$LINK: We've seen this before. What next?Ok there's a lot going on here, but $LINK has been following this pitchfork channel pretty well for almost its entire existence, so we have some precedent to work with.
- 4 separate times it has touched and or broken below the lower blue 1.0 deviation on the pitchfork. After each of these times it's pumped pretty hard.
- Chainlink has also climbed steadily in a nice channel before a breakout multiple times, as indicated by the orange boxes.
I think that the market is primed for summer and that we'll see some ridiculous growth in the next few months. HOWEVER! I wouldn't be surprised to see people capitulate and for $LINK to retrace back to $20 dollars and touch that lower blue 1.0 pitchfork prong.
Either way. I'm stacking linkies as much as I can. It's literally the most important project in all of defi and arguably all of crypto. I'm so comfortable in $LINK it's not even funny. Short term price action is just for entertainment :)
Enjoy!
~ maxbro
Patience
Continuation after the Breakout + LTF Flag entryPrice broke out of larger descending channel, Now it looks like it may be creating a large continuation correction which is good for us with a long bias. For the entry we want a clean break of the continuation correction then a lower time frame correction for the entry. A smaller version/variation of itself.
AUDUSDMy bias for this pair is to buy.
Currently it is creating an inverted head and shoulders, a bullish reversal pattern. Once price breaks through the neckline of the of the pattern I will wait for a retest before buying up to 0.7750, the last place price stopped at and that also lines up with a key area.
But before I get into this trade I need the following confluences:
EMA Cross
Break and retest of the neckline or higher low
A bullish candle pattern
However, price can do whatever it likes so if it does not break through the neck line it can always go down and break the 0.7600 level and go down to 0.7500, a Key area and a previous resting place for price in the past.
EURUSDMy bias is that this pair is going long
Fundamental:
With the recent stimulus checks being pumped into the U.S. Economy, I believe that the value of the dollar will drop because the more dollars pumped into the economy equals a weakened currency.
Technical
On the 4hr chart, this pair is forming an inverted head & shoulders and once price breaks and retests the neckline it will give me clear confirmation that it is going up. I believe that price will go around the place where it last went when heading down. Which is about the 1.19300 area. From there it can continue to reach the next key level, which is where price also stopped in the past. But obviously I will wait for confirmation. Patience is key!
HOWEVER:
Price can do whatever it wants and if it decides not to break the neckline I think that it will break and retest the 1.1750 mid level-In quarter's theory- and go down to 1.1650 area, where price last stopped on its way up.
Confluences:
Break and retest of the neckline
Candlestick formation
EMA cross
Higher low
$BTC: Fighting to regain momentum.Right now we can see that bitcoin is fighting to get about the .618 fib pitchfork line. Honestly I'd like to see it reclaim the median before I go full bull mode again. Obviously I'm not bearish at all on the future of bitcoin, but short term price action might shake out some more over leveraged longs that get too excited if we break above 60k. A nice daily close above 63k would make me think that strong momentum pushes the price action upwards towards 80-100k. Let's go.
The 3 Types of Trades (Bad, Good and Great!)In this video we go over the 3 types of forex trades, the bad, the good and the great!
These tips are short and direct, but hopefully they are a wake up call to help you to start focusing on the good and great trades by being patient and disciplied!
I also go over our XAUUSD long trade!
Happy trading all <3
Nasdaq - Patience !We have to look at current price action as a potential WXY correction since wave (x) retraced "only" 78.6% of the prior 3 wave decline.
Right now we seem to have a 5 waves drop which could be wave a of the higher degree wave (y).
Price is now at a potential support zone from which we could see a bounce and retracement of current decline, after which, another drop below support could be seen towards 12600, where we have to find support if the bullish narrative is to remain our primary outlook.
Notice also that we have another potential Head and Shoulder pattern forming which if correct should take price towards 12200 BUT if price goes according to the above statemen,t down to 12600 and rallies back higher, the then failed H&S would again be a great bullish sign !
Trading Plan that will help you become consistently profitableIn my trading career beyond having a strategy (actually multiple depending on market state and asset class) to base my trades on nothing has ever been as important as having a Trading plan. In this post I want to share with you my personal trading plan to help you create a set of rules that will help you stick to your plan and keep your emotions in check so that you can actually follow your trading strategy and become a consistently profitable trader.
Something that was and still is key for me is the following realization:
Never get attached to your opinion or view of why something should happen. The market is in fact always right and based on nothing but irrationality since its made by humans so the movements of the market do not have to make sense and at more times then not will not make sense.
Trading is simply a mind game. Markets are a result of mass psychology which leads to exploitable edges. Mastering your own psychology is key to keep following the strategy that defines your edge.
So now without further ado my trading plan template that has helped me so much over the years and I hope will help you as well:
**General Rules**
1. Never enter a trade without a plan (TP,SL)
2. Once you are in a trade stick to the plan
3. Its ok to be wrong its not about being right its about making money
4. Be patient do not act on FOMO
5. Do not chase the market
6. Let your winners run and cut your losses short
**The 5 fundamental truths**
1. Anything can happen.
2. You don't need to know what is going to happen next in order to make money.
3. There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that define an edge.
4. An edge is nothing more than an indication of a higher probability of one thing happening over another.
5. Every moment in the market is unique.
**Rules of consistency**I AM A CONSISTENT WINNER BECAUSE:
1. I objectively identify my edges.
2. I have predefined risk of every trade.
3. I completely accept risk or I am willing to let go of the trade.
4. I act on my edges without reservation or hesitation.
5. I pay myself as the market makes money available to me.
6. I continually monitor my susceptibility for making errors.
7. I understand the absolute necessity of these principles of consistent success and, therefore, I never violate them.
**Risk and Money Management**
Do not increase the standard trade size before you doubled the account.
1. The maximum amount you are allowed to lose in a day is $XXX.
2. The maximum amount you are allowed to lose on any single trade is $XXX.
3. The maximum number of losing trades in a row you are allowed to have in a day before you stop trading is three.
4. The maximum number of losing trades you are allowed to have in a day before you stop trading is five. (You may have had a win or two between losses, but there is a time to stop trading.) The maximum number of losing trades in the same direction you are allowed to take in a day before you stop trading is three.
1. If you are up $XXX on a single trade, you will put a profit floor of $XXX underneath the current price to protect a portion of those profits.
2. If you are up $XXX on a single trade, you will take the money and close out the trade.
3. If you are up $XXX for the day, you will take the rest of the day off, stay away from the trading screens, and do something you enjoy doing—other than trading
!4. If you are up $XXX for the month, you will put a profit floor of $XXX underneath the month's profits to protect a portion of those profits. If you are up $XXX for the month, you will take the rest of the month off, stay away from the trading screens, and do something you enjoy doing—other than trading! Take a vacation, sleep late and read books, or do something else fun.
DASH - Waiting for a base before actingDASH - This one was a bit disappointing last time but it could redeem itself soon as it's possibly making a double bottom.
If we can get a consolidation now, a break to the upside will then be the confirmation needed for me to buy in.
A break above the pink anchored VWAP from the high will be another bullish sign, telling us this reversal could be a sustained one !
So, keep a close watch on this one too!
Fools Rush In - Buy on LimitsReview the intraday price action you see the ramp-up, and then the distribution. You also see this slight parabolic - so buy on pullbacks.
Risk-reward are easy set-ups with limit longs or a break trade to the upside as price drops below key support.
For key support, I am only using price defence areas on closing - the noise you use to execute trades in the 'wicks'
$BTC: Heikin Ashi showing signs of a turn around? Patience!!On the daily heikin chart, we're seeing the first bullish doji forming, which is a sign of indecision and the possible end of this downward trend that we've been in the last week. This 26% correction is fantastic for reloading on fuel for the next push higher. There's almost a 0% chance that 58k was the "top" and that we won't see #Bitcoin push towards the inevitable 6 figures.
I'll be looking to long the breakout of the top wick on this doji that's forming today. On the heikin ashi chart if price action was to push above that level, it would show an actual reversal in the trend. Be careful trying to long before that as the bullish doji in the micro downward trend might just be a pause before continuation. $BTC has multiple 30-40% corrections in its last run, and I would never count out the whales from a nice fake, followed by a liquidation of overleveraged moon boys, and then a subsequent earth shattering pump. Let's be patient and find out!
POLSThere is no sign of price consolidation at this levels,
making it a bit risky to get in at the wrong time.
If you are not sure about what you are doing, please find a professional
qualified financial adviser or somebody who really knows
when to do whatever is needed to do and does it at the right time.
CHFJPY🇨🇭🇯🇵 ( simple analysis for begginers ) 👨🏽🏫Hello Traders 🙋🏾♂️
Hope you had an amazing trading week just like we did !🤑
Here we go, shorting JPY once again.👍🏾
The pair has been loosing strenght, suggesting more upwards values on this pair.
So quite simple analysis, using only pattern recognition.
The pair created a bullish flag pattern, with a successful break-through to the upside.
After 3 weeks raging, the pair managed to break the resistence of that channel, looking for new highs.
After confirm a new high, on the last trading day from last week, we spotted a re-test on what I consider to be the new support, closing the daily candle above our previous high values ( the top of the flag pole, and all highs on our raging channel ).
With only 50 PIPs of STOP LOSS and 150 PIPs of TAKE PROFIT, we have here a nice 1:3 ratio.
Usually I always ask to close the trades earlier, but this one will deffo be a TP hit
Feel free to use this trade yourself. 🤗
If you found this idea helpful, please leave us your fedback on the comments below and don't forget to follow us so you don't miss any of our ideas. 🙇🏾♂️💙
Have an awesome trading week chaps 🍾🥂
EOS/USDT Active!Hello Community!
Before we begin please support my idea with a thumbs up and a comment. It'll be greatly appreciated and will motivate me to post a little more!
Lets keep it simple.
When taking a look at EOS / USDT on the Daily TF, we can see it trading back in a parallel channel I drew out in a previous post. It is currently making a go at the top of the channel and if it breaks out decisively we can expect to see a nice run to the next resistance drawn out, which is about 20%. This is a very active coin that seems to not shy away from 20% movements frequently. With that being said. If it fails to go through the channel I can see a move to retest the bottom, and you can guess that percentage or just look at my chart. lol
This is not Financial advice.
Safe Trading, Calculate Your Risk/Reward & Collect!!
Simplicity Wins
NQ=F keep pushing higher as negative divergent extendsHere is the daily chart of Nasdaq 100 e-mini Future. Despite of what's going on with macros, it keeps pushing higher day after day. I am just waiting to see the catalyst and a signal to enter a short trade. ES=F has a very similar posture as well. I also added support levels which will likely to produce some reactions as well as upsloping trend lines. Yellow trend line is from the 2008/2009 Great Recession. Given the put to call ratio, extreme euphoria, and extreme bullishness in public sentiment, I expect down move to be very fast and swift.
Am I right or wrong? Only the time will tell....
Have a good trade, everyone.
T.