Palestine
$GOLD -Where to Next! (TP1 Hit / ~16.000 Pips) *Game-PlanTVC:GOLD
On the previous Quarterly Idea released as a macro/investor POV for TVC:GOLD ,
a *3M(monthly) area was given as an entry point in terms of market structure.
We received a great entry on a Quarterly Level *3M.
Salute to everyone of you who took action upon it.
Sure did the members of bingX copy-trade community.
" Where 2 Next for TVC:GOLD !? "
-Fundamentally speaking,
safe-heaven assets the likes of Bonds TVC:US10Y ,
MIL:BTC and TVC:GOLD have sky-rocketed recently and they are on a very desirable highlight right now.
So did Crude Oil ICEEUR:BRN1! due to 'WAR' break-out from Israeli Occupiers towards the People of Palestine.
The on-going 'WAR' or better said,
Ethnic Cleansing,
must be observed on the following week(s) to come.
Upcoming week (the last week of October)
is packed with GDP Q3/2023 reports from various countries,
(US,EURO-ZONE,UNITED KINGDOM, GERMANY, ITALY)
- TA speaking,
a pull back in TVC:GOLD in terms of price action to S/R resistance + Recent Demand area
would be very beneficial for uptrend resumption,
in order for the TVC:GOLD market to test buyers and sellers .
This level should hold,
otherwise Changing Character at 1.910$
would suggest price to behave
on a more steeper fashion ,
headed on lower areas at 'alternative SL trail' *D Level or even down further South.
This scenario would invalidate the recent uptrend of 10%+ in 10 days on $GOLD.
*** NOTE
This is not Financial Advice !
Please do your own research with your own diligence and
consult your own Financial Advisor
before partaking on any trading activity
with your hard earned money based solely on this Idea.
Ideas being released are published for my own trading speculation and
journaling needed to be clear on different asset classes price action.
💎 $GOLD : Correction to $1903 ? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart in the daily time frame, we can see that based on our analysis, on Friday with the announcement of the NFP, the price attacked the level of $1810 to collect liquidity, and then it was accompanied by demand pressure (As we mentioned in the previous analysis, the price was in a demand range for several days) and with the war between Israel and Palestine, the market found its own excuse for further growth, And today, until this moment, it has managed to grow up to $1856 and hit its first upward target! As I said in the previous analysis, for the price to grow, gold must stabilize and close above $1830, which is exactly what happened on Friday!
The important demand zone is from $1812 to $1829 and the important supply zones are $1858, $1880 to $1889, and finally $1903!
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
The Last and The Main TA : (Click on the picture to see more)
Gold BUY Tensions RiseDear Ziilllaatrades,
We'd like to discuss a potential chain of events where an invasion of Israel into Palestine could trigger Iran's involvement in the conflict, causing a rise in gold prices. Here's how this chain of events might unfold:
1. Invasion of Israel into Palestine:
If Israel were to launch a large-scale military invasion into Palestinian territories, it would likely draw significant international attention and condemnation.
This action would intensify tensions in the region and lead to a surge in violence, displacement of civilians, and potential casualties.
2. Iran's Involvement:
Iran has been a long-standing supporter of Palestinian causes, particularly through its support for groups like Hamas and Hezbollah.
If Israel's actions are perceived as a significant threat to Palestinian territories and civilians, Iran may feel compelled to intervene in the conflict to protect its interests and regional influence.
Iran could provide financial, military, and logistical support to Palestinian factions, escalating the conflict and potentially involving Iranian military forces.
3. Escalation of Regional Tensions:
The involvement of Iran in the conflict would escalate regional tensions and may lead to the activation of regional alliances and rivalries.
Israel's allies, including the United States, may respond with increased military and diplomatic support.
This could lead to a broader regional conflict, potentially involving other countries in the Middle East.
4. Market Uncertainty and Safe-Haven Demand:
Geopolitical instability and conflict in the Middle East tend to increase market uncertainty and risk aversion.
Investors often turn to safe-haven assets like gold during times of geopolitical turmoil, as gold is traditionally seen as a store of value and a hedge against economic instability.
The rising tensions in the Middle East, including the involvement of Iran, could lead to increased demand for gold, driving up its prices.
5. Impact on Gold Prices:
As investors seek refuge in safe-haven assets like gold, increased demand could cause gold prices to rise.
The extent of the price increase would depend on the severity of the conflict, the duration of the crisis, and the global response to the situation.
Gold prices can also be influenced by a variety of factors, including economic conditions, currency movements, and supply and demand dynamics.
It's important to note that this scenario is hypothetical, and the actual outcome of any such conflict and its impact on gold prices would depend on a wide range of complex and dynamic factors. Geopolitical events can indeed influence commodity prices, including gold, but predicting the extent of that impact is challenging.
Feel free to ask any questions,
Greetings,
Ziilllaatrades
WTI CrudeoilOwing to geopolitical tension around the globe, can expect WTI to trade around 90$ during next week. In 15mins chart, we can see the ''W'' recovery pattern. Can expect an upside movement to 90$. If the situation worsens in war, it will move beyond that.
Disclaimer : Trade as per your risk level.
Middle East conflict up, oil up, gold up, defense stocks upWTI and Brent crude futures both jumped more than 4% to above $86 and $88 per barrel, respectively, on Monday, after a surprise attack by Hamas on Israel over the weekend.
More than 900 Israelis have lost their lives, with 130 more held hostage, and nearly 700 Palestinians have been killed in Israel’s retaliation. A truce is unlikely in the short term.
Investors are wary of a wider conflict too. Gold jumped 1.45% to around $1,850 an ounce on Monday, adding to the 0.7% gain the metal made on Friday (as the Non-Farm Payrolls jobs report came in ridiculously stronger than expected).
In some cases, investors are not wary, but welcome a wider conflict, with defense stocks in the US being some of the better performing on Monday. Raytheon (+4.5%), Lockheed Martin (+8.5%), and Northrop Grumman (+11.2%) all recording some of their best daily gains in some time.
A question that arises, and which could affect oil markets is; what was Iran’s contribution to the situation, if any? Tehran has denied involvement but did commend the attack. Investors will be looking for any events that could affect supply from Iran (they currently send 1.5 million barrels per day to China) or through Iran (via the Strait of Hormuz which is vital for about 30% of oil supply).
In any case, the world might be facing higher-for-longer oil prices.
Longing Novartis (NVS) Longing Novartis (NVS): A Strategic Investment Amidst Geopolitical Tensions
This article presents a compelling rationale for considering a long position in Novartis (NVS) stock. The primary driving factor behind this investment strategy is Novartis' close association with Sandoz (SDZ) following the latter's stock debut last week. Sandoz, a subsidiary of Novartis, is a prominent manufacturer of the generic version of Copaxone, a glatiramer acetate injection widely used in the treatment of relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis. This article examines the strategic advantages of this association, highlighting the potential benefits of Novartis' position in the pharmaceutical market in light of increasing tensions in the Middle East.
Sandoz's Role in the Copaxone Market:
Sandoz's significance in the pharmaceutical industry cannot be overstated, particularly with its role in manufacturing the generic version of Copaxone, known as Glatopa. This medication contains the same active ingredient, offers comparable clinical benefits, and shares a similar administration process with Copaxone. Notably, Copaxone has historically been one of Teva Pharmaceuticals' most profitable products.
Geopolitical Tensions and Consumer Behavior:
A critical aspect of this investment thesis revolves around the current escalation of tensions in the Middle East, specifically the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. As geopolitical uncertainties continue to mount in the region, consumers and healthcare providers may seek alternative sources for medications, including those used to treat conditions like multiple sclerosis. This shift in consumer behavior is attributed to concerns about supply chain disruptions and the desire to reduce dependence on Israeli-produced drugs amidst the ongoing conflict.