Palladium
Palladium: This precious metal has been stalled. Soon will rise?I favor we are now in a consolidation triangle. Often (not always) there is a Fibonacci relationships between the legs. In this case the '"c" on the daily chart is .5 x a. If e is .5 x c then we get the top of the target chart given. When the target area is reached and we get a price action sign of possible reversal I will go long.
Notice the positive reversal in the weekly RSI (RSI gets lower but the price stays up).
Process your way. If correct often there is a rapid rise out of the triangle.
!Copper Long Position Update from Signal Given Jul 6thAs the American dollar continues to devalue, I remain long gold , commodities , and all of the other things that should should be invested in during one of the first--and possibly worst--stagflationary economic transitions in history here in the United States.
Well done to all that took this trade with me! 💸
13:26:26 (UTC)
Fri Jul 31, 2020
PALLADIUM - Analysis.Over 50% of PALLADIUM supply (and its congener, PLATINUM) is used in catalytic converters,
These convert up to 90% of the harmful gases in automobile exhaust (hydrocarbons, carbon monoxide & nitrogen dioxide) into less harmful substances such as:
nitrogen, carbon dioxide and water vapor.
Helpful information about PALLADIUM vs PLATINUM in the car manufacturer market:
seekingalpha.com
As a primary metal for the automobile industry, particularly in the USA - I believe it's accurate,
To say that PALLADIUM is providing a historical evaluation of economical progress in the United States.
The main methods of transport (Cars, Trucks, Tractors, etc.) are huge driving forces behind active commerce.
Manipulated markets (E.G. Dow Jones, S&P500) do NOT provide correct valuations regarding economical progress,
To my knowledge, PALLADIUM adjusted to natural fluctuations as they should appear (without FED interference).
Based on bearish sentiment, I expect PALLADIUM to drop to $1,100 & below (alongside #DJI),
This is roughly 50% from its previous fibonacci support level as shown in the chart above.
Upon further decline, our estimates for opportunities can be more precisely measured:
i.pinimg.com
Bull Trap has been displayed - Entering return to "normal" phase:
static.seekingalpha.com
PALLADIUM 1D TRIANGLE BREAKOUTTriangles are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Triangles are consolidation chart patterns that can breakout either direction.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
Whatever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
Chalice Golde Mines Major Breakout $CHNChalice Golde Mines Major Breakout of 10 year base. The bigger the base the higher in space. Three district scale exploration properties in the best and most prolific areas in Australia. Tier one assets. Exploring near some of the most profitable mines in the world including the Fosterville Gold Mine owned by Kirkland Lake Gold (NYSE / TSX: KL | ASX: KLA) and 22Moz @ 15g/t Au Bendigo Goldfield.
3p / 3.69p resistance 6p big target / strong catalystsJangada is a great top invesment:
BoD aligned with shareholders holding most of the float
6p warrants due to expiry in October 2020
Have 26% of Volare Metals valued at around $5.5m for Jangada Mines
Valore Metals also own Pedra Branca PGE (great asset) & drilling over summer.
Jangada catalysts:
7 holes assay results to come back soon
JORC estimated resource
PEA
"FED-PIG" PLAY - Metal Strangle - Long Palladium, Silver HedgePalladium is one of the most interesting niche long ideas that I've been following for some time. This rare metal has appreciated 3-4x in a very short period of time. That is pretty wild, given that it is a commodity that has always existed on Earth. While there are certainly gov't related supply controls, demand is skyrocketing due to its extremely limited availability and its rare chemical properties used to manufacture vehicles in the aerospace/automobile industries.
In fact, there seems to be some slight correlation between Tesla's share price and palladium's p/oz. Might just be a coincidence though.
In any case, the FED is likely to drop rates in order to keep in line with their efforts to push the market higher. Any sort of dovishness will be bad for everyone, unless you are somehow still holding a short position from 3 months ago. Otherwise, I think these FED minutes will serve as another catalyst and that it actually has not been fully priced in to the equities markets.
However, one way to play this is to strangle commodities to account for an ambiguous reaction to interest rate guidance. All else equal, silver is the obvious pick to short and gold, long. However, I think palladium can benefit more than gold from decreased rates because it is overlooked. Gold may have already priced the best case scenario in already, which is a fair assumption given recent institutional interest.
Thus, one creative play before 2 pm is to long Palladium forward contracts for next month and buy offsetting puts on silver miner ETFs.
Will be a fully fed pig by end of day, that I am sure of.
TVC:PALLADIUM TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER
ridethepig | Palladium Market Commentary 2020.06.15Here the consolidation is condemned to break for the common good, as a diversionary sacrifice. Covid cases will act as the catalyst undoubtedly. The question is only and above all when?
For those tracking the breakout momentum is much more on the buyers side, clearly defined jurisdictions are on both sides of the map... As a quick cheatsheet: Strong Support (1635) <=> Soft Support (1750) <=> Soft Resistance (2300) <=> Strong Resistance (2800).