Community ideas
Bitcoin (BTC): Bitcoin Is Scripted To Go To $70-73KWhat a week we had, where currently we are seeing some smaller signs of recovery, yet on the bigger picture we see that the 200 EMA line has been a strong resistance zone holding its ground.
As we see some sort of recovery currently and we are about to enter the weekend market, we might see some quick pump and dumps in the next few days.
Despite that, the overall image is still bearish, so we are just going to wait for more dips.
Swallow Academy
LTO - Massive Support => Bullish Potential!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
⚔️ LTO is retesting a massive zone , which marks the intersection of two key rejection points:
1️⃣ The $0.02 support level and psychological round number
2️⃣ The lower red trendline, acting as an oversold area
📚 According to my trading style:
As #LTO hovers around the blue circle zone, I’ll be watching for bullish reversal setups (such as a double bottom pattern, trendline break, and so on).
🏹 Moreover, from a medium-term perspective:
For the bulls to shift momentum in their favor, a break above both the upper red trendline and the blue structure is required.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
XAUUSD | Sniper Entry Zones Ready – Eyes on 3145 & 3086 Reactio🔍 Daily Bias: Neutral with Bearish Intraday Tilt
Price is reacting to a previously unmitigated zone and potentially retesting a premium area, suggesting sell-side interest may return before any bullish continuation.
🧠 Key Context from Your Marked Chart
✅ Marked Sell/Retest Zone @ 3135–3145:
Clearly defined premium zone with imbalance and prior bearish reaction — confluence with OB + FVG, potential sniper entry for shorts.
✅ Unmitigated OB @ 3086–3095:
Valid demand zone where price bounced aggressively — still active liquidity + FVG.
✅ Major Imbalance Below @ 3054–3040 & 3040–3029:
Heavy drawdown target area. If price breaks 3086, expect it to fill imbalance and potentially bounce at 3040 or deeper around 3029.
🔽 Sell Scenarios
🟥 Sell #1 — Retest of Supply Sniper Entry
Entry Zone: 3135–3145
Confluences: Valid OB, FVG, Premium, Bearish PA from last touch
Target: 3086, then 3054–3040 imbalance zone
RSI: Check for overbought on M15–H1
🎯 "Classic sniper setup — get in, get out. No overthinking required."
🟥 Sell #2 — Break and Retest Below 3086
Trigger: Bearish close below 3086 + BOS on M15
Retest Entry: 3086 zone from below
Target: 3054 (first FVG), then 3029
EMAs: 5/21/50 flip short on M15 for confirmation
🟩 Buy Scenarios
🟩 Buy #1 — Bounce from 3086–3095 (Unmitigated OB)
Entry: Clean reaction + bullish PA in zone
Target: 3135 retest, partials at 3114
Sniper Confluence: BOS on M5/M15 + RSI divergence
🟩 Buy #2 — Deep Bounce from 3040 or 3029 Imbalance Zone
Entry: Only on strong PA confirmation (no early knives)
Target: 3086 first, 3135 secondary
RSI + EMA: Look for EMA 100–200 confluence, bullish divergence on RSI M15/M30
🧾 Technical Confluences Summary
✅ SMC: BOS + CHoCH present across M15–H1
✅ FVG: 3135–3145 (upper), 3054–3040 (lower)
✅ GAPS: Visible in 3054–3029 zone
✅ LIQUIDITY: Above 3145 + below 3029
✅ OB VALID: 3086–3095 still unmitigated
✅ RSI: Overbought earlier, neutral now. Watch intraday shifts.
✅ EMA Clusters:
EMA 5/21 flat after rebound
EMA 50/100 just below 3100
EMA 200 near 3050–3040 (high confluence for bounce)
⚠️ News & Fundamentals
Trump conference added USD volatility, but gold didn’t rally — watch for Fed speakers & JOLTS data tomorrow.
If dollar strengthens intraday again → watch sell setups more closely.
🧨 TradingView Title Suggestion:
“🎯 XAUUSD | Sniper Entry Zones Ready – Eyes on 3145 & 3086 Reactions!”
SOXL in Buy ZoneMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when at three of these events happen:
* Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones
* Money flow spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands
* Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at near oversold overbought level
* Price at Fibonacci levels
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price in buying zone at bottom of 2 of 3 channels
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under bottom of Bollinger Band
Price at or near Fibonacci level
Entry at $13.30
Target is upper channel around $19
Ethereum Elliot Wave Theory: $19,000 & Altcoins Market UpdateThe market is shaking but nothing truly changes. Ethereum is on a path that will end with a price above $10,000 USD. Ether (ETHUSDT) can easily trade at $11,111, $15,000 or even $19,000 in the latter part of 2025. Think about the market conditions and sentiment when Ether trades above 10K. Take a moment to think. Visualize. What do you see, hear, sense or feel?
The low was set March 10. Ethereum has been bearish since March 2024.
11-March 2024 was the main and first peak.
10-March 2025 was the main bottom and low.
An entire year of bearish action. The market never moves straight down nor straight up. The bullish action in late 2024 is part of a complex correction. It can be called an inverted correction within a long-term correction.
The last bear-market ended with a bottom being hit June 2022. This was followed by slow but steady growth; bullish consolidation. Prices were sideways but producing higher lows. Then a bullish wave developed to end 2023 and went through March 2024. March 2024 marked the end of this cycle and the start of a major, long-term complex correction. This correction ended last month. The end of the correction marks the start of the next bull-market cycle. The 2025 bull-market. This bull-market is not yet fully obvious but it will be clear within less than 2 months. There will be growth but for the majority of the participants to realize that yes, it is happening, it will take even longer.
Altcoins Market In General
Some projects bottomed in February, others in March. Most of them ended their correction in February 2025, there are always variations. This low is a long-term higher low. Many projects bottomed in late 2024. After a strong rise to end the year, we had a correction and this puts us in the current situation. Once the correction ends (already over) a new bullish impulse starts. The bullish impulse is composed of five waves. Three moves forward with two steps back.
➢ The first wave is up and green. Wave 1.
➢ The second wave is down and red. Wave 2.
➢ The third wave is the biggest wave. This wave tends to produce the highest volume and lots of momentum. Up and green. Wave 3.
➢ The fourth wave will be down and red and it will alternate the second wave. For example, if the second wave is long in duration, the fourth wave will be short. If the second wave is fast, the fourth wave will be slow. Etc. Wave 4.
➢ The fifth wave signals the end of the bullish impulse and this is the speculative wave. This is where anything is possible. Anything can happen within this wave. Trading volume will be lower compared to the third wave but new All-Time Highs are hit here and after this wave is over, the start of a new long-term correction or bear-market. Wave 5.
This is the map based on Elliot Wave Theory terminology. Everything is looking ready right now.
Signals are starting to show pointing to the start of major growth. What one does, the rest follows. Look at EOS. I just shared an article. Visit my profile and read it for a simple and quick example.
Don't be surprised when Ethereum trades above $10,000. Be prepared.
Take profits when prices are high and up.
The time to buy is now. Focus on the long-term.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
EURGBP: A Multi-Time Frame AnalysisEURGBP: Range Trading Opportunity
EUR/GBP recently tested a strong resistance zone near 0.8470, showing for a possible price reaction. The same zone pushed the price downward several times.
We have to be careful as the situation is not that stable from Trump's tariffs but it could be the case for EURGBP to respect the same pattern again. Based on historical price behavior, there is potential for the pair to move downward again.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD Bearish Correction Resistance Rejection Support TargeTTrading point update
This chart provides a technical analysis of EUR/USD on the 3-hour timeframe with key insights:
Analysis & Expectations
1. Overbought Condition & Rejection
Price reached a strong resistance zone (highlighted in yellow) around 1.11425 - 1.10751, leading to a sharp rejection.
The RSI is in the overbought zone (~68.43) and showing a downward slope, indicating a potential bearish correction.
Mr SMC Trading point
2. Expected Bearish Correction
A potential drop is expected toward the support level around 1.08501 - 1.07925, aligning with past price action.
The 200 EMA (1.07757) also serves as a significant support level, reinforcing a possible retracement.
3. Target Levels
Short-term Bearish Target: 1.08501 (Support level)
Key Support Zone: 1.07925 - 1.07757 (Near 200 EMA)
Conclusion
The analysis suggests a bearish retracement after the strong bullish move. Traders may look for short opportunities targeting the support level and 200 EMA while watching for confirmation signals before entering.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
AUD/CAD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
AUD/CAD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 0.880
Target Level: 0.889
Stop Loss: 0.874
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
SOLANA LONG Bullish Testing SupportNever the less as Solana trend looks bearish(Only from the point of view of price action traders, ema traders, breakout traders) and I DONT SHARE this opinion,because I use another TA to define the trend.
Monthly VP is at 0.02%, for VP traders it is bullish( while MA tradrs say it is bearish).
The price of solan is at historical lowest point of VAL(18 month volume profile).Therefor at this point sellers and buyers dont find an accepted price .If the sellers want to push down theprice,the number of buyers reduces.This leads to a market balance,as now many imbalances have been restored.While EMA,SMA and many other indicators are lagging indicators,they react when the show is over!!!!!!,VP delivers price information real time
Also now commercials starting buying solana(COT report) while speculators selling it(Speculatorsare90% of time wrong)!
Ofcourse many would suggest that we have bearish sentiment dat,inflation, recession etc.
Fundamentlas show their impact alsotoo late. And all these information are priced in.
Ok now to my setup:
We have tested the support twice successfully. Solana can start to move in TP 1 direction.
If price reaches tp1
and continues to move ahead,this will be a good sign that Solana bulls gaining more control, while sellers start to take profit.
If TP 1 rejects,we expect that solana will fall back to support going for TEST 3.
IF SUPPORT TEST § WAS SUCCESSFUL.tHAT MEANS sOLAN CANNOT BREAK THIS SUPPORT THE MARKET STARTS TO MOVEUP QUICKLY to TP 2,3,4 and 5
If solana not successful, then it targets 115% Fibo retracement, and then 127% and so on. For us it means to wait until one of the retracement levels rejects
I buy there where others put their stops,because their stop management is planned by price action, that everyone can see.Therefor 90% of time they fail.
NF - Will gold prices continue to fall?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) finds it difficult to build on Thursday’s late recovery from the $3,054 region—its lowest level in a week—and comes under renewed selling pressure during Friday’s Asian session. The metal has dipped back below the $3,100 threshold in recent trading; however, the broader market backdrop still suggests caution is warranted before anticipating any significant correction from the record high reached just a day earlier.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Waiting for gold price to react to decrease at trendline H1, still a downward trend, fear of trade crisis, world economy
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL 3134 - 3136 SL 3141
TP1: $3125
TP2: $3110
TP3: $3090
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3033 - $3035 SL $3028
TP1: $3045
TP2: $3060
TP3: $3075
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
#XAUUSD: Last Sell Idea Dropped +300 Pips, Bias Changed? XAUs price behaviour has deviated from previous analysis, which had anticipated a +300 pips increase. However, we now anticipate the price to continue its upward trend, potentially reaching another record high. Our next target price range is estimated to be between 3170$ and 3200$.
We extend our best wishes for your successful trading endeavours. To enhance your trading outcomes, we strongly recommend employing accurate risk management techniques.
Team Setupsfx_
🚀❤️
LTCUSD Litecoin OH NO TARIFFS! Everyone SELL NOW!The market reacted to the tariffs negatively as expected. I don't think these tariffs will last long. Countries will cave and remove their tariffs. Bottom line is they need us more than we need them. Once global free and easier trade starts you're going to see a boom cycle like never before. This is the bottom and the beginning of the biggest bull run you'll ever see. I don't get involved in politics but this move that Trump made with the tariffs is going to be a major positive for the USA and the world moving forward. This isnt 1929, we live in a much more advanced world now. Collapses and depressions are a thing of the past in my opinion.
As for Litecoin I see it coming down to test around $70 dollars by the middle of April. This is also timed almost perfectly to the 2017 run Litecoin had, coincidentally trump was starting his first term in 2017 as well. Also timed perfectly to when tax day is over for USA.
Many have capitulated and sold everything thinking a giant recession is coming, or a war, or a collapse, or aliens, or you name it people are scared of their own shadows lately. Like a plague of Grackles where one gets spooked and the whole lot of them get scared and take off when they dont even know why. This is how the markets work though, most will make the wrong decision so the few who made the right decision can profit from their mistakes. Once the market starts to run again those who sold will think its just a fake pump or dead cat bounce and wont buy in. Then the market will continue to rise and rise and finally when its near an all time high those who capitulated and sold early will fomo back in and buy the top to provide liquidity for those who were called crazy for buying the bottom. Its a cycle thats been happening since markets started.
So Im sticking with my predictions for Litecoin, I am not falling for this bear trap crap. Im doubling down. This is not financial advice. This is just my opinion.
Understanding Market Downturns: How to Navigate the StormLately, the markets have been in a downtrend, leaving many traders and investors wondering what comes next. Whether it’s stocks, crypto, or other financial assets, downturns are an inevitable part of the game. While they can be unsettling, they also present opportunities—if you know how to navigate them.
Market declines happen for many reasons: economic slowdowns, geopolitical tensions, changes in interest rates, or even shifts in investor sentiment. Regardless of the cause, understanding the different types of market downturns, their impact, and the right strategies to handle them is key to making informed decisions.
So, let’s break down market downturns, how they unfold, and what you can do to stay ahead.
📊 DOWNTURN #1: Down -2% — A Ripple of Volatility
A -2% drop is like a minor speed bump—annoying but not alarming. These small dips are common and often part of natural market fluctuations.
✅ Key Characteristics:
• Typically short-lived and often recovers quickly.
• Can be triggered by minor news events, investor sentiment shifts, or profit-taking.
• Provides opportunities to enter positions at a slightly better price.
💡 Strategy:
• If you're a long-term investor, ignore these small movements. They are normal.
• If you're a trader, these dips can be buying opportunities in an uptrend.
________________________________________
🔄 DOWNTURN #2: Down -5% — The Pullback Perspective
A 5% decline is often called a pullback—a temporary market retreat within an ongoing trend.
✅ Key Characteristics:
• Pullbacks often occur after strong rallies as the market cools off.
• Typically seen as healthy corrections in an overall uptrend.
• Not necessarily a signal of long-term weakness.
💡 Strategy:
• Long-term investors should hold steady and potentially add to positions.
• Swing traders may look for a bounce at key support levels (moving averages, previous highs/lows).
________________________________________
🛑 DOWNTURN #3: Down -10% — Entering Correction Territory
When a market drops 10% from its recent high, it officially enters correction territory.
✅ Key Characteristics:
• Often caused by changes in economic outlook, inflation concerns, or major geopolitical events.
• Moving averages may start crossing downward, signaling caution.
• Momentum shifts, and bearish traders begin to take control.
💡 Strategy:
• If you’re a long-term investor, consider rebalancing your portfolio or hedging with defensive assets.
• Traders may look for short opportunities or play reversals at support levels.
• Be cautious with leverage—downturns can accelerate quickly.
________________________________________
🐻 DOWNTURN #4: Down -20% — The Bear Market Looms
A 20% drop or more marks a bear market, signaling a significant shift in market sentiment.
✅ Key Characteristics:
• Confidence is shaken; investors turn risk-averse.
• Defensive sectors (utilities, consumer staples, healthcare) tend to outperform.
• Market psychology shifts from "buying the dip" to "protecting capital."
💡 Strategy:
• Consider defensive positions, hedging strategies, or increasing cash reserves.
• Avoid high-risk assets—stocks with weak fundamentals often fall the hardest.
• If you’re a trader, look for short-selling opportunities or inverse ETFs.
________________________________________
⚠️ DOWNTURN #5: Down -50% — The Market Crash Crisis
A 50% market decline is rare but catastrophic, often fueled by deep economic crises.
Historical Examples:
• 2008 Financial Crisis: Banks collapsed, and global markets fell over 50%.
• Dot-Com Bubble (2000): Tech stocks crashed after unsustainable hype.
• Oil Crisis (1973-74): Economic stagnation and inflation led to severe losses.
✅ Key Characteristics:
• Panic selling dominates the market.
• Fear-driven liquidation leads to extreme undervaluation.
• Long-term recovery often follows—but timing is uncertain.
💡 Strategy:
• If you have cash reserves, these moments present once-in-a-decade buying opportunities (but patience is needed).
• Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) can be effective for long-term investors.
• Traders should expect extreme volatility—both to the downside and in sharp relief rallies.
________________________________________
🌧️ DOWNTURN #6: Prolonged Downside — The Economic Depression
Unlike a crash, a depression is a long-term, sustained downturn that deeply affects the economy.
✅ Key Characteristics:
• Prolonged recession, lasting years rather than months.
• Unemployment soars, economic activity collapses.
• Investor confidence remains low for an extended period.
Historical Example: The Great Depression (1930s)
• U.S. unemployment hit 25%.
• Stock markets stayed depressed for a decade.
• Industrial production and wages plummeted.
💡 Strategy:
• Preservation of capital is key—cash, gold, and defensive assets become crucial.
• Income-producing investments (dividend stocks, bonds) provide stability.
• Patience is essential; full recovery can take years.
________________________________________
🧭 Conclusion: Navigating Market Downturns Like a Pro
Downturns are an inevitable part of investing and trading. While they can be unsettling, being informed and prepared is the key to staying ahead.
✅ Key Takeaways:
• Minor dips (-2% to -5%) are normal and often present opportunities.
• Corrections (-10%) require caution, but markets usually recover.
• Bear markets (-20%) signal broader economic concerns—risk management is crucial.
• Crashes (-50%) are rare but can create massive buying opportunities for long-term investors.
• Depressions are the most severe and require a long-term, defensive approach.
No matter the downturn, the key is to stay calm, adjust your strategy, and use market cycles to your advantage.
With the right approach, you won’t just survive market downturns—you’ll thrive in the long run. 🚀
S&P500 down -4.84%, worst day since 2020 COVID crash! GAME OVER?The S&P500 (SPX) had yesterday its worst 1D closing (-4.84%) in exactly 5 years since the COVID flash crash started on March 11 2020 (-4.89%). Not even during the 2022 Inflation Crisis did the index post such strong losses in a day.
Obviously amidst the market panic, the question inside everyone's minds is this: 'Are we in a Bear Market?'. The only way to view this is by looking at SPX's historic price action and on this analysis we are doing so by examining the price action on he 1W time-frame since the 2008 Housing Crisis.
As you can see, starting from the Inflation Crisis bottom in March 2009, we've had 4 major market corrections (excluding the March 2020 COVID flash crash which was a Black Swan event). All of them made contact with the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and immediately rebounded to start a new Bull Cycle. Those Bull Cycles typically lasted for around 3 years and peaked at (or a little after) the red vertical lines, which is the distance measured from the October 15 2007 High to the May 07 2011 High, the first two Cycle Highs of the dataset that we use as the basis to time the Cycles on this model.
The Sine Waves (dotted) are used to illustrate the Cycle Tops (not bottoms), so are the Time Cycles (dashed). This helps at giving a sense of the whole Cycle trend and more importantly when the time to sell may be coming ahead of a potential Cycle Top.
This model shows that the earliest that the current Cycle should peak is the week of August 11 2025. If it comes a little later (as with the cases of October 01 2018 and June 01 2015), then it could be within November - December 2025.
The shortest correction to the 1W MA200 has been in 2011, which only lasted 22 weeks (154 days). The longest is the whole 2008 Housing Crisis (73 weeks, 511 days). All other three 1W MA200 corrections have lasted for less than a year.
On another note, the 1W RSI just hit the 34.50 level. Since the 2009 bottom, the market has only hit that level 5 times. All produces immediate sharp rebounds. The December 17 2018, March 16 2020 and August 15 2011 RSI tests have been bottoms while May 09 2022 and August 24 2015 bottomed later but still produced sharp bear market rallies before the eventual bottom.
Uncertainty is obviously high but these are the facts and the hard technical data. Game over for stocks or this is a wonderful long-term buy opportunity? The conclusions are yours.
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EURJPY on the Edge of Collapse: Ready for the Drop? Hi Traders ! The price has formed a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern on the daily (1D) chart and is approaching the neckline. If it breaks this level with strong momentum, we could see a significant decline, targeting the 135.000 - 140.000 zone.
Key Levels:
✅ Confirmation: Clear break of the trendline.
❌ Stop-loss: Above the right shoulder 165.000.
🎯 Bearish target: 135.000 - 140.000.
We’ll wait for confirmation before taking action. Stay tuned!
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Nasdaq's Drop: A Temporary Rebound Before More Downside?I've been calling for a strong correction in the Nasdaq (and all major U.S. indices) since the start of the year—long before the tax war even began. I warned that a break below 20,000 was likely, with my final target set around 17,500.
And indeed, the index has fallen—regardless of what the so-called "cause" might be. Right now, Nasdaq is trading at 18,400, sitting right at a minor horizontal support zone.
________________________________________
A Short-Term Rebound Before More Downside?
📉 Overall Bias Remains Bearish – The broader trend still points lower.
📈 Rebound Likely – A push above 19,000 in the coming days wouldn’t be surprising.
⚠️ High-Risk Setup – Going long here is risky, given the current macroeconomic backdrop.
________________________________________
Trading Strategy: Short-Term vs. Long-Term
✅ For Short-Term Traders & Speculators – A temporary upside correction could offer a buying opportunity.
❌ For Swing & Long-Term Traders – It's better to wait for this rebound to fade and position short for the next leg down.
While a bounce could be on the cards, the bigger picture still points lower—I remain bearish in the long run. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Trade plan 04/04/2025 ( Ascending Channel)Dear Traders,
yesterday, price Hit my Target around 3060
for Today i expect price will continue Uptrend (Ascending Channel)
"If it remains in the upward channel, my initial target is 3140."
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
$UVXY above $30, brings $60+CBOE:UVXY has two big hurdles it needs to make it over before it can see higher prices.
1. It needs to get over the 200DMA (light blue line)
2. It needs to get over $30
As you can see, price has been consolidating in a channel since the August spike and IMO is almost ready for a big move.
I think this move will likely take place the second half of February and potentially into March.
I'll be looking at buying call options for 3/7 expiration, or 3/21 is even safer.
I think the move is likely to hit the $71 level on the chart, and could potentially go as high as the top resistance (however I don't see that as very likely). To me, most probable target is $78-82 right below the trend line.
Let's see how it plays out.
ETH - UpdateETH has been "crashing" lately but I think it is in the end state of a long rally. In fact I think we are in the last stage of Wyckoff distribution and we could see a major rally soon. Looking at the 300 SMA we bottomed there in June 22 and if we hold there, it could be the spring board for a massive rally to new highs.
Also I think GLD will top in a week or so which will be good for BTC and ALTS.
Not investment advice. Please like and share and leave a comment.