Community ideas
BTC - High Probability Trade Idea Here we have a major resistance at this upper level. And market seems to create a "Double Top Patter". So its indicating a possible bearish move.
Target and Sl on chart. Follow risk and money management.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P INDEX:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSD
FFC | Ready for More Upside Before Another Fall?By analyzing the FFC chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that price initially followed our bullish scenario, climbing 23 rupees up to 393. However, after hitting that level, price reversed and currently trading around 389 and eventually finding support around 376.
This area acted as a strong demand zone. Currently, FFC is trading around 389, and as long as price holds above the marked demand zone, we may expect another bullish move towards 390 and 400.
Sigachi Industries Ltd - Special Situation Explosion at the Sigachi Industries' pharma plant in Pashamylaram, Telangana
I feel company fundamentals are good. Explosion at the Sigachi would be the opportunity to get in the good stock at lower level, as there are some damage due to explosion, we need to stick on stop loses.
Sigachi Industries Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of microcrystalline cellulose. Its product is used as an excipient for finished dosages in the pharmaceutical, food, nutraceuticals, and cosmetic industries, as a stabilizer, anti-caking agent, fat substitute, and emulsifier in food industry
Btcusdt 4hr tf scenarios.Two scenarios: green and red lines.
Green Line: A bounce and sustained recovery above the 100-day and 200-day daily moving averages is bullish.
Red Line: A bounce followed by a lack of momentum and a break below a previous low is bearish.
Long Horizontal Red Line: If the price reaches this area, it could signal the start of a downtrend unless new bullish fundamentals emerge.
My Point of View (POV): I am bearish, primarily due to the ongoing war, similar to the conflict that began between two other countries a year ago.
However, it's important to note that every crisis and recession has historically presented a buying opportunity for institutions and 'whales.' Therefore, be prepared with funds for dollar-cost averaging (DCA), then simply hold and forget. It is recommended to conduct backtesting and research to identify optimal buying areas. DCA is key. Only invest money you can afford to lose.
Gold is in the Bearish DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
S&P 500 Outlook. Best Quarter Since 2023… But What Next?The S&P 500 just logged its best quarterly performance since Q4 2023 , surging on optimism around global trade negotiations and growing expectations that the Fed may begin cutting rates as early as September. US futures are green this morning, thanks to developments like Canada backing off digital taxes, ongoing dialogues with China ahead of the July 9 deadline, and risk-on sentiment is pushing yields and the dollar lower.
But as traders, we need to ask:
Are we witnessing a genuine economic inflection point? Or is this just a liquidity-driven rally that’s pricing in a best-case scenario?
Technical View
Support Zone: 6,150 was just broken through. And 6000, the round number level, coinciding with the 20-day EMA and previous swing level.
Resistance Levels: 6,235 is the next critical ceiling, a clean breakout could see price reach the extension level of 6,415.
Momentum Indicators: RSI remains elevated and is creeping toward the overbought. While momentum is strong, watch out for the possible development of a divergence.
Possible Scenarios
The 'Soft Landing’ Is Now the Base Case
Markets are trading as if the Fed has successfully engineered a soft landing. But that’s now fully priced in, and historically, the most dangerous trades are the ones everyone agrees on. If trade talks stall, inflation re-accelerates, or earnings disappoint, the reversal could be brutal and fast.
Risk-on Sentiment Without Volume Is a Yellow Flag
Despite the price strength, volume has been tapering off. The S&P’s recent leg up occurred on lighter-than-average participation, suggesting institutions may be watching, not chasing. That’s often the case in low-volatility summers, but it also implies that any negative catalyst could cause outsized downside moves.
Macro-Fundamentals May Not Justify Valuation Expansion
Yes, inflation is slowing, and the Fed might cut. But if they do, it’s likely because growth is weakening, not because the economy is roaring. So the very condition that triggers rate cuts could also cap earnings growth!
Projection
Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above 6,280 could carry us toward 6,400–6,500 by mid-Q3, especially if the trade deals progress, July inflation comes in soft, and the Fed signals accommodation.
Bearish Risk: If price fails to hold above 6,120, especially if trade optimism fades, or inflation growth spikes or Fed rhetoric shifts hawkish again, this could then open a quick pullback toward 6,000 or lower, which also aligns with the 50-day SMA.
Key Events to Watch
July 9 Trade Talks Deadline: Any sign of stalling could bring volatility back fast.
June CPI Print (July 10): Crucial for confirming the Fed's next move.
Earnings Season Kickoff (mid-July): Tech-heavy expectations may not be easy to beat after such a strong run.
Conclusion
A record-setting quarter is impressive but not necessarily predictive. This quarter’s rally has been built more on relief and expectations than hard data. When expectations (not earnings) are doing the heavy lifting, any misstep from central banks or geopolitics could unravel gains rapidly.
A rate cut might be delayed, or inflation re-accelerates, or trade talks stall; any of these could leave equities hanging. Remember: the higher the climb without real earnings growth, the harder the fall when sentiment shifts. It's not just about the chart. It is about the narrative behind the price.
What’s your bias for Q3?
Are you buying this breakout or fading the optimism? Drop your thoughts below.
Bullish ABC
Hello awesome traders! I hope you're having a great trading week so far. This week is a bit shorter due to the U.S. Independence Day — with partial closures Thursday and a full close on Friday. But as always, we keep doing what we do best: identifying high-probability patterns, managing our risk, and pulling pips out of the market.
Let’s break down this solid technical opportunity shaping up on CADJPY (4H) – presenting a bullish ABC structure into PCZ with clean symmetry and mapped targets.
Pattern Overview:
Pattern Type: ABC Bullish
Asset: CADJPY
Timeframe: 4H
Trade Type: Long – Bullish impulse expected from confirmed completion at PCZ
Key Levels:
A Point: 103.819 – Major swing low off the 200 EMA
B Point: 107.334 – Recent swing high, strong resistance reversal
C Point: 104.837 – Completion zone aligning with fib extension confluence
Entry Level (EL): 105.100–105.200 – Price now entering PCZ with reversal structure
Stop Level (ST): Below 104.780 – Invalidation if structure fails
Target 1 Zone: 107.000–107.600 – Key retracement and 78.6% cluster
PCZ (Potential Completion Zone): 127.2–161.8% BC extension @ 105.402–104.876
Fibonacci Extensions & Key Ratios:
BC 127.2%: 105.402 – First PRZ alert
BC 161.8%: 104.876 – Extended completion zone
AB=CD (Symmetry): Confirmed with nearly equal projection
38.2%–78.6% Retracement: 106.180–107.600 – Major resistance for profit-taking
Price Action & Setup:
Strong downside correction from B (107.334) to C (104.837) completed with confluence at PCZ.
Price is reacting near the 200 EMA and forming a minor reversal wick.
ABCD symmetry leg confirms with C leg near equal length projection from A–B.
If bullish momentum confirms, a move back toward the retracement zones is expected.
Market Sentiment:
Market testing the PCZ zone with wicks forming — early buyers showing presence.
200 EMA support coincides with D-leg completion, a common bounce area in structure trades.
No major USD flows this week due to holiday impact — JPY and CAD flows dominate.
Next Potential Movement:
Reversal confirmation from PCZ could send price up into:
Target 1: 107.000 (61.8% retracement of BC)
Target 2: 107.600 (78.6% extension and previous structure resistance)
Invalidation below 104.780 (break of C low)
Risk Management:
Entry: 105.100–105.200 on confirmation signal (bullish engulfing / hammer / breakout)
Stop Loss: Below 104.780 (below structure + fib invalidation)
Targets: 107.000 and 107.600
Risk Profile: Tight invalidation, high reward-to-risk structure
Conclusion:
CADJPY is offering a clean ABC Bullish structure, completing right at the fib confluence and 200 EMA zone.
With a solid base at the PCZ and mapped target levels ahead, this setup aligns well with structured traders looking to enter on confirmation.
Stay patient, stay disciplined, and trust your patterns.
MVST - Bearish Head & Shoulders Breakdown Targeting $2.25–$2.75A classic Head and Shoulders pattern has formed on MVST's daily chart, with a clear neckline break to the downside. This technical setup suggests bearish momentum in the short term, with a likely price target between $2.25 and $2.75.
This zone also aligns with a prior consolidation area and dynamic support. I expect the stock to potentially find a bottom in this area. If MVST can deliver strong Q2 earnings in August, a bullish reversal from that demand zone could follow.
USOIL is Nearing the Daily TrendHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring USOIL for a buying opportunity around 64.30 zone, USOIL is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 64.30 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
XLK ETF. TO WAR, OR NOT TO WAR — THAT IS THE QUESTION..US stock futures edged lower Wednesday evening ahead of Thursday’s market closure for Juneteenth.
The moves came after the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady, with Chair Jerome Powell striking a cautious tone amid rising geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
Powell reaffirmed a data-dependent approach, pointing to unclear inflation impacts from President Trump’s tariffs and the risk of stagflation.
Fed projections now include two rate cuts in 2025, alongside downgraded growth expectations and higher inflation forecasts.
Investor sentiment was further dampened by escalating tensions in the Middle East, as the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict stoked fears of deeper US involvement, while North Korea has recently launched 10 rockets from near capital Pyongyang.
Futures for 7 of the 11 S&P 500 sectors ended the Prime Day holiday in the red, led by declines in energy, while technology outperformed.
What is more important Technology sector is the one and only over 11 S&P 500 sectors that has printed recently new all the history high, just one - two days before Prime Day.
What is XLK The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF
AMEX:XLK ETF is respectively The Technology Select Sector ETF, that seeks to provide investment results correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500 Technology Sector Index.
The largest 5 holdings of this ETF are Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA , Apple NASDAQ:AAPL , Broadcom NASDAQ:AVGO and Oracle NYSE:ORCL , while all together they weight nearly 50 percent of the fund by market cap.
Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT shares have experienced a significant upward trend in 2025, reaching new all-time highs and reflecting the company’s robust financial performance and strategic positioning in the technology sector.
Record Highs and Price Momentum
As of June 18, 2025, Microsoft’s stock closed at $480.24, marking its highest closing price ever. This price is just below its 52-week high of $481.00 and represents a 14% gain year-to-date, making Microsoft one of the best-performing stocks among the so-called “Magnificent Seven” tech giants in 2025. The stock’s average price over the past 52 weeks was $422.77, and its 52-week low was $344.79, which is 28.2% below the current level, highlighting the impressive rally over the past year.
Short-Term and Long-Term Performance
In the immediate term, Microsoft’s stock has shown steady gains. Over the past week, the share price rose by 2.03%, and over the past month, it increased by 6.36%. Looking at a broader horizon, the stock is up 6.79% over the last year, underscoring consistent investor confidence and the company’s ability to capitalize on growth opportunities.
Drivers Behind the Rally
Several factors have contributed to Microsoft’s recent share price surge:
Artificial Intelligence Investment. Microsoft continues to invest heavily in AI infrastructure, with plans to spend $80 billion in fiscal 2025. This aggressive investment is seen as crucial to maintaining a competitive edge in cloud computing and AI services, areas that are driving much of the company’s growth.
Cost Management. Despite the heavy spending on AI, Microsoft is also focused on controlling costs. The company is reportedly planning to trim thousands of jobs, particularly in sales, to offset rising expenses and protect profit margins. This follows earlier workforce reductions and reflects a broader trend among major tech firms to optimize operations amid escalating AI-related costs.
Diversified Revenue Streams. Microsoft’s strong position in software, cloud computing, and AI, along with its subscription-based business model and consistent dividend growth, have bolstered investor sentiment. The company’s cloud platform Azure and productivity tools continue to show strong adoption across industries.
Market and Analyst Sentiment
Microsoft’s market capitalization recently reached $3.55 trillion, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.94, indicating high investor expectations for future growth. Analysts’ price targets for MSFT range from $432 to $700, suggesting a wide spectrum of views but generally positive long-term sentiment.
Competitive and Operational Challenges
Despite its strong performance, Microsoft faces competitive pressures, particularly from OpenAI, which has been offering discounted ChatGPT subscriptions, impacting Microsoft’s own AI products like Copilot. Additionally, negotiations with OpenAI over continued access to its technology have reportedly stalled, introducing some uncertainty into Microsoft’s AI strategy.
Technical challenge and summary
While Microsoft shares have recently hit record highs, driven by aggressive AI investment, disciplined cost management, and strong core business performance, it robustly helped to all the Technology sector came back to 6-month key resistance after nearly 40 percent recovery rally.
While the market faces different challenges, we keep our strategic focus on next positions and further stock market development.
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Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
Congratulations everyone all targets done__ June-30,2025
CONGRATULATIONS EVERYONE
✅ XAU/USD Trade Recap – June 30, 2025
Bias: Long (Buy Position)
Result: ✅ Take-Profit Hit
📌 Entry Zone: Around $3,363 – $3,370
🎯 Target 1 (TP1): Hit at $3,302 (273 pips)
🎯 Target 2 (TP2): Hit at $3,308 (336 pips)
🛑 Stop-Loss (SL): $3,259 (Not triggered)
📈 Outcome:
The price moved strongly in favor of the long trade after entry, reaching both profit targets successfully.
The setup was executed with high precision, and the bullish momentum carried price past TP2, confirming the trade idea.
EUR/USD Keeps Climbing – Dollar on the Back FootEUR/USD is still pushing higher today, trading around 1.171 and showing no signs of slowing down. The pair’s strength is backed by both technical momentum and the current market backdrop.
What’s fueling the move? Simple: the US dollar is under pressure again. Fresh concerns about the Federal Reserve’s independence — especially with talks around replacing Powell — are shaking investor confidence. That’s giving the euro the upper hand and helping this pair hover near its highest level in four years.
Looks like the bulls aren’t done yet. You riding this trend?