Pattern
Potential Upside for EURNZDTechnical overview:
The EURNZD currency pair has recently formed a head and shoulders pattern, and the price is currently at the neckline of this pattern as well as a significant resistance zone (1.8065-1.8160). If the price successfully breaks through this area, it could reach the specified price targets. However, if the price reverses downward from this zone, the first valid support level will be 1.78360.
Fundamental overview:
Considering recent geopolitical tensions that have driven the market toward risk-off sentiment, along with recent statements from the RBNZ, the NZD has weakened over the past month. If tensions continue to escalate in the coming days and weeks, we can expect this currency pair to increase further.
This analysis will certainly be updated after the price reacts to the resistance zone and neckline. Don’t miss the upcoming trading opportunities in this currency pair.
What are your thoughts on EURNZD ? are you bullish or bearish?
BTC - a last dip before new ATH ?The chart is in 3H cause couldn't zoom out more with lower timeframes :((
Pattern recognition at its best
since the low of the 10 October, the price action is an extremely exact copy paste of march/April ATH :
- A significant top, ATH for the first pattern and 3 months high for last week
- first take profits, to 200MA 4H for the first pattern, to 100 MA 4H, 4 days ago
- 2nd wave and 3rd wave higher than the second (almost hit ATH), the second wave has been made and BTC will probably make the third tomorrow
in April this followed a correction. The pattern was bigger in April in % price and in time, so we should see shorter waves and lower price movements now.
The conditions for this to continue as the last time and to see the last dip is to have a 3rd wave going around 69K :
- if we break above 69k the pattern get invalidated
- if we stay to long time above .618 fib extension at 66K3 the pattern get invalidated
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Careful don't mind me, I'm neutral on this idea, and will not do anything before seeing a clear path. What changes now from April is that the halving was priced in way before so I'm seeing also lot of reasons why prices could just go above 69k and fly from now
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Last but not least, BTC is for the moment following the orange path from my precedent idea, putting my target for fall 2025 at 240K, but this can change a lot
Good Luck
Cheers
BTC, can confirm we confim the breakout?Please check the previous idea to get the bigger picture - You find it in my profile
Hello everyone,
Bitcoin reached the top line of the flag pattern, that was built from the 74k top. We got a strong move up, but the breakout didn't even reached 70k.
Bearish Case
Currently we are in a correction of about 3000 Dollar and the correction could expand, if the current support from the 1H 200 EMA will be lost. The next support would come in between 64k and 65k.
Bullish Case
If the price can stay above 66500 and breaks the pattern to the upside, it will face resistance at 68k and needs to get over 68400 to continue the path to the upside. If that's the case, 73k should be the next target
Arabian Cement : Opportunity after breakout - Target 14Daily chart, the stock EGX:ARCC is trading in a descending channel, and a long flag chart pattern may be completed.
After crossing the Resistance line R, the target will be 12.
Closing above 11.3 for 2 days, the target will be 14 extending to 14.5
A new buy entry should be safer above 11.5 with the stop loss below 11.1
For an immediate entry, the Stop loss below SL line at 10.8 should be considered.
How to Identify and Trade Flag Patterns EffectivelyThe flag pattern is one of the most effective trading setups in the crypto market, known for its reliability and high probability of continuation in trending markets. Here’s a detailed overview of what a flag pattern is, how to identify it, and why it works so well in crypto trading.
What is a Flag Pattern?
A flag pattern appears as a brief consolidation following a strong price movement, resembling a rectangular shape. There are two main types of flag patterns: bull flags and bear flags.
Bull Flag: This pattern typically forms after a strong upward price movement (the flagpole), followed by a slight pullback or consolidation (the flag) before the price continues its upward trend. The flag usually slopes downward or moves sideways.
Example of Bullish Flag Pattern.
Bear Flag: Conversely, a bear flag occurs after a significant downward movement, followed by a consolidation that trends slightly upward, indicating a continuation of the downward trend once the price breaks down through the flag.
Example of Bearish Flag Pattern.
Identifying Flag Patterns
To identify a flag pattern, traders look for:
🏳️ Flagpole: This is the initial sharp price movement.
🏳️ Flag Formation: This should be a consolidation phase that lasts from 2-3 candles up to more than ten, depending on the timeframe.
🏳️ Volume Analysis: Ideally, the volume should be higher during the flagpole and lower during the flag consolidation. An increase in volume upon breakout is a strong confirmation of the continuation.
Here is the example chart for identifying the flag pattern:
Trading the Flag Pattern
To trade a flag pattern effectively, follow these steps:
📈 Entry: For a bull flag, consider entering the trade once the price breaks above the upper boundary of the flag. For a bear flag, enter on a break below the lower boundary.
📈 Stop Loss: Place your stop loss just below the flag (for bull flags) or above the flag (for bear flags).
📈 Profit Target: A common target is to measure the height of the flagpole and project that distance from the breakout point.
Example chart showing how to place a trade using the flag pattern:
Why It Works in Crypto Markets
The flag pattern is particularly effective in the crypto market for several reasons:
📊Volatility: Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile, which can create strong price movements leading to clear flag formations.
📈 Trend Continuation: Flags often appear in trending markets, where there’s a significant amount of bullish or bearish momentum.
🧠 Psychological Factors: Traders recognize these patterns, leading to increased buying or selling pressure at breakout points.
Example of Bullish and Bearish Flag Pattern:
Bullish Flag:
Bearish Flag:
Flag patterns are highly effective in crypto trading, offering clear signals for trend continuation. They are especially useful in volatile markets, providing reliable entry and exit points. By identifying strong momentum during the breakout and combining it with volume analysis, traders can use flag patterns to make well-informed, high-probability trades.
A classic setup for finding trading opportunitiesHi traders and investors!
In a recent post, I talked about a classic setup. You can find the post below in the related ideas section. I decided to elaborate on it a bit more because this setup frequently appears across different assets, and certain elements of this setup are common in various trading methodologies. In this article, I used a bar chart because bars take up less space, making it easier to see other elements of the chart.
Take a look at the chart. The seller's move from the 52,550 level updated the previous local high. The bar with the highest volume in this entire buyer's movement is the bar from September 18. The 50% level of the entire buyer's movement lies within this bar (!).
Next, we see the seller's movement, and on October 3, a test is formed within the key buyer's bar, at the level of 59,828.11. The price didn't reach the 50% level (59,524).
The key seller's bar in this movement (the bar with the highest volume) is the bar from October 1. The 50% level of the entire seller's movement is within this bar (!).
Next, we see the buyer's movement, and on October 5, a test is formed within the key seller's bar, at the level of 62,484.85. The price didn't reach the 50% level (63,163.06).
Then we see the buyer's attack on the test level of 62,484.85 and the 50% level of the seller's movement (63,163.06), followed by the seller returning the price below the test level, accumulating volume for a downward move. After that, the local minimum of 59,828.11 was updated.
Then, the seller attacks the test level of 59,828.11 and the 50% level of the buyer's movement (59,524), and the buyer returns the price above the test level, gathering volume for an upward move. What happens next... we will soon see.
This is how the buyer's attack on the 50% level of the seller's movement looked on the 4-hour time frame.
No differences whatsoever. Although, maybe I didn’t look hard enough. The key bar of the seller's movement intersects the 50% movement. First, there’s a test below the 50% level (test level 62,975), then an attack on the test level and the 50% level.
Hope you found it interesting.
Good luck with your trading and investments!