Community ideas
market pricing in earlyLook likes markets are pushing prices up in the case Trump crushes the economy as a result of the FED not changing plans. Therefore Bull run 90% confirmed but it seems people still waiting to react some sort of extreme bullish news but by then I think more volatility will come to reck the new comers then 30-50% crash. Then all time highs here we go!
XAUUSD Potentially Bearish.Hello there,
The gold trend is generally bullish in higher time frames; however, this week's candle appears to be in an exhaustion phase, potentially represented as either Wave 3 or Wave 5 of the Elliott Wave.
The price has the potential to drop in the 1-hour time frame, with two price targets biasing toward 2678.14.
Happy Trading,
K.
Just In: $META Up 3% Premarket Trading Today After Q4 Beat.In a surprising turn of event, shares of Microsoft fell in Europe on Thursday after it issued a downbeat forecast for its cloud business, while Facebook parent Meta shares ( NASDAQ:META ) rose after beating expectations, as investors scrutinised the companies' spending on artificial intelligence.
Microsoft shares traded down 4.5% on the Frankfurt market, having fallen a similar amount in after-hours trading on Wednesday and finishing the regular session down 1.1%.
Meta shares however, opened up 2.5% in Germany, having risen 2.1% after the closing bell and ending the regular session up 0.3%.
Days after Chinese upstart DeepSeek revealed a breakthrough in cheap AI computing that shook the U.S. technology industry, the chief executives of Microsoft and Meta defended massive spending that they said was key to staying competitive in the new field.
Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg said Wednesday’s that the rapid rise of competitors from China has only strengthened the tech giant’s commitment to its AI ambitions.
The CEO said it’s too early to know how growing competition from China could impact its future investments. Meta reiterated its forecast of $60 billion to $65 billion in capital expenditures this year.
Technical Outlook
as of the time of writing, NASDAQ:META shares is up 2.81% in Thursday's premarket session. NASDAQ:META closed Wednesday's session with the overbought Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 71.87. however, NASDAQ:META doesnt seem to be cooling off any moment with the shares moving above key MA this only solidifies the fact that NASDAQ:META could bridged the $700 pivot point. However, in the case of a drawback, NASDAQ:META 's should find support in the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement point a level that aligns with the $640 price action.
BTC Less than 3 monthsAs you can see in the chart, Bitcoin is now ready to continue wave 5 after two months of staying in a range.
Like last year at this time, BTC started a new upward rally after being stuck for two months.
The trend of RSI is upward along with the price, the fund is also associated with these two.
This is not a recommendation to enter the transaction and is purely a personal opinion.
Thanks for reading .
GOLD ANALYSIS FOR TODAYHere we're analyzing 1H time frame for GOLD. Today I'm looking potential sell move opportunity.
I'm expecting that the gold price further move towards downside at least the area 2725 - 2720.
Now let's see which opportunity market will give us. This analysis is based on SMC concept, price action and Fibonacci retracement tool.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis or prediction.
#XAUUSD 1H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
XAUUSD Bullish Trend ContinuationThe higher timeframe chart (1-hour) displays a robust bullish trend, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. This outlook is reinforced by the lower timeframe chart (5-minute), suggesting potential upward continuation.
MARKET STRUCTURE
The higher timeframe chart showcases a bullish market structure, with consistent breaks above previous highs. The lower timeframe chart aligns with this structure, exhibiting minor pullbacks followed by upward continuations. This structural alignment across timeframes supports a bullish bias.
LIQUIDITY ZONE
Liquidity zones are identified below recent lows and above recent highs on the higher timeframe chart, indicating potential areas for price retreats before continuing upward. The lower timeframe chart also reveals liquidity sweeps, causing short-term reversals that ultimately confirm bullish momentum.
ORDER BLOCKS & FVG
Numerous fair value gaps (FVG) are present on both timeframes, acting as potential support zones. Order blocks coincide with FVGs, providing confluence for bullish entry signals. This alignment further supports the bullish trend continuation.
PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS
Candlestick patterns on both charts reveal bullish engulfing patterns, indicating strong buying pressure. Trend lines in the lower timeframe show a clear upward channel, while support/resistance levels on both charts provide potential areas for price reactions.
TRADE IDEA
Given the bullish alignment across timeframes:
ENTRY POINT & CRITERIA
Wait for a sweep of sell-side liquidity near a lower timeframe support or order block (around 2760). Look for bullish confirmation through candlestick patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing or strong rejection candle).
STOPLOSS
Place the stop loss slightly below the recent swing low (~2750).
TAKE PROFIT TARGETS
- Set Take Profit 1 at 2780 (next key resistance level).
- Consider Take Profit 2 at 2800 (should the trend continue).
INVALIDATION CRITERIA
If price breaks and closes below 2750 or forms consecutive bearish candlesticks, the trade setup is invalid. Re-evaluate market alignment before considering re-entry.
REMINDER
Always wait for confirmation and avoid impulsive entries to safeguard against false signals.
BTCUSD Bullish Breakout: Higher Timeframe Channel BreakThe higher timeframe chart shows a decisive breakout from a descending channel, signals a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. This shift is confirmed by the lower timeframe chart, which displays price breaking above resistance levels and maintaining higher highs and higher lows.
MARKET STRUCTURE
On the higher timeframe, the market structure has transitioned to bullish, characterized by the breakout from the descending channel. The lower timeframe reinforces this with a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating robust bullish momentum.
LIQUIDITY ZONES
Notable liquidity is observed around the 104,800 - 105,200 zone, which previously acted as resistance and now serves as support. This liquidity zone aligns across both timeframes, suggesting ongoing institutional interest may continue to support price.
ORDER BLOCKS AND FVG
Both charts exhibit fair value gaps (FVG) around current price action. The higher timeframe FVG may act as a magnet, pulling price toward higher levels like 107,000. On the lower timeframe, these FVGs reinforce potential entry zones upon pullback.
TRADE IDEA
Both timeframes suggest a bullish scenario. Wait for sell-side liquidity near the 104,800 support level to be swept, followed by bullish confirmation.
ENTRY POINT & CRITERIA
Enter a long position after seeing bullish reversal signals like a bullish engulfing pattern at the 104,800 level.
STOPLOSS
Set the stop loss below the recent swing low at 104,100 to minimize risk.
TAKE PROFIT TARGETS
- Set Take Profit 1 around 106,500
- Set Take Profit 2 at 107,200, aligning with the next resistance and liquidity zone
INVALIDATION CRITERIA
If price breaks below 104,100 with strong bearish candlesticks, or fails to hold the identified support, the trade setup is invalidated. Wait for better alignment before re-entering.
REMINDER
Always wait for confirmation and avoid impulsive entries.
HBAR DOUBLE BOTTOM W REVERSAL ON 45 MIN CHARTThe 45-minute chart for HBAR reveals a potent double bottom reversal pattern, hinting at a potential trend reversal. A decisive break above the resistance level of 0.3230 could trigger a significant run-up to 0.34.
Key levels to monitor:
Resistance: 0.3230
Target: 0.34
A successful breakout above 0.3230 may lead to a retest or pullback before HBAR embarks on a new leg upward, offering a potential buying opportunity. Traders should closely watch the 0.3230 level for a confirmation of the reversal pattern
EUR RALLY ON ECB MEETING?Trading Plan for ECB Rate Decision
1. BASELINE 📊
- Market Expectations for Interest Rates: The market is anticipating a rate cut by the ECB, with a forecasted main refinancing rate of **2.90%** down from **3.15%**. The STIR markets have priced in a 50 bps cut, suggesting strong expectations for a reduction.
- Upcoming Event Predictions: Consensus is that the ECB will cut rates by either 25 bps or 50 bps to stimulate the economy due to lower inflation and weaker-than-expected growth.
- Trend Analysis: The ECB has been lowering rates since last year in response to economic challenges. This trend is likely to continue.
- Pre-positioning Observation: The flat movement in the proprietary euro index suggests cautious pre-positioning, indicating that significant moves might occur post-announcement.
2. SURPRISE⚡ :
- 25 bps Cut: If the ECB cuts rates by **25 bps**, it could lead to an upside in the euro due to repricing, as the market has priced in a 50 bps cut.
- 50 bps Cut: If the ECB cuts rates by **50 bps**, it might be seen as expected, leading to a less significant market reaction.
3. BIGGER PICTURE 🌐
- Short-term Play: If the ECB cuts rates by **25 bps**, initiate a short-term intraday trade on the predictable directional volatility, taking advantage of the potential upside in the euro due to repricing.
- Long-term Play: The broader expectations for future interest rates remain unchanged, suggesting that neither scenario will alter the bigger picture significantly.
AAPL in M30 Timeframe shown Potential Bullish MovementHello, dear followers!
I've conducted an in-depth analysis of the APPLE chart, and I'm excited to share my findings with you!
Market Analysis:
Current Price: 222.79 (pivot level)
Bias: Bullish
My analysis suggests that the market is poised for a potential bullish continuation. This optimism is rooted in the current market dynamics and the chart's technical indicators.
Trade Setup:
Target: 233.53
Safe Stop Loss: 217.21
To maximize your trading success, it's essential to maintain a disciplined approach to risk management. Ensure that you set a suitable stop loss and define a realistic take profit.
I wish you all the best of luck with your trades, and I look forward to your feedback!
Please take a moment to LIKE this post if you find it helpful!
Also, share your thoughts and insights in the COMMENTS section below!
Happy trading!
Best wishes Tom 😎
NAS100The NAS100, also known as the Nasdaq 100, is a stock market index that includes 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange. It is heavily weighted toward technology, with major components like Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Nvidia. The index is known for its high volatility and strong growth potential, making it popular among traders and investors. It is often used as a benchmark for the performance of the tech sector and the broader U.S. equity market.
XPR looks to be setting up for a big move to the upside soon!The XPR chart (not to be confused with XRP) is looking fantastic right now, and the upper wedge that the price is currently trading in closely resembles the lower wedge from the initial breakout. The Gaussian channel is cinching up as the wedge runs out of real estate. As a speculative play, XPR could very well make a move similar to the one XCN recently made, generating a 5X return—or perhaps even a 10X if enough momentum rolls in.
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
More news on EURUSDYesterday, the FED kept interest rates unchanged.
Today, the ECB is expected to cut them by 0.25%.
The announcement is scheduled for 1:15 pm (GMT), followed by a press conference 30 minutes later.
The technical analysis remains unchanged.
Watch for reactions at key levels after the news.
IBIT - Key Trading Analysis & Gamma - Hot list on RadarTechnical Overview
* Current Price: $59.20
* Key Resistance Levels:
* $60.50: Intermediate resistance. A breakout could signal bullish continuation.
* $61.00 - $63.00: Gamma resistance, indicating strong call option interest.
* Key Support Levels:
* $57.00: Immediate support; maintaining this level is critical for upward momentum.
* $55.00: Critical breakdown level; a loss here may lead to increased bearish momentum.
Price Action Insights
* Recent upward movement indicates a breakout of consolidation from $55.00 support.
* Price is currently trading near $59.00 with bullish bias but needs to sustain above $60.50 for further momentum.
* Higher lows and a wedge breakout signal potential for a run toward $63.00 in the coming sessions.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) Analysis
* Call Walls:
* $60.50: 2nd call wall with 72.55% exposure.
* $63.00: Gamma resistance and potential top for the short term.
* Put Walls:
* $54.50 - $51.00: Strong gamma support area; prices are unlikely to break this range without high volume.
Trading Plan
1. Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Above $60.50
* Target: $63.00
* Stop-Loss: Below $57.00
2. Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Below $57.00
* Target: $54.50
* Stop-Loss: Above $60.00
Options Trading Suggestions
* Bullish Strategy:
* Strike Price: $60 Calls (March Expiry)
* Premium Target: $63.00 Gamma Resistance
* Consideration: Monitor volume; ensure price closes above $60.
* Bearish Strategy:
* Strike Price: $55 Puts (March Expiry)
* Premium Target: $54.00 Put Support
* Consideration: Enter only on volume breakdown below $57.
Thoughts on Direction
* Bullish Sentiment dominates, especially above $60, supported by strong call walls.
* A pullback to $57 or lower might create opportunities for bears in the short term.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, particularly during the premarket or intraday sessions. Adjust your trading strategy accordingly. For questions or updates, feel free to reach out directly.
NAUKRI KEY LEVELS FOR 30/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.