PALANTiR PLTR: $26.00 | 6 months of Accumulation is over and now the sitting begins for the Digital Fortress of the US of A
should be a nice ride towards $100 only for those who got volume ..
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this is the only stock i own...
unloaded UBER TWTTR at $30
unloaded FB at $30..
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time to sit tighter
Palantir
A Bounce For Palantir?Granted that tech stocks are clearly hostage to macro at present (Trump v. Powell), a few are poised to rebound strongly should events permit. Palantir is one of them.
With support above the 50% of the move from the 8/5 low to the ATH, with good fundamentals, and a narrative that remains compelling (AI), Palantir may well continue its run if the results of next week's FOMC meeting are at all tolerable to equities markets.
Palantir has today broken the regression from the ATH to the Lower Low 3/10. Where stochastics stand, I can see a brief pullback to the low 80s Monday followed by a strong end of week. A daily close above 91--or, better yet, 98--would confirm for me Palantir's return to price discovery.
Any buys in the low 80's, I'd stop just under the 50% (at about 72).
Your Stock, My Analysis – Key Levels Straight to Comments!Hey-hey
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💡 Does Technical Analysis Work?
🔗 I picked 75 stocks from the S&P 500 purely based on technicals – and they outperformed the index.
Cheers,
Vaido
PALANTIR: It's a buy but don't expect a rally any time soon.Palantir is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.509, MACD = -1.570, ADX = 35.869) as it's trading under the 1D MA50. The long term pattern is a Channel Up that gives a strong buy signal every time it hits its 1D MA100. As a matter of fact, the February 19th High has been a HH for the pattern and last time the price hit that top (July 31st 2023), it entered a lengthy Accumulation period. As in today, the 1D RSI was again on a similar Bearish Divergence. Consequently we believe that every 1D MA100 test is a buy opportunity, but the breakout rally will probably take another 4-5 months to happen. Aim for the 1.786 Fibonacci extension (TP = 200.00).
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The Palantir of tradingA Palantir, if you did not know, is otherwise known as a crystal ball; a seeing stone. It was what Saruman used in Lord of the Rings to "see" and that ultimately led to his corruption by Sauron. I've seen this stock corrupt the career of aspiring traders...
I was asked my advice on Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR . I don't like to give "advice" on what for other traders to do... but I will say what I have done, what I am doing, and tell you a story that hopefully help traders be better.
I bought PLTR at an average price of about $9/share. Great! Not really, it was July 2022, and I bagheld all the way down to $6: a -33% unrealized loss over about a year of time. But what I had done was only purchased 200 shares. My position was relatively small; it didn't bother me. I slept just fine.
I was encouraged to buy PLTR by a good trading buddy. We would talk and trade every day for years since the pandemic. He was super bullish on this stock and I really bought it and held it in solidarity with my friend.
Then in May 2023 the stock finally took off. I had my shares and my friend traded PLTR options. However, they were short duration options. In the May - August rally he multiplied his account many times. More money than he had ever had in his young life. Things were going great. He was finally RIGHT! But then...
The stock stopped moving. Unfortunately, my friend had taken his success and tried to repeat it. Options need movement. PLTR did not move enough. He lost it all. He left our group and quit trading altogether...
...just before the August 2024 rally.
If you like the company, OWN THE SHARES
Since the pandemic I have tried my best to educate traders that the short term, gambler's mentality inherent in options is a path to disaster for the vast majority of traders. Patience. It's hard but it pays.
I still have my shares. They are up big. They are pulling back, sure. But I don't care. I was small, I have a very low buy price, and I can just wait.
Now that PLTR has moved though... inevitably people want it. Since the start of the year I've been asked repeatedly about buying it. What I tell people is that any tech or volatile stock like this WILL have AT LEAST a -50% (usually more) pullback. Be patient. I do not get interested until that happens. Even then it still may get even cheaper.
Be patient.
Trade wisely.
Palantir (PLTR): Is $79 the Key to Big Moves?Morning Trading Family
Palantir is at a crossroads, and $79 is the level to watch. Whether it holds or breaks will tell us a lot about what’s coming next. Let’s keep it simple and dive in.
If PLTR Breaks Above $79
The bulls might take charge, and here’s where we could be headed:
$82: The first stop. We’ll see if the bulls have enough strength to push through this.
$93: If $82 gets taken out, this could be the next big move.
If PLTR Stays Below $79
it could get a little rough. Here’s what to watch:
$64–$66: This is the median line and a possible landing zone if the selling continues.
What’s the Game Plan?
Keep it simple:
-Watch $79—it’s the key.
-Be ready for both the bullish and bearish moves.
-Stay disciplined and manage your risk.
If you like this breakdown, give it a follow or a like. Got questions about Palantir or struggling with another chart? Send me a DM—I’d love to chat!
Feeling stressed, burnt out, or finding it hard to stay consistent as a trader? You’re not alone. Reach out—I’m here to help you trade smarter and stay balanced. Let’s crush it together!
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
What’s Driving PLTR’s Recent Rally, and What’s Next?What’s Driving PLTR’s Recent Rally, and What’s Next?
Palantir Technologies (PLTR) has delivered a remarkable performance, surprising many investors and traders with its rapid ascent.
The stock surged from approximately $64 on December 20, 2024, to a peak of around $118 on February 11, 2025—an impressive 89% gain in less than two months.
This substantial rally raises an important question: Is PLTR at a critical turning point?
A key technical consideration is whether the stock will retrace to fill the $15 gap visible on the chart. Historically, gaps often get filled, but strong momentum can sometimes defy this pattern.
Traders and investors should closely monitor price action, volume trends, and any fundamental catalysts that could either sustain the uptrend or trigger a pullback.
As always, exercise caution and apply sound risk management strategies when trading.
📊 My chart analysis tells the story—trade wisely.
Bullish Opportunity: Palantir Technologies (PLTR) Current Price: $83.00
TP1: $90 (Analyst target)
TP2: $100 (Psychological resistance)
TP3: $120 (Upper channel target)
🚀 Why Palantir is a Bullish Opportunity
1️⃣ Strong Q4 Earnings Outlook 📊
Earnings Report Due: February 3, 2025 – Analysts expect another strong quarter.
405% Growth Over the Past Year – Palantir was the best-performing S&P 500 stock in 2024.
Wedbush Analyst Dan Ives Calls Palantir’s Q3 a "Masterpiece" – Revenue surged 30% YoY to $726M, driven by AI demand.
2️⃣ AI Leadership & Competitive Edge 🤖
AIP Named Best AI Platform by Forrester Research – Ranked ahead of Google Cloud, AWS, and Microsoft Azure.
AIP Growth Driving Revenue – U.S. commercial revenue is expanding rapidly, with unprecedented demand for AIP solutions.
Dan Ives Sees Palantir as the Next Oracle – If true, this would mean 185% upside from current valuation.
3️⃣ Institutional Confidence & Price Upgrades 💡
Wedbush Raised Price Target to $90 – Signaling continued AI-driven momentum.
Strong Hedge Fund Interest – Institutional investors remain bullish on Palantir’s AI expansion.
Market Cap Nears $185B – With 81.1% gross margins, Palantir is positioned as a high-growth AI leader.
4️⃣ Government & Commercial Expansion 📈
$400M+ Partnership with U.S. Army – Reinforcing Palantir’s role in defense & AI applications.
Strong Commercial Growth – Demand for AIP is driving both new customer conversions and existing client expansions.
The Biden Administration’s AI Push – Government spending on AI infrastructure directly benefits Palantir.
🔎 Conclusion
Palantir is positioned as a leading AI company, with institutional backing, strong earnings momentum, and government contracts fueling growth. With analyst upgrades and AI adoption surging, PLTR could see a breakout toward $100+ in the coming months.
Magnificent Seven & Hot Stocks: A Technical OverviewHello,
The past few days and weeks have brought a lot of movement in the stock market, and things seem a bit more redish than before. However, these kinds of moments also bring good opportunities—if you know where to look.
That’s why I decided to take a closer look at the some stocks from Magnificent Seven, scan some of the top market cap stocks, and give a short overview of what’s happening and what to watch.
Since technical analysis helps bring clarity in uncertain times, I will go over some key levels and liquidity zones that could present good opportunities. I will also cover a few stocks that are currently making headlines and generating a lot of interest in the investment world—such as Robinhood (HOOD) and Palantir (PLTR).
Let’s see what the market has to offer.
Microsoft (MSFT)
Microsoft has not made any major moves in the past few weeks, but selling pressure has started to build up, and the stock is now trading at its lowest levels in the past six months.
The most interesting and strongest support area is between $290 and $300. This is a level worth keeping an eye on.
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Amazon (AMZN)
Yesterday, I got an alert from TradingView that AMZN has dropped into an interesting price zone after a small correction. If you don’t already use alerts, I highly recommend setting them up—keeping track of every stock manually is nearly impossible.
The $175–$210 zone is technically solid. Yes, it’s a wide range but there are different strategies you can use here.
Amazon (AMZN) – What to do?
If you don’t own AMZN yet, this could be a good spot to start building a position slowly. Buy a little in the upper part, a little in the middle, and a little in the lower part of this zone to get a balanced entry.
If you already own AMZN, I’d rather wait and aim for the middle of the range if you want to add more. If the stock takes off from here, you already have a position, so there’s no real FOMO. No need to rush.
Of course, this is just a technical view—you should still analyze the fundamentals and your investment thesis. The technicals have spoken and now it’s time to listen to the fundamentals. That way, you get the full picture and can react accordingly.
--------------
Alphabet (GOOG)
GOOG failed to break through the psychological $200 level. It has tested this level multiple times since the start of the year, but the result has been red candles.
If you already own the stock and are considering adding more, or if you are thinking about an entry, the $140–$160 zone is worth watching. At the moment, I don’t see a more logical technical entry.
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Meta Platforms (META)
META has dropped 12% from its all-time high in just a few weeks. The stock has now slowly come to, what I call, a "picking zone" (if you have a better name for it, let me know! :D)—meaning a price range where those who make regular buys might want to pay attention.
Right now, the key levels to watch are ~$612 and ~$500, with $500 being the stronger level. The price has consolidated there a bit longer than around $612, and it also acts as a psychological support level.
--------------
Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B)
Berkshire has reached what I consider a profit-taking zone. If your fingers are itching and your wallet is waiting for a top-up, then why not? This doesn’t mean selling everything, but it could be a good spot for a partial exit—especially if you need capital for something else.
Why is this a logical profit-taking point?
Looking at previous price behavior around round numbers, we can see a pattern that works every time and your money can be “stuck” for years.
When a stock approaches a big round number for the first time, it tends to:
Consolidate – move sideways for a long time.
Get a strong correction – like Berkshire has done before.
Let’s make the round number concept clearer.
Imagine a stock price starts moving up from $30 and eventually reaches $1000.
Within this range, the key round numbers for me are: $50, $100, $200, $500, and $1000. These are levels where major market reactions often occur or levels that I trust the most as a criterion.
Let’s take Berkshire for example, touching these numbers for the first time:
$50 → 50% drop, took 5 years to recover.
$100 → Another 50% drop, also took 5 years to break higher.
$200 → Multi-year consolidation, 20% drop.
$500 → And now we’re here—your choice!
In a long-term portfolio, there are essentially two types of sales:
The investment thesis is no longer valid
Capital is needed for another purpose
If neither of these conditions is met, there’s no real reason to sell. However, if you need capital within the next six months, this could be a good point to do so. Historically, we’ve seen a pattern where the stock either undergoes a correction or remains stagnant for an extended period.
That makes it a perfect candidate for profit-taking—and if a correction does happen, there’s always the opportunity to buy back at lower prices.
At the moment, buying this stock could mean it stays within this price range for a few years, so I wouldn’t rush into new purchases.
--------------
Tesla (TSLA)
Historically, Tesla has followed technical analysis well due to its high volatility. It reflects market psychology very clearly, leaving visible footprints on the chart...
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I also cover these topics in-depth over on my Substack channel, where I break down the full picture and share my insights on the rest. If you want the complete breakdown and my take on what’s next, head over to my Substack (ENG).
🔗 Find the link in my BIO under the Website icon or simply copy and paste it directly.
See you there! 👀
Cheers,
Vaido
$PLTR WILL RETEST $112-115 PIVOT POINTAn overreaction in financial markets occurs when securities are excessively overbought or oversold, driven more by psychological factors than by underlying fundamentals.
The last two-day dip was excessively sold off.
BUY NASDAQ:PLTR NOW TO GET THE DEAD CAT BOUNCE OR RESTEST OF $112-115.
From there, let's see if the market pushes NASDAQ:PLTR to $120 or higher.
Investing in Palantir Technologies Inc. ( NASDAQ:PLTR ) could be appealing for several reasons:
Strong Growth Potential: Analysts expect Palantir to experience significant business volume growth in the coming years, with high growth rates anticipated.
High Profit Margins: The company has particularly high margins before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, contributing to strong profitability.
Financial Stability: Palantir has a sound financial situation, providing it with significant leeway for investment and expansion.
Positive Analyst Revisions: Over the past year, analysts have regularly revised their sales and earnings forecasts upwards, reflecting renewed optimism about the company's future performance
Palantir (PLTR) – What’s the Play?Hi all,
I've received a lot of questions about PLTR, so here’s my take:
Initially, if it were to approach $100 for the first time, I’d have nothing to say—it would be extremely risky, especially after the strong rally we've seen in recent months. The first approach to $100 can make strong retracements.
However, after analyzing the chart about a few weeks later, we got a solid weekly close above $100, which started forming a more structured setup. Now, there's at least a decent technical case for making a decision.
The highlighted box could be a reasonable buying zone—but keep in mind, this is still risky. Technically, it's shaping up, but your fundamental conviction should be strong.
Fun fact: In my home country, a well-known investor, Investor Toomas, has added PLTR to his portfolio. While that’s an interesting signal, we don’t know his holding strategy or reaction to current market moves but still, we can take it as a small confirmation from fundamental analysis.
Final Thought: Do your own research - buy it, skip it, the choice is yours! I can confirm that technically there is at least something to consider.
Cheers,
Vaido
🚀 Stay Ahead of the Markets - Get high-quality technical analysis, real investment ideas, and key price levels—without the noise.
📩 Subscribe to my Substack for expert insights that help you trade smarter!
📱 On mobile: Just scroll down and select your preferred language.
💻 On desktop: Find the links in my BIO —copy & paste or click the Website icon to go directly to Substack ENG.
PLTR: Won't be surprised by a 30-40% dipPLTR has been on a rip, but not without periodical 20-30% dips along the way. The way MACD is extended, it will not be surprising to see a somewhat meaningful pullback to start the wave 4 correction. Wave 2 was around 30% and lasted around a couple of months. Wave 4 can be quick and deep or can be a triangle that will take some time to resolve. Either way, I will be looking for $100 - $80 for support.
PLTR -- more volatility forecasted into MarchExpecting quick progression to 118$ level as final buy-side wave near term.
Looking for renewed significant selling action from that level to retrace price back to pre-earnings levels near 80-85$
Possibility exists (imho) that we fully retrace back to 63-64$ levels by April timeframe, depending on sentiment as we head into next FOMC meeting in mid-March.
After that, my cycles analysis indicates we will continue higher toward 120...Therefore, I will be planning on taking profits on put option contracts once underlying share price reaches below 85$, and will plan on scaling into long equity positions on discounts between 64-85$ for the projected subsequent buy wave to 120+
Your Most Requested Stocks Are Here - 15 Stocks, 15 Analyses!Hello readers,
Just a few days ago, I ran a "poll" - huge thanks to everyone who participated in the comments! The response was amazing: 130 mentions, 80 different stocks, and 15 tickers that stood out with multiple mentions. Stay tuned as I break down the most requested ones!
I initially planned to let this run longer, but interest has cooled off a bit, so I’ve decided to wrap it up and start summarizing the results so you can analyze them through the weekend.
Now, let’s get to it:
✅ A technical breakdown of 15 stocks.
✅ Key price levels and volatility zones to watch.
✅ Possible scenarios and setups based on the charts.
Some charts tell a clear story, while others… well, let’s just say not all price action is tradable and I’ll explain why.
Which stocks made the list? Scroll down and let’s dive in!
15. Microsoft (MSFT)
Looking at Microsoft's price movements, I wouldn’t rush into a position just yet. The stock has been stuck in this price zone for more than a year. While buying at the current levels could work out, there is also a risk that it remains in this range for another year.
Instead, I see two scenarios that offer a better approach:
1. This scenario relies on waiting for a pullback. A better price = better future returns. If the price drops to $290–$355/360, I would be ready to buy. Lower price levels often offer new liquidity, providing stronger momentum in the years ahead.
2. Wait for confirmation instead of guessing. Let the market show that investors are willing to push MSFT to higher levels before entering. Over the past year, the price action has established a resistance zone at $450–$460. A monthly close above this level would provide confirmation. However, patience is still key because the round number $500 could act as an obstacle. After a breakout, you have another two options:
Buy immediately after the breakout is confirmed - monthly close needed - or wait for a rejection from $500 before entering. This could provide an opportunity to buy at a similar price but with more confirmation and a stronger support level. This approach increases the chances that investment starts working more efficiently and from a better technical position.
14. Robinhood Markets (HOOD)
There isn’t much to say, the stock is flying. However, to add an educational perspective, these small pauses in the movement can create liquidity zones after a pullback.
If the stock pulls back and you find yourself wondering “Where is the right spot to enter?”, these pause areas provide potential opportunities. While this isn’t necessarily a setup, using these pullbacks effectively can help scale up your position in the stock or initiate a new one.
Many traders hesitate, thinking, "It's too expensive, it's too expensive," suddenly the price pulls back to a pause area. When that happens, you already know what to do - set your alerts.
13. Salesforce (CRM)
Confirmed Breakout:
We have three clean previous yearly highs - we mark them.
As investors, not traders, we focus on the strongest zone - we connect them.
Within this zone, there is a minor round number at $300, and for me, the strongest retest area is currently at $270–$300.
This level could serve as a key support zone for potential future entries.
12. Intel Corporation (INTC)
This is quite a difficult chart with poor price action, making it challenging to navigate. Personally, I wouldn’t take any action until one of these two scenarios becomes valid.
Deeper pullback for liquidity – The drop has been strong and intense and we could see lower prices as in 1996. A move below the current support level could attract new liquidity and hopefully, make the stock more attractive to investors.
Break above the strongest resistance – This scenario is highly time-consuming. Right now, the stock is trading below a major resistance area, and recovering won’t be easy, especially after such a sharp drop from a 2023 positive price trend. A break above $28 would make it more attractive for me.
For those already holding INTC, selling could be a strategic move. You could potentially buy back at lower prices, reducing the risk of having your investment stuck for several years. Given the current price action, breaking back above resistance will be a difficult battle - there are much better opportunities.
11. Novo Nordisk (NOVO_B)
I mentioned this stock on TradingView a few months ago, as well as at a financial conference in Estonia. The price has moved a bit but here is the initial technical thesis:
The key area remains 500–600 DKK, with the following criteria:
- A small pause in price movement, similar to what I discussed in the HOOD analysis.
- 50% retracement from the all-time high—for large-gap stocks, this level can offer strong volatility, if the fundamentals, in general, remain stable.
- The round number at 500 DKK, which could act as a psychological support level.
10. Coinbase (COIN)
A year and a half ago, I posted an analysis on TradingView about COIN, currently up almost 300% , highlighting an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. That pattern is also present today but on a much larger scale. Hopefully, history repeats itself and the outcome will be the same ;)
Currently, we have a massive Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. This pattern becomes valid only after a breakout from the neckline. Which has already happened! The price has also tested the neckline, but the movement has remained limited due to the strong resistance zone at $260–$290. Despite this, there has been a minor breakout above this level and from a technical standpoint, the price is currently trading within a potential buying zone for those interested.
Key criteria:
- A bullish Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is in place.
- The neckline breakout has already occurred.
- A minor breakout above the strong $260–$290 zone suggests further potential.
9. Meta Platforms (META)
"Pause areas" – If someone randomly picks stocks each month, for example, Apple this month, Amazon or Meta next month, then these price levels can be extremely useful for deciding what to buy.
For META, the key picking areas are marked on the chart as reference points for potential pickers:
8. NIO (NIO)
Mentioned three times, and I feel sorry for those expecting a useful analysis on NIO - I don’t have one. Technically, there is nothing to work with here.
The price action is basically dead, moving randomly without any clear structure. Yes, I could draw lines and mark support levels but that would be misleading for both - you and me.
Volume has dropped significantly compared to previous movements. When volume declines this much, previous price levels become irrelevant. As I mentioned at the beginning, if there’s something to analyze, I’ll share it. Right now, there isn’t.
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Closing Section (For TradingView Post), that wraps up the first eight stocks from the picks! I hope you found this analysis valuable but that's not all!
The remaining 7 stocks are now live on my Substack-ENG, including:
🔹 Tesla (TSLA) – Will history repeat itself?
🔹 Amazon (AMZN) – Smart entry levels instead of buying at all-time highs.
🔹 Palantir (PLTR) – The high-risk, high-reward case.
…and four more stocks that were highly requested!
Substack-ENG link is in my BIO (clicking the website icon), or you can find it by scrolling up - just below the main image.
See you there,
Vaido
Disclaimer:
This post is not investment advice, and the ideas presented are not recommendations to buy or sell any securities. It is intended for educational and analytical purposes, reflecting my personal view of the current market situation. Every investor should conduct their own independent analysis and consider the risks before making any decisions.
Name Your Stocks! I’ll Analyze the Most Voted Picks!Hello readers,
Let’s Do It Again! Name Your Top 3 Stocks for a Technical Breakdown!
A while back, I did this with crypto, and the response was insane – hundreds of comments and great discussions. Now, I’m bringing it to stocks! Will this get the same hype? Probably not… but prove me wrong! 😏
🔹 Drop three stocks you’re most interested in.
🔹 Boost the post to make sure your picks count.
🔹 I’ll analyze the most mentioned ones, highlighting key technical strengths, weaknesses, and possible scenarios.
If the chart offers clear insights, I’ll break them down. If it doesn’t, I’ll tell you why technical analysis isn’t reliable in that case – because knowing when NOT to rely on TA is just as important.
Let’s see what the TradingView community is watching – drop your picks below and let’s try this!
Cheers,
Vaido
The Next Palantir is Snowflake! 183% UpsideNYSE:SNOW : The next NASDAQ:PLTR
Snowflake is breaking out of the same monthly setup as Palantir did before they rocketed higher!
Measured Move: $470 🎯
Data is King and The King of data is NYSE:SNOW
A 3x from here to catchup to Palantir Mkt Cap!
NASDAQ:PLTR Monthly Chart Comparison:
Not financial advice
PLTR stock: do you have the patience for 700% gain in a decade?Do you even patience bro?
do you have the patience to wait 10 years to let a stock work for you?
what if you were staring at a huge gain in your account? could avoid the urge to sell?
#peterlynch #growthstocks
Journal of exit decision on PLTR stock. PLTR’s revenue grew 29% year-over-year, and Alex projects 30% year-over-year growth in 2025. Shares jumped 25% premarket after earnings. I sold at $60 per share in Nov 2024 because Alex sold a significant amount of his shares after the Q3 earnings around that price. I assumed he believed the company was overvalued and used that as a gauge to exit.
However, this was not the best approach since I didn't research whether he was selling for liquidity reasons or due to fundamental/informational purposes. Going forward, I will only sell a portion of my shares in great companies if they seem to be trading at a huge premium and will carefully consider the reasons why the management team is selling.
Lessons:
Don't sell the entire position at once if the company is great and projected to grow. If you feel the need to sell due to high valuation of because of huge profits, then sell half of the position and do this over the course of 1-3 months. Chances are the company can grow during that time and your exit can capture more upside if that happens. In short, this may help get a better exit price.
Consider the reasons why mgmt are selling shares before making a decision to act on that.
Consider why the premium is so high, ask yourself if those reason are valid and still exist and look at the annual rev growth rate and margins of the business. If the company is at a premium this growth rate should remain in play.
PALANTIR Target $110 then wait for correction.Palantir Technologies (PLTR) is repeating the January pattern that has been seen in both 2024 and 2023, which has the price rising by +72.50% for a peak. This gives us a $110 immediate Target, which should be relatively easy to achieve after such Earnings.
Once the peaked on this mark, the 2024/ 2023 fractals pulled back to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level before turning into a long-term buy opportunity again in preparation for the next Bullish Leg. As a result, after $110 is hit, our next buy level will be near $80.
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Strategy 2025. Introducing Palantir, BTC Killer Of The Year 2024It's gone 3 months or so since Palantir stock has joined on Friday, September 20 Stock Top Club, also known as S&P 500 stock index SP:SPX .
Palantir was one of the strongest contenders for inclusion in the broad market S&P500 Index.
This inclusion, as well as Dell (DELL), came after tech companies Super Micro (SMCI) and Crowdstrike (CRWD) also joined the index earlier in this year 2024.
Since that, Palantir stock became the best (i.e. #1) S&P500 index performer this year, with current +375% YTD return in 2024, being highlighted at 80.55 USD per share - the new all the history peak reached last Friday, December, 19 at regular session close.
What is most important also, even recent Federal Reserve (The US Central Bank) hawkish projections on monetary policy in 2025 were not able to stop the only game in the city, or even make a pause on Palantir leadership.
Since Palantir stock is rallying 7th month in a row, the stalkers remain decently far away, swallowing the galactic dust of Palantir shares.
Judge for yourself.
One of the nearest pursuer, Nvidia Corporation NASDAQ:NVDA (# 4 out of all S&P500 index performers in 2024) is nearly to finish the year of 2024 with +170% return, i.e. lagging against Palantir behind twice.
The quite similar things happen with the most popular and heavy c-coin, also known as Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD that is currently +130% YTD return in 2024.
What is most important also, Palantir stock outperforms both - S&P500 index, Nvidia Corp. and Bitcoin 7th straight month in a row.
In human words that means, Palantir stock monthly returns (every single month from May to December 2024) were better against each of mentioned above assets.
What is Behind this?
On November 4, 2024 Palantir Technologies has announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024.
“We absolutely eviscerated this quarter, driven by unrelenting AI demand that won’t slow down. This is a U.S.-driven AI revolution that has taken full hold. The world will be divided between AI haves and have-nots. At Palantir, we plan to power the winners,” said Alexander C. Karp, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Palantir Technologies Inc.
Q3 2024 Highlights
• U.S. revenue grew 44% year-over-year and 14% quarter-over-quarter to $499 million
• U.S. commercial revenue grew 54% year-over-year and 13% quarter-over-quarter to $179 million
• U.S. government revenue grew 40% year-over-year and 15% quarter-over-quarter to $320 million
• Revenue grew 30% year-over-year and 7% quarter-over-quarter to $726 million
• Closed 104 deals over $1 million
• Customer count grew 39% year-over-year and 6% quarter-over-quarter
• GAAP net income of $144 million, representing a 20% margin
• GAAP income from operations of $113 million, representing a 16% margin
• Adjusted income from operations of $276 million, representing a 38% margin
• Rule of 40 score of 68%
• GAAP earnings per share (“EPS”) grew 100% year-over-year to $0.06
• Adjusted EPS grew 43% year-over-year to $0.10
• Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term U.S. Treasury securities of $4.6 billion
• Cash from operations of $420 million, representing a 58% margin and $995 million on a trailing twelve month basis
• Adjusted free cash flow of $435 million, representing a 60% margin and over $1 billion on a trailing twelve month basis.
Is the stock growth fundamentally deserved? Definitely, "Yes".
Palantir stock Alpha
What is Alpha?
Alpha (a) is a term used in investing to describe an investment's ability to beat (outperform) the market, or its “edge.” Alpha is thus also often referred to as excess return or the abnormal rate of return in relation to a benchmark, or any other asset (even against simple sitting in a cash) when adjusted for risk.
The main graph represents a comparison across Bitcoin and Palantir stocks. Since Palantir outperforms BTC twice over the past 12 months (watch lower "percent bar chart" subgraph), so why isn't to continue the play, by staying in a long with Palantir, and kill "the new oranges" respectively.
PALANTIR: 1st test of the 1D MA50 since August. Is it a BUY?Palantir has turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.953, MACD = 2.150, ADX = 40.007) as it almost touched the 1D MA50 today for the first time in 5 months. The last time it was under it was on the August 5th low (which was supported by the 1D MA200) and is practically the trendline that helped the stock go parabolic inside the curved channel you see on the chart. Even if the 1D MA50 marginally breaks, the trend will stay bullish as long as the RSI S1 Zone supports. Until it breaks, we will stay bullish on PLTR, expecting the parabolic channel to make at least one more bullish wave, aiming for a standard +60% rise (TP = 100.00).
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