Update on Silver's Bearish Partial Rise SetupA while back i uploaded a chart pointing out that silver was partial rising within a trading range and that the next time it hit the bottom of the range it'd be much more likely for us to break down and today here we are. I'm reuploading this chart as a relevant reminder of the impending breakout.
I expect that we should get a move down to the .786 and .886 area once things really get going.
Along with Silver i'm similarly bearish on Gold
Partial-rise
Silver Looking To Pullback More Than 30%Silver tried to breakout and failed then it also failed to gain any sort of bullish momentum on the weekly and now it looks to be ready to crack the support after having a nearly confirmed partial rise and closing lower than is has closed since becoming rangebound.
The Measured Move of this range breakdown would take us down to the .886 retracement where i then think silver will attempt to become bullish again.
BITCOIN still trending down! Short term day traders should observe the rectangle range we've been trading in since the 24th, after the sudden drop. I have drawn the bear flag that has setup this pattern. Now, after 3 touches on bottom and 2 on top, it seems we have a partial rise. That is good news for the bears as this typically indicates a breakout of the pattern is impending. As part of the bear flag, this would give us a Target of 3435, which correlates with the support from December 18th.
My previous charts have shown what appeared to be an inverse head and shoulders pattern forming. At this point at 3750, we are very close to the bottom valley of the right shoulder I have drawn. (see pic below). So if the bear flag is the dominant pattern here (and since we are still in the bear market, that would be true), this would end up invalidating the Inverse Head and Shoulders.
However, to give the Bulls some hope, this could still be a part of the Elliott Wave correction ABC waves from another chart I made (pic below). Albeit, if the price does drop to the 3434 level, that is quite a bit deeper correction than originally estimated, but still altogether possible, as long as it doesn't completely retrace to the original low of 3135.
In summary, there are 3 possibilites:
1) Bear Flag takes us down to 3435, and then continue trending downward from there.
2) Bear Flag takes us down to 3435, and then the Elliott Wave retrace ends, and we begin Wave 3 bull impulse upward
3) We don't breakout of the bear flag, the retrace and the Higher Low is already printed, and we complete the Inverse head and shoulders pattern, with a future breakout upward.
I'd give a 60% chance of option 1 at this point. 20% for option 2 and 20% for option 3. Be careful!
See previous analyses and pics below.
Have a Great Day!