$GBPCHF$GBPCHF - A break to either direction!
We had a pull back finally in the market, AUDCHF came down and various other markets such as ES, GBP etc. Now I'm going through minor FX pairs this is a break either direction. We are within channel, added alerts in to either direction of break.
If we were to go above and carry on within channel expect 200 EMA target areas.
If we were to go below and beak down - 1.11600 / 1.11400 areas is a good target area.
Don't forget to trade your own plan!
Trade Journal
Pattern
BTCUSDT is testing the KEY level!Bitcoin hit 20k as I told you in my previous analysis after a clear breakout and retest of Ascending channel.
Now the price is testing the key level, where this dump began, and where the market printed the previous HL on the daily timeframe.
On the Daily we can spot a clear W pattern, usually, the market wants to retest its neckline. In that case, the neckline is on 0.618 Fibonacci level on the daily timeframe,
About the 4h timeframe, we can see a false breakout above the local HH and on the 4h supply.
What's next?
If the price is going to lose the 4h support on 20k and retest it as new resistance, we could see a retracement until the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
Otherwise, If the market is going to close with a volume above 21600, we could see a new bullish scenario.
Bank Holiday in the USA (Martin Luther King Jr. Day)
$CAD - Patience $CAD - Interesting...
At this current moment of time we are in a range but - Pattern forming of Flag a break to downside of these ranges to confirm taking CAD towards 1.32/1.31 areas. Good R/R -However, if we break above the TL above 200 EMA would be your target.
Follow your own trade plan.
Trade Journal
$NZD - Interesting area!$NZD - Interesting area!
I always go towards higher time frames, as Higher TF = Shorter TF movement it's really is as simple as that.
As you can see, this is the weekly now we are within the ranges:
Lows: 0.62 /.61 Areas
Highs: 0.65 Areas
For now you execute the range trade playing between those high and lows until a break.
A break to either direction, would take you to either to trendline resistance and 200 EMA areas. A break below low of the ranges, you go towards great Fib area of support 0.60000 areas
Overall, the market is looking over extended even with DXY but picking bottoms isn't wise decision to ever make!
Key Tip: Follow your own trade plan.
Have a great week ahead,
Trade Journal
crown pattern on usoilhello guys...
usoil or WTI makes a crown pattern. and the target of this pattern is as height as the main pattern so in this scenario usoil should reach the $66 area.
to the clear crown pattern:
kind of looks opposite of the head and shoulders pattern.
on the hand, the $66 have been important before
clearly, you can see this resistance level before and after the dump:
there are a lot of reasons for usoil to reach the $66 level and maybe the price will start an upward movement from this specific level.
but we should prepare for every situation so if the price engulfs the red level be ready for getting a long position.
always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them.
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$ETH - Bulls are gaining control...$ETH - Bulls are gaining control...
Bullish momentum of crypto is back! ETH at key resistance zone as long as we stay above $1300 areas bulls are in control, we could head towards 50 EMA next target areas which is: $1800 areas. Overall long term target areas for break out $2000-$2500.
DXY heads lower, cryptos head higher to breaking out as well as precious metals stay elevated.
Going towards lower time frames to get the best prices.
Don't forget to trade your own trade plan.
Trade Journal
AMD double-top indicates a fall back to 50 by JanuaryAMD has been trading in a descending channel for the past year. A double-top has just formed near the upper resistance line. This would indicate that the price will go lower shortly. It's possible a triple-top could form before this happens. It's also possible that a cup and handle have formed and the price will break out from the channel. But based on the past pattern cadence and the angle of previous price drops, I expect AMD to hit 50 sometime near the end of December or the beginning of January. I'll be watching closely over the next couple of trading days to confirm.
BMRI - Awaiting for The Next Reversal PointA symmetrical triangle pattern appeared since Feb'20 to Jan'22, and create a foreseeable target price IDX:BMRI at 11,250. The price was hit 11,000 in Dec 6th, 2022, nearly hit 11,250 as a mirroring projection to the symmetrical triangle, and making a corrective wave so far.
I used Fibonacci Retracement to find its reversal point, and finally found it at 8,375 to 8,625 level, I would like to buy IDX:BMRI at these key level.
Wish me luck.
📉📈 ZigZag IndicatorZigZag's primary goal is to focus on significant swings and trends by removing insignificant and misleading price changes.
ZigZag connects the price's highest and lowest points using straight lines while ignoring minor swings.
ZigZag just aims to make sense of the market's previous movements; it makes no attempt to predict the price of an item.
It is only based on hindsight and is not predictive in any way. It is based on the past prices of securities and cannot forecast the next swing highs and swing lows.
🟢Advantages
It eliminates market noise and displays the most significant price fluctuations.
It operates in several timeframes.
When utilized in cooperation with other technical indicators, it gives positive results.
🔴Disadvantages
It will mark the latest high or low of the price with a time lag.
The last stretch of the indicator (the one that involves the current price) may be redrawn.
Not predictive in any way, has to be used in combination of other strategies to be effective.
👤 @AlgoBuddy
📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
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CADCHF - Perhaps another leg higher?CADCHF - Perhaps another leg higher?
CADCHF Checking higher timeframes at key support of weekly, monthly and daily we've got range breaking out, further upside could take us towards 0.70500 areas. However, keep in mind if we go back within this range I'd be re-thinking core long on CADCHF
We had CPI came in as estimate, it wasn't a major move we headed to the direction we are heading in all markets, dxy heads lower etc. The trend is your friend, until it's broken.
Great traders I network with via twitter gave me amazing advice, a great trader and personally a mentor to me stated "Never met a legit millionaire who is out there bringing people down" . And it's true, every successful trader I've surrounded myself with are open to discuss market moves, psychology aspects and they aren't selling scams via a telegram, not become a social media guru to gain lot of followers. The right traders they helping trading communities grow in a correct manner.
Have a great weekend,
Trade Journal
$XAG - Which side?!$XAG - Which side?!
Market overall bearishness on DXY looks over done, we could get pull back on the metals break below these key areas taking silver to 22.5/21.5 areas could easily be achieved however break above 25.5 areas would be your target area..
Don't forget to trade your OWN plan!
Best
TJ
❌ False Breakout PatternsA breakout that failed to proceed past a level, leading to a "false" breakout of that level, is referred to as a "false breakout."
One of the most essential price action trading patterns to learn is the false double bottom and double top patterns,
as a false-break is frequently a very strong indicator that price may be changing direction or that a trend may soon resume.
False breakouts occur in all market scenarios, including trending, consolidating, and counter-trending.
Trading Tips To Respect:
✅False breakouts can happen in markets that are trending, range-bound, or going against the trend.
Watch for them in all market conditions since they frequently provide insightful hints about the direction the market will take.
✅Trading against a trend can be challenging, but one of the "best" approaches is to watch for a clear false breakout signal
from a significant support or resistance level, as in the last example above.
✅False breakouts provide us with a "window" into the "fight" between expert and amateur traders, allowing us to engage in trading alongside them.
Trading will appear to you in a different light if you can learn to recognize and trade false breakout patterns.
👤 @AlgoBuddy
📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
❤️ If you appreciate our work , Please like, comment and follow ❤️
SPX - We are still within the range!SPX - We are still within the range!
SPX - For most indices we've had bullish momentum especially in Europe side cac, ftse, dax amazing moves but we are still struggling when it comes to US Indices. We've had great bullish momentum at the end of the week now let's not get too excited we are still within the ranges things to keep in mind this week going forward CPI, Q4 earnings, Unemployment claims coming out of US.
Key tip: Ignore the noise and focus on the chart in front of you. Everyone has opinions, they'll even comment on your career choice but most importantly only YOU can learn and earn by the execution of your own trades.
A break to either direction.
Trade Journal
6 Reliable Bullish Candlestick PatternHello dear traders,
Here are some educational chart patterns that you must know in 2022 and 2023.
I hope you find this information educational and informative.
We are new here so we ask you to support our views with your likes and comments,
Feel free to ask any questions in the comments, and we'll try to answer them all, folks.
6 Reliable Bullish Candlestick Pattern
1) The Hammer
2) Bullish Engulfing Crack
3) Bearish Engulfing Sandwich
4) Morning Star
5) Tweezer Bottom
6) Piercing Line
1. The Hammer:-
Hammer is a bullish candlestick reversal candle.
Which is formed within the next few candles. As the price declines sharply, we anticipate a final bounce.
But how can we estimate without falling into overselling?
That's where Hammer comes into play. This gives us evidence that the selling pressure is subsiding or being absorbed. Furthermore, if the volume signature associated with the hammer candle is significant, it adds even more confidence to our thesis.
We are looking to cash in on shorts who are taking profits and covering, as well as dip buyers who are taking chances here on oversold positions. Expectation? an assembly.
Ideally, you identify a hammer candle, take a long position on a break on the upside of the candle, and set risk on the low or in the body of the hammer.
Bullish Hammer Example;-
Let’s look at a real-life example with BTC. Right off the open, BTC retests the lows from the pre-market. Once it reaches those levels, volume increases slightly as it reverses on the 5-minute chart seen here.
Visibly, there is a “shelf” forming near the low of the hammer candle’s body. The bar to the left and right is also closed and open in that price “shelf” area.
The second 5-minute chart opens with a bit of weakness, then rallies strongly above the Hammer candle.
This is your signal to go long. The break of the Hammer candle body.
Set the stop below the close of this bullish 5-minute candle.
2. Bullish Engulfing Crack:-
You can imagine that shorts will start covering given the rising price of the stock. This adds fuel to the already existing buying pressure.
The result is a bullish candlestick pattern that swallows up the bears' efforts. For the long-biased trader, the opportunity is perfect.
As is the case with any setup, we are looking for evidence to sway our confidence in either direction. The fact that the bears completely got away in this single bar is proof enough for us.
You go long on the break of the previous bar and set the stop on the low.
Bullish Engulfing Examples:-
Here's a snapshot of BTC, which provided us with a beautiful opening range breakout (ORB) opportunity right out of the gate on this particular day:
After the selloff, buyers come in and remove the selling pressure from the pre-market, engulfing the bears before moving up.
To be safe, you enter long when the red candle breaks, setting your risk at the low level or body of the first green candle.
There are some advanced traders who are more aggressive and may take their positions early if they feel a reversal is imminent.
3. Bearish Engulfing Sandwich:-
do not be confused. Just because the name says "bearish" doesn't mean it's a bearish pattern. Far from it, actually. It is often referred to as a stick sandwich.
The name is derived from the sandwiching of a "bearish engulfing" candle by two bullish candles. Thus, it is a bullish candlestick pattern in this context.
Similar to the above example of a Bullish Engulfing Crack, this pattern takes a bit longer to "move through" so to speak. Essentially an extra bar.
The perception is that the trend has reversed and we are now going down. After all, the bearish engulfing candle gives us that confidence,
If you're on the smaller side, there's hope. However, stocks don't always do what we want them to. We have to react to what the market gives us, not what we think should happen.
In this case, the Bearish Engulfing Crack is used by two bullish candles that move upwards. If you are short, hopefully, you have respected your stop loss. If you are a long-time bias, here is a good opportunity for you.
Bearish Engulfing Sandwich Example:-
After opening with a 5-minute candle chart, BTC gives a great view of it in real-time.
In this case, the right side of the sandwich acts similarly to the Bullish Engulfing Crack candlestick pattern. For all intents and purposes, you should treat your entries and risk according to the same pattern.
4. The Morning Star:-
Morning Star should gap down. It's difficult to find on an intraday basis. For this reason, we are good enough for a solid Doji candle reversal pattern.
The opening candle should be long-bodied and bearish. The middle candle is the one with the smaller body. A reversal candle is another bullish candle with a long body (usually gaping up). The close of this bullish long-bodied candle should be above the midpoint of the first candle.
Without much selling pressure, the candlestick climbs to higher prices as sellers cover and buyers take advantage of discounted stock pricing.
Morning stars can also appear as morning Doji stars. They look almost identical except for the body of the middle candle. The story of buyers and sellers remains the same.
Bullish Morning Star Example:-
You can see this in action with the BTC example below. A long-body bearish candle, followed by a narrow-body indecision candle. The bulls take control of the next candle and the rest is history.
It is worthwhile to note the volume of the first candle. We cannot assume that this is a complete recession. As you can see, there is buying pressure at lower levels. When a Doji candle is formed, it gives us confidence.
As a result, as soon as the price moves away from the lower level of the green candle; It does this in small amounts.
How can we explain that?
It took less effort to increase the price. Therefore, we can assume that the reverse is "ease of movement". This should give us confidence in our long position.
5. Tweezer Bottom:-
The Tweezer Bottom Bullish candlestick pattern consists of two candles – usually with small bodies. The first should be a red/bearish candle, and the second a green/bullish candle.
Theoretically, the Tweezer Bottom alerts the chart reader to the fact that an attempt is being made to push the price down, but to no avail. Two smaller-sized candles represent the presence of demand in the market.
Supply is being absorbed keeping candles short in the presence of selling pressure, so the volume sign will appear higher.
Entry should be taken as soon as the price breaks through the second candle. Stops can be set on the lows.
Bullish Tweezer Bottom Example:-
BTC is displaying a beautiful tweezer bottom candlestick pattern for us on the 5-minute chart. Note the narrow bodies of the two candlesticks, their symmetry, and the close range from red to green.
The volume of this first red Doji is particularly interesting. Note how high it is here. Given the context, we can interpret this as an absorption of supply.
The second candlestick (green) then rapidly decreases in volume. Thus, our thesis is confirmed that sales are absorbed and eliminated.
6. Piercing Line:-
The piercing line may look similar to a bullish engulfing pattern. The exception is that the piercing line does not completely encircle the previous candle.
It is still considered a bullish candlestick pattern as it overcame the downward momentum to close at least midway in the body of the previous candle.
It pierces the bottom line but inevitably retraces.
Bullish Piercing Line Example:-
Piercing lines may present a greater risk to reward at lower levels of support. They can also act as a spring in the trading range.
This 5-minute chart of BTC shows the combination of an opening range breakout (ORB) with a piercing line. Together, it's a combination that can really add confidence to our entryways.
As with any setup, the more evidence we have to confirm our bias and plan, the better. For this reason, it is always good to ask yourself:
Are the trends in my favor?
Is it time for a change?
Does the volume confirm my thesis?
Is the stock in an area of support or resistance?
Are the multiple timeframes in line with my view?
Trade with care.
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