AUDUSD 4hour Analysis 5/24/20AUDUSD Long Idea
The higher timeframes are bearish on this pair but we have seen very strong 4hour bullish volume lately
We are currently favoring a 4hour bullish push higher toward the top of this channel
(the blue arrows) and a break and retest of 0.65580 would be confirmation enough
The other potential scenario would be a drop in price action toward the bottom of this channel (the orange arrow). To enter short we need to see strong bearish setups at the current area with closure below 0.65150
Until this channel breaks from strong bearish momentum we will remain bullish on this pair
Patternanalysis
DXY 4hour Analysis 5/24//20DXY Long Idea
Last week we saw DXY bounce around the 99.15 area and we began to see a 4hour bullish transition form
Current price action is resting at our daily support level and 200 ema where we are looking for more bullish confirmation which would solidify a continuation on this timeframe
We are short term bullish on DXY and are looking for price action to push up toward 100.25
EURJPY Daily Analysis 5/17/20EURJPY Short Idea
This pair is very bearish on higher timeframes and is also in a very strong daily bearish channel, much like EU
In the last couple weeks we saw a break of our major monthly support level followed by a retest which confirmed a Lower High.
From the current level we want to see bearish setups which would be confirmation enough to enter short.
Right now it’s looking like a 4 hour double top which further confirms our short bias.
The blue arrow represents a high probability trade we will take once we have the entry confirmation. Look to target lower toward major support levels.
EURUSD 4hour Analysis 5/17/20 EURUSD Short Idea
All higher time frames are significantly bearish and have been in a steep daily bearish channel.
Currently we are looking for short opportunities only and are looking for bearish setups to enter short on.
The blue arrow represents a high probability trade given we see the proper confirmations. Look to target lower toward major support levels
AUDJPY 4hour Analysis 5/17/20AUDJPY Short Idea
This pair has been primarily bearish on higher times but has been in a strong 4hour bullish trend up until this current level around our 70.000 resistance level.
At the 70.000 level we saw a double top form followed by lower timeframe bearish transitions, very similar to what we saw on AU
At the current level we want to see this yellow 4hour support zone break followed by more lower timeframe bearish transitions.
The blue arrows are the preferred and highest probable trade outcome here. Look to target lower toward 67.500 after we see a lower high confirmed below or at the yellow 4hour zone.
AUDUSD 4hour Analysis 5/17/20AUDUSD Short Idea
This pair played out exactly as expected last week. We saw rejection from a key weekly resistance zone in the form of a double top and then saw lower timeframe transitions.
This gave us the confirmation to enter short and target our next major support level around 0.64000
From this level we want to see this bearish transition continue and play into the overall daily bearish trend. This could be a huge move!
Upon similar transition confirmations look to enter short and target lower toward major support levels.
DXY 4hour Analysis 5/17//20DXY Long Idea
USD is on it’s way to test the 101.00 area once again
Price action has been forming very well within this range between 98.50 & 101.00 and we are expecting a bounce from this level to continue the range
The blue arrow represents the most probable path for price action which in this scenario includes a bounce from resistance at 101.00
The orange arrow represents the possibility of a breakout to the upside if bullish momentum continues. This is not the preferred path but it is possible and could be the result of high impact news, dollar shortage & extreme dollar demand!
XAUUSD (GOLD) 4hour Analysis 5/10/20Gold Long Idea
As we have seen for many weeks Gold has been very bullish on all higher timeframes.
Currently we are seeing what looks like another potential strong push to the upside. We saw a break of 1715.00 and price action is now forming a retest.
Ideally strong bullish setups at the current level would be enough to enter long on. Look to target the 1800.000 area as that is the next major level of key resistance.
EURJPY Daily Analysis 5/10/20EURJPY Short Idea
This pair is looking very bearish on all significant timeframes and is looking to make a strong push to the downside.
Last week we saw key support broken around 116.250 and is now making a retest of that zone.
Ideally we want to see a confirmed lower high followed by strong bearish setups. Look to target lower toward our next major weekly zone around 111.650
EURUSD 4hour Analysis 5/10/20 EURUSD Short Idea
Higher timeframes are significantly bearish on this pair and we are currently seeing what looks like to begining of another bearish leg.
We saw a break and retest of 4hour support as well as the 38.2% fib level.
Ideally more bearish setups on lower timeframes would be reason to enter short. Look to target lower toward our key monthly level around 1.06000
AUDUSD Daily Analysis 5/9/20AUDUSD Short Idea
The daily timeframe and higher are significantly bearish but we have seen a very strong 4 hour bullish trend.
From the current level we will be able to decide if the overall bearish trend will continue or if this 4hour trend will push price action higher and start the daily trend transition to the upside.
Price action is currently at the 88.6% fib level and we could see a strong reversal from our weekly resistance. Ideally we want to see a break and retest of 0.64000 to confirm a bearish transition.
Look to target lower toward 0.60300 if good bearish volume presents itself after a confirmed lower high.
DXY 4hour Analysis 5/9//20DXY Long Idea
Last week we saw news push DXY lower out of a 4hour bullish trend toward 98.50
From the 98.50 area I’ll be looking for a bounce as all higher timeframes are significantly bullish and the 98.50 has been holding as key support for quite some time.
We also want to see DXY continue to remain stable and continue to range between 101.00 and 98.500
In the scenario we see DXY break 98.50 and continue to the downside look for a confirmed lower high
XAUUSD (GOLD) 4hour Analysis 5/3/20Gold Long Idea
Gold has been very bullish on all significant timeframes and we are looking to make another push higher given the proper confirmations.
Ideally we want to see a break of 1695.00 & 1715.00 to confirm a strong bullish movement.
If these resistance levels break and bullish setups present themselves look to target higher toward the 1800.00 resistance level.
EURJPY Daily Analysis 5/3/20EURJPY Neutral Idea
Last week it looked like this pair was ready to make a push to the downside before it quickly surged higher.
From the current level we want to see more confirmation before we decide where this pair may be going.
We have 1 of 2 potential scenarios:
Price action finds support at the current level and pushes higher. Look to target higher toward 118.500
Price action continues with the overall bearish trend. Look for a break and retest of 116.250 before targeting lower toward 111.650
EURUSD Daily Analysis 5/3/20 EURUSD Short Idea
This pair formed the retest we wanted to see at the 1.10000 level
From here we have potential for 1 of 2 scenarios:
1. Price action breaks resistance and begins the start of a bullish trend.
2. Price action forms strong bearish setups in line with the overall bearish trend and makes a push lower. Look to target lower toward our monthly support around 1.06000
AUDJPY 4hour Analysis 5/3/20AUDJPY Short Idea
Last week we saw a strong 4hour bullish trend and expected that trend to continue up to the 70.000 handle which is our weekly resistance zone
Keep in mind this is just a 4hour trend and that the higher timeframes are primarily bearish
We want to see a break of 67.500 with strong bearish setups playing into the overall higher timeframe bearish trend.
Look to target lower toward 64.750
AUDUSD Daily Analysis 5/3/20AUDUSD Short Idea
Last week we saw price action push up toward our key resistance around 0.65000 which was consistent with a strong bullish 4 hour trend.
Now we are seeing a bit of rejection from this level which fits the very bearish daily trend as well as higher timeframe trends.
If we see a clear break of 0.64000 then we can consider short positions.
If the overall bearish trend starts to take over here we could see a large push to the downside toward our monthly support around 0.60200
DXY 4hour Analysis 5/3/20DXY Neutral Idea
DXY played out exactly as we expected last week as it bounced from the 101.00 area and formed a bearish leg down to the 98.50 area.
We are almost at our key support around 98.50 where we should be cautious as we could easily see a bounce from this level.
Ideally we want to continue to see DXY range between 101.00 and 98.50
If we see a bounce from 98.50 look for strong bullish setups confirming a push higher.
EURJPY Daily Analysis 4/26/20EURJPY Short Idea
This pair is looking very bearish on all significant timeframes
The current level 116.250 is where we will see if price action is going to continue lower or bounce
We have 2 potential scenarios here:
1. Price action bounces from 116.250 with strong bullish setups. Look to target toward our next resistance level around 118.500
2. Price action breaks 116.250 with good bearish momentum. Look for a retest with the proper bearish confirmations. Target lower toward 111.650
EURUSD Daily Analysis 4/26/20 EURUSD Neutral Idea
This pair is extremely bearish on all significant timeframes and is in a steep bearish weekly channel.
Currently price action is in a high risk area so we want to wait this one out and see if we can get a better entry opportunity.
Look for price action to reach the 1.10000 level in which case we will look for either a break or bounce.
If we see a bounce from 1.10000 look for strong bearish setups and confirmations to then enter short on. Look to target lower toward our monthly support around 1.06000
If we see a break to the upside look for a break and retest of 1.10000 followed by strong bullish setups. Look to target higher toward 1.15000
AUDJPY 4hour Analysis 4/26/20AUDJPY Long Idea
Higher timeframes suggest that this pair is primarily bearish, however, we have seen a strong bullish 4hour trend.
We are currently going to stick with the 4hour bullish bias as we are continuously seeing bullish confirmations.
We recently saw this bullish flag form and break to the upside. Look for more bullish confirmations to then enter long on. Target toward our weekly resistance level around 70.000
If price action fails to push higher and actually falls out of this area look for support around 67.500 to break and retest followed by strong bearish setups. Look to target lower toward our next major support around 64.750
DXY 4hour Analysis 4/26/20DXY Short Idea
DXY is looking very bullish on most significant timeframes and is currently rising on the 4hr in a steady trend.
I am expecting some bearish movement this week as DXY seems a bit too strong considering global conditions.
We want to see DXY continue to range between 101.00 & 98.50 because this confirms more stability for the USD.
Look for bearish setups from the current level to then consider short positions for USD pairs.
NZDUSD ShortALOHA
D - current day is resisting the 50 enamors and had bearish consolidation but still with some momentum for the downside. the last few days of been corrective creating nicer intra day patterns.
4hr - correction just under the 50 ema, now creating strong bear candles instead of high-test reversal candles.
1hr - Price bounced back up to the 50ema to reject and close below, then forming a 7 hour consolidation pattern that signaled a conituliation for myself.
15. Rising wedge ,2 touch top two touch bottom, rejection of the 50 ema, and at the bottom of the bigger 1hr structure.
30 pip stop. This is a continuation entry off the last few short trades I've placed with NZDUSD. This pair has been on my watch for the last week. Entry order was placed earlier this morning and triggered in the afternoon.