XOM to 108My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when price tags the top or bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at bottom of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
VBSM is negative and at bottom of Bollinger Band
Price at or near 3.618 Fibonacci level
Entry at $105
Target is $108 or channel top
Parallel Channel
TSN to $61My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when price tags the top or bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at bottom of channels (period 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
VBSM is negative and at bottom of Bollinger Band
Entry at $58.37
Target is $61 or channel top
VLO to $124My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when price tags the top or bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at bottom of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
VBSM is negative and at bottom of Bollinger Band
Price near 1.618 Fibonacci level
Entry at $118.75
Target is $124 or channel top
AAPL near top around $243, pullback to $234MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at or near top of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level
VBSM is spiking positive
Price at or near 2.618 Fibonacci level
Buying puts or NASDAQ:AAPD when price reaches or exceeds $242
NASDAQ:AAPL downside target would be $234 or channel bottom
Looking for a pullbackMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price above channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level
VBSM is spiked positive
Price at or near 2.618 Fibonacci level
In at $477
Target is $352 or channel bottom
SOL situationCOINBASE:SOLUSD
It has currently reached the ceiling of its descending channel, which can grow to the following levels as a mineral step if it breaks the ceiling of the channel and the resistance of $210:
230, 245, 264
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SPY to $650 in January?SPY recently retraced to the bottom of our Magic Linear Regression Channel with a large 3%+ move. Today, there was a nice bounce bounce from the channel bottom, back up to yesterday's open. So, what's next for SPY. The Magic Linear Regression Channel shows upside potential to it's baseline back at its recent all-time highs, and the potential for a higher move to the $630-$650 range. However, there is also the potential for it to fall back through the channel. Since we've been in a bull market for awhile now, that channel break would have to happen more definitively in order for that to be a likely scenario.
We've recently introduced the Magic Candles PRO indicator, which shows high volume candles that have very little price movement. When paired with the Magic Linear Regression Channel on a 1 day chart, it tends to show reversals at key levels on the Magic Linear Regression Channel. However, because we had a large move down on Weds, Dec. 17th 2024, and a large move up on Friday, Dec. 20th 2024 and ended up at the open of Thurs., Dec. 18th 2024, we get a doji on the 2 day chart that shows a massive "volume hammer" signal not seen since 2019, 5 years ago.
This signals that we are on the verge of a large sustained move. Again, because we've been in a bull market, and there aren't any very strong signs that it is over, we suspect that the large sustained move will be to the upside, because of the signal. If the price breaks down out of the channel, then we'll be in for a nice downward ride. Until that happens, though, we're bullish as we approach the all-time high again, and all the way to the $630-$650 range.
Correction or no correction?Since the end of 2017, the Bitcoin has been moving in a healthy channel up to this day, touching the upper trendline of the channel twice as often as the lower one, while nicely reacting to the Fibonacci levels of the channel. Currently, it is still moving within this practically all-time bullish channel. However, as a result of the Trump-jump, it has now reached the upper trendline of the channel for the fourth time.
It is very important to understand that this channel is essentially BTC’s main channel of all time. While the breakout prediction for this bullish channel would theoretically be bearish, such an event would be, to put it mildly, an epic occurrence in BTC's history. We've seen similar moves in BTC's past—for example, the cup and handle formation, which developed over three years, with the “handle” portion essentially formed throughout most of 2024. Similarly, a characteristic of this main channel was the double top structure in 2021, which established the lower boundary of the channel and had notable head and shoulders formations at its peaks.
Why is all this important for the period ahead?
As I mentioned, we are currently rebounding from the upper line of the main channel since December 2024. By now, everyone has come across the dreaded "correction expectation." And not without reason. The question is whether the current movement is a normal small-structured channel movement or part of the almost expected correction? Perhaps both at the same time. It’s well-known that movements within larger channel structures also exhibit fractal-like channel behavior—smaller channels of various directions form complex larger channels.
On BTC's higher timeframe chart, it’s evident that we reached the upper line of the main channel within another channel, the parent structure of which was the channel lasting from March to November 2024, from which BTC broke out healthily. Currently, BTC is moving within this smaller channel and seems to be heading toward its lower trendline, approximately below the 90,000 level. Things become interesting when this lower line is reached since this subchannel is also a bullish channel with a 78% bearish breakout projection. Should BTC break out from this, we would be witnessing a long-overdue correction in BTC's history, with the Fibonacci levels of the main channel determining the extent of the correction.
Considering the history of the main channel in terms of Fibonacci levels, there’s no guarantee that the 61.8% level or the median will hold. I won't put more energy into this scenario—let’s bite our nails when it happens. 😊
More likely scenario:
In my opinion, a more probable and fundamentally sound scenario is that BTC remains in the subchannel. With January 19 approaching, it could head toward both the lower line and the upper line of the main channel, targeting the 110,000 level.
Either way, we’re in for an exciting January! For those getting too anxious, remember the words of Virginia Viadura: "Don’t worry kid, they’ll store it!"
S&P500 - The Next 14 Days Will Decide Everything!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is about to break all resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of weeks, the S&P500 has been repeating the major breakout rally of 2021. Back then the S&P500 actually broke above the channel resistance and immediately rallied more than +15%. If we see the confirmed breakout, we will likely see the same thing happening again.
Levels to watch: $6.000, $7.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Interesting Setup on XTZ!!!Hey guys, Merry XMas!
Spotted this interesting trade setup on XTZ.
If we can manage to break the top of the channel, I'll look for an entry after the retest at around $1.45, and making sure we get above that resistance line.
If we move towards the bottom of the channel, then I'll look for entry points in the purple box that coincide with the bottom of the channel. Maybe the $1.00 price point.
BTC Bullish IdeaBTC has dropped from a high of $108K down to the $94K level. After this significant move, it appears we might have found some support around $94K. A bullish close on the 4-hour candle could signal the start of a potential reversal.
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #Support #Reversal #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading
USOIL:Latest trading opportunities.
USOIL: The current position is around 71.2. According to the quotation of tradingbiew.
From a macro analysis, as a strategic reserve, the rise of oil is inevitable. From the perspective of long-term trading, buying is feasible. Short-term observation. "Whether OPEC+ will cut production" is an important factor in the upward trend of oil prices. From the perspective of short-term trends, buying is still feasible. In the short term, we need to pay attention to the price around 73.5. Because there is a major support below. If you can accept a price fluctuation of 20 points, then there is room for profit in buying. Stop loss and take profit are ±2 respectively. The current price is 71.2. Remember to take profit in time after making a profit.
TVC:USOIL FX:USOIL
Interesting Setup on XTZ!!!Hey guys, Merry XMas!
Spotted this interesting trade setup on XTZ.
If we can manage to break the top of the channel, I'll look for an entry after the retest at around $1.45, and making sure we get above that resistance line.
If we move towards the bottom of the channel, then I'll look for entry points in the purple box that coincide with the bottom of the channel. Maybe the $1.00 price point.
Is a Pullback Coming?The S&P 500 has advanced steadily since late 2023, but now some traders may expect a pause or pullback.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the December 20 low of 5,832 -- slightly below the mid-November trough. That contrasts with the previous bounce, which featured a higher low.
Next is last week’s zenith below 6,050 -- also shy of the December 6 record.
In other words, the index made a lower low and now a lower high. That could mark a disruption of its uptrend. It also creates a potential falling channel.
Second, prices tested but never closed below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) in early November. This month, on the other hand, they broke the SMA before bouncing. They’ve also returned to the line more quickly (and without making a new record high). Is the intermediate-term trend fading?
Third, shorter-term signals may have turned bearish. MACD is falling and the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has dipped below the 21-day EMA. (See our 2 MA Ratio custom script in the lower study.)
Finally, the S&P 500 has gone more than a year without a full 10 percent correction. Investors looking for such a pullback may expect a move toward 5,500 based on the recent high.
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Bitcoin Post-Halving Shockwave: Why 2025 Could Still See a Mega Now that the much-anticipated 2024 halving is in the rearview, the big question is: Will Bitcoin continue its explosive post-halving trend? My long-term chart analysis suggests that BTC remains on track for a powerful rally—if certain key support zones hold and historical patterns play out. Here’s what I’m seeing:
Post-Halving Volatility
We’ve already witnessed a surge in volatility around the 2024 halving date (which occurred earlier this year). Historically, halvings have often propelled multi-month bull markets, though they don’t always ignite immediately. Keep an eye on the next few quarters for signs of a prolonged uptrend.
Mature Ascending Channel Since 2017
The broad rising channel (outlined on the chart) has been a reliable guidepost. Multiple touchpoints along its upper and lower boundaries highlight how BTC has respected this structure for years. As long as price remains within this channel, the long-term bullish bias stays intact.
Critical Support Zones (S1, S2, S3)
I’ve identified major horizontal levels where strong buying pressure has historically emerged. If the market corrects from current levels, these supports could offer prime “buy the dip” opportunities—or serve as warnings if they fail to hold.
2025 Outlook
If previous cycles are any indication, we may see a continued grind upwards heading into 2025. Bitcoin’s supply dynamics, combined with growing institutional interest, support the potential for a high-volatility, high-upside environment. However, it’s essential to stay flexible and keep tabs on macro factors.
Bottom Line: The halving has come and gone, but its after-effects may just be warming up. Whether you’re bullish or bearish, always back your technical analysis with robust risk management. What are your thoughts on Bitcoin’s post-halving trajectory? Let me know in the comments below!
Bitcoin can exit from pennant and then start to grow to 103KHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price started to trades inside the pennant, where it rebounded from the support line and rose almost to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. In the pennant pattern, BTC started to grow inside the upward channel, where it broke the 92600 level and then rose to the channel's resistance line, after which made a correction. Next, the price continued to grow and later rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and then made a correction movement to the buyer zone. After this, the price continued to move up inside the channel, where it soon reached the 103000 resistance level and broke it. Next, BTC reached the channel's resistance line, which coincided with the resistance line of the pennant, and made a strong impulse down to the support line of the pennant, exiting from the channel and breaking the resistance level. After this movement, the price turned around and started to grow near the support line of the pennant and now I think that BTC can exit from the pennant and fall to the support level. Then it will turn around and start to grow to a 103000 resistance level, which is my TP. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GBPAUD - Corrective structure in developmentGBPAUD is forming a corrective structure within the HTF to indicate the next bearish move down. On the LTF we can see the developing structure is awaiting a 3rd touch to complete this bearish pattern.
I will look for an entry only if we get a reversal impulse followed by a LTF correction with targets to the previous swing lows.