Rounded Bottom and Parabolic Curve Theory idea for $BRDBTCThis is a personal research and idea for investment. DYOR and TIT...
This is Bread $BTC coin on a bi-weekly chart.
Bare in mind this is a huge Rounded Bottom pattern that probably will develop exponentially growing price action as it starts to close. I'm calling it very early as consistent with Parabolic Curve Theory ( PCT ) and am very conscious that events like news catalysts and BTC volatility can deviate it off its course and make price action miss some of the PCT base targets marked here thus making it necessary to revisit this idea.
As this is a very long term trade it is also uncertain how it will react to potential market trend reversal.
In terms of research it will be very interesting to keep track over the span of the months and understand the balance between patterns and market momentum.
TIME/PRICE PROJECTION
Pattern start: Mid-Jan 2018
Estimated end: Q1 2024 (1000+ days from publishing)
Price tag at time of publishing: 610 satoshi
Expected price tag at end of pattern: 15,153 satoshi
Sub-base 1 (.b1.1): 2,061 satoshi
Base 1 price level: 3,687 satoshi
Base 2 price level: 5,883 satoshi
Base 3 price level: 7,645 satoshi
Base 4 price level: 9,407 satoshi
Take profit range: Recommended trailing take profit at 14,000 satoshi
TECH INDICATORS
Kumo cloud is apparently bottomed with both Senkou span A and B showing signs of consolidation. Further development in this direction will put Price action (PA) inside the Kumo cloud within half a year from now so confirming consolidation and/or initiation of reversal.
Tenkan and Kijun sen (blue and yellow averages) are squeezing together preparing for a flip and T/K crossover. The last and only time this happened was in march of 2019. This might signal the kickoff for trend reversal.
upsloped confirm bullish momentum. Chikou lagging span is below PA which is bearish. To strengthen the theory of an upcoming trend reversal Parabolic SAR is beneath PA at least 5 candles back, this is bullish.
NEWS CATALYSTS AND BTC VOLATILITY
No upcoming news catalysts.
Seemingly unaffected by BTC dips.
EXPECTATIONS
I expect very slow ranging with probable impulses increasing as we near the curve to close the RB. I'm very intrigued by how this long term pattern will react to the market's bullrun ending. That being within the time period for this patterns' completion, makes it extremely hard to foresee if the pattern will remain unscathed by trend reversal.
FINAL NOTE
Drawing may need to be adjusted as it's very complicated to project time on a pattern this size.
Paraboliccurve
Parabolic Curve Theory idea for $TRBBTC Rounded BottomThis is a personal research and idea for investment. DYOR and TIT...
This is a 3-day chart for Tellor $TRB coin.
Bare in mind this is a huge Rounded Bottom pattern that probably will develop exponentially growing price action as it starts to close. I'm calling it early as consistent with Parabolic Curve Theory (PCT) and am very conscious that events like news catalysts and BTC volatility can deviate it off its course and make price action miss some of the PCT base targets making it necessary to revisit this idea.
TIME/PRICE PROJECTION
Pattern start: Aug 31st 2020
Estimated end: 2nd half of June to 1st week of July (66 days from publishing)
Price tag at time of publishing: 236,000 satoshi
Expected price tag at end of pattern: 615K satoshi
Base 1 price level: 184,400 satoshi
Base 2 price level: 266,700 satoshi
Base 3 price level: 333,100 satoshi
Base 4 price level: 399,600 satoshi
Safe take profit range: Recommended trailing take profit at 587,300 satoshi
TECH INDICATORS
Kumo cloud is bullish with senkou span A over B and following below price action. Tenkan over Kijun sen upsloped confirm bullish momentum. Chikou lagging span is upsloped, far away and high which is also a bullish confirmation.
Parabolic SAR beneath price action bullish sign too.
Bearish divergence present on last candle.
NEWS CATALYSTS AND BTC VOLATILITY
At the time of publishing this idea we can see a huge bullish candle (may 4th) which made price action blast through base 1 target, not allowing any ranging, at least for the moment. This is consistent with the listing of the coin on Coinbase Pro, sparking great buying activity.
If we look at BTC price action on the pink line we can clearly see that $TRB hasn't been affected by bitcoins dips, at least not on this time frame.
EXPECTATIONS
I expect at least 2 months of sporadic large and increasing impulse moves to reach every subsequent base.
Ranging is expected below every base, towards the curve but they should decrease as price action moves up.
FINAL NOTE
Drawing may need to be adjusted as it's very complicated to project time on a pattern this size.
Rounded Bottom pattern on $TLMThis is a personal short -term swing trade I'm taking for Alien Worlds awesome $TLM coin.
PATTERN_____
Rounded Bottom (RB), or possibly Cup and Handle (C&H). Parabolic Curve Theory (PCT) applies.
TECH ANALYSIS_____
4-hour timeframe chart.
I'm approaching this Rounded Bottom with PCT. Have already recognised a sub-base (follow up on my research for PCT) which I name .b1.1 and bases 1 and 2 (.b1 and .b2) already reached byr Price Action (PA).
Ichimoku is bullish on the Kumo Cloud which is broad and beneath PA. Tenkan and Kijun are bullish and with plenty space between them. T over K is bullish. Impulses will grow longer and higher as it moves from base to base.
Chikou lagging span (purple line on my setup) is far and above PA which is bullish as well.
EXPECTATIONS_____
PCT has it that from .b3 up price could double in the shortest period which is consistent to base 3 being at a 0.56 price level and close of RB at 0.93 which is roughly double.
I expect RB to develop into C&H pattern or keep moving up for a measured move equivalent to the cup's depth (360+%) over a longer period of time. We will probably see $TLM passing the dollar within a week.
THREATS_____
BTC volatility and dominance kicking in.
I'm doing...
Entry Price (EP): range between 0.416 and 0.435
SL: Manual
TP1: 0.47
TP2: 0.56
TP3: 0.65
TP4: 0.77
TP5: 0.93
DYOR and TIT
Parabolic Curve Theory idea for $LINK vs USDTThis is a 3-day chart.
For full disclosure I'm a big $LINK accumulator because I believe in its robust features and fundamentals.
Currently price fluctuates around the 38USDT price level.
I've been researching a lot in Parabolic Curve Theory but don't remember having looked at Chainlink's exponential growth from a zoomed out perspective.
What I get is this:
There's a small Higher High (HH) around the 8.3 price level and short ranging period which could fit into my theory that PCT's are preceded by a small subwave around midwav to base 1 (.b1). Then we get:
A new HH around .236 fib., pullback and ranging period.
Another HH around the .386 fib, a pullback and short swing.
A recent HH at the .5 fib with a pullback.
This behavior is now typical of PCT and it places Chainlink on base 3 (.b3).
EXPECTATIONS:
I'd expect $LINK price action to range towards the curve before an impulse to the .618 fib and after that one last impulse to the top of the curve. Market behavior should be like a panic buy sentiment and once it tops I'd also expect massive sell out for profit taking before it keeps moving on.
Price level for this setup is around 86USDT in roughly half a year (around october)
Parabolic Curve Theory idea for $PNT vs BTCUPDATE:
This is an active setup for $PNT against BTC pair.
I posted this setup a while back and this 3-day chart shows how a normal correction in price action was affected by april 13th BTC dip deepening the correction on $PNT.
This put price action outside of the Parabolic Curve structure, but did not invalidate the setup.
Significant price action is still coinciding with main fib levels. We can see an uprally marking Base 1 (.b1 on 0,236fib) of the PCT and later Base 2 (.b2 on 0,382fib) on April the 4th.
BTC dip made price action pull back and break down Base 1 again. This deviation I've boxed in the green rectangle.
I'm expecting price action to keep it's path of strong impulses and minor corrections and/or ranging although PCT should mean ranges being shorter every time it ascend another tier to the subsequent bases.
Be aware that upcoming BTC dips may alter time projections and depending on when it happens, produce new deviations out of the PCT structure. I will have to revisit and update the idea if that happens.
UPDATE: Parabolic Curve Theory idea for $LRC vs BTCThis is an updated daily chart for Loopring $LRC against BTC pair...
Setup is still in play although it was visibly affected by the BTC Dip on april 18th.
Interested to see 2 things in this case:
- Volume is pretty low and it has been since before the Rounded Bottom began to develop. Eyes generally fixate on lower cap coins at the very end of the money flow and it's the case for this 40 satoshi coin.
- Patterns to me are pretty much like a figure-shaped support. This feeling is reaffirmed with the april 18th and 19th dip stopping it's descending path to hug the parabolic curve again.
Parabolic Curve Theory idea for $LUNABTC ***No financial advice, only intended for personal educational purposes***
This is a daily chart for $LUNABTC. We can clearly see the Parabolic Curve pattern (PC) and 5 bases. I've named the lowest and the one on top of that one 1.1 and 1.2 because they average where b1 has been usually observed to target the .236 fib.
This is another example of the PCT respecting the fibs with only that previous deviation to note, besides what somebody could clame to be a base 5 just before crowning the curve.
It is actually correcting and losing momentum with an oversold RSI and bearish MACD, low volume too.
Kumo cloud is dense and price level will have a hard time crossing it down for a bearish reversal.
Tenkan and Kijun sen lines are in an upper resistance position and Chikou span still at a fair distance.
All in all I think this is soon to break the dotted yellow upper trendline I drew on the chart.
Rounding Top idea for $BEL vs BTCROUNDING TOP IDEA
Following up on the initial idea for a Rounding Top playing out on Bitcoin, this 4-hour $BEL chart shows a similar pattern which I expect to perform in an uptrend for a big move up in the mid to long term.
April 17th's BTC dip accelerated the pattern closing and almost bounced off the rising trendline support.
An impulse move might bring price to ATH by the end of this month (April) depending majorly on Bitcoins behavior.
PARABOLIC CURVE THEORY POSSIBLE
I've marked price level 7.00 for a future idea analysis on a larger scale timeframe as I believe this coin might be developing a parabolic curve. That level could actually be a base 3. If that turns out to be so, I would confirm the existence of the parabolic curve pattern making it a awesome opportunity for exponential growth which would put the long term price level around the 13.2USDT.
Parabolic Curve Theory idea for $SUNContinuing with my research on PCT (Parabolic Curve Theory) this is a daily chart for $SUN coin which also seems to have initiated a parabolic move marking a sub-base 1 at approximately 0.172 fib level and later setting higher highs on the 0.236 fib level (Base 1), and 0.382 fib level (Base 2).
I'm very eager to understand the deep relationship that appears to exist between these parabolic panic-buying patterns, Elliott Wave Theory and Fibonacci, which seems to be present on every accumulation area or base of PCT.
I expect the price action to bounce off of the curve and initiate an uptrend towards the 69USDT price level.
Any comments and further insight on the subjects of this research is very much appreciated.
Parabolic Curve Theory idea for $LRC***This is not financial advice, it is a personal investigation log intended for furthering my knowledge on Parabolic Curve Theory ( PCT )***
This is a daily chart for Loopring $LRC vs $BTC.
Pattern analysis is clearly a Rounded Bottom (RB) at a +/-70% advance in time with a total estimated span of approximately 85 days.
Bottom of the base: 847 satoshi
Projected top: 1,869 satoshi
Projection for bases 1 through 4 set at .236, .382, .500, .618 Fibonacci levels. These have been determined by measuring an inverse retracement from base to top to force the Fib tool to place the levels from 0 to 1 to cover the complete parabola.
At the moment of publishing the estimated profit % when reaching the top is of 92%
I will update close to when the different stages are reached to keep track of the price action behavior.
Any comments and further insight are welcome.
Parabolic Curve idea for $TRB BTC rounded bottom***This is not financial advice. I'm posting this publicly in the hopes of gathering additional insight from other PCT Parabolic Curve Theory knowledged people. It is a personal investigation on PCT to find more precise correlations to other indicators***
For transparency I am invested in $TRB against BTC as I am an active trader.
This is a Daily chart on Tellor $TRB which is shaping a rounded bottom (RB) which has already touched base. It's an RB with an projected total span of approximately 313 days and already 75% in.
Price: currently 111,900 satoshi
Estimated top: 654,000 satoshi
ETA: approx. 84 days from publishing
Profit from actual position: 488%
I'm expecting the 4 bases of PCT to roughly hit around the highlighted yellow fibs marked from .b1 to 4
I'm linking this post to original publishing of my PCT research.
Tech indicators show Kumo cloud reversal, also shaping a clear RB pattern with relative decrease in volume at the base and multiple TK crossovers.
$EGLD/USDT 12h (Binance Futures) Parabolic curve on supportElrond eGold is retracing down but I believe uptrend could resume soon.
Let's try to catch the next big dip if we are lucky enough!
Current Price= 132.204
Buy Entry= 110.013 - 97.005
Take Profit= 159.521 | 219.800 | 311.178
Stop Loss= 75.154
Risk/Reward= 1:1.98 | 1:4.1 | 1:7.32
Expected Profit= +54.11% | +112.35% | +200.63%
Possible Loss= -27.39%
Fib. Retracement= 0.618 | 1 | 1.414
Margin Leverage= 1x
Estimated Gain-time= 1440h
MCX Nickel Parabolic Curve Pattern & TipsThis is MCX Nickel weekly chart. Price projection is based on Parabolic Curve & Fib Retracement.
As mentioned in the chart, At the end-point of Base 3, indicated by the "X" symbol, the nickel could double in the shortest period of time. Targets: 1426 - 1632 - 1778 - 1854 - 1962 ( 2.618 - Based on Fib Retracement ).
If nickel breaks the curve line, it can collapse up to "X" or base 3 deep. Hence, we can see the following targets from the selling point: 1130 - 1050 - 960 - 850 and below .
Remember, trade with the direction of the breakout. And stop-loss above/below breakout level.
🎓Derivatives🎓 $BTC / USDT Futures 🎓
🔸 Status: Bitcoin has moved up over our first target, and it is now safe you move the stop loss well into the money. Once again we made perfect contact with the parabolic curve, at the green bubble. The +5% stop was just right and the position remained open through that test. Second target is in sight, anticipate some selling pressure around there, but not looking to short that level just yet.
✖️10 Multiplier
🔸Current Price: $15 523 (+40% unrealized profit)
❇️Long Entry: $14 896
🎯Targets: ✅$15 335, $15 825, $16 900
🚫Stop loss @ +30%
LEND.BTC (Y20.P3.E3.v3).Gems in the making.No.2Hi,
This is a continuation of the previous post, link below.
This is part of my Defi - Gems in the making series, No2. Kava is No.3, SOLBTC will be No.4, etc
As you can see, I have updated my chart and target areas....I suggest keep going long.
Why, I expect 3 or 4 impulse moves before another major pullback or sell off.
(Until BTC hits its target, we will likely not have a sell off)
However its better to keep raising your stop limits, strategically placed as we go up.
With regards to the next target, I have noted the following:
- The height of the formation has confluence with the fib level, extension
- Using the CPR tool on the weekly R1, it too has confluence with both the height method and fib. level.
However the trend line is also a strong resistance
FYI, with regards to LINK, I would suggest looking at the chart and place a stop loss or sell soon.
Apply the stick test on the bottom trend, If its vertical, its unlikely to be sustained.
Please give me a like or tick for this post.
Cheers,
S.Sari
PREVIOUS POST
KAVA.BTC (Y20.P3.E3).Gems in the making.No.3Hi All,
This post is part of a series of posts that I have started with parabolic curve signs and hence the title association Gems in the making.No.x
<<< Note: This title is associated with all parabolic curve charts or likely to be as per yesterdays post on LEND.BTC >>>
KAVA is part of the DeFi group and looking at the overall view so far, chart below, we can see how its progressed.
If you refer to my previous post on LEND.BTC, I touch on the points of Base1, Base2, Base3 and Base 4 to then extend beyond the Arc to complete the cycle.
LINK.BTC is doing this right now. Refer to link supplied below for further background information.
OBSERVATIONS:
========================
> It is early stages but what I have quickly learnt about parabolic curves is that they move away from the channel path aggressively, just like Kava btc pairing now;
> Current price action is below another FIB. extension target and is consolidating into what seems a ascending triangle;
> The daily Phoeix supports the thesis that it will go sideways for now with slight downward pressure; Green RSI crossing over Red RSI with gray pressure moving upwards, meaning sideways action.
> The Phoeix outlook on the 3 day and onwards is all upwards pressure;
> Daily chart, the 21, 34 and 50 EMA from the price action, demonstrating aggressive movements;
> Daily Macd looking for a bounce off the signal line;
THOUGHTS:
> If the current price breaks this level in the coming week, it will give us the arc we are looking for, hence confirming the parabolic curve;
> How to trade this > go long and go to the smaller time frames be it 4 or 8 hourly chart and enter as the chart below.
Otherwise wait for the breakout and retest of this resistance line (place order there), but you risk missing out.
Please dont forget give me a like or tick for this post as I would like to see my charts not only succeed but also get more exposure out there.
Regards
S.Sari
Macro overview:
Daily chart:
Note the 21, 34 and 50 EMA from the price action, demonstrating aggressive movements
Entry level, if you haven't bought yet
LEND.BTC (Y20.P3.E3.v2).Gems in the making.No.2Hi All,
*** This is a continuation of the previous post, or an update of the link below, Price Action explained ****
I constructed this chart prior to the drop. But the macro approach doesn't change.
The title is related to a few coins, Gems in the making will focus on specific coins that have demonstrated a clear parabolic curve pattern.
No. 1 goes to LINK.BTC, which I had a previous post with this as part of its title.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
ANYONE INTERESTED
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The vision:
I would like to build a team, a community maybe, limited no. where we work as a team on TA of the charts and we all benefit.
There is a criteria, you have to have the same values and mindset with the team. It won't be easy to build this team but why not start.
For now, its only a thought but if you interested let me know, and I can start planning the platform or forum to do this.
The vision, we work together going through the list of crypto, do quick summary of each and routinely review them together.
The criteria is that you know the basic fundamentals of TA and demonstrated it (by publishing your works where I can have a look).
I don't just want anyone but people who have the same mindset and are willing to do the work as a team.
For now, its just the planning I would like to do.
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Now for LEND.BTC
As a student in the art of TA more precisely price action and chart structure, I am very interested to building my knowledge base.
What really is frustrating is time and what can be achieve while this anticipated macro bull run is in the making.
Here is a new subject i'm trying to get good at and its identifying Parabolic (curve) structures.
LEND.BTC definitely falls into this as demonstrated on the chart.
So lets begin in point form >
> LEND has demonstrated 4 bases
> It has an increasing support trend-line, which the angle increases after each base completion
> Respecting the 21/34 EMA along the daily
> Climax ending\extention after base 4
> Pullback complete to 0.5 fib level
> ****** The KEY thing here, its done a double top *********
> The double top is what I'm playing my bets on, and that fractal is from BTC 2017 bull run, a similar structure even prior to 2017.
I'll put a sample here.
MY THOUGHTS:
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This is going to be a difficult thing to explain and even to implement, but if you do it right, you compound your earnings.
Scenario lay-ed out:
> We noted that when BTC rises quickly, the ALTS and their pairing fall back\behind of that impulse wave.
> We have noted, when BTC hits its resistance in an uptrend, the ALT pairing bounce quickly behind.
> However if BTC makes a break, like this likely position of 12 K, you can be sure that the ALT pairings will drop significantly.
> We have noted that the BTC dominance level is approaching the 0.618 retracement based on my chart reference (refer to previous BTC dominance post, link below)
So you can expect the ALTs will take a hit, but after that, the ALTS will rise especially those DeFi and ETH the most.
With that scenario in mind, where we enter LEND is critical, otherwise you can take a hit because of the above points, so you must be quick to react.
The safer play is have only BTC and ETH until we hit $12500 or $13800 for bitcoin OR $465 to $508 for ETH
Otherwise roll the dice with me and buy up LEND, KAVA, SOL, LINK who have demonstrated parabolic structure.
Some are about to finish and start a pullback while others are looking to start the 2nd leg.
The BTC fractal associated with this chart and potential direction
The next project > SOL.BTC