PLTR Falling wedge pattern! Look for a reversal!$PLTR Palantir Tech
Price Targets:
1. $27
2. $29
3. $32
PLTR has been seeing some strong declines over the past month making lower lows and lower highs and formed a classic falling wedge which is a bullish pattern. There is a divergence in RSI (was below 30 for the past few days) and RSI is currently around 45 again divergence in RSI is also a potential bullish signal.
PLTR broke out of wedge in the opposite direction today which is a sign of a reversal. Volume is relatively low. Need a good volume confirmation before opening a long position.
Good luck and trade smart! (not a financial advice)
Palantirtech
BUY THE DIP | READY TO POP $PLTRPalantir is primed for another run, will you tag along?
-
Waiting for a strong confirmation on Monday to confirm but PLTR is looking beautiful into this close...
Tag along for some Easy Loot!
-
PLTR is reacting to a key level at $22.59 as it looks to hold it as support. Today we seemed to have made our first test, would like to see a nice bounce Monday will confirm stronger support (bounce 4-5%). After we should see a nice run toward $31.5 to test as resistance before blowing past.
After we bounce & breakout:
Target: Long HODL (NEVER SELL)
2rd Target: $31.5
3nd Target: $37.98
Easy Loot Speculation $80-$120 minimum within next 5 years
DCJ
Excellent opportunityFirst of all, we must not forget that we are looking at a very young stock.
It also offers a more hectic exchange rate and serious potential.
The support level around $ 24 has proven to be stable on several occasions even on worse days - from a different point of view, the stock is a rare good buy here. The pessimism caused by the report will soon pass. One after another, positive news and new business collaborations arrive. I expect a serious rise,
I have already bought it.
Target price is the current maximum, later the moon.
Finally, we must not forget that we are dealing with one of the cornerstones of digitalisation.
Good luck to everyone. (:
Palantir (PLTR) Abandoned BabyI am not certified or licensed by any individual or institution to give financial or investment advice.
I think PLTR formed a Bullish Abandoned Baby and may go up. No lengthy analysis on this one, I'm either right or wrong....but hopefully the former. :) I have inputted an order prior to market open to buy two call contracts. I won't be monitoring the market for most of today so I wanted to take advantage of getting in before PLTR takes off, but I also realize it's risky so I'm mitigating the risk by only purchasing two contracts.
OI, DOW & MANIPULATION - Palantir $PLTR - Short Iron ButterflyWhen 400~ institutions are crowding a stock, and the biggest of names are playing MM. I want to use them as a shield, and poke out from behind them to stab little by little.
This is my all-time favorite options strategy, and it can be used under very specific conditions..
1. Accumulation/Distribution Phase is identified (Dow Theory).
2. Range-bound movement and a sharp fall in volatility is forecasted (Ascendance/Participation Phase, with clear indication of Ranging Market, Supply/Demand levels).
3. Breakout is forecasted, and there exists great momentum, high premia and implied volatility (Excess forecasted).
4. Personal trend bias (bullish long-term outlook on company, Value investing, Trend).
It is the ultimate premium harvesting strategy...
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short Iron Butterfly Spread:
"Goal:
To profit from neutral stock price action near the strike price of the short options (center strike) with limited risk.
A short iron butterfly spread is the strategy of choice when the forecast is for stock price action near the center strike price of the spread, because it profits from time decay. However, unlike a short straddle, the potential risk of a short iron butterfly spread is limited.
Explanation:
Example of short iron butterfly spread:
Buy 1 XYZ 95 Put at 1.20 (1.20)
Sell 1 XYZ 100 Put at 3.20 3.20
Sell 1 XYZ 100 Call at 3.30 3.30
Buy 1 XYZ 105 Call at 1.40 (1.40)
Net Credit = 3.90
A short iron butterfly spread is a four-part strategy consisting of a bull put spread and a bear call spread in which the short put and short call have the same strike price. All options have the same expiration date, and the three strike prices are equidistant. In the example above, one 95 Put is purchased, one 100 put is sold, one 100 Call is sold and one 105 Call is purchased. This strategy is established for a net credit, and both the potential profit and maximum risk are limited. The maximum profit is realized if the stock price is equal to the strike price of the short options (center strike) on the expiration date. The maximum risk is the difference between the lower and center strike prices less the net credit received. The maximum risk is realized if the stock price is above the highest strike price or below the lowest strike price at expiration.
Maximum profit:
The maximum profit potential is equal to the net credit received less commissions, and this profit is realized if the stock price is equal to the strike price of the short options (center strike) at expiration. In this outcome, all options expire worthless and the net credit is kept as income.
Maximum risk:
The maximum risk is equal to the difference between the lowest and middle strike prices less the net credit received. In the example above, the difference between the lowest and middle strike prices is 5.00, and the net credit received is 3.90, not including commissions. The maximum risk, therefore, is 1.10 less commissions." - Taken from Fidelity
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SPECULATION:
- Why will SP rally 30%+ early in the week?
- SP has just transitioned out of 2nd accumulation level, entering ascendance/public participation phase.
- Price target upgrades from previously bearish institutions suggest they want to markup the SP.
- Previous price action suggests that it opens strong on hype and positive catalysts, before entering a range to trap retail bulls.
- There are Fib levels at 33~ and 35~ that must be tested for confirmation.
- There is a gap to fill at 32~ for further confirmation.
- Frenzied buying will soon come to an end, as the SP stabilizes. It is currently trending as "The top interest for WSB". IV will rise at first.
- Large stopping volume will occur at key OI levels as Excess is sold off and we enter the 2nd distribution level. IV will quickly fall.
- There is 16,286 OI on 40 strike calls for 2/26, so I don't foresee this level being broken for long next week... Above it is a gamma ramp that will take the SP to clear skies... I'm not sure the MM will allow that.
- The broader market is uncertain, and a lot can change over the weekend, but judging from the low GEX, and DIX that seems to be bouncing, the market does not seem ready for a correction, yet...
- Bitcoin is a good indicator for risk asset spending nowadays... Watch for huge selloff before market open, decide if it is profit-taking, or corrective.
FA:
- Please see my Jan. 8 Idea which documents the Fundamental Analysis I have been doing on this company.
- Simply put, this company is unrivalled, and a near-future mega-company. 0.5-1T Mcap, very, very soon. SP500 inclusion without a question.
TA:
- Have very powerful bullish reversal indicators as support, based on my Feb. 18 Forecast.
- This should take the stock price to the 60-70 levels that I forecasted in Jan. 8.
QA:
- Basis of the strategy is the complete control of MM's on the SP... Only a gamma squeeze can break through the key OI levels, Cohen is notorious for his put/call walls strategy, and he most definitely has a hand in the MM action here... As of Q4, his Point72 owns about 2% of the company. Much greater now, I speculate.
- Historical analysis has shown that it is almost impossible for PLTR to break through the large put/call walls, and quickly reverts to the mean if it ever does.
- The SP will tend to settle around the OI "valleys" at options expiration (OpEx), and quite often, it is even at the exact value to 2 decimals.
- PLTR key open interest levels for 3/5/2021:
$35 calls: 14,464
$35 puts: 11,776
$45 calls: 11,311
$45 puts: 8,667
$50 calls: 14,898
$50 puts: 13,168
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
STRATEGY:
- Deep ITM Bullish Short Iron Butterfly for 3/5/2021, then rollover to Deep ITM Bearish Short Iron Butterfly for 3/5/2021 for the expiration.
- Goal is to capture the great premium of puts before the rally, then capture the premium of the calls + puts on the pullback, for expiry.
- Wings will protect the trade from forecast failure and a massive gamma squeeze in either direction.
- Why I am taking this trade, is because of the historical analysis I have done since Jan. 8, and I have gathered sufficient evidence of the manipulation on this SP, and I believe that I can predict the price action to a high degree of accuracy. I don't see why the MM's would suddenly stop the range-bound price action, unless a real gamma squeeze occurs... but the wings and core long positions protect against this.
- Trigger 1: Stable broader market, positive catalyst, good sentiment, 32 gap fill, breaking out of 33 and 35 Fib levels for greater confirmation.
- Butterfly 1: Strike - $49.00, Upper wing - $55.00, Lower wing - $43.00.
- Trigger 2: SP reaches $49.00 on impulse wave.
- Rollover: SP - $49.00, to Butterfly 2.
- Butterfly 2: Strike - $41.00, Upper wing - $45.00, Lower wing - $37.00.
- SL: $46.00 support level pin.
- Expiration: 3/5/2021
- Timeframe: 14 days
DEFENSE:
- How to defend the position, if things go south?
If the short call in a short iron butterfly is assigned, then 100 shares of stock are sold short and the long call and both puts remain open. If a short stock position is not wanted, it can be closed in one of two ways. First, 100 shares can be purchased in the marketplace. Second, the short 100-share position can be closed by exercising the long call. Remember, however, that exercising a long call will forfeit the time value of that call. Therefore, it is generally preferable to buy shares to close the short stock position and then sell the long call. This two-part action recovers the time value of the long call. One caveat is commissions. Buying shares to cover the short stock position and then selling the long call is only advantageous if the commissions are less than the time value of the long call.
- This strategy has a heavy bullish bias, so the chances of being assigned on puts are much higher than on the calls... If the SP does reach beyond, this is good for my core long position.
- The biggest risk in this trade that I foresee is the SP pinned at the $46 support level, which lies between the strike price and the upper wing, of butterfly 1.
- However, high premia of deep ITM options mitigates this risk.
- $46 Short Straddle would be a good defense to this scenario, (Sell call, sell put) since $46 is a high probability level for 3/5 expiry.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
This strategy can be high risk, depending on the long-term outlook on this company... For me, I don't mind being assigned at these levels, and I have a core long position, so it is low risk. The strategy is based on forecasting the price action precisely, not only the levels, but the time frame. That said, this is most definitely not financial advice. I am describing my own strategy.
If you like the idea, please support by giving a like, follow, and sub!
Palantir tech stock analysis -PLTRPalantir tech stock analysis -PLTR NYSE:PLTR
Breakout of a possible trendline. Weakness signal. Wisest option is to hold.
We are in a possible bullish market that has shown a weakness signal meaning that the prices are ready to go down but, because the major trend is bullish it is too risky to go short now (it would mean to invest against the major trend).
To go long again we should wait the breakout upward of the trendline
UNRIVALLED - Palantir Technologies $PLTR - The Final Alert“We’ve seen this before with other lockups. People sell them leading up to the lockup period expiring, and then they have a bit of a relief rally,” said Ryan Jacob, chief executive of the Jacob Funds, which does not own Facebook shares.
In August, shares of the online reviews website Yelp Inc surged by more than 20 percent on the day that insider trading restrictions expired. That stock’s rally was boosted as short-sellers scrambled to cover their positions when the expected flood of selling failed to materialize, say analysts. - Reuters, on Facebook lockup expiration
At last, the end game has arrived for Palantir.
I have been working on this trade since before my Jan.8 Idea, and now it all comes to fruition!
As of today, lockup expiration is over, and short sellers are hoping that insiders sell, with a 70%+ borrow fee, and no more shares available.
We have seen the massive institutional demand at 25, with 300M volume (4x avg volume), and this floor seems unbreakable.
Cathie Wood herself went on CNBC to speak about Palantir... "Palantir is the future", were her words.
With no more negative catalysts, and the greenlight from the big banks, there is only one direction left for Palantir Technologies.
Palantir is one of a kind... Unrivalled.
PLTR - DOUBLE TOP: LONG --> SHORTWe see a reversal pattern: "Double top". All the main conditions are met (volumes, uptrend, etc.). Now there is a breakdown of the "Neck" level. The theory tells us that after the breakdown of the "Neck" level, there is often a return movement to the "Neck" level, and then a further fall.
Plus, the drop is now at the 20 EMA (near $20), which often acts as a support level. This increases the probability of returning to the "Neck" level.
In this regard, it is advisable to open the Long to the level of the "Neck" (+8%), then turn over to the Short (+10%).
PLTR load up... to the moon!PLTR after amazing an ER run up, stock price took a hard hit today as it dropped nearly 13%. PLTR earnings and beat analyst upgrades with a 41% growth in revenue from 2019 and is expecting to report a 30% yoy increase in revenue growth for 2021. Great add to your long term as they continue to spread their data analytic software to not only commercial customers but the government as well. Also founder of ARK Investment,Cathie Wood, has added this to her portfolio. From a TA standpoint, I can see more room for this to come down looking for a bounce near 24 to my wave c target to complete our abc correction before we start to form a 1-2 EW set up for a confirmed reversal. Now, if we gap up and we don't come down to get our dip entry, I wouldn't enter any short term swing and wait for a safe entry which would be a break and hold above 31. Good point here to go long with shares!
Key Levels:
Support: $25.30, $22.36
Resistance: $29.11, $30.92, $33.34, $37, $42.04, $45.19
Ways to Play This:
1. Buy Shares and HOLD!
2. LEAPS (year out option contracts, couple strikes OTM will suffice)
3. Swing minimum 3 week out exp. Option contracts
Option Ideas:
30C 3/5 2.30
30C 3/19 3.15
30C 1/21/2022 9.95
40C 1/21/2022 7.70
50C 1/21/2022 6.08
*Keep in mind these are contracts that catch my attention due to their liquidity (high vol and high OI) you can always go ITM or closer strike prices but my style is to go OTM unless ITM is cheap
Palantir c-update 2.1Slowly finished the expected cup.
After the formation of the shape, if the exchange rate successfully erupts from it, an increase of the same volume as the height of the cup can be expected.
Bull on the springboard. (:
Good luck to everyone.
(A little correction: I corrected the yellow line because it shifted from what I had previously communicated and wanted to keep the credibility of the previous estimate.)
PLTR asking for the 4th time; price is in a tight squeezeHello my dear padawans. Let's talk about our beloved PLTR. The price headed against the $26.6 resistance today for the 4th consecutive time. It broke above in what seemed to be a breakout but volume was not on its side and the price was pushed down again. The current candle is not what you want to see if you own the stock. It shows a lot of sell pressure around/above the $26.6. On the positive side, the moving averages (the 14 ema specifically at this point) have been supporting the price and moving up. The result of these opposing forces is a very tight price squeeze between $25.5 and $26.6. The bias is still bullish (continuation of the previous trend--see my previous chart for more technicals) but nothing is guaranteed in these markets so you need to exercise patience, discipline, diligence, and suppress emotions. That's the path to becoming a jedi investor.
As a side note, keep in mind Impeachment trials started today (again) so the market is pretty flat. The technicals remain the same.
Safe trades!
Share the love:
If you get anything out of this TA, please like chart so it moves up and others can benefit from my work. A simple click on the like button goes a long ways.
Follow for more:
I have an outstanding winning rate (check my other charts). If you want the best entry/exits just follow me, you won't regret. Thanks a lot!
***The ideas shared here are my opinion, not financial advise to place trades. Please do your own research before buying/selling stocks***