EURJPY: Strong Trend Following Signal 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY looks bearish again after a local correctional movement.
The price started to grow within a bearish flag pattern.
Its support was broken this morning.
With a high probability, the market will return to a bearish trend soon.
We can expect a bearish movement to 156.0 level.
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Parallel Channel
Bitcoin can continue to decline inside downward channel to $58KHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price entered to the range, where it soon reached the 68300 resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone with the top part of the range and then started to decline. In a short time, the price fell to the bottom part of the range, which coincided with the current resistance level, and at once turned around and quickly rose to the 68300 level. Then BTC exited from range and even rose a little higher than the 68300 level, but soon made a correction below, after which in a short time rose back. Next, the price turned around and started to decline inside the downward channel, where firstly it broke the 68300 level and later declined to the 64000 level. Soon, BTC broke this level too and fell to the support line of the channel, but a not long time ago it rebounded and started to grow. So, in my opinion, BTC can make a small movement up and then continue to decline inside the downward channel. For this case, I set my TP at 58000 points, which coincides with the support line of the channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD → False break of range support led to a reboundFX:XAUUSD reaches the liquidity zone of 2370, forming a false breakdown, confirms the presence of a strong range boundary. The market may move into a sideways trend.
Fundamentally, the situation is still complicated.
The U.S. regulators are trying to change the market's mind on the recession issue, trying to keep the market calm. The question of aggressive actions of regulators is still open.
At the moment everyone is watching the actions in the Middle East, as the activity on the background of the war already unleashed can again affect the price of gold.
Markets continue to estimate almost 90% probability of a 50 basis points cut in US interest rates in September. Let me remind you that it is not the fact of reduction that matters, but the hints and comments of regulators.
At this time, gold is forming a global range of 2480 - 2370.
Resistance levels: 2420
Support levels: 2400
Technically, gold may go into a consolidation phase, but in the future it is worth watching the resistance at 2420. As a pre-breakout consolidation or a quick retest may lead to a breakout attempt and growth
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
EURGBP: Pullback From Key Level 🇪🇺🇬🇧
I think that EURGBP may retrace from a key daily horizontal resistance.
After its test, the pair broke and closed below a support line
of a rising parallel channel on an hourly time frame.
The market may reach 0.8544 level soon.
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GOLD → A retest of trend support. ISM PMI ahead...FX:XAUUSD is moving into the correction phase amid unstable fundamental environment. The price of the metal is declining towards the rather important zone of 2420, which has shown itself more than once.
Fundamentally, the market is in fear because of possible recession, which may become a motivation for the Fed to take hasty actions and more aggressive easing of monetary policy
Rumors are emerging about a possible emergency FED meeting in the near future.
Not to forget gold as a hedge asset, which continues to feel supported in volatile times.
Speculators are cautious and refrain from premature actions ahead of the ISM services PMI data and the tense situation in the Middle East.
Support levels: 2419,6, 2403, 2382
Resistance levels: 2451, 2474
Technically, gold is at a strong support at 2419 and judging by the reaction of the price to the level, the buyers are acting quite aggressively, trying to hold the market. Against this background, the price may strengthen to the nearest resistance 2430, 2445, 2450, but if the price starts to return to 2419, forming a quick retest, it will increase the chances of a possible breakdown of the bullish channel and further decline to the zone of interest and liquidity.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Lululemon: Downward Dog Days Ahead? - A Wyckoff Distr AnalysisINTRO
I have been sitting on this idea for a while and finally decided to put the pen to the pad. For the past three years, there have been signs that Lululemon's stock may be destined for a decline. This trade idea will explore the potential for a downtrend using Wyckoff analysis, a technical analysis pattern used to identify trends within a market cycle.
The Wyckoff Distribution theory suggests that large institutions subtly distribute their holdings and initiate short positions before a significant price decline. This distribution unfolds in five distinct phases, each with its own characteristics. In this article, I'll describe these phases and analyze how they might be seen in Lululemon's case.
For reference, this is the schematic I will be comparing my LULU case to.
The Setup
The company's story began in 2008 with its founding. Like most companies, it was affected by the 2008 financial crisis and faced challenges in its performance. However, it recovered strongly over the next 3 years, with its stock price increasing by almost 3,700% from its low in 2009 to its high in 2012. From 2012 to 2018, the stock underperformed as its valuation took some time to catch up. During this period, LULU steadily improved its financial performance, attracting the attention of smart investors who began accumulating shares.
Phase A
The distribution phase marks the end of the prior uptrend. Up to this point, buyers have been dominant, but now we see evidence of institutional selling with the preliminary supply (PSY) and the buying climax (BC). The BC indicates the end of the uptrend as institutions freely unload shares. The low created after the BC is called the automatic reaction (AR). This low is important because it represents the lowest price at which institutions are willing to sell their shares. The AR and BC form our distribution channel, and there will be secondary tests (ST) of these ranges.
Phase B
Phase B functions to create momentum in preparation for a new downtrend. During this phase, institutions and large professional interests sell off their holdings and start taking short positions. This is typically marked by low-volume rallies and high-volume declines. Additionally, we may witness signs of weakness (SOW) and upthrusts (UT), which are further tests of supply and demand as institutions assess interest. Note the volume as the stock price advances and declines.
Phase C
Phase C is an optional phase that primarily serves as a test of the remaining demand. You can identify it by the UpThrust After Distribution (UTAD), which is a price move above the trading channel resistance that quickly reverses and closes back within the channel. It is a bull trap – it appears to signal the resumption of the uptrend but in reality, it is intended to trick uninformed break-out traders. It is used to snag additional shares short at elevated prices before a decline. Note the volume spike to create the UTAD and the volume spike to take it away.
Phase D
In Phase D, there is growing evidence that the uptrend is coming to an end. Sellers take control, leading to a clear break of support or a decline below the midpoint of the trading channel after a UT or UTAD. During this phase, there are typically several weak rallies, each marked by the last point of supply (LPSY).
Phase E
The final phase of the cycle is Phase E. It depicts the unfolding of the downtrend; the stock leaves the channel to the downside and supply is in control. This represents a high-probability opportunity to sell short. Subsequent rallies during the newly formed downtrend are quickly washed with selling.
We haven't entered Phase E yet, but the chart is currently aligning well with our expectations. Given that the pattern has taken 3 years to form, it will likely result in a longer-term short. I believe that targeting the 150s is reasonable if the analysis is accurate. I would appreciate hearing your thoughts on this.
AZO potential Buy setupReasons for bullish bias:
- Price bounce from channel support
- Weekly hammer candle at support
- Price bounced from horizontal support
- No divergence
- Positive Earnings
Here are the recommended trading levels:
Entry Level(CMP): 2817.00
Stop Loss Level: 2702.50
Take Profit Level 1: 2985.48
Take Profit Level 2: 3177.38
Take Profit Level 3: Open
EURUSD → Consolidation before distribution. Target 1.100FX:EURUSD is forming a wedge, the nature of the pattern is consolidation. FOMC & FED meeting is ahead. The main issue is inflation and interest rate cuts. What should we expect?
100% probability that today the rate will remain unchanged, but Powell at the meeting may signal a Fed rate cut in the coming months amid slowing labor market growth. Eurozone consumer inflation fell from +0.2 to 0% (expected -0.3%) and core CPI rose by 0.1 to +2.9%, suggesting a generally improving environment for a stronger EUR.
Technically, the bulls are trying to hold the area of 1.08. A descending wedge is forming on the chart, another retest, if the fundamental background persists, may lead to a break of resistance. In this case, the market may move into the distribution phase, within which it is able to update the local maximum.
Resistance levels: 1.0852
Support levels: 1.08
Traders are in no hurry to act prematurely and will wait for the Fed and FOMC meeting. Technically everything is favorable to start the growth. Potential target is 1.100
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★EURUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
After strong impulse up, Euro can make correction to 1.0910Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price rebounded down from the resistance line from the wedge and dropped a lower 1.0730 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Then price some time traded between the support level and later reached the support line of the wedge and started to grow. Next, the price broke the 1.0730 level and made the first gap, and then continued to rise to the 1.0910 level, which coincided with the support area. When it reached this level, it formed a second gap and even broke the 1.0910 level, after which reached the resistance line of the wedge. But then turned around and started to decline inside from a downward channel. In the channel, the price broke the 1.0910 level again and exited from the wedge also, after which it declined to 1.0780. After this EUR made a strong upward impulse, thereby exiting from the channel and also breaking the 1.0910 level. As well recently, the price bounced from the support area, and at the moment, I think that the EURO can make a movement up and then make a correction to the support level. That's why my TP is a 1.0910 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD - Price can fall almost to support level and start to growHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A not long time ago price entered to rising channel, where soon broke $2360 level and then made a retest.
After this, price continued to move up until it reached resistance line of channel which coincided with resistance level.
Price broke this level and exited from rising channel also, but soon it turned around and made downward impulse.
Also, Gold formed a gap and then entered to wedge, where it later rose higher than $2445 level, but soon fell below.
Then XAUUSD declined to support line of wedge and recently exited from this pattern, and now it continues to fall.
In my mind, price can decline almost to support level and then start to grow to $2445 resistance level.
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Mid cap nifty - Aug 5Price was falling for the past two days and now it is at trend deciding level. 12600 is also acting as channel support.
Buy above 12640 with the stop loss of 12600 for the targets 12680, 12720, 12760 and 12800.
Sell below 12550 with the stop loss of 12590 for the targets 12510, 12460 and 12420.
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Note : This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
You are responsible for whatever you do.
ETH ANALYSIS (potential reversal)🔮 #ETH Analysis 🚀🚀
As we can see that #ETH was trading in a descending channel and given a breakout and make a bullish movement and right now same structure is forming and at the crucial support zone. We can see bullish movement or a reversal from its crucial support zone 💸 💯🚀
💸Current Price -- $2740
📈Target Price -- $3950
⁉️ What to do?
- We have ETH crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
#ETH #Cryptocurrency #DYOR
HelenP. I Gold can drop of trend line lower than support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price some days ago price started to grow inside the upward channel, between the trend line and when it almost reached the resistance line, the price dropped to the support line, breaking the trend line. Then XAU made a fake breakout of the support line of the channel and then in a short time rose higher than support 2, breaking this level and then continued to grow. Price reached the trend line and some time traded near, and later it made impulse up to support 1, breaking the trend line. Also then, the price broke support 1 and even exited from the channel, but soon turned around and made a correction movement below support 1 and the trend line, breaking them. After this, the price tried to grow back, but when reached the trend line, it dropped more. A few moments ago Gold turned around and quickly rose to the trend line again, breaking support 1, and now trades near this level. For this reason, I expect that XAUUSD will reach the trend line again and then drop to $2390 points, breaking the support level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD (XAUUSD): Important Supply and Demand Zones to Watch
Gold closed in indecision this week, respecting 2 supply and demand zones.
The price went rejected from an expanding supply zone based
on a resistance line of a rising parallel channel and a horizontal resistance.
The market also respected a horizontal demand zone based on
a horizontal support cluster.
After the market opening, I will monitor the reaction of the price to these zones
and will look for trading opportunities from there.
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