Snipper plan ideeas before NFP and Powell Speech - April 4th📌 Macro & Market Context
Gold remains in a strong HTF bullish market structure, with recent highs around $3,160 acting as a key resistance.
NFP data, Unemployment Rate and Powell's speech will add increased volatility later today.
The market is currently correcting after liquidity grab above $3,160, showing signs of distribution.
📊 Market Structure Overview (4H & 1H)
Bullish/Sell bias remains neutral, but a temporary retracement is underway.
Premium supply zones are positioned above $3,140–$3,160.
Discount demand zones are around $3,080–$3,050.
📍 Setup 1 SELL
Scenario: Bearish retest to this zone
Entry: $3,135 - $3,145 (if price returns to this zone).
Confirmation: Rejection wick + Bearish Engulfing on 15M or 5M.
Stop Loss: Above $3,153
TP1: $3,125
TP2: $3,110
TP3: $3,090
📍 Setup 2 SELL
Scenario: Wait for price to push back into 3,091–3,095 zone (M5 imbalance retest).
Entry: 3091-3095
Confirmation: Entry on rejection + BOS or CHoCH M1/M5.
Stop Loss: Above 3,096
TP1: 3066
TP2: 3054
TP3: 3040
📍 Setup 2 BUY
Scenario: If price retraces to key demand zones $3,080–$3,070, look for a long entry.
Entry: Buy at $3,080–$3,075.
Confirmation: Liquidity grab + Bullish engulfing on LTF (1M, 5M).
Stop Loss: Below $3,070.
TP1: $3,100
TP2: $3,120
TP3: $3,135
📍 Setup 3 BUY
Scenario: Bounce/reversal confirmation near 3,054 (last demand block + imbalance edge).
Entry: Buy at 3048-3055
Confirmation: Entry only if M1/M5 shows CHoCH + volume.
Stop Loss: Below 3048
TP1: 3085
TP2: 3115
TP3: 3128
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your own plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
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2025-04-03 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: 18200 is the next huge support and it’s likely that we get there tomorrow and there I would conclude my W3 thesis. Doing another red day into the weekend seems most reasonable because who the duck wants to hold on to longs in the current environment?
current market cycle: strong bear - W3 ongoing - target is 18200ish and W5 should get us to 17500ish
key levels: 18000 - 20100
bull case: Bulls can make money buying new lows on days like today but bears made sure to only print lower highs. For tomorrow bulls can’t expect something different to happen. Best they can hope for is to stay closer to 20000 but I highly doubt that.
Invalidation is below 18100.
bear case: Bears have the 2024-04 and 2024-08 lows in sight and could get there tomorrow. They are in full control if they continue to print lower lows and lower highs. Right now the 1h 20ema is holding like a champ but my drawn bear trend line will most likely have to be adjusted tomorrow before EU open. Every bear who sold the spike down yesterday is betting on a measured move down which is around 17600. Can we get there tomorrow? Very unlikely. This is most likely a spike & channel pattern that started Wednesday and given that tomorrow is the end of the week, I expect market to now go above 19000.
short term: Bearish for 18400 or even 18200. Lower highs have to hold, so no prices above 19000 or market turns a tad more neutral at least on lower time frames. Bulls can only hope for long scalps on new lows and going sideways.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-03-16: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. W3 underway, W5 should get us to my target. If we get there, no matter how dire, you just have to buy some very long term investments there. Odds that Nasdaq will stay below 20000 for the next 5 years are so abysmally low.
trade of the day: Sell anywhere and hold or look which bigger 20ema holds and look for shorts near it. Today it was once again the 1h 20ema.
This is a perfect parallel channel on XRP.This represents an ideal parallel channel. If you secured it today at the $2.0000 level, you're extremely fortunate. Opportunities like this are rare—once it appears, hold on tight and ride it to the top. The target is set at $4.38 around April 25th, 2025. Wishing you great luck and success.
DeGRAM | GOLD ready for a declineGOLD is in an ascending channel between trend lines.
The price is moving from the dynamic resistance, which has already acted as a pullback point twice.
The chart has already reached the upper boundary of the channel and dropped below the resistance level after testing the 62% retracement level.
On the 1H Timeframe, the indicators show that XAUUSD has started to work out the formed bearish divergence.
We expect a decline.
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Warning: what can save us from a collapse: must read.⚠️This analysis isn’t purely chart-based, but in this macro environment, understanding the bigger picture is essential for predicting market movements. Hopefully, TradingView will allow this idea so that everyone can read it.
What Can Save Us?
Before looking for a solution, we must first acknowledge the problem—and then determine if and when a resolution is coming.
1. Trump’s Tariffs & Policies: A Market Shock
Trump’s economic strategy marks a radical departure from the policies of the past 30 years. However, previous administrations weakened U.S. global influence, shifting power in favor of China.
Since Trump's motto is "Make America Great Again", serious changes are inevitable. Until investors fully grasp these policies, uncertainty will persist.
Let’s break down the key areas of impact and Trump’s expected responses:
2.Monetary Policy & The Federal Reserve
The Federal Reserve (FED) and Jerome Powell are not aligned with the White House.
Powell is sticking to his monetary policy approach, but Trump needs 0% interest rates to implement his vision.
Markets hate uncertainty, and this is fueling volatility.
🔴 Trump's Response:
Expect a bombshell move—Trump will fire Jerome Powell and replace him with a Fed chairman who supports rate cuts to 0%. This will cause short-term chaos but ultimately fuel a massive market rally as:
✔️ The housing market recovers
✔️ Liquidity surges
✔️ Stocks skyrocket
3.U.S. Dependence on China & Russia for Raw Materials
The U.S. imports essential resources from China and Russia, making it vulnerable.
The BRICS alliance is strengthening, further threatening U.S. dominance.
🔴 Trump's Response:
Trump has openly expressed interest in acquiring Greenland, citing its rich natural resources. He will take it by military force if necessary, positioning the U.S. as a raw material powerhouse on par with Russia.
4.Lost Allies: Canada, Mexico & South America
Canada is aligning with Europe
Mexico & South America are leaning towards BRICS
🔴 Trump's Response:
To counter this:
Canada will be pressured into rejoining a U.S.-led trade bloc—or face potential annexation.
South American economies will be crippled by tariffs, forcing them to reintegrate under U.S. influence.
5.Geopolitical Conflicts: Middle East & Ukraine
Iran is aligned with Russia & China
Ukraine relies on Europe (France, UK, EU), rather than the U.S.
The U.S. is not benefiting from these wars
🔴 Trump's Response:
If Zelensky continues to align with Europe, Trump may order a full-scale U.S. bombing of Ukraine, flatten Kyiv, eliminate Zelensky live on TikTok, and then split Ukraine with Russia.
This move would:
✔️ Strengthen U.S.-Russia relations
✔️ Secure a deal on Greenland
✔️ Humble Europe
6.Conclusion: A Global Power Shift
Expect a period of chaos and fear. However, what investors must understand is that Trump is 100% serious about these moves—and he will execute them regardless of global opinion.
If Trump’s strategy works:
✅ The U.S. will regain dominance
✅ Markets will rally hard
✅ Confidence in the U.S. economy will be restored
If Trump fails:
🚨 A prolonged economic downturn (15-20 years of stagflation)
🚨 U.S. & Europe suffer major losses
🚨 Best move? Relocate to Asia or the Middle East before the crash.
So, even if Trump’s policies seem insane, the best-case scenario is that he succeeds.
💡 DYOR (Do Your Own Research)
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Trump #MAGA #Geopolitics #StockMarket #SPX500 #Trading #Investing #Economy #FederalReserve #RateCuts
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ChinaH Index – Mid-Term Technical OutlookThe ChinaH Index is currently trading at $8,390, after recently rejecting the key resistance level of $9,200, a historically significant zone last tested in 2021. Despite this rejection, the index remains well-positioned within a strong and intact bullish channel, signaling long-term upward momentum.
Current Setup:
We are now observing a short-term relief bounce from $8,390, with potential to retest the $8,700 area. This move is part of a broader technical structure that suggests a healthy pullback phase before resuming long-term growth.
Pullback Scenario:
Following the potential retest of $8,700, the index may enter a correction phase, targeting $7,600 as a core support level—this zone previously acted as resistance in 2022 and is likely to serve as strong structural support heading into mid-2025.
Before reaching $7,600, the first interim support sits at $8,200, a level that previously served as support in 2020 and triggered the recent bounce. If $8,200 fails to hold during the retracement, a deeper correction toward $7,600 would allow for stronger consolidation and improved structural health within the overall bullish channel.
Two Potential Bullish Scenarios After Pullback:
Continuation within the Current Bullish Channel:
A bounce from $7,600 would resume upward momentum.
Primary upside target: $9,700 – a key multi-year resistance zone from 2017–2020.
A clean breakout above $9,700 would confirm a long-term bullish breakout and shift market sentiment decisively.
Formation of a New Bullish Channel:
In the event of prolonged consolidation, price could range between $7,100–$8,700 from September to December 2025.
A breakout in January 2026 would confirm a new ascending structure, offering a refreshed bullish path with long-term upside.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $8,700 → $9,200 → $9,700 (Major Breakout Zone)
Support: $8,200 → $7,600 → $7,100 (Range Floor if prolonged consolidation)
Summary:
While short-term pullbacks may test market resilience, the underlying bullish structure remains intact. A correction to $7,600 could act as a launchpad for the next major leg higher. Whether through continuation in the current channel or the formation of a new one, the ChinaH Index presents multiple bullish pathways, with $9,700 being the key level that could signal a long-term shift in trend.
Patience and disciplined positioning in the upcoming months will be crucial as we watch for confirmation of the next directional move.
Lingrid | SOLUSDT testing MARCH low. Short OpportunityBINANCE:SOLUSDT market is making lower lows and lower closes, indicating a bearish trend. It is slowly approaching the key psychological level at 100.00 while currently testing the previous month's low. The price broke and closed below the upward trendline that had been holding for a couple of weeks. I think the price may continue to move lower toward the key support level, and there is a possibility it could push even lower. Furthermore, the price has been consolidating around the 120.00 level, demonstrating significant bearish sentiment in the market. I expect the price to move lower, possibly breaking below the March low. My goal is support zone around 102.00
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
GOLD (XAUUSD) Idea After the major economic processes GOLD also goes mad. Hence, the price is now testing the 4H Trend line and inside the ascending channel.
My insights about this pair is that price has reached some level of rejection and has to react from this zone. If not, next zone will be between 3040-3050 zone which may turn the Resistance into Support.
Also RSI Divergence can also pay out, which forms lower low but the price is actually on higher low.
I will seek for buy opportunities if get any confirmation in lower Time Frames.
Good Luck to All!
DOGE/USDT:BUY...Hello dear friends
Given the price drop we had in the specified support range, considering the price growth indicates the entry of buyers.
Now, given the good support of buyers for the price, we can buy in steps with capital and risk management and move towards the specified goals.
*Trade safely with us*
gold trade ideaAs trump tariffs has been priced in, we saw whales exiting of the liquidity but on ny session saw the liquidity upside again because of the ism for march being lower than forecast. If we don,t see any trade war escalation in near term these are the two area i would be looking for keeping on mind gold being extremely bullish and can go for price discovery with any trade war talks.
BTC Weekly Chart Update📉 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Weekly Chart Update
It looks like a double top pattern is clearly forming on the BTC weekly chart — and honestly, doesn't it remind you of a similar structure we’ve seen before? 👀
Patterns like these often signal potential trend reversals, so this is definitely a chart to watch closely.
Do you see the similarity with the previous one? Let me know your thoughts in the comments 👇
🔴 Bearish scenario could continue unless we break above key resistance.
BTC where will go?the price of btc is going every day near the resistance , so should break it with no a lot of power, just going lateral and it could be broken, anyway all is on the chart.
For me can stay in the safe zone , so and play with levergae a little bit more high just for fast scalp, let me know guys
Breaking: $BERA coin Dips 14% Today The price of BIST:BERA coin saw a 14% nosedived today amidst general crypto and stock market bloodbath that saw over $2.85 trillion wiped out from the US stock market today.
All this irregularities came as result of Donald Trump's Tax Tariff rates on Crypto currencies and stock shares.
For BIST:BERA , the RSI already hints at a weaker trend channel but BIST:BERA is bouncing off of the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level that is acting as a support point for $BERA. However, should extreme selling pressure emerge, the 1-month low s will be force to act as support point for $BERA.
About Berachain
Berachain is an EVM-identical Layer 1 blockchain that introduces Proof of Liquidity (PoL), a novel consensus mechanism aligning network security with liquidity provision. The protocol operates on a unique two-token model: BERA (gas and staking token) and BGT (non-transferable governance and rewards token).
Berachain Price Live Data
The live Berachain price today is $5.93 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $175,431,304 USD. Berachain is down 16.38% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $637,052,141 USD. It has a circulating supply of 107,480,000 BERA coins and the max. supply is not available.
Book keepingWhat is Bookkeeping?
Bookkeeping is simply keeping track of all the money coming in and going out. Businesses use it to record their income, expenses, and profits, but traders can use it too. In trading, bookkeeping means recording every trade you take—wins, losses, fees, and even your emotions during the trade.
How to Apply Bookkeeping in Trading
Record Every Trade: Write down details like:
1. The currency pair you traded.
2. Entry and exit prices.
3. Stop loss and take profit.
4. Win or loss amount.
The reason for taking the trade.
Track Your Emotions: Were you confident, scared, or overexcited? Noting this down helps you spot patterns in your mindset.
Review Weekly and Monthly: At the end of the week/month, check your stats:
What’s your win rate?
Which setups work best for you?
Are you making more than you’re losing?
How This Improves Trading
Identifies Strengths & Weaknesses: You’ll see what works and what doesn’t.
Stops Emotional Trading: Tracking emotions helps you avoid revenge trading.
Helps Adjust Risk Management: If losses are too big, you’ll see it early and adjust.
Increases Consistency: The more data you have, the easier it is to refine your strategy.
A simple trading journal (even in a notebook or spreadsheet) can make a big difference over time.
As for me I do all my book keeping in notion
Bitcoin at Critical Support – Will It Hold or Break? Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Forecast – Potential Breakdown Ahead?
Key Observations:
📉 Strong Support Retest: Bitcoin is currently testing a major support zone around $81,350 - $81,000.
📉 Bearish Momentum: The price has been in a steady downtrend, struggling to hold above key moving averages.
📉 Breakdown Potential: If Bitcoin fails to hold this support, we could see further downside towards $80,046, and possibly as low as $77,685.
Possible Scenarios:
🔴 Bearish Case: A clear break below $81,000 could accelerate selling, leading to a drop towards $80,000 or lower.
🟢 Bullish Case: If BTC holds this support and forms a reversal pattern, we might see a bounce back towards $83,000+.
⚠️ Watch for confirmation! A breakdown could trigger strong bearish momentum! 🚨
What’s your outlook for BTC? Will it hold or break down further? Let me know in the comments! 👇🔥
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Crypto #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
HolderStat | BTC daily digestBitcoin price today ~ FWB:83K (-5% 24h). BTC futures open interest down ~7%, funding +0.006% 📉
Wider market 🌐: Altcoins fell too (ETH -6%, SOL -12%). Sentiment is split – some shout #BuyTheDip, others urge caution.
📰 CoinDesk: Tariff news spooked crypto markets, fueling BTC’s drop. Meanwhile, whales (big holders) bought this dip 🐳 – a bullish sign.
🔍 Analysis: Traders remain cautious, but whale dip-buying shows big players bullish. Expect crypto bulls 🐂 and bears 🐻 to battle it out for now.
_____________________
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Tencent Holdings (TCEHY) – Technical & Fundamental OutlookTencent Holdings Limited (TCEHY) is currently trading between $62–$64, maintaining structure within a well-defined ascending channel. After testing the $73 resistance level—a key price from 2020—the stock faced rejection, triggering a retracement phase and a shift into a daily consolidation range.
This range now appears to be forming a short-term descending pullback channel, potentially continuing into June–July. Based on historical price action, the next key demand zone sits between $55–$60, a level that served as multi-year support and resistance from 2018 to 2024. A revisit of this zone would likely draw strong buying interest, making it a high-probability long opportunity.
Technical Levels to Watch:
Buy Zone: $55–$59 (long-term structural support)
Mid-Term Resistance: $73 (tested and rejected, but weak)
Breakout Target: $80–$81 (resistance from 2020)
Major Upside Level: $99 (2021 all-time high)
From a macro perspective, Tencent is strongly positioned in China’s growing tech ecosystem, with diversified operations across gaming, artificial intelligence, and quantum technologies. These sectors remain critical to the country's long-term innovation strategy.
If Tencent successfully holds the $55–$60 support zone and regains momentum, a move toward $80–$81 by September becomes plausible. A confirmed breakout above that range would put $99 back on the map, opening the door for new all-time highs into late 2025.
Conclusion:
Current market structure suggests we may be entering a healthy retracement phase within a larger bullish trend. The $55–$59 zone offers a favorable risk-reward area for long-term positions, with strong upside potential as Tencent continues to align with China’s tech-driven growth narrative.
Bitcoin (BTC) on 4-hour timeframe. Current Price: Bitcoin is currently trading around $81,830.
Trend Line: There is a downward trend line indicating bearish sentiment over the observed period.
Support Level: There is a green support area around $78,424 to $80,000. Bitcoin needs to stay above this level to avoid further declines.
Recent Activity: After the decline, Bitcoin has attempted to stabilize near the support but has not made any significant upward move.
Considerations
If the price breaks below the support area, the bearish trend may continue.
Conversely, if Bitcoin breaks above the trend line, it may signal a reversal and potential upward movement.
Feel free to ask for further analysis or specific technical indicators!
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Finally happened. Semi’s getting creamed. Semiconductors and all the trappings are finally falling. The bubble has popped for the near term at least.
LONG 3 days ago
AMEX:SOXS is saving my portfolio🙏🏼👍
I’m using a 30 min chart with 10,50,200 sma’s. When the S&P drops below the 50 sma its time to short.
NASDAQ:NVDA was range bound and had dropped below 50sma. Time to short. But NASDAQ:NVDA was leading the way to a reset for all the other Semi underlings.
AMEX:SOXS the answer!!!!
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0951
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0853
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1146
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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Bitcoin falling is just started wait for below 75KAs we mentioned that before major daily support which was 92K$ break and also double top formed also red trendline which is now strong resistance is dumping price once again so soon price can fall more and hit targets like 80K$ and 75K$ and less.
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