Parallelchanel
Expanded Flat Correction lines up with Various Pattern TargetsHere's a more bullish chart for Bitcoin, should the expanded flat correction play out and take us to a new ATH:
*** This idea requires DXY to turn back and continue its downtrend, a resumed uptrend would likely negate this ***
Expanded Flat stopped just below the 1.618 on the trend-based fib measurement (logarithmic), first stop after crossing ATH and 100% would be ~87500 at the -0.382 fib, then ~105k at -0.618, ~144k at the ~100%, and potentially even ~237k at the -1.618
All of the above (expanded flat fib extension) lines up with several common pattern targets and the fib retracement from our previous March 2020 low to our last ATH:
1.) 2018-20 Triangle - has a measured 1x TP 1 at 81k, very near the 87.5k target mentioned above. Then a 1.5x TP 2 at 241k, which very nearly matches the 1.414 fib retracement @ 225k and the expanded flat's trend-based -1.618 fib extension at 237k.
2.) Present Weekly Falling Wedge - has a measured 1.5x TP 2 at 87k, matching the expanded flat target at -0.382. The 2x measured target is at ~141k, less than 3k under the -100% trend-based fib ext from the expanded flat.
3.) The entire idea above fits perfectly into a logarithmic parallel channel uptrend.
I've drawn a couple of suggested paths here within the channel, one not reaching channel top and the other reaching top, both then heading to channel bottom. If the move stays within the channel through 2025-2026, it could reach 323k.
BITCOIN even more gain expected 💣 🚀Hello 🐋
we expected the retest of the support zone and ascending channel to be completed ✔️
if
the price doesn't break the support zone to the downside and just complete the retest, we will see more gain, at least to our upper trend line 💣🚀
otherwise
we can see more correction to lower support level ❌🧨
if
breakout of the upper resistance zone be completed, we can see more pump to the upside ✔️🚀
👌 Notice: pay attention to the price on shortcut chart (located below the main chart with black colour) 📖💡
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
2223 (Breakout Observed, Wait for Retest)Continuosly in Uptrend
Broken Parallel Channel
Broken All Time High with good volumes
Expected move, small red candle Thursday and Sunday (Retest of Breakout)
Take entry on Sunday after accumuation for uptrend
(Another Expected move, gap up opening, test at 101.8 and move up)
trade with SL
BTCUSDT - Medium to Long Term RangeBased on -0.618 support level. Possible play out with support and resistance. Obvious support -0.618. Mid level resistance -0.236 and 0 fib. Upper range 0.618 with a support back to -0.236.
Also 2 Fib channels. 0.618 the bottom of the first upward channel.
This is a Bullish bias, use -0.618 as a support level.
BITCOIN aging in ascending channel retest and more gain 📖🚀Hello 🐋
Based on the chart, the price is again in the ascending and close to the channel support area , and we expected the retest to be completed ✔️
if
the price doesn't break the support zone to the downside and just complete the retest, we will see more gain, at least to our upper trend line 💣🚀
otherwise
we can see more correction to lower support level ❌🧨
if
breakout of the upper resistance zone be completed, we can see more pump to the upside ✔️🚀
👌 Notice: pay attention to the price on shortcut chart (located above the main chart with black colour) 📖💡
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
LINKUSDT Exiting Ending Diagonal from the last impulsive wavePrice action, based on Elliot Waves principles, is falling from peak after complete an Ending Diagonal from the last extended impulsive wave to a potential target at local demand in hourly timeframe in a possible 78,6% retrace as shown on AB=CD pattern, below volume POC and after reject Anchored VWAP from May '22 bottom. Consolidating in a parallel channel as shown within a modified Schiff Pitchfork. Potential swing-downward in a corrective wave target to Dec '22 low re-test. Monthly Inside Bar zone.
SOLONA triangle pattern gain after breakout parallel channel 🚀Hello 🐋
Based on the chart, the price is close to the parallel channel support area and in triangle pattern ,
if
the price doesn't break the support zone to the downside and breakout of the ascending channel completed , we will see more gain, at least to our upper trend line 🚀
otherwise
we can see more correction to lower support level before hitting the upper resistance area ❌🧨
besides,
the range market is acceptable scenario too 📖💡🚀
👌 Notice: pay attention to the price on shortcut chart (located above the main chart with black colour) 📖💡
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
NIFTYHello & welcome to this analysis
In the monthly time frame a comparison between the period which happened between 2018 - 2020 and the current one from June 2022 till now suggests a lot of similarity in path.
In the current scenario its taking support at the lower end of the channel and consolidating. if 17300 is held then it could resume its uptrend for the upper end of the channel.
Do note this is a monthly time frame outlook and not for short term derivative swing / breakout trading.
Best wishes on your investing/trading.
BITCOIN out of parallel channel retest and more gain 📖🚀Hello 🐋
Based on the chart, the price is close to the channel support area and break out of the parallel channel has completed ✔️
if
the price doesn't break the support zone to the downside and just complete the retest, we will see more gain, at least to our upper trend line 💣🚀
otherwise
we can see more correction to lower support level ❌🧨
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
BITCOIN out of ascending channel retest and more gain 📖🚀Hello 🐋
Based on the chart, the price is close to the channel support area and break out of the parallel channel and ascending channel has completed ✔️
if
the price doesn't break the support zone to the downside and just complete the retest, we will see more gain, at least to our upper trend line 💣🚀
otherwise
we can see more correction to lower support level ❌🧨
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
NATURE OF XAGUSDI am checking the nature of the XAGUSD from the previous 10-12 years chart.
By looking at the nature of the chart I realized the following things:
1. Forming a Bearish Rally inside a parallel channel
2. Break the rally and forms a range
3. Completes the range and forms a parabolic shape/ cup n handle pattern
4. Moves upside after completing the pattern
It repeats this process two times and now it is again at the 1st step (Forming a Bearish Rally)
Dogechain 3 Line Strike Bullish FractalDogechain appears to be acting similarly to how it did before the first pump as it's formed a Bearish 3 Line Strike Pattern, Broken out of a Parallel Channel, and now it it stands to make a higher low on the Macro and go for an ABCD movement to the upside which would take it to the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension above.
NVDA: Placing the Rally in ContextPrimary Chart: NVDA's Primary Trend Since Its All-Time High November 22, 2021, with Anchored VWAPs
SUMMARY:
NVDA appears to have begun a countertrend rally within the context of a sharp downtrend.
Other countertrend rallies have ranged from 28.9% to 40.17%. Don't be fooled by a show of strength that does not change the overall structure. Countertrend trading is lower probability, but can be lucrative if risk is managed with great discipline.
The most conservative upside target (resistance) range for this rally is $128-$130. This would be reached, if at all, in the next week or two.
If the $128-$130 level is reclaimed successfully, then the next higher target to consider is the $145-$150 range discussed below.
Watch the green uptrend line off the YTD low on October 13, 2022 and the red VWAP anchored to the YTD low. If either is broken, all bets are off.
NVDA has rallied about 15.58% off its YTD lows on October 13, 2022. The lows have not been undercut now for a little over a week. Broader equity indices have rallied as well, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 both gaining about 2.3% on Friday. NVDA rallied along side both these indices.
1. NVDA's rally could continue into the FOMC meeting on November 1-2, 2022. The FOMC is likely to increase interest rates by .75 percentage points at the November 2022 meeting. The CME's Fed watch tool, tracking federal-funds-rate futures products, shows the probability of a 75 bps hike at 88% for November. Have markets already discounted this? Probably. What is unknown is whether any change in the Fed's messaging will occur or will the Fed maintain its higher-for-longer hawkish stance to deal with sticky inflation. Fed officials have spoken in recent weeks expressing dissatisfaction with the current inflationary environment and its ramifications for price stability.
2. Pullbacks may likely respect the very short-term VWAP anchored to the YTD low (red VWAP anchored to October 13, 2022). Watch this VWAP for support. If the VWAP is violated, it will be important to determine if the violation is decisive (slicing through and showing no sign of reverting back to the level) or if the violation is minor and brief.
3. NVDA just closed above its 21-day EMA, which lies at 124.16. Today's close was 124.66.
4. Before any higher price targets can be taken seriously, NVDA must reclaim its 34-day EMA (currently just below $130) as well as a key Fibonacci level (teal .236 level at $128.10) (shown just below this paragraph). This is the most conservative target zone for a countertrend rally.
Supplementary Chart: Fibonacci Levels
5. A more ambitious zone for a price target may be considered only if the 34-day EMA is recovered first. This secondary target zone comprises two technical levels: (a) the VWAP anchored to the August 4, 2022, high currently located at 143.08, and (b) the gap fill area (teal-blue rectangle) at $145 to $150.
6. It remains crucial to place any rally into context, even if the rally seems like a powerful rally that is unstoppable for a while, like some of the other bear rallies in this market. Massive bear rallies can trick market participants into thinking the lows may be in, and lure them with fear of missing out. Other countertrend rallies have ranged from 28.9% to 40.17%. Don't be fooled by a show of strength that does not change the overall structure. Countertrend trading is lower probability, but can be lucrative if risk is managed with great discipline.
7. The larger context is a downtrend at the degree of the primary trend. All major swing highs and lows over the past year have been lower highs and lower lows. The anchored VWAP at the all-time high (dark purple) remains well overhead. Price would have to rally and hold the $190-$200 level to show material structural change. All other rallies will constitute noise at the larger degree of trend. In other words, the downtrend channel should contain any rallies for the time being. If not, then it becomes appropriate to consider whether a larger-degree structural change is occurring that may lead to a major trend reversal.
Please note that SquishTrade is "cautiously bullish" only for the next week. In the larger scheme, the outlook remains bearish until substantial evidence appears that structural trend change is occurring at the larger degrees of trend. This remains unlikely with interest rates breaking above a 40-year trendline as discussed in this post:
GBPUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Nov22,Wk2Let me know if this analysis confused you. Comment at the bottom; I like to know.
The entire structure is on a bearish trend; there is an ascending channel that is shaded red, from that you know that my bias is looking for a shorting opportunity. As long as the market movement is kept within 1.1736, the bearish trend is considered very strong.
Failure to do so, I will patiently wait for the market retest 1.2572 for a shorting opportunity on the Bearish Butterfly Pattern setup.
$XAUUSD - Might jump to $1800Hi guys! 👋🏻
🔔 Gold hit $1670 today after the release of NFP and negative employment data. China’s plan to resume flights could bolster weakening of the US Dollar and support the continuation of this bullish run.
🔔 XAUUSD made an important test and a breakout from the dynamic resistance of March 2022. The $1615 - $1617 support level withheld a downtrend pressure backing a formation of a triple bottom pattern.
🔔 As of now, XAUUSD is traded at $1674 and is testing a major resistance at this level. To close the trading week, Gold might retrace from these levels near $1655, gain more power and try to break the $1674 resistance later.
🔔 When the uptrend continuation is confirmed, and gold closes above $1674, look for resistances at $1720 and $1801.
✊🏻 Good luck with your trades! ✊🏻
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