Parallel Channel
GOLD UPDATEHello friends
As you can see in the picture, everything is clearly defined.
After a strong rise, we see a double top pattern at the top of the channel, which indicates that we should gradually wait for a correction.
Now, how far will the correction continue? In the picture, we have identified the support levels that the price can reach.
*Trade safely with us*
Euro can drop from top part of range and fall to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Recently, price continued to grow inside a well-defined upward channel, maintaining a steady structure of higher highs and higher lows. The move started after a clear breakout from the buyer zone, which marked a strong bullish impulse and confirmed support near the 1.0735 level. After this breakout, the price gradually climbed, eventually entering a horizontal range, where it started to consolidate between local support and resistance. The current support level has held firm and now aligns with the lower boundary of the range as well as the support area. At the moment, the Euro is approaching the upper boundary of the range. Given the repeated reactions from this resistance zone, I expect the price to make one more push upward, retesting the top of the range, and then reverse downward toward the lower boundary, with TP1 set at 1.1270, where demand and structure are likely to react again. This short-term setup aligns with the current channel structure, the strength of the support area, and the repeated rejection from the range highs. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BNB Ascending Channel (1W)BINANCE:BNBUSDT remains within an ascending channel dating back to January 2024, with multiple strong reactions at both boundaries.
After testing the upper boundary and hitting a new ATH last December, it entered a clear downtrend (orange trendline) that led to multiple attempts at the channel's support.
Price action is now getting compressed, and we could see a breakout soon.
Key Levels
• To the upside, the main resistance remains ~$700 area.
• Above that, CRYPTOCAP:BNB could have a shot at a new ATH and potentially the channel's upper boundary in the ~$900 area.
• To the downside, in case of a channel breakdown, $400 seems the first logical support (important S/R for previous swings).
Still very uncertain and in a No-Trade Zone until a breakout is confirmed.
BTC Intraday Cycle ClustersThese are mathematically calculated cycle clusters based on hourly price and time data.
Cycle clusters can signal potential shifts in price action, including:
Changes in direction
Momentum shifts (acceleration or deceleration)
Breakouts
Gaps
Bold vertical lines indicate periods where more cycles are clustered. Dashed lines reflect clusters with fewer overlapping cycles.
I've also added some charting work—mainly channels—to help visualize and potentially trade the price movement between clusters and between channel lines.
Questions are welcome!
DXY Long-Term Technical Outlook: Channel Structure, Pullbacks & ## **DXY (Dollar Index) Technical Analysis – 2W Chart**
### **1. Uptrend Since 2008**
The Dollar Index (DXY) has been in a **long-term uptrend** since the 2008 bottom (around 70.70). The chart shows a clear pattern of **higher highs and higher lows**, establishing a bullish market structure over the past 15+ years.
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### **2. Ascending Channel**
The price has been moving consistently within a well-defined **ascending channel**. Several reactions from the channel boundaries are visible:
- **Support (lower trendline):** 2008, 2011, 2018, 2021, 2024
- **Resistance (upper trendline):** 2009, 2017, 2022
This suggests that the market is respecting the technical boundaries of the channel remarkably well.
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### **3. Historical Pullbacks Within the Channel (13.5% – 15%)**
The chart highlights major **pullbacks** from local tops, all falling within the **-12.6% to -16.9%** range, showing high consistency:
| Year | Drop | % Decline |
|-------------|----------|----------------|
| 2009 | -14.76 | -16.47% |
| 2010 | -14.97 | -16.90% |
| 2017 | -15.17 | -14.61% |
| 2020 | -13.65 | -13.25% |
| 2022 | -14.90 | -12.98% |
| 2024/2025 | -13.90 | -12.61% |
This implies that **a retracement of 13–15%** from a local high is a historically "normal" correction within the ongoing uptrend.
---
### **4. EMA Analysis – 24, 120, 240** (2Y,5Y,10Y)
The chart includes three Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), reflecting short-, medium-, and long-term trends:
- **EMA 24 (white line):** Reacts to short-term price action. Price is currently breaking below it, suggesting weakness in short-term momentum.
- **EMA 120 (red line):** Reflects the mid-term trend. Price is **right at the edge**, often acting as a **support level** in bullish markets.
- **EMA 240 (blue line):** Represents the long-term outlook. **Price has never stayed below this level for long** over the past 15 years, making this EMA a **critical support** for the long-term trend.
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### **Conclusion & Potential Scenarios**
📉 **Bearish Scenario:**
If DXY breaks below the **EMA 240** and the **lower channel boundary**, it could indicate a **reversal of the long-term uptrend**, which hasn’t happened since 2008.
📈 **Bullish Scenario:**
If DXY holds above the **EMA 120** or bounces from the **EMA 240** and the **channel support**, we could expect a rally toward the **Fibonacci levels** (0.5 at 102.04 or 0.382 at 105.04), or even a retest of the highs around **114.78**.
GOLD → Correction after reaching 3500. What's next?FX:XAUUSD updates high to $3,500 amid Trump's attacks on the Fed, we are still in the aggressive trend phase. North train makes a small stop which may give us a chance to trade...
Investors are fleeing to safe-haven assets amid an escalating US-China trade war and Trump's verbal attacks on Fed chief Powell.
Trump is blaming the Fed for the slowing economy and demanding immediate rate cuts, which is undermining confidence in the dollar and boosting demand for gold.
3500 is a psychologically important target and once it is reached, traders have moved to profit-taking, which could lead to a small correction...
Resistance levels: 3475, 3500
Support levels: 3441, 3408, 3385
As part of the correction, the price may test 3440, or 3410. The trend is aggressively bullish and sales should not be considered. The ideal scenario would be liquidity capture relative to 3410 and rebound or continuation of growth, as the fundamental background is on the side of gold....
Regards R. Linda!
POLUSDT → Rally for liquidity accumulation before the fall?BINANCE:POLUSDT.P is currently inside the trading range forming a counter-trend rally within the global downtrend. There is a rather strong liquidity zone ahead....
The distribution is formed after consolidation inside 0.1929 - 0.175. The realization phase can be stopped in the zone 0.228 - 0.2438. This will be confirmed by a stop and a false breakout.
The market is still weak, despite the local growth of bitcoin, as the flagship on the daily timeframe is still trading in the selling zone and based on the current situation we can conclude that the market is forming a collection of liquidity before the continuation of the fall.
Technically, the current rally in POL may end with a false breakout of 0.2284 or 0.2438 followed by a correction or reversal.
Resistance levels: 0.2284, 0.24388, 0.2465
Support levels: 0.2061, 0.1929.
If the price continues to approach this resistance with such speed, at some point the potential and energy may be exhausted and it will not be enough to continue the movement. In this case, we can catch a correction or even a reversal to continue the global trend.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The rally continues. Waiting for correction to tradeFX:XAUUSD supported by the weakness of the dollar and increased trade tensions between the U.S. and China continues to renew highs. At the moment the market is testing 3400...
After Friday's pullback caused by profit taking, the demand for gold rose again - investors are looking for protection amid the threat of recession in the U.S. and instability in the markets. Additional pressure on the dollar is exerted by the threat to the independence of the Fed, after statements about the possible resignation of Jerome Powell.
It is not worth buying at the highs. Technically, against the background of the uptrend, the market can take a break in the form of a pullback. A bounce from support or a false breakdown of the liquidity zone may provide a good opportunity to enter the market
Resistance levels: 3400, 3410, 3430
Support levels: 3369, 3357, 3344
Undoubtedly, based on the overall fundamental situation, gold is absorbing capital as a safe haven and can continue its growth for a long time. But we should keep an eye on the situation between the US and China, as well as in Eastern Europe. Any de-escalation of the conflict may lead to a correction.
For trading now it is worth waiting for a correction to the above mentioned support levels to find a trading opportunity.
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Retest 86190. There are chances for growthBINANCE:BTCUSD is starting to show positive signs, but it is too early to talk about a change in the downtrend or a bullish rally. Strong resistance ahead....
Against the background of everything that is happening, from a fundamental point of view, bitcoin in general has withstood the blows quite well and is gradually beginning to recover, but the situation for the crypto community as a whole has not changed in any way, the promises are not yet fulfilled. Bitcoin's strengthening is most likely due to localized growth in indices and discussion of lower interest rates. But the focus is on the tariff war between China and the US, improved relations and lower tariffs could weaken bitcoin.
Technically, we see that the price is moving beyond the resistance of the descending channel. For a few days now, the price has been consolidating in front of the 86190 level, and we have chances to see a rise to the resistance of the 88800 range, from which the future prospects will already depend.
Resistance levels: 86190, 88800, 91280
Support levels: 83170, 78170
The price is slowly approaching the resistance 86190, consolidating without updating the local lows, forming a pre-breakout consolidation. There is a probability of a breakout attempt. Breakout and consolidation of the price above 86190 may give a chance to rise to 88800.
But, regarding 88800 we will have to watch the price reaction. A sharp approach with the purpose of primary testing of the level may end in a false breakout and correction....
Regards, R. Linda!
EURUSD Wave Analysis – 21 April 2025
- EURUSD broke the resistance area
- Likely to test resistance level 1.1600
EURUSD currency pair recently broke the resistance area between the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from the end of February and the resistance level 1.1465 (which stopped the previous impulse wave i).
The breakout of this area accelerated the active short-term impulse wave 3 from the end of March.
Given the moderately bullish euro sentiment, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.1600 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3).
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 21 April 2025
- USDJPY broke support area
- Likely to fall to support level 139.55
The USDJPY currency pair recently broke the support area at the intersection of the support trendline of the daily down channel from January and the support level 142.00 (which started the daily uptrend in September).
The breakout of this support area should accelerate the active impulse wave 3, which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (3) from March.
Given the strongly bearish US dollar sentiment, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 139.55 (the former multi-month support level from September).
Decoding Gold's Ascent Through Fibonacci Channels.The price of gold has been exhibiting a discernible pattern, closely tracking Fibonacci channel levels. This upward trajectory, characterized as a "gold buyers' train," has seen the price ascend through various Fibonacci channels.
Notably, the price encountered resistance and stalled upon reaching a key Fibonacci level, often referred to as the "golden ratio" or a similar significant Fibonacci retracement or extension point.
This phenomenon has been observed repeatedly; since 2020, the price action has twice reached and subsequently been halted at specific Fibonacci channel levels, suggesting these levels act as strong areas of either support or resistance depending on the direction of the movement.
Currently, the price is approaching a third Fibonacci channel level, implying a potential continuation of this established pattern and requiring careful monitoring to determine if the same resistive behavior will manifest again, or if the price will finally break through to higher levels within the Fibonacci sequence.
This repetitive interaction with Fibonacci levels underscores their significance as potential indicators of future price movements in the gold market.
GOLD → Recovery after the FB of 0.5 fibo. What's next?FX:XAUUSD on Thursday tests 0.5 fibo, which I outlined to you on April 17, forms a false breakdown and recovers amid unstable geopolitical relations in the world. Price may continue its northward run.
The dollar continues to fall. The fundamental background depends on the relationship between the US and China as well as economic data especially after Powell's speech. The weekly session closes close to support, the decline may continue.
Gold after the shakeout is heading back north. Based on the fundamental background, the price may continue to rise. There are three days of downtime ahead as traders rest.
Fundamentally, anything can happen over the weekend, however, technically, the emphasis is on intermediate levels. The trend is still strong and bullish
Resistance levels: 3332, 3344, 3357
Support levels: 3313, 3288, 3284
If nothing supernatural happens over the weekend, gold in the Asian session may bounce off the nearest resistance and test trend support before continuing the uptrend. If there are any critical changes in the mood of countries/politicians then I will update the situation
Regards R. Linda!
ZRO: Altcoin hero?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
ZRO is worth keeping on the radar. Out of most altcoins it arguably has the cleanest setup for a potential bullish reversal—at least structurally.
While it could be done here, I’m leaning on the idea that the Y wave still needs one more leg down. That’s typically the behavior we see: Y waves tend to be slower and more drawn out compared to the W wave. If that holds true again, the ideal target zone falls between $2.12 and $1.88. That would allow for a proper test of structure while staying within the bounds of the larger corrective patterns most likely target.
This is still a bullish interpretation—but only after one more low and a meaningful reaction from it.
That said, both the bull and bear counts are pointing down in the near-term. My personal invalidation sits above the (c) wave high. If ZRO clears that, this setup likely needs to be re-evaluated. Until then, any move beyond the orthodox end of wave A of the Y leg should be considered “enough” from a pattern swing perspective.
Patience here could pay off—especially if price enters the key zone and shows strength.
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
Bitcoin may see $67k - Monthly timeframeHere is the monthly chart of the bitcoin. Based on price action analysis, we have a broad bull channel. We can see 2 price action signs here:
1- Second leg in the bull channel, we call it second leg trap
2- A climactic move to the top of the channel (biggest bull bar late in the trend)
Given the context, there is 60% chance that we see the bottom of the climactic move, which is $67,000.
The pessimistic perspective is that the bitcoin may see and test the bottom of the channel, around $50k.
Analysis of EOS CoinHello to all members of the AMKT crypto channel. In our first analysis in the TradingView space, we are going to look at the EOS coin together.😍
On the monthly time frame, we are in a downtrend where we were supported by our last monthly support level and were able to create a higher low and are waiting for a higher high.
We are also in a downtrend on the weekly time frame.
In the daily timeframe, we are forming a range structure between 0.5895 and 0.8789, and we can take a position by exiting from either side and increasing volume.
And on the 4-hour time frame, we are in a descending channel that generally creates a boxed range between 0.5895 and 0.7072. For long positions, after breaking 0.7072, we can take a long position and wait for a break of 0.8789, but for short position, we should wait for an increase in volume, because the volume is decreasing and if the volume increases, we can enter a short position with a break of 0.5895.
Have a good day with lots of profits.😍
HelenP. I Euro can make correction movement to $1.1150 pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After testing the upper boundary of the ascending channel, the price showed signs of slowing momentum. Earlier, the price steadily climbed within the upward channel, forming consistently higher lows while bouncing from the lower trend line and support zones. During its rally, the price also reclaimed the 1.0950 level, turning it into a solid support zone, and continued higher with minor consolidations along the way. Eventually, the pair reached the resistance trend line at the top of the channel, where sellers began to show activity. This zone aligned with previous local highs and acted as a point of reversal. Following the rejection from the top boundary, the Euro formed a local high and started to flatten, indicating reduced bullish pressure. Now the price is trading slightly below the resistance trend line and remains inside the upward channel. Given the current structure and the latest price action near the upper edge, I expect a downward movement from this zone. My current goal is the 1.1150 points, which aligns with the midline of the channel and a key technical level from recent consolidation. This bearish scenario is supported by the reaction from the upper boundary and the potential for correction within the channel range. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
NFLX Wave Analysis – 18 April 2025
- NFLX broke weekly down channel
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1000.00
NFLX recently broke the resistance trendline of the weekly down channel from February, which enclosed the previous primary ABC correction 4, as can be seen below.
The breakout of this down channel accelerated the active impulse wave 1, which belongs to the primary upward impulse wave 5 from the start of April.
Given the clear daily uptrend, NFLX can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 1000.00, top of the previous wave (B).
Gold can exit from wedge and drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Price action on Gold has shown strong bullish momentum earlier, as it broke out of the previous upward channel and started forming an upward wedge. The rally gained traction once the price left the buyer zone between 3006 - 3025 points, pushing through multiple resistance levels and creating a new structure of higher highs. After the breakout from the wedge’s support line, the price continued to grow and eventually reached the upper boundary of the wedge pattern. Here, we saw a clear reaction and reversal, signaling potential exhaustion among buyers. Currently, the price is trading just below the upper wedge resistance and has already made a pullback after the latest local high. Given this structure and the fact that the wedge pattern is tightening, I expect gold to reverse again and decline toward 3270, which is my first TP. If pressure continues, the price may drop to the 3210 current support level as TP2. The reaction from the upper wedge boundary, combined with weakening momentum and a strong support area below, supports my bearish outlook for now. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD - After upward movement, price can correct to support areaHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
After a long, steady climb inside a rising channel, Gold pushed through local resistance and gained momentum.
The move extended beyond the channel's top, marking a fresh high near $3240 points, attracting strong attention.
But after this sharp push, the price began losing steam and rolled into a soft pullback phase.
Now, Gold is holding just above the $3160 area, retesting the zone that was previously broken upward.
Volume is slowing down, and the price action shows hesitation without follow-through on the upside.
I believe Gold could roll over from here and revisit the $3130 support area in the coming sessions.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
LINK Potential Falling Channel Reversal + RSI SignalsBINANCE:LINKUSDT has been in a downtrend since December, grinding inside a falling channel for 2 months, and it's now sitting right above the key ~$10.00 demand zone.
Price Action
• Price is respecting both bounds of a well-defined falling channel.
• Currently consolidating just above the demand area, early signs of potential strength.
RSI Insights
• Clear bullish divergence at demand zone retest.
• RSI could be approaching a breakout of its multi-month downtrend — worth watching closely.
Key Zones
• Support: $9.5–$10.5 is critical. It held last time and could fuel a reversal. If broken, it would invalidate the setup.
• Resistance: Falling channel upper boundary.
• Confirmation: RSI breakout + channel breakout = potential confirmation of trend reversal.
Also watch $15.5-$16 (previous S/R) and the whole $18-$20 area, which previously acted as support and has a high volume traded. Both could be good levels to take profits, together with the main supply zone in the $25-$27 area.
Still in a No-Trade Zone until a breakout is confirmed.
ALCHUSDT → Rally to the liquidity zone. False breakout?BINANCE:ALCHUSDT.P is one of not many coins that looks strong amid the bearish cryptocurrency market. But how long will this energy last? There is strong resistance ahead....
A local pre-breakdown consolidation relative to the intraday level is forming. In general, this is the state of the market, ready to continue its growth within the distribution.
Thus, the breakout of 0.1590 resistance will provoke the continuation of growth up to the liquidity zone at 0.177. But already at 0.177, due to the fact that it is an important and strong intermediate resistance level, we should expect a false breakout and a pullback, for example, to 0.159 or 0.5 fibo.
Resistance levels: 0.159, 0.177, 0.23
Support levels: 0.1516, 0.5 fibo
The distribution is already 53% since the breakout of the consolidation resistance. By the time the resistance is approached, it will be 77% and the market may use up all the accumulated potential, so liquidity above 0.177 is likely to stop the upward rally and turn the coin down.
Regards R. Linda!