Patterns
EUR-NZD Resistance And Double-Top! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD has almost hit
A resistance cluster of the
Rising and horizontal support
Then formed a double-top on
The 4H timeframe and is going
Down so I am expecting a
Retest of the target level below
Sell!
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reversal technical patterns overview part oneReversal Technical Patterns overview: Part One
Reversal patterns are frequently spotted at the end of the bear/bull market cycles. Here are some of the key patterns with higher probabilities. Can be applied to any market, including forex, crypto, stocks, indices and metals.
Double Bottom (Bulls)
Double Top (Bears)
🔸A double bottom pattern is a classic technical analysis charting formation showing a major change in trend from a prior down move. The double bottom pattern looks like the letter W.
🔸The double top is a type of chart pattern that is an indication that the prevailing trend may reverse, in the short or long term.
🔸The double top is a common occurrence towards the end of a bullish market. The price formation looks like two peaks that occur after one another.
🔸The double bottom formation typically occurs at the end of a downward trending or declining market.
🔸 The double bottom is similar to the double top, but the key difference between the two can be seen in the inverse or negative relationship in price.
Inverse Head and Shoulders (Bulls)
Head and Shoulders (Bears)
🔸The inverse head and shoulders pattern begins with a downtrend. This is the extended move down that eventually leads to exhaustion and a reversal higher as sellers exit and buyers step up. That downtrend is met by minor support, which forms the first shoulder. As the market begins to move higher, it bounces off strong resistance and the downtrend resumes. This resistance level forms the neckline.
🔸Pattern is defined by the head / left shoulder / right shoulder and neckline.
🔸The H*S pattern is a bearish market pattern will appear near market tops. The first shoulder forms after a significant bullish period in the market when the price rises and then declines into a trough. The head is then formed when the price increases again, creating a high peak above the level of the first shoulder formation. From this point, the price falls and creates the second shoulder, which is usually similar in appearance to the first shoulder.
🔸The pattern is completed, giving a market reversal signal, when the price declines again, breaking below the neckline. The neckline, as depicted above, is the horizontal line that connects the first two troughs to one another.
Three Drives (Bulls)
Three Drives (Bears)
🔸The three-drive is a rare price pattern formed by three consecutive symmetrical drives up or down. In its bullish form, the market is making three final drives to a bottom before an uptrend forms. In a bearish three-drive, it is peaking before the bears take over. A three-drive contains two overlapping ABCD patterns.
🔸There are multiple ways of trading a Three drives pattern:
You can trade the drive 3. Enter the market when you are sure that the market has formed the point B (buy in a bearish Three-Drive and sell in a bullish Three Drive).
You can trade when the entire pattern is complete.
🔸Extensions are always based on fibs, most of the time 1.27 and 1.62.
Falling Wedge (Bulls)
Rising Wedge (Bears)
🔸The falling wedge pattern is interpreted as both a bullish continuation and bullish reversal pattern which gives rise to some confusion in the identification of the pattern. Both scenarios contain different market conditions which must be taken into consideration.
🔸The Falling Wedge in the downtrend indicates a reversal to an uptrend. It is formed when the prices are making Lower Highs and Lower Lows compared to the previous price movements. It gives traders opportunities to take buy positions in the market.
🔸The rising wedge in an uptrend indicates reversal to the downtrend. It is formed when the prices are making Higher Highs and Higher Lows compared to the previous price movements. It gives traders opportunities to take short positions in the market
🔸Generally, traders will wait for a breakout before executing a trade on buy/sell side. Also traders may chose to wait for a re-test of the breakout area before executing a trade.
AUDJPY: Reversal pattern on 4-hour chartOn the daily chart, the AUD/JPY pair is in a strong support area, where the yearly trendline intersects with the monthly uptrend line and a monthly zone, in addition to a bearish weekly trendline, Fibonacci 61.8%, and the 100-week moving average.
This indicates a high likelihood of strong price support at the level of 87.6. However, on the 4-hour timeframe, there are three consecutive bottoms and divergence on momentum indicators, which is a strong reversal pattern. The price needs to break through three obstacles, including a local downtrend line, a resistance level of 89.5, and the 50-period moving average on the 4-hour timeframe, before it can rise. Once these obstacles are overcome and the price stabilizes above 89.55, there will be a strong and rapid selling signal towards 91.5 as the first target and 92.8 as the second target.
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📊 Diverse Chart ApproachesHere is a diverse chart approach for trading that includes some tips:
📍 Use multiple timeframes:
Analyzing charts at different timeframes (e.g., daily, weekly, monthly) can provide a broader perspective on market trends and potential trading opportunities.
📍 Combine chart types:
Using different types of charts, such as line, bar, and candlestick charts, can provide different insights into price action and help identify support and resistance levels.
📍 Apply indicators:
Technical indicators, such as moving averages and oscillators, can be applied to charts to identify potential entry and exit points, as well as confirm price trends.
📍 Incorporate chart patterns:
Chart patterns, such as triangles, flags, and head and shoulders, can be used to identify potential price breakouts and reversals.
📍 Use trendlines:
Drawing trendlines on charts can help identify potential areas of support and resistance, as well as indicate trend direction.
📍 Keep it simple:
While it's important to use a diverse range of charting techniques, it's also important not to overload charts with too much information. Keeping charts clean and easy to read can help avoid confusion and lead to more effective trading decisions.
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INTC - Bullish Reversals - Long On the chart of Intel Corporation (INTC), we can see two bullish reversal patterns on a daily timeframe.
We can see a Descending Broadening Wedge. This is a typical bullish reversal pattern. Once the price breaks out of the upside of the pattern the highest point of the pattern becomes the target.
The second pattern is a forming Double Bottom. This pattern indicates a bullish reversal. Once the price breaks out of the neckline the target will rise the same length as the range from the neckline to the bottom
In this particular case when the Double Bottom gets validated, the Descending Broadening Wedge will be activated too. When this happens the long position can be taken when the neckline has changed from a resistance into a support.
See all further details on the chart.
Goodluck!
It's not how but also whenA lot of emphasis is placed on how to trade. What the best indicators are, what the best R/R is. However, I don't see a lot of focus on WHEN you should trade. I don't specifically mean when to get in and when to get out. I mean what HOUR of the day should you trade? There are few factors to this:
- When is the time that you are most alert and can focus on the markets?
- What HOUR of the day do you tend to see your set-ups form?
Most new traders have no idea about these concepts and literally try to trade 24/7. This often leads to burnout and worse - account blow out.
It behooves you to use an integrated journal for your trade and see what time of day you are most profitable and you should try to stick to those times.
Anticipating CAD/JPY's Bearish Breakout: Technical AnalysisHey, fellow traders! I'm keeping a close eye on CAD/JPY as it looks bearish and could potentially head south. In my technical analysis, I've spotted a trendline and RSI divergence that could indicate slowing momentum, along with a sweet continuation pattern in the price action.
If we break the key "support/resistance area," the pair could drop as low as 97.5. That's why I'm planning to wait for a pullback before taking any action in the market. But for those of you who are considering shorting CAD/JPY, keep an eye out for these signals as they could indicate a prime opportunity to make some profits.
Overall, it's essential to stay vigilant and monitor the trends and indicators to make informed trading decisions. I hope this analysis helps you in your trading journey. Happy trading!
Advanced Chart Pattern That Pro Trader Must Know
📉CUP AND HANDLE PATTERN
A cup and handle is a technical chart pattern that resembles a cup and handle where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift.A cup and handle is considered a bullish signal extending an uptrend, and it is used to spot opportunities to go long. Technical traders using this indicator should place a stop buy order slightly above the upper trendline of the handle part of the pattern. There can be both bullish and bearish Cups and Handles.
📊DIAMOND PATTERN
The diamond pattern is a reversal indicator that signals the end of a bullish or bearish trend. It is most commonly found at the top of uptrends but may also form near the bottom of bearish trends. The bullish diamond pattern occurs after a strong downward move in price. It consists of two resistance levels that constrain previous retracements and two support levels that have constrained the downtrend. Also known as the diamond bottom pattern, the bullish diamond pattern signals a buying opportunity. Often it is the precursor for a bullish breakout. The Bearish Diamond Pattern, is the mirror opposite of the bullish one, even though it works on the same logic and it indicates the end of the uptrend.
📈SCALLOP PATTERN
A scallop chart pattern is a technical analysis pattern that signals a short-term continuation of a bullish trend.
It is created when prices make an upward-sloping curve that resembles the letter J on a price chart. That's why it's sometimes referred to as a J-shaped or J hook pattern.
During the scallop formation, prices move higher, retrace, and trade lower for a short period before reaching a new peak. This indicates a short-term weakness of the ongoing uptrend and indecision in the market as to whether the trend will continue or not. But if prices are able to hold above the retracement zone for a while, it implies a strong momentum behind the uptrend and a potential breakout of the resistance level. The pattern is considered complete when you see prices break out above the key resistance level and rally to a new high. Once the upward breakout occurs, it confirms the continuation of the prevailing uptrend and a positive outlook on the market for the near future.
There are both bearish and bullish Scallop Patterns and both can be used successfully.
📚FINAL REMARKS:
Though these patterns are somewhat rare, it is essential for an advanced trader to know about them and to know how to use them, because that knowledge might provide you the missing piece of the puzzle in a difficult market making the difference between a good day and bad day. Which is all that matters after all. So I recommend you to spend some time and learn about the obscure patterns and to make it your goal to find them or at least look for them to give your brain enough data to let it do it’s pattern recognition learning magic.
Thanks for reading bro, you are the best☺️
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NZDCAD PLAN.Hello traders around the world!
My name is Alexandre Karim and today I want to talk about NZDCAD for a possible long position scenario.
On the weekly chart we can draw a descending channel since April 2016 (Low at 0.86573) & November 2016 (High at 0.98831) till present taking multiple touches.
The descending channel shows us an upside gravity + on the higher time frame we can clearly see that the price made a "V shape" and a bullish correction after it.
If we zoom in to the daily chart, we can draw the upper and lower TL of this bullish correction.
Moving to the 4H chart, we can check our areas for a long position. The first one would be a reversal on the lower 4H TL and the second one would be a breakout of the upper TL + giving us a continuation after.
I will be focusing on the 1H chart to execute the trade.
These are two possible scenarios on NZDCAD!
What are your thoughts?
Remember, patience is key!
Wait for the perfect set up before entering any trade.
#ThePrimes
NZDJPY - EASY 400pip Trade Setup!NZDJPY has recently completed its bullish wave and now we are in bearish territory.
We can see that we're in wave 2, which is an ABC correction. We have a leading diagonal for Wave A which we've almost completed. We're looking for one more move up to complete the leading diagonal and then we'll be looking for a big SHORT.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for price to move up once more to reach the 618 fib and leading diagonal resistance
- Risk entry on rejection of the above
- Safe entry on break of the red trendline
- Targets: 83 (250pips), 81.2 (420pips)
We may bounce off the structure level for a Wave C so do keep an eye out for the bounce!
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
Mastering the Art of Technical Analysis (Part 4)Candlestick Patterns
Candlestick charts are a popular type of chart used by traders to analyze price movements. They display the opening and closing prices, as well as the highs and lows, of an asset over a specific time period. Candlestick patterns are formed by the arrangement of multiple candlesticks and can provide insights into market trends and potential price movements.
Doji
A Doji is a candlestick pattern that has the same opening and closing price, or a very small difference between the two. This pattern often indicates indecision in the market and can be a signal for a potential trend reversal.
Hammer
A Hammer is a bullish reversal pattern that forms after a downward trend. It is characterized by a long lower shadow and a small body, and it indicates that buyers have gained control and are pushing the price up.
Shooting Star
A Shooting Star is a bearish reversal pattern that forms after an upward trend. It is characterized by a long upper shadow and a small body, and it indicates that sellers have gained control and are pushing the price down.
Engulfing
An Engulfing pattern is a reversal pattern that is formed by two candlesticks. The first candlestick is smaller and the second candlestick completely engulfs the first one. A bullish Engulfing pattern forms at the end of a downtrend and indicates a potential trend reversal. A bearish Engulfing pattern forms at the end of an uptrend and indicates a potential trend reversal.
Harami
A Harami pattern is a reversal pattern that is formed by two candlesticks. The first candlestick is larger and the second candlestick is smaller and is completely engulfed by the first candlestick. A bullish Harami pattern forms at the end of a downtrend and indicates a potential trend reversal. A bearish Harami pattern forms at the end of an uptrend and indicates a potential trend reversal.
Candlestick patterns are an important tool for technical analysis and can provide insights into market trends and potential price movements. By understanding the key principles of each candlestick pattern, traders can gain insights into market trends and make informed trading decisions. However, it is important to note that candlestick patterns are not foolproof and should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis, such as fundamental analysis and market news.
Classic Reversal Pattern You Must Know
☑️WHAT IS THE RISING WEDGE PATTERN?
The rising (ascending) wedge pattern is a bearish chart pattern that signals a highly probable breakout to the downside. It’s the opposite of the falling (descending) wedge pattern (bullish). A rising wedge can be both a continuation and reversal pattern, although the former is more common and more efficient as it follows the direction of an overall trend.
The rising wedge consists of two converging trend lines that connect the most recent higher lows and higher highs. In a rising wedge, the lows are catching up with the highs at a higher pace, which means that the lower (supporting) trend line is steeper.
☑️KEY FEATURES
• The price action temporarily trades in an uptrend (the higher highs and higher lows)
• Two trend lines (support and resistance) that are converging
• The decrease in volume as the wedge progresses towards the breakout
The third point is seen more as a boost to the validity and effectiveness of the pattern, rather than a mandatory element. And it is applicable either for stocks trading mostly.
☑️SPOTTING THE RISING WEDGE
Identifying a rising wedge is not so difficult. As a first step, you should eliminate all types of wedges that are present in the sideways-trading environment. The ascending wedge occurs either in a downtrend as the price action temporarily corrects higher, or in an uptrend.
☑️TRADING THE RISING WEDGE
Trading the rising wedge pattern is pretty easy. After we correctly identified the pattern all we need to do is wait patiently for the breakout of the wedge to the downside. After the breakout is confirmed(usually at least a 4H candle needs to close below the broken level) we can place a limit order to short the pair on a pullback giving us a better risk to reward ratio. The correct Stop Loss should be placed above the last higher high established by the wedge before the breakout. What concerns the Take Profit level, it must be based on the technical levels below( If there are any). If not, then we might use Trailing Stop or just choose a minimal acceptable RR of 1:1,5
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Learn Fibonacci Retracement Tool
☸️WHAT ARE FIB RETRACEMENT LEVELS
Fibonacci retracement levels are horizontal lines that indicate the possible support and resistance levels where price could potentially reverse direction. The first thing you should know about the Fibonacci tool is that it works best when the market is trending.
The idea is to go long on a retracement at a Fibonacci support level when the market is trending UP.
And to go short on a retracement at a Fibonacci resistance level when the market is trending DOWN.
Fibonacci retracement levels are considered a predictive technical indicator since they attempt to identify where price may be in the future.
☸️FINDING FIB RETRACEMENT LEVELS
In order to find these Fibonacci retracement levels, you have to find the recent significant Swing Highs and Swings Lows.
Then, for downtrends, click on the Swing High and drag the cursor to the most recent Swing Low.
For uptrends, do the opposite. Click on the Swing Low and drag the cursor to the most recent Swing High.
☸️HOW TO USE
Once you’ve done that, you will see the following levels appear: 23.6% , 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 76.4%. (The 50% one is not technically a Fib level but its still used by everyone)The idea is that the price will make a correction that will reverse at one of these levels. So all we need to do is watch the price action near these levels and look for the reversal patterns, like triple bottom, head and shoulders, narrowing wedge breakouts, etc…
Once the we see a confluence of the Fib level and the reversal pattern, we can just wait for the confirmation breakout and enter the trade on the pullback. EASY!👻
☸️WHY IT WORKS
Because of all the people who use the Fibonacci tool, those levels become self-fulfilling support and resistance levels.
If enough market participants believe that a retracement will occur near a Fibonacci retracement level and are waiting to open a position when the price reaches that level, then all those pending orders will impact the market price.
☸️IMPORANT REMINDER
One thing you should take note of is that price won’t always bounce from these levels. They should be looked at as areas of interest so as I wrote above, one can’t simply trade off these levels, but needs to employ reversal patterns with confirmation to increase the probability rate of one’s calls.
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BTC's bulls are ready to break wallHello Traders!
Welcome back to another post with analyst Aadil1000x.
In the previous post, the chart was not complicated as today's charts. In this chart, we can see this consolidation phase is a set of many patterns and after deep focus and a close view, I have connected all patterns and now we are ready to play with the market.
Now we have a key reversal area at 24215 and there is a minor confusion about the move from this area. Most probably the move will be bullish but there is still a chance that it can dip from this area. We are not here to predict and gamble but to take action after a good reaction.
We will wait and see the reaction before taking action at the key reversal area.
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📊 Chart Pattern CheatsheetChart patterns are visual representations of a stock's price movement over time. These patterns can provide traders with information about the stock's trend, momentum, and potential future direction. Continuation and reversal patterns are two types of chart patterns that traders use to identify potential entry points. When considering entry points for both continuation and reversal patterns, traders often use a combination of technical indicators and price action analysis. They may use tools such as moving averages, oscillators, and trendlines to confirm a pattern's validity and identify potential entry points. Additionally, traders may set stop-loss orders to manage risk and limit potential losses.
🔹 Continuation patterns
Continuation patterns are chart patterns that suggest that the current trend will continue. They occur when the stock price consolidates in a certain range, showing a temporary pause in the trend. Some common continuation patterns include triangles, flags, and pennants. Traders may look to enter a long position when the stock price breaks out of the pattern, typically on higher than average trading volume.
🔹 Reversal patterns
Reversal patterns, on the other hand, suggest that the current trend is likely to reverse. These patterns occur when the stock price has reached a high or low point and is likely to move in the opposite direction. Some common reversal patterns include head and shoulders, double tops and bottoms, and the "V" pattern. Traders may look to enter a short position when the stock price breaks below a support level or the neckline of a pattern.
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Relative Strength Index (RSI) | Technical Indicator You Must Kno
✳️What is the RSI Indicator
What is the RSI Indicator? The relative strength index is a market indicator that signals when the asset is over-bought or over-sold. This is a momentum-following indicator that measures how fast the price is moving and changing. The RSI uses different types of averages, but its primary purpose is to show whether a trend is strong or weak within a series of prices.
In general, a strong trend is indicated by values close to 100 while a bearish trend is often indicated by a value near 0.
✳️RSI Indicator Settings
The RSI has the standard setting. When you activate the indicator in any platform the defualt setting are 3 values. They are 6, 14 and 24. These are averages. The 30 and 70 value lines are calculated based on the lower and upper values and the middle lines is the oscillar which is a 14 period average. When the 14 period oscillator is above the 24 period is overbought and when the 14 period is below the 6 period is oversold.
✳️Opening Positions on RSI Signals
The main signal the RSI oscillator generates allows defining overbought and oversold price ranges. Although it is frequently used as a filter in systems where the main indicator is a trend one, it might be possible to try trading using RSI signals only. When indicator’s line goes above the level 70 or below the level 30, it signals that market is overbought/oversold, and it is necessary to wait for the next signal confirming a trend reversal.
✳️RSI Trendlines
Contrary to popular belief, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a leading indicator. This quality can be observed by using trendlines on the RSI chart and trading its break. When the RSI is rising, an upward trendline is drawn by connecting two or more lows and projecting the line into the future. Similarly, when the RSI is falling, a downward trendline is drawn by connecting two or more highs and projecting the line into the future. A break of an RSI trendline precedes an actual price reversal or continuation in the market. For instance, if the asset price breaks above a downward trendline, it is a signal that the price is about to edge upwards, either as a continuation of an uptrend or as a reversal of an existing downtrend in the market.
✳️RSI and Chart Patterns
The Relative Strength Index is one of the best technical indicators to complement raw price action signals delivered by candlestick patterns or line chart patterns. For instance, when a bullish candlestick, such as a pin bar, or a price chart pattern, such as a double bottom, occurs in a downtrend, a buy position can be opened when the RSI displays a reading of below 30 to imply oversold conditions.
✳️RSI Divergence
The Relative Strength Index also delivers divergence signals that could be a viable trading opportunity. A divergence occurs when the asset price and RSI do not move in the same direction. A positive (bullish) divergence occurs when the price is drifting lower, but the RSI is edging higher. This is a signal that the price may be heading towards a bottom and an upward reversal is about to happen. On the other hand, a negative (bearish) divergence occurs when the price is drifting higher, but the RSI is going lower. This is a signal that price may be heading towards a top and a downward reversal is about to happen.
✳️RSI and RVI
Both the RSI and the RVI(Relative Vigor Index) are oscillators, but their different qualities can help traders to pick out high-quality RSI trading opportunities in the market. Whereas the RSI focuses on price extremes (high and low), the computation of RVI seeks to relate closing prices to open prices. This means that the RVI has both positive and negative numbers, with the centreline being 0. The RVI gives information on the strength of price movement, with positive values indicating increasing momentum, whereas negative values denote decreasing momentum. The RSI is the best indicator to complement or qualify the signals delivered by the RVI, especially in trending markets. For instance, if the market is in an uptrend and the RVI delivers a bearish divergence signal (prices go higher whereas RVI goes lower). In this case, a retracement or a trend reversal will be confirmed if the RSI reading is above 70, which implies overbought trading conditions.
✳️Here is the list, though now at all exhausting of the ways to use RSI in your trading. I will add that I use it myself, even though you don’t see it on my charts for aesthetic reasons.
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