FIL/USDT Short Setup on Rising Channel BreakdownThis chart showcases a short position on FIL/USDT after a breakdown from a rising channel pattern. The price respected the upper and lower boundaries of the channel before breaking below the support, signaling a potential bearish continuation.
Key Levels
Entry Price: Around 5.39 (near the channel breakdown point)
Stop Loss: Set at 5.59 (above recent resistance)
Take Profit Target: Approximately 4.73 (aligned with prior support and pattern projection)
Technical Insights
Rising Channel Pattern: Generally bearish when a breakdown occurs, indicating a loss of bullish momentum.
Bearish Confirmation: A strong downside move with momentum below the lower trendline enhances the validity of this setup.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The setup offers a good R:R, making it an efficient short trade opportunity if market conditions align.
Traders can watch for further confirmation, such as volume spikes or retests of broken support levels acting as resistance, before adding to their positions.
Parallel Channel
Bitcoin - Why is everyone wrong about the upcoming moveEveryone is turning very bullish again on BTC and altcoins. I really don't think it will be that easy; the whales need liquidity and make money before pushing the price higher. From a technical perspective, there is no confirmation of an uptrend, but let's take a look at the details.
First of all, let's take a look at the huge ascending channel. The price respects both trendlines very precisely. On 17. December, Bitcoin hit the top of the channel and got rejected from it. It would definitely make sense if the price now retests the middle of the channel, which is currently at around 85k.
Second, we still have a completely unfilled and untested FVG (Fair Value GAP) on the daily chart. This GAP is between 85k and 77k. This price action should be tested.
Third, we have a pretty significant head-and-shoulders reversal pattern at the top of the trend. This pattern looks pretty solid, there is a lot of liquidity below it. All stop losses from traders and liquidations on the futures market. If you see multiple swing lows next to each other, you may be pretty sure that the price will go here and sweep the liquidity.
Fourth, from the Elliott Wave perspective, we have finished wave (3) of an impulse wave larger degree. We should make an ABC correction, so I think we are in wave (4). After we finish this correction, we start wave (5). This will bring the price of Bitcoin to an all-time high. I expect Bitcoin to hit around 125k.
Fifth, let's take a look at the RSI indicator. On the daily chart, there is clearly a downtrend. The line makes lower lows and lower highs. Also, we can see a bearish divergence. This is not an uptrend, but a downtrend.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
GBPCAD - Now Follow the Bulls!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per our last GBPCAD analysis, attached on the chart, it rejected the red circle and traded lower.
What's next?
📈 GBPCAD is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, the blue zone is a strong demand.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the blue demand and lower orange trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPCAD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GBPCAD - Follow the Bears!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GBPCAD has been bearish trading within the falling channel in orange.
Currently, GBPCAD is approaching the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the red zone is a strong supply and structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the red supply and upper orange trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPCAD is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Parallel Channel hourly candles suggests Nifty is delicate zone.Parallel Channel of Nifty suggest that we are in delicate zone with shadow of the candle being positive. Nifty has thrice taken support on the channel bottom as you can see in the chart. A strong support zone for Nifty is seeing strong buying emerging near the channel bottom. This strong support zone is between 23509 and 23263.
The Three important resistances however are not allowing Nifty to grow further. These 3 resistance are:
1) Mother line resistance near 23775.
2) Father and trend line combine resistance near 24010.
3) Third important resistance for Nifty to conquer will be near 24288 which is the mid channel resistance.
When we will get a closing above 24288 the Bull can breath a little easy and try and push Nifty upwards towards 24510, 24779 or even above 25K.
The zone between 25033 and 25200 will again be a tough zone to conquer as the Nifty will again hit the top of the parallel channel.
Conclusion: All is good till we do not get a closing below 23K levels. Below 23K levels weekly closing Bears will have position to overpower the market and drag Nifty further down. For long term investors this is good opportunity to invest big go long and hold on.
Today ONGC, Reliance, ITC, Asian Paints, Dr Reddy, Wipro and TCS are the few large cap stocks which saw buying.
The laggards for Nifty today were Apollo Hospitals, Trent, Shriram Finance, Bajaj Auto, ultratech and few other Large cap stocks.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Will BTC Dive to $88K ? Bitcoin Breakdown Alert & Bearish SetupBitcoin has broken down from a well formed rising channel, signaling a potential bearish continuation. The heavy rejection near the $100,000 psychological level followed by a drop to $96,000 indicates strong selling pressure. The price is now trading below a key support-turned-resistance at $97,200.
Key Levels
Resistance Zone: $97,200
Current Price: $96,498
First Support Target: $90,000 - $91,000
Final Support Target: $88,400
Technical Insights
1. Rising Channel Breakdown
The price broke below the lower trendline, suggesting a bearish reversal. Rising channels often precede significant downside moves.
2. Failed Support Retest Possibility
There is a likelihood of a retest of the $97,200 resistance zone before continuing the downward movement. This can provide a new shorting opportunity.
3. Bearish Momentum Indicators
The recent high-volume sell-off reflects weakening market sentiment. Additional rejection near resistance would increase the probability of testing lower levels.
4. Market Instability
The current instability points to further downside risks, particularly if global macroeconomic factors or crypto market sentiment do not improve.
Potential Trade Idea
Entry (Short): Near $97,000 $97,200 on a retest
Stop Loss: Above $98,000 to minimize risk
Target 1: $91,000
Target 2: $88,400
This trade offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio if the retest scenario plays out. Traders should monitor volume and any bullish reversals cautiously.
Bitcoin appears poised for further downside movement, with key levels to watch closely. Market participants should remain vigilant as volatility may increase in the coming days.
EURO - Price can fall to support line of channel and bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price declined inside wedge, where it broke $1.0770 level and declined to $1.0335 level.
Then price turned around and bounced up, making a gap and exited from wedge, after which continued to fall in channel.
Inside falling channel, Euro rose to resistance line first and then bounced and dropped to $1.0335 level.
After this movement, price some time traded near this level inside resistance area and even later fell to support line of channel.
Euro tried to back, but when it entered to resistance area, it at once turned around and fell back.
Now, I think that Euro can fall to support line of channel and then bounce up to $1.0450, breaking resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
GOLD - Price can rise a little and then start to declineHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price declined inside falling channel, where it fell to support line and then rose to resistance line.
Then Gold fell to $2615 support level, after which made a strong upward impulse, thereby exiting from channel.
Also later, price broke $2665 level and then rose to $2726 points, after which started to trades in triangle.
In this pattern, price dropped to support line, breaking $2665 with $2615 levels and then trading between $2615 level.
Later Gold finally broke $2615 level and rose to resistance line of triangle, after which made correction.
Now, I think that price can rise to almost resistance line of triangle and then start to decline to $2615 level.
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Euro can break support level and drop to 1.0240 points in wedgeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. By observing the chart, we can see that the price a few moments ago declined inside the downward channel, where it broke the 1.0485 level, which coincided with the seller zone. Then price exited from the channel and continued to fall in a broadening wedge, and later reached a support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Euro some time traded near and then started to grow to a resistance line of wedge. When the price reached this line, it turned around and started to decline. So, in a short time, the EUR declined to the 1.0345 support level, broke it, and declined to support line of the broadening wedge. But a not long time ago it turned around and rose to support level back. Also recently, the Euro broke this level and now trades very close, so, in my mind, the price can rise a little more, after which starts to decline. Firstly price can decline to the support level, break it, and make a retest, or at once continue to decline without retesting inside the broadening wedge. For this case, I set my TP at 1.0240 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURCAD: Bearish Outlook Explained 🇪🇺🇨🇦
EURCAD formed 2 bearish patterns on a daily:
first, the price violated a support line of a rising parallel channel,
a neckline of a double top formation was violated then.
It indicates a strong bearish pressure on the market.
The market may reach 1.475 support soon.
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BTC → Consolidation Before The Breakout When Do We Go Up?BINANCE:BNBUSDT continues to consolidate, but within a strong bullish structure. The price is approaching the trigger, the breakout of which may provoke the formation of an upward impulse
A good signal that hints that the growth is likely to continue is the fact that after a strong growth and testing 100K the price does not fall, but consolidates with gradually rising local lows, it is also worth paying attention to MA-50, which acts as a strong support. Within this consolidation we have clear zones, within which the price is trading and accumulating potential, and there is also a clear trigger, the breakout of which can provoke the continuation of growth (distribution).
But next week is the Fed meeting on December 17-18, and there may be short-term market manipulative reactions. Be careful
Resistance levels: 101.8K, 104.1K
Support levels: 98.9K, 94.15K
Technically, the focus is on 101.8 - 98.9. Consolidation is forming inside this channel. I do not exclude a chance of support retest in the format of a false breakdown before further growth. Another deep correction to the lower liquidity zone - 94.1K is also possible. But until the price breaks 101.8, bitcoin will not go up, and based on the chart, the event is close and the chance is high
$NYSE:QBTS Forming Ascending ChannelNYSE:QBTS appears to be forming an ascending channel with momentum. Note the William %R is climbing with higher lows.
The play for this is to purchase as it's bouncing off the support line (lower green)
Sell signal - The channel breaks down if the support line is pierced - meaning the stock closes below the green support line.
Breakout signal - The channel shows a breakout when the resistance line (red) is pierced - stock closes above the red resistance line.
"BTCUSDT Alert: Short Signal Activated at the Hunt Level!"BINANCE:BTCUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bulls or Bears ----> Quick help: look at Negan's bat!
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 1x-2x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
(If there is just one SL on the chart, I suggest, low risk status)
As you can see, Bitcoin (BTC) is currently forming a repetitive pattern. 📈 When the price pulls back to the identified resistance level, we can expect another bearish move, which could potentially drive the price down toward the 92K level. 📉
If the price drops below 92K, we may see a more significant decline into the 88K-84K range, possibly accompanied by a long shadow in a recent candle pattern. 🔍
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
96,779
95,247
93,254
🔴SL:
101,826
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
GOLD → Price buyback, local bull characterFX:XAUUSD is in a narrow channel, in consolidation, which complicates intraday movement, but nevertheless traders have a chance for possible growth. There is a lot of important news ahead that may give traders a chance.
Despite the strong intraday movement in gold, we can say that the price is standing still in the range of 2600 - 2660. Quite a difficult place for the price due to the huge density of volumes, levels, tails... Traders are refraining from new directional bets ahead of the release of crucial data on ISM Services PMI and JOLTS job openings in the US.
After a strong fall the price was bought back and returned to resistance 2648 - 2650, most likely further struggle will be for this area. The falling dollar broke the support line, thus giving an advantage to gold.
Gold and the dollar are already starting to feel Trump's power and are reacting to his statements as quickly as they did during the last period of his presidency....
Resistance levels: 2649, 2664, 2674
Support levels: 2632, 2610
Until the price leaves the channel 2600 - 2665, most of the movements will not be very clean (nature of price movement inside consolidation). At the moment the emphasis is on 2649. If the bulls will keep the defense above this zone, then in the short term the price may show growth to the local maximum
Regards R. Linda!
SFM to $142My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when price tags the top or bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at bottom of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
VBSM is negative and at bottom of Bollinger Band
Entry at $100131.5
Target is $142 or channel top
Fibonacci Support & Resistances for Nifty (Medium term outlook).Important Fibonacci support for Nifty drawn on daily line chart of Nifty is at 23349. Below 23349 closing bears can have a field day and can create havoc but that looks less likely as of now. The closing today is 23207 which is just above 200 days EMA or the father line which is a good sign. Father line was at 23700. On the upside the Fibonacci resistance for Nifty seem to be at 23902, 24170 (Important Mother line Resistance) 24236, 24467, 24780 and finally Fibonacci Golden ratio from the current levels is at 25185. It will take some doing from the Bulls to close above this level. This presents the medium time frame outlook for the Nifty.
RSI indicator also seems to have taken an upward swing but mid level is yet to be crossed for that indicator.
MACD indicator suggests that Moving averages are fighting hard to converge and bring back some bullish momentum into the market to infuse some life into the Bull who are trying to come out of comma.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
ACT/USDT Descending Channel Breakout The chart highlights a bullish Descending Channel pattern, signaling a potential upward breakout. The price is consolidating near the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting strong momentum buildup. A 4-hour candle close above the trendline would confirm the breakout, triggering a potential rally.
Key Observations
A well-defined descending channel indicates a bullish reversal setup.
The current price near $0.43 is poised for a breakout with strong momentum.
Target for the move lies at $0.60, aligning with prior resistance levels.
Strategic Implications
Wait for a confirmed 4-hour candle close above the upper trendline for long entries. A retest near the $0.40 support zone could offer a favorable risk-reward entry. Utilize proper stop-loss levels to mitigate risks and avoid false breakouts.
XRP → Consolidation before the breakout and rally ↑BINANCE:XRPUSDT has been in consolidation for a little over a month after a strong rally and this is a good sign indicating that there is still strength in the market. And as we know, consolidation at some point turns into distribution
The symmetrical triangle in our case has the character of a consolidation pattern, the purpose of which is the continuation of the trend. Buyers are aggressively defending the support zone, forming a cascade of levels. But more remarkable concerning the pattern is the consolidation 2.5 - 2.337, which is formed near the triangle resistance. Consequently, we can assume that the market is accumulating strength to break the resistance.
Fundamentally, the project has very good prospects after a long and protracted winter. Trump's victory and the changes provoked by him have a favorable impact on Ripple.
Resistance levels: 2.5, 2.73, 3.05
Support levels: 2.337, 2.2, 2.00
Accordingly, the realization phase will start after breaking the resistance of 2.5. Thus, we can assume that the exit from the accumulation will be upward, which can also be helped by a bullish and growing bitcoin.
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Consolidating before an important eventBINANCE:BTCUSD is consolidating between 99.5K and 91.8K as traders await action from politicians and Trump's inauguration as the main driver behind the rally.
Fundamentally, things are still good. Trump promised a lot of positive actions towards bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market in general, but at the moment the main issue is the inclusion of bitcoin on the balance of the federal reserve. But everything depends more on the realization of the promises, if the community does not get what they were promised, a correction may be triggered.
Technically bitcoin looks very strong. After a strong rally, there is no hint of a possible fall or deep correction, which means that someone is keeping the price in the specified range. Until important events, the price can still stand still, in the range between 100K and 90K.
As for altcoins, they are getting a chance as bitcoin dominance continues to decline after the trendline break. A capital move could spark a rally in strong altcoins in the near term.
Resistance levels: 99.5K, 102.5K, 103.5K
Support levels: 95K, 91.7K
Since the price is in neutral and trading between strong levels, I prioritize a false breakdown of resistance and correction inside the channel. Then further reaction may give hints. If there will be no fall and the price starts to consolidate in the resistance area, then we will have a chance to rise to 102-103K
Regards R. Linda!
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis 6 January 2025
- Nasdaq-100 reversed up from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 21855.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently reversed up from the support zone located at the intersection of the support level 20820.00 (low of the previous minor correction 2), support trendline of the daily up channel from September, 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from October and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Morning Star, which has the daily Hammer as its middle candle.
Given the clear daily uptrend, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 21855.00 (which formed the daily Evening Star last month).