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⭕️WHAT IS A FALSE BREAKOUT❓ ⭕️False-breakouts are exactly what they sound like: a breakout that failed to continue beyond a level, resulting in a ‘false’ breakout of that level. False breakout patterns are one of the most important price action trading patterns to learn, because a false-break is often a very strong clue that price might be changing direction or that a trend might be resuming soon. ⭕️A false-break of a level can be thought of as a ‘deception’ by the market, because it looks like price will breakout but then it quickly reverses, deceiving all those who took the ‘bait’ of the breakout. It’s often the case that amateurs will enter what looks like an ‘obvious’ breakout and then the professional’s will push the market back the other way ⭕️A false breakout is essentially a ‘contrarian’ move in the market that ‘flushes’ out those traders who may have entered on emotion, rather than logic and forward thinking. ⭕️Generally speaking, a false-breakout happens because amateur traders or those with ‘weak hands’ in the market will tend to enter the market only when it ‘feels safe’ to do so. This means, they tend to enter when a market is already quite extended in one direction (and it’s about ready to retrace) or they try to ‘predict’ a breakout from a key support or resistance level too early. Professional traders watch for these missteps by the amateurs, and the end result is a very good entry for them with a tight stop loss and huge risk reward potential. ⭕️It takes discipline and a bit of ‘gut feel’ to know when a false-break is likely to occur, and you can never really know ‘for sure’ until after one has formed. The important thing, is to know what they look like and how to trade them. 🛑Which we will discuss in the next article, If you like this one❗️ Dear followers, let me know, what topic interests you for new educational posts?
OANDA:BTCUSDEducation
by SignalProvider
8
HOW TO USE RSI⁉️ ✳️What is the RSI Indicator What is the RSI Indicator? The relative strength index is a market indicator that signals when the asset is over-bought or over-sold. This is a momentum-following indicator that measures how fast the price is moving and changing. The RSI uses different types of averages, but its primary purpose is to show whether a trend is strong or weak within a series of prices. In general, a strong trend is indicated by values close to 100 while a bearish trend is often indicated by a value near 0. ✳️RSI Indicator Settings The RSI has the standard setting. When you activate the indicator in any platform the defualt setting are 3 values. They are 6, 14 and 24. These are averages. The 30 and 70 value lines are calculated based on the lower and upper values and the middle lines is the oscillar which is a 14 period average. When the 14 period oscillator is above the 24 period is overbought and when the 14 period is below the 6 period is oversold. ✳️Opening Positions on RSI Signals The main signal the RSI oscillator generates allows defining overbought and oversold price ranges. Although it is frequently used as a filter in systems where the main indicator is a trend one, it might be possible to try trading using RSI signals only. When indicator’s line goes above the level 70 or below the level 30, it signals that market is overbought/oversold, and it is necessary to wait for the next signal confirming a trend reversal. ✳️RSI Trendlines Contrary to popular belief, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a leading indicator. This quality can be observed by using trendlines on the RSI chart and trading its break. When the RSI is rising, an upward trendline is drawn by connecting two or more lows and projecting the line into the future. Similarly, when the RSI is falling, a downward trendline is drawn by connecting two or more highs and projecting the line into the future. A break of an RSI trendline precedes an actual price reversal or continuation in the market. For instance, if the asset price breaks above a downward trendline, it is a signal that the price is about to edge upwards, either as a continuation of an uptrend or as a reversal of an existing downtrend in the market. ✳️RSI and Chart Patterns The Relative Strength Index is one of the best technical indicators to complement raw price action signals delivered by candlestick patterns or line chart patterns. For instance, when a bullish candlestick, such as a pin bar, or a price chart pattern, such as a double bottom, occurs in a downtrend, a buy position can be opened when the RSI displays a reading of below 30 to imply oversold conditions. ✳️RSI Divergence The Relative Strength Index also delivers divergence signals that could be a viable trading opportunity. A divergence occurs when the asset price and RSI do not move in the same direction. A positive (bullish) divergence occurs when the price is drifting lower, but the RSI is edging higher. This is a signal that the price may be heading towards a bottom and an upward reversal is about to happen. On the other hand, a negative (bearish) divergence occurs when the price is drifting higher, but the RSI is going lower. This is a signal that price may be heading towards a top and a downward reversal is about to happen. ✳️RSI and RVI Both the RSI and the RVI(Relative Vigor Index) are oscillators, but their different qualities can help traders to pick out high-quality RSI trading opportunities in the market. Whereas the RSI focuses on price extremes (high and low), the computation of RVI seeks to relate closing prices to open prices. This means that the RVI has both positive and negative numbers, with the centreline being 0. The RVI gives information on the strength of price movement, with positive values indicating increasing momentum, whereas negative values denote decreasing momentum. The RSI is the best indicator to complement or qualify the signals delivered by the RVI, especially in trending markets. For instance, if the market is in an uptrend and the RVI delivers a bearish divergence signal (prices go higher whereas RVI goes lower). In this case, a retracement or a trend reversal will be confirmed if the RSI reading is above 70, which implies overbought trading conditions. ✳️Here is the list, though now at all exhausting of the ways to use RSI in your trading. I will add that I use it myself, even though you don’t see it on my charts for aesthetic reasons. I hope you liked my article, so please like and comment bros, so that more people could see it!👍 See ya next time♻️
OANDA:BTCUSDEducation
by SignalProvider
7
UNISWAPHello Dear friends Aren't decentralized exchanges more attractive? All patterns formed in different time frames identify higher targets. Our support areas have been well maintained so far. Provided that the orders in the area of $5.65 are not fully consumed, the possibility of continuing the upward trend to the area of $7.17 is high. Keep in mind that this view has little validity until the bullish trend breaks above the $6.38 range. We would be happy to hear your comments
Long
by FiboTech
Can BTC Go Back to the $20k Zone in the Coming Week? 😣 Nov 11Bitcoin broke all major supports on Wednesday after it fell by 15% to hit a new 52-week low at $15,600. This fall came after the collapse of FTX, the main trigger for the deep sell-off. Earlier this week, Bitcoin was trading at $21,500 before it fell to $15,600 in just two days. Although traders are rushing to buy this new low, it is important to confirm if there are any signs of a reversal! In the 4-hour time frame, we can see that Bitcoin is approaching the previous support zone at $18,500. It is too early to say if this is a reversal as it could be a bearish retest of the breakout zone. This is why traders should wait for the price to reclaim the resistance at $18,500 before taking any long positions. If the resistance is reclaimed, traders can expect the price to go back to the $20,000 zone in the coming week. However, if the price is rejected by the resistance, it will be seen as a bearish retest, and a new 52-week low could be hit in the coming week. The major points of interest are $18,500 and $15,600.
by CoinMarketCap
❗️THE BIGGEST LIE ABOUT RISK REWARD RATIO❗️ What is risk-reward ratio — and the biggest lie you’ve been told: 📚The risk-reward ratio (or risk return ratio) measures how much your potential reward (or return) is, for every dollar you risk. 📚For example: If you have a risk-reward ratio of 1:3, it means you’re risking $1 to potentially make $3. If you have a risk-reward ratio of 1:5, it means you’re risking $1 to potentially make $5. You get my point. ⚠️Now, here’s the biggest lie you’ve been told about the risk reward ratio: “You need a minimum of 1:2 risk reward ratio.” This statement is incorrect! Because the risk-reward ratio is meaningless on its own. 📚Here’s an example: Let’s say you have a risk reward ratio of 1:2 (for every trade you win, you make $2). But, your winning rate is 20%. So out of 10 trades, you have 8 losing trades and 2 winners. Let’s do the math… Total Loss = $1 * 8 = -$8 Total Gain = $2 * 2 = $4 Net loss = -$4 By now I hope you understand the risk reward ratio by itself is a meaningless metric. Instead, you must combine your risk-reward ratio with your winning rate to know whether you’ll make money in the long run (otherwise known as your expectancy). 📍THEREFORE: The key to success is the combination of the RR and Win Rate in such a fashion that yields a positive return. 📙Example: 🔘If your RR is 1:1 then you start making money with 51% win rate and above. 🔘If your RR is 1:1,5 then you start making money with 41% Win rate and above. 🔘If your RR is 1:2 then you start making money with 34% win rate and above. 🔴The higher the RR the lower is the breakeven Win Rate! Hope You get the idea, guys. Thanks for your time, see you in the next article😉
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by SignalProvider
4
SPY RALLY WEEK - Are you ready for it?I continue to post these SPY Cycle Patterns as a way to help educate and explore my research/results. The interesting part of this research is these patterns originate at an anchor point nearly 5 years ago and continue to produce valuable predictive results for each week going forward - all the way out to 2028 and beyond. Why are they so important? Because they can help you understand how cycles, price patterns, and psychology play a role in future price activity. Of course, they are not 100% accurate as news items, the US Fed, and other (govt) actions may disrupt the cycle pattern trends. Ultimately, these are some of the best predictive solutions I've seen related to preparing for future trends/expectations in a long while. Elliot wave is a great tool, but it adapts to future price movement. Therefore, what you see and believe is going to happen right now may not be valid in 2 to 5 days. Fibonacci is probably the most valuable solution for attempting to develop any type of predictive modeling - besides my Cycle Patterns. Well, this is all just conjecture related to what I believe. Here we go - RALLY WEEK. Let's see what happens. Most of November 2022 is looking quite bullish. So we may see a fairly strong start to a Christmas Rally setting up this week. 11-6: CRUSH - I expect this pattern to push into Monday, driving a fairly strong upward trend. 11-7: Flat-Down - this pattern may transition into early Tuesday, but quickly move towards the BreakAway trend. 11-8: BreakAway - This pattern should carry through most of Tuesday/Wednesday. 11-9: Rally - Off we go. 11-10: Rally - Continued rally (short squeeze) 11-11: Rally - possibly a stalling rally phase headed into the weekend. 11-12: Carryover - the weekend will setup as a pause, rotation, bottom for early next week. 11-13: Bottom Follow my research..
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
🟢PRICE ACTION SECRETS 🔴Multi-candle patterns are more reliable The more candles a specific pattern contains, the more reliable it usually is. 3 candle patterns are better than single candle patterns. 30 candle patterns are usually better than 3 candle patterns. Patterns like head and shoulders, double and triple tops are among my favorites, exactly because of this reason. They consistently result in higher probability trades, which is what we’re all after. It doesn’t mean that a good pin bar setup won’t work, it just means there’s a higher probability of having these multi-candle setups resulting in a winning trade. 🟠Know where to place your stop loss Knowing where to place an order is just the beginning. Where do you place your stop loss? Fixed pips stop loss levels are hardly a good approach since the market volatility can change and every trade should be looked at within the context of the recent market history. 🟢Always look for confluence This is absolutely one of the most important secrets you have to know about. Confluence is everything. So you’ve found a sweet price action setup. Great! Now make sure it has confluence, meaning that it coincides with other valid signals that support your trading idea. 🔵Tell a story of what happened Every chart tells a story. It might be a story of clear direction or a story of messy back-and-forth battling between buyers and sellers. In a similar way, we can talk about clean price action vs messy price action. It is up to the trader to find the story and better understand what the market might do. 🟣Context is everything Depending on where a price action setup occurs, you should interpret it differently. The same pin bar could be bullish or bearish, depending on if they show up at the bottom of a downtrend or top of an uptrend, respectively. Not all patterns are also worth taking if they are not preceded by the right price action and happen at the levels that are in one way or the other of significance. 🟤Identify key support & resistance zones Support and resistance (or S&R for short) are terms used to denote areas where price reverses at its lowest point (support) and the highest point (resistance) on a chart. Often, these zones are “tested” multiple times as traders look for an increased buyer and seller activity around these levels. It’s important to note that support and resistance are usually not thin lines, but rather zones. 🔴The Bottom Line The price action strategy is one of the most powerful tools for extracting money from the markets with predictability and manageable risks, but only if used correctly. Thank you! Please give a Thumbs UP and Leave Comment👍🏻
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by SignalProvider
9
Cycle Patterns for Nov-2022 - Enjoy the November RallyThank you to all of you who have been curious and asking questions. This past week I've been busy taking care of family issues and coding. I'm still deep into researching cycles, frequencies, and cycle trends. Often, I take drives to clear my head and think about things. Just last Wednesday, I came up with the idea that multiple cycles may be operating on different levels within a price chart (almost like the Multiverse) - but slightly different. My thinking is these cycle structures are PAUSED when a primary cycle trend is active. So, there may be 5+ various cycles operating on a chart, but only ONE (the primary) is active at one time with a secondary cycle structure possibly driving shorter-term price structures. I'm going to dig into this to see what I can find out. Here are all of the November Cycle Patterns: 11-1: Bottom 11-2: UP/Down/Up 11-3: Base/Rally 11-4: BreakAway 11-5: Carryover 11-6: CRUSH 11-7: Flat-Down 11-8: BreakAway 11-9: Rally 11-10: Rally 11-11: Rally 11-12: Carryover 11-13: Bottom 11-14: N/A 11-15: N/A 11-16: InsideBreakaway 11-17: BreakAway 11-18: WeekendGap/Flat 11-19: Gap Up-Higher 11-20: Consolidation 11-21: CRUSH 11-22: FlatDown 11-23: BreakAway 11-24: Carryover 11-25: Temp Bottom 11-26: Gap Reversal 11-27: Breakdown 11-28: Momentum Rally 11-29: Gap Up-Lower 11-30: TOP Let's keep the chat going.... Have you found these cycle patterns useful? Have you checked out any of my other research/charts? What would you like my research to focus on? How can I help you improve your trading? Remember, these cycle patterns are mapped out into 2028~2029. They don't change AT ALL. I can tell you what will happen on any specific date based on my research. Are you ready for a fairly big rally in November? It sure looks like the US markets are in for a bit of a momentum rally phase.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4