Community ideas
KOG - US30US30
Looking at this we have a clean reversal in play suggesting we’re going to get lower order regions before a potential RIP. The red boxes have been added and may give us opportunities to capture the tap and bounces on the smaller TFs.
If we can support lower, we could very well see this push up into the ideal target level we have illustrated.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold - The clear top formation!🪙Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) just created a top formation:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the past four months, Gold has overall been moving sideways. Following a previous blow-off rally of about +25%, this cycle is very similar to the 2008 bullish cycle. Bulls are starting to slow down which will most likely result in the creation of at least a short term top formation.
📝Levels to watch:
$3.000
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
EURUSD I Technical & Fundamental Forecast Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Massive Move Ahead? $X Coiling Tight for Breakout$X looks ready for a big breakout.
After months of moving sideways, it's now forming a large symmetrical triangle on the daily chart. The price is getting tighter between strong support and a falling trendline.
Buyers have stepped in many times near the bottom, which shows clear accumulation.
If $X breaks above the trendline and holds, it could move fast.
Breakout level: 0.000058
Invalidation: Daily close below 0.000038
The risk-to-reward setup is amazing.
If it breaks out, $X could become one of the top gainers this season.
DYOR, NFA
#X #Altseason2025
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our levels being respected inline with our plans to buy dips.
We started the week with our bearish target 3330 being hit followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 3306 inline with the retracement range. This was hit perfectly completing the retracement range, followed with the weighted level bounce now heading towards 3330.
We still have the market opening bullish gap left at 3358 and will need a challenge and ema5 lock above 3330 to re-confirm this again.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3358
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3358 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3416
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3330 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3306 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3283
3254
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Bullish reversal off major support?The Gold (XAU/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 3,301.09
1st Support: 3,280.12
1st Resistance: 3,343.92
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold will continue to fall today.Gold continued to fall in the US market after hitting a high on Tuesday and hit a recent low. Currently, there is a fierce competition between long and short positions. The repeated swings in the US tariff policy have caused fluctuations in risk aversion sentiment, and the probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates above 95% in July has supported the US dollar. Technically, we need to focus on the key support of 3260 and the strong resistance range of 3320 above. The hourly chart shows that the short-term moving average diverges downward, and the K-line is under pressure, showing short-term fatigue, suggesting that there is still a need for a correction today.
Thank you for your likes and support!
I will continue to share my views.
I wish you a smooth trading!
KOG - DAXDAX:
Let’s have a quick look at DAX and apply the red boxes to the 4H Chart. We have our bullish above indication which if supported, should give us a move into the 23,400 region initially. That’s the level that will need to break to go higher with our ideal target level being above at the 24,6-700 region before a potential RIP.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Goldman Says $4K – My Chart Says Sell💥📉 Gold Analysis – Divergences, Resistance, and a Short Bias 🪙⚠️
Hey Traders,
As promised in the latest video, here's the official chart update for Gold – and the message is clear: I'm short.
📊 What I See on the Chart
We're now well below the 3,446 resistance, with early signs of weakness showing up across multiple timeframes. I’ve laid out both the 2-Day and 4H charts in this post, and here’s what I’m tracking:
⚠️ Technical Warning Signs:
🔻 2D chart: Six bearish divergences
– RSI, Stochastic, CCI, OBV, MFI, and MACD all flashing red
📉 1D chart: Same thing — six divergences, telling me momentum is fading
⏳ 4H chart: Price action breaking trendlines, and support at 3,237 looks shaky
🚨 If that breaks, my main support zone is at $3,000 – and that’s where I believe we’re heading.
This is not just a pullback. This is the kind of confluence you can’t ignore if you trade technically.
🔁 Sentiment Shift
Back in December '22 and again earlier this year, I was long Gold – and it was the right call. But now?
📌 This chart has gone from momentum to exhaustion.
📌 I see less demand, softer momentum, and strong bearish divergence stacking across every major timeframe I watch.
🎯 Trade View
✅ I’m short Gold.
🎯 Targeting the $3,000–3,050 zone.
📉 Invalidated if we reclaim and close above $3,446 with strength.
It’s that simple. Nothing personal – just structure, divergence, and flow.
🧠 The Chart vs. The Narrative
Recently, I saw a note from Goldman Sachs forecasting $4,000 Gold. Maybe they’re right.
But I’ll be honest with you – I don’t buy the media hype.
I'm not here for the headlines.
I'm a chart guy. Always have been. Always will be.
The chart is the map to the treasure – and that’s the only thing I follow.
🧠 I cover this and the broader macro setup (Dollar, BTC, DAX, Tech, BTC.D, and more) in the full 20-min video just dropped. If you haven’t watched it yet, go catch up — it explains the logic and why this isn’t just a gold story.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
XAU/USD) order block back up trand Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, focusing on a potential reversal from a key support/order block zone. Here's a full breakdown
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Chart Analysis – XAU/USD (1H)
1. Key Zone: Support Level / Order Block (Yellow Box)
The price is currently testing a strong support zone that previously acted as a bullish order block (demand area).
This zone is also near a diagonal trendline and a prior breakout level, adding confluence to the setup.
2. Reversal Anticipation (Black Zigzag Path)
The chart suggests two possible scenarios from the support area:
A bullish bounce leading price up toward:
Target 1: 3,343.05 (near 200 EMA)
Target 2: 3,364.62 (upper resistance)
A break below the yellow support zone, triggering a deeper move toward:
Key support: 3,247.55
3. RSI Oversold Signal
RSI (14) is at 32.66, which is near oversold territory, signaling potential for a bullish reversal if buying pressure steps in.
4. EMA (200 - Blue Line)
EMA at 3,330.95 currently acts as dynamic resistance.
If price bounces from the order block, this EMA may serve as the first reaction level before further upside.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
Bias: Bullish bounce if price holds above 3,296.04 (order block support).
Entry Zone: Current price near 3,301 or confirmation bounce candle.
Targets:
TP1: 3,343.05
TP2: 3,364.62
Invalidation: Strong break and close below 3,296.04 may open the path to 3,247.55.
RSI: Favoring reversal conditions (near oversold).
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XAU/USD 3H CHART PATTERNOn this XAUUSD 3-hour chart, price has broken out of the descending channel and is retesting near the 3304 area, aligning with a bullish change of character (CHOCH) zone for a potential buy setup. The chart shows a clear upward projection after the retest, targeting a move towards the upper resistance zone around 3440. This setup aligns with market structure respecting previous support zones and aiming for higher highs after a successful breakout. Monitoring the retest area is crucial for confirmation, allowing a low-risk entry for a continuation towards the targets while maintaining clear structure. Price action should be observed for bullish momentum before continuation to the higher resistance levels indicated on the chart for a clean execution.
Entry: 3304
First Target: 3381
Second Target: 3440
Stop Loss: 3390/335
NIO Setting Up for a Big Move!🚨 NIO ALERT 🚨
Looks like a buy & fly setup is loading! 📈💥
📊 Technicals aligning beautifully with macro cycle support.
🔥 Volume picking up. The structure looks explosive.
📍 A clean breakout could send this EV beast soaring!
I'm watching closely for confirmation...
This could get FAST. ⚡
USD/JPY) back down Trend Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) on the 3-hour timeframe, anticipating a rejection from a descending trendline resistance and a move down toward key support levels.
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Analysis Overview:
Trend Bias: Bearish correction expected
Structure: Price is reacting at a descending trendline, which has held as resistance on multiple occasions.
Indicators:
EMA 200 (144.756): Price is currently above, but projected to break below it.
RSI (14): Overbought at ~74, signaling potential for a reversal.
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Key Technical Components:
1. Descending Trendline Resistance:
Price is approaching/has touched a well-respected downtrend line, marked by three strong rejections (red arrows).
This trendline has consistently capped bullish moves, indicating strong seller interest.
2. Bearish Reversal Expectation:
The projected path suggests a potential fake breakout or double-top, followed by a steep decline.
A two-stage drop is anticipated, with price first targeting the EMA 200 zone, then extending lower.
3. Target Points:
First target: Around 145.244, near EMA 200.
Final target: 143.048, aligning with the key support zone (highlighted in yellow), where price previously bounced.
4. RSI (14):
Currently overbought (73.29), signaling a likely retracement.
Prior peaks at this level led to notable corrections.
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Trade Setup Idea:
Parameter Level
Entry Near current price (~146.85) if bearish pattern confirms
Stop-Loss Above trendline (~147.30–147.50)
Target 1 145.24 (EMA 200 zone)
Target 2 143.05 (Support zone)
This setup offers a high-probability short opportunity if resistance holds.
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Risk Factors:
Upcoming economic events could trigger volatility (news icon marked).
A clean breakout and close above the trendline (~147.50+) would invalidate this bearish thesis.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary:
The analysis suggests a potential USD/JPY reversal from a descending trendline, supported by overbought RSI and prior rejections. The bearish projection targets a move toward 143.048, following a dip below the EMA 200 level at 145.244.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
USDJPY Price Accumulated|Time For Bullish Distribution|Setupsfx|The price has accumulated nicely and is now distributing. We have three targets in mind, but set your own based on your analysis. Our approach is purely technical, but also includes a basic fundamental approach. This analysis concludes over 1500 pips and is a swing move. Please use this analysis as educational purposes only, as it does not guarantee that price will move exactly as predicted.
If you like our idea, please consider liking and commenting on it.
Good luck and trade safely!
Team Setupsfx_
Macro Moves & Market Reversals: BTC-Metals-Tech-Dollar & more! 🤖📊 Macro Moves & Market Reversals: Bitcoin, Metals, Tech, Dollar & DAX Breakdown 🔥💹
Hey beautiful people,
FXPROFESSOR here with a massive market update to kick off the week. This one’s for my serious traders—those of you ready to read the market like a pro 📚💡
We’re in a critical transition. The Trump–Powell standoff, rate cut games, tariff escalations, and a surprising shift in risk appetite across bonds, metals, and equities are reshaping the entire trading landscape.
Let’s get into the full breakdown 👇
🧠 MACRO FIRST – THE FUNDAMENTAL PULSE
🟢 Interest Rates:
The Fed is keeping rates steady at 4.25%–4.50%, citing strong jobs data. 147K jobs added, unemployment at 4.1%. The market wanted bad news for rate cuts... didn’t get it.
🗓 September remains the most likely cut, but the Fed isn’t rushing. Strong labor = slow policy change.
⚠️ Tariffs Heating Up:
Trump just slapped 25–40% tariffs on imports from Japan, Korea, and others – effective August 1.
➡️ If no political resolution by July 9, prepare for a volatility wave.
Tariffs = supply chain risks + cost-push inflation.
💣 Geopolitics:
Middle East tensions remain background noise, but no major disruptions for now. Still, oil remains sensitive.
📈 Risk Appetite (Bonds):
U.S. Treasuries still lagging, but junk bonds and quality credit (LQD) have pumped. That’s a big clue: risk appetite is returning, even without a Fed pivot.
📉 DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) – "THE YEAR OF THE NORMALIZED DOLLAR"
We’ve followed this dollar short all year.
🔻 From rejection at 100.965, DXY dropped straight into our long-term 94–95 target zone.
📌 Now what? This level is MAJOR. A bounce could trap dollar bears.
🧭 No new short from me unless we re-tag 100+. The juice is squeezed.
Key takeaway:
The dollar already priced in rate cuts, and we didn’t even get them. That’s telling me the next macro move might not be so predictable.
💰 BITCOIN – STILL THE KING
📍 BTC at $115K resistance – a level I’ve charted for years, not weeks.
Three hits:
1️⃣ First rejection
2️⃣ Second rejection
3️⃣ And now... a decisive moment
🚨 Break 115K → BTC flies.
📉 Fail here → we could revisit $64K, yes, seriously. I’m ready for both outcomes.
This is not the time for hopium. It’s 50/50.
🪙 BTC DOMINANCE – THE ALTCOIN SWITCH
BTC.D is now above 65%. That means:
✔️ Capital flowing back into BTC
❌ Altcoins not ready yet
We don’t chase alts until BTC.D hits 71.3–72.9%. That’s the real “altseason trigger zone.”
🔒 I’m personally turned off from alts for now—too much noise, too many memes, not enough macro support.
🔩 PRECIOUS METALS – SHINING BRIGHT
💛 Gold (XAU/USD):
Reached near $3,500 highs
Now stalling
🛑 Taking profits here – caution warranted.
🤍 Silver (XAG/USD):
13-year high
Holding $36+ well
Potential breakout pending global inflation data
💿 Platinum (the sleeper):
+47% YTD
Beautiful long setup played out exactly as planned
Still bullish above $1,400 if supply squeeze continues
💡 ETFs in metals are seeing inflows – more institutions hedging as dollar weakens.
🚗🔌 TECH STOCKS – NVDA, TSLA & THE NASDAQ
📈 NVIDIA (NVDA)
Best trade of the year for me
Clean re-entry, now hitting ATH levels
AI demand + tight supply = rocket fuel
⚡ Tesla (TSLA)
Bounce off 4H trendline
Still lagging slightly – political tensions (Trump vs. Musk) not helping
But levels are working like a charm
📊 NASDAQ (QQQ)
Hit our “max pain” zone perfectly
Rebounded with textbook precision
Momentum intact – watching for new highs
🇩🇪 DAX INDEX – CHARTS DON’T LIE
All-time high. Boom. Called it weeks ago.
Despite:
No Russian energy
Industrial drag
ECB policy constraints
📌 But what worked?
➡️ Simple chart structure.
➡️ Market psychology.
➡️ Pure TA.
Now at resistance again. Watch carefully – support below is clearly defined.
🧾 FINAL THOUGHTS – THE PROFESSOR'S NOTES
🔹 The market’s narrative can change fast, especially with Trump in the mix. He’s Mr. Volatility.
🔹 Powell holds the real power – and right now, he’s not flinching.
🔹 Risk appetite is back – but not evenly. Bitcoin is leading, altcoins are lagging, metals are maturing.
🔹 If rate cuts materialize in September, expect massive rotation across all risk assets.
💭 Until then, I’m playing level-to-level. No FOMO. Just charts and logic. That’s how we survive, and thrive.
Let me know which chart you want next – and thank you for staying sharp 💪📚
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Cardano Forming Potential Reversal Structure Inside TriangleHello guys!
Cardano’s been stuck inside this big descending triangle for months. We had a fake breakout a while back that totally failed.
Now, price is back at support and showing bullish divergence. That’s usually a sign sellers are getting tired.
If buyers step in here, I’m expecting a move back up toward 0.67–0.70 (top of the triangle). But if it loses the 0.53 support, that setup’s off the table.
Bias: Leaning bullish
🎯 Target: 0.67–0.70
Invalidation: Clean break below 0.53
Let’s see how this plays out.
Tesla - Major Breakout BrewingTesla has been going through the wringer, between Robotaxi news, tariffs and the ongoing feud between the most powerful man in the world (Trump) and the richest man in the world (Elon). No doubt the news has had its fair share of impact on the stock. But Technicals will always hold more weight than news. I'll breakdown a few reasons why I believe this stock is due for a major run to ATHs
As you can see on this 4H chart, a nice falling wedge is forming and PA is respecting it, even with the wild gaps. On top of this being a bullish pattern, TSLA is also in a crucial area of support within the $290s . If you look back to Jun 9th 2025, you can see Tesla bounced from the 281 level to the 330s which is another indicator of strong support. Not to mention, a the 50 MA crossed the 200 MA on the daily on July 1st which is another bullish indication. The wedge looks to bottom out at the 280 level but I don't see this stock going that low. $290, 291 is an optimal entry to go long.
The long term trend line from April 21st 2025 has not been completely invalidated as of yet. If it retests at 310 and falls back within the wedge, I am still bullish. If price falls under $280, I am bearish. But until then, load up because the next stop is $350 after breakout, then $400, then ATHs. I'm expecting the breakout to happen by earnings or potentially before if this unnecessary feud between Trump and Elon ends.
P.S. I didn't get a good entry on this trade but I have a long position due to expire on the 25th.
Good luck trading.
-AceBoogieWitMe
SPY: How are ya?Long time no talk.
Just an update to appease some people requesting updates haha.
Mostly going over the larger term outlook for SPY, the quarterly and some discussions on the weekly.
As always, not advice and remember to follow your strategies and risk management approaches!
Safe trades everyone!
7/2/25 - $btcs - Given sbet and bmnr... this?7/2/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:BTCS
Given sbet and bmnr... this?
- 14,600 eth = 35 mm usd? and mkt cap is like 50... so that's another 1.5 mnav
- it's even smaller, no options... and we see what low float stuff does lately
- add to this the "comps" (quotes b/c this one is substantially smaller) like sbet and bmnr have run (and continue to run today)
- nevermind this has an actual software biz associated w it (and hold your nose if analyst recommendation for growth are adequate for revenue)... but there's something else here
- and their metamask "partnership" whatever that means.
i think this one could run substantially if sbet and bmnr keep up the whacky action (fortunately we're doing well on sbet at the moment)
V