GOLD (XAUUSD): More Growth is Coming?!
Today's Powell Speech has a very limited impact on Gold.
Since early morning, the market turned bullish and
successfully violated a resistance line of a horizontal range on a 4H time frame.
The market may keep growing now.
Next resistance - 2390
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Parallel Channel
CLSK ranges CLSK continues to range in the general area between 15.5 and 19.5. With BTC rejecting further bearishness for now we look for upside. My strategy for this dump has been to sell 15.5$ and 15$ puts on a weekly basis for premium. I plan to exit the trade at 80+% profit today or tomorrow to capture more Theta decay. Hopefully CLSK will bounce a decent amount above 15.5$ today, if not I will take assignment on these if the premium does not change enough in my favor. I will then sell covered calls as BTC heats up.
-Remember this is a daily chart, these things take a few candles to play out, these are not immediate
Bitcoin can reach resistance area and then start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time traded in the seller zone and then broke the 63800 level, after which fell to the current resistance level. After this, the price started to trades inside the range, where it rebounded from the 59100 level and in a short time rose to the 63800 level, but then it turned around and started to decline. The price quickly fell to the current resistance level, broke it, thereby exiting from the range also, and continued to fall. When BTC declined to 53500 points, it turned around and started to grow inside the upward channel, where it in a short time rose to the resistance line of the channel. After this movement, the price rebounded and made a correction to the support line, after which BTC bounced and recently rose almost to the resistance area, which coincided with the current resistance level. In my opinion, the price can reach the resistance area, after which Bitcoin will turn around and start to decline to support line of the channel. For this case, I set my TP at 54750 points, which coincided with this line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURGBP: Bearish Move From Resistance 🇪🇺🇬🇧
As we discussed on a live stream,
EURGBP may drop from a solid horizontal resistance.
Bearish breakout of the support line of a tiny intraday range
on an hourly time frame is our strong bearish confirmation.
The price may reach 0.8446 level soon.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Technical Outlook Explained
Gold is currently consolidating within a narrow horizontal range on a 4H time frame.
The reaction of the market to Powell speech was very limited and the price did not
manage to initiate an impulsive movement.
If you are looking for a bullish confirmation,
I suggest waiting for a bullish breakout of an upper boundary of the range.
A 4h candle close above 2371 will confirm a violation.
A bullish continuation will be anticipated at least to 2390.
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of the support of the range
will trigger a further bearish continuation lower to 2338 support.
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Bitcoin - 42k soon! (Fibonacci channel, roadmap)Why am I bearish on BTC?
With all the crypto regulations around the world and, recently, banning stable coins in Europe + high transaction fees - crypto is losing its popularity, and people are starting to hate crypto. Which means no one wants to use it, and where there is no use, there is no money. Maybe crypto is not as good a technology as presented by banks.
Crypto has been a huge disappointment for all investors in recent years. Ask yourself a question: Are you happy with your crypto holdings or not? Wasn't it better to put your money into NVIDIA? Nvidia made 10x in only a 2-year period. And this is a big stock, not a penny stock.
Bitcoin hit an all-time high in March and failed to continue the price discovery. Bitcoin was not strong enough to continue in the bull market, and instead, we saw a liquidity sweep, and it is currently experiencing a 27% crash from its peak.
Bitcoin failed to sustain the black ascending channel (that you can see on the chart). What we want to see is a breakout above an ascending channel, then a retest of it, and then a continuation of the bull run. In Bitcoin's case, we did have a retest of the black channel in April, but recently the price went back to the channel, which is a strong sign of weakness.
We have completed the Elliott wave impulse wave (12345). Waves 2 and 4 have both around 20% retracement.
Bitcoin is definitely heading towards the 42k level. Why is this level so important? We need to take a look at the chart and draw a Fibonacci parallel channel. Always use significant points to draw it, such as the major swing high or peak of a bull market.
In our case, we use the most important points: bull market peak (2021), bear market bottom (2022), and bull market peak (2024). We have a very nice-looking Fibonacci channel, and now we need to look for important levels. I always recommend using 0.618, 0.5, and 0.382. We also have 0.764 and 0.236, but these levels in general have a lower success bounce rate. 0.5 is not a Fibonacci number, but it's the middle of the ascending channel, which is logically a very strong dynamic level. The first major support is at 0.382 (around 42k) because we also have a POC (point of control) of the volume profile.
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EURO - Price can reach resistance line and then start to fallHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price started to decline inside falling channel, where it fell to $1.0685 level and at once bounced up.
Then price reached resistance line, after which made correction and then made upward impulse.
Price exited from channel, formed first gap, and continued to grow inside wedge, where it firstly fell to support line.
After this, price rose almost to $1.0805 level, making a second gap and soon broke this level and continued to grow.
Also, price made third gap and now continues to move up, so, in my mind, Euro can reach resistance line.
Next, price can make impulse down to $1.0790, exiting from wedge and breaking support level.
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Fib & Channel Based Projection
I've incorporated Fibonacci levels and channel analysis into the fundamental market view of my previous idea . The conclusion remains the same: a minor upside to the 0.786 level or the upper edge of the channel here. The target zone is highlighted in an aqua-colored diamond. This is an experiment, but it's important to note that this isn't arbitrary curve fitting. If this analysis proves valid, I could apply the same method next time.
HelenP. I Gold can correct to support level and then rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. A not long time ago price declined to support 2, which coincided with a support zone, and then at once rebounded up to support 1, which coincided with one more support zone. After this movement, the price turned around and made impulse down to support 2 and even lower than this level, thereby breaking it. Also, the price reached the trend line and then started to grow in an upward channel, where it broke support 2 one more time and later reached the resistance line of the channel. After this movement, the price made correction to the support line of the channel, which is the trend line also, and then rebounded up almost to support 1, thereby exiting from the channel. Later XAUUSD broke this level and continued to rise, until it reached 2392 points, after which it made a correction movement to one more support zone. Now, price trades near this area and I expect that XAUUSD will fall to the support level and then rebound up, therefore I set my goal at 2400 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EURCAD: Important Demand Zone 🇪🇺🇨🇦
Take a look at an expanding demand zone on EURCAD.
The underlined blue area is based on a recently broken
neckline of a head and shoulders pattern and a trend line of falling channel.
I believe that the next bullish wave may initiate from there.
Next goal - 1.483
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Very Bearish Signal USOIL is currently in a long-term uptrend within a rising channel pattern.
Following a failed attempt to break through the 84.30 resistance level, the market has entered a consolidation phase.
The price has broken below both the range support and the parallel channel support, indicating a potential shift towards a minor downtrend.
I anticipate a bearish continuation towards the 81.18/80.98 levels.
For potential entry points, look for a retest of the broken trend support.
USDCHF - Follow The Trend!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 USDCHF has been overall bearish, trading within the falling wedge in red.
Currently, USDCHF is hovering around the upper bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is retesting a resistance zone marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the green resistance and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDCHF approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
EURGBP: Price Action Analysis & Bearish OutlookThe 📉EURGBP currency pair has formed two bearish patterns, indicating a potential downturn.
Initially, the price was trading within a rising channel, followed by the formation of a cup and handle pattern within that channel.
Last Friday, the price broke below both the pattern's neckline and the channel's support line, suggesting a bearish continuation. I anticipate a decline to 0.8428.
Potential LTF Bullish Dragon PatternAlthough the probability is low when the price must move against the upper time frame trend, an LTF Bullish Dragon Pattern is potentially forming. Look at the 1H chart. If the current low holds, a rebound may be up to the red box. If not, 51.9k will be the last line of defense.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Accumulation is Over!
Gold was consolidating within a range on a daily since the end of May.
The release of the Friday's fundamentals made the market very bullish
and the price successfully violated the upper boundary of the range.
Such a violation opens a potential for a further bullish continuation.
Next resistance - 2425
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FTMUSDT long Spot TradeFTMUSDT Elliott Wave Technical Analysis
Mode: impulse
Position: Wave (4)
Direction: Wave (4) is still in play
Details: Wave (4) is still in play which I expected to be end around 0.81-0.74 which will be my entry point.
Next Direction: Wave (5)
Target : the area between 1.41-1.48 with 80% profit
Wave Cancel invalid level: Daily closing below 5.6 with 30% loss, it is a little big stop loss, but FTM proved that it was not greatly affected by the declines of Bitcoin in the past months, which gives it high reliability, in my opinion
Disclaimer:
This analysis is intended for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.
EURUSD → The bulls are coming back. Trend change. Target 1.1FX:EURUSD is breaking the downtrend pattern on a smooth change of fundamental background. Traders are selling off the dollar, which is favorable for the euro.
A local bullish pattern is forming on D1 on the background of the global downtrend. Strong fundamental background is favorable for the strengthening of the currency pair.
On H4, the price is correcting after updating the local maximum and consolidates above the level formed by the gap. Bulls are trying to keep the defense above this area. The key focus is on the breakout of the 1.0816 zone. This will open the way to the zones of interest: liquidity and imbalance. Today is a day off in the US, the fundamentals are still in place, trading may be calm.
Resistance levels: 1.0816, 1.0852, 1.0916
Support levels: 1.078, 1.073
I expect the trend to continue, as traders are showing interest in the market. Local ATH may become a potential target for MM
Regards R. Linda!
TON → Is the coin still bullish? When is $10.00?OKX:TONUSDT still continues to accumulate potential with the purpose of breaking through resistance 7.671 and continuing growth. Bulls are actively defending the zones of interest and continue to hold the positive market structure.
Demonstration of a bullish structure. Continuation of upward movement on W1
Earlier, on the background of the general market correction the price formed a false breakout, which did not lead to a break of the bullish structure or to a strong fall. From the area of interest (without capturing liquidity) buyers are actively buying the asset and again trying to return to the resistance retest, which will only increase the chance of a breakout. Fundamentally and technically, TON looks very positive at the moment. But this does not mean that sellers are unable to change the nature of the price movement.
Conditions under which the upward movement and positive structure will be broken
Resistance levels: 7.671, 8.288
Support levels: 6.727, 6.202
Technically, there is a high probability of a continuation of the upward trend, but there is also a probability of a support break, which will break the uptrend and change the market imbalance. At this point, while the price is consolidating and continues to shrink to resistance, we should consider a bullish set-up.
Regards R. Linda!