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Parallel Channel

GOLD → Retesting resistance may lead to a breakout.FX:XAUUSD breaks the downward resistance line on the senior timeframe and tests the upper limit of the trading range amid the falling dollar and Powell's speech. The metal may continue its upward movement. The dollar's rise was short-lived after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell hinted at an imminent interest rate cut, but not in July... The probability of a rate cut in July fell to 22%, and in September to 72%. Markets are awaiting fresh employment data (ADP and Nonfarm Payrolls), which could influence the prospects for rate cuts. Weak reports could revive interest in gold, but for now, the asset remains under pressure due to the short-term strengthening of the dollar and uncertainty surrounding Fed policy. Technically, if the pre-breakout structure remains intact and gold continues to attack resistance within the local range of 3347-3330 (3335), the chances of further growth will be high... Resistance levels: 3347, 3358 Support levels: 3336, 3316, 3311 The global trend is upward, and locally, the price is also returning to growth. If the bulls can maintain the current trend, break through the resistance at 3347, and hold their ground above this level, then the next target will be 3390-3400. I do not rule out a correction to 3325, 3316 (liquidity hunt) before the growth continues. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
29
EURO - After movement up, price will drop to support lineHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it some time traded below the support area and soon bounced up. Price broke $1.1455 level and rose to the resistance line of the channel, after which it turned around and made correction movement. Next, price some time traded near $1.1455 level and then bounced and continued to move up inside the channel. In a short time Euro rose to $1.1700 level, which coincided with a support area, and some time trades between this level. Then the price broke this level and continued to move up, until it almost reached the resistance line of the channel and started to fall. Now, I think the Euro can rise a little and then continue to fall to $1.1610 support line of the channel, breaking $1.1700 level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by WalterMoon
7
AUDUSD → Pre-breakout consolidation for trend continuationFX:AUDUSD may continue its upward trend. After another local distribution, the currency pair is consolidating and may repeat the cycle The dollar index continues to fall, the global trend is clear, and the price is testing multi-year lows. After yesterday's speech by Powell, the decline may intensify amid expectations of a rate cut, which will only support AUDUSD. AUDUSD is moving within an uptrend, stopping below resistance at 0.6583, but is not going to fall. There was a false breakout (the zone was tested), the structure is not broken, and the price continues to squeeze towards resistance, which could lead to a breakout and growth Resistance levels: 0.6583 Support levels: 0.6566, 0.6556 There is potential accumulation in the market, and the market is choosing growth against the backdrop of a falling dollar as its direction. Accordingly, the currency pair is one step away from a possible realization phase. Thus, if the price breaks 0.6583 and consolidates above this zone, it may continue to grow in the short and medium term. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
9
US DOLLAR: Sell opportunity following channel breakPrice on DXY recently broke above a sharp descending channel, but the move lacked presence. There was no real follow-through and certainly no conviction behind the candles. It felt hesitant, as this is a great indication for us to use. Instead of accelerating upward, price now hovers just above the breakout, this kind of behavior suggests rather a random push than a shift in sentiment. Without the strength to sustain above structure, I think we will see the price come back to the channel's lower border. And when breakouts fail, they often trap early longs, preparing for a more committed move in the opposite direction. A rejection from this level could send price into the 0.85800 level.
TVC:DXYShort
by TrendDiva
18
SOLUSDT → Countertrend correction and hunt for liquidityBINANCE:SOLUSDT looks quite promising on the bullish side. The price is testing one of the key resistance levels within the local trend rally. A correction is forming. Is it beneficial for us? On the higher timeframe, we see a change in character, a breakout of the trend resistance, and the formation of an upward trend support line. Bitcoin is still bullish (locally) at this time, but it is consolidating, which generally provokes a correction in SOL as well. Focus on the 150-149 area. If the bulls are able to keep the price above this zone after the retest, followed by the formation of momentum, this can be considered a positive medium-term sign. Locally, the price within the trading range of 149.36 - 158 is heading towards the area of interest and liquidity (eql) at 149.36. The current sell-off is most likely triggered by a large player seeking a more favorable entry into the market. Resistance levels: 154.75, 156.8 Support levels: 149.36, 147.93 In the current situation, it makes the most sense to consider an intraday trading strategy. A countertrend correction and a retest of support could attract buyers... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
AUDJPY - let's do it again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. As per our last AUDJPY analysis (attached on the chart), it rejected the first blue circle zone and surged in a parabolic manner. 📈AUDJPY is currently retesting the intersection of the blue trendline and red support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #AUDJPY is around the latest blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
8
Bitcoin can turn around from seller zone and start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The price previously broke above the support line and made a strong bullish move from the buyer zone (99300–100500 points). After the breakout, the price started rising steadily and is now approaching the Seller Zone (108500–109500), which also coincides with the resistance line of the downward channel. This area has shown strong bearish pressure in the past. Every time the price entered this zone, it quickly reversed. It’s a key area where many traders seek short-term opportunities. Currently, price is just entering this zone again and showing early signs of weakening momentum. Given the channel's structure, past price behavior near this resistance level, and the presence of the seller zone, I expect BTCUSD to turn around soon. Once the price rejects this level, I anticipate a reversal and a move back into the channel, continuing the downward trajectory. My first target is set at 103000 points, near the center of the range and above the support level (100500). This area has been tested multiple times before and may act as a strong buffer again. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by LegionQ8
26
GOLD → Retest of the resistance range. Correction?FX:XAUUSD is recovering amid expectations of lower interest rates in the US, and the falling dollar is also supporting the price of the metal. The dollar remains under pressure due to political uncertainty in the US, budget concerns, and trade risks. However, strong stock market growth and possible tariff measures against Japan and the EU are also affecting the market, adding volatility to gold Powell will speak at the ECB forum, and markets are waiting for him to hint at a rate cut. Currently, the probability of a cut in July is estimated at 20%, and in September at 77%. A dovish tone will support gold, while a hawkish tone will increase pressure. Technically, since the opening of the session, gold has exhausted its daily range (ATR), and there is a fairly high probability that after strong growth, the price may be stopped in the 3347-3350 zone. Resistance levels: 3347, 3350 Support levels: 3312, 3295 If gold cannot continue to rise after breaking through 3347 and the price returns to the resistance zone, then in this case, we can consider a correction to 0.5-0.7 Fibonacci before a possible continuation of growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
12
USDJPY: Strong Bullish Price Action 🇺🇸🇯🇵 I see 2 strong bullish confirmation on USDJPY after a test of a key daily support cluster. The price violated a trend line of a falling channel and a neckline of an inverted head & shoulders pattern with one single strong bullish candle. The pair may rise more and reach 144.45 level soon. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
BTC with potential for $115,000/$120,000🔍 Market structure (Price Action) 📈 Trend: The market previously formed higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) – a classic uptrend. Then there was a correction and a lower high (LH) and lower low (LL) appeared – a potential change in the trend to a downtrend. The last two lows are again HL (Higher Lows) – suggesting an attempt to return to the uptrend. 🔄 Key support and resistance levels ✅ Resistance (green horizontal lines): 117.469 – local resistance and potential breakout target from the current range. 115.802 – confirmed resistance from previous consolidations. 111.814 – strong local resistance (LH – Lower High formed there). 109.341 – current resistance, the price is currently testing it. 🛑 Support (red horizontal lines): 105.370 – local support, price reacted at this level in recent days. 102.650 – important support, level of previous HL. 100.095 – consolidation level before breaking out upwards. 98.213 – last LL – very important level in the context of defending the structure. 🧭 Structure of peaks and troughs HH: Higher High – confirmed the previous uptrend. LH: Lower High – first warning about changing the structure to down. LL: Lower Low – confirmed a potential change to downside. HL (x2): two more higher lows – suggest a possible return to growth. 📊 Stochastic RSI (at the bottom of the chart) The oscillator is currently in the overbought zone (>80), approaching a downward crossover. It suggests a possible short-term halt in growth or correction. But in strong trends it may "stick" to the upper range. 📌 Potential scenarios: 🟢 Bullish: If the price breaks above 109.341, it may test 111.814 and then 115.802. Continuation of the HL → HH formation will confirm a trend reversal and further growth. 🔴 Bearish: If the price does not stay above 109k and breaks below 105.370, there is a risk of a test of 102.650 and lower. A break of 100.095 and especially 98.213 will negate the growth structure. 🧠 Conclusions: The market is at a key decision point - HL formation vs. resistance zone. Buyers' strength will be confirmed only after breaking 111-112k. Stochastic RSI warns of potential pullback or consolidation.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
GOLD 4H: structure broken - phase reversal beginsTwo key directional signals were recorded on the gold chart: first, a breakdown of the ascending channel, followed by a confident downward exit from the triangle with a clear fixation under the $3297 boundary. Both figures worked independently, but consistently - and strengthened the impulse towards selling. The price has already gone beyond the lower boundary of the triangle ($3297), confirming the bearish scenario. Candlesticks closing under the level and local consolidation from below is a characteristic formation before the momentum continues. Technical parameters: - Channel breakout: completed - Triangle breakout: $3297 level - Retest from below: expected as confirmation - EMAs reversed downwards, structure broken - Volumes strengthened at the moment of breakout Tactical plan: - Sell after retest of $3297 - Targets on the move: $3248 and $3201 - Stop: above $3305 (above the area of false outs). The current structure indicates the end of the accumulation phase and the beginning of the downward momentum. As long as the price holds below $3297 - shorts are the priority.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
GOLD → Recovery and retest of resistance. DowntrendFX:XAUUSD has been recovering since the start of the session thanks to a weak dollar, but further growth is uncertain. However, the price is still below the key range and important levels. At the beginning of the week, gold rebounded from monthly lows amid a weakening US dollar, which remains under pressure due to trade disputes with Japan, uncertainty surrounding the budget, and expectations of a Fed rate cut in September. However, the technical picture for gold remains bearish, and further dynamics will depend on new statements from Fed officials, labor market data, and Jerome Powell's speech on Tuesday. Technically, after breaking through the global range support, the price is forming a correction and testing 3294. Before a possible rise to 3320 or to the 0.7 Fibonacci zone, a correction to 3271 may form, which will determine the further development of the situation. Support levels: 3271, 3255, 3245 Resistance levels: 3294, 3320, 3347 A retest of 3295 (0.5) Fibonacci is forming. There is a possibility of a false breakout with a possible correction. If, during the correction, buyers keep the price above 3271 and return to retest 3294, we will have a chance to attempt growth to 3320 - 3347 Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
36
DXY Long-Term Technical Outlook: Channel Structure, Pullbacks & ## **DXY (Dollar Index) Technical Analysis – 2W Chart** ### **1. Uptrend Since 2008** The Dollar Index (DXY) has been in a **long-term uptrend** since the 2008 bottom (around 70.70). The chart shows a clear pattern of **higher highs and higher lows**, establishing a bullish market structure over the past 15+ years. --- ### **2. Ascending Channel** The price has been moving consistently within a well-defined **ascending channel**. Several reactions from the channel boundaries are visible: - **Support (lower trendline):** 2008, 2011, 2018, 2021, 2024 - **Resistance (upper trendline):** 2009, 2017, 2022 This suggests that the market is respecting the technical boundaries of the channel remarkably well. --- ### **3. Historical Pullbacks Within the Channel (13.5% – 15%)** The chart highlights major **pullbacks** from local tops, all falling within the **-12.6% to -16.9%** range, showing high consistency: | Year | Drop | % Decline | |-------------|----------|----------------| | 2009 | -14.76 | -16.47% | | 2010 | -14.97 | -16.90% | | 2017 | -15.17 | -14.61% | | 2020 | -13.65 | -13.25% | | 2022 | -14.90 | -12.98% | | 2024/2025 | -13.90 | -12.61% | This implies that **a retracement of 13–15%** from a local high is a historically "normal" correction within the ongoing uptrend. --- ### **4. EMA Analysis – 24, 120, 240** (2Y,5Y,10Y) The chart includes three Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), reflecting short-, medium-, and long-term trends: - **EMA 24 (white line):** Reacts to short-term price action. Price is currently breaking below it, suggesting weakness in short-term momentum. - **EMA 120 (red line):** Reflects the mid-term trend. Price is **right at the edge**, often acting as a **support level** in bullish markets. - **EMA 240 (blue line):** Represents the long-term outlook. **Price has never stayed below this level for long** over the past 15 years, making this EMA a **critical support** for the long-term trend. --- ### **Conclusion & Potential Scenarios** 📉 **Bearish Scenario:** If DXY breaks below the **EMA 240** and the **lower channel boundary**, it could indicate a **reversal of the long-term uptrend**, which hasn’t happened since 2008. 📈 **Bullish Scenario:** If DXY holds above the **EMA 120** or bounces from the **EMA 240** and the **channel support**, we could expect a rally toward the **Fibonacci levels** (0.5 at 102.04 or 0.382 at 105.04), or even a retest of the highs around **114.78**.
TVC:DXY
by Aleksin_Aleksandar
AUDUSD Breakout ascending channel and consolidation breakout 1D 📊 AUD/USD Technical Breakdown – 1D Time Frame The Aussie has officially broken out of both the ascending channel and the consolidation phase, signaling strong momentum ahead. 🚀 📍 Entry Level: 0.65800 🔁 Possible Retest Zone (Support): 0.64000 🎯 Technical Targets: ✅ 1st Target: 0.66900 (Key Supply Zone) ✅ 2nd Target: 0.69000 (Major Resistance Level) Market structure and price action suggest bullish continuation if the breakout holds. Always manage risk accordingly. 📈 --- 💬 Drop your thoughts below ❤️ Like, 🔄 Follow, and 👥 Join us for more real-time updates and smart setups! — Livia, keeping it sharp 😜
Long
by LIVIATRACK
2
EURGBP: Strong Bullish Confirmation 🇪🇺🇬🇧 EURGBP is going to continue rising in an uptrend that the pair established at the end of May. A completion of a consolidation and a formation of a new local Higher High indicate a highly probable bullish continuation soon. Next resistance - 0.8605 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
Citigroup Wave Analysis – 2 July 2025 - Citigroup broke key resistance level 85.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 90.00 Citigroup recently broke above the key resistance level 85.00 (former multi-month high from February, which stopped the previous wave (A), as can be seen below). The breakout of the resistance level 85.00 accelerated the active minor impulse wave 5 of the intermediate impulse wave (C) from April. Citigroup can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 90.00 (intersecting with the daily up channel from April).
NYSE:CLong
by FxProGlobal
SOLB | Descending Triangle Breakout – Targeting +34% MoveTicker: EURONEXT:SOLB (Solvay SA – Euronext Brussels) 📆 Timeframe: 4H (4-hour) 📉 Price: €31.58 📈 Pattern: Descending triangle breakout from horizontal support 📊 Breakout Probability : ~73% upward breakout (short-term triangle) 🔍 Technical Setup: SOLB has successfully broken above a descending resistance line, bouncing off a solid horizontal support level near €28.00. This forms a bullish descending triangle breakout – a structure that historically resolves upward in short- to mid-term timeframes. ✅ Confirmed breakout from descending triangle 🟢 RSI pushing above 56 = bullish short-term momentum 📉 Defined support below = favorable risk/reward 🧠 Trade Plan: 📥 Entry Zone: €31.40–€31.70 (post-breakout confirmation) ⛔ Stop-Loss: Below €27.90 (under support base and triangle invalidation) 🎯 Upside Targets & ROIC (from €31.58): Target Price Return 🎯 Target 1 €33.84 +7.15% 🎯 Target 2 €39.76 +25.9% 📊 Pattern Probability – Based on Bulkowski: 📐 Pattern: Descending Triangle (short-term breakout) 🔺 Upward breakout probability: ~73% 💹 Measured move confirms Target 2 if volume remains elevated ⚠️ Technical Signals to Watch: 🔎 Strong green candle breaking the triangle → initial confirmation ✅ RSI breakout with no bearish divergence = supports continuation 📈 Volume spike = buyer interest returning 💬 Solvay’s breakout is a classic textbook move off strong horizontal support. This is a high-probability swing setup with tight risk and excellent upside potential. #SOLB #BreakoutSetup #DescendingTriangle #TechnicalPattern #SwingTrade #TargetTraders
EURONEXT:SOLBLong
by TargetTraders
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 1 July 2025 - Dow Jones broke the resistance zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 45000.00 Dow Jones index recently broke the resistance zone located at the intersection of the resistance level 44000.00 (former top of wave iv from March) and the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from May. The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active impulse wave (3) – which is part of the multi-month upward ABC correction 2 from April. Dow Jones index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 45000.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (C)).
DJ:DJILong
by FxProGlobal
Trip Wave Analysis – 1 July 2025- Trip broke daily down channel - Likely to rise to resistance level 14.50 Trip recently broke the resistance trendline of the daily down channel from the start of May (inside which the price has been falling in the last few weeks). The breakout of this down channel accelerated the active short-term corrective wave (ii) – which is part of the downward impulse wave C from last month. Trip can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 14.50 (which reversed the previous waves ii and (2) at the start of June).
NASDAQ:TRIPLong
by FxProGlobal
STZ | Reversal Setup – 35-Year Channel Support + Falling WedgeTicker: NYSE:STZ (Constellation Brands Inc.) 📆 Timeframe: 1W (Weekly) 📉 Price: $166.74 📈 Pattern: Descending wedge + long-term parallel channel from 1989 📊 Pattern Breakout Probability: ~69% in favor of bullish reversal 🔍 Technical Setup: STZ is currently testing the lower bound of a macro rising channel going back to 1989 — a level historically associated with major market bottoms. At the same time, price is compressing inside a descending wedge, a high-probability bullish reversal structure. 📊 According to historical chart pattern statistics, falling wedges break upward ~68% of the time, especially when accompanied by rising volume and multi-decade support. 🧠 Trade Thesis: 📥 Buy Zone: $160–$170 ⛔ Stop-Loss: $150.79 (below wedge support, could be an increasing trailing stop) 📐 Probability of Upward Breakout: ~69%, based on classical pattern statistics 🎯 Upside Targets & ROIC (from $166.74): Target Price Return 🎯 Target 1 $218 +31.2% 🎯 Target 2 $257 +54.2% 🎯 Target 3 $273 +63.8% ⚠️ Why This Setup Is Exceptional: ✅ 35-year rising channel support — rarely tested ✅ Descending wedge compression = bullish tension ✅ Volume spike and price rejection = signs of bottoming ✅ Statistically supported pattern → ~7 in 10 chance of breakout 💬 STZ combines deep technical structure with statistically supported probabilities. This is the kind of trade setup where structure, price, and probabilities align. #STZ #FallingWedge #ChartPatterns #SwingSetup #TechnicalBreakout #TargetTraders
NYSE:STZLong
by TargetTraders