LIVE ACCOUNT or PROP FIRM? A Comprehensive GuideIn this video I discuss the pros and cons of trading with a Live Account or with a Prop Firm Account. Hopefully, this will give you a better idea on what would be more ideal for your situation and style of trading.
The FIVE factors I will talk about are:
1. Account Ownership
2. Regulations
3. Profit Potential
4. Financial Risk
5. Trading Rules
At the end of the day, as a trader you should ALWAYS manage your money and your risk. Every choice you make is a trade. When you go to work, you trade your time for money. When you drink a bottle of coca cola you trade your health for quick gratification. Everything is a trade. If you go with a prop firm, treat it with the same respect as a live account. If you trade with a live account with a small balance, treat it like it is a large balance. Your wealth is a consequence of who you are as a person and how you live your life.
Trade smart, trade safe!
- R2F
Community ideas
How to read Volume properlyIn this video, I explain how to interpret volume bars in conjunction with price movements. Recognizing large volume bars is crucial for understanding significant market interest, especially when they accompany substantial percentage changes in the underlying asset. These insights can help confirm institutional buying, signal the beginning or end of uptrends, and indicate the start of sell-offs or the end of downtrends.
For example, large green volume bars can suggest the start of an uptrend or confirm institutional buying, while large red volume bars can signal the beginning of a sell-off or the end of a downtrend. This indicator simplifies the process of reading volume bars, making it easier to extract valuable insights from them.
Visualize $TSLA CALL pricing skew due to the upcoming earningsLet’s take a look at our new tradingview options screener indicator to see what we observe, as the options chain data has recently been updated.
When we look at the screener, we can immediately see that NASDAQ:TSLA has an exceptional Implied Volatility Rank value of over 100, which is extremely high. This is clearly due to the upcoming earnings report on July 23rd.
As we proceed, we notice that Tesla's Implied Volatility Index is also high, over 70. This means that not only the relative but also the absolute implied volatility of Tesla is high. Because the IVX value is above 30, Tesla’s IV Rank is displayed with a distinguishable black background. This favors credit strategies such as iron condors, broken wing butterflies, strangles, or simple short options.
Next, let’s examine how this IV index value has changed over the past five days. We can see it has increased by more than 6%, indicating an upward trend as we approach the earnings report.
In the next cell, we see a significant vertical price skew. Specifically, at 39 days to expiration, call options are 84% more expensive than put options at the same distance. This indicates that market participants are pricing in a significant upward movement in the options chain.
The call skew is so pronounced that at 39 days to expiration, the 16 delta call value exits the expected range. This signifies a substantial delta skew twist, which I will show you visually.
We see a horizontal IV index skew between the third and fourth weeks in the options chain. This means the front weekly IVX is lower than the IVX for the following week, which may favor calendar or diagonal strategies. Hovering over this with the mouse reveals it’s around the third and fourth week.
In the last cell, we observe that there’s a horizontal IVX skew not just in weekly expirations but also between the second and third monthly expirations.
Now, let’s see how these values appear visually on Tesla’s chart using our Options Overlay Indicator. On the right panel, the previously mentioned values are displayed in more detail when you hover over them with the mouse. The really exciting part is setting the 16 delta curve and seeing the extent of the upward shift in options pricing. This significant skew is also visible at closer delta values.
When we enable the expected move and standard deviation curves, it immediately becomes clear what this severe vertical pricing skew in favor of call options means. Practically, market participants are significantly pricing in upward movement right after the earnings report.
Hovering over the colored labels associated with the expirations displays all data precisely, showing the number of days until expiration and the high implied volatility index value for that expiration. Additionally, a green curve indicating overpricing due to extra interest is displayed. Weekly expiration horizontal IVX skew values appear in purple, and those affected by monthly skew are shown in turquoise blue.
The 'Lite' version of our indicators is available for free to everyone, where you can also view Tesla as demonstrated. Pro indicators are available more than 150 US market symbols like SPY, S&P500, Nvidia, bonds, etfs and many others.
Trade options like a pro with TanukiTrade Option Indicators for TradingView.
Thank you for your attention.
How to Plot Head & Shoulders Pattern on TradingViewWelcome back, Traders!
We’re excited to have you here on TradingView where we share valuable trading insights and educational posts to help you succeed in the markets. Today, we’re diving into one of the most reliable chart patterns in technical analysis: the Head and Shoulders pattern. Understanding and identifying this pattern can significantly improve your trading strategy, whether you’re dealing with forex, stocks, or commodities.
What is the Head and Shoulders Pattern?
The Head and Shoulders pattern is a bearish reversal pattern that indicates a potential end to an uptrend and the beginning of a downtrend. It consists of three peaks:
Left Shoulder: The first peak followed by a decline.
Head: The highest peak followed by a decline.
Right Shoulder: A peak similar in height to the left shoulder, followed by a decline.
The neckline is the support line that connects the lows after the left shoulder and the head.
How to Trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern:
Identify the Pattern: Look for the three distinct peaks with the head being the highest.
Draw the Neckline: Connect the lows after the left shoulder and the head to form the neckline.
Entry Point: Enter a short position when the price breaks below the neckline.
Target: Measure the distance from the head to the neckline and subtract this distance from the breakout point to set your target.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the right shoulder to manage your risk.
Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern
Conversely, the Inverse Head and Shoulders is a bullish reversal pattern signaling the end of a downtrend and the start of an uptrend. It consists of three troughs:
Left Shoulder: The first trough followed by a rise.
Head: The lowest trough followed by a rise.
Right Shoulder: A trough similar in depth to the left shoulder, followed by a rise.
The neckline is the resistance line connecting the highs after the left shoulder and the head.
How to Trade the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern:
Identify the Pattern: Look for the three distinct troughs with the head being the lowest.
Draw the Neckline: Connect the highs after the left shoulder and the head to form the neckline.
Entry Point: Enter a long position when the price breaks above the neckline.
Target: Measure the distance from the head to the neckline and add this distance to the breakout point to set your target.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the right shoulder to manage your risk.
Follow us on TradingView for more helpful ideas and educational posts!
Stay tuned as we continue to share insights that will help you on your trading journey. Happy trading! - BK Trading Academy
A Simple/Consistent Trading Strategy Using AnchorBars For AllI was talking with a friend today and he stated he just wanted something simple and consistent.
He stated he was using Weekly, Daily, and 30 Min charts to try to confirm his trade setups.
He did not want to swing for trades too often - only when the Weekly, Daily, 30 Min charts aligned.
I've build multiple systems somewhat like the one I'm showing you in this video. The trick to managing this system is to avoid consolidation periods. When price settles into an extended sideways range - you want to cut your trading down to almost NOTHING and wait for a more defined trend.
Here you go. Simple and easy.
If you don't understand AnchorBars, you can learn more on my other TradingView videos.
Go Get Some...
ICT Breaker & Mitigation Blocks EXPLAINEDToday, we’re diving into two powerful concepts from ICT’s toolkit that can give you an edge in your trading: Breaker Blocks and Mitigation Blocks. There are one of my favourite PD Arrays to trade, especially the Breaker Block. I’m going to explain how I interpret them and how I incorporate them into my trading. Stay tuned all the way to the end because I’m going to drop some gold nuggets along the way"
Ok, so first of all let’s go through what both these PD Arrays look like and what differentiates them, because they are relatively similar and how they are used is practically the same.
On the left we have a Breaker Block and on the right a Mitigation Block. They both are reversal profiles on the timeframe you are seeing them on, and they both break market structure as you can see here. The actual zone to take trade from, or even an entry from, in the instance of this bearish example is the nearest down candle or series of down candles after price makes a lower low. When price pulls back to this area, one could plan or take a trade.
The defining difference is that a Breaker raids liquidity on its respective timeframes by making a higher high or lower low before reversing, whilst a Mitigation Block does not do that. For this reason, a Breaker is always a higher probability PD Array to trade off from. As you should know by now if you are already learning about PD Arrays such as these is that the market moves from one area to liquidity to another. If you don’t even know what liquidity is, stop this video and educate yourself about that first or you will just be doing yourself a disservice.
Alright, so let’s go see some real examples on the chart. Later on I’ll give you a simple mechanical way to trade them, as well as a the discretionary approach which I use. And of course, some tips on how to increase the probability of your setups.
Price Action Fluency As A Second Language: Part TwoPlease watch my previously posted part one video to grasp the fundamentals. Now, let's dive into part two.
Price action fluency involves more than just technical knowledge—it requires a deep understanding of your psychological behavioral responses.
Your brain will have it as its prime objective to avoid pain. It will send signals to the eyes to ignore setups that don't perfectly align. Your eyes will only see what they want to see.
It is essential to train your eyes to recognize every failed setup. To observe every detail of each area, and identify every possible entry point for both directions. Leave no aspect overlooked.
The goal is for your brain to understand every nuance of price action intuitively and objectively. Just like when you read a book in a language you're fluent in, your brain doesn’t pause at every letter to decipher vowels, consonants, word meanings, or sentence structures. Instead, it processes a vast amount of information naturally and seamlessly. It doesn't skip letters or words out of fear; it treats every part of the language equally and objectively.
Objectivity is purity. Objectivity is clarity. Objectivity is mastery.
Mastering Market Trends: An Introduction to Heikin Ashi CandlesHeikin Ashi candles, originating from Japan, are a distinct type of candlestick chart used in technical analysis to identify market trends. The term "Heikin Ashi" translates to "average bar" in Japanese, which reflects their method of calculation
This video explains Heikin Ashi candles and how they can be used to improve entrances and exits.
Understanding Market Volatility and Its Impact on BitcoinIntroduction
Market volatility is a crucial aspect that every Bitcoin investor and trader must understand. In this section, we'll explore what market volatility is, how it affects Bitcoin, and strategies to manage it.
What is Market Volatility?
Market volatility refers to the rate at which the price of an asset, such as Bitcoin, increases or decreases for a given set of returns. High volatility means that the price of Bitcoin can change dramatically over a short period, both positively and negatively.
How Does Volatility Impact Bitcoin?
Price Swings:
Bitcoin is known for its significant price swings, which can be driven by various factors such as market sentiment, regulatory news, macroeconomic trends, and technological advancements.
Investor Behavior:
Volatility often influences investor behavior, leading to increased buying or selling pressure. This can result in rapid price movements, creating opportunities and risks.
Market Sentiment:
Positive news can lead to a surge in Bitcoin prices, while negative news can result in sharp declines. Understanding market sentiment is crucial for predicting these movements.
Managing Volatility
Diversification:
Spread your investments across different assets to reduce risk. Diversification can help cushion the impact of volatility on your portfolio.
Risk Management:
Use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses. Setting predetermined exit points can protect your investments during periods of high volatility.
Stay Informed:
Keep up with the latest news and trends in the cryptocurrency market. Being informed allows you to make timely decisions and react appropriately to market changes.
Long-term Perspective:
Focus on the long-term potential of Bitcoin rather than short-term price fluctuations. A long-term perspective can help you stay calm during volatile periods.
Conclusion
Understanding market volatility is essential for navigating the Bitcoin market. By recognizing how volatility impacts prices and adopting strategies to manage it, you can better position yourself to take advantage of opportunities while minimizing risks. Stay informed, diversify your investments, and maintain a long-term perspective to thrive in the ever-changing world of Bitcoin.
How to Send Alerts from Tradingview to Telegram I found a new way for sending alerts from tradingview to telegram channel or telegram group by using webhook. I’ve been looking for a while and most of the ways had problems. Some of them had delays in sending the alerts and were not secure because they were using public bots. Some of them required money and were not free. Some of the ways needed coding knowledge. The way I recommend does not have these problems.
It has three simple steps:
1. Creating a telegram channel or group;
2. Creating a telegram bot by using botfather;
3. Signing in/up in pipedream.com.
I made a video for presenting my way. I hope it was helpful and if you have any questions make sure to comment so I can help you.
Thank you!
My Million Dollar Trading Strategy That Works in All MarketsAs for price, history will always repeat itself, this structure repeats themselves in different forms everyday in the market. if you need more detailed work through on this, you drop your comments below or send me a dm.
wishing you guys a wonderful trading experience.
Trade the TREND with 4 Trend Indicators4 Trend Indicators you can use to identify the current MACRO Trend.
It's always important to know where your market is currently trading. Is it bullish, bearish, or range trading? If you have established the trend, you can trade with the trend instead of against it. Trading against the trend ( for example shorting during a bullish cycle ) adds unnecessary risk to an already risky trade (leverage).
1) Bollinger Bands
2) Logarithmic View
3) Super Trend
4) Moving Averages + RSI
Let me know how YOU determine the macro trend!
_________________________
BINANCE:DOGEUSDT MEXC:ETHUSDT KRAKEN:BTCUSD COINBASE:SOLUSD
EBS Base Breakout SetupHey everybody got my camera working for this trade idea. Here we have the ebs stock setting up for a breakout in an uptrend and we're hoping for a bullish continuation here. I describe my entry points my stop loss and my profit target one and the logic behind them and how to position your share count so you can manage your risk and prepare to lose as much or as little money that you want if the trade goes against you every decision in this trade has meaning and logic to it that pertains to the particular stock and the setup therefore you know why you are doing everything that you're doing when trading. Let me know if you have any questions or if this is new to you or if you need help setting it up or calculating how much money you should win or lose. The only issue with this stock is that it's not in the technology sector and it's not in the communication sector so it is not in the most high performing sector right now although the healthcare sector is performing pretty decently with financials as well.
10-Year T-Note vs. 10-Year Yield Futures: Which One To Trade?Introduction:
The 10-Year T-Note Futures and 10-Year Yield Futures are two prominent instruments in the financial markets, offering traders unique opportunities to capitalize on interest rate movements. This video compares these two products, focusing on their key characteristics, liquidity, and the differences in point and tick values, ultimately helping you decide which one to trade.
Key Characteristics:
10-Year T-Note Futures represent a contract based on the value of U.S. Treasury notes with a 10-year maturity, while 10-Year Yield Futures are based on the yield of these notes. The T-Note Futures contract size is $100,000, while the 10-Year Yield Futures contract size is based on $1,000 per index point, reflecting a $10 DV01 (dollar value of a one basis point move).
Liquidity Comparison:
Both 10-Year T-Note Futures and 10-Year Yield Futures are highly liquid, with substantial daily trading volumes and open interest. This high liquidity ensures tight spreads and efficient trade execution, providing traders with confidence in entering and exiting positions in both markets.
Point and Tick Values:
Understanding the point and tick values is crucial for effective trading. For 10-Year T-Note Futures, each tick is 1/32nd of a point, worth $31.25 per contract. The 10-Year Yield Futures have a tick value of 0.001 percent, worth $1.00 per contract. These values influence trading costs and profit potential differently and are essential for precise strategy formulation.
Margin Information:
The initial margin requirement for 10-Year T-Note Futures typically ranges around $1,500 per contract, while the maintenance margin is slightly lower. For 10-Year Yield Futures, the initial margin is approximately $500 per contract, reflecting its lower notional value and DV01. Maintenance margins for yield futures are also marginally lower, providing traders with flexible capital management options.
Trade Execution:
We demonstrate planning and placing a bracket order for both products. Using TradingView charts, we set up entry and exit points, showcasing how the different tick values and liquidity levels impact trade execution and potential outcomes.
Risk Management:
Effective risk management is vital when trading futures. Utilizing stop-loss orders and hedging techniques can mitigate potential losses. Avoiding undefined risk exposure and ensuring precise entries and exits help maintain a balanced risk-reward ratio, which is essential for long-term trading success.
Conclusion:
Both 10-Year T-Note Futures and 10-Year Yield Futures offer unique advantages. The choice depends on your trading strategy, risk tolerance, and market outlook. Watch the full video for a detailed analysis and insights on leveraging these products in your trading endeavors.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Psychology: Trade Smart - Focus on Facts, Not wishes!See the Truth: Trading Without Bias
Discover the critical importance of objective analysis in trading.
Learn how to avoid emotional biases, stay neutral, and focus on what the market truly shows you. This guide will help you improve your trading strategies and achieve more consistent results.
Mastering Ichimoku Cloud: Predicting Price Movements Like a ProIn this comprehensive video tutorial, I’ll guide you through the process of predicting price movements using the Ichimoku Cloud. Learn how to determine price direction with precision and identify the crucial "doorway" the price must pass through to confirm a trend.
We'll cover:
Understanding the components of the Ichimoku Cloud
Identifying key signals for trend confirmation
Real-life examples to illustrate how price interacts with the cloud
Practical tips for applying Ichimoku Cloud analysis in your trading
Join me as I share my expert insights and provide step-by-step guidance to help you master the Ichimoku Cloud. Don’t forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more trading lessons and strategies. Let's elevate your trading skills together! 🚀💹
Keys to the Kingdom: How to Become a Badass TraderReady to unlock the secrets of badass trading? In this video, I'm sharing the ultimate guide to becoming a successful and confident trader. Whether you're a beginner or a seasoned pro, these tips and strategies will elevate your trading game to new heights.
We'll cover:
Mastering technical analysis and reading market trends
Developing a solid trading plan and sticking to it
Managing risk like a pro to protect your capital
Recognizing key opportunities for maximum gains
Building the right mindset for trading success
Join me as I reveal the keys to the kingdom and transform you into a badass trader. Don't forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more powerful trading insights and strategies. Let's dominate the markets together! 🚀💹
Debunking Al Brook's 90 Minute Theory (81% Win Rate Strategy)Al Brook's states that on the E-Mini S&P500 after the first 90 minutes, we have a 90% chance of seeing the high or low of the day. I dug through the data myself from 6-28-2024 to 5-17-2024. Below (and in the video) is what I found.
First, I changed my timeframe to 90 minutes to make this task super easy. Then recorded all the of the 90 minute ranges within an excel sheet. This was not required for the research but, I had other plans for my blog. Then I looked to see what days the high and low were breached. These days were counted as days that disproved Al's theory. There were 12 where the high and low were breached.
17/29 = ~59%
There you have it, 59% the time the 90 minute range is either the high or the low of the day. But, what could you do with this information?
Since I already calculated the ranges, I had a good starting place. I tried to take the full average 90 minute range (22pts) and 1:1 Reward to Risk Ratio (R/R) indicators and place the entry at the closing price of the 90 minute bar. I didn't see any pattern that made since and the losers were considerably bigger than the winners. After making this video, I realized I should have only used half of the range. I think there is still work to be done here.
Anyway, I went through each opening range and looked for the distance of breakouts they had before turning around. I still used the R/R indicator for this but, that was just to get a measurement of points. At this point (no pun), I knew I could take an average of points from the range breakout and apply them to make a strategy.
If the original data says 59% chance we have seen the high or low of the day. That means if the next bar breaks the high or low of the range that we still haven't seen the high or low yet. A strategy with a 59% win rate really only needs a 1:1 R/R (without fees and commissions) to be profitable. So, I measured out 26.50 (this was the average breakout) on the R/R indicator for both a profit target and a stop loss. The entry was the first break of either the high or low.
The results were about 50/50 but, the total points collected was around 81.50pts over 29 days. Using a pretty mindless set and forget strategy. The one caveat was that positions that didn't hit stops or targets had to be closed out at EOD.
Well, 50/50 and 81 points of profit isn't bad but, what if we had a string of big loser and the strategy ended up 40/60 or something? Then we would be screwed. So, I applied a turtle trading technique where I only entered after a loser. If I won, I had to wait for another loser to appear. I couldn't trade a string of winners.
This is where the money shot is! There were a total of 11 trades when applying the turtle method. 9 of the 11 trades were winnings for a whopping 81% and 136pts over 29 days. What a set and forget strategy, huh!?
Ok Joe, but what about Al Brook's and his theory? Well, we have a small sample size here. Its a great starting place. I don't know what Al's sample size was nor do I know the timeframe in which this theory was developed. Markets are forever changing and I think that may be the case for this theory.