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Parallel Channel

Reading a chart is not a very difficult art. Today we will try to understand how to read the charts how to make assumptions based on the same. First thing that one must understand that it is not a rocket science. One has to be creative, attentive and a sort of meditative. Albert Einstein once said that "it is not that I am smart but I stay with the questions much longer". For reading the chart one must ask questions to the chart and observe the answers by reading between the lines and understanding the patterns. Everything has patterns. Even time is not linear even as per Vedas the time is cyclical. That's why we have God (Generator, Operator and Destroyer). If time is cyclical the cycle is a pattern. We say that history repeats itself. Stock market legend Jesse Livermore once said "All through time, people have basically acted and reacted the same way in the market as a result of greed, fear, ignorance, and hope. That is why the numerical formations and patterns recur on a constant basis. Patterns repeat because human nature hasn’t changed for thousands of years” If you want to know more about Jesse Live more you can watch the movies like The American Clock, The day the bubble burst or The bucket Boy. Thus by asking the question to the chart and by observing the chart and searching fo the answers by noticing the patterns, historic layouts, supports, resistances and applying certain amount of basic maths and common sense one can come to know about the risk is to reward ratio in buying a stock or a derivative. 'Breakout' or Breakout level is what we are searching for. The coveted breakout may happen or it may not even after calculations and chart study and fundamental analysis. So if break out fails you must have a stop loss to protect your capital. If breakout actually happens you let your money work and reap the benefit. After having understood this basic concept let us try to analyse the chart of IDBI Bank for the purpose of education. I will mention below my observations of the same. The purpose of this analysis is educational and one must not treat it as a buy or sell call. The First thing that I observe here is that the stock is moving in a particular parallel channel. Many of the stocks do move in channels. There are different kind of channels and this one is a parallel channel. In a parallel channel channel top works as a resistance, Channel bottom works as a support and mid channel might work as a support if stock price is above it. The same mid channel will work as a resistance if the stock price is below it. Thus we get a Long term target 120 which can be the channel top. We get a long term support 75 which can be the channel bottom. The point to note is that 75 level has been supporting this stock since March 24. The stock has bounced from there many a times as indicated in the chart. In this particular case mid channel will work like a resistance. The real breakout might happen after we get a closing above it at the levels of 91.6. CMP of the stock is 85.12 but before we reach 91.6. There is a scope of trend line breakout if the stock closes above 87.6. Thus 91.6 is my first target. The closing above 91.6 can also be treated as a compounding point for stock's further journey. You can also think of takin partial entries at 87.6 and 91.6. If I am a Short term trader, I can even trade the stock for the target of 91.6. After closing above 91.6 further targets can be 96, 99, 101, 105, 107 and finally 120. Partial profit booking can also be done at these various levels. Trailing stop loss can also be increased step by step as the stock moves northwards. You can never be overconfident in your analysis. Stock market is a graveyard of lot of over confident people. The design of stock market is such that it transfers money from the impatient to the patient. Thus you need a stop loss in case your break out fails. In this particular case I can keep my stop loss at either at a closing below 83 as there are Mother and Father lines (50 and 200 days EMA) at this point. To know more about stuff like parallel channel, Mother Father and Small child theory and much more interesting ways to make your money work through Techno-Funda investing. You can read my book The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation. The book is available on Amazon in (Paperback) and Kindle version (E-Version). The book has potential to become your handbook or an investment guide. If I am little bit more risk taking person I will keep the stop loss at closing below 75 in this case as 75 has historically provided a great support to the stock. Additionally now it has also become more powerful by becoming a channel bottom support (Importance of channel bottom support is discussed earlier in the article). A person who looks at the risk reward ratio can see that down side risk is Rs.2 or Rs.10 considering my risk taking ability and upside potential is around Rs 35. If you consider 120 as a channel top. So incase I keep my stop loss at 75 and my long term target at 120 my risk reward ratio can be 1:3.5. In case if I keep my target at 99 and my stop loss at 83 my risk reward ratio is 1:7 or so. So the risk reward ratio is a dynamic number which will keep changing depending on your target and risk taking ability. You need to calculate it personally. There can not be a universal risk reward ratio. As different people will keep different targets and different stop losses. Once you have determined your target and stop loss adhere to it strictly. In case of stop loss you have to be particularly strict. In case of target you can let the stock fly even higher than your target but you have to adhere to a trailing stop loss strictly. My book about which I have a description earlier talks at depth about stop loss and trailing stop loss. I sincerely hope that this write-up will help you in reading the charts, understanding the importance of charts and becoming a better investor. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:IDBILong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
POV: CGPOWER - Channel + Cup and Handle Breakout**POV: CGPOWER - Channel + Cup and Handle Breakout** **Chart Reading:** 1. Today, it started with a 0.6% gap-up, tested, and traded below the previous day's close, then rose and closed above the channel's upper range. 2. There have been five previous breakout attempts. One attempt almost succeeded, but a market downturn pulled it back into the channel. 3. The Cup and Handle pattern formed within the channel. The cup took exactly 25 sessions to form, aligning with my minimum criterion of 20 sessions. 4. The 200 SMA shows a steadily growing path. In my observation, it’s rare to see such a clean rising angle. 5. The channel has been in existence for more than 100 sessions. 6. The average candle range is relatively narrow. 7. Trend and momentum are in sync. *For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice. Please consult a professional before making financial decisions.* **#NiVYAMi**
NSE:CGPOWERLong
by kzatakia
GBPUSD → Channel breakout. Attempt to change the trendFX:GBPUSD finds an opportunity to grow. A breakout of the local trend resistance is forming amid the dollar correction. Zones of interest: 1.300 The retest of the intermediate bottom ends with reversal candlestick patterns and market reversal structure. The big question is: How long will it last? It all depends on the dollar. The US market received negative jobless claims data yesterday, which may also affect the NFP, which will be released later today. A worse-than-expected data will intensify the dollar correction, pointing to the problems in the economy (against what Powell said recently). In such a scenario, forex currencies may get a chance for a small rally. Technically, a channel breakout is a good signal that could turn into a strong momentum, but apparently traders are not in a hurry yet.... Resistance levels: 1.284, 1.300 Support levels: 1.272, 1.261, 1.2488 Accordingly, if a false breakout of resistance is formed and the price falls beyond 1.272, then we should expect a decline to 1.24. But at the moment there are positive signs to gain from 1.275 to 1.300 in the medium term. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
BTC ANALYSIS (update)🔮 #BTC Analysis 💰💰 🌟🚀In 8hr chart we can see a formation of "Rising Channel Pattern in #BTC. As we said BTC will dump first then a bullish move will come. Chart is following the same. Now we could see a breakout of 100k level again 🔖 Current Price: $98100 ⁉️ What to do? - We have marked some crucial levels in the chart. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #BTC. 🚀💸 #BTC #Cryptocurrency #DYOR #PotentialBreakout
Long
by ZEUS_Market_Alerts
2
SUIUSDT jump 📈 SUIUSDT Trend Analysis 🚀 Looks like SUI just broke through a major resistance level at $1.9740! 🔥 This breakout could signal a bullish continuation 📈, especially if it holds above this level. The next profit targets are marked around $4.4444 and $7.7002 💰 – good spots for traders to consider locking in profits. 📝 Key Tips: Follow the trend as long as support holds. Stick to money management rules to protect your gains 🛡️. Let’s see if SUI can reach those higher levels! 🤑💪
Long
by ahmadarz
Like altseason arrived: ETH follows bullish chart patternsHello, Like altseason arrived, Ethereum established a bullish trend in the green channel. Furthermore, the price has been in the consolidation of a symmetrical triangle (green triangle), which seemingly broke upward. The bullish channel and the symmetrical triangle indicate the optimal risk-reward ratio for a long position. If the break isn't a bull trap, ETH might continue going up until the $4500 psychological resistance, which aligns with the top of the channel. Breaking the channel upward could send ETH to $5300. Following a bearish scenario, ETH might be rejected from the current price (top of the triangle), in which case, it might find support at $3400 - the middle of the channel. Regards, Ely
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Elysian_Mind
HBAR complex correction? After a historic rise of over 700% from the recent bottom, HBAR has retraced from around 40 cents, corresponding to the 0.618 fib extension level to its all-time high. Whether this constitutes an Elliott Wave 4 or not, it forms a parallel channel. Parallel channels often suggest complex corrections, so this could be labeled as WXY or WXYXZ unless it clearly exhibits the characteristics of a diagonal triangle (with an extended wave 5). If the channel's lower edge holds, HBAR might find support at the 0.382 fib extension level, around 25 cents. Otherwise, 21 cents would be another key support level to watch (an upper timeframe image will be attached below). Considering the current market conditions, a bullish continuation is likely. Therefore, passionate HBARians, including myself, may still have a chance to buy the dip.
CRYPTO:HBARUSDLong
by jackrabbitrage
3
GOLD - Price can exit from pennant and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 A few moments ago price entered to falling channel, where soon broke $2720 level and then fell to support line. After this, price rose to resistance line and then continued to fall, until it broke $2610 level and fell to $2536 points. Then price turned around and started to grow in pennant, exiting from falling channel and soon breaking $2610 level. Later Gold rose to resistance level, which coincided with resistance line of pennant, which bounced down. Next, price was corrected to support level and some time traded near, and at the moment, XAU trades close support line. In my mind, price can leave pennant and then bounce up to $2720 resistance level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
3
AUDUSD - Long-Term Long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈AUDUSD has been overall bullish, trading inside the rising flat channel in blue. Moreover, it is rejecting a strong support in green. 🏹 The highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the support zone and lower trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #AUDUSD is around the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
19
ETHFI → A door has been opened to the bulls. Resistance retest BINANCE:ETHFIUSDT is forming a bottom. The coin continues to accumulate potential giving signs that the price is preparing to go up. The fundamental background is changing to favorable The U.S. presidential election and Trump's victory have a favorable impact on the cryptocurrency market in the medium and long term. This will be especially visible after the inauguration of the new (old) president :). Fundamentally, the market opened another door.... Technically, there is a clear bottom at 1.092 with no attempts to renew the low, and a basic cascading support is formed, indicating the buyer's strength. The focus is on consolidation of 1.798 - 1.092. The price exit from this channel will be accompanied by a strong distribution (most likely upward) Resistance levels: 1.798, 2.761 3.240 Support levels: 1.302, 1.092 There is a conglomerate of resistances ahead (descending line and channel boundary at 1.798). In the near future the market may continue to test this area with a breakout target. If the bulls can keep the defense above these areas, the rally will not be long in coming. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHFIUSDT.P ;) Regards R. Linda!
by RLinda
2
ETHEREUM → A coin is being prepared To The Moon ↑BINANCE:ETHUSDT is lagging behind the general market growth in the cryptocurrency world. The price is still squeezed between consolidation boundaries, but there are already positive signs. Bitcoin is close to 100K and altcoins are opening the season. Ethereum is lagging behind in the race, this is clearly visible on D1-W1. It's not that the price can't reach ATH, the coin hasn't yet updated the 2024 high. Before the start of the altcoin season, the community was skeptical about the fundamental project due to the behavior of the development team, but the victory of trump, the change of the political team to a pro-cryptocurrency one could be the strongest driver for ETH in recent times. After local distribution, the price is testing the triangle resistance, forming another accumulation. A retest of the upper boundary indicates the formation of a trigger, the breakout of which will activate the rally. Resistance levels: 3442, 3568 Support levels: 3028, 2820 Technically, the coin shows us another trading range, the role of which is consolidation. If the resistance cannot be broken from the third time, a correction before further growth is possible. BUT! We need to be careful, as any BTC correction can trigger a bearish rally in the altcoin market. Bitcoin has almost reached 100K and for many this is a red zone for profit taking. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
22