GOLD → Countertrend correction, retest of 3345 before growthFX:XAUUSD , undergoing a deep correction after a false breakout of local resistance at 3433, has reached the support of the upward trend. Will the bulls be able to maintain the trend?
Gold held below $3,400 on Friday, rebounding from $3,350, and is poised to end the week higher. Investors are watching the conflict between Thailand and Cambodia, which is boosting demand for safe-haven assets, and are also awaiting decisions from the Fed and the Bank of Japan next week. The markets received additional support from US trade deals with Asian countries and progress in negotiations with the EU, easing fears of a tariff war.
As part of the correction, gold is testing trend support and the 3345-3337 zone of interest. A false breakdown, lack of downward momentum, and bulls holding prices above 3345 could trigger growth and a continuation of the main upward trend.
Resistance levels: 3375, 3383
Support levels: 3345, 3337, 3330
Technically, the support level of 3345 plays a fairly important role in the market. If, during the correction, the bulls manage to hold their ground above this zone, the prospects for recovery will be high, especially against the backdrop of geopolitical problems.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Parallel Channel
Euro may reach resistance level, break it and continue to growHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
For an extended period, the price was dictated by a descending channel, with each rally attempt failing at its upper boundary.
The downward trend culminated in a test of the crucial support level at $1.1635, where sellers were unable to secure a foothold, signaling a potential momentum shift.
This shift was confirmed when buyers took control, launching an upward impulse that decisively breached the long-standing resistance of the channel's upper trendline.
After the breakout, the price established a new local support base above the former channel, solidifying the change in market structure.
The subsequent rally carried the asset's price to the significant horizontal resistance zone around $1.1755, where the upward advance has temporarily stalled.
I expect that after a brief consolidation, bullish pressure will resume, enabling the price to break the $1.1755 barrier and continue towards the $1.1820 target.
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XAUUSD bullish breakout from major supply zone retracement done📊XAUUSD Forecast – 1H Timeframe
Gold has broken out above the major supply zone at 3375, showing strong bullish intent
Price is now pulling back — retracement in progress back to the breakout level for a potential bullish continuation
📍 Key Zone to Watch:
3375 now acting as strong support — waiting for a bullish confirmation candle from this zone
🎯 Next Resistance / Target Levels:
🔹 3399 – minor resistance
🔹 3435 – key supply zone on watch
🧠Waiting patiently for confirmation before re-entering — structure still bullish on the 1H timeframe
What’s your next move on Gold? Drop your thoughts below
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#xauusd #gold
GOLD → Countertrend correction. Where will growth begin?FX:XAUUSD faced pressure in the 3430 zone, traders moved into profit-taking mode, triggering a correction. The price entered the sell-off zone...
On Thursday, gold is trading below $3400 as traders assess progress in US-EU trade talks and await preliminary PMI data from the US and the EU. These indicators could influence expectations for Fed and ECB rates. Optimism is being bolstered by reports of trade agreements between the US and Japan and other countries. The ECB is expected to keep rates unchanged, while the probability of a Fed rate cut in September is estimated at 60%. Investors are also watching Trump's conflict with Powell amid his visit to the Fed. Technically, the daily market structure is not broken, and a correction is forming within acceptable limits.
Based on the current direction, the market may test the intermediate bottom: trend support, the 3345-3320 area.
Resistance levels: 3375, 3383, 3400.
Support levels: 3345, 3320
A retest of resistance at 3375-3383 is possible. If the bears keep the price below this zone, the metal may continue its correction phase towards the zone of interest indicated on the chart. Local sell-offs have not yet broken the bullish daily structure.
However, the absence of a downward impulse and consolidation in 3375 - 3383 with a subsequent breakout of local resistance could increase demand again, which would generally lead to premature growth to 3400 - 3435.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Retest of previously broken resistance...FX:GBPUSD has entered a correction phase after breaking through the local downtrend. If the price remains in the 1.3450–1.346 zone, this will confirm the formation of a new trading range...
The market is entering a correction phase due to the dollar. A countertrend retest of the support zone is forming. Earlier, the currency pair broke the local trend and is entering a flat phase. The retest of support may end with a recovery. If, within the local movement and after a false breakout of the 1.345 - 1.3467 zone, the bulls keep the price above the buying zone, then in the short and medium term, we can expect growth to continue.
Support levels: 1.3467, 1.345
Resistance levels: 1.35, 1.3584
A false breakdown of support at 1.3467 will confirm a change in the local trend (correction). The market may return to the recovery phase of the global trend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
AUDJPY: Strong Bearish Signal?! 🇦🇺🇯🇵
AUDJPY may retrace from a key daily resistance.
As a confirmation, I see a bearish breakout of a support line of a rising
wedge pattern with a high momentum bearish candle.
Goal - 96.47
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EUR/USD - Bullish parallel channel formation!The EUR/USD currency pair is currently exhibiting a bullish market structure on the 4-hour timeframe, moving steadily within a well-defined ascending parallel channel. Price action has consistently bounced between the lower and upper boundaries of the channel, with each dip finding support at the lower trendline and each rally meeting resistance near the upper trendline. This ongoing pattern suggests a strong and orderly bullish trend as the pair continues to make higher highs and higher lows within the channel.
The Market’s Upward Momentum
One notable feature of this trend is the recurring formation of 4-hour Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) during each upward leg. These FVGs act as temporary inefficiencies in the price movement, which the market consistently returns to fill before resuming its bullish momentum. As shown in the chart, the EUR/USD has filled multiple FVGs over the past week. Today, the pair once again retraced to fill a newly formed 4H FVG and has since continued its move higher. This repeated behavior reinforces the strength of the uptrend, as the market efficiently corrects itself and then propels further in the direction of the overall trend.
Bullish Outlook
From a bullish perspective, the key level to watch is the horizontal resistance zone around 1.1766. A confirmed break and hold above this level would signal a strong continuation of the current uptrend. Should the price sustain itself above this level, it could initiate a renewed push toward the upper boundary of the ascending channel, potentially targeting levels near 1.1820 and beyond. This scenario would confirm market confidence and open the door for further gains.
Bearish Risk
On the flip side, the bearish case would involve a false breakout above the 1.1766 resistance level, followed by a sharp rejection and a break below the rising lower trendline of the channel. Such a move would invalidate the current structure and shift the bias to the downside. In that case, the 4-hour FVG located between approximately 1.1710 and 1.1740 will act as a critical support zone. If this area fails to hold, it could trigger a deeper retracement and potentially lead to a more prolonged bearish correction.
Final thoughts
In summary, the EUR/USD is currently respecting a bullish parallel channel on the 4-hour timeframe, with upward moves consistently leaving and then filling 4H FVGs before continuing higher. The 1.1766 level is pivotal, a sustained break above it favors continued bullish momentum, while a rejection and breakdown from the channel could signal a bearish reversal. Traders should closely monitor price behavior around this key level and the integrity of the ascending channel to anticipate the next significant move.
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CADJPY - The Bulls Are Stronger than Ever!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈CADJPY has been overall bullish trading within the rising wedge pattern marked in red.
This week, CADJPY has been retesting the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong weekly support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the lower red trendline and green support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #CADJPY approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for trend-following bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
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#TRXUSDT #2h (ByBit) Descending channel breakout and retestTron just regained 100EMA support and seems ready for bullish continuation after a pullback to it.
⚡️⚡️ #TRX/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: ByBit USDT
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Leverage: Isolated (16.0X)
Amount: 5.1%
Entry Targets:
1) 0.31245
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 0.32789
Stop Targets:
1) 0.30472
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:TRX BYBIT:TRXUSDT.P #2h #TRON #DPoS #L1 #Web3 trondao.org tron.network
Risk/Reward= 1:2.0
Expected Profit= +79.1%
Possible Loss= -39.6%
GBPNZD: Bullish Move in a Channel 🇬🇧🇳🇿
I see a horizontal parallel channel on GBPNZD on a daily.
The price is currently testing its support.
On an hourly time frame, a cup & handle pattern was formed on that.
Its neckline was violated with the today's high impact news.
I think that the price may bounce at least to 2.246 level.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Move Ahead?!
I think that Gold is going to rise soon.
The price is now entering a strong demand area
based on a horizontal support and a rising trend line.
The price may pull back to 3376 level.
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BITCOIN - Price can correct to support area and then start riseHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
For a significant period, the price of Bitcoin was trading upwards within the confines of a rising channel.
Strong buying pressure led to a breakout above the channel's upper boundary, signaling an acceleration of the uptrend.
After this breakout, the upward momentum stalled, and the price entered a new phase of horizontal consolidation, forming a wide flat range.
The price recently tested the upper resistance of this range near $122800 and was rejected.
As a result, the asset is currently in a corrective move downwards, approaching the key support area located between $114000 and $115000
I expect that the price will find support at the bottom of this flat range, reverse its course, and begin a new rally back towards the top of the range at $122800
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XRP → ATH retest. Reversal or continued growth?BINANCE:XRPUSDT.P is rallying and ready to test the resistance zone - ATH. Against this backdrop, Bitcoin is consolidating after a bull run. The liquidity pool may hold back growth.
Fundamentally, there is excitement across the entire cryptocurrency market. Altcoins are rallying after Bitcoin hit a new high and entered consolidation. The BTC.D index is declining, which generally provides a good opportunity for altcoins to grow. However, the index is approaching technical support, which may affect market sentiment overall...
As for XRP, there is a fairly strong liquidity pool ahead — the ATH resistance zone. The price is in a distribution phase after a change in character and a breakout of the downtrend resistance in the 2.33 zone. The momentum may exhaust its potential to break through the 3.35-3.34 zone, and growth may be halted for correction or reversal (in correlation with Bitcoin's dominance in the market).
Resistance levels: 3.35-3.40
Support levels: 3.0, 2.64
A breakout of resistance without the possibility of further growth, a return of the price below the level (i.e., inside the global flat) will confirm the fact of a false breakout of resistance, which may trigger a correction or even a reversal.
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDJPY Breakouts nee level breakouts📊USDJPY Forecast – 4H Timeframe
USDJPY has broken out of the descending channel with bullish momentum and also cleared the key resistance at 147.100 📈
📍 Entry on Retracement:
Waiting for a pullback to the breakout zone for a cleaner entry — structure turning bullish ✅
🎯 Next Resistance / Target Levels:
🔹 147.600
🔹 147.900
🔹 149.000 – key supply zone to watch for reaction
Price action is leading the way — watching for bullish confirmation before continuation
Are you tracking this breakout too? Drop your thoughts below
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#usdjpy
BTCUSD DROPPED BELOW LOCAL SUPPORTBTCUSD DROPPED BELOW LOCAL SUPPORT📉
Today bitcoin dropped below the level of 116,000.00 on high volume. However, the price didn't go somewhere far downwards and consolidates slightly below this level. Presumably, descending channel may be formed.
What is a descending channel?
A descending channel is a bearish chart pattern formed by two downward-sloping parallel trendlines connecting lower highs and lower lows in a pair’s price, indicating a consistent downtrend. It shows sellers are in control, with prices declining within a defined range.
Here I presume the price to rebound from lower border of the descending channel with possible movement towards upper border slightly below the 120,000.00 level.
Bond Bulls Smell Blood: 20-Year Yields Likely to Fall🧩 Fundamental Bear Case for 20-Year Yields
1. Recession Risk and Slowing Growth
Leading economic indicators (e.g., ISM Manufacturing, Conference Board LEI) continue to suggest softening demand across key sectors.
A recession or significant slowdown would drive capital into long-duration Treasuries, causing yields to fall as bond prices rise.
Historically, 20-year yields fall 200–300bps from cycle peaks during recessions. With yields near 5%, there is ample downside room.
2. Federal Reserve Policy Pivot
The Fed’s hiking cycle appears to be at or near its terminal point. Rate cuts in 2025 are increasingly priced in, especially as inflation moderates.
If inflation continues to decelerate toward the Fed’s 2% target while growth slows, the Fed may be forced to ease sooner or more aggressively than expected.
Long-duration bonds, including the 20Y, are highly sensitive to forward rate expectations and would benefit from a dovish pivot.
3. Disinflationary Trends
Core inflation metrics (e.g., Core PCE, Core CPI) are in year-over-year decline.
Key disinflationary forces:
Wage pressures have eased as labor markets normalize.
Housing costs, which lag in CPI data, are projected to fall further.
Supply chain normalization continues post-COVID.
These factors reduce the need for elevated long-term yields, especially with inflation expectations anchored.
4. Supply-Demand Dynamics Favor Treasuries
Despite large Treasury issuance, global demand remains strong:
Foreign buyers (e.g., Japan, EU) seek higher yields as their home rates remain low or negative.
U.S. institutions (pensions, insurance funds) are rebalancing into risk-free long bonds amid equity volatility.
A risk-off rotation or broader de-leveraging cycle would only accelerate this demand.
🔍 Technical Summary
Rising wedge pattern is nearing a potential breakdown — a bearish structure signaling exhaustion.
Price is failing to reclaim the previous uptrend channel, now acting as resistance.
A completed harmonic AB=CD pattern near recent highs suggests a mean-reverting move could be imminent.
Closest technical targets include:
4.33% (23.6% Fib)
3.68% (38.2% Fib)
Possibly even 3.16% (50% retracement) over the next 6–12 months if macro weakness persists.
📌 Bottom Line
The combination of:
Cooling inflation
A Fed pivot on the horizon
Rising recession risk
And technical exhaustion signals
Supports a bearish outlook for 20-year yields, meaning bond prices (especially long-duration instruments like TMF or TLT) could appreciate meaningfully from here.
Gold Next Move Possible Hello Traders, Today I’m back with another idea.
As you know gold has changed the trend from bullish to the bearish.
The gold has fallen from the area 3438 to 3351. Now the current price is 3358.
I’m looking for the sell zone, In my view gold will drop till 3310.
I’m monitoring the sell zone 3364-3371, when the market touches the zone, I will add sell and my target will be 3310. Keep in bear my first target is 3351, second target is 3337 and the last target is 3310.
In the case if price breaks the 3377 area then we will have to wait until confirmation for another setup.
Stay Tune for every update.
Kindly share your ideas and leave positive comments. Thanks Everybody.
AAVAS Housing – A Hidden Gem for Medium-Term InvestorsThere are two charts of AAVAS FINANCIERS.
On the first chart AAVAS FINANCIERS is moving in a well defined parallel channel with support near at 1840-1860.
On the second chart AAVAS FINANCIERS is taking Weekly + Monthly support near at 1866-1854.
If this level is sustain ,then we may see higher prices in AAVAS FINANCIERS LTD.
Thank You !!
Mega-ultra macro LULU takePrice action has "knocked" on the support door FOUR times. It's got to give sometime soon. Fashion brands come and go, I think LULU has had it's time to shine, now it's time for another brand to emerge and take its place.
I say "Mega-ultra macro" to recognize the absurdity of a 6-year guess. The probability of accurately predicting price action for a 6-year window is low. But here's a prediction anyway.
Platinum Wave Analysis – 23 July 2025- Platinum reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 1350.00
Platinum recently reversed down from the resistance zone located between the round resistance level 1500.00, upper daily Bollinger Band and the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from May.
The downward reversal from this resistance created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Bearish Engulfing.
Given the weakening daily Momentum (showing bearish divergence), Platinum can be expected to fall to the next support level 1350.00 (low of the previous correction 4).
GOLD → Consolidation before the next jump to 3450?FX:XAUUSD continues to rally, with the price updating its local high to 3438 and moving into consolidation, possibly for another jump...
After hitting a five-week high of $3,438, traders are taking a break. Optimism is fuelled by Trump's statements about the largest deal with Japan and negotiations with Canada, but uncertainty about the details of the agreements and political instability in Japan are keeping caution in check. The market is waiting for further signals on trade and political issues, which remain key factors for gold.
Technically, the dollar continues to fall, which generally supports gold. But! Gold is approaching strong resistance at 3445-3450, where growth may be temporarily halted.
Resistance levels: 3433, 3446
Support levels: 3416, 3401, 3375
As part of a local correction, gold may test consolidation support or 0.5-0.7f before continuing to rise. There are quite a few orders in the 3433-3446 zone, and it will be difficult to break through this area to reach the target. Consolidation before this level may help the rise to continue.
Best regards, R. Linda!