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XAU/USD : Time For Some Correction ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price continues to rise due to escalating tensions between Russia and Ukraine, as well as Hezbollah and Israel. The price has been extending its rally since yesterday and is currently trading around $2665. In my opinion, after such a significant rally, we can start expecting a minor correction in the price. Be cautious, as gold's movements have been extremely volatile and risky these days. If you lack sufficient experience, you might end up losing your capital. Reduce your risk to a minimum, avoid trading through Market Execution, and preferably identify key levels in advance. Enter trades only when the price reaches those levels and triggers a suitable setup. The key supply levels are $2670-$2673, $2682-$2699, $2704-$2711, and the key demand levels are $2654, $2642, $2636, $2616, $2610, $2567. (This analysis will be updated.) Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
10
Bitcoin - Preparing For Another +200% Rally!Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) is just starting a major bullrun: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis๐Ÿ‘†๐Ÿป Bitcoin rallied more than +40% in November and despite the recent bullrun and the all time high breakout, Bitcoin is just starting its next major bullish cycle. Looking at previous price and trend behaviour, it is quite likely that Bitcoin will eventually retest the top of the channel. Levels to watch: $100.000, $300.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
1
Building BTC short position to 90k zoneThe news around Bitcoin (BTC) has been overly positive, especially with China's recent move to legalize ownership, which has been supporting the price. Additionally, Trumpโ€™s election victory has provided another boost to Bitcoin's momentum. The Bitcoin ETF has reached an all-time high in Assets Under Management (AUM) at $86 billion, further driving prices higher as it brings more volume and encourages retail investors to re-enter the market. However, Iโ€™m noticing key bearish signals. The aggregated order book liquidity delta has turned red since Bitcoin reached $90,000, and the selling pressure has been increasing. Open interest is at an all-time high, which, in my view, is a strong indicator to take a short position. The RSI is also signaling bearish momentum, though there is potential for a fake breakout around the $103,000 level. My plan is to increase my short position as the price begins to decline, capitalizing on what I believe to be a temporary and unsustainable rally.
Short
by Risk_Adj_Return
6
How To Trade Natural Gas: Tools and Approaches How To Trade Natural Gas: Tools and Approaches Natural gas trading presents unique opportunities due to its critical role in the global energy market and its inherent volatility. This article delves into the various strategies and tools traders can use to navigate natural gas CFDs, from fundamental and technical analysis to understanding market dynamics. Overview of the Natural Gas Market Made up of primarily methane, natural gas is a key fossil fuel thatโ€™s grown in use over the past two decades. It forms deep beneath the Earth's surface from the remains of plants and animals buried under layers of sediment and subjected to intense heat and pressure over millions of years. Itโ€™s typically found near oil reserves and must be extracted and processed before it can be used. Natural gas is a relatively clean-burning energy source, at least compared to coal or oil. It plays a crucial role in the global energy sector, accounting for about 23% of energy consumption worldwide in 2023, according to Statista, and 33% of US energy consumption in 2022, according to the EIA. Itโ€™s also highly versatile, used across various sectors. For instance, in 2022, natural gas provided approximately 38% of the energy consumed by the US electric power sector (EIA), making it a primary source for electricity generation. The industrial sector also accounted for around 32% of natural gas consumption, using it as both a fuel and a raw material for producing chemicals, fertilisers, and hydrogen. Natural gas is also essential for residential and commercial heating, particularly in colder regions. Moreover, the transportation sector adopts natural gas, particularly in the form of compressed natural gas (CNG) and liquefied natural gas (LNG), to reduce emissions and costs. Market Structure and Participants The natural gas market consists of various key players, including producers, consumers, and traders. Major producing countries include the United States, Russia, and Qatar. According to the EIA, the US led the world in LNG exports in 2023, averaging 11.9 billion cubic feet per dayโ€‹. Natural gas production involves extraction, processing, and transportation to end-users via extensive pipeline networks and LNG shipping routes. The supply chain for natural gas begins with extraction from reservoirs, followed by processing to remove impurities and liquids. The processed gas is then transported through pipelines or converted into LNG for shipping to international markets. Once delivered, it is distributed to consumers for the various applications described. Key participants in the natural gas market include multinational energy companies (e.g., ExxonMobil, Gazprom), regional producers, and numerous traders who facilitate the buying and selling of natural gas on commodity exchanges. These players operate within a complex regulatory framework that varies by country, influencing production levels, prices, and market dynamicsโ€‹. Key Factors Influencing Natural Gas Prices Letโ€™s now take a closer look at the factors driving natural gas prices. Supply and Demand Dynamics The balance of supply and demand is a fundamental driver of natural gas prices. On the supply side, production levels play a crucial role. As with many commodities, higher production, in this case driven by advancements in extraction technologies like hydraulic fracturing, typically leads to lower prices. Storage levels also impact prices; high storage volumes, or inventories, can cushion against supply disruptions, keeping prices relatively stable. Conversely, low storage levels can lead to price spikes. Consumption patterns are equally important; industrial usage, residential heating, and electricity generation are primary demand drivers. Additionally, the cost of extraction, including technological and labour costs, feeds into the overall pricing of natural gasโ€‹. Geopolitical Events and Policies Geopolitical stability and regulatory policies significantly affect natural gas prices. For example, the substantial 2022 reduction of Russian gas exports to Europe caused record price increases due to severe supply constraintsโ€‹โ€‹. Trade policies, such as tariffs and export restrictions, also impact prices. The US has seen a notable rise in LNG exports in recent years and become a major supplier of natural gas to Europe. Recent policy decisions aimed at energy security and diversification, especially in Europe and Asia, have led to increased demand for non-Russian natural gas, affecting global pricesโ€‹. Weather Patterns and Seasonal Variations Weather significantly affects natural gas demand and supply. Cold winters increase demand for heating, often leading to higher prices, while mild winters can reduce demand and depress prices. Similarly, hot summers boost demand for electricity to power air conditioning, influencing prices. Natural disasters like hurricanes can disrupt production and transportation infrastructure, causing supply shortages and price spikesโ€‹. Natural Gas Trading Instruments When it comes to actually trading gas, there are a few instruments traders use. Contracts for Difference (CFDs) CFDs are a popular instrument for trading natural gas due to their flexibility and leverage. A CFD is a derivative that allows traders to speculate on the price movements of natural gas without owning the physical commodity. Traders can go long (buy) if they anticipate price increases or short (sell) if they expect prices to fall. They are the most popular choice for anyone looking to be a natural gas trader. The CFD natural gas symbol is XNGUSD. You can trade US natural gas CFDs in FXOpenโ€™s TickTrader trading platform. One of the main advantages of CFDs is leverage, which allows traders to control a large position with a relatively small amount of capital, potentially enhancing returns but also increasing riskโ€‹โ€‹. Additionally, CFDs offer access to the natural gas market with lower upfront costs and the convenience of trading on various platforms without the need for storage or delivery logisticsโ€‹. Futures Contracts Natural gas futures are standardised contracts traded on exchanges such as the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX). These contracts obligate the buyer to purchase a specific amount of natural gas at a predetermined price on a future date. Futures are widely used by producers and consumers to hedge against price volatility and by speculators seeking to take advantage of price movementsโ€‹. While natural gas futures are suitable for some traders, their complexity and potential obligation to take delivery may deter those simply looking to speculate on the marketโ€™s price movements. Options Contracts Options on natural gas futures provide the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell futures contracts at a set price before the option's expiration. These can be used to hedge positions in the natural gas market or to speculate with limited risk. Options strategies can range from simple calls and puts to more complex combinations like spreads and straddles, but are also highly complicated and require a strong understanding of how options work. Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) ETFs allow investors to gain exposure to natural gas prices without trading futures or options directly. These funds track the price of natural gas or the performance of natural gas companies. ETFs are generally used by investors to diversify their portfolios and participate in the natural gas market with lower complexity compared to futures and optionsโ€‹. What to Know Before Trading Natural Gas Before trading natural gas, itโ€™s important to consider the following key aspects: - Trading Units: Natural gas is typically traded in units of million British thermal units (MMBtu). - Trading Hours: Natural gas trading hours are specific, with futures trading on the NYMEX from 6:00 PM to 5:00 PM ET, Sunday through Friday. Ensure you know the trading schedule of your platform before getting started. Both CFD US natural gas and forex pairs can be traded on FXOpenโ€™s TickTrader platform on a 24/5 basis. - Volatility: Natural gas prices are highly volatile, often more so than currency pairs and many other commodities. Be prepared for significant price swings. - Spreads: The relatively wide spread of natural gas, or the difference between the bid and ask price, can lead to higher trading costs. - Leverage and Margin: Trading natural gas, especially through CFDs, involves leverage, which can amplify both gains and losses. Ensure you understand margin requirements and risk management strategiesโ€‹ before getting started. Key Strategies for Trading Natural Gas CFDs Trading natural gas CFDs can be a lucrative endeavour, but it requires a solid understanding of the market and effective natural gas trading strategies. Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysis focuses on the economic factors that influence natural gas prices. Key elements include supply and demand dynamics, inventory levels, and macroeconomic indicators. For instance, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) releases weekly reports on natural gas storage levels, which provide insights into supply and demand balance. High inventory levels generally indicate lower prices, while low inventory can signal higher prices due to anticipated supply constraintsโ€‹. Economic growth and industrial demand also play significant roles; as industries expand, natural gas consumption typically rises, driving prices higherโ€‹. Moreover, expectations of colder-than-normal winters increase demand for heating, driving prices up, while mild winters can suppress demand. Lastly, geopolitical events, such as conflicts in gas-producing regions, can disrupt supply chains and cause price volatility. Technical Analysis While fundamental analysis helps determine the market outlook, technical analysis is often used by traders to find entry and exit points. Key principles like support and resistance levels, trend identification, and breakout strategies still apply in natural gas markets. However, price volatility may make some established technical strategies less effective. Itโ€™s key to test different indicators and patterns to find what works best. Momentum indicators, such as the Stochastic indicator or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD); trend tools, like the Average Directional Index (ADX) and moving averages; and volume-based tools, such as the VWAP and Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP), can all assist in analysing and trading natural gas CFDs. In practice, a fundamental-first approach may look like a trader monitoring inventory reports, economic growth, and weather patterns to gain an idea of the marketโ€™s direction. They might then use technical analysis signals to time trades and find precise entry and exit points. Sentiment and Positioning Analysis Sentiment analysis involves gauging the overall market mood, which can significantly influence natural gas prices. While there is no single unified measure of natural gas trading sentiment, tools such as Investing.comโ€™s Natural Gas Scoreboard can offer a quick look at how traders view the market. Market positioning can be identified using the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which shows the positions of different market participants in natural gas futures contracts. Generally speaking, bullish sentiment and positioning might drive prices up, while the opposite sentiment can push prices down. However, traders should also note that sentiment and positioning can indicate overreactions, creating opportunities for contrarian strategies. Tools for Trading Natural Gas There are several tools that traders can use to analyse and trade natural gas. For instance: 1. Trading Platforms - TradingView: Offers comprehensive charting tools and real-time market data. - MetaTrader 4/5: Provides advanced trading and analysis tools widely used by traders. - TickTrader: FXOpenโ€™s own TickTrader features an advanced charting platform with more than 1,200 trading tools. You can trade at any of these platforms with FXOpen. 2. Inventory and Storage Reports - EIA's Natural Gas Weekly Update: Offers comprehensive analysis of markets, including supply, demand, and price trends. - EIAโ€™s Natural Gas Weekly Storage Report: Features a snapshot of the US supply of natural gas across different regions. 3. Sentiment and Positioning - CFTC's Commitments of Traders (COT) Report: Provides insights into market positioning by different trader categories. - Investing.comโ€™s Natural Gas Scoreboard: Indicates the bullish or bearish sentiment surrounding natural gas. 4. Market Reports - American Gas Association (AGA) Reports: Provides detailed analysis and statistics on markets. 5. Weather Forecasts - AccuWeather or Weather Underground: Accurate weather forecasts are essential as they significantly impact natural gas demand. - National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA): Offers long-term climate predictions. 6. News Websites - Bloomberg - Reuters - MarketWatch - CNBC 7. News Aggregators and Economic Calendars - Energy EXCH - FinancialJuice The Bottom Line Trading natural gas can be an interesting endeavour with the right strategies and tools. By understanding market dynamics and leveraging advanced platforms, traders can navigate this volatile market effectively. Open an FXOpen account to access a robust trading platform and start trading natural gas CFDs today, maximising your trading potential with professional tools and support. FAQs Where Can I Trade Natural Gas? You can trade natural gas through brokers that offer CFDs, such as FXOpen. These platforms allow you to speculate on live prices without owning the physical commodity. FXOpen provides a natural gas trading platform via TickTrader, known for its user-friendly interface and access to a wide range of trading tools and resourcesโ€‹. How to Trade Natural Gas? Trading natural gas can be done through various methods, including CFDs, futures, options, and ETFs. CFDs are most popular for retail traders due to their lower capital requirements and leverage options. How to Buy Natural Gas Futures? To buy natural gas futures, you need to open an account with a broker that offers futures trading, such as CME Group. After funding your account, you can trade futures contracts, which are standardised agreements to buy or sell natural gas at a specific price on a future date. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XNGUSDEducation
by FXOpen
9
History Repeats? Bitcoin's Post-Election Surge in Focus!Bitcoin's Historical Bull Cycles & Election Correlations ๐ŸŸข Bitcoin's Monthly Chart Analysis: A decade of history shows a striking pattern around U.S. elections. ๐Ÿš€ 1๏ธโƒฃ Post-Election Bull Runs: 2012: Bull market peaked ~1 year after the election (+11,246%). 2016: Peak ~1 year post-election (+2,833%). 2020: A dual rally with a final peak ~1 year post-election (+421%). 2๏ธโƒฃ Current Cycle (2024): Early-stage bull run starting post-2024 election. Historical trends suggest potential peak in late 2025, marking a full year of upward momentum. 3๏ธโƒฃ Key Takeaway: If history repeats, 2024โ€“2025 could witness explosive growth ๐Ÿ“ˆ before cooling off. Watch for significant moves as we approach the second half of 2025. ๐Ÿ’ก Plan Ahead: Timing is everything in crypto! Stay prepared for volatility and opportunity in this evolving market. #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #BullMarke
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
HIFIUSDT Buy opportunityHIFIUSDT has confirmed an ascending triangle breakout, signaling strong bullish momentum. Our plan involves entering a long position on a pullback into the identified buy zone, ensuring the stop-loss is positioned below the most recent swing low to manage risk effectively. The profit target for this setup is aligned with the supply zone highlighted on the chart, marking a key area for potential price reversal or profit-taking. Share your thoughts and analysis on this coin with us!
Long
by weslad
1
GOLD M15 TECHNICAL ANALYSISBULLISH OUTLOOK : GOLD price are expected to rise today , as continueasly bullish today , driven by a weekening US dollar and increasing for safe heaven assets . TECHNICAL ANALYSIS : on the technical front, gold is trading above the 6 to 7 days moving average , indicating a bullish trend .and the relative RSI is also pointing to oversold conditions ,suggesting a potential rebound . SNR key level for GOLD are at 2682 and 2672 ,while resistance levels for GOLD are at 2710 and 2715 . TRADING STRATEGY : based on our analysis ,we recommend a long position in gold targeting a move towards 2710 and 2720. however , traders should be cautions of potential pullbacks and adjust their strategies accordingly. BEST WISHES TOM ๐Ÿ˜Ž
TVC:GOLDLong
by Tom_Trades_670
2
๐—๐—”๐—ฆ๐— ๐—ฌ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—•๐˜‚๐—น๐—น๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ต ๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜„ ! ๐–๐ก๐ž๐ง ๐ˆ ๐ฐ๐š๐ฌ ๐ฅ๐จ๐จ๐ค๐ข๐ง๐  ๐š๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐‰๐€๐’๐Œ๐˜ ๐œ๐ก๐š๐ซ๐ญ ๐จ๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ญ๐ฐ๐จ-๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐ž ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐š๐ฆ๐ž, ๐ˆ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ๐ข๐œ๐ž๐ ๐š๐ง ๐š๐ฌ๐œ๐ž๐ง๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ญ๐ซ๐ข๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฅ๐ž ๐ฐ๐ก๐ข๐œ๐ก ๐ˆ ๐ก๐š๐ฏ๐ž ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฐ๐ง ๐จ๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐œ๐ก๐š๐ซ๐ญ. ๐›๐ฎ๐ญ ๐›๐ž๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ž ๐ฐ๐ž ๐ ๐ž๐ญ ๐ž๐ฑ๐œ๐ข๐ญ๐ž๐, ๐ฅ๐ž๐ญ'๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐š๐ข๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ญ๐ซ๐ข๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฅ๐ž ๐ญ๐จ ๐›๐ซ๐ž๐š๐ค. ๐Ž๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ซ๐ฐ๐ข๐ฌ๐ž, ๐ฐ๐ž ๐œ๐š๐ง๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ฌ๐š๐ฒ ๐ญ๐ก๐š๐ญ ๐‰๐€๐’๐Œ๐˜ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐›๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐ฌ๐ก. Previous Analysis Give me some energy !! โœจWe spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.๐Ÿ’š _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ โœ…Thank you, and for more ideas, hit โค๏ธLikeโค๏ธ and ๐ŸŒŸFollow๐ŸŒŸ! โš ๏ธThings can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!! BINANCE:JASMYUSDT COINBASE:JASMYUSD
Long
by CobraVanguard
1
EURAUD - Doing It Again...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. ๐Ÿ“ˆEURAUD has been bearish trading within the falling channel in red. Currently, EURAUD is approaching the lower bound of the channel. Moreover, the zone marked in blue is a strong support. ๐Ÿน Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the support zone and lower trendline acting as non-horizontal support. ๐Ÿ“š As per my trading style: As #EURAUD approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) ๐Ÿ“š Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
1
Monthly CLS Range, running short and more downside expected.Trade explanation: The monthly CLS range spotted the second month violated highs, took out the multiyear high and closed inside the CLS range. Prices have been ranging monthly and showed multiple rejections. I was obviously not waiting for the setup for a few months, this is how I put the pieces of the puzzle together to validate the LTF setup with my students. On the LTF (D1) : when price rejected the CLS top edge, we had an Order Block created and CIOD, it was retested and there would be the best entry, which I missed. But we had another chance when the weekly opening gap was retested there we got the entry. You are welcome to comment with your thoughts and questions. Also, share your charts below, Im passionate about trading and I love any constructive discussion. What is CLS? This company is trading for the biggest investment banks and central banks. They trade over 6.5 trillion daily volume. They are smart money of the all markets. CLS operates in the specific times which will give you huge advantage and precisions to you entries. Focus on that. Its accuracy is amazing. Good luck and I hope this educational post helps you become a better trader โ€œAdapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.โ€ Dave FX Hunter โš”
Short
by Dave-Hunter
1
LTC Alert!!๐Ÿ“ˆ LTC Breakout Alert: ๐Ÿš€ On the Verge of Something Big Litecoin (LTC) is showing exciting signals, and the charts are speaking volumes! Here's why you should pay attention: ๐Ÿ”น Current Setup Resistance at $94: LTC has been consolidating beneath this critical resistance level, forming what appears to be a classic rising flag pattern. Historically, Litecoin's price action has respected these technical setups, often leading to explosive moves. ๐Ÿ”น Historical Context Previous ATH: Back in 2017, LTC hit its all-time high of $375 before retracing. While it reached a second peak near $410 during the 2021 bull run, it has since pulled back, leaving significant room for upside. With its halving now behind us and the broader market trending upward, LTC is poised for another major move. ๐Ÿ”น Bullish Momentum The $94 resistance is being tested repeatedly, indicating that sellers are running out of steam. A breakout above this level would validate the rising flag pattern. If confirmed, LTC's measured move could project a 3x target in the range of $270โ€“$300, aligning with historical resistance zones. ๐Ÿ”น Why Litecoin? Known as the "silver to Bitcoin's gold," LTC often follows BTCโ€™s movements but with higher volatility, making it an attractive choice for traders. Its strong fundamentals, including adoption and utility in payments, continue to strengthen its long-term outlook. ๐Ÿš€ Whatโ€™s Next? A clean break above $94 with strong volume could ignite the rally. Immediate resistance levels to watch after the breakout: $130, $170, and then $250โ€“$300. Stay sharp and prepared. This could be the start of LTC's next significant run! ๐ŸŒŸ
COINBASE:LTCUSDLong
by Houmani
3