$PLTR $170 PT?!?! Technical Analysis Breakdown! 5/14Video breakdown on $PLTR after some heavy PT raises. Also Cathy woods with the lead buying finger.
Palantir
Palantir breaking downSince PLTR IPO, the price has been ranging in 3 areas.
It appears we are breaking down from the strongest support (bottom on range 2), and will potentially enter the range 1. This level is also coincidental with 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement line.
I would be willing to enter a position for a long-term trade, if we can reach the high of the IPO, which is approximately $11
PLTR - We can see a possible Support!Terrible month for the tech sector and the whole market. After staying as a favorite pick for many thanks to the support from Cathie Wood as well, Palantir was a one-stop to go for the investors. However, now it is one of the most negatively affected stocks that lost a good amount since the recent recession in the tech sector. But here we are, at a strong support point standing at 18.00.
-What now?
We see possible 2 supports that can bring the PLTR back on track again. One at 18.00 and the second at 14.00. Well, hopefully, we won't see it dropping to the 14.00 but it looks like these 2 points are the only way out of this situation.
$PLTR TA ElliottWaves Inverted Scale, have we bottomed?This is my ElliottWaves Count for $PLTR on an inverted scale, I count 4 sets of 5 corrective waves.
What do you think?
MY MINIMALIST CHART ANALYSIS FOR $PLTR$PLTR - PALANTIR
ON A DAILY CHART
5.5.21 2217H +8 PACIFIC
PRACTICE MINIMALIST ANALYSIS FOR PALANTIR
MY TARGET FOR ENTRY AND EXIT (SWING TRADE)
Note: That this is not a finincial advise.
PLTR - Rise to the Top of the ChannelHello everyone,
I hope you are all doing well!
In this analysis, we have are moving inside a huge channel and are currently at the bottom.
We are sitting on a KEY SUPPORT that I beleive we are going to hold and go to $31.
There is possibility of more bad news and break lower. The lowest point would be between $16 and $14 and from then on, we would rise back up to touch the channel once again and most likely break it.
Currently, only 3.43% of the shares are in profit. Think about how the BIG hedgies would react to being at a Loss, would they Sell or Doubble Down and Average Down their position? These prices are a steal to have for Long-Term investing and 96.57% are bought higher than you would buy now ;)
Controlling your emotions is one of the key elements in being profitable in trading and now is the time for the market to test your control. Do not panic sell as there has not been any funadmental changes in the price to bring it down as much with the company, the investment funds are currently in Crypto, so that is why we have fallen so much. As soon as Crypto dies, the funds will flow back.
Thank you for the attention, I wish you an amazing Friday!
Palantir getting ready slowly$PLTR one of the favorite stocks is in its corrective wave II. It looks like it is forming a combination corrective wave and if the count is right, the breakout above the triangle should start wave III that is usually the longest and most powerful wave to higher prices, namely $80, $94, and $116 as the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd target respectively.
PLTR more pain to come likelyPLTR falling wedge reversal failed, now all its left it is last major support, at $21, if it fails, it will go down as low as $15 or even $10. It is following the EV pattern, of massive devaluation, from 50-80%.
Retailer investors being slaughtered.
$PLTR Update 5/3 Daily Wedge Bottom. Video update on $PLTR
Still Within the wedge Heading back down to 21.50 and if we break out bullish on earnings we should finish a rounded bottom and can start setting our sights into the $40s
Trading Idea - PalantirNEUTRAL - sideways ranging in POC area
find SHORT position entry above 25.00 USD
find LONG position entry below 22.50 USD
PLTR Asymmetric TriangleAsymmetric triangle leading up to the Earnings Announcement. The direction of the break will most likely depend on Earnings.
Upwards Target: $32 (if they beat earnings price will be justified)
Downwards Target $18 (downside seems very limited from here even on an earnings miss)
ANALYST ESTIMATES:
Earnings Estimate Current Qtr.1 Next Year (2022)
Avg. Estimate 0.04 0.21
Low Estimate 0.03 0.16
High Estimate 0.05 0.27
Current estimates show roughly 30% growth Year over Year.
PLTR $40 BEAKOUTLooks like a break out is imminent for Palantir, catalyst is the number of HUGE new contracts being signed & possibly better earnings than anticipated! Time to load up on some shares.
$PLTR CATHY BACK AT AGAIN WITH THE 1.4M SHARESVideo breakdown on $PLTR After $ARKK purchased 1.4M shares of $PLTR/
Direct Listings: An overview of opening day patternsOn 4/14/2021, Coinbase went public with the ticker NASDAQ:COIN . This was a pretty heavily-anticipated listing if for no other reason than that there aren't really any other crypto exchanges you can buy that are traded on a major US exchange. There are some OTC options, but when it comes to a symbol that trades on a US exchange this is a big milestone. Tons of people scrambled to buy into the listing right when it went live and ended up closing out the day reasonably red. Even people who are experienced traders jumped in and ended up closing out for a loss by the end of the day.
So what happened here? Why did the stock go down with so much hype, why are there so many insiders selling, and really what even is a direct listing?
What is a Direct Listing?
With a traditional IPO, a company works with an underwriter (typically a bank or large financial institution) to put together their initial stock offering. This usually involves a road show where the company's representatives will travel around drumming up investment from institutional investors prior to the stock going live. On IPO day, the underwriter facilitates the transfer of these pre-IPO shares to the institutional investors they snagged during the road show prior to the stock going live on secondary markets (where you, the retail investor can buy in). There is also a lockup period in an IPO that limits selling and hedging on the stock for specific holders until a set period of time has passed.
A direct listing is when the shareholders of a company decide to sell shares in the enterprise directly to secondary markets without the help of an underwriter. With a direct listing, none of the road show stuff happens and there's no real lockup period unless that's specifically negotiated internally at the company. The company sets a reference price for the stock and on listing day the stock is just listed straight to secondary markets.
With both a traditional IPO and direct listing, we're usually looking at around 10% of the company's stock being up for sale. With a traditional IPO, the underwriter often buy all the shares being offered directly from the issuer and then be responsible for selling those shares. With a direct listing, shareholders sell their shares to the market directly.
What happened with Coinbase?
What happened with the Coinbase direct listing isn't new or weird. It seems to happen more or less with every direct listing. I went back and got some charts for some of the big direct listings that have happened over the past year or so and it happens to varying degrees more or less every time.
Here's NYSE:RBLX :
Here's NYSE:PLTR :
Here's NYSE:SPOT :
Here's NYSE:WORK :
Out of all of these, Roblox fared the best the fastest after going live but still had the same end of day drop as Coinbase. Slack had the worst performance and didn't bottom out for months.
So it's a pretty common phenomenon that direct listing stocks are probably a bad idea to buy into on the first day they list. The question becomes why.
Market Mechanics and Direct Listings
As I've said, with a direct listing the shares are coming directly from existing internal shareholders of the company. So in a market, there needs to be a willing buyer and a willing seller. In this case, there is an avalanche of selling that happens when the stock goes live and this has the kind of impact you would expect from a roughly 10% selloff of internal shares in a company. It makes the stock go down. Once the stocks are out in the market, it's up to the market to decide what they're worth. That could be more or less than the reference price set before going live. However, this selling has to happen by the very nature of what a direct listing is and this (among other technical factors) is a giant part of the reason why direct listings often end up red on the days they go live on the market.
So when you see stuff in the news about insiders selling some insane number of shares on the day the company does a direct listing, take it with a grain of salt. Chances are substantial that it's really just the normal kind of selling that is necessitated by this type of stock listing. I'm not saying that you should trust the CEO of Coinbase blindly and assume he'd never do wrong. But even in a world where this wasn't how direct listings work, the amount of heat it would bring down on him to just liquidate his entire ownership stake in a company he just brought public in some kind of "offloading the bags" scheme would be extreme. The incentives aren't there.
Summary
Based on averages alone, even if you knew nothing about the market mechanics of direct listings, it doesn't appear to be a smart move to buy into a directly listed stock on the day it starts trading. There is too much downward selling pressure involved and all the price discovery starts on opening day so volatility is expected.
If you're interested in following along with the other stuff I do outside of TradingView, definitely make sure to follow my Substack and my Twitter (details in my signature space at the bottom of this idea).
As with everything I write, remember that this is just my observations and that you should not assume that everything is perfect or works the same way every time. Trading is a risky thing to do and no matter what you're always taking risks when you trade, so keep that in mind.
PLTR - RE-TESTLet's wait and see how it goes from here on.
Feel free to give us your opinions on the stock!
STOCKS - Palantir $PLTR - Wave 3Algorithm has given entry signals for Palantir Technologies
- Palantir Technologies is ready for the triple digits, to join its peers in FAANG.
- Potential technical breakout.
- Invalidated if the rally turns to a sign of weakness.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
Palantir - slow rise off lows. This is an update of the Palantir stock chart posted on Feb 20, 2021. Price broke below the 61.8% fib support, and has now swung back above it. In the 4h chart, price is just below the 50-day MA, bearish cross happened around 24 March. A break above the pink Ichimoku cloud on the 4h chart would confirm a long scenario, with first major resistance to the upside at around 27.49. Next support would be the last low at 20.79. Please follow BradtNom, leave a comment or link to your own ideas! Charts are for information purposes only. Not trade suggestions. DYOR (Do your own research) - act responsibly with your money.
PLTR: Descending triangle, close to supportIdea described on chart. Descending triangles are usually bearish. Any thoughts/contradicting ideas/trends that you might see?
I did sell some covered calls as a hedge, since I'm not sure about short term movement.
Not an investment advice
Palantir -Top and Bottom-Top and bottom are 130 and 4.75.
Above 130 the chart is worthless until we revisit the area below 130
Expect stronger resistance / profit taking at 85.
Expect support after that around 35.
GL