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Palantir

PLTR - On the Precipice of Greatness I jumped into PLTR back in mid/late FEB when it was tanking pretty hard. I've been patiently waiting and pulled the trigger on another lower price point to decrease my DCA. After more waiting... I think we're on the precipice of greatness here with PLTR. Most of my points are called out above. Some additional notes here. 2 day candles show a LONG stretch of being oversold Last time we left oversold we saw a 79% pump We've once again been oversold for a very long stretch Double bottom established and could give us the momentum we need to break out of the oversold position Things to keep an eye on: Would be really nice to see the DMI tick up towards bullish momentum Keep an eye on the neck line of the W (orange dotted line) - needs to break that to finish the push Obviously do your own research and due diligence before investing... but as for me... I just like the stock. -Matt
PShort
by worldlyTacos81375
14
$PLTR - Mega Wedge UpdateHi ya all, Yesterday i posted about 1 possible Mega Wedge, today i realized i may have made a mistake and that the wedge i posted yesterday could be completely wrong. Yesterday's Mega Wedge is based on the trendlines drawn from the Jan 26 PLTR spike and this is likely very very WRONG. Why? Because i just realized that the reason why PLTR spiked on the ~26'th of January was only due to Gamestop. Hear me out before you click off... Gamestop rallied insanely during the 26'th-28'th of January. This has a big effect on the Russel 2000 (IWM) ETF it's part of. PLTR whilst not truly part of any index as said by themselves in their own prospectus ACTUALLY does track the Russel 2000 (IWM) quite perfectly. Now because Gamestop rallied insanely during those dates, it dragged up the whole index up as a whole which also dragged up PLTR as well along with it. This means that the spike that i based yesterday's technical analysis on is an anomaly, e.g i based my mega wedge based on an anomaly hence why yesterday's mega wedge is possibly WRONG . After realizing this mistake, i went and took a second look at the PLTR chart and realized that there still IS a wedge, a symmetrical one showing endless consolidation and accumulation at the $22-$29 area. Really, if you exclude the Jan 26-28 spikes, PLTR has truly actually traded only within this range for a very long time accumulating. Lots of institutions DID drop Palantir on earnings last month with new ones picking it up e.g Kathy Woods (Who despite Rumours is continuing to buy PLTR daily and has made big buys recently proof here: cathiesark.com ) The symmetric wedge ends on around May the 26'th. A breakout could come before or after this date or even not at all. My bet is that a breakout will come at the end of this wedge and that the next price target should be a big one, but this is just my own opinion based on nothing and you shouldn't listen to me. I am invested in Gamestop and PLTR and i think the only reason PLTR will do so well in the near future is only due to Gamestop's big incoming gamma to short squeeze. No one knows when it's going to happen or whether it's going to be a singular event or a slow squeeze like Tesla. If it's a big event, it's going to make the Russel 2000 (IWM) and PLTR go up A LOT making PLTR a big winner for momentum and volatility traders. I have an appetite for risk and volatility so i'm in... Regardless, i have a boatload of calls for May for Palantir that i'm likely going to roll over to a later date now that i've realized that nothing might happen by the end of May other than small ups and downs e.g theta-gang-ing for PLTR. Heck, i might sell some contracts for it and theta gang this thing.
PLong
by leenixusu
3
$PLTR - Mega bullish wedge about to end...Hi ya all, This is all my opinion and my own strategy. I'm not a financial advisor, just an ape that threw a bunch of money into PLTR based on this trade idea. The 'Thesis' See the mega bullish wedge that's been forming on GME for ages now. It also intersects with previous MEGA support possibly making the upswing date tomorrow or within this week. The idea is that the bullish wedge has possible ending points, one is tomorrow (within this week) and the other one ends on the 14'th of April, though it's possible for a breakout to start sooner and it often does (not with PLTR though, PLTR is always exactly on time). Depending on your risk appetite, you can grab some PLTR shares now, or calls from now. Chances are, this is the bottom. If this is NOT the bottom, and in fact we have 20 more days to go to the end of the bullish wedge (i absolutely doubt it), then the bottom is ~$20-$21. A solid strat is to buy some now so you can be strapped onto the possible rocket and buy some later if it dips. Personally i've thrown a lot at it at $24.12 because i feel like we're not going to have a fakeout to $21 to shake some weak hands (pretty sure i'm going to be wrong on this one and i'm going to have to BTFD at $21 ish). Basically pick one of the bullish wedges on the chart or both and make your bets. Shares are as always safer than calls. Don't forget PLTR's float is ~1.5 billion-ish shares and only a small fraction of those are bought. I think this will ride to at least $39 with a max to $72 if market conditions during the next 30 days are not windy and with perfectly sunny weather. If weather is not great, we could see a simple run up to $35 and maybe max out at $39 and that'll be that. I like to dream big, so i'm gonna say the range is $39 - $72 by sometime late April or maybe all the way into June, who bloody knows. As usual i might be a chump and this could all be wrong. I'm literally trying to predict the future. Let's see how that works out for the boatload of super super far OTM contracts and 0 shares i bought. Not revealing my positions not to expose them to bots and data miners. Sorry, but cry all you want. Believe it or not, there's lots of eyes watching.
PLong
by leenixusu
2
Palantir (PLTR): In-depth Fundamental and Technical AnalysisPalantir is a mysterious company that helps governments and corporations integrate their data, decisions, and operations into one platform. They use big data and machine learning technology to offer solutions in both the public and private sector. While it has never been confirmed by the firm itself, it is said that Palantir played a significant role in catching Osama Bin Laden. In this post, I'll be going over Palantir's fundamentals, financials, and technicals, in order to assess whether this company is a good buy. This is not investment advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. I am not responsible for the profits or loss generated from your investments. Trade and invest at your own risk. Background - Palantir’s founder is none other than Peter Thiel. - During his Paypal days, the company faced a crisis due to a scam led by the Russian mob. - Because of this, Paypal started nurturing groups of experts who could track and predict scam transactions. - They developed a software that analyzes data patterns, which allowed them to identify and prevent these schemes. - Peter Thiel thought that this software could potentially be used for many other things. Products: Gotham and Foundry - The CIA, they had collected a tremendous amount of data since 911, but weren't really sure of how they could utilize it to catch terrorists. - So the CIA became Palantir’s first client, and Palantir received an investment from In-Q-Tel, which is the venture arm of the CIA. - With the CIA’s support, they develop a software called Gotham, which allows Palantir to analyze huge data sets in real time, and visually demonstrate the result of the analysis through connective relations and patterns. - Gotham became recognized as the best analysis tool that the government has seen, and later became used by the CDC, NSA, FBI, the Pentagon, and the Marine Corps. - This software is used to track suspicious activities, the flow of potentially illegal funds, track missing children, or the spreading course of a disease. - With this experience and technology, they work with JP Morgan to develop a new software called Foundry. - Foundry is a solution for private firms that analyzes data to prevent financial fraud or illegal transactions. Financials Analysis - If we look at the quarterly income statement, the gross profit has dropped significantly in Q3 2020 from the 70% range to 50% range. - This is due to the compensation provided to the company’s employees through company shares. - Then we can also see that R&D expenses have increased significantly in the same quarter as well, and this is also due to the stock based compensation they’re giving out. - Regardless of this outlier, Palantir is a company that invests a lot on research and development. They are spending 30% of their revenue on R&D every quarter. - And as you can also see, Palantir is still technically not a profitable company, as their operating income is in the red. - Let’s take a quick look at their Q4 2020 results. Last quarter, they did $322m in revenue, which is a 40% increase compared to the same quarter last year. - In 2020 total, they did a little over a billion in revenue, which is a 47% increase compared to the revenue in 2019. - Looking at the average revenue from Palantir’s top 20 customers, the revenue increased 34% compared to last year, marking $33.2m. - The average revenue per customer also increased by 41%, marking $7.9m per customer on average. - This could be interpreted as a sign that Palantir’s clients are happy with the service they get. - In 2020, the revenue they generate from governments increased a whopping 77%, marking $610m. - In 2019, the commercial revenue covered 53% of the entire revenue, but in 2020, the government revenue outweighed the commercial revenue in terms of proportion, as it covered a little over 60% of the entire revenue. - The commercial revenue, on the other hand, wasn’t as impressive as the government revenue, as it only increased 22% compared to last year. - Using the PSG ratio, I calculated the 2023 estimate for Palantir's stock price to be anywhere between $36.31 to $48.38. Technical Analysis - We can count Elliott Waves on Palantir's 4 Hour logarithmic chart - We can see that the corrective abc waves have completed its formation, and that this entire chart is part of a bigger impulse wave. - What's important to note is that the price has retraced over 61.8% from all time high levels. - The price has managed to stay above the 0.618 fibonacci retracement support level. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trading near oversold regions - The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has formed a golden cross, and has started to form bullish histograms Conclusion Palantir is a company that is in an increasingly growing industry, but is reliant on government contracts for the time being. While this means that they are a monopoly in some way, they have also set their strategy to target commercial clients in the coming years as well. Their cutting edge technology has been approved both by government and commercial clients, and justify the growth potential of the company. Using simple assumptions to apply the PSG ratio in calculating the fair value of the company, we can estimate the stock to reach between $36.31 and $48.38. Given that the stock is currently at $24.19, this is a 41-100% upside. Technical analysis also aligns with the bull case of the valuation, indicating that the stock has recently been oversold, and that an entry around $23 would be reasonable. If you like this educational post, please make sure to like, and follow for more quality content! If you have any questions or comments, feel free to comment below! :)
PLong
by Michael_Wang_Official
9
PLTR: Ending diagonal?Don't follow this one much, but I've heard some good things about the company. I'll have to look into them more. The chart looks good. We have a pretty ugly ending diag. If examined closely it fits the internal wave structure of the aforementioned pattern. We also have some pretty good looking divergence on the 1hr. Some good looking humps ;) What do you all think of PLTR? I've been trying to keep these updated as much as I can while balancing family and work. I hope we all come out on top next week. I've been bleeding out long enough :) lol Linked another potential diag in EVGN. This one is a larger degree and it's a motive diag, not a corrective one. Thanks for checking it out!
PLong
by adambiers
2
PALANTIR LONG ONCE the Price Action Crosses 24 USDLONG PALANTIR Floor is being tested again at around 22 USD however the RSI indicator is showing that there has been an increased upward pressure In the last hourly sessions. Please be advised that once the price breakthrough the the breakout point on the graph, Palantir will would become a strong buy. Fundamentally, there is nothing wrong with the stock, it is priced cheap, it just had its first earnings report and more importantly all of the insiders already had their opportunity to exercise their share sales after the lock up period.
PLong
by AND_CAPITAL_LLC
PLTR - Massive Divergence on the horizon!Hello investors, As we can see, we had a huge Sell-off for a few weeks and today the move to the downside was massive! Palantir is signing more and more contracts, while the price is falling, which would mean that the only reason for the fall is the over-all bearish sentiment in the market. We can see the enourmous divergence that we have on the RSI on the 4hr chart and this indicates that we are near the bottom of the fall! Fundamentals of the company are more than amazing as we are a huge devoleper of an inovative industry, so huge returns are expected once the whole market becomes bullish. A long-term BUY position is a safe and smart move and since Cathy has been buying the stock a lot during the last few days, she should have acquired an enormous amount of shares today and with that the bottom of this fall is near. Good luck to all my fellow investors and traders!
PLong
by donaitelo
1
PLTR Falling wedge pattern! Look for a reversal!$PLTR Palantir Tech Price Targets: 1. $27 2. $29 3. $32 PLTR has been seeing some strong declines over the past month making lower lows and lower highs and formed a classic falling wedge which is a bullish pattern. There is a divergence in RSI (was below 30 for the past few days) and RSI is currently around 45 again divergence in RSI is also a potential bullish signal. PLTR broke out of wedge in the opposite direction today which is a sign of a reversal. Volume is relatively low. Need a good volume confirmation before opening a long position. Good luck and trade smart! (not a financial advice)
PLong
by faridisayev
1
BUY THE DIP | READY TO POP $PLTRPalantir is primed for another run, will you tag along? - Waiting for a strong confirmation on Monday to confirm but PLTR is looking beautiful into this close... Tag along for some Easy Loot! - PLTR is reacting to a key level at $22.59 as it looks to hold it as support. Today we seemed to have made our first test, would like to see a nice bounce Monday will confirm stronger support (bounce 4-5%). After we should see a nice run toward $31.5 to test as resistance before blowing past. After we bounce & breakout: Target: Long HODL (NEVER SELL) 2rd Target: $31.5 3nd Target: $37.98 Easy Loot Speculation $80-$120 minimum within next 5 years DCJ
PLong
by DotcomJack
2
PALANTIR Technical Analysis! Buy! Hello, Traders! Palantir is a data mining and analytics company A recent IPO that skyrocketed into the stratosphere And as with Tesla and broader stock market We are seeing a correction on this stock The price has now reached an important technical support level So you can buy here and hedge with put options at strikes below 20$ Next good buy level is at 15$ as its a round number and -70% from the all time high Good addition to the portfolio! Buy! Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading! See other ideas below too!
PLong
by TopTradingSignals
25
Excellent opportunityFirst of all, we must not forget that we are looking at a very young stock. It also offers a more hectic exchange rate and serious potential. The support level around $ 24 has proven to be stable on several occasions even on worse days - from a different point of view, the stock is a rare good buy here. The pessimism caused by the report will soon pass. One after another, positive news and new business collaborations arrive. I expect a serious rise, I have already bought it. Target price is the current maximum, later the moon. Finally, we must not forget that we are dealing with one of the cornerstones of digitalisation. Good luck to everyone. (:
PLong
by UnknownUnicorn6107104
1
Palantir (PLTR) Abandoned BabyI am not certified or licensed by any individual or institution to give financial or investment advice. I think PLTR formed a Bullish Abandoned Baby and may go up. No lengthy analysis on this one, I'm either right or wrong....but hopefully the former. :) I have inputted an order prior to market open to buy two call contracts. I won't be monitoring the market for most of today so I wanted to take advantage of getting in before PLTR takes off, but I also realize it's risky so I'm mitigating the risk by only purchasing two contracts.
P
by AROD01
4