❗️USE STOP LOSS AND BECOME A BETTER TRADER❗️
🟩STOP LOSS IS:A stop-loss order is an order that automatically closes a losing position once the price hits the pre-specified level.
We usually calculate SL in pips, but there can be many ways to set it. It can be time based, percentage based or volatility based. For some investors SL is some piece of critical news, which alters their perception of the value of the asset. Regular stop losses can be many and varied too, for example trailing stop. Also, we sometimes move SL to entry after the half close to protect the gains and make our position risk free.However, all situations I listed above have one thing in common and it is the fact that the SL was used!
🟥Honestly, I am amused by the massive number of people who send me screenshots of their MT4 with several open trades on the same pair all of them without SL and with 90% of account lost. And they ask me what should they do? A great illustration of what is would take to recover from such a loss, is on the drawing above. With the 90% loss, you have only one tenth of the original account left. That means you need to make ten times more money than you have left just to recover your losses. 999% gain needs to be made just to have your old account back. It took you a day to blow it, and might take months to recover the losses. This is the brutality of the trading. The market is unforgiving and will punish you if you treat is without respect. If you are careless or if you make mistakes. The market always comes back to collect, waiting for the moment you drop your guard and relax for a second.
Please always use Stop Loss, because, as it happens, it stops you from losing too much!
I Hope you guys learned something new today✅
Wish you all Best Of Luck👍
😇And may the odds be always in your favor😇
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Patterns
BTCUSDT is testing the KEY level!Bitcoin hit 20k as I told you in my previous analysis after a clear breakout and retest of Ascending channel.
Now the price is testing the key level, where this dump began, and where the market printed the previous HL on the daily timeframe.
On the Daily we can spot a clear W pattern, usually, the market wants to retest its neckline. In that case, the neckline is on 0.618 Fibonacci level on the daily timeframe,
About the 4h timeframe, we can see a false breakout above the local HH and on the 4h supply.
What's next?
If the price is going to lose the 4h support on 20k and retest it as new resistance, we could see a retracement until the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
Otherwise, If the market is going to close with a volume above 21600, we could see a new bullish scenario.
Bank Holiday in the USA (Martin Luther King Jr. Day)
BTC. Is that was bottom? Ready for a LEG UPWhy such sentiments.
The monthly stochastic is oversold. At 4 h, a double bottom is possible.
On D1, if the double bottom works, then the scheme with inverted H&S will probably work. Which can be considered if zoom out chart. Overbought on the D1 chart as a whole with a strong uptrend does not say anything. You can look at the last bull run. I don't trade by patterns. I'm more of an Ema trader. But you can find reversal patterns on 4h/d1/w1 on almost all alts.
Also, dxy is in approximately the same conditions relative to the EMA as in July 2020. If I'm right, then this is the bottom and an interesting trip awaits us. If not, you can throw bears hats at me. I will sell them and with this money I will be able to survive until the next bull run.
The Doube Bottom Pattern - Bullish PatternThe **Double Bottom** is a price action pattern that is indicative of a trend change once activated. Price needs to establish a bearish expansion towards the lows before reversing with an impulse. The impulse then needs to get sold into; this will create a retest of the previous low that must hold. Price action will establish a “W” structure which become a sign of demand that leads to a bullish expansion.
Key Characteristics of the **Double Bottom**
- Price Action must first establish a bearish expansion
- The retest of the previous low most hold
- A ‘W’ like formation will confirm demand at the lows
Playing ranges in BitcoinIn the previous post we explained how Bitcoin is changing and showing some range pattern instead of a bubble behaviour. It's important to adapt your trading style to market style, if you are still expecting crazy rallies in BTC you can be stuck here for months or maybe year.
Today we show you how we analyze the prices between long term ranges (green lines) and you can see ranges of +2% aprox. Please note that this is not a math class, so ranges can slightly vary and ranges only means more probabilities of offer or demand to appear and change the short term trend.
Trading near support and resisances offer a great risk reward ratio, so just enjoy until the price moves to the next big range.
The chart is showing a long and short trade idea, so feel free to adapt to your trading needs.
Good luck
It's highly reccommended to see the previous post, see related ideas.
📊 Understanding the Cup and Handle PatternA cup and handle is a technical analysis pattern that appears on a chart as a U-shaped pattern, followed by a small downward drift, resembling a handle.
It is important to note that like all technical analysis patterns, the cup and handle pattern is not a guarantee of future price movements and should be used in conjunction with other analysis techniques.
📈Cup and Handle
It is considered a bullish pattern and is often used by traders to indicate the potential for an upcoming price increase.
The pattern is formed when the price of a security falls, reaches a bottom, and then rises back up to near its previous high before falling again. The downward drift that follows is the handle.
The pattern is considered complete when the price breaks through the resistance level (the top of the cup) and continues to rise. Technical traders using this indicator should place
a stop buy order slightly above the upper trendline of the handle part of the pattern.
📉Inverted Cup and Handle
After the cup forms and the beginning of a noticeable handle takes shape, begin to monitor trading volume closely.
One way to think of the inverted handle is a follow-up to an inverted cup. The inverted handle retraces the initial move, but not to the level of the original trend.
Once you see a retracement in the form of an inverted handle of the original inverted cup pattern, setting a stop loss while selling the trend could be a potential trade idea.
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ROKU Reaching an Inflection PointI recently started looking at Fibonacci arcs and circles. I see them as something similar to support and resistance lines. Charts have an uncanny way of touching support and resistance lines. I've drawn arrows where the chart touched or came very close to touching the two circles I drew.
I noticed that ROKU is very close to reaching an inflection point where the circles intersect around January 30th. The lower circle also intersects with a support level of 26.64 around March 7th. I've labeled this the Inflection Area. After reaching this area, the price action could head much lower or even higher. I'm not saying that to make sure I'm not wrong, I'm saying it because I don't know. The major bearish double-top pattern from 2021 may have reached the end of its influence, but I think ROKU will reach the support level of 26.64 at least. After that is anyone's guess.
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor, and the above statements are not investment advice. My comments are only intended for educational purposes. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions.
USDCAD SHORTThis pair has been trading in a nice channel for some time with the odd 'fake-out'. However we are currently sitting at a lower low compared to the most recent trough on the 1H time frame, threatening to drop further.
Based on pattern analysis only, we see the price has retested that previous low (also the support of the channel) and has rejected it, with a move lower. We expect this price to fall from here.
Technical indicators suggest that the pair is overbought on this pullback, further strengthening the case for a move to the downside.
Follow for more.
AUDCHF SHORTThis pair broke out of it's channel to the downside recently, but has since rallied back into the channel range.
We see currently it has potential to react to this next resistance within the channel, with the indicators suggesting this pair is currently overbought. We will wait for confirmation and then react.
Follow for more.
XRP will decide it's direction soonOur algorithm has found a descending volatility pattern after a long period of downtrend and this always helps traders to make money because we can take advanatge of any movement (up or down). We've recently seen a fake break of the red line, but be ready because losing the first blue line is really dangerous for XRP.
XRP was created by Ripple Labs, a financial technology company that is focused on providing solutions for cross-border payments and other financial transactions. Ripple Labs developed the XRP Ledger as a way to enable faster and cheaper cross-border payments, and XRP is used as a means of exchange on the network.
XRP has gained significant popularity in recent years due to its potential use in the financial industry, and it has been adopted by a number of banks and financial institutions as a means of facilitating cross-border payments and other transactions. However, it is important to note that XRP is not without controversy, and its adoption and use have been met with some resistance and skepticism in the financial and cryptocurrency communities.
A descending volatility pattern in the stock market refers to a situation where the level of volatility (i.e., the fluctuation in prices) in the market decreases over time. This can be observed by looking at the historical volatility of a particular stock or index.
There are several potential consequences of a descending volatility pattern in the stock market:
1. It may indicate a decrease in market risk, as the level of price fluctuation is lower. This could make the market more attractive to investors who are risk-averse or who have a lower tolerance for volatility.
2- The pattern could also indicate increased stability in the market, which could lead to higher levels of investor confidence and potentially drive more capital into the market. This could lead to an overall increase in stock prices.
However, it is important to note that a declining volatility pattern does not necessarily mean that the market is "safer" or that it will continue to trend upwards. Volatility can be unpredictable and can increase suddenly, even if it has been decreasing over a longer period of time.
In fact, as we previously said the best way to trade this pattern is to expect an increase in volatility, no matter if it's upwards or downwards.
And the most important!
What do you think? Are we ready for a new crypto rally here? Will we break the green line? Or we will just see lower prices... again?
Its time to short XAUUSDMy trading plan is we can short XAUUSD 1880.00 and expect it will reverse the trend in 1880.00 that reverse trend will continue until price level 1732.00
between price range 1760 to 1820 the market has made lot of trades and struggling to increase price. its a clear sign to trend reversal.
i have mentioned clear support and resistance levels on chart.
HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN - TRADING GUIDE Head and Shoulders pattern
This lesson will cover the following
What is a “Head and Shoulders” formation?
How can it be confirmed?
How can it be traded?
The Head and Shoulders pattern forms after an uptrend, and if confirmed, marks a trend reversal. The opposite pattern, the Inverse Head and Shoulders, therefore forms after a downtrend and marks the end of the downward price movement.
As you can guess by its name, the Head and Shoulders pattern consists of three peaks – a left shoulder, a head, and a right shoulder. The head should be the highest and the two shoulders should be at least relatively of equal height. As the price corrects from each peak, the lows retreat to form the so-called neckline, which is later used for confirming the pattern. Here is what an H&S pattern looks like.
Other key elements of this pattern and its trade process are the breakouts, protective stops, profit target, and volume, which is used as an additional tool to confirm the trend reversal. So here is how you identify the Head and Shoulders pattern and how its individual components are characterized.
Formation and confirmation
In order to have a trend reversal pattern, you definitely need a trending market. Let's talk about the first model of H&S, the Inverse or Reversal will have the same methodology but exactly in the opposite way.
While prices are trending up, our future patterns left shoulder forms as a peak, which marks the high of the current trend. For the shoulder to be formed, the price then needs to correct down, retreating to a low, which is usually above or at the trend line, thus, keeping the uptrend still in force. This low marks the first point used to determine where the neckline stands.
Afterward, a new higher peak begins to form, stemming from the left shoulder low, which is our pattern head. As the market makes a higher high (the head), it then corrects back and usually, this is the point where the upward trend is penetrated, thus signaling a shift in momentum and a possible Head and Shoulders pattern.
The second low that is touched after the retreat from the heads peak is the other point used to build the neckline, which is basically a line drawn through the two lows.
The subsequent rebound from the second low forms the third peak – the right shoulder. It should be lower than the head and overall match the height of the left shoulder (keep in mind that exact matches rarely occur). It is also preferable that the two shoulders have required relatively the same amount of time to form as this would make the pattern stronger.
In order for the Head and Shoulders pattern to be confirmed, the retreat from the third peak (the right shoulder) should penetrate the neckline and a candle should close below it.
The neckline itself should be horizontal in the perfect case scenario, but that rarely happens. Instead, most often it is sloping up or down and that is of significance as well – a downward-sloping neckline is more bearish than an upward-sloping one.
Volume
As mentioned above, volume plays a key role as a confirmation tool and can be measured via indicators or by just analyzing its levels. Presumably, volume during the left shoulder advance should be higher than during the subsequent one, because as the head hits a higher high on the base of declining volume, this serves as an early signal for a possible reverse. This, however, does not happen every time.
The next step of confirmation comes when volume increases during the decline from the head's peak and the last nail in the coffin are when volume gains further during the right shoulder's decline.
Trading the pattern, stops and profit targets
We said earlier that the Head and Shoulders pattern is deemed confirmed if the right shoulder's decline penetrates through the neckline and a candle closes below it. As soon as that happens and you are reassured that it is not a false breakout, you can enter into a short position. However, as you already know, no trading decisions should be made on the go, i.e. you need to have predetermined where your protective stop is going to stand and what your profit target is.
Protective stop
There are two common places where you can place your stop loss. The first one, which is more conservative, is right above the peak of the head, while a more standard position is right beyond the right shoulder. You can see those visualized in the following screenshot.
The second option makes more sense because if the breakout through the neckline actually fails and the price rebounds back with such momentum that it rises beyond the right shoulder, then the whole pattern is flawed and you definitely do not need to wait for it to exceed the head as well. Besides, such a loose stop significantly increases the risk and reduces the risk/reward ratio, thus, reducing this pattern's trading appeal.
Profit target
The most common and often advised profit target is the distance (number of pips) between the head's peak and the neckline. Having estimated that distance, you then need to subtract it from the neckline, just like in the screenshot below.
And how does that translate in terms of risk/reward ratio? If the breakout confirmation (the close beyond the neckline) appears very close to the neckline itself, and we enter into a short position there, we generally have a 1:1 risk-to-reward proportion, if we use a conservative protective stop. Why?
Since our profit target is the distance between the heads peak and the neckline, if we decide to use the conservative option for a protective stop, then we will have the same distance as a loss limit, thus, reducing our risk-to-reward ratio to 1:1.
This is why, in order to improve that ratio, most experienced traders place their protective stops more often above the right shoulders peak, given that they use the head-to-neckline profit target.
However, keep in mind that this price distance should serve as a rough target, because things are usually not that straightforward and other factors such as previous support levels, crossing mid-term and long-term moving averages, etc. must be taken into consideration as well.
Two ways to trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern
There are generally two ways to trade this pattern, depending on how it plays out. The first one we've already mentioned. As soon as a candle closes below the neckline as a sign of confirmation, you enter into a short position with the respective profit target and protective stop described above.
Now for the second way to trade the H&S formation. In this case, we have a pullback after the neckline penetration, which, once support, now acts as a resistance level. This time we need to go short once the price pulls back and tests the neckline as resistance. As soon as it rebounds from the neckline, we enter into a short position, using the same principle for placing the protective stop and aiming for the same profit as in the first scenario. Here is what this would look like.
AUDCAD LONGThis pair has been sitting within it's range for a few weeks, following a longer term bearish channel prior to this. We have seen a small breakout to the upside from this channel and are looking to see how this reacts now.
We could expect to see a small pullback to the previous resistance of that channel, now acting as support and a bullish bounce off of that. As this is (at the moment) is only a small breakout there could be uncertainty and indecisiveness from the market on this move. Wait for confirmation of a potential bounce before any decision is made.
Follow for more.
BTC Shorts - We're going down to $14,000BTC is showing major signs for continuations to the downside.
We are going to likely to shoot down into major magnet level of 14,000/13,800 to be more specific. But we could rally into the 17,000 level before continuing back down.
Plenty of confluences lining up.