XPD/USD "PALLADIUM" Market Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Ola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist XPD/USD "PALLADIUM" Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe
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Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
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Palladiumtrading
Palladium XPDUSD Bullish Side Money Heist PlanMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist PALLADIUM XPDUSD Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level Police Force is waiting for our arrival, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan,
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money Use Trailing Stop To Protect Looted Money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order Block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target it will update after the Breakouts.
support our robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday.
Palladium: Early Bird? 🐦Primarily, we expect Palladium to move downwards once more to dive into the yellow zone between $1176 and $1088. There, it should finish wave v in green as well as wave (b) in blue before taking off in the direction of $1577. However, there is a high 48% chance of the metal being an early bird. In that case, Palladium would have already concluded wave Alt.v in green and would thus directly start the ascent, skipping the yellow zone.
Palladium Will the precious metal rebound in 2023?Palladium prices have spiked following the invasion of Ukraine by Russia, the metal’s biggest exporter, yet stabilised further in 2022 as chip shortages and the push for electric vehicles (EVs) depressed automotive demand.
On the supply side, with floods and weather conditions overcome, analysts suggest a palladium surplus in 2023 is possible.
Where next for the precious metal and can it find new use cases amid the growing popularity of EV vehicles? Here we take a look at what factors are shaping the palladium price forecast.
What is palladium?
Palladium is a silvery-white precious metal discovered in Brazil in the 1700s, where it was dubbed “worthless gold”. It was not until 1803 that the metal was finally extracted by English chemist and physicist William Wolaston.
Today palladium can be found in sulphide minerals, such as braggite, and is extracted as a by-product of nickel, copper and zinc. Along with platinum, ruthenium, rhodium, iridium and osmium, palladium is one of the six metals of the platinum group (PGMs). These metals are extremely rare and are valued for their superior catalytic features.
The majority of palladium supply is used for catalytic converters – devices embedded in the exhaust system of fossil fuel-powered cars to neutralise harmful emissions. The rapidly growing popularity of EVs is expected to hurt palladium demand as they do not require catalysts.
The silvery-white metal is also used in electronics, for example, in ceramic capacitors of laptops and phones; in dentistry, for fillings and crowns; and in jewellery as an alternative to platinum.
South Africa, Russia, Canada, the US and Zimbabwe were the biggest palladium producers in 2021, according to data collected by Statista. Meanwhile, the biggest palladium-exporting countries were Russia, South Africa, the US, the UK and Italy. The biggest importers were the UK, the US, Canada, Hong Kong and Switzerland, WITS data showed.
Due to its rarity, palladium is often seen as an investment asset. Traders can speculate on palladium prices through various instruments, including spot palladium trading, futures and options contracts, palladium mining stocks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and financial derivatives. Note that all trading contains the risk of making a loss.
Palladium price analysis
As with any commodity, palladium price is primarily shaped by the forces of supply and demand. The palladium spot price rallied in 2020 amid supply deficits caused by pandemic-induced restrictions in exporting countries.
An outage at an Anglo American (AALI) plant in South Africa in 2020 further tightened supply. And in February 2021, flooding at a mine and an accident at a concentrator reduced production at Russia’s Nornickel (Norilsk Nickel) (MNODI), the world’s largest palladium producing company. Palladium futures on New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) reached their 2021 peak of HKEX:2 ,976 per troy ounce (/oz) in May 2021.
In the second half of 2021, however, the global semiconductor chip shortage caused automotive manufacturers worldwide to cut production. This had a knock-on effect on palladium demand, with the futures prices falling to $1604/oz in December 2021.
Although the invasion of Ukraine by Russia pushed palladium prices to an all-time high of HKEX:3 ,146/oz in March 2022, prices quickly stabilised, offset by the US dollar’s strength and an ongoing decline in automotive demand. In the last months of 2022, palladium futures have been hovering around the HKEX:1 ,900/oz mark.
Supply to “shift into surplus” in 2023
In August 2022, Russia-based palladium giant Nornickel said that supply chain disruptions caused by the Western sanctions have reduced its sales for the first half of 2022.
In its second-half report, the company pointed out that supply was expected to grow in 2022, however, “the downside risk remains due to the infrastructure flooding at the Stillwater mine and a potential strike at the Sibanye-Stillwater assets in South Africa”.
Johannesburg-based precious metal producer Sibanye-Stillwater’s mine operations in Montana were hurt by a significant flooding event in June 2022. It forced the firm to cut its output forecast to 445,000-460,000 ounces in 2022, according to the latest half-year report.
In its precious market forecast for 2023, Heraeus Group argued that “primary palladium supply is projected to rebound as mines affected by weather-related incidents this year will be back to normal output and the stock built up by a delayed smelter rebuild in South Africa should be processed in 2023.”
“Secondary supply is expected to be marginally higher, but if economic conditions deteriorate further, automotive recycling could disappoint,” they added.
In a September 2022 note, Bank of America (BofA) expected palladium to “slowly shift into surplus”, with global consumption projected to rise 4.5% in 2023 and global consumption to fall by 5.8%, leaving the metal with a balance of 1.809m ounces.
The surplus was expected to grow to 2,339 ounces in 2024. “Palladium will likely be oversupplied in the medium term,” the bank said.
Automotive demand remains low
In other palladium price news, Nornickel also said that “global automotive market recovery is deferred to 2023” amid a “lack of semiconductors and supply chain interruptions impact vehicle output”. The firm saw automotive production recover in 2023, growing 11% to 89m units alongside improving chip availability.
In their December palladium price outlook, ANZ research analysts pointed out that “easing semiconductor supply tightness could revive auto-sector demand for PGMs”. They added:
“That said, doubts around the economic outlook could cap the upside. Russia supplies over 35% of global palladium, and disruptions have been limited so far.”
The growing popularity of EVs and the push for sustainable energy along with macroeconomic headwinds pose risks to palladium demand from the automotive sector, according to Heraeus Group analysts, who noted:
“Automotive demand is estimated to be slightly lower at 7.7 million ounces in 2023. Light-vehicle production is expected to improve somewhat as supply chain issues that have dogged production are overcome. However, ongoing market share gains by battery electric vehicles and a recession in Europe and the US could limit the uplift in internal combustion engine light-vehicle production, and substitution of platinum into gasoline three-way catalysts at the expense of some palladium also constrains the demand upside.”
Palladium price forecast for 2023 and beyond
In their palladium price forecast for 2023, ANZ Research saw the metal trading at HKEX:2 ,048/oz in the year, falling back to HKEX:1 ,805/oz in 2024.
“We see platinum outperforming palladium as demand for the precious metal is boosted from both jewellery and industrial sectors. Further, normalising of the supply chain should see growth in auto catalyst demand,” said ANZ research analysts in a December note.
In September 2022, Bank of America set a 2023 target for the future value of palladium at $1740/oz, noting that “chip shortages cap the upside to prices, but a normalisation of dislocations should ultimately boost demand.”
BofA’s palladium price forecast for 2025 saw the precious metal trading at HKEX:1 ,564 and falling to HKEX:1 ,497/oz in 2026.
Heraeus Group predicted palladium's future price to trade between HKEX:2 ,259/oz and HKEX:1 ,300/oz in 2023, “as the market is moving into surplus which weighs on the price.” The analysts said:
“With a slight reduction in demand and an increase in primary supply, the market is likely to be in surplus even if secondary supply underperforms expectations.”
TD Securities spot palladium price predictions saw the metal trading at HKEX:1 ,879/oz in the first quarter of 2023, rising to HKEX:2 ,100/oz by early 2024. In 2025, the firm saw the precious metal falling back to HKEX:1 ,950/oz.
TradingEconomics, meanwhile, as of 15 December, expected palladium to trade at HKEX:2 ,032.00/oz by the end of this quarter. “Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at HKEX:2 ,300.09 in 12 months time,” the website added.
Analysts refrained from providing palladium price forecasts for 2030 due to a number of uncertainties at play.
Final thoughts
Remember, analysts and algorithm-based predictions can be wrong. Palladium price forecasts shouldn’t be used as a substitute for your own research. Always conduct your own due diligence before trading, looking at the latest news, technical and fundamental analysis, and a wide range of commentary.
Keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future returns, and never trade money you cannot afford to lose.
Palladium: Bear market rally continuesThe daily palladium chart shows some interesting technical developments.
On September 8, the price action saw a 4.5% daily gain, which broke both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Previously, the same breakouts also occurred on July 7 and 8, but in two separate sessions.
With the September 6 lows, a short-term bullish channel may have formed, supporting the palladium bear market rally thesis.
The area between $2,190 and 2,193 is where buyers are now encountering some sellers’ resistance.
If this hurdle is broken, the next one is situated at $2,233 (15 August high), and after that $2,300 (11 August high).
The MACD exhibited a bullish crossover at the zero line. On July 22, the same signal occurred, which then served as a driving force behind the rally to mid-August highs.
Palladium is 37% lower than its March peak, indicating that the major trend remains bearish. To revert this trend, palladium prices must rise decisively above $2,612 (50% Fibonacci retracement of 2022 low-high).
Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodity analyst at Capital.com
Palladium: 1D Chart ReviewHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1D linear scale chart for Palladium.
The chart is self-explanatory. Palladium Price has been moving up a Rising Channel recently but the overall trend looks like a Bearish Divergence. Since the RSI was recently supported by a support line, the price has the chance to keep moving higher, however if the price breaks down from the Rising channel, it may come down to the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement level where the measured move is as well as that area being a strong Support and Resistance zone. If price moves up from the rising channel, expect it to be met with resistance at the multi-year resistance line.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis. Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
Palladium - a small short before the move higherPalladium has just provided three reasons why I will look for a retracement before looking for the long.
1. Market has reached a trend line connecting tops - 9 month span
2. Market has hit the 1.272 from high 18th Nov (double top) - low 31th Dec - the 1.272 is the pink line. Note: We need to take in to account the larger swing from Dec15 - present.
3. Market has hit the 618 of the last big swing from high May 21 - 31 Jan - the black line is the 618
From here we look for a pullback to the 382 that happens to be a strong support zone - light blue line
After the pull back we go LONG with an ABCD pattern and the top of our range box to reach our target.
PALLADIUM DAILY BUY SET UPHi TRADERS this is my trade set up for PALLADIUM for the new week ahead
PALLADIUM I am expecting a break above the 22066.50 level , so I am only looking for a buy trade after this break out
This is my analysis only please trade with caution and risk management in place
clean crisp charts I hope it helps if you have any questions please private message me
good luck for this weeks trading
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PALLADIUM AnalysisAn idea suggesting bull continuation for palladium
Price can be seen to be sitting right on 4.618 of a trend that was drawn within the bull structure
This is a possible recovery point
It also aligns nicely when a trendline is drawn across the top of the two circles, providing a possible target
The green lines are strong support areas if the bull idea does not come to fruition
PALLADIUM - XPDUSD BULLISH CONTINUATION ON THE CARDSPalladium - Monthly chart is making a come back after falling off the cliff in the past few months. The drop can be viewed as a much needed correction in the overall bullish trend in the metals market. Price action is telling me that palladium prices have found the floor and now price looks set to bounce back up to possibly new highs in the next coming months to years.
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Short opportunity Palladium 25 May, 2020The value of Palladium has been declining for several months and I see now another good opportunity to short as price seems on the verge of breaking through the support at 1947 area. I am interested in taking a short, with stop above 1983 to target just above 1780. The R/R justifies this "with trend" trade.
The memorial day holiday in the US will mean rather thin markets on 25/05, so please be watchful.
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As always, please use sound money and risk management in all your trades.
Calling Tops In a Bullish MarketAs a rule of thumb you shouldn't call tops or bottoms, react to change. However ima give it my best shot for fun. A bullish divergence can be seen for Palladium on the RSI, which has lead to a large bull run comparable to the initial bull run seen, will this come crashing down like the fractal predicts? I'm no Nostradamus but it would make a hell of a trendline. Return to the mean channel is likely, eventually.