GOLD CUP & HANDLEI would write a bunch of nonsense here including how the MAVS are lining up and RSI is blah blah blah, but if youve traded before a day in your life you understand what it is you are looking at and for the reasons why its happening, well:
US DOLLAR = TRASH
GOLD = UP
CUP & HANDLE = TRADE IT GENIUS
Pattern
USDJPY BEAR SWINGHere we see USDJPY in its final push upwards. As we can see by the chart 138.00 is a very significant level for TWO reasons
1. It is a major FIBO level that is retesting the overall DOWNTREND that we are on from a WEEKLY perspective, this has been a necessary retracement to the massive downward trend that we had begun late last year.
2. It is the 1.6 FIBO EXTENSION of our current Daily/H4 uptrend and at this level usually overbought/sold conditions exist
Using this framework we can create a nice entry for our resulting swing downwards. This trade highly depends on the NFP data next week to come in not as HOT as last month
M&M*Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
*Don't jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. let it get settle for 5 min 15MIN first and judge price action. *Avoid gap up or gap down chase. Wait and trade between level.
Note: Trade with strict stoploss. It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respective level considering
how price action work near that level. Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
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We now wait for NFP!We now wait for the NFP!
Here we have the silver chart in-front of us!
We are currently within the range of lows: 19.800 highs: 20.450, Pattern: Triangle/ Bear flag
If we are to go above key resistance area and above 50EMA + TL resistance I expect first target to be 20.750 areas and then 200 EMA areas which is around next resistance zone of 21.400. However, we are to decline with a strong NFP, I expect 19.500/400 to be your target areas.
Regarding NFP checking the other data as well, see the differential of it and is it at a vast numeric change.
Trade Journal
BTC 15m Double Top Turned Into Smaller Double BottomThe double top we had was invalidated twice, creating a smaller double bottom pattern, which is already broken and now retested. A potential target is 20320, and above that price, we have a big hole in VPVR, which can help the price rise above this level too. To me, this seems like a fake out, based on the waves indicator at the bottom, but the long option is possible.
USDCAD - LT/MT Idea!CAD - LT/MT Idea!
We have a lot of dollar buying end of flows, end of month. We saw that in most of the majors shifting. What's really key to me is we are seeing US data take a hit US indices, it is time to take into consideration what could happen next with the FX majors. Here's a glimpse of what I think of CAD:
This chart is based purely on Technical aspect.
Currently we within the ranges - Highs: 1.37355 & Lows: 1.32485
A break of highs, we could be forming the pattern W / Break out of wedge/triangle formation
Target areas: 1.38885 & 1.41290
A break of the lows, we break below 50EMA + break out of pattern takes us to 200 EMA + TL
Target areas: 1.30270 & 1.27955
Take into consideration of other FX minor pairs such as CADCHF - Stuck within range, ready to break! There are great opportunities out there for us traders to take advantage, of.
Trade Journal
Shortsqueeze BNB?oh, yes today was a volatile day, while Powell gave his testimony, the market moved a bit up and down.. With the news yesterday, that the increases may continue, the market was in a panic since a few weeks ago It was assumed that there would be no increases. Surprise the Fed did it again. But currently the market must price in .50 and who knows if .75, what I currently expect is this shortsqueeze move and then a gradual fall. Good luck friends.
EURJPY - Trade idea!EURJPY - Trade idea!
This post is purely based on technicals!
Pattern: Wedge/Triangle - A break to either direction.
Highs: 145.575
Lows: 144.030
If it breaks the highs expect your target areas to be 147 low areas & If it breaks the lows expect your target areas to be 143 areas (200 EMA).
Be careful of false break outs and we do have a busy day on the docket today!
ADP, Powell day 2, JOLTs!
Have a great day ahead!
Trade Journal
GBPUSD is forming a double topDuring a congressional hearing on Tuesday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell announced that the central bank is expecting to raise interest rates multiple times in the coming months. Powell also stated that the Fed would be ready to speed up its monetary policy tightening if necessary. This announcement is consistent with previous hints from other Fed officials and was made to communicate the Fed's plan to raise interest rates by 50 basis points next time.
However, if the Fed does raise interest rates by 50 basis points, it may indicate that the previous increase of 25 basis points was insufficient. Accelerating the pace of rate hikes may also raise concerns about the Fed's policy decisions. It is uncertain whether the Fed will raise rates by 75 basis points next time, which could cause turbulence in the financial system.
In addition, the US government has stopped issuing bonds due to the debt ceiling, but when bond issuance resumes, there are two potential outcomes. One possibility is that an increase in supply will cause bond interest rates to rise. The other possibility is that demand will remain strong, minimizing the impact. If interest rates rise due to increased supply, it could put upward pressure on the dollar.
As the dollar strengthens, the pound is weakening and is currently testing its neckline. If the pound breaks below this neckline, it could lead to a double top test of 1.12-1.14.
Can there be more $USD strength coming up ? Price Action Is Key
Few USD pairs to watch out for the next few days and weeks.
Remember the difference between having a bias, and confirmation for entry.
We can have a bias of a possible pair, but do not enter trades unless they are confirmed by price action.
DXY
EURUSD
USDCAD
AUDUSD
GBPUSD
USDCAD Bullish Price Action, Wait For Buys
Hello traders:
Looking at USDCAD here on the higher time frame, I cant help but point out the bullish price action in nature.
The overall structure looks clean from the bullish move up, and a larger correction, with multiple swing highs and lows, forming the correctional structure you see right now.
From last year, during September 2022, we see a strong bullish impulse phase on the mid time frame, validates my forecast from the beginning of the year.
After the impulse phase, we can see a consolidation begin to form, and price is correcting for the next possible continuation up move.
What we can wait for is on the lower time frame development to confirm the next up move.
I would wait for some clean bullish continuation correction to form and complete, before consider entry.
Thank you
GBPJPY More Downside, Watch For Sell
On GBPJPY, we can expect more bearish price action to confirm the downside.
What I like about the price action is we have ascending channel reversal, within the larger correction that is correcting the previous bearish impulse phase.
We can see price has already started ts bearish move from the top of structure, and has already formed a continuation correction to break out of the ascending channel.
Expecting more downside, wait for more bearish continuation corrections on the lower time frame to confirm more drop.
CAD - Trade idea! CAD - Trade idea!
Another week, another trade opportunity!
USDCAD - Very clear levels.
Currently we are within the ranges. Highs: 1.36600 Lows: 1.35375
A break of key resistance highs, we could go towards 1.37730 areas. However, we if break below the lows and further down below 200 EMA I expect it to reach towards 1.34380.
Keep in mind false breaks out, take a look at crude and most importantly NFP this week!
Trade Journal
📉 4 Common Bearish PatternsIn trading, a bearish pattern is a technical chart pattern that indicates a potential trend reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. These patterns are characterized by a series of price movements that signal a bearish sentiment among traders.
📍Bear Flag
🔸 A small rectangular pattern that slopes against the preceding trend
🔸 Forms after a rapid price decline (flagpole)
🔸 The pattern is completed when the price breaks below the lower trend line of the flag
📍Descending Triangle
🔸 A bearish continuation pattern that forms with a horizontal support line and a descending trendline
🔸 Forms as the price reaches lower highs, while the lows remain at the same level
🔸 The pattern is completed when the price breaks below the horizontal support line
📍Rising Wedge
🔸 A bearish reversal pattern that forms with a series of higher highs and higher lows
🔸 The pattern forms as the price moves up in a narrowing range
🔸 The pattern is completed when the price breaks below the lower trendline
📍Triple Top
🔸 A bearish reversal pattern that forms with three peaks at the same price level
🔸 The pattern forms as the price reaches resistance at the same level multiple times
🔸 The pattern is completed when the price breaks below the support level, which connects the lows between the peaks
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