Patterns
GOOGLE INC. (NASDAQ: GOOG) ANALYSIS AND TRADING PLANWelcome to a detailed analysis of Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG). Using advanced analytical tools, including the proprietary TheWaved™ platform, this report dissects recent market behavior and provides actionable insights for traders and investors. Let’s explore the technical and fundamental dynamics of the stock and forecast future price movements with key support and resistance zones.
Overview of Current Market Position
Ticker: NASDAQ-GOOG
Current Price: $193.52
52-Week High: $202.88 (28 days ago)
52-Week Low: $83.45 (803 days ago)
Key Indicators:
RSI (14): 54.92 (neutral)
MFI (60): 41.67 (indicating low buying pressure)
Moving Averages (Daily):
MA50: $183.31
MA100: $173.39
MA200: $172.54
Technical Analysis
Support Levels:
187.16 | 185.08 | 181.41 | 176.09 | 173.53
Resistance Levels:
202.88 | 197.62 | 194.55
Moving Averages Insight:
The stock trades slightly below the MA50 and MA100 on the daily chart, indicating a potential bearish short-term outlook. However, the long-term trend remains intact as the price remains above MA200.
VSA Patterns:
Recent trading sessions highlighted critical Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) patterns:
Sell Volumes Max (2025-01-13 14:00 UTC): Increased sell volumes pushed prices down by 4.42%.
VSA Buy Pattern 3 (2025-01-13 10:00 UTC): Signals potential for a rebound after testing lower supports.
Trendline and Channel Analysis:
GOOG’s price action is constrained within an ascending channel since October 2024. The lower boundary aligns with the $188.00 support zone, while the upper resistance lies near $202.00.
Price Action Insight:
The recent lower highs and consistent rejection at $194.71 suggest a strong overhead supply zone. A break and close above $195.00 will be a decisive bullish trigger.
Key Oscillators:
RSI indicates no overbought/oversold condition, leaving room for directional moves.
Stochastic cross above 50 strengthens the probability of an upward trajectory.
Fundamental Analysis
Google continues to show robust performance driven by its advertising and cloud businesses. Recent developments include:
Q4 Earnings are expected to show a revenue growth of 11% YOY, boosted by robust ad demand and cloud service expansion.
Strong financial metrics: Cash reserves of $130 billion with minimal debt.
AI innovations: Google’s advancements in AI-based ad targeting offer a competitive edge over rivals.
Market sentiment: Increasing institutional accumulation as hedge funds position for long-term growth.
Forecast and Trading Plan
Short-Term Projection:
Price action indicates consolidation within $188.00-$195.00. Traders should monitor the $195.00 breakout level closely.
Medium-Term Projection:
Given the strength in fundamentals and supportive technicals, we anticipate an upward breakout, testing $202.88.
Long-Term Projection:
Once the stock decisively clears $202.88, a rally towards $215.00-$220.00 could unfold, aligning with the next Fibonacci extensions.
Trade Levels:
Entry: Buy at $188.00-$189.50 after confirmation of support.
Stop-Loss: Place at $185.00.
Take-Profit Targets:
Target 1: $195.00
Target 2: $202.88
Target 3: $215.00
Bearish Scenario:
A breakdown below $185.00 could accelerate selling pressure towards $176.00. In this scenario, adopt a defensive approach or short-term bearish bias.
Risk Management:
Maintain a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:3. Leverage smaller position sizes when trading near key support or resistance levels.
Conclusion
The technical and fundamental landscape for GOOG appears balanced, with bullish potential outweighing downside risks. Short-term traders can capitalize on the current consolidation phase, while long-term investors may find value in accumulating positions near support zones. Using TheWaved™’s advanced analytics, we’ll provide real-time updates as price action unfolds.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
How Rays Work
Fibonacci Rays: Each ray corresponds to a specific angle of inclination, which is mathematically significant and correlates with natural proportions and the start of movement.
Primary Advantage: Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, rather than traditional extremum points commonly used in classical technical analysis. This allows for the rapid and accurate accounting of new trend or corrective movement phases.
Adaptability: When a new pattern emerges, rays are automatically adjusted to show the potential movement range. Price may exit this range and enter another, interacting similarly with a different ray.
Rays are Ascending and Descending: They define the boundary of the movement channel.
If you have questions or need personalized analysis for other stocks, feel free to reach out in direct messages. All indicators and tools mentioned are available via our profile link.
Thank you for reading, and as always, trade safely and strategically!
Denis Mikheev - TheWaved™
Nifty Interesting Observations.Nifty - There has been an interesting symmetry observed in the #nifty from the Covid Lows.
1) Rally (1) started on 23 March 2020 (7511) and continued till 18 Oct 2021 (18604) rallying almost 11903 Points with minor corrections in between. After a strong rally index corrected entered in a correction Phase.
2) The correction started after hitting the highs at 18604 and last for over a month declining by about 3420 points from the highs. The correction ended on 13 Jun 2022 forming bottom at 15183 levels.
The correction ended around 100 Weekly EMA and then it started next leg of upmove.
3) Here's an interesting point.
The Rally (2) started on 13 Jun at 15183 and continued for nearly 2 years and topped at 26277 on 23 Sept 2024.
Here if we calculate at distance , The rally 2 also rallied almost 11903 points (which was the same points in Rally 1 as discussed above)
4) The index is in the corrective Phase and has nearly dropped over 10 percent from the Peak so far.
Following the Price symmetry and the price action the correction phase is likely to expand and shall decline 3420 points (which was the case in earlier correction phase) OR
Correction likely to extend further to test the 100 Weekly EMA which was observed in the earlier Corrective Phase (1) which ended near the 100 Weekly EMA.
Do you AGREE !! What's you view ?? Will appreciate if you to share you analysis ....? :)
USOIL PredictionWelcome to our trading analysis! It’s great to see dedicated traders like you pursuing success with focus and determination. Trading is not just about profits—it’s about learning, adapting, and growing with every market movement. Today, we’re analyzing USOIL, which is currently trading at $74, with a bullish target of $100. The market is forming a falling wedge pattern, a classic bullish setup signaling a potential upward breakout. Before the price reaches the target, it needs to confirm a breakout from this wedge, which will mark the beginning of a strong rally. This pattern indicates a high reward-to-risk opportunity for traders who patiently wait for the breakout confirmation. Watch for strong volume and momentum during the breakout phase, as these are critical indicators of strength. Stay focused, trust your analysis, and remember that consistency and discipline are the keys to long-term trading success.
I'm Still Bullish On Solana - Targeting $375Though Solana broke down the $204 support, it has failed to break below our white ascending trendline. This support has held and in fact has carried us upward since Dec. 20th. If my Cup and Handle is to remain valid, our support must continue to hold. If not, all bets are off. Though, the handle is a bit deeper than I'd like to see, I'm going to continue to respect this as a pattern unless that support breaks. My target remains $375, nearly a full 2x from here!
✌️Stew
With Major Liquidity Swept and RSI reset Bitcoin is now going UPIn the last few days, after achieving a new all-time high of $108,000, Bitcoin has experienced a massive dump, liquidating many retail traders using leverage. This market downturn was caused by several factors. First, Bitcoin was severely overbought and overdue for a correction. Second, Jerome Powell added to the market uncertainty by making strong anti-Bitcoin statements, dashing hopes of the U.S. adding BTC to its Federal Reserve reserves.
As a result, the market saw a steep fall, with major altcoins such as SOL and DOGE dropping over 30%.
The Main Question: What’s Next?
Bitcoin is unlikely to go up from here in the immediate term. Instead, it may be better to position for a short targeting the $90-91K range. The market might remain bearish over the Christmas holidays, giving “holiday discount” vibes. It’s not a good idea to buy Bitcoin with leverage at this moment. Waiting until next Monday to reevaluate might be a safer option.
Technical Analysis:
As highlighted, Bitcoin has broken out of an ascending channel and dropped significantly. One of the key technical reasons for this is the overbought RSI. Major resistance is currently around $99.7K , while key support lies between $89.5K and $87.5K . A break below these levels could indicate a strong move in either direction.
The most liquidity is around $92.2K , where Bitcoin is likely to gravitate before making an upward move. Additionally, RSI has hit a support level, which increases the possibility of a bounce from here.
Outlook:
After the holidays and once Bitcoin sweeps the lower liquidity levels, we could see an excellent buying opportunity . There is potential for BTC to reach $118K by the end of January . Moreover, Donald Trump’s inauguration could act as a catalyst to drive Bitcoin’s price higher once again.
SOLANA testing the supportSOL is testing the support of a well-known chartist shape: Cup & Handle.
If this is confirmed, i.e. if the price bounces off the support, we can expect a price projection of +97% according to the usual rules of projection on this type of chartist pattern, and thus approach $500.
Wait & See.
Bearish Setup on EUR/USD After Rejection at Key ResistanceTrading Idea on 1-Hour Chart (H1):
The EUR/USD pair is showing signs of a potential bearish continuation after testing a key resistance zone around 1.0540 - 1.0544, which aligns with a previously broken downward trendline.
The market structure on the H1 timeframe indicates lower highs, suggesting sellers are regaining control.
Technical Confirmation:
Key Resistance Zone:
The 1.0540 - 1.0544 area acts as a significant rejection point where bullish momentum appears to be weakening.
Break-Retest Pattern:
The price broke below a descending trendline and is now retesting the zone, showing clear signs of rejection.
RSI Indicator:
The RSI is currently near 60, reflecting recent bullish movement but remaining below overbought levels, which signals potential exhaustion in the upward move.
Technical Confirmation:
Key Resistance Zone:
The 1.0540 - 1.0544 area acts as a significant rejection point where bullish momentum appears to be weakening.
Break-Retest Pattern:
The price broke below a descending trendline and is now retesting the zone, showing clear signs of rejection.
RSI Indicator:
The RSI is currently near 60, reflecting recent bullish movement but remaining below overbought levels, which signals potential exhaustion in the upward move.
Summary:
This idea is based on a bearish continuation pattern following rejection at a key resistance zone, supported by trendline retest and weakening bullish momentum. Confirmation on lower timeframes (e.g., M15) is recommended before entry.
Gold’s December Dilemma: Seasonal Rally or Further Decline?OANDA:XAUUSD Multi-Timeframe Analysis
Current Price: 2650.350
Executive Summary:
Gold experienced a significant drop on Monday, November 25, after reaching $2,721, driven by easing geopolitical tensions and strong resistance. The price then fell to $2,605 and has since been consolidating within a bearish flag pattern. Currently, gold is trading at $2,650, showing mixed sentiment with short-term bearish potential and long-term bullish prospects.
Technical Analysis:
Bearish Flag (Short-Term Bearish)
The bearish flag pattern suggests potential downside, signalling a continuation of the recent correction. While it’s possible that the price could rise to the strong pivot resistance at $2,695, which aligns with the upper boundary of the falling wedge, rejection from this level could result in a breakdown from the flag pattern. Alternatively, the price may fail to reach $2,695 and break below the flag.
Key Levels to Watch:
First Target: $2,617 (strong pivot and support).
Next Target: $2,578 (ultimate support).
Gap Fill: If $2,578 breaks, the price could decline to $2,565 (filling the gap from November 18).
Psychological Level: A further drop could test $2,500, which coincides with the lower boundary of the falling wedge and serves as strong structural support.
Falling Wedge: (Long-Term Bullish)
In the long term, the falling wedge pattern suggests a bullish reversal. We expect the price to rebound from support levels near $2,565 or $2,500, resuming its bullish cycle. Gold could potentially rally to new all-time highs (ATH) during December, driven by seasonal demand and technical breakout momentum.
Seasonality:
Gold historically rallies in December, driven by holiday demand, portfolio rebalancing, and year-end events. Significant price increases were observed in December 2022 and 2023, and similar trends could support bullish momentum this year, barring any unexpected bearish developments.
Final Note:
Gold’s short-term sentiment leans bearish, with the bearish flag pointing to potential downside. However, the falling wedge suggests a strong long-term bullish outlook. Watch for key levels like $2,695, $2,617, and $2,500 for potential opportunities. Remember to practice tight risk management.
Happy trading!
Amazon - Breaking Trade 12/4/2024There was a great breakout trade opportunity on Amazon's stock, enhanced by a refined entry strategy. The red zone highlights a key resistance level where the price struggled to break through. Eventually, a breakout occurred with a strong bullish candlestick, confirming buyers' strength. However, instead of entering immediately at the breakout, the ideal entry point would be on the pullback to the red zone.
After the breakout, the price retraced back to the resistance zone, which then acted as support. Notice how the price tested this zone but failed to close below it, indicating that buyers remained in control. The optimal entry would occur when the price breaks above the high of the retracement candle, confirming the continuation of the bullish move.
This approach allows for a more precise entry, reduces risk by setting a stop-loss below the support zone, and offers a better reward-to-risk ratio as the trend resumes upward. It’s a textbook example of a breakout-retest setup with confirmation.
Thank you for reading! If you found this content helpful, don’t forget to like, comment, and share the idea. Follow me on TradingView!
DECEMBER MelaGold, I see the movement as bullish and expecting a reaction above the 2688 level. I can see the liquidity above that top and a gap that gold might fill before any downturn or even continuation to the upside, which is possible because of the seasonality.
Technically am good to look for bullish bias with any setup I get here above level 2605.
the market can break 2605 and continue to the upside as well in another scenario which am seeing it as a lower probability for now.
let's see how the market gonna play this scenario for now
As always, market wins! trade with care. be a part of the market
OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:DXY TVC:US10Y
GBPCAD: Deep Correction After Breaking the Uptrend LineWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPCAD Analysis !
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S&P 500 Technical Analysis Ascending Triangle vs Rising Wedge I've identified two potential patterns on the S&P 500 SP:SPX chart:
Ascending Triangle (blue trendlines): Higher lows and flat highs, with breakout potential above the flat top or a breakdown below the higher lows. Indicated by blue arrows.
Rising Wedge Developing (red trend lines and arrows): Higher highs and higher lows, with a potential bearish breakout below the lower trend line or a less common bullish breakout above the upper trend line. Red arrows highlight the touch points on the rising wedge pattern.
Pattern Rules:
For a valid pattern, the following rules apply:
Ascending Triangle:
At least two higher lows
Flat highs
Decreasing volume
Breakout above the flat top or breakdown below the higher lows
Rising Wedge:
At least three touch points on each trend line (I will use as few as 2)
Higher highs and higher lows
Decreasing volume
Breakout below the lower trend line or above the upper trend line (less common)
Quick Review for Beginners:
New to chart patterns? Here's a quick rundown:
Higher lows: A series of lows that are higher than the previous ones.
Flat highs: A series of highs that are roughly the same level.
Decreasing volume: The trading volume decreases as the pattern forms.
Breakout: When the price moves above or below the pattern's boundary.
Trend lines: Lines drawn to connect the highs or lows of a pattern.
Keep in mind that chart patterns are not a guarantee of future price movements, but rather a tool to help identify potential trends and trading opportunities.
EURAUD SHORTThis week gave a big drop on EUR/AUD and turned the Daily and 4h timeframes bearish as well as giving a clean head and shoulders pattern on the daily timeframe. I will be looking for a pull back into the 4h supply zone which also aligns with the daily H&S neckline so I think it will have a high probability of bouncing from there.
Archer Aviation Chart with TargetsAnything aviation related carries extra risk. With that said the milestones that have been reached and expanding customer base the upside is tremendous. Agreements with Japan Airlines, United, Southwest, interest from the military, air taxi agreements in several large cities to provide air taxi service between large events and the main airports all speak to the where this industry is headed. I prefer ACHR over others in the space.