PALANTIR: 1st test of the 1D MA50 since August. Is it a BUY?Palantir has turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.953, MACD = 2.150, ADX = 40.007) as it almost touched the 1D MA50 today for the first time in 5 months. The last time it was under it was on the August 5th low (which was supported by the 1D MA200) and is practically the trendline that helped the stock go parabolic inside the curved channel you see on the chart. Even if the 1D MA50 marginally breaks, the trend will stay bullish as long as the RSI S1 Zone supports. Until it breaks, we will stay bullish on PLTR, expecting the parabolic channel to make at least one more bullish wave, aiming for a standard +60% rise (TP = 100.00).
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Palantir
Palantir (PLTR): Is $79 the Key to Big Moves?Morning Trading Family
Palantir is at a crossroads, and $79 is the level to watch. Whether it holds or breaks will tell us a lot about what’s coming next. Let’s keep it simple and dive in.
If PLTR Breaks Above $79
The bulls might take charge, and here’s where we could be headed:
$82: The first stop. We’ll see if the bulls have enough strength to push through this.
$93: If $82 gets taken out, this could be the next big move.
If PLTR Stays Below $79
it could get a little rough. Here’s what to watch:
$64–$66: This is the median line and a possible landing zone if the selling continues.
What’s the Game Plan?
Keep it simple:
-Watch $79—it’s the key.
-Be ready for both the bullish and bearish moves.
-Stay disciplined and manage your risk.
If you like this breakdown, give it a follow or a like. Got questions about Palantir or struggling with another chart? Send me a DM—I’d love to chat!
Feeling stressed, burnt out, or finding it hard to stay consistent as a trader? You’re not alone. Reach out—I’m here to help you trade smarter and stay balanced. Let’s crush it together!
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Buy or Sell PLTR?Overview
Palantir ( NASDAQ:PLTR ) is a software company involved in data analytics and operations management. Its primary revenue is generated by subscriptions and government contracts. PLTR has been making headlines as a growth stock so the question remains, is it too late to get in on the action? The truth is that nobody knows so this is where the savvy investors will shine.
Fundamental Analysis
The stock is overvalued with a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 494. A massive P/E ratio tells you one of two things: (1) the stock is overweight and due for a correction or (2) there are high expectations for strong growth. The P/E ratio isn't the end all be all, but it's worth knowing to get a pulse on market sentiments.
YTD (EPS) Earnings-Per-Share: $390,982,000 / 2,459,589,000 = $0.16
(Q3 Nine Months Ended Net Income) / (Q3 Total Diluted Shares) = YTD EPS
P/E Ratio: 79.08 / 0.16 = 494.25
(Current Market Price) / (EPS) = P/E Ratio
This could be an exciting time to invest in PLTR, but precautions should be taken in the event that the Q4 Annual Report falls short of expectations and sends the share price barreling downwards. Expectations vary per analyst but here is what I would like to see on the next Earnings Release on Feb 12, 2025:
2024 Annual Revenue (approx): $2.9B (+30.34%)
2024 Annual Basic EPS (approx): $0.20 (+100.00%)
Q4 Revenue (approx): $849M (+17.02%)
Q4 Basic EPS (approx): $0.09 (+28.57%)
Since 2020, Palantir has experienced an average annual growth rate of 89.05% and became a profitable company in Q1 of 2023 (earnings released May 9, 2023). The share price has grown tenfold since then. If Palantir can maintain profitability and reliable growth, then the rally is probably far from being over.
Technical Analysis
There are no reliable technical patterns that can provide trading confidence at this moment. In times like this, I feel that less is more. I am only utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels and drawing basic support lines to dictate the depth of potential corrections. The use of oscillators such as MACD and RSI seem like they may prove to be more misleading than helpful.
Scenario 1:
If the share price continues to rally, then my short-term price target would be between $111 & $123 before I would expect to see any resistance. In the event mixed sentiments continue then Support 1 (white line) may not see the bulls taking control again until the price drops around $76.50. The 78.6% Fib level rests at $75.31 so any further drops from this price level would leave me hopeful of a strong support around $63.
Scenario 2:
If Support 1 fails entirely then Support 2 (yellow line) would likely contain the next significant support level. The share price could drop to as low as the mid 50s where there is a 50% Fib level.
Potential Trading Strategies
Getting a pulse on the market and financial health of a public company goes a long way to provide confidence, however, it's not airtight. A poor earnings release or unexpected bad news could deteriorate an investment in a short amount of time. Rather than staying out when in doubt, I've always enjoyed safely expanding my experience and awareness of available tools.
Stop-Loss Limit Orders
If I don't feel like supplementing my investment with derivatives then I place a stop-loss limit order to execute at whichever price level shakes my confidence. If the share price hits my stop-loss level then the next condition that needs to be met is my limit price. If the stop-loss was activated and the share price remains above my limit price, then it will automatically try to sell all of my specified shares at my limit price or higher.
Protective Puts:
Options contracts can be very intimidating for investors that aren't familiar with them. However, knowledge is power and options contracts can be very beneficial when used correctly. Whenever I buy shares in a company that I think is going to grow, but contradicts my impression of market direction, then I buy Protective Puts to shield my investment and give me peace of mind. This can either complement stop-loss orders or provide me the confidence to withstand turbulent price fluctuations without the risk of exiting my positions prematurely in the event that a stop-loss would become activated.
Cash-Secured Puts:
I'm new to writing contracts but I can see the allure. If I'm not confident that a share price is about to rally, or if I think that it may dip significantly, then I would consider a dollar-cost averaging strategy. My initial shares purchase would be a fraction of my available funds with the intentions of exposing my portfolio should the stock rally sooner than expected. In the meantime, I would write/sell Put contracts at strike price levels that I am both capable and comfortable of purchasing 100 shares per contract at. This strategy minimizes my exposure to gains and losses, while allowing me to collect premiums.
If those Cash-Secured Puts were exercised, then I would purchase 100 shares per contract at the contracts' strike price(s). This would effectively lower my cost-basis. If those contracts expire worthless then I get to keep the premium and my cash is freed up. If the stock begins to rally and I want to bail on my contract obligations so that I can get in on it, then I can buy-to-close the Puts at their lowered price and keep the difference as profits.
PLTR volatility ahead! more volatility ahead as market digests decreased Fed funds rate cuts in 2025.
buy target at 90$ AFTER we fill the gap on 15min chart near 71.2-71.5 level imo..
looking to trade this setup via 80$ strike call option contracts for 1/10/25 & 1/17/25 expiration dates
after 90$ is reached, still anticipating additional volatility back down to 65-68$ range one final time before Inauguration Day. After that, I think this turns strongly bullish once again and runs above 100$
Strategy 2025. Introducing Palantir, BTC Killer Of The Year 2024It's gone 3 months or so since Palantir stock has joined on Friday, September 20 Stock Top Club, also known as S&P 500 stock index SP:SPX .
Palantir was one of the strongest contenders for inclusion in the broad market S&P500 Index.
This inclusion, as well as Dell (DELL), came after tech companies Super Micro (SMCI) and Crowdstrike (CRWD) also joined the index earlier in this year 2024.
Since that, Palantir stock became the best (i.e. #1) S&P500 index performer this year, with current +375% YTD return in 2024, being highlighted at 80.55 USD per share - the new all the history peak reached last Friday, December, 19 at regular session close.
What is most important also, even recent Federal Reserve (The US Central Bank) hawkish projections on monetary policy in 2025 were not able to stop the only game in the city, or even make a pause on Palantir leadership.
Since Palantir stock is rallying 7th month in a row, the stalkers remain decently far away, swallowing the galactic dust of Palantir shares.
Judge for yourself.
One of the nearest pursuer, Nvidia Corporation NASDAQ:NVDA (# 4 out of all S&P500 index performers in 2024) is nearly to finish the year of 2024 with +170% return, i.e. lagging against Palantir behind twice.
The quite similar things happen with the most popular and heavy c-coin, also known as Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD that is currently +130% YTD return in 2024.
What is most important also, Palantir stock outperforms both - S&P500 index, Nvidia Corp. and Bitcoin 7th straight month in a row.
In human words that means, Palantir stock monthly returns (every single month from May to December 2024) were better against each of mentioned above assets.
What is Behind this?
On November 4, 2024 Palantir Technologies has announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024.
“We absolutely eviscerated this quarter, driven by unrelenting AI demand that won’t slow down. This is a U.S.-driven AI revolution that has taken full hold. The world will be divided between AI haves and have-nots. At Palantir, we plan to power the winners,” said Alexander C. Karp, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Palantir Technologies Inc.
Q3 2024 Highlights
• U.S. revenue grew 44% year-over-year and 14% quarter-over-quarter to $499 million
• U.S. commercial revenue grew 54% year-over-year and 13% quarter-over-quarter to $179 million
• U.S. government revenue grew 40% year-over-year and 15% quarter-over-quarter to $320 million
• Revenue grew 30% year-over-year and 7% quarter-over-quarter to $726 million
• Closed 104 deals over $1 million
• Customer count grew 39% year-over-year and 6% quarter-over-quarter
• GAAP net income of $144 million, representing a 20% margin
• GAAP income from operations of $113 million, representing a 16% margin
• Adjusted income from operations of $276 million, representing a 38% margin
• Rule of 40 score of 68%
• GAAP earnings per share (“EPS”) grew 100% year-over-year to $0.06
• Adjusted EPS grew 43% year-over-year to $0.10
• Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term U.S. Treasury securities of $4.6 billion
• Cash from operations of $420 million, representing a 58% margin and $995 million on a trailing twelve month basis
• Adjusted free cash flow of $435 million, representing a 60% margin and over $1 billion on a trailing twelve month basis.
Is the stock growth fundamentally deserved? Definitely, "Yes".
Palantir stock Alpha
What is Alpha?
Alpha (a) is a term used in investing to describe an investment's ability to beat (outperform) the market, or its “edge.” Alpha is thus also often referred to as excess return or the abnormal rate of return in relation to a benchmark, or any other asset (even against simple sitting in a cash) when adjusted for risk.
The main graph represents a comparison across Bitcoin and Palantir stocks. Since Palantir outperforms BTC twice over the past 12 months (watch lower "percent bar chart" subgraph), so why isn't to continue the play, by staying in a long with Palantir, and kill "the new oranges" respectively.
Palantir: Target Zone Ahead!We now primarily assume that Palantir’s turquoise wave 3 has concluded at $82.72. For the ongoing turquoise wave 4, we have outlined a matching Target Zone (coordinates: $59.15 – $51.84), where the price should complete its interim correction and realize an upward trend reversal. However, as part of our alternative scenario, there is a 33% chance that the price will surpass the $82.72 mark directly to develop a higher high of the turquoise wave alt. 3.
PLTR: Shorts got absolutely obliterated It's been an unbelievable ride.
Since beginning investing in Palantir back in 2020 I would have never imagined getting to this price point so soon, partly because theres no justification for it. However, I also didn't expect the AI sentiment would have gotten so strong so quickly. We can thank NASDAQ:NVDA for that I suspect.
Based on Fibonacci extensions from Wave 1, we have gone far beyond typical extensions. The very last extension available on the tool is the 476% extension. In terms of price this means a target of $80-85.
I don't know if we'll reach it, or if it will even be the top of Wave 3
I do know that this is still JUST Wave 3 of the 12345 impulse wave. Needless to say, we're just getting started. Wave 4 of an impulse move is typically the opposite of wave 2. In this case wave 2 was long and complex. Wave 4 should at least be less complex, and more uniform in its corrective move.
Invest for the future!
Short on PalantirPalantir's stock is facing several risks that could justify a short position. Its overvaluation is evident, trading at a P/E ratio of around 247 after a 150% surge in 2024, implying that future growth is heavily priced in; if the company doesn't meet these expectations, a sharp correction could occur. Insider selling over the past 90 days has raised doubts about confidence in Palantir’s future, despite some sales being pre-planned. The stock's gains are tied closely to the AI boom, but there's skepticism over whether Palantir's contracts can maintain momentum, leading to concerns that AI hype may not translate into sustainable growth. Analysts give the stock a "Reduce" rating with a consensus target suggesting a 33% downside, highlighting the potential risk of a pullback.
Furthermore, the stock appears technically overbought, increasing the likelihood of profit-taking and a subsequent decline. Also, it is posible that Palantir is done with the fifth and the last Elliott Wave, and ABC corrective wave are incoming, hence entering a short position (Put) at price $42.00, first target price $32.0 at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement line, and the second target price 0.382 Fib retracement line $24.0.
A less than perfect earning will help us to get there.
Palantir looks like a classic Bubble in the MAKINGNow I don't like picking tops and bottoms, so that's why I have chosen Neutral for this.
However, the market is driven by more greed and potentially soon Fear than usual.
ANy market that climbs beyond 60 degree inclination, should indiate potential warnings of a major crash to come.
That's because, it gets to the points where the NAV is far below the actual price.
And what drove the market is perception of the people, which is fickle.
So we can watch and see how it plays out - But no way would I buy with a market that looks like this.
PALANTIR ON AN INCREDIBLE BULLRUN ! BUT...
But be careful—this does not justify the price at all. Although Palantir has very solid numbers in its balance sheet, this does not justify a valuation at such an overvalued price could be very dangerous !
We must consider that markets in general are bullish, and the results of the latest report recently showed that it remains a very solid company in terms of sales. However, its earnings numbers are average—they meet analysts’ expectations, but by a very narrow margin. Historically, this has been the case in past reports as well.
Now, let’s get back to the technical analysis of Palantir.
After its report, it managed to break through that institutional zone that marked its peak 3 years ago (2021). After bouncing off the imbalance for a second time, Palantir showed a lot of strength and reached new highs.
From here on, we just need to wait for a pullback soon to start analyzing a possible support level.
Right now, Palantir is in no man’s land, which makes it a bit difficult to predict its next move. The only thing we can do here is to follow its movement candle by candle, staying alert to wicks and immediate zones where it might pull back.
Thank you for supporting my analysis. TRADE SAFE!"
PALANTIR: Extremely overbought. High probability sell to $40.Palantir is vastly overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 79.771, MACD = 3.330, ADX = 33.075), even the 1W RSI is on extreme levels (80.789) and that alone would be a good enough reason to sell. The picture gets even clearer on the 1W timeframe where the price has almost reached the top of the 2 year Channel Up, having completed a +241.84% rise from the January 2nd 2024 bottom and almost +172.53% rise from the August 5th bottom. Those are the symmetrical rally levels from the December 27th 2022 and May 1st 2023 Lows respectively. The result on that HH rejection was a test of the 0.382 Fibonacci level. That is our target (TP = 40.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Can a Crystal Ball Really Predict the Future of Tech?In an era where artificial intelligence promises to reshape the technological landscape, Palantir Technologies has emerged as a testament to the power of long-term vision meeting present opportunity. The company's remarkable third-quarter performance, marked by a 30% revenue surge to $725.5 million and doubled net income, isn't merely a financial triumph—it's a validation of two decades spent perfecting the art of data analytics while others were still grappling with its fundamentals.
What sets this trajectory apart is Palantir's unique ability to bridge two seemingly disparate worlds. On one side, its deep-rooted expertise in government and defense contracts, evidenced by a 40% growth in U.S. government sales to $320 million, demonstrates unparalleled capability in handling sensitive, mission-critical data. On the other, its commercial division's explosive growth, particularly in the U.S. market with a 54% revenue increase, reveals an organization that has successfully translated complex government-grade technology into practical business solutions.
The company's strategic positioning, however, tells a more intriguing story beyond the numbers. While competitors scramble to adapt to the AI revolution, Palantir's Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) represents the culmination of years spent understanding the nuances of data integration and security. This foundation, combined with innovative approaches like their hands-on "boot camps" where clients work directly with Palantir engineers, suggests that perhaps the company named after Tolkien's all-seeing orbs has indeed developed a knack for anticipating the future of enterprise technology.
Palantir Bullish Long-Term PlayPalantir shares rose to a yearly high near $33 in the evening trading session on Friday, September 6, after announcement Palantir joins the S&P 500 index.
Palantir was one of the strongest contenders for inclusion in the broad market S&P500 index.
This inclusion, as well as Dell (DELL), comes after tech companies Super Micro (SMCI) and Crowdstrike (CRWD) also joined the index earlier this year.
Technical 1-month graph indicates on Reversed Head-and-Shoulders structure in development.
Potentially it can bring Palantir stocks, up to $100 per share over the next several years.
$PLTR might go up to $57 after Q3 FY24 Earnings report?
NYSE:PLTR Palantir soared over 14.2% after Q3 FY24 earnings report:
• Net dollar retention 118% (+11pp Y/Y).
• Customers +39% Y/Y to 629.
• Revenue +30% Y/Y to 726M (22M beat).
• Non-GAAP EPS $0.10 ($0.01 beat)
. FY24 guidance:
• Revenue +26% Y/Y to 2.807B (+61M).
• Adjusted margin 38% (+3pp).
It will probably break above the resistance of previous high today.
But where will the price rise to?
To answer this question, we make comparisons with previous gap up candles which has broken above an important resistance level.
In Feb 05, it soared over 30% after Q3 FY23 earnings reports, and after that, it went up for another 25%.
In Sep 09, NYSE:PLTR soars over 14% toward record highs as the stock is set to be added to the S&P 500. And after that, it has risen for another 30%.
Therefore, it might go up to 57 if it break above the resistance of previous high today, according to similar historical price actions.
what's your opinion?
PLTR Palantir Technologies Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought PLTR before the major breakout:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PLTR Palantir Technologies prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 42usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-11-15,
for a premium of approximately $3.07.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Palantir will move after earnings so hold tight ! As long as Palantir remains within the upward channel, it’s still in play!
There’s an imbalance guiding the price, preventing it from dropping. We’ve seen the price attempt to go up twice already, so as long as Palantir stays within the channel and respects the imbalance, I’m quite confident it will make a third attempt to break the high.
On the other hand...
We have the earnings report coming up Monday pre-market, so whatever happens at the open, we’ll know which direction the price will take based on the report’s results.
Keep a close eye on this!
Best regards.
PLTR: Taking a fresh look. More bullish than before!PLTR chart has been bullish for a while and the recent price action looks very much like a wave 3 of some degree. This made me rethink my previous count that I was tracking as an expanding ending diagonal for wave 5 of c of various degrees of wave 5s to complete intermediate wave 1. But that started to look a bit unrealistic. Wave 5 was getting bigger than the 2x extension of waves 1 and 2.
Taking a second look to terminate intermediate wave 1 at the March high. This gives us a very short and shallow intermediate wave 2 correction ending in May. This makes the rest of the price action pretty bullish, even though the minute degree wave 2 of Minor degree wave 1 came in very deep. Let's ignore that situation, as it was very quick correction, and price has moved very quickly and very far without any major dips since. And if this bullish count is correct, then price should not come down to orange line $33.13 until minute degree waves 3, 4 and 5 are complete. Price should hit a few all-time highs to around $60 area before we see a sizable dip. However, that dip should not violate the red line at $20.65. If all goes well, the huge wave 3 of 3 will start that should take the price to the moon.
This count is wrong if price goes below $33.13 before the 5-wave minute degree sequence is complete. I will go back to my previous, now somewhat awkward looking count to end intermediate 1 brace for a much bigger wave 2.
Palantir ($PLTR) IT MIGHT FINALLY BE TIME FOR A PULLBACK! 5 RY:NYSE:PLTR IT MIGHT FINALLY BE TIME FOR A PULLBACK!
Retail investors don't hate me for this. I'm a shareholder, too! DIP BUY INBOUND?!
5 REASONS WHY:
1⃣ We have DIVERGENCE on the Weekly Chart
2⃣ We have Volume Profile Gap Down
3⃣ It's a TRIM according to my Valuation Metric Tool (0/6 score)
4⃣ Top 5 gainer in AMEX:SPY
5⃣ Have a SIP and find out by watching. 👇
Stay tuned for more!🔔
Like ❤️ Follow 🤳 Share 🔂
Will Palantir finally have a pullback? What price would you like to load up on more shares?
Not financial advice.
Is Palantir in a Danger Zone? We will see after the report... Palantir is about to announce its quarterly report.
As we analyzed in the last report, the price reached its highest point after several years, but after reaching this liquidity zone, it had a pullback as we announced before.
However, Palantir is showing strength in this area, and we ended on the last candle where it will attempt again to surpass this liquidity zone with strongly.
Will it succeed?
I believe Palantir has the volume to continue moving a bit higher, but at this point is entering an area where the upward momentum is slowing significantly. On one hand, we’re seeing a double-top forming, and the candle hasn’t fully formed yet. We need to wait and see if the next candle shows liquidity. If so, we should be cautious about the wick length, as that could signal trouble for Palantir.
so with the earnings report approaching, there is a lot of uncertainty, which may make it difficult for the price to break this liquidity zone.
We should stay alert this November 4th. Palantir has excellent fundamentals, but its recent reports have barely exceeded analysts' expectations. If this report misses even by a small margin, I think we could see a significant drop due to the stock being heavily inflated.
Here are Palantir's latest results:
Nov 02, 2023
2023 (Q3)
Analysts = 0.06 / Reported = 0.07 (BEAT)
Feb 05, 2024
2023 (Q4)
0.08 / 0.08
May 06, 2024
2024 (Q1)
0.08 / 0.08
Aug 05, 2024
2024 (Q2)
0.08 / 0.09
Nov 04, 2024
2024 (Q3)
0.09 / (Mon, Nov 4)
Thank you for supporting my analysis.
TRADE SAFE!
Best regards!
Palantir Validated a Liquidity Zone, Whats Next? If you saw my previous structural analysis, I had mentioned that Palantir was going to hit an institutional liquidity zone, and for the first time in several years, using common sense, the price was going to face rejection.
And that’s exactly what happened...
The price hit my point of interest and dropped for 3 days. However, the last candle with which we closed the week was green and had enough volume.
Why is this? If we can see 2 candles before the close, we can detect a trap that created a long wick downward, preventing the price from falling further. That’s the detail we're seeing before the week’s close—the last candle was bullish. We also can’t ignore that Palantir is only about 2 weeks away from its earnings report.
So, I don’t think the price will make a decisive move just yet, and even if it falls further, it would likely be around 38.50. However, the earnings strategy that traders are waiting for, where Palantir accumulates and begins to rise, is very close. So, we need to be very alert as we approach its earnings report on November 4th.
Best regards, and thank you for supporting my analysis.
Palantir at a Critical Turning Point – Big Moves on the HorizonAlright, here’s the deal with PLTR. I’ve been keeping a close eye on it, and right now, it feels like we’re standing at a fork in the trail—one direction leads to a nice payday, the other to a bit of backtracking. The next couple of moves will tell us which way we’re headed.
We’re hovering around 42.75 right now, and if we can break above that with some force, 43.91 is my first target—good spot to lock in some profits. But here’s the thing: if we can clear 44, that’s where the real fun begins. That’s the confirmation we’re looking for, and from there, I think this could open up a much bigger move.
On the other hand, if 41.65 doesn’t hold, things could get a bit rocky. I’ll be looking for price to drift down into the 41.28 - 41.00 range. Not ideal, but hey, markets don’t move in straight lines. That’s where I’ll watch for buyers to step back in and give us another shot at the upside.
The key here is patience. If we get the breakout, I’m ready to ride the wave. If we pull back, no sweat—I’m not in the business of chasing trades. You gotta play this game cool, stick to the levels, and wait for the setup to come to you. No need to rush it.
It’s kind of like hiking. Sometimes the first path up the hill looks tempting, but the trail turns steep, and you gotta fall back to find a better route. But when you do find that clean path—man, the view is worth the wait. That’s exactly what this trade feels like. If we clear 44, we’ve got some clear skies ahead, and I’ll be ready for the ride. But if not, I’m content to step back and wait for the next chance to make my move.
Let’s see where this takes us—either way, it’s gonna be an interesting climb.
Mindbloome trader