GOLD trending in strong bullish parallel channelwith bearish divergence, the price is currently retracing which is a healthy sign for a bullish rally. Right now the price is almost kissing .5 Fib so instant buy or weight for the price to retrace a bit more for a better entry. By applying Fib I have marked the buy limit order with stop loss.
Parallel Channel
Chips No Longer Power Hungry?With news of DeepSeek overnight hitting semi-conductors, is there all of a sudden less need for power? Well if there is then the first place I typically go is ERY. This ETF trades as a Bear 2x leveraged ETF to XLE. This means that for every penny XLE goes down, ERY goes up two pennies... Developing situation here so will watch this one closely!
EURUSD → price confirms trend changeEURUSD breaks the trend. The price comes out of consolidation, updating the highs confirms the final change of trend. Now the struggle in the market will be for the resistance zones...
The dollar correction, the main motives of which are politics and geopolitics, gives chances to the forex market. EURUSD has been strengthening for a month and is beginning to hint at good prospects if the dollar continues its correction in the meantime. This week all eyes are on the Fed rate and inflation meeting, which may support the current movements.
Technically, the focus is on the support at 1.0448. If the bulls hold the defense above this zone, the price will reach 1.06 - 1.07 in the short to medium term.
Resistance levels: 1.053, 1.0607
Support levels: 1.0448
The price has already tested the area of 1.0448. Another false breakdown may be formed, the purpose of which will be the capture of liquidity, after which the currency pair will continue its growth according to the intentions of buyers, who have finally awakened interest in the euro.
Regards R. Linda!
AUDCAD after long time, can we see bullishness
OANDA:AUDCAD long period of bearishness, personally having long position from Jul. last year i am have already shared one idea on AUDCAD which is still actual and will attach her.
What here now we have is long DESCENDING CHANNEL, currently its breaked and we have some bounces on sup zones.
Technically picture is strong bullish. Here after long time of bearishness, having strong bullish expectations to start.
TO KNOW: We are have and upper DESCENDING CHANNEL(white lines), which is be breaked and price is start falling, currently if we see now bullish push, price is expected to come in "UPPER CHANNEL" if that happens, will share and new idea and will be same with bullish expectations.
SUP zone: 0.88900
RES zone: 0.90400, 0.90700, 0.91000
EURGBP - following the trend (down)Well, this one says it all. Why complicate things when the market is saying it is simple? To me, this one seems clear (now, at this time, today! No crystal balls here).
- Downward channel with good top nd medium levels, missing well defined two separated price points for a clear support line.
- Clear and strong reaction to resistance last week.
- Price consolidated for quite a number of hours and seems to be breaking out in the 1H chart.
Potential move to 0.823 deserves an 8 on my EP scale.
NB: my EB scale is just a personal 1 to 10 conviction rate of my edge in each trade
BITCOIN → New targets! What will happen to ALTCOINS ?BINANCE:BTCUSD went into consolidation after a failed attempt to break through the 108K resistance. Nothing terrible happened, the weekly structure is quite strong, and the market needs to build up its potential. What is happening and what to expect in the future?
In the week ahead, the focus is on the US rate meeting, GDP and PCE. If the US macroeconomic data disappoints, it could lead to a lower dollar and more interest in BTC.
As for Trump, he may give a good driver to the market if he pushes for the inclusion of BTC in the federal reserve, which is what the crypto trading community is waiting for now. But, it should be realized that tight US monetary policy and possible further rate hikes create pressure on high-risk assets, including bitcoin.
In a sideways moving environment, BTC dominance remains stable, around 50-60%. Altcoins are more likely to perform weakly in such an environment, with the exception of a few highly liquid assets.
If BINANCE:BTCUSD drops to 91.7К - 95К USD, it is likely that capital will continue to stay in BTC as investors focus on risk mitigation. Altcoins can only show growth if bitcoin has a new momentum above 107,400 USD.
Resistance levels:106.9, 107.5
Support levels: 102.5, 99950
Because of the strong resistance, the price is very likely to test one of the key support levels. And already from 102.5 - 100K a rather aggressive rebound may follow. But it is necessary to observe the character of the price and its approaching to these or those strong levels. Sharp movements often end in reversals, when smooth and gradual heralds a breakout.
Regards R. Linda!
BTC is poised...The momentum and price actions is looking very similar to what happened about 2 weeks ago. I've placed the fractal from it and if it plays out close to the same we will have one more quick visit below 100k only to then BLAST OFF and hit close to 120k by the end of January..
Only time will tell!
NFA! God Speed!
GOLD → A U-turn? Medium-term targets. Up ahead, 2790FX:XAUUSD is taking advantage of the dollar correction and almost reaches ATH 2790. The chance of updating the maximum is quite high, but there are a few “BUTs”. Let's talk about the medium term and possible targets
Economically, the coming week will be quite important, there will be decisions on the Fed Funds rate , US GDP and PCE .
If the rate remains unchanged and the Fed's rhetoric is tough, this could put pressure on gold, a softer policy would support the metal, as would a slowdown in GDP growth if supported by actual data. PCE data may indicate that inflationary pressures remain. If the data is better than expected, it will strengthen the chances of further Fed rate hikes, which in turn will support the dollar and reduce demand for gold.
Technically, the price is heading towards 2790 and the chance of reaching this target is quite high, but the potential for further upside after breaking the resistance is not there yet as there is no energy to do so.
A strong move of 8% (since December 18) could easily be stopped by the resistance level ahead and gold could go into correction or consolidation
Resistance levels: 2790
Support levels: 2762, 2750, 2735
Overall, expected economic data points to support for the Dollar, which could put pressure on gold. Highlights for Gold are FOMC results and GDP data, as well as unexpected deviations from the forecast in economic data, which could change the current dynamics.
What to expect from the price? Most likely, after a correction to 2762 (liquidity zone), growth will resume and the price will head towards the most important target at the moment - 2790. The one and a half month rally may end with a false breakout of 2790 and the beginning of correction. I am not talking about the trend reversal yet, as we should follow the market reaction to the general situation.
Zones of interest within the correction may be several local and several global zones:
Local targets (if bullish): 2762, 2735
Medium-term targets (if trend change is confirmed): 2714, 2689, 2643
Regards R. Linda!
JUNO: Signs of a Trend Reversal? Key Indicators Align!It looks very much as though JUNO is showing promising signs of a trend reversal. What I mean by this is a breach of the upper trend line, which may only be a matter of time. We have a very strong indication from volume with the wonderful large green bars we're seeing, a 'pinch' in the Bollinger bands and a very tiny, but hugely important 'up ward pointing' signal line within the MACD. As always, use many indicators to create a 'cocktail' of methods which adds to the strength of your decision making. Due to low liquidity, I'm not going in. But, take don't fall foul to FOMO here. Just because it's seen a spike, it doesn't mean it's going to break out of the channel and continue up. Good luck. Follow for more.
Gold - This Resistance Decides Everything!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is retesting massive resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
All bullruns will eventually end with a consolidation or a correction but on Gold it is clearly not certain whether this bullrun is actually over or not. We are seeing a lot of indecision price action lately but in order to turn bullish, Gold has to break this resistance.
Levels to watch: $2.700, $2.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOLD → Ahead of ATH. How can price react to resistance?FX:XAUUSD is updating its highs and is gradually approaching ATH. Before the last spurt consolidation or correction may be formed, but chances of reaching ATH are quite high.
Gold price continues its bull run amid uncertainty in Trump's trade policy and expectation of PMI data in the US. Market participants are seeking protection in gold due to global growth fears related to trade conflicts and rate policy. The hawkish stance of the Bank of Japan and dollar weakness also support the metal. However, a pullback is possible on Friday due to profit taking ahead of US GDP data and the Fed decision.
Technically, there is a strong resistance zone at 2790 - istric high ahead. A false break of the resistance may trigger a profit-taking and subsequent correction.
Resistance levels: 2790
Support levels: 2770, 2762, 2750
Before reaching the ATH, the price may form a retest of the support at 2762. But, the main focus is on the historical maximum. The chance of reaching the target is very high, but watch the price reaction to the resistance. False breakdown may provoke a deep correction.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD Wave Analysis 24 January 2025
- GBPUSD broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.2555
GBPUSD currency pair recently broke the resistance zone lying at the intersection of the resistance level 1.2365, resistance trendline of the daily down channel from October and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from December.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active C-wave of the ABC correction (2) from the start of January.
GBPUSD can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.2555 (target price for the completion of the active ABC correction (2)).
Last chance for DNORD at this lvl - 4hI have nothing below, so if this doesn't hold I'd suggest it'll continue to at least 175 DKK. I don't trade harmonic patterns any more and haven't got a clue on their win rate these days, but it is a nice bat pattern too ;)
Haven't got too much trust in this lvl, but I thought I'd share it since there's a decent drop to the next area of interest.
The Wyckoff Accumulation Method. And how it can make you money.Richard Demille Wyckoff (1873–1934) was a trailblazer in the early 20th century, known for his innovative technical methods in stock market analysis. He ranks among the five great figures of technical analysis, alongside Dow, Gann, Elliott, and Merrill. At just 15 years old, he began his career as a stock runner for a brokerage in New York. By his twenties, he had already risen to the position of head of his firm.
Wyckoff was a passionate learner of the markets, deeply engaged in tape reading and trading. He closely monitored the market manoeuvres and strategies of the iconic stock traders of his era, such as JP Morgan and Jesse Livermore. Through his keen observations and discussions with these prominent figures, Wyckoff distilled the most effective practices of Livermore and others into a set of laws, principles, and techniques that shaped his trading methodology, money management strategies, and mental discipline.
Mr. Wyckoff noticed that many retail investors were consistently being taken advantage of. In response, he committed himself to educating the public on “the true rules of the game” as dictated by major players, often referred to as “smart money.” In the 1930s, he established a school that eventually evolved into the Stock Market Institute. The primary focus of the school was a course that combined Wyckoff's insights on recognising the accumulation and distribution strategies of large operators with techniques for aligning one’s investments with these influential entities. His enduring principles remain just as relevant today as they were when he first shared them.
“…all the fluctuations in the market and in all the various stocks should be studied as if they were the result of one man’s operations. Let us call him the Composite Man, who, in theory, sits behind the scenes and manipulates the stocks to your disadvantage if you do not understand the game as he plays it; and to your great profit if you do understand it.” (The Richard D. Wyckoff Course in Stock Market Science and Technique, section 9, p. 1-2)
Wyckoff advised retail traders to try to play the market game as the Composite Man played it. He claimed that it doesn't matter if market moves “are real or artificial; that is, the result of actual buying and selling by the public and bona fide investors or artificial buying and selling by larger operators.”
Wyckoff, drawing from his extensive observations of the market activities of major players, imparted several key insights:
The Composite Man meticulously strategises, implements, and wraps up his market campaigns.
He entices the public to invest in a stock where he has built a significant position by engaging in numerous transactions, effectively promoting his stock and creating the illusion of a “broad market.”
To truly grasp the dynamics at play, one must analyse individual stock charts to discern the behaviour of the stock and the intentions of the large operators who influence it.
With dedicated study and practice, individuals can develop the skill to decode the underlying motives reflected in a chart's movements. Wyckoff and his colleagues believed that by understanding the market behaviour of the Composite Man, traders could spot numerous trading and investment opportunities early enough to capitalise on them.
One goal of the Wyckoff method is to enhance market timing when entering a position by predicting an upcoming movement that offers a favourable reward-to-risk ratio. Trading ranges (TRs) represent areas where the previous trend, whether upward or downward, has paused, creating a relative balance between supply and demand. During these TRs, institutions and large professional players gear up for their next bullish or bearish strategies by either accumulating or distributing shares. In both accumulation and distribution phases within TRs, the Composite Man is actively engaged in buying and selling. The key difference lies in the fact that during accumulation, the volume of shares bought exceeds those sold, whereas in distribution, the opposite occurs. The degree of accumulation or distribution ultimately influences the nature of the subsequent movement out of the TR.
Springs and shakeouts typically happen towards the end of a trading range (TR), providing key players in the stock market an opportunity to thoroughly assess the available supply before initiating a markup phase. A "spring" occurs when the price dips below the lowest point of the TR, only to rebound and close back within the range. This maneuver can create confusion among the public regarding the future direction of the stock, allowing major investors to acquire more shares at lower prices. A terminal shakeout, which takes place at the conclusion of an accumulation TR, is essentially an amplified version of a spring. Additionally, shakeouts can happen even after a price increase has begun, characterized by a swift drop designed to prompt retail traders and long-position investors to sell their shares to larger market players.
To sum up, while there is much more to explore on this topic, Richard D. Wyckoff's
groundbreaking contributions in the early 1900s highlighted that stock price movements are largely influenced by institutional players and significant market operators who often sway prices to their advantage. Although many professional traders incorporate Wyckoff's techniques, his comprehensive approach remains underutilised among retail investors, despite his aim to educate the public on the "true rules of the game." His methods for stock selection and investment have proven resilient over time, thanks to their detailed, systematic, and logical framework for pinpointing high-probability, lucrative trades. This disciplined strategy empowers investors to make rational trading choices, free from emotional bias. By applying Wyckoff's principles, investors can align themselves with the strategies of influential "smart money" players, avoiding the pitfalls of being on the wrong side of market movements. Mastering Wyckoff analysis demands significant practice, but the rewards are undoubtedly worthwhile.
EURO - Price can exit from triangle and rise to $1.0520 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price started to decline in falling channel, where it declined from $1.0420 level to support line.
Then EUR rose a little and then fell lower than $1.0260 level to support line of channel, but soon bounced up.
After this, Euro broke $1.0260 level again and exited from channel, after which started to trades inside flat.
In flat, price some time traded and later made an upward impulse to $1.0420 level, exiting from flat and entering to triangle.
In triangle pattern, Euro made a correction to support line, but soon backed up and now trades near support area.
So, in my opinion, Euro can decline to support area, exit from triangle, and then start to move up to $1.0520
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Reversal for Gold?Price is printing a high timeframe trendline touch today ( 22.1.25 )
Price on the lower timefram have been trading in a rising channel since december 30th.
Price have broken out from the lower timefram channel now into a 3rd touch of a higher timeframe trendline.
If price now falls into the lower timeframe channel i will use that as validation for this thesis.
Reasoning for using the lower timeframe upper channel TL is becuase it has 4 datapoints and looks to be in play.
Entry: I will wait for price to fall into the channel then go short with my SL placed above a recent high.
EURUSD Roadmap==>>Short-term!!!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is moving near the Support zone($1.039-$1.033) and inside the Ascending Channel .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has succeeded in completing the main wave 3 above the ascending channel and is currently completing the main wave 4 .
I expect EURUSD to attack the Resistance zone($1.052-$1.044) again soon, and the main wave 5 could end in this zone.
What do you think? Will EURUSD break the support zone or bounce back to test the resistance zone?
Note: If EURUSD can break the Support zone($1.039-$1.033), the lower line of the ascending channel, and 100_SMA(4-hour) , we should expect a further decline of this pair.
Note: Donald Trump's speech and the announcement of the Unemployment Claims index can affect the EURUSD trend(Tomorrow).
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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GBPJPY → The CBJ has raised rates. What's in store for the pair?FX:GBPJPY experienced an attempt to break through resistance and rise, but failed to realize the intention as traders do not believe in bullish movement due to the actions of the Central Bank of Japan
The Central Bank of Japan raised the rate by 0.25% to the highest since 2008. The bank sees accelerating inflation, a slowing economy and is likely to raise the rate further if inflation continues to rise.
Fundamentally, the situation may trigger a fall in the currency pair, but it may be restrained due to the Pound's strength against the Dollar. Nevertheless, I assess the situation regarding a false break of resistance from the technical part, and from the fundamental part from the Japanese action, as they are targeting the medium term.
Resistance levels: 193.00
Support levels: 192.00, 190.55
Another attempt to retest resistance before a further drop is possible. Traders are starting to build up longs on the Yen, which may lead to a bearish correction of the currency pair.
Regards R. Linda!
EURAUD complex structure, high chance for bearish push and break
OANDA:EURAUD analysis, complex structure which i love to see, price is break trend lines, its in ASCENDING CHANNEL, bouncing and on line of BEARISH FLAG pattern, currently moving in zone, AUD with many having strong bullish expectations for next periods.
Here having strong bearish expectations after long time of bullish push.
SUP zone: 1.67200
RES zone: 1.64900, 1.64200, 1.63200
S&P500 - Preparing For The Final Bullrun!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is still heading higher:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Although the S&P500 has been creating new all time highs for the past couple of months, charts are clearly telling us that this bullrun is not over yet. We already saw two textbook cycles of +90% each and during 2025, we will see the completion of the third and final bullrun.
Levels to watch: $7.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold: Potential Correction After Testing Key Resistance Levelshello guys!
Key Resistance Zone: The price has reacted strongly at this confluence of resistance, signaling the potential exhaustion of the recent bullish momentum.
Correction Scenario: A pullback to the breakout (BO) level, represented by the blue area, appears likely as the price consolidates below the resistance. This region could provide a strong support level, potentially around $2,710-$2,730.
Channel Dynamics: The price is still within an ascending channel, suggesting that a retracement would be corrective rather than a trend reversal. The lower bounds of the blue area or the midline of the channel could serve as dynamic support.
Confirmation Needed: If the price fails to hold above the BO level (blue area), the next support targets would lie near $2,678 (Fibonacci retracement zone), which aligns with the prior market structure.
__________________________
Strategy for Traders:
For Shorts: Short-term traders can look for rejection signals at the current resistance, targeting the BO level for potential profit-taking.
GOLD - Price can make move up and then fall to support areaHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price broke $2640 level and then declined a little, after which turned around and started to grow inside channel.
In channel, price reached support area and then bounced to support line of channel, and then rose higher than $2640 level, breaking it.
Next, Gold corrected and then continued to grow to resistance line of channel, after which made a small correction again.
Price rose to $2720 level, broke it, and madea retest, after which it soon exited from rising channel as well.
After this movement, Gold rose a little higher and then started to decline, so, now I think it can rise a little.
Then Gold can continue to decline to $2710, which is located in support area.
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