Importance of mid channel line in parallel channel tool. Last 3 weeks or so we saw the Importance of mid channel line in parallel channel tool. Thrice Mid channel line supported the Nifty and Nifty bounced from there. When a support is taken multiple times mostly it becomes weak. This led to fall of Nifty below Mid channel line. Once the price is below the line which was a support. The line becomes a resistance. Mid channel line is now a resistance and the same line is stopping Nifty from going ahead since couple of sessions. It was an important lesson hence explaining at depth.
Nifty Resistance remain at: 18624, 18678, 18722 and 18778.
Nifty Supports present at: 18555, 18512, 18465, 18402 and finally 18371.
Parallelchanel
Bank Nifty Trade Setup (29-May-2023)This will be my personal trade Setup, This is not an advice of any kind to initiate trade according to this setup. This is for only for my learning purpose and maintaining my trading journal.
As posted in previous day setup that from price as Banknifty is in parallel channel with 44151 to 44071 as resistance zone and 43470 to 43370 as support zone and on 26-May-2023 price was near support zone after a sell off in previous sessions and it took support near that support zone and moved all the way up to resistance zone moving almost 400 points in a day. so far it was a good session and worked as per trade setup.
( Cannot post previous day chart to keep record of this price action have to look for previous day trade setup.)
For tomorrow this will be my trade setup:
1.) If opens flat which is near resistance zone. if price doesn't hold near this resistance on 15 min TF then will look for selling after break of nearby support of 43880. If price took support on break of this resistance zone i will look for buying. (Views are bullish so will only trade against the primary trend with strict stop loss and target levels.
2.) If opens gap up above resistance zone and if takes supports above the resistance zone on 15 min TF with good candle pattern and volume. then will look for buying only for target will be open with stop loss of 44151 (ATH).
3.) If opens gap down at nearby support 43880 will look for price to take support or if it became resistance and target will be as per this parallel channel support zone which is 43750, 43650 and 43500.
Things to keep in mind:
As mentioned above views are bullish so will trade cautiously against the primary trend with strict stop loss and target level on downside.
Hit like to keep me motivated for keeping my trading journal as it only take less then few seconds to hit like but it gives me motivation for preparing for my session. also one can comment how i can make it better or need any improvements in my trading setups and improving this journal. as this is my only trading journal not keeping any excel or any online sheets as i never used before.
NIFTY strong REVERSAL candle on WEEKLY TF#NIFTY Strong reversal candle this week & long leg Doji on Monthly Chart after 3 Consecutive months sell-off!
If one had read the chart without any bias, the trend on weekly charts was up & not down.
Only a break below 16740-50 levels would mean a change in trend to downtrend.
The Price perfectly fulfills my last idea and moved towards the upside and also closes above the 17222+ On weekly chart. From the support zone of 16850 price moved towards the upside till the 17380+ with a bullish candle and price closes on positive note on weekly chart in the Friday session. After 3 consecutive red candle on weekly chart we closes in big green candle in the last week.
Now the price can head towards the 17555--17600 level to touch the upper downward parallel channel and if price go sideways for 1 or 2 days near the upper hand of parallel channel and than breaks the upper parallel channel and level of 17600 and sustain above it than we can see tremendous move towards upside and targets will 18000/18222+ In coming trading sessions.
If price unable to breaks the upper parallel channel and again respects it and face Resistance than we can again move towards the downside till the support level.
DXY - TP1, TP2 or to the Top?Hey hey!
Here we back again with another analysis, lots is going on lately, and we gathering more and more evidences pointing into a trend shift for the dollar, so I'm going to update DXY analysis from last time.
The chart speaks for itself but let's try to add a little commenting to back it up.
DXY has been taping the 115 level pretty strongly last september, and that's what started its correction all the way to the 100+ level. Since then, we're just crushing all the resistances up one after the other.
Fundamentals have been highly bullish for USD lately, the main component being that inflation doesn't want to do what the Fed expects it to do. Instead of getting back under 2% like expected, it's being way more sticky, and the economy has been resilient to the Fed's interventions trying to slow it.
We were expecting one last rise of the interest rates but now, looking at fresh datas, the consensus tends to say that there are going to be two more. And that translates into the chart into a strenghtening of USD. We're almost certain of one thing now, rates will be higher longer than expected.
From a TA point of view, the major event that happened last week was the break of the descending channel, a nice and clear breakout. So, knowing this, it would be logical for DXY to go and get these highs, the first one being at 105.5 and the second is sitting at 108.
We'll see how far the market wants to take DXY, but 108 is a strong resistance as you can see on the chart.
For now on, I'm bullish on USD, and will try to buy the dips until we get to 105.5 first, then we'll see how the market reacts, and if more buying pressure is steaming then we'll help to push prices all the way to 108
Cheers everyone and safe trading!!!
Expanded Flat Correction lines up with Various Pattern TargetsHere's a more bullish chart for Bitcoin, should the expanded flat correction play out and take us to a new ATH:
*** This idea requires DXY to turn back and continue its downtrend, a resumed uptrend would likely negate this ***
Expanded Flat stopped just below the 1.618 on the trend-based fib measurement (logarithmic), first stop after crossing ATH and 100% would be ~87500 at the -0.382 fib, then ~105k at -0.618, ~144k at the ~100%, and potentially even ~237k at the -1.618
All of the above (expanded flat fib extension) lines up with several common pattern targets and the fib retracement from our previous March 2020 low to our last ATH:
1.) 2018-20 Triangle - has a measured 1x TP 1 at 81k, very near the 87.5k target mentioned above. Then a 1.5x TP 2 at 241k, which very nearly matches the 1.414 fib retracement @ 225k and the expanded flat's trend-based -1.618 fib extension at 237k.
2.) Present Weekly Falling Wedge - has a measured 1.5x TP 2 at 87k, matching the expanded flat target at -0.382. The 2x measured target is at ~141k, less than 3k under the -100% trend-based fib ext from the expanded flat.
3.) The entire idea above fits perfectly into a logarithmic parallel channel uptrend.
I've drawn a couple of suggested paths here within the channel, one not reaching channel top and the other reaching top, both then heading to channel bottom. If the move stays within the channel through 2025-2026, it could reach 323k.
BITCOIN even more gain expected 💣 🚀Hello 🐋
we expected the retest of the support zone and ascending channel to be completed ✔️
if
the price doesn't break the support zone to the downside and just complete the retest, we will see more gain, at least to our upper trend line 💣🚀
otherwise
we can see more correction to lower support level ❌🧨
if
breakout of the upper resistance zone be completed, we can see more pump to the upside ✔️🚀
👌 Notice: pay attention to the price on shortcut chart (located below the main chart with black colour) 📖💡
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
2223 (Breakout Observed, Wait for Retest)Continuosly in Uptrend
Broken Parallel Channel
Broken All Time High with good volumes
Expected move, small red candle Thursday and Sunday (Retest of Breakout)
Take entry on Sunday after accumuation for uptrend
(Another Expected move, gap up opening, test at 101.8 and move up)
trade with SL
BTCUSDT - Medium to Long Term RangeBased on -0.618 support level. Possible play out with support and resistance. Obvious support -0.618. Mid level resistance -0.236 and 0 fib. Upper range 0.618 with a support back to -0.236.
Also 2 Fib channels. 0.618 the bottom of the first upward channel.
This is a Bullish bias, use -0.618 as a support level.
BITCOIN aging in ascending channel retest and more gain 📖🚀Hello 🐋
Based on the chart, the price is again in the ascending and close to the channel support area , and we expected the retest to be completed ✔️
if
the price doesn't break the support zone to the downside and just complete the retest, we will see more gain, at least to our upper trend line 💣🚀
otherwise
we can see more correction to lower support level ❌🧨
if
breakout of the upper resistance zone be completed, we can see more pump to the upside ✔️🚀
👌 Notice: pay attention to the price on shortcut chart (located above the main chart with black colour) 📖💡
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
LINKUSDT Exiting Ending Diagonal from the last impulsive wavePrice action, based on Elliot Waves principles, is falling from peak after complete an Ending Diagonal from the last extended impulsive wave to a potential target at local demand in hourly timeframe in a possible 78,6% retrace as shown on AB=CD pattern, below volume POC and after reject Anchored VWAP from May '22 bottom. Consolidating in a parallel channel as shown within a modified Schiff Pitchfork. Potential swing-downward in a corrective wave target to Dec '22 low re-test. Monthly Inside Bar zone.
SOLONA triangle pattern gain after breakout parallel channel 🚀Hello 🐋
Based on the chart, the price is close to the parallel channel support area and in triangle pattern ,
if
the price doesn't break the support zone to the downside and breakout of the ascending channel completed , we will see more gain, at least to our upper trend line 🚀
otherwise
we can see more correction to lower support level before hitting the upper resistance area ❌🧨
besides,
the range market is acceptable scenario too 📖💡🚀
👌 Notice: pay attention to the price on shortcut chart (located above the main chart with black colour) 📖💡
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
NIFTYHello & welcome to this analysis
In the monthly time frame a comparison between the period which happened between 2018 - 2020 and the current one from June 2022 till now suggests a lot of similarity in path.
In the current scenario its taking support at the lower end of the channel and consolidating. if 17300 is held then it could resume its uptrend for the upper end of the channel.
Do note this is a monthly time frame outlook and not for short term derivative swing / breakout trading.
Best wishes on your investing/trading.
BITCOIN out of parallel channel retest and more gain 📖🚀Hello 🐋
Based on the chart, the price is close to the channel support area and break out of the parallel channel has completed ✔️
if
the price doesn't break the support zone to the downside and just complete the retest, we will see more gain, at least to our upper trend line 💣🚀
otherwise
we can see more correction to lower support level ❌🧨
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
BITCOIN out of ascending channel retest and more gain 📖🚀Hello 🐋
Based on the chart, the price is close to the channel support area and break out of the parallel channel and ascending channel has completed ✔️
if
the price doesn't break the support zone to the downside and just complete the retest, we will see more gain, at least to our upper trend line 💣🚀
otherwise
we can see more correction to lower support level ❌🧨
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
NATURE OF XAGUSDI am checking the nature of the XAGUSD from the previous 10-12 years chart.
By looking at the nature of the chart I realized the following things:
1. Forming a Bearish Rally inside a parallel channel
2. Break the rally and forms a range
3. Completes the range and forms a parabolic shape/ cup n handle pattern
4. Moves upside after completing the pattern
It repeats this process two times and now it is again at the 1st step (Forming a Bearish Rally)
Dogechain 3 Line Strike Bullish FractalDogechain appears to be acting similarly to how it did before the first pump as it's formed a Bearish 3 Line Strike Pattern, Broken out of a Parallel Channel, and now it it stands to make a higher low on the Macro and go for an ABCD movement to the upside which would take it to the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension above.