term next target for ETH - 2808$; 80% for ETHFinally main goal for correction since december has been reached!
ETH hit 1550$.
For more detailed idea check this one
On 3D timeframe you can see that StochRSI is trending UP, means momentum is building for next move UP.
RSI may finish to form a bullish divergence in coming days.
Also price hit liquidity zone since oct. 2023. This level has to show us some buy pressure.
Next short term target could be 2808$ which is 80% above from current level.
2 reasons for this price:
200MA
Liquidity and resistance zone since february
Flight of the Bat: A Journey Through Russell's Levels.In the previous idea, we followed the small bat of buyers up to the Russell branch at level 0.88,
then it soared to level 1.138 with a gap.
Now, the mother bat of buyers took a brief rest at level 0.88 (black circle) and has reached level 1.138.
We anticipate a deep correction from here.
PENDLE – Bullish Continuation?After months of consolidation, PENDLE appears ready to break out of its weekly range.
RSI breakout: Momentum has finally pushed through a long-term descending trendline — a potential shift in trend strength.
Technical structure: Clear higher lows, repeated resistance tests — bulls may be gaining control.
Key Fibonacci levels:
0.618 reclaimed ($5.12),
Next potential targets: $6.50 – $10.19 (1.618 extension),
Higher extensions: $15.24 and $20.30 if bullish momentum continues.
If this breakout confirms with a strong weekly close, PENDLE could enter a new trend phase and aim for price discovery.
DAX/GER - setting up a perfect SHORTTeam, please carefully review the chart.
We have a soft short position at this market price of 24037-24056
However, I would love to ADD extra volume at 23135-23155
Our first target at 23950-23925
NOTE: once it reaches the target - take 30-50% volume partial and bring stop loss to BE
Our second target is 23865-23825
Please follow the instructions carefully.
The Bullish view under ELLIOT WAVE top of 3 6181/6235Based On what has been happening in the structure in The SP 500 I tend to think the sp cash sees a retest at 6417 or extend the rally to 6181 alt 6230 for the top of #wave 3 or Wave B . both should see a 350 point decline back to 5830/ If 5 is equal to One a 646 point rally should be seen in wave 5
#ONE/USDT#ONE
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, this support at 0.01298.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.01380
First target: 0.01474
Second target: 0.01582
Third target: 0.01695
USDCHF - we are back in businessTeam, yesterday we went long USDCHF and our target hit.
The market dropped because yesterday is option expired
We are now going LONG with the target as per the instruction range.
Remember to take 50-70% volume at the first target and bring STOP LOSS to BE
We must be disciplined in our trade to be successful winners.
Safe and Confident Entry ZoneStock reached resistance and rejected with fake break-out.
The stock targeting the green 4h zone.
Note: Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
Take Care.
Spinning top candle - live example (potentially)🕯️ Spinning Top candle – What It Means!?
A spinning top has:
1. Small body (open ≈ close)
2. Long upper and lower wicks
What it shows? It shows indecision between buyers and sellers after a previous move.
Ok, so what we can learn from it?
📉 We can learn how to Trade a Spinning Top candle!
THIS IS A SHORT SETUP (if confirmation follows)
Confirmation candle: A bearish candle that closes below the spinning top’s low ($106,407)
Entry: ~$106,350–106,400 (after breakdown)
Stop Loss: Above the high of the spinning top: $107,350
Take Profit: $103,800 (deeper pullback near EMAs)
Probability: 65/35 bearish if next candle confirms rejection.
Enough theory, see yourself!
GBP/CAD Short Setup 🧠 GBP/CAD Short Setup | 4H Analysis
I'm eyeing a short opportunity on GBP/CAD based on a confluence of key technical signals:
🔹 Entry: 1.86361
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.88000
🔹 Take Profit: 1.81452
🔹 RRR (Risk-Reward): 1:3+
🔍 Analysis:
Price tapped into a higher time frame supply zone (S&D) and showed a clear rejection.
We've seen a Break of Structure (BOS) followed by a bearish reaction.
Price is respecting the ascending channel, showing signs of exhaustion near resistance.
Potential for continuation to the downside targeting previous structure lows.
📌 If price respects the current S&D zone and fails to break above 1.88000, continuation lower remains valid.
📉 Trading Plan:
Monitor lower timeframes for additional bearish confirmations and entry triggers before full commitment.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This post is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please trade at your own risk and always follow your risk management rules.
Gold is Heating Up! Breakout + Trendline Support Gold has shown strong bullish continuation after breaking above a key descending resistance line. Once that breakout occurred, price formed a strong rising trendline, which has since been respected as dynamic support.
Additionally, a former resistance zone has now flipped into support, confirming a bullish market structure. Price is currently approaching a major upper resistance zone, where we may see a temporary pause or reaction.
As long as the rising trendline holds, the momentum remains in favor of buyers — and a clean breakout above the upper zone could trigger the next leg higher.