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Silver futures breaking higherThe COMEX Silver futures (March 2025) is breaking higher amid an ongoing squeeze in New York on fears over import tariffs on silver potentially forcing short sellers to cover positions. Next level of resistance being the 50% retracement of the October to December correction at $32.10
Bitcoin (BTC)Bitcoin (BTC) successfully broke through the $103,000 level, confirming the bullish momentum we highlighted in yesterday's update. Following this breakout, BTC exhibited a strong upward move, reinforcing the ongoing positive trend.
Looking ahead, if BTC experiences a pullback, it could present a potential buying opportunity. Traders should watch for key support levels and signs of strength before entering an upside trade. A well-timed entry on a retracement could allow for a favorable risk-to-reward setup, aligning with the current bullish market structure.
Tzup NASDAQ:TZUP The stock's price movement suggests a potential for significant upward momentum. A decisive break above the $4.33 resistance level could signal a bullish trend. Investors are closely watching for increased trading volume to confirm this breakout. This potential surge could attract further investment and propel the stock higher. Traders should exercise caution and manage risk appropriately in this volatile market environment.
Pivot Points Part 1: Understanding the PivotWelcome to this two-part series on one of the oldest and most reliable tools in short-term trading: pivot points .
First developed in the trading pits of Chicago, pivot points gave traders a quick and consistent way to identify potential turning points for the trading day. Despite the evolution of markets from open-outcry to electronic trading, pivot points have stood the test of time. They remain a valuable tool for traders, providing a clear roadmap to navigate intraday price action.
In Part 1, we’ll focus on the pivot point itself—what it is, why it’s so effective, and three ways to incorporate it into your trading. In Part 2, we’ll build on this foundation by delving into the support and resistance levels derived from the pivot.
What Is the Pivot Point?
At its core, the pivot point is a calculated price level based on the previous session’s high, low, and close:
Pivot Point (PP) = (High + Low + Close) / 3
This level acts as the day’s central reference point, dividing the market into two zones. Prices trading above the pivot point generally suggest bullish sentiment, while prices below it indicate bearish sentiment.
Day traders use the pivot point to gauge market bias for the session. If the price opens above the pivot and holds there, it often signals that buyers are in control. Conversely, if the price opens below the pivot and stays below it, sellers likely dominate.
The pivot point frequently acts as a magnet for price action, with the market often testing it multiple times during the day. This dynamic adaptation to the prior session’s activity makes it especially useful for short-term traders seeking actionable levels.
Pivot Point: S&P 500 5min Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
The Key Advantage: Objectivity
One of the standout features of pivot points is their objectivity. Unlike other technical tools that rely on subjective settings or interpretations, pivot points are calculated using a straightforward formula. This standardisation is a crucial advantage because it ensures that many traders are watching the same levels.
This widespread attention gives pivot points their strength. They act as a universal benchmark, creating a self-reinforcing cycle: when many traders anticipate reactions around a pivot point, the likelihood of significant price action at that level increases.
This objectivity also benefits newer traders by providing a clear, consistent framework for interpreting price movements. Pivot points eliminate guesswork, allowing traders to focus on developing strategies around reliable levels.
Three Ways to Use the Pivot Point in Your Trading
1. Developing a Bias
Where the price opens relative to the pivot point can set the tone for the session. In markets with a defined open and close, such as equities, the opening price’s position above or below the pivot point is a key indicator of sentiment.
For 24-hour markets like forex, the calculation is based on the high, low, and close from the New York session—the most significant closing price. While the opening price in these markets is less critical, understanding where the Asian session has traded relative to the pivot can provide valuable insights into sentiment and potential momentum for the day ahead.
Example: Tesla
In the below example, Tesla opens the session by gapping through the pivot point on the open. This is then followed by a period of consolidation above the pivot point – setting a bullish bias for the session.
Tesla 5min Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
2. Recognising Price Patterns Around the Pivot
Price action around the pivot point can reveal important trading opportunities:
• Bounce: A strong bounce off the pivot suggests it’s being respected as a significant level, often leading to continuation in the direction of the bounce.
• Break and Retest: If the price breaks through the pivot and then retests it as support (in an uptrend) or resistance (in a downtrend), it can offer a reliable entry point.
• Choppy Action: Repeated crossings of the pivot without clear direction indicate indecision—often a signal to step back and wait for clearer trends to emerge.
Combining these price patterns with candlestick signals, like bullish engulfing patterns or bearish pin bars, can add further confidence to your setups.
Example:
Here we see a classic ‘break and retest’ pattern form around the pivot on the FTSE 100 5min candle chart. Having initially held the pivot as support, the market breaks below the pivot and the retraces to retest – using the pivot as resistance and creating a well-defined short setup.
FTSE 100 5min Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
3. Enhancing Context with VWAP
Combining pivot points with the Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) can give traders an additional layer of confirmation. Both tools are objective, widely used, and calculated from historical price data, making them a natural pairing.
If both the pivot point and VWAP align as support or resistance, it strengthens the level’s importance.
Divergence between the two can provide insight into whether short-term momentum might conflict with longer-term trends.
By blending these tools, traders gain a more comprehensive view of market dynamics.
Example:
In this example we see price action on EUR/USD across two days. The first day sees the market make steady gains as prices hold above the daily pivot and VWAP. The second day shows a more mixed start with prices chopping back and forth on either side before finally establishing a foothold above VWAP and the daily pivot – leading to steady gains during European trading.
EUR/USD 5min Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Final Thoughts
The pivot point is more than just a calculated level—it’s a bridge between historical price action and current sentiment. Its simplicity, objectivity, and widespread use make it an indispensable tool for day traders. Whether you’re gauging market bias, identifying key price patterns, or combining it with other tools like VWAP, the pivot point provides a solid foundation for making informed decisions.
In Part 2 of this series, we’ll explore how the support and resistance levels derived from the pivot point have the potential to add further precision to your short-term trading.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
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UPDATE ON PENDING ORDERGBP/USD 1H - As you can see price has traded into our zone and has now activated our pending order. Price has put in the structure we wanted to see breaking down after the penetration.
I now want to see the introduction of bearish structure throughout this market putting in a deeper correction to the downside, allowing us to profit from the short trade we have placed.
This trade is currently running + 25 pips. (+ 1.25%) 1.25RR
A big well done to those who stayed patient with this pair and allowed price to play into your hands, this is how we play the game of Forex and profit.
Be sure to take partials throughout your trade and apply safety measures, as I always say its important we manage our trades correctly. Any questions drop me a message or comment below!
$MANTA Falling Wedge Breakout Loading? OMXHEX:MANTA Falling Wedge Breakout Loading? 🚀
MANTA is forming a bullish falling wedge pattern on the 6H chart!
Key support zone holding strong
RSI showing signs of reversal
Breakout above $0.65 could send price flying towards $2+
This setup looks primed for a massive move!
Are you ready?
XAU/USD Idea**Gold Market Analysis - 30 January 2025**
Gold is currently trading around $2,750 and nearing record highs. While the short-term outlook remains bullish, we should note that gold is overbought on the 1-hour chart. This suggests a potential pullback or correction soon.
1. **Current Trend**: Gold has been trading within a familiar range just below its record high of $2,790. The 14-day RSI remains above the midline at 63, supporting the bullish trend.
2. **Overbought Signal**: Given the overbought conditions, a pullback is likely. If gold fails to sustain above $2,765, we might see a sell-off towards immediate support levels at $2,745 and $2,731. A daily close below $2,745 could lead to further downside.
3. **Key Support Levels**: Keep an eye on the $2,700 level, where the 21-day SMA coincides. This could act as a strong support level if breached, leading to a more significant pullback.
4. **Fundamentals**: Economic uncertainties and mixed earnings results from major US companies could continue to support gold's safe-haven appeal.
$CELH - Could be bottomedNASDAQ:CELH Celsius Holdings is sitting on a lower trendline and a Fibonacci extension support. There are two wedges in play.
The MACD is starting to narrow, and the RSI is curling up, indicating that a reversal may be in the cards.
Targets are shown on the chart.
As always, I share my opinions and trades. I'm not suggesting anyone follow my trades. You do you.
#LIT (SPOT-INVEST) IN ( 0.450- 0.590)T.(4.500) SL(0.437)BINANCE:LITUSDT
#LIT / USDT
Entry( 0.450- 0.590)
SL 3D close below 0.437
T1 1.300
T2 2.200
T3 2.600
T4 3.000
T5 3.800
T6 4.500
1 Extra Targets(optional) in chart, if you like to continue in the trade with making stoploss very high.
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Golden Advices.
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* collect the coin slowly in the entry range.
* Please calculate your losses before the entry.
* Do not enter any trade you find it not suitable for you.
* No FOMO - No Rush , it is a long journey.
Useful Tags.
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ETH Bear Structure At Low Timeframe 👉 At Low Timeframe The ETH Price Formed a Bear Flag By The ABC Structure And There Is a Strong PRZ Formed At The 3200$ Area, For Me Its Better To Be More Caution In This Area Because Any Rejection From Here Will Cause a Corrective Move Toward a 2900$ Zone
📥 Scalp Traders Can Open a Short Here At 3190$ By The Tiny Stop Loss
+100 pips The Best Level to BUY/HOLD AUDNZD swing trade🔸Hello traders, let's review the 2hour chart for AUDNZD today.
Overall, trading in well-defined range since october, so we can focus
on buying low and selling high with low risk.
🔸Clearly defined set of overhead resistances and supports below
market price with liquidity distributed equally among buy side
and sell side order blocks. 1000 key s/r bulls, 1100 key s/r bears
🔸Primary pattern / structure is sequence of lows / sequence of highs
in well-defined range, traders should focus on buying/selling near premium prices.
🔸Recommended strategy for AUDNZD traders: BUY/HOLD near 0980/1000 SL25 pips
TP1 +50 pips TP2 +100 pips final exit 1100. good luck traders!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
SUIUSDT - Heavy correction ahead!3d chart shows breakdown of major trendline , bearish retest complete!
continuation of decline
The downtrend is expected to continue toward the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
If the price fails to hold this level, the decline is likely to extend further into the highlighted support zone on the chart
Best regards Ceciliones 🎯