Polkadot Dot usdt Daily analysis
Time frame 4hours
Risk rewards ratio >2 👈👌
Technical analysis base on Eliot waves
The correction 3points (ABC) Eliot waves has finished ✅️
Now, I think, impulse Eliot waves starts . (1-5)
I designed the fist impulse wave on the first branche of main Eliot waves. ✅️
If this analysis happens, we will have a unbelievable alt-season. 🎅💥💥🎅
What's your analysis? 🤔
Do you think impulse wave is started?🤔
Community ideas
BTCUSD NEXT BIG MOVE AGAIN .Hello dear friends here is my first idea about Bitcoin lets check and share your ideas about my chart.
I have found a big move about bitcoin it can go long again further details are given you can view my chart.
Note if bitcoin breaks the Resistance you can stay in long till the given target .
Technical Targets are,
103000-105000-107000
Key points ,
Resistance zone 99000
Support zone 92000
Demand zone 107000
A clear upward trend suggest higher target ahead.
Like ,comment and boost my post stay connected for timely updates.
EUR/USD: Be careful with last minute Holiday shoppingHello traders
My last idea worked out profitably. +85 pips.
We are entering the last 24-36 hours of meaningful trading. Keep in mind, the Asian markets may not be so invested in the Holidays and may take advantage of the low liquidity in the Western markets.
However, levels are levels, especially in the most liquid currency pair, EUR/USD.
Take a good look at the monthly levels and how it translate on the lower time frame charts.
I base most of my trades on monthly/weekly levels and fine tune it on the 1 to 4 hour charts.
Fundamentally, the USA finalized the spending bill. PCE came in a tad lower at 0.1%
As I have mentioned in my idea
the chaos is back in Washington D.C. even before the inauguration of the President elect
Elonald Trump. What happened this week is unconscionable. The blatant power struggle between Trump, Musk and our elected representatives in Congress has started. Mark my words, Trump will dump his unelected co-president sooner than later. He got elected and does not share the limelight with anyone. Remember how he broke hundreds of years of protocol and walked ahead of the late Queen Elizabeth 2nd during a State visit?
The other significant development was how 38 GOP members of the House defied Trump and voted against his instruction to raise the debt limit ceiling. With a razor thin majority in the House, Trump is going to have a hard time implementing his agenda, so fasten your seat belts.
All in all, the EURO is fundamentally weaker than the USD but investors do not like uncertainty. Just look at the strength of the JPY as a safe have when adverse geopolitical developments happen.
I initiated a short position from 1.0442 and will monitor the 1.0419 level if it breaks, down to 1.0384 level for another long position.
Best of luck. Happy Holidays.
Detailed Breakdown and Technical Analysis of NVIDIA's (NVDA) 2yrDetailed Breakdown and Technical Analysis of NVIDIA's (NVDA) Two-Year Outlook and Options Strategy
I. Introduction: Welcome to NVIDIA's Final Destination
NVIDIA’s journey through the stock market feels eerily similar to a thriller like Final Destination. The twists and turns keep you on edge, the stakes couldn’t be higher, and just when you think you’ve figured it all out, the plot thickens. The question is: are we hurtling toward a safe landing or another sharp drop?
With a head-and-shoulders pattern looming and Fibonacci levels adding their own cryptic clues, it’s time to map out the next two years. This isn’t just a ride—it’s a calculated journey through chaos and opportunity.
________________________________________
II. Fundamental Analysis
1. Market Position and Growth Catalysts
NVIDIA (NVDA) has solidified its position as a leader in GPU and AI computing, supported by its dominant share in the gaming, data center, and automotive sectors. Its continued focus on AI hardware and software frameworks, like CUDA, provides a competitive moat. With AI-driven workloads expected to grow exponentially, NVIDIA remains a key beneficiary of this secular trend.
However, NVDA faces potential headwinds from:
• Geopolitical risks: Restrictions on chip exports to China could affect revenues.
• Macroeconomic factors: High-interest rates and economic slowdowns may pressure growth-oriented tech stocks.
• Valuation concerns: Elevated price-to-earnings ratios leave the stock vulnerable to corrections during downturns.
2. Historical Performance
NVDA has demonstrated robust performance in the last decade, experiencing exponential growth in revenue and market capitalization. While this growth has been exceptional, recent price action suggests overextension, leading to the potential formation of a multi-year correction and consolidation before resuming upward momentum.
________________________________________
III. Technical Analysis
1. Current Structure
• Head and Shoulders Pattern: A classic bearish reversal pattern is forming, with the left shoulder and head completed. The right shoulder is expected to form near the $134.70 resistance zone.
• Fibonacci Retracement: The 0.618 retracement at ~$118 and 0.786 at ~$102 provide key support levels for potential pullbacks.
• Momentum Indicators:
- MACD: Bearish divergence indicates waning bullish momentum.
- Stochastic RSI: Overbought conditions suggest a correction is imminent.
2. Key Levels and Projections
• Resistance Levels: $134.70, $149.37.
• Support Levels: $118.32 (0.618 Fib), $102.86 (0.786 Fib), $95.65 (potential long-term bottom).
• Recovery Path: Post-correction, NVDA could retest $149+ by late 2025, driven by cyclical recovery and improved fundamentals.
________________________________________
IV. Options Strategy: Leveraging Key Zones and Timelines
1. Core Thesis
The projected pullback offers a strategic opportunity to capitalize on NVDA’s volatility using options. By employing 45-day (DTE) short put spreads at key support levels, we can:
• Generate consistent income from elevated implied volatility (IV).
• Define risk with limited downside exposure.
Additionally, using long-term hedges (LEAPS) can offset potential losses, ensuring portfolio resilience during downturns.
2. Strategy Design (Phase 1)
a. 45D Short Put Spreads
• Objective: Capture premium during consolidation near support zones.
• Execution:
- Sell a short put at a support level (e.g., $118).
- Buy a protective put 5-10 points lower (e.g., $113) to limit risk.
• Example:
- Sell $118 put, buy $113 put for a net credit of $1.50.
- Max profit: $150 per contract.
- Max loss: $350 per contract.
- Breakeven: $116.50.
• Timeline: Enter spreads every 45D, adjusting strikes based on price action and IV.
b. Long-Term Hedge Using LEAPS
• Objective: Hedge downside risk during significant corrections.
• Execution:
- Buy a deep ITM long put with 12-18 months DTE at $149 (current resistance).
- Use proceeds from short put spreads to offset the cost of the hedge.
• Rationale: Protects against deep corrections while maintaining exposure to long-term recovery.
3. Combining Strategies
• During consolidations, sell short put spreads at $118 and $102.
• Maintain a LEAPS hedge at $149 to offset potential losses if the pattern fails and the price breaks lower.
• Adjust strikes dynamically based on the formation of the right shoulder and subsequent price action.
________________________________________
V. Phases of Execution
Phase 2: Bearish Continuation to End of February
1. LEAP Exit:
- Exit the LEAP put at the end of February if NVDA drops below $102.
- Capture maximum intrinsic value before significant time decay impacts the LEAP.
2. Second 45DTE Put Spread Exit:
- Exit the 45DTE short put spread around 21DTE (mid-February).
- This is consistent with best practices to avoid gamma risk and maximize theta decay gains.
Phase 3: Test at $95.65
1. Observe the Price Action:
- If NVDA tests $95.65:
- Confirm support and momentum before acting.
- Look for signs of stabilization or a breakdown below $95.
2. Sell a Cash-Secured Put Below $95:
- Choose a strike below $95 (e.g., $90 or $85) to give some breathing room.
- Plan an exit near $135 test if NVDA rebounds, allowing you to capture premium.
Phase 4: Transition Back to Short Put Spreads
1. After $135 Test:
- If NVDA reaches $135, transition back to 45D short put spreads.
- Focus on strikes below the established support levels at $102 or $118 to maintain a high probability of success.
2. Reestablish LEAP Put:
- Initiate a new LEAP put with a strike above the $60 target (e.g., $75–$85).
- Aim for September as the reversal point for the long-term bearish trend.
Phase 5: Targeting September Reversal
1. Monitor for $60 Reversal:
- Expect NVDA to reach $60 by September based on your thesis and technical analysis.
- Exit the LEAP put as NVDA approaches $60 or shows reversal signs.
2. Reassess Market Conditions:
- At this stage, reevaluate NVDA’s fundamentals, market conditions, and technical indicators.
- Consider transitioning to bullish strategies if the broader market outlook aligns.
________________________________________
VI. Risk Management
1. Defined Risk: Short put spreads limit downside exposure to predefined levels, making the strategy suitable for high-volatility environments.
2. Capital Allocation:
- Allocate no more than 5% of the portfolio to short put spreads per expiration cycle.
- Use 2-3% for the LEAPS hedge.
3. Adjustment Plan:
- Roll short puts if NVDA approaches the strike, maintaining a minimum credit.
- Exit LEAPS hedge if NVDA stabilizes above $149.
4. Macro Monitoring: Regularly assess market conditions and adjust timelines and strikes accordingly.
________________________________________
VII. Conclusion: The Final Destination for NVDA
NVIDIA’s trajectory over the next two years mirrors a thriller like Final Destination. While we can map out the twists and turns with technical analysis and strategic foresight, the market ultimately has its own plans. Our tools—like Fibonacci retracements, options strategies, and risk management frameworks—act as a way to anticipate the curves ahead, but they don’t guarantee a safe landing. The real challenge lies in adapting to the unknowns, balancing preparation with flexibility. Whether NVDA’s final destination is a triumphant recovery or a deeper pullback, this approach equips us to navigate the ride with confidence, knowing we’ve done everything to prepare for whatever fate may unfold.
________________________________________
Footnote
This analysis represents a trading thesis based on technical and fundamental insights. It is not intended to be acted upon blindly or as financial advice. Trading involves risk, and the success or failure of the outlined strategies cannot be guaranteed. The author assumes no responsibility for any actions taken based on this thesis. Always consult a financial professional before implementing any investment strategy.
EURUSD SELL NOW
EURUSD (Euro vs. US Dollar) - 2H Chart Analysis
The EURUSD pair has shown a strong recovery from its recent lows, forming a higher low pattern around the 1.038 support area. A corrective ascending channel previously dominated, but a breakout followed by a pullback to the critical support zone suggests a shift in momentum.
Currently, the price is approaching a key resistance zone near 1.046. A rejection here could lead to a deeper retracement targeting 1.04180 and further down to 1.03819, aligning with Fibonacci and historical support levels.
Alternatively, sustained momentum above 1.046 could invalidate the bearish scenario and lead to a continuation toward 1.05. Traders should watch for confirmation candles and volume increases to define the next directional move.
Plan: Stay vigilant for sell signals near resistance or strong breakout confirmations above key levels.
BTCUSD BUY signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
NVTS - The next Explosive Small Cap?! 300% UpsideCharturday #2: NASDAQ:NVTS 💾
A top 5 trade for me right now!
Weekly Analysis:
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-Broke out of downtrend & falling wedge in which we hit our first profit target and now retesting the breakout. I bought more shares/ options this past week.
-Sitting on a volume shelf with a lot of room to run!
-Williams CB still forming, if we continue our bounce into this week we will have a form Williams CB
🔜🎯$4.65🎯$6🎯$7.62🎯$11.17🎯$12.29
⏲️Before May2026
Not financial advice.
Elliott Wave Analysis & Altcoin Market ImpactElliott Wave Analysis & Altcoin Market Impact 🌐
This analysis isn’t just about the current structure but also hints at the potential effects on the altcoin market:
1️⃣ Bitcoin Dominance Shift:
As the ABC correction unfolds, Bitcoin's price might see temporary weakness. Historically, such corrections often lead to altcoins gaining traction, as capital flows out of Bitcoin and into altcoins.
2️⃣ Altcoin Surge Post-Wave (C):
During Wave (B), altcoins could face short-term pressure as Bitcoin attempts a retracement.
However, during Wave (C), a sharp drop in Bitcoin could ignite a relief rally in altcoins, as traders shift their focus.
3️⃣ Key Levels for Altcoin Traders:
Watch for Bitcoin’s break below the 1.618 extension (near 3.70%). This could act as a trigger for a significant altcoin rally.
Dominance charts and volume spikes will help confirm the momentum shift.
Conclusion:
For altcoin traders, this structure provides an opportunity. Short-term caution is necessary, but a potential altcoin breakout could follow if Bitcoin completes its correction successfully.
$SOLUSD BuyCOINBASE:SOLUSD
Technical Analysis
This chart suggests the price is in a corrective phase, with confluence around key Fibonacci levels. Divergences in RSI, Williams %R, and MACD support this corrective structure, while the Elliott Wave count indicates the potential for a strong rally in the next impulsive wave.
Fundamental Analysis
1. Anticipation of Solana Spot ETFs:
Following the successful launch of Bitcoin spot ETFs, there is growing speculation about the introduction of Solana-based ETFs. Such financial products would make SOL more accessible to traditional investors, potentially increasing demand and positively impacting its price.
2. Positive Technical Indicators:
Analysts have observed bullish technical patterns in Solana's price charts, suggesting the potential for significant growth. For instance, the formation of a 'cup and handle' pattern indicates a possible upward breakout, with some projections estimating substantial price increases if this pattern holds.
3. Evolving Regulatory Environment:
The recent approval of Bitcoin spot ETFs and a shift towards a more crypto-friendly regulatory stance in the U.S. have increased optimism for the approval of Solana-based ETFs. This regulatory shift could enhance Solana's legitimacy and attract a broader investor base.
These developments contribute to a positive outlook for Solana, indicating potential for continued growth in the near future.
(Update) !!! Bitcoin Analysis : Bull or Bear ? (READ)BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Currently, it can be said that Bitcoin has completed its fourth corrective wave and from now on, the price can be expected to rise to the top of the triangle.
✨Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments, We will be glad.
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Another drop for SPX500USDHi traders,
Last week SPX500USD made a correction up, broke through the lower Daily/ Weekly FVG and took the liquidity under the low (of blue wave 4). After price closed below the Daily/ Weekly FVG, it became a Balanced price range (BPR).
So next week we could see a correction down and a retest into the Weekly/ Daily BPR.
After that this pair could drop again.
Trade idea: Wait for the correction down and retest into the BPR's. After a change in orderflow to bearish, you could trade shorts.
If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide trade signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Dec 22 - Dec 27]This week, OANDA:XAUUSD fell quite sharply from 2,664 USD/oz to 2,582 USD/oz, then recovered to 2,631 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,622 USD/oz.
The reason gold prices dropped sharply this week is because the FED cut interest rates by another 0.25% as predicted. However, what caused disappointed investors to sell off gold was because the Fed chairman said he would only cut interest rates two more times in 2025. Previously, in September 2024, the FED predicted four more cuts. interest rate next year.
In the same context, the US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) index in November increased by 2.8% over the same period last year, unchanged compared to October, but still much higher than the target. of the Fed is 2%. This also strengthens the possibility that the FED will reduce the current monetary easing cycle.
Furthermore, Donald Trump is about to take office as US President for his second term. If Mr. Trump implements a fiscal expansion policy and sharply increases tariffs with America's trading partners, it will significantly reduce the country's trade deficit, meaning the supply of USD will decrease sharply, pushing the currency This increases, thereby negatively affecting gold prices. Furthermore, Mr. Trump's tax policy also increases inflation, forcing the Fed to delay cutting interest rates, or even raise interest rates again if inflation skyrockets.
Next week's gold price is likely to be torn between FED's monetary policy and geopolitical instability. However, next week, most international investors will be on holiday for Christmas and New Year 2025, so gold trading volume will decrease sharply, causing gold prices next week to only fluctuate within a narrow range.
📌From a technical perspective, next week's gold price will likely continue to adjust and accumulate. Accordingly, if next week's gold price still trades above the threshold of 2,582 USD/oz, it will continue to move sideways within the range of 2,585 - 2,665 USD/oz before the holiday. On the contrary, if next week's gold price is pushed below 2,582 USD/oz, there is a risk of falling to 2,530 USD/oz.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,591 – 2,552 – 2,538USD
Resistance: 2,623 – 2,634 – 2,656USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2666 - 2664⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2670
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2529 - 2531⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2525
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 23-Dec-202423-Dec-2024 Nifty Trading Plan
On last trading session prices met with the targets on breaking and sustaining below mentioned levels and met with all targets on down side. Strategies for upcoming trading session
Color-Coding:
Yellow: Sideways trend. Green: Bullish trend. Red: Bearish trend.
23-Dec-2024 Trading Scenarios:
Gap Up Opening (+100 points):
If Nifty opens above 23,953 but below 24,058 , expect initial resistance at 24,058 . Watch for rejection signals such as bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., pin bars or engulfing) to initiate short trades targeting 23,747-23,603 .
However, if prices sustain above 24,058 , this zone transforms into support, indicating bullish sentiment. Enter long trades cautiously above 24,058 with targets of 24,300-24,400 . Use a stop loss at 23,950 .
Flat Opening:
A flat opening near 23,631-23,603 suggests the no-trade zone remains intact. Wait for a breakout above 23,747 or a breakdown below 23,603 .
Above 23,747: Long trades targeting 23,953-24,058 .
Below 23,603: Short trades targeting 23,281-23,194 . Use stop losses based on an hourly close for safer risk management.
Gap Down Opening (-100 points or more):
A gap down below 23,603 places immediate focus on the buyer’s support zone at 23,281-23,194 . Look for bullish reversal patterns (e.g., hammer or bullish engulfing) within this zone to initiate long trades.
If prices break below 23,194 , bearish momentum could intensify. Short trades targeting 23,000-22,850 become viable. Maintain a stop loss above 23,281 for these positions.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Use defined risk strategies like buying options or limited-loss spreads.
Avoid aggressive averaging when trades move against your position.
Always calculate the maximum loss potential before entering trades.
Exit positions if the index stays in the no-trade zone for extended periods.
Summary & Conclusion:
Nifty’s trading action on 23-Dec-2024 will revolve around the critical zones discussed. Respect the defined levels and avoid impulsive trades within the no-trade zone. Wait for confirmation before entering trades to maximize risk-reward ratios.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Another drop for gold?Hi traders,
Last week XAUUSD made a very small correction up, dropped and took the liquidity under the lows. After it came into the Daily Balanced price range (BPR), it made a correction up into the higher Daily FVG.
Next week we could see price go lower again from here to finish the (orange) A-B-C Zigzag correction.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bearish to trade shorts.
If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide trade signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
LPTUSDT Analysis: A Unique Pump Among AltcoinsLPT has been one of the few altcoins to pump from a meaningful level recently, setting it apart from others in the market.
I find it logical to consider buys below the red line , as this aligns with the key demand regions I have identified. Using advanced tools like heatmap , cumulative volume delta (CVD) , and volume footprint , I pinpoint highly accurate zones where buyers are likely to dominate.
Key Points:
Unique Performer: LPT stands out as the only altcoin with a meaningful pump recently.
Red Line Zone: Below this line, buy entries are worth considering.
Techniques Used: Heatmap, CVD, and volume footprint to identify demand regions.
If you'd like to learn how I use these techniques to determine accurate demand regions, just DM me!
If you think this analysis helps you, please don't forget to boost and comment on this. These motivate me to share more insights with you!
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. You can find me as XU99Official in every platform.
My Previous Analysis
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
US30USDUS30USD Based on Technical and Fundamental Analysis
The chart shows a clear rejection from the resistance zone at 44,500, confirmed by a bearish candlestick pattern (highlighted in orange).
This aligns with weakening market sentiment and the potential for continued downside movement.
A short entry is justified below the 43,200 level, targeting TP1 at 42,000 and TP2 at 41,600, as marked on the chart.
Keep an eye on macroeconomic data or geopolitical factors that may further strengthen the bearish trend.
Risk management is crucial—set a stop loss above the key resistance zone
Note: This analysis is for educational purposes and not trading advice. Consider market conditions and strategies.
Please do not forget the like button, Share it with your friends,thanks, and Trade safe.
Bearish drop?EUR/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0455
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0536
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0334
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.