GEN isn't a household name, but it should be - LONG @ 29.82Its trading history goes back to the late 1980s (it was Symantec back then), and that history has been a stellar one as far as my trading system goes.
Over 1000 trades with a low max drawdown, an average turnaround time of 11 trading days and an average gain of about 2.5% per trade puts it just outside my top 30 large cap names regarding its composite performance/safety score.
Going back to the beginning of the tight upward channel in mid-May, it has produced over a dozen trades. Only one has lasted longer than 3 days before becoming profitable and that one ended up being the most profitable one of the bunch.
Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
Parallel Channel
Bitcoin Crash + Largest altcoin analysis requests! (ask me)Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response! Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas.
I start my analysis with Bitcoin. Currently, I expect a drop to 85k. We have a total of 3 unfilled FVGs (fair value gaps) below the current price, and this is a big deal. These gaps pretty much always tend to be filled. These are no gaps that occurred at the start of the uptrend (near 15k in 2022), but almost before the end of the uptrend (85k in 2024). This is a hugeeeee problem, and I assure you that bitcoin will go down sooner rather than later.
Today we also want to look at the RSI indicator. The RSI indicator is important mostly only on the 1m, 1H, 1D, 1W, and 1M charts. Do not use it on, for example, 15m or 2h charts. On the RSI indicator, we can see a bearish divergence because the price is making a higher high while the indicator is making a lower high. That's a huge sign of weakness.
Also, let's take a look at the moving averages. This is the daily chart, so let's use 50, 100, and 200. These periods are very popular among huge institutions and hedge funds. They mainly like to use 200 and 20. As we can see, the price is too far away from them, which is a sign that the market is overbought and we should wait for a correction. You want to buy at the support, not when the market has already made the move.
Currently I am bearish on Bitcoin. Profit target 1: 92,250, profit target 2: 85,350.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Amd - Retest, Reversal And A +100% Rally!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) will soon retest massive previous support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After Amd perfectly retested the upper channel resistance about half a year ago, we saw a beautiful rejection and already a retest of the crucial horizontal support. Now, Amd is once again coming back to retest this support and another bullish reversal is extremely likely.
Levels to watch: $130, $260
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
#007 NEW DCA EURGBP SHORT Down Channel ResistanceThe chart shown is on the 4H but it doesn't matter if its on the 1H or 4H.
Both time frames show price doing a power move toward the resistance level of the down channel.
I have been eyeing on a few pairs that has this down channel thing, one of the other pair is the AUDUSD and GBPUSD, I think.
Currently, TP is set at 71cents SGD, or 41.5pips. No I wish, I thought, I hope, I pray. No no no.
0044SGT 13122024
Talk less, even by typing because the more we talk, the more we set ourselves up for failure.
0045SGT 13122024
Potential c&h on ETHUSD would have a target around 7kFor now this is just a speculative cup and handle pattern, plenty of them have gotten to this level and even completed the handle with a candle or two above the rimline of the cup and still ended up falling and eventually being nullified, so there’s no absolute guarantee this will play out this way. However, as it seems we may be now entering phase 2 of the bull markets uptrends, It is certainly probable this could very well play out just like this. The channel ether is just now breaking up from that I posted a chart on the other day(which. Will link below) has a big enough breakout target/measured move that it should bring price action up above the rimline of its bigger cup and handle pattern here. We will see soon enough I’m sure. Only thing I see prolonging such an outcome would be some sort of unforeseen black swan. *not financial advice*
Gold is Ready to Fall again!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to pump, as I expected in the previous post .
Gold is entering the Resistance zone($2,740-$2,708) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and approaching the Upper line of the Ascending Channel .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold is completing microwave 5 of the main wave C .
Also, Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to fall to at least the Support zone($2,670-$2,653) after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel.
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the Resistance zone($2,740-$2,708), we can expect more pumps.⚠️
⚠️Note: Tomorrow's US indices can impact the Gold trend. (Today's US indices were all as Forecasted).⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin currently in an ascending bull flagI made a rough estimate of where the flag make breakout for where I placed the dotted measured move breakout target line. There’s a chance it could not hit the entire flag tRGET and instead only reach the breakout target of just the channel portion of the flag itself which would be a much lower target. Also always a possibility arising channel breaks to the downside though at the beginning of a parabolic phase during a bull market they usually break upwards. We will see what happens soon enough *not financial advice*
ES1! morning analysisBig picture analysis for ES1!
Proposed primary wave ((1)) terminating in March 2000, primary wave ((2)) terminating in March 2009 as a zigzag, and primary wave ((3)) terminating in January 2022.
Proposed primary wave ((4)) seen as an expanded flat, with wave A terminating in October 2022 and wave B at or near termination now. Wave C would take price below October 2022 low, with parallel channel providing price support above 3000 and wave C terminating near the wave (4) of lesser degree.
Will Gold also test the next resistance level?It’s been a highly bullish week for OANDA:XAUUSD traders, with prices not only reaching but surpassing all my targets one by one.
As I outlined in Monday's outlook, if the bulls manage to break above the 2655–2660 resistance zone, the 2785 level would be exposed, and more importantly, the price would very likely move beyond 2700.
Yesterday, that prediction materialized as we saw a decisive break above this critical milestone, with FOREXCOM:XAUUSD reaching the 2718 target—and even surpassing it.
Overnight, the price briefly dropped from 2725, touching the newly formed support at 2700 before reversing strongly upward.
The overall structure remains extremely bullish, with every dip being bought by traders.
This momentum should guide our strategy moving forward, focusing now on the next resistance zone at 2755–2760.
Btc Dominance appears to be getting rejected from channel retestBitcoin dominance chart just recently bounced back up in an attempt to climb back inside the ascending channel it recently broke under and as of now both candles that sent a wick back inside the channel upon the current retest both closed their candle bodies with the channel still as resistance. Since then we are now seeing the current candle appear to head lower again suggesting the bottom trendline of the channel will be confirmed as solidified resistance, in which case price action has a much higher probability at this point of validating the breakdown and dumping to the 53% target. If this occurs we are very likely to see alt season really tart too kick in here soon. *not financial advice*
SPEL offers 78% upside from these levels50% of the planned quantity should be entered at Rs. 45.26 with SL of 31. Remaining 50% quantity can be added once pole is breakout @ 80.72 which is a 78% capital upside.
The stock has retraced to 0.618 level @ 31 which is the HL, now the stock is ready to define its HH that potentially be the flag pole projection being out ultimate Target
BITCOIN →The Trend Reversal. The End Of Growth? Or Not!BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Still maintains a bullish market structure as evidenced by the local upward channel within the broader consolidation channel. After a strong rally, the price is moving into consolidation.
Consolidation is the accumulation of a position. Accordingly, there can be different situations inside such a figure: traps, traps, false breakdowns, unpredictable impulses and so on. And it all has one goal - accumulation. Technically, the bullish market structure is not broken. Globally - flat. Locally - an ascending channel.
The risk of breaking the bullish structure will be if the price starts to approach 91K - 85K. Then the question about deeper correction or even reversal will become more serious, but not now.
The bulls are actively defending the boundaries of the local ascending channel and it may lead the price to retest 99-102K, but at the moment there are no preconditions for strong growth. The market will need a few days to recover its strength. Just during this period of time, the asset may show further intentions.
Resistance levels: 99K, 101.3K, 104K
Support levels: 95.9K, 91.6K
If the bears hold the defense below 99K and the price starts to fall down, then pay attention to 95.9K. Further fall or consolidation inside the channel will depend on this level.
If the bulls will be able to keep the defense inside the channel (above the support), then in the medium term we can count on the continuation of growth.
Gold Trade OpportunityThere is opportunity to trade gold. There are two options
Long position: The price has retraced from fib level and we can make the recent high as TP level
Sel Stop: We can place sell stop at the brekout of recent HL and base the TP & SL based on Fib levels. There is a minor divergence so this can be an opportunity.
BITCOIN → Trend reversal? The end of growth? Or ...BINANCE:BTCUSD still maintains a bullish market structure as evidenced by the local upward channel within the broader consolidation channel. After a strong rally, the price is moving into consolidation.
several possible scenarios regarding current levels and the current situation
Consolidation is the accumulation of a position. Accordingly, there can be different situations inside such a figure: traps, traps, false breakdowns, unpredictable impulses and so on. And it all has one goal - accumulation. Technically, the bullish market structure is not broken. Globally - flat. Locally - an ascending channel.
The risk of breaking the bullish structure will be if the price starts to approach 91K - 85K. Then the question about deeper correction or even reversal will become more serious, but not now.
The bulls are actively defending the boundaries of the local ascending channel and it may lead the price to retest 99-102K, but at the moment there are no preconditions for strong growth. The market will need a few days to recover its strength. Just during this period of time, the asset may show further intentions.
Resistance levels: 99K, 101.3K, 104K
Support levels: 95.9K, 91.6K
If the bears hold the defense below 99K and the price starts to fall down, then pay attention to 95.9K. Further fall or consolidation inside the channel will depend on this level.
If the bulls will be able to keep the defense inside the channel (above the support), then in the medium term we can count on the continuation of growth
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Preparing For Another +200% Rally!Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) is just starting a major bullrun:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Bitcoin rallied more than +40% in November and despite the recent bullrun and the all time high breakout, Bitcoin is just starting its next major bullish cycle. Looking at previous price and trend behaviour, it is quite likely that Bitcoin will eventually retest the top of the channel.
Levels to watch: $100.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
KEYUSD DAILY TARGETSGiven the precise channels that the chart of this currency has formed, as well as the support at the bottom of the channel, which can be identified by the lower shadows, the rise is likely to continue to one of the following targets.
TP1: 0.0036$
TP2: 0.0082$
TP3: 0.013$
TP4: 0.064$
SL: 0.00083
Bitcoin can rebound from resistance line and start to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some time ago started to decline inside the downward channel, where it at once reached a resistance line, after which continued to decline. In a short time, BTC fell to the buyer zone and then rebounded to the resistance line again. Then the price dropped to the channel's support line and then made a strong impulse up, thereby breaking the 96250 level and exiting from the channel too. Next, the price rose to 104K points, breaking the resistance level too, after which turned around and started trading inside symmetrical triangles. In this pattern, the price made a strong downward impulse to the support line, breaking resistance with support levels, but later it made an impulse from the support line, and broke these levels again. Later BTC started to decline and soon broke the 100200 level one more time and fell to the support line of the triangle. But a not long time ago it rebounded from this line and started to grow. So, at the moment, I think that the price can reach the resistance line of the triangle pattern and then start to decline to the 96250 support level. For this case, I set my TP at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold Market Insights Key Drivers and Technical OutlookOANDA:XAUUSD - Multi-Timeframe Analysis
Current Price: $2633.33
Executive Summary
Gold prices face key volatility drivers as strong U.S. job growth and geopolitical tensions support safe-haven demand. Expectations for a 0.25% Fed rate cut, along with a dip in the Dollar Index and 10-year Treasury yields, suggest potential upside for gold.
Technically, the price is near the critical Pivot Point at 2656.25, with a breakout signalling bullish momentum toward 2695.21. A drop below 2617.18 could indicate bearish pressure. Key levels will dictate the next move.
Economic and Geopolitical Drivers
Strong U.S. job growth and steady wages support expectations of a 0.25% Fed rate cut in December, which could weaken the USD and boost gold prices. Following the labor data, the Dollar Index dipped to 105.42, and 10-year Treasury yields fell to 4.13%, with traders anticipating increased gold price volatility ahead of the Fed’s December 18 meeting.
Geopolitical tensions, including clashes between Israel and Hezbollah and Russia’s warnings against Western influence, continue to drive demand for gold as a safe haven.
Technical Overview
The chart analysis shows that the yellow metal has formed a descending channel starting on November 28. The price closed within a Pennant, marked by a 2-hour bearish candle, likely influenced by the weekend pause. Volume divergence is also evident.
The combination of the descending channel, pennant formation, volume divergence, and the further decline in 10-year Treasury yields suggests that the shiny metal is poised for an upward surge.
The price is currently trading just below the Strong Pivot Point 2656.25. After breaking out of the pennant and descending channel, we anticipate a breakout through this Major Resistance level. A sustained move above 2656.25 would confirm bullish control, as this level serves as a critical marker for identifying trends, reversals, and trading opportunities. Often regarded as the market’s “equilibrium,” the price action around this level will likely dictate the next major move.
Should the price break above 2656.25, we expect it to target 2695.21, with the potential to rise further toward Minor and Ultimate Resistance levels.
On the downside, if the yellow metal falls below the Pivot Point at 2617.18, the next targets are 2597.65 and 2578.12, indicating a shift toward bearish momentum.
Key Levels to Watch
Support Levels:
• Pivot Point / Support: 2617.18
• Minor Turning Point / Support: 2597.65
• Ultimate Support: 2578.12
Resistance Levels:
• Major Resistance: 2656.25
• Top of the Trading Range: 2675.78
• Pivot Point / Resistance: 2695.84
• Minor Turning Point / Resistance: 2714.84
• Ultimate Resistance: 2734.37
The movement around 2656.25 will be key in determining the next direction for the yellow metal.