Pairs
Gold/silver ratioRobbyP, Private Client Trader Unum Capital, sent me a Bloomberg chart analysisng the Gold/silver ratio.
I thought I would take a closer look.
The current ratio is similar to that of 2016 and 2009. The move mid 2011 was on the back of massive short-term silver strength.
If you believe the current ratio will hold, then you SHORT Gold and BUY silver around these levels.
USD/JPY Yen volatility leading up to USA stock market open #3I've noticed a clear trend leading up to 6:30am pacific time USA stock market open time, I think people are hedging currencies in order to trade in different markets. You can ride it down then up more days than not check profile for more examples
AUD INDEX TDA WEEKLY trend is down ,
#1 best case wait until daily sup to short
#2 look for longs off daily /4 demand zones
looking to long aud pairs that correlate with index , daily demand in play with 4h trend long
looking for long opportunities on aud pairs that retrace to 4h/daily dem - targets daily sup zones
NZDCHF - Looking for upside.Hello young wolves!
This is NZDCHF Daily chart, Price has reached to bottom, and we are expecting move higher. This pair rejected key monthly level, broke out of the reversal pattern, and now we will be monitoring the lower TF. 4/1H for entryes.
- Please use this analyse only to support yours trade with correct MM and Strategy!
Multi TimeFrame Breakout IOTA IOTA been on incredible run. Looking for a quick day trade here. on the IOTA/eth pair. Im doing it on finance with a stop under .0037 like the look on this on the daily chart but also intraday nice flag developing.
GBPJPY 4H TREND STRATEGYGBPJPY
Been waiting a few weeks for the current uptrend to show signs of fatigue.
Two very important MAs for this pair have crossed confirming that the top has been found IMO.
Price has now tested MA20 as resistance below the MA50
Setup for Short order will be after current 4H closes bearish.
SL set to top of previous 4H candle 145.746 + Spread
TP when price passes back above MA20 and holds above
Linked to this idea is also a similar potential set up for USDJPY over the new few days.
GBPNZDStill major downtrend on GBPNZD, and price created new lows... in terms of new poss. opportunities (to take advantage) of poss. down move we would like to see rejection and bounce from resistance close to 1.77 level, and then wait for poss. opportunity based on our trading rules. Target at least pr. lows...
If price will come back above horizontal S&R - time to wait and observe.
Pairs Trade - AZO a sell and AAP a buy Look at the history of these two stocks going back to 2011. They are identical in performance and yet AAP reports its earnings FIRST and the stock tanked 30 points or 15% last month. Autozone reports on Dec 8th and could face a similar fate as AAP since they are in the same business.
Lately, new car sales have taken off to the upside and at some point investors could back off on the sky-high valuations of these stocks that have been delivering steady and consistent profits gains over the years.
It's never easy to call the end of a trend, but I'm thinking this is a low risk trade to be long AAP and short AZO into earnings next week. You can manage risk best using options to set up this trade.
Target 10% down on AZO relative to AAP. Your profit could come from one side or the other, but you would think that the catalyst would be the earnings report on 12/8/2015.
Stay tuned.
Tim
AZO 776.28 last
AAP 159.94 last
Follow-Up of Winning Long DuPont/Short SPY Pairs Trade As soon as DD turn up relative to SPY on the day highlighted it was the time to put on the trade. Even if you waited until it went over the 10-day average of the ratio, you would have gotten in with very good risk/reward. You would have had 1% drawdown on the first day's open, then as much as a 19% gain from there to today's high, or a 16% return to the last sale.
Had you just bought in on the day of publication, your maximum drawdown was 0.42% and your maximum upside was 19.79% for a worst/best ratio of over 40:1. Now that is a big trade.
You can see how easy it is to graph the ratio - just type in one symbol, then the "/" backslash and the next symbol, with no spaces. Ratios often tend to trend a bit better than outright positions, but there are no guarantees.
Wishing you many more returns.
Tim 2:59PM EST 10/6/2015
EURO YEN POSSIBLE 3rd TREND LINE TOUCH?EJ may have just put in a 3rd touch on the weekly decending trend line. The month of June EJ retraced to the 61.8% fib, will it hold? Last week produced a hammer bar and this week may end as a bearish engulfing with a possible CTL break. Could we see the lows of 126.000 and further down to 119.540?
Sell Short JetBlue (JBLU) compared to Buy Southwest (LUV)The ratio of LUV/JBLU is turning up after a long slide of 50% from 3.00 down to 1.50 where it is breaking a 5+ month downtrend in the past two days.
If you look at the pure price chart overlay of the two stocks, they oscillate back and forth over time and looking back one year (in this chart) you can see that LUV is lagging a bit lately and JBLU is ahead of itself.
I am looking at putting on both of these positions: Short JBLU to fall relative to LUV. And Long LUV to rally relative to JBLU.
Risk 3% to make 10% over the next 10-15 days.
Tim 1:48PM EST Friday, July 24, 2015
Riding the bullish momentum of the USDCAD - daytrade/intradayThroughout this entire year, USDCAD has been rallying which can confirmed on the larger timeframes such as monthly, weekly and daily.
I'm basing this trade based off of that momentum and on a simple trend-contination setup.
As you can see, price has been consolidating this past week and along with all the momentum n volume today coming because of greece, Im expecting this to go higher with a target of around 1.2800 - around 80 pip profit
WHY AUDUSD MIGHT BE A GOOD LONG-TERM SHORTALL CURRENCY PAIRS IN WHICH THE USD IS THE
DENOMINATOR HAVE BEEN FOLLOWING A SIMILAR
ARC SHAPE SINCE THE 2009 RECESSION.
AS WE CAN SEE HERE, JPYUSD, CADUSD HAVE REACHED
THEIR PREVIOUS SUPPORT AREAS. ONE CURRENCY
PAIR THAT HASNT REACHED ITS PREVIOUS LOW
IS THE AUDUSD. ALL MARKETS WORK TOGETHER,
THEREFORE I BELIEVE THIS PAIR IS LAGGING
COMPARED TO IS RELATIVES. AUDUSD COULD BE
A GOOD POTENTIAL SHORT IN THE LONG RUN
AFTER ITS CURRENT CONSOLIDATION.