What is a Swing Failure Pattern? - Basic explanation!A Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) is a technical chart pattern often used in price action trading to identify potential reversals in the market. It is typically seen on candlestick or bar charts in the context of trend analysis.
The basic idea behind a Swing Failure Pattern is that the price temporarily breaks above or below a previous swing high or low, but fails to sustain that move and reverses direction quickly. This indicates a potential shift in market sentiment, and it can be a signal for a trend reversal or breakdown.
When is it a SFP?
- In needs to sweep the previous low
- It has to close the candlestick above the previous low. So only a wick down When the price closes the body of a candle below the last low, it will not be considered an SFP. In this case, it is highly likely that the trend will continue in that direction.
The SFP can occur across various timeframes, from lower to higher timeframes.
Example on the daily timeframe
Here, we see two SFPs: one to the upside and one to the downside.
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Patterns
Gold (XAU/USD) – Bullish Reversal & Breakout PatternChart Pattern Analysis
The 15-minute chart of Gold (XAU/USD) showcases a classic support-resistance structure, along with a potential bullish reversal pattern forming. The price is currently reacting to key levels, and the setup suggests an impending move toward higher price targets.
Key Chart Patterns Identified:
🔹 Support & Resistance Flip:
The price initially struggled at resistance (~$3,038 - $3,045) before experiencing a pullback.
It found strong support (~$3,027 - $3,030), confirming a potential retest zone for a bullish reversal.
🔹 Double Bottom Reversal Pattern:
The price bounced twice from the support zone, forming a possible double-bottom pattern – a classic bullish reversal sign.
If the price successfully holds this level, a breakout above the previous high (ATH - $3,045) is expected.
🔹 Break & Retest Structure:
A bullish breakout from resistance could trigger a rally toward the next target zone ($3,056 - $3,060).
A possible higher low formation suggests market accumulation before an upward continuation.
Trade Plan – How to Approach This Setup
📌 Entry Confirmation:
Look for a bullish candle formation at support (~$3,027 - $3,030).
A strong breakout and retest above ATH ($3,045) would provide further confirmation.
📌 Stop-Loss Placement:
Below support ($3,027) to limit downside risk.
If price breaks below this zone, the bullish scenario gets invalidated.
📌 Take-Profit Targets:
1️⃣ First Target: $3,045 (ATH breakout confirmation)
2️⃣ Final Target: $3,056 - $3,060 (Major Resistance & TP Zone)
Potential Market Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout:
If price breaks & retests resistance ($3,045), a rally toward $3,060 is likely.
❌ Bearish Breakdown:
If price fails to hold support ($3,027), a drop to $3,020 - $3,015 could occur.
🚀 Final Thoughts:
This setup presents a high-probability bullish opportunity, but confirmation is key! Wait for price action signals before entering.
📊 Do you agree with this analysis? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🔥
#NH , 1D and 1W Bullish Pattern
Looks Very Good in Weekly And Daily Time Frame , It is Ready for Breakout from Pattern .
It has Repeated the same pattern in Past so High chances to go up .
if u find this Chart Helpful pls like and Follow for More like this charts .
I am A Swing Trader , Trade only Price Action Patterns .
Pattern Identification ExerciseHere I run through an exercise I first started carrying out around 4 years ago. It is a brilliant tool to help train yours eyes to spot patterns within the market, log the data across multiple different instruments and find specific characteristics with that instrument.
The importance behind carrying out an exercise like this is training your lens to spot these in the live markets, and also stacking your confidence so when you see these develop you are able to approach them in the best way possible.
Any questions just drop them below 👇
When Will the 2025 Altcoin Season Arrive? Clue from OTHERS.DCRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D is copying the same script as the last two altcoin seasons.
I’ve marked points 1-8 in the structure.
Each time, it formed a triangle consolidation before breaking into a bull run.
In the last two cycles, point 8 was the final low before the rally.
Right now, it's retesting point 8, which is the lower boundary of the triangle.
Will it repeat the script and break out, or is this time different?
Could we see a new scenario, or is it possible that altcoin season won’t come at all?
If the altcoin season does happen, OTHERS could 2x from here.
What do you think?
Do you believe we’ll see a crazy 2025 altseason?
for more future script "guesses" like this!
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SCHW's Weekly Pour: A Cup, a Handle, and a Bullish Refill?Been tracking SCHW, and this chart is shaping up to be something big—potentially a breakout from a range that’s been developing since early 2022. Price is pressing up against key resistance around $95-$100, and a clean break above this level could confirm a multi-year breakout, opening up the possibility of a much larger trend move. With Fibonacci extensions lining up at $150 and $200, this could be one of those slow-burn setups that eventually pays off in a big way. Let’s break it down.
Fibonacci Extensions and Multi-Year Price Targets
The way this chart is structured, $95-$100 is the final boss. If price convincingly clears that level, it breaks a massive range that’s been in place for over two years. If that happens, $150 (the 161.8% Fib extension) and $200 (the 261.8% extension) are the next major upside targets. These aren’t short-term price points—this is the kind of move that could play out over multiple years. But historically, when a stock coils for this long and then breaks out, the measured move potential is huge.
Moving Averages and Long-Term Trend Shift
Right now, we’ve got price trading above both the 50-week and 200-week moving averages, signaling that momentum has already started to shift. The 50-week MA is curling upwards, and if we see it hold above the 200-week, that would mark a long-term trend shift that typically aligns with sustained upside moves.
Mapping Out the Breakout Scenarios
If we do get a breakout, here’s how I see it playing out:
1️⃣ Break Above $100 → Multi-Year Uptrend Begins – A confirmed break and hold above $100 shifts the entire structure bullish, setting up an eventual run to $150 and possibly $200 over the next couple of years. This would be the full resolution of the pattern that has been developing since early 2022.
2️⃣ Rejection at $95-$100 → Pullback Before Breakout – If price gets stuffed at resistance, we could see a pullback to the $75-$80 zone before another breakout attempt later in 2025. This would act as a final shakeout before the bigger move.
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All eyes on $95-$100. That’s the level that determines whether this just grinds sideways for another year or finally starts a major new uptrend. If it breaks, we’ve got a clear roadmap to $150 and $200 in the coming years.
Curious if anyone else is watching this. Are we about to see the start of something big, or is there one more fakeout before the real move?
Not financial advice. Just charting things out. Let’s see what happens.
3 Must-Know Chart Patterns to Spot Winning Trades!Morning Trading Family
Understanding chart patterns is super important for trading success! In this video, I’ll walk you through the top 3 patterns every trader should know: Head and Shoulders, Double Top/Bottom, and Bullish/Bearish Flags. I’ll show you how to spot them, when to jump into a trade, and how to manage your risk. Whether you’re trading stocks, forex, or crypto, these patterns can make a big difference. We’ll even look at live charts together to keep it simple. Let me know in the comments which pattern is your favorite!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See