EURJPY Daily Analysis 5/3/20EURJPY Neutral Idea
Last week it looked like this pair was ready to make a push to the downside before it quickly surged higher.
From the current level we want to see more confirmation before we decide where this pair may be going.
We have 1 of 2 potential scenarios:
Price action finds support at the current level and pushes higher. Look to target higher toward 118.500
Price action continues with the overall bearish trend. Look for a break and retest of 116.250 before targeting lower toward 111.650
Patternanalysis
EURUSD Daily Analysis 5/3/20 EURUSD Short Idea
This pair formed the retest we wanted to see at the 1.10000 level
From here we have potential for 1 of 2 scenarios:
1. Price action breaks resistance and begins the start of a bullish trend.
2. Price action forms strong bearish setups in line with the overall bearish trend and makes a push lower. Look to target lower toward our monthly support around 1.06000
AUDJPY 4hour Analysis 5/3/20AUDJPY Short Idea
Last week we saw a strong 4hour bullish trend and expected that trend to continue up to the 70.000 handle which is our weekly resistance zone
Keep in mind this is just a 4hour trend and that the higher timeframes are primarily bearish
We want to see a break of 67.500 with strong bearish setups playing into the overall higher timeframe bearish trend.
Look to target lower toward 64.750
AUDUSD Daily Analysis 5/3/20AUDUSD Short Idea
Last week we saw price action push up toward our key resistance around 0.65000 which was consistent with a strong bullish 4 hour trend.
Now we are seeing a bit of rejection from this level which fits the very bearish daily trend as well as higher timeframe trends.
If we see a clear break of 0.64000 then we can consider short positions.
If the overall bearish trend starts to take over here we could see a large push to the downside toward our monthly support around 0.60200
DXY 4hour Analysis 5/3/20DXY Neutral Idea
DXY played out exactly as we expected last week as it bounced from the 101.00 area and formed a bearish leg down to the 98.50 area.
We are almost at our key support around 98.50 where we should be cautious as we could easily see a bounce from this level.
Ideally we want to continue to see DXY range between 101.00 and 98.50
If we see a bounce from 98.50 look for strong bullish setups confirming a push higher.
EURJPY Daily Analysis 4/26/20EURJPY Short Idea
This pair is looking very bearish on all significant timeframes
The current level 116.250 is where we will see if price action is going to continue lower or bounce
We have 2 potential scenarios here:
1. Price action bounces from 116.250 with strong bullish setups. Look to target toward our next resistance level around 118.500
2. Price action breaks 116.250 with good bearish momentum. Look for a retest with the proper bearish confirmations. Target lower toward 111.650
EURUSD Daily Analysis 4/26/20 EURUSD Neutral Idea
This pair is extremely bearish on all significant timeframes and is in a steep bearish weekly channel.
Currently price action is in a high risk area so we want to wait this one out and see if we can get a better entry opportunity.
Look for price action to reach the 1.10000 level in which case we will look for either a break or bounce.
If we see a bounce from 1.10000 look for strong bearish setups and confirmations to then enter short on. Look to target lower toward our monthly support around 1.06000
If we see a break to the upside look for a break and retest of 1.10000 followed by strong bullish setups. Look to target higher toward 1.15000
AUDJPY 4hour Analysis 4/26/20AUDJPY Long Idea
Higher timeframes suggest that this pair is primarily bearish, however, we have seen a strong bullish 4hour trend.
We are currently going to stick with the 4hour bullish bias as we are continuously seeing bullish confirmations.
We recently saw this bullish flag form and break to the upside. Look for more bullish confirmations to then enter long on. Target toward our weekly resistance level around 70.000
If price action fails to push higher and actually falls out of this area look for support around 67.500 to break and retest followed by strong bearish setups. Look to target lower toward our next major support around 64.750
DXY 4hour Analysis 4/26/20DXY Short Idea
DXY is looking very bullish on most significant timeframes and is currently rising on the 4hr in a steady trend.
I am expecting some bearish movement this week as DXY seems a bit too strong considering global conditions.
We want to see DXY continue to range between 101.00 & 98.50 because this confirms more stability for the USD.
Look for bearish setups from the current level to then consider short positions for USD pairs.
NZDUSD ShortALOHA
D - current day is resisting the 50 enamors and had bearish consolidation but still with some momentum for the downside. the last few days of been corrective creating nicer intra day patterns.
4hr - correction just under the 50 ema, now creating strong bear candles instead of high-test reversal candles.
1hr - Price bounced back up to the 50ema to reject and close below, then forming a 7 hour consolidation pattern that signaled a conituliation for myself.
15. Rising wedge ,2 touch top two touch bottom, rejection of the 50 ema, and at the bottom of the bigger 1hr structure.
30 pip stop. This is a continuation entry off the last few short trades I've placed with NZDUSD. This pair has been on my watch for the last week. Entry order was placed earlier this morning and triggered in the afternoon.
EURJPY Daily Analysis 4/19/20EURJPY Short Idea
This pair is very bearish on significant timeframes but we have seen tons of support at the current level.
Sticking with the trend we are looking for short opportunities but we need to see some more conviction before entering.
Look to target lower toward our -27% fib level and monthly support around 115.500-115.00
AUDJPY 4hour Analysis 4/19/20AUDJPY Long Idea
This pair is very bullish on the 4hour timeframe and we have been seeing great structure formation with plenty of volume.
From the current level we want to see strong bullish setups giving us confidence in a long position. Look to target toward the 70.000 area
If price action falls out we want to see a break of 67.600 before considering short positions.
XAUUSD (GOLD) Daily Analysis 4/12/20Gold Neutral Idea
Overall on higher timeframes we have seen gold be primarily bullish.
The current level 1640.00 is the deciding point for our outlook.
Ideally we would like to see a bounce from 1640.00 with strong bullish setups then we can target higher toward 1800.
If we see 1640.00 break look for price action to reach 1550.00
NZDCAD 4Hour Analysis 4/12/20NZDCAD Long Idea
This pair is still looking bullish on the 4hr and is making a retrace to the 38.2%
If we see a strong rejection from the 0.84500 level we want to target higher toward 0.85600
If 0.84500 breaks it’s likely that our weekly support will be tested around 0.83750
EURJPY Daily Analysis 4/12/20EURJPY Short Idea
We’re looking short on this pair as all major timeframe trends point toward the bears.
We also may see a rejection of the current level this week. Look for strong bearish setups and breaks of structure throughout lower timeframes.
Ideally a break and retest of 118.000 with strong setups would be reason to enter. Look to target lower toward 117.000 and the monthly support around 115.000
EURUSD 4hour Analysis 4/12/20 EURUSD Short Idea
This pair has reached a daily 38.2% fib level around 1.09500 and is looking to continue it’s bearish trend.
From this level we are looking for lower timeframe transitions in price action.
Look for strong bearish setups and a break of this pattern. Target lower toward major support levels like 1.08300 & potentially 1.07000
AUDJPY 4hour Analysis 4/12/20AUDJPY Neutral Idea
This pair has been holding a strong 4hr bullish trend but volume has been significantly dropping off.
This week I expect to see a bit of a fall in price to the 67.600 level before we can accurately see where price action is headed.
From this level we want to either see a break or bounce.
If we see a break of 67.600 we will look for a retest followed by strong bearish setups before we start shorting again.
If we see a bounce, assume the continuation of the 4hr bullish trend and target next significant resistance levels.
AUDUSD 4hour Analysis 4/12/20AUDUSD Short Opportunity
Overall we are very bearish on higher timeframes.
Currently we are maintaining a 4hr bullish trend but are approaching the 78.6% fib level with a huge drop in volume.
We can either see price action pick up bullish momentum again and see a push toward the 88.6% fib level
Or we could see a slow reversal from this current level, look to target toward lower support levels.
DXY 4hour Analysis 4/12/20DXY Neutral Idea
Ended last week with some low volume and are expecting moderate movement this week.
We still want to see DXY ranging between the 101.00 & 98.00 levels as that shows more stability for the USD. The goal is to see normal market movements return.
Look for either a push toward the 98.00 area or a bounce from the current level this week.
XAUUSD (GOLD) 4hour Analysis 4/5/20Gold Long Idea
Gold is still holding this 4hour bullish trend and all significant timeframes are very bullish as well.
To get in a high probability trade we would like to see broken structure at 1596.00 tested as resistance followed by strong bullish setups
Once we have the confirmation with a great risk to reward we can target toward our 0% fib level and potentially higher toward 1675.00
EURJPY Daily Analysis 4/5/20EURJPY Neutral Idea
This pair has been moving with a large amount of volume over the last few weeks.
At the current level it would be too risky to continue shorting although the overall trends on higher timeframes are very bearish
Price action is just too extended to make a good trade at the moment. For us to enter a trade we want to see a retracement to a key fib level and resistance zone.
Ideally a retracement to the 38.2% fib level around the 118.00 area or a retracement to the 61.8% fib level and our monthly resistance around 119.500 would be a good start.
A retracement followed by strong bearish setups is great confirmation to enter. Look to target lower toward our monthly support around 115.500
EURUSD 4hour Analysis 4/5/20 EURUSD Short Idea
This pair played out exactly as expected from last week's analysis. We saw a clean transition to the downside followed by strong bearish pressure.
At the current level it would be too risky to enter so we will be monitoring this pair for retracements to key fib levels
If we see a retracement to the 38.2% or 61.8% 1hour fib level followed by strong bearish setups it could be a great opportunity to enter and target lower.
Look to target toward our monthly support around 1.07000 and potentially lower toward our 0% fib level
AUDJPY 4hour Analysis 4/5/20AUDJPY Short Idea
This pair is looking bearish on all significant timeframes.
We saw a break to the upside out of this daily bearish trend but the push was not sustained and the bears took control once again.
From this level we are looking for short opportunities. This new daily fib has seen confirmed rejection from the 38.2% fib and is holding nicely.
Looking for lower timeframe retests as well as strong bearish setups
We will be targeting lower toward our monthly support and -27% fib around 64.000 followed by a second target at our -61% fib level around 63.000