DXY (USD Index) Daily Analysis June 7th, 2020 DXY Short idea
Based on last weeks huge bearish momentum I will have a bearish bias coming into this week.
It looks very likely that we will see our monthly zone tested around the 96.00 area before any sort of reversal will be considered.
The blue arrow represents the most likely trade path down to the 96.00 area
The orange arrow represents a break of this bearish channel and a retracement to our key resistance and 61.8% (98.50) fib based on the position of current price action.
Patternanalysis
XAUUSD (GOLD) 4hour Analysis 5/31/20Gold Long Idea
We have seen strong bullish movement on all higher timeframes especially the recent 4hour.
We are currently seeing a strong continuation to the upside and are looking to target higher toward 1800!
Look to enter on 4hour timeframe setups and lower
The blue arrow represents the likely trade path for gold this week
EURJPY 4hour Analysis 5/31/20EURJPY Long Idea
This pair is very bullish on this 4hour timeframe and is looking to continue with this trend, however, we are pretty extended at this point a retracement is likely to occur.
Look for a bounce off the 118.500 area which is a confluence area with structure, 50% fib level and clear support.
The blue arrow is the likely trade path for this pair and we will be entering a long position if proper bullish setups present themselves on this timeframe and lower. We could see a strong push all the way up to our weekly resistance level around 121.250
The orange arrow represents the movement in price action needed to consider short positions
EURUSD 4hour Analysis 5/31/20 EURUSD Long idea
This pair has turned majorly bullish on the 4hour timeframe breaking our daily range.
Current price action is in a strong bullish trend and is looking to make another push higher toward key resistance and our -27% fib level around 1.11800
The blue arrows are the most likely trade paths for current price action which support our bullish sentiment on this timeframe
The orange arrow represents how price action needs to move in order to consider a bearish trade opportunity
AUDJPY 4hour Analysis 5/31/20AUDJPY Long Idea
Much like AU we are seeing price action push past daily LH’s and is looking to form a bullish transition.
On the 4hour timeframe and lower we are looking for strong bullish setups at market open to present a bullish trade opportunity. Look to target our -61.8% fib level around 72.850
The blue arrow represents the likely trade path for this week, price action could push much higher if we see this daily resisting trendline break
The orange arrow represents the potential bearish trade scenario if our supporting structure zone around 71.000 breaks.
AUDUSD 4hour Analysis 5/31/20AUDUSD Long Idea
This pair is currently mid formation of a daily transition to the upside! Meaning the daily bearish 100% fib level has been passed and price action may be looking bullish for now.
On the 4hour chart price action is showing strong bullish momentum and we’re looking to make a push toward 0.67500 which is looking very likely.
Upon market open look for strong bullish setups on the 4hr and on lower timeframes to confirm the trade
The blue arrow represents the likely scenario for current price action.
The orange arrow represents a potential bearish scenario if the bulls fail to continue with momentum.
DXY 4hour Analysis 5/31//20DXY Long Idea
Last week we saw a huge bearish move on DXY and price action was pushed down toward our 98.50 zone where we are currently seeing some rejection
Price action is still very much within this range and the likelihood of a pullback to 99.15 ish high
The blue arrow is the likely trade path for this week as it supports all higher timeframe sentiments
The orange arrow is the secondary trade path which supports the continuation of this recent bearish push
XAUUSD (GOLD) 4hour Analysis 5/24/20Gold Long Idea
Most timeframes on gold are majorly bullish!
Currently we are seeing a pullback after a large push which will potentially give us another long opportunity
Following the blue arrow we want to see a break and retest of 1738.00 followed by strong bullish setups which would give us enough confirmation to enter long and target higher.
Look to target toward 1800
EURJPY 4hour Analysis 5/24/20EURJPY Long Idea
Higher timeframes on this pair are primarily bearish, however, we are seeing a strong 4hour bullish trend emerge after breaking key resistance.
Currently we have seen price action retrace to the 61.8% fib level and looks to be getting ready for a bounce.
The blue arrow represents the most likely trade path considering we see more bullish setups from at the current level. Look to target higher toward the -61.8% fib level
The orange arrows is the trade path that would need to take place for us to start considering short opportunities.
EURUSD 4hour Analysis 5/24/20 EURUSD Short Idea
Higher timeframes are primarily bearish on this pair but on this 4hour timeframe we have seen significant ranging between 1.10000 & 1.07750
We have an active short on this pair as we saw a bearish transition take place near the top of the range.
The blue arrows are our trade projection and seem very likely based on strong bearish momentum and confirmations
The orange arrow represents the scenario where we see a bounce from the current level and a potential pullback toward a fib level where we could see another potential opportunity to short.
AUDJPY 4hour Analysis 5/24/20AUDJPY Long Idea
The higher time frame is primarily bearish but we have seen a very strong 4hour bullish trend much like AU
We are going to continue with this bullish 4hour trend and look for long setups within this 4hour bullish channel
Confirmation to enter long could be seen after a break and retest of lower timeframe structure around 70.600 (the blue arrow) Look to target toward the -27.2 fib level around 71.650
The less ideal scenario would be a push lower toward the bottom of this 4hour channel (the orange arrow). Look for strong bearish setups at the current level with closure below our 38.2% fib level.
AUDUSD 4hour Analysis 5/24/20AUDUSD Long Idea
The higher timeframes are bearish on this pair but we have seen very strong 4hour bullish volume lately
We are currently favoring a 4hour bullish push higher toward the top of this channel
(the blue arrows) and a break and retest of 0.65580 would be confirmation enough
The other potential scenario would be a drop in price action toward the bottom of this channel (the orange arrow). To enter short we need to see strong bearish setups at the current area with closure below 0.65150
Until this channel breaks from strong bearish momentum we will remain bullish on this pair
DXY 4hour Analysis 5/24//20DXY Long Idea
Last week we saw DXY bounce around the 99.15 area and we began to see a 4hour bullish transition form
Current price action is resting at our daily support level and 200 ema where we are looking for more bullish confirmation which would solidify a continuation on this timeframe
We are short term bullish on DXY and are looking for price action to push up toward 100.25
EURJPY Daily Analysis 5/17/20EURJPY Short Idea
This pair is very bearish on higher timeframes and is also in a very strong daily bearish channel, much like EU
In the last couple weeks we saw a break of our major monthly support level followed by a retest which confirmed a Lower High.
From the current level we want to see bearish setups which would be confirmation enough to enter short.
Right now it’s looking like a 4 hour double top which further confirms our short bias.
The blue arrow represents a high probability trade we will take once we have the entry confirmation. Look to target lower toward major support levels.
EURUSD 4hour Analysis 5/17/20 EURUSD Short Idea
All higher time frames are significantly bearish and have been in a steep daily bearish channel.
Currently we are looking for short opportunities only and are looking for bearish setups to enter short on.
The blue arrow represents a high probability trade given we see the proper confirmations. Look to target lower toward major support levels
AUDJPY 4hour Analysis 5/17/20AUDJPY Short Idea
This pair has been primarily bearish on higher times but has been in a strong 4hour bullish trend up until this current level around our 70.000 resistance level.
At the 70.000 level we saw a double top form followed by lower timeframe bearish transitions, very similar to what we saw on AU
At the current level we want to see this yellow 4hour support zone break followed by more lower timeframe bearish transitions.
The blue arrows are the preferred and highest probable trade outcome here. Look to target lower toward 67.500 after we see a lower high confirmed below or at the yellow 4hour zone.
AUDUSD 4hour Analysis 5/17/20AUDUSD Short Idea
This pair played out exactly as expected last week. We saw rejection from a key weekly resistance zone in the form of a double top and then saw lower timeframe transitions.
This gave us the confirmation to enter short and target our next major support level around 0.64000
From this level we want to see this bearish transition continue and play into the overall daily bearish trend. This could be a huge move!
Upon similar transition confirmations look to enter short and target lower toward major support levels.
DXY 4hour Analysis 5/17//20DXY Long Idea
USD is on it’s way to test the 101.00 area once again
Price action has been forming very well within this range between 98.50 & 101.00 and we are expecting a bounce from this level to continue the range
The blue arrow represents the most probable path for price action which in this scenario includes a bounce from resistance at 101.00
The orange arrow represents the possibility of a breakout to the upside if bullish momentum continues. This is not the preferred path but it is possible and could be the result of high impact news, dollar shortage & extreme dollar demand!
XAUUSD (GOLD) 4hour Analysis 5/10/20Gold Long Idea
As we have seen for many weeks Gold has been very bullish on all higher timeframes.
Currently we are seeing what looks like another potential strong push to the upside. We saw a break of 1715.00 and price action is now forming a retest.
Ideally strong bullish setups at the current level would be enough to enter long on. Look to target the 1800.000 area as that is the next major level of key resistance.
EURJPY Daily Analysis 5/10/20EURJPY Short Idea
This pair is looking very bearish on all significant timeframes and is looking to make a strong push to the downside.
Last week we saw key support broken around 116.250 and is now making a retest of that zone.
Ideally we want to see a confirmed lower high followed by strong bearish setups. Look to target lower toward our next major weekly zone around 111.650
EURUSD 4hour Analysis 5/10/20 EURUSD Short Idea
Higher timeframes are significantly bearish on this pair and we are currently seeing what looks like to begining of another bearish leg.
We saw a break and retest of 4hour support as well as the 38.2% fib level.
Ideally more bearish setups on lower timeframes would be reason to enter short. Look to target lower toward our key monthly level around 1.06000
AUDUSD Daily Analysis 5/9/20AUDUSD Short Idea
The daily timeframe and higher are significantly bearish but we have seen a very strong 4 hour bullish trend.
From the current level we will be able to decide if the overall bearish trend will continue or if this 4hour trend will push price action higher and start the daily trend transition to the upside.
Price action is currently at the 88.6% fib level and we could see a strong reversal from our weekly resistance. Ideally we want to see a break and retest of 0.64000 to confirm a bearish transition.
Look to target lower toward 0.60300 if good bearish volume presents itself after a confirmed lower high.
DXY 4hour Analysis 5/9//20DXY Long Idea
Last week we saw news push DXY lower out of a 4hour bullish trend toward 98.50
From the 98.50 area I’ll be looking for a bounce as all higher timeframes are significantly bullish and the 98.50 has been holding as key support for quite some time.
We also want to see DXY continue to remain stable and continue to range between 101.00 and 98.500
In the scenario we see DXY break 98.50 and continue to the downside look for a confirmed lower high