Past
Eth Ready for Bull Run as 60 Whales with More Than 100k ETHThe Ethereum network is experiencing an influx of whales, a phenomenon that has preceded bull runs for the asset in the past. Data from Santiment shows that the price of the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap is correlated with the number of whales holding 100,000 or more ETH.
60 whales join the Ethereum network
As ETH price is correlated with the number of whales holding 100,000 ETH or more, an increase in the number of whales means that a new bull run is underway. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez says 60 whales have joined the network in 2022, “signaling the start of a new bull run.”
This is no wonder because Ethereum is becoming attractive to investors recently. First, the network has so much to offer, being the foremost blockchain for smart contracts and apps. These are just two of the many aspects of Ethereum that have found many applications in everyday life. As a result, analysts and supporters of the network believe that ETH is highly undervalued.
Another possible reason for the influx of whales could be the plan to migrate Ethereum to Proof-of-Stake. Though this has been delayed several times, it is clear that the network will become far more competitive when the migration finally happens. Devs and ordinary users alike are looking forward to the transition which will cut gas fees, make transactions faster, and push the price of ETH higher as more users patronize the network.
13 whales join the Ethereum network in a few days
In the past few days, thirteen whales holding above 100K ETH joined the network, Since March 14th, such top wallets have shown an increase of 4%.
S&P500 - Looking back to 2001. This is a pretty short vid. I'm looking back to 2001 to see what happened, to cautiously draw some ideas about what may happen in the 2020 bear market. The present picture is very different, of course.
2020 is showing a faster deeper dive. The SPX has recovered to a 61.8 fib. It could go higher.
If it heads south, it's impossible to say how far south.
XBT / USD (short idea afrer recent cup n handle breakout of 4XXXThis chart is posted after recent breakout as i had originally planed to short it before the breakout and was going to enter a trade when i got home, but too much time has passsed and the trade has moved beyond the current trading range.
Nonetheless i want to show what i was planning to do on the short side of the trade pre breakout.
1. Price hit local resistance at 4042
2. second and third volume candles post spike had significant bearish voume suggesting failed breakout
3,. placed short with tight stop loss @ 4150
4. Target of trade was just above next local support @ 3932
5. Trade entered @ 4021 (short)
6. Expecting price to hit local resistance of around 3929 due to cup formation was expecting a handle pullback to said price range before next price rise
7. When price hit local support i was goign to cash in my shorts and swap for longs with another tight stop loss based on technical analysis
8. R/R 1.45
9. price dropped to a min of 3960 meaning a max gain of 1.47% if you covered your short at 3960 from 4021
ETH/ BTC - THE BIG PICTURE OF CURRENT UPTREND - wave V targetHere we are at the beginning of the wave V, although I was not correct about wave b of IV beeing irregular, wave c of IV played out as expected. Now we are able to draw wave V price target zone. Based on a Fibonacci 1.618 extension we can conclude that wave V will end between 0.037 and 0.05 BTC per Ether. Wave V will have 5 waves like wave III. Watch them carefully and let the market tell us where it ends.
ETH/ BTC - THE BIG PICTURE OF CURRENT UPTREND - irregular wave BLooks like we're stuck in wave B of correction (of wave 4). This is an irregular (triangle) wave B - there are 5 waves in it (a-b-c-d-e). I've added two arrows to point out how such a wave B looks like, because it's rather rare. The end of wave 4 seems nowhere near, it can take whole April until it finishes.
ETH/ BTC - The BIG picture of current uptrendHere we have it: a perfect Elliott Wave in all it's glory. This view helps to get a bigger picture of where we are in the current trend. Targets are estimates only, as waves can get severly compressed and stretched both in time and price.
We'll be able to draw price target zone for wave V only after c of IV is concluded. I'll update the chart when this happens.
CHFJPY ShortFinally a win.
Weekly was making lower highs and lower lows - great downward trend.
Downward trend had broken then longer term underlying monthly up trend.
Took the trade off the 4HR - Saw a mini head and shoulders pattern emerging and thought Id risk getting in early and the formation of the top right shoulder.
Never forget the past / What's the next black Swan ?Always good to look back in time.
remember this :
Tiscali – Important Italian telecommunications company whose share price grew from €46 (IPO in November 1999) to €1,197 in four months. They fell to €40 afterwards in less than two months and have continued plummeting to well under 0.2 euro. [
Think Tools AG – One of the most extreme symptoms of the bubble in Europe: market valuation of CHF 2.5 billion in March 2000, no prospects of having a substantial product (investor deception), followed by a collapse
InfoSpace – In March 2000 this stock reached a price $1,305 per share, but by April 2001 the price had crashed down to $22 a share.
The only thing you have to do is maybe replace Tiscali by Snapchat and Tinktools by Uber :)
Everytime the RSI is overbrought in the monthly , There will be a correction that year.
So it's just waiting now , who turn the fire on the wick :)